Commentary Physicians’ Refusal to Resuscitate at Borderline Gestational Age Mark R. Mercurio, MD Most neonatologists believe there is a minimal gestational age, below which it is appropriate to refuse to provide resuscitation or intensive care. Determination of this threshold should involve knowledge of the outcome data, but also an understanding of the potential for misuse of these data. In particular, there is a risk of deception, of the parents and of ourselves, due to the uncertainty of the true gestational age, and the ‘‘self-fulfilling prophecy’’ that may occur when a center refuses to try below a certain gestational age because they have had no survivors below that age. Finally, any refusal to treat requires ethical justification. Concepts such as futility and patient’s best interest should play a role in the determination of the gestational age threshold, applied in light of the data’s inherent weaknesses. Journal of Perinatology (2005) 25, 685–689. doi:10.1038/sj.jp.7211395 INTRODUCTION For most neonatologists, there will be a minimum gestational age, below which they will refuse to resuscitate despite parental request. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) has stated that noninitiation of resuscitation in the delivery room is appropriate for newborns with confirmed gestational age less than 23 weeks, and that this recommendation may change as the limits of viability change.1,2 According to a recent poll of neonatologists in Connecticut and Rhode Island, 11% would refuse to resuscitate at 23 completed weeks, 67% would refuse at 22 weeks, 91% would refuse at 21 weeks, and only 9% of those polled would never refuse.3 If neonatologists believe there is a gestational age threshold below which it is permissible to refuse resuscitation, how should that threshold be determined? The purpose of this essay is not to endorse a specific gestational age threshold, but rather to address the question: How should neonatologists determine the minimum gestational age below which it is appropriate to refuse an informed parental request to attempt resuscitation? Department of Pediatrics (M.R.M.), Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Mark R Mercurio, MD, Department of Pediatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar Street, P.O. Box 208064, New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8064, USA. THE PHYSICIAN’S RIGHT TO REFUSE Some might argue that a neonatologist has no right to refuse to provide resuscitation of a live newborn, at any gestational age. That right, however, appears to be assumed by many members of the neonatology community. While a thorough defense of the physician’s right to refuse is not the focus of this essay, one justification worthy of consideration may be the obligation of the physician to protect the newborn from inhumane treatment. Most would acknowledge that for patients of any age, there could be situations wherein the prolongation of life (or prolongation of the dying process) becomes inappropriate, and ultimately inhumane. Competent adult patients are rightfully given a large measure of autonomy (‘‘self-rule’’) in refusing treatment. The care of previously competent adults is commonly guided by advance directives, or by relatives’ assessment of what the patient would have wanted. This, too, is an attempt to provide the patient with some degree of autonomy, once no longer able to speak for himself. Newborns, as with any never-competent patient, enjoy no such right. Any protection from inhumane treatment must come from others. While neonatologists correctly place great weight on parental authority, the parents’ right to decide for their child should not be as absolute as their right to choose for themselves. For example, it is generally acknowledged that competent adults have the right to refuse lifesaving treatment for themselves, but not necessarily for their child. Similarly, while they may have the right to choose for themselves what some would consider an inhumane course of treatment, they should not necessarily be allowed to make such a choice for their child. Though parents generally have a right to decide for the newborn, the physician has an obligation to ensure that the treatment provided is not inhumane. In certain extreme situations, it may indeed be inhumane to provide resuscitation and ongoing intensive care. This is essentially a defense based on the patient’s best interest, which will be discussed along with other potential justifications for physician refusal, after consideration of the data. As noted, the purpose here is not to provide a thorough ethical defense of the right to refuse (though that is clearly an important question), but rather to consider how the physicians that claim that right should determine the minimum gestational age, below which it is appropriate to refuse a parental request for resuscitation. That determination should be based on the outcome data, the limitations of these data, and on the proposed ethical justification for refusal, as outlined below. Journal of Perinatology 2005; 25:685–689 r 2005 Nature Publishing Group All rights reserved. 0743-8346/05 $30 www.nature.com/jp 685 Mercurio Physicians’ Refusal to Resuscitate at Borderline Gestational Age OUTCOME DATA UNCERTAINTY OF GESTATIONAL AGE Lorenz reviewed the literature for infants born in tertiary centers in the United States in the 1990s, and reported aggregate survival at 22 completed weeks of 10% (n ¼ 151), at 23 weeks of 28% (n ¼ 490), and at 24 weeks of 51% (n ¼ 1295).4 Combined data from the 14 centers of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) Neonatal Research Network for 1995 to 1996 show similar outcomes at 23 and 24 weeks. At 22 completed weeks, however, reported survival was 21% (n ¼ 56).5 Data from the United Kingdom (UK) and Ireland from 1995 indicate fewer survivors at the lowest gestational ages. Their reported survival at 22 completed weeks was 2% (n ¼ 138), at 23 weeks was 11% (n ¼ 241), and at 24 weeks was 26% (n ¼ 382).6 Outcome considerations should include morbidity as well as mortality, and the reported rates of morbidity for these tiniest babies are quite high. The AAP Committee on Fetus and Newborn summarized the available data for infants at the lowest gestational ages by stating that ‘‘the incidence of moderate or severe neurodevelopmental disability in surviving children assessed at the age of 18 to 30 months is high (approximately 30 to 50%) and does not appear to decrease over the 23- to 25-week gestation period.’’2 There are no significant data available specifically for survivors born at 22 weeks. There are at least four points to be emphasized regarding these data. First, they are already a decade old, and though still referenced frequently today, may underestimate current survival at the lowest gestational ages. At Yale-New Haven Children’s Hospital, for example, survival at 23 weeks for 1994 through 2004 was 26% (n ¼ 88), similar to that reported by the network, but for 2003 and 2004, survival increased to 38% (n ¼ 21). The second point relates to the rate of survival at 22 weeks. Many maintain that it is not possible for a child born under 23 weeks to survive, and refuse to attempt resuscitation based on that assumption. Though these data suggest that survival at 22 weeks remains unlikely, or very unlikely, it does not seem valid to say it is impossible. The third point is the variability in survival rate at the lowest gestational ages between the US and the UK, and even among centers within the US. In Lorenz’ review, reported survival at 22 weeks ranged from 0 to 21%, and at 23 weeks from 5 to 46%.4 The final point is that these are aggregate data for large numbers of newborns. For an individual patient at borderline gestational age, there may be additional antenatal information (e.g. trisomy 18, hypoplastic left heart syndrome) that significantly worsens the prognosis, and thus might influence a physician’s threshold for refusal. There are, in addition, two important concerns regarding the use of outcome data to decide whether to offer resuscitation: the uncertainty of the true gestational age and the risk of self-fulfilling prophecy. Each of these may potentially compromise honest communication among physicians, and between physicians and parents. It is quite common for an obstetrician to describe the gestational age for an impending delivery by using presumed accuracy to within one day, such as ‘‘22 and 5/7 weeks.’’ The neonatologist may subsequently describe the newborn the same way. As survival statistics are typically reported in terms of completed weeks of gestation, this patient would be categorized as 22 completed weeks. The chances of survival, based on the data, would then seem at best quite low, and in the hands of many centers appear to be zero. However, there is an inherent (though likely unintended) dishonesty in this communication. Reporting gestational age with such precision sends the false message that obstetrical dating is more accurate than is usually the case. Magriples and Copel7 have observed, based on the available obstetrical literature, that dating based on last menstrual period or first trimester uterine size is accurate only to within about 2 weeks. Similarly, second trimester ultrasound is accurate only to within 10 to 14 days. While in some cases better information is available (e.g. first trimester ultrasound, in vitro fertilization), most often it is not. Still, we often discuss gestational age down to the day, as if we knew. A more honest communication might be: ‘‘based on LMP and second trimester ultrasound, the fetus is between 21 and 24 weeks gestation.’’ Prognosis for survival, based on the same data, now ranges anywhere from 0 to better than 50%. The prognosis may be influenced by the estimated fetal weight, but this, too, should be given as a range rather than a specific number. If we wish to be honest with ourselves and with parents, we need in most cases to think and speak in terms of ranges, despite the fact that sometimes the range will be uncomfortably wide. Similarly, a neonatologist might state that the baby was 23 weeks by dates, but based on exam is more likely to be 22 weeks. There are no available data suggesting that postnatally we can reliably assess gestational age to within less than 2 weeks. This fact was illustrated by a newborn encountered during my fellowship that looked like his gestational age was substantially less than the expected 24 weeks: fused eyelids, ‘‘transparent’’ skin, etc. The baby on the next warmer, also born that same day, had open eyes and in general an exam more typical of 24 weeks. One cannot say exactly what gestational age either baby was, but as they were twins it was likely the same. Fetuses, like children, mature at different rates. A neonatologist cannot reliably say, based on exam, that a newborn is 22 rather than 23 weeks, any more than a pediatrician can reliably say, based on exam, that a child is 22 rather than 23 months old. We need to admit to ourselves, to each other, and to parents that in most cases we do not know a newborn’s exact gestational age. It is worth noting that the cumulative outcome data on which we rely were, for the most part, based on gestational age assessments with a similar range of error. Perhaps the large numbers of the cumulative data might narrow the error margin, but for the individual patient at hand that cannot be the case. At the lowest 686 Journal of Perinatology 2005; 25:685–689 Physicians’ Refusal to Resuscitate at Borderline Gestational Age gestational ages, reporting gestational age to within one day (rather than as a range) will in most cases send a false message regarding our ability to accurately determine gestational age, and hence send a false message regarding our ability to precisely apply the published data to crucial decisions. THE SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY A second important concern regarding the survival data is the risk of self-fulfilling prophecy. A center that has never had a survivor below a certain gestational age may deem it reasonable to refuse resuscitation or any medical intervention below that age, as survival appears extremely unlikely or impossible. Over time, they will continue to have 0% survival, and the perceived justification for refusal will persist. This reasoning is circular. We never try because it never works. And, it might be that it never works because we never try. While there may be valid reasons for refusing to provide resuscitation and intensive care at 22 weeks, those who justify refusal by noting that they never try because they have never had a survivor, commit this lapse in logic. Lorenz observed that variability in reported survival at 23 to 26 weeks increases with decreasing gestational age, due at least in part to the increased variability with which obstetrical intervention for fetal indications and neonatal intensive care is offered.4 That is, outcome is more variable at 23 and 24 weeks because of the variability in how hard different centers try to salvage those babies. For example, at 23 weeks, reported survival ranged from 5 to 46%. In the centers that reported greater than 40% survival, resuscitation was attempted by an attending neonatologist in nearly all liveborn infants, and intensive care initiated in all those who survived the resuscitation. In contrast, in the UK, where survival at 23 weeks was only 10%, nearly half of all deaths at 23 weeks occurred in the delivery room, suggesting that a large fraction of those newborns did not receive maximal obstetrical and pediatric efforts.6 The point is not that a greater effort should have been provided, but rather that reported outcome at the lowest gestational ages may be largely dependent on the degree of effort put forth. THE RELEVANT QUESTION Parents considering resuscitation and intensive care for an infant of borderline viability may ask about chances of survival. In general, they will likely be told the survival statistics for their hospital, or perhaps nationally. It may be informative for them to know, for example, that 5% of all infants born at 23 weeks at that hospital survive. The more relevant question, however, would be: what percentage of those who receive maximal efforts survived? As has been shown, that number could be dramatically different. It is likely that most centers, aside from those that uniformly provide maximal effort at 23 weeks, do not make that information known to parents because they do not have that statistic readily available. Journal of Perinatology 2005; 25:685–689 Mercurio Most parents, in any case, will probably not be savvy enough to ask the more relevant question. Their failure to ask the question, however, does not relieve the physician of the obligation to answer it, or admit the answer is not known. It is not just the parents who often fail to ask the more relevant question, but the physicians as well. When trying to decide whether it is reasonable to attempt resuscitation for a given gestational age, we should be asking ourselves what our chance of success would truly be. At the lowest gestational ages it may be significantly higher than the percentages we typically quote, wherein the denominator is expanded by cases where we did not attempt to save the fetus or the baby. Though this is not intended as a recommendation for resuscitation at 22 weeks, it is nevertheless worth asking: What would be the rate of survival at 22 weeks if maximal efforts were routinely provided? The honest answer is that we do not know. ETHICAL JUSTIFICATION FOR PHYSICIAN REFUSAL Three possible ethical justifications for refusal to resuscitate are considered. The first, fairness to others, is not relevant to this scenario, as will be shown. The second, futility, may be relevant in extreme cases, but there is a risk of misuse of this argument. The third, patient’s best interest, was briefly introduced at the outset of the paper, and is the most tenable. Fairness to others affected by the decision might include consideration of society as a whole, which could incur a large financial burden, for example, if the child survives but is severely impaired. Some might argue that resources could be more fairly allocated elsewhere. There is, however, currently no societal or professional consensus that resuscitation or intensive care should be denied newborns of borderline gestational age, in order to provide more resources for others. Should a societal consensus at some point become apparent, this argument might appropriately influence resuscitation decisions. Until that time, it is inappropriate for an individual physician to make such a decision at the bedside on behalf of society. Fairness to others could refer specifically to the patient’s family, who might be significantly affected by the resuscitation, particularly if the child survives and is severely disabled.8 Perhaps survival of such a child would negatively impact the marriage, family finances, and/or the lives of the siblings. Whether the interests of the family can ever justify physician refusal is not relevant to the question at hand, however, as the parents themselves are requesting the resuscitation. The parents are generally felt to be best qualified to consider and advocate for the interests of the family. It would therefore not be appropriate for the physician to base a refusal of their request on the family’s best interest. The physician has an obligation to inform the parents regarding the potential consequences of their choice, but is generally not qualified to overrule their assessment of the family’s interest. 687 Mercurio The second potential justification for refusal, and one often invoked by physicians, is futility. While there has been significant disagreement on the exact meaning of ‘‘futile’’ in a medical context, it is perhaps best defined as meaning that the proposed treatment has no reasonable chance of achieving the desired goal. Of course, an assessment of futility then requires that the goal be understood and agreed upon. In 2000, the AAP justified noninitiation of resuscitation below 23 weeks by stating it is very likely to result in nonsurvival or survival with severe disability.1 Assuming the goal is survival without severe disability, this is essentially a justification based on futility. There is widespread belief within the profession that futile treatments should not be provided. Paris and Reardon9 rightly observed over a decade ago that ‘‘physician refusal of requests for futile or ineffective treatments is not an abandonment of the patient; it is an assertion of professional responsibility,’’ and as such the physician ‘‘ought not feel obligated to provide it.’’ In addition to the justifications provided by Paris and others, this point of view is also noted to be consistent with the physician’s obligation to be truthful. That is, something seems inherently dishonest in providing a treatment one believes cannot work. Even if the physician says it cannot work, the attempt itself may send a mixed (and potentially deceptive) message to the parents that it is possible.10 There is by no means universal agreement regarding the use of either the word ‘‘futile’’ or the concept when considering refusal to resuscitate. Disagreements over definition, concerns about value judgments masquerading as physiological facts, and other valid points have been raised and debated at length.11,12 There is clearly a danger that a physician might invoke the concept of futility when the data are unclear, in order to avoid a difficult discussion or conflict. One might say, ‘‘It is futile’’ when a more honest statement would be, ‘‘I think it is a very bad idea.’’ The latter carries an implicit admission that the statement is one of opinion rather than fact, and as such requires more justification. Despite these risks, and disagreements on exact definitions, it seems reasonable to assert that if a treatment clearly cannot accomplish the desired goal, physician refusal is justified. To argue otherwise, for the question at hand, would be to argue that a physician must attempt resuscitation even at 20 weeks or lower if the parents insist. There must be a role for professional judgment. Denial of that role would require physicians to serve purely as technicians, responding to the orders of their patients regardless of feasibility, suspending conscience and judgment. The result would be a medical system few could endorse. For futility to serve as a valid justification for refusal, however, it must be reasonably clear that the requested treatment cannot accomplish the desired goal. At our institution, we currently do not recommend resuscitation at 22 weeks, but no longer justify blanket refusal at 22 weeks by stating that a positive outcome would be impossible. While survival (particularly intact survival) seems very unlikely, the reported 688 Physicians’ Refusal to Resuscitate at Borderline Gestational Age survivors at several different centers suggest it is not impossible. More importantly, the chance of survival at 22 weeks if given maximal effort (the relevant question) is simply not known. Also, though one might extrapolate the morbidity data for infants born at 23 to 25 weeks, it is not known if that assumption is valid. Physician judgment and conscience, however, need not be limited to questions of futility, but may be legitimately brought to bear in consideration of the third possible ethical justification for refusal, the patient’s best interest. While there has been much debate regarding the use of futility as a justification to refuse, there is relative agreement on the importance of acting in the patient’s best interest. The AAP Committee on Bioethics Guidelines on Forgoing Life-Sustaining Medical Treatment advises a presumption in favor of treatment, and advises that parents should have ‘‘wide discretion’’ in health care decisions. However, even their strong endorsement of parental authority allows for physician judgment of patient’s best interest: ‘‘Medical professionals should seek to override family wishes only when those views clearly conflict with the interests of the child.’’13 Best interests are generally assessed by a comparison of the potential benefits and burdens of a proposed treatment. It may be that those who crafted the above guidelines had in mind a family that wishes to withhold a treatment the physician feels would be beneficial to the patient. In such a setting, the physician is rightly advised to ‘‘seek to override’’ the family’s choice and thus provide the beneficial treatment. The same reasoning, however, should be valid in the case of a family that requests provision of a treatment that the physician feels would clearly be harmful to the child. In both cases the physician should be permitted to ‘‘override’’ their choice, based on an assessment of potential benefits and burdens to the child. The challenge to the physician, then, is to determine when parental requests ‘‘clearly’’ conflict with the child’s interests. Obviously this will call for subjective judgment. There will be times when the parents’ wishes will be, to the physician, clearly consistent with the interests of the child, and there will be no conflict. There may also be times when parents request a treatment for which the burden to the child clearly outweighs the benefits, and it is for such cases that the AAP seems to endorse physician refusal, and most physicians would likely agree. There is a third category, an ‘‘ethical gray zone’’, where the child’s best interests are unclear. Borderline gestational age may be one such example. Is it worth undergoing resuscitation and intensive care for a 25% chance of survival? Or 10%? If the proposed treatment is long and difficult, with a 10% chance of survival, and a 50% chance of significant permanent disability, do the potential benefits to the child outweigh the burdens? Physician refusal outside the gray zone, when the requested therapy is clearly opposed to the child’s best interest, is an appropriate exercise of professional responsibility. However, in the gray zone, when the benefit/burden assessment is unclear, it seems appropriate for the physician to Journal of Perinatology 2005; 25:685–689 Physicians’ Refusal to Resuscitate at Borderline Gestational Age defer to the parents. This would also be consistent with the AAP recommendation. The location of the gray zone, in this case a gestational age range where the benefit/burden determination is unclear, is itself subjective, and as such will vary among physicians. Nevertheless, for most physicians there will be some point beyond which the burdens clearly outweigh benefits, and therefore an appropriate exercise of professional judgment will mean refusal to initiate resuscitation. CONCLUSION Regarding treatment decisions for seriously ill newborns, Norman Fost has observed that the debate is increasingly about infants ‘‘whose prospects are unavoidably ambiguous.’’14 Among our professional obligations in these most difficult cases is the obligation to be truthful about that ambiguity. We must be honest with parents and with ourselves about the limitations of the available information, and the potential for misinterpretation due to uncertainty of gestational age and self-fulfilling prophecy. Physician refusal to attempt resuscitation at some gestational age is reasonable and defensible. However, as Paris has noted, the potential for abuse of this right to refuse requires certain safeguards, including the need that such decisions be based on principle, rather than just medical consensus or prevailing standards.15 In determining where the gestational age threshold should lie, individual physicians and neonatology departments as a group are encouraged to consider the ethical justification for their refusal, with the inherent weaknesses of the data in mind. Acknowledgements The author is grateful to Steven Peterec MD for helpful comments and suggestions. Journal of Perinatology 2005; 25:685–689 Mercurio References 1. Kattwinkel J, editor. Neonatal Resuscitation. Textbook, American Academy of Pediatrics and American Heart Association; 2000: pp. 7–19. 2. MacDonald H, the Committee on Fetus and Newborn. Perinatal care at the threshold of viability. Pediatrics 2002;110:1024–7. 3. Cummings B, McKay K, Hussain N. Neonatologists’ opinions regarding resuscitation of extremely premature infants in Connecticut and Rhode Island. CT Med 2002;66:733–8. 4. Lorenz J. The outcome of extreme prematurity. Sem Perinatol 2001;25: 348–59. 5. Lemons J, Bauer C, Oh W, et al. Very low birth weight outcomes of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network, January 1995 through December 1996. Pediatrics 2001; 107:e1. 6. Wood N, et al. for the EPICure Study Group. Neurologic and developmental disability after extremely preterm birth. New Engl J Med 2000; 343:378–84. 7. Magriples U, Copel J. Obstetric management of the high risk patient. In: Burrow GN, Duffy TP, Copel JA, editors. Medical Complications During Pregnancy. 6th ed. Philadelphia: Elsevier Saunders; 2004: pp. 1–14. 8. Hardwig J. Is There a Duty to Die?. New York: Routledge; 2000: pp. 34–7. 9. Paris J, Reardon F. Physician refusal of requests for futile or ineffective interventions. 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