ORGANISATION DE COOPÉRATION ET DE DEVELOPMENT ÉCONOMIQUES OECD OCDE ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT FOOD AND AGRICULTURE POLICY: A POSITIVE REFORM AGENDA Ken Ash Deputy Director for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries RIETI Policy Symposium Tokyo, 28 July 2004 Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD Work on Food and Agriculture Providing economic and policy information and advice that supports government efforts to improve the domestic and international performance of their policies http://www.oecd.org/agr/ Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 2 OCDE Key Messages • There are more effective and less trade distorting alternatives to many current farm policies. • Priorities for policy reform include: – Reduce border protection (and related price supports and export subsidies); – Adopt more decoupled and targeted measures (including temporary adjustment assistance). • The benefits of reform are substantial, widespread, and within reach. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 3 OCDE OECD Agricultural Policies, 2004 • Overall level of support remains high • Production and trade distorting policy measures are predominant … • ... but some improvements are being made • Large variations in support across countries and commodities Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 4 OCDE OECD Producer Support Estimate US $ 238 bn (2001-03) 80% 60% 40% 20% Support 1986-88 2001-03 0% Variation across commodities Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Most trade distorting support OECD 5 OCDE Japan Producer Support Estimate US $ 44 bn (2001-03) 80% Support 60% 40% 20% 1986-88 2001-03 0% Variation across commodities Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Most trade distorting support OECD 6 OCDE Producer Support Estimate, OECD and Japan (2001-03) 80% Support 60% 40% Japan 20% 0% Variation across commodities Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD Most trade distorting support OECD 7 OCDE Price and Output Measures Dominate OECD Farm Support, 2001-03 100 Other payments Percent of PSE 80 Payments on historical entitlements 60 Area/livestock payments, CCP 40 Output & Input Payments 20 MPS 0 OECD Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries USA EU Japan OECD 8 OCDE Price and output based support is… • Inefficient: only 25% goes to farm household income. • Ineffective: capitalization increases costs and reduces profitability … can harm the environment. • Inequitable: largest (often wealthiest) farms receive most support. • Highly production and trade distorting. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 9 OCDE Share of 25% largest farms in … 100 Percent 80 Gross receipts 60 40 Total Support 20 Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries U S EU Ja pa n C an ad a K or ea Sw itz er la nd 0 OECD 10 OCDE Price support requires border protection….. • Aim is to benefit domestic producers, through higher prices. • Also leads to higher production…. • … and often to export subsidies. • Isolates domestic producers, forces others to adjust, and can restrict development opportunities. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 11 OCDE Composition of Payments in OECD Countries (*) 100% Based on input constraints, income, etc. 80% Based on historical entitlements 60% Based on area/animals 40% Based on input use 20% Based on output 0% 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD * 12 OCDE Composition of Payments in OECD Countries (*) 100% Based on input constraints, income, etc. 80% Based on historical entitlements 60% Based on area/animals 40% Based on input use 20% Based on output 0% 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD * 13 OCDE Reform Progress 1986-88 Share of price + output support in gross farm receipts 80% 1995-97 2001-03 70% JAPAN 60% 50% 40% OECD 30% 20% EU USA 10% % PSE 0% 0% Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries 20% 40% 60% 80% OECD 14 OCDE Alternative policy approaches… • “Decoupled” policies do not require border protection nor export subsidies. • Policies targeted to specific goals and intended beneficiaries can cost less and be more effective. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 15 OCDE Farm Household Income: Which Policies? • avoid broad, output based measures • target severe income risks (commodity markets, income insurance) • target on-farm performance (skills, technology) • target systemic low incomes (social safety nets, adjustment assistance) • diversify income sources (rural development) Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 16 OCDE Rural Communities: Which Policies? • agriculture policy is not rural policy • target root causes of economic disadvantages (local, multi-sectoral initiatives) • target systemic policy bias against rural and remote areas (infrastructure, public services) Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 17 OCDE Environmental Sustainability: Which Policies? • avoid production-linked measures • target source of negative impacts of farm production (“polluter-pays” taxes, regulations) • target provision of environmental benefits (targeted direct payments, market creation) • integrate policy approaches (sector and broader environmental policies) Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 18 OCDE Decoupled and targeted policy design…. • Clear goals and beneficiaries. • Support tailored to the objective, in scope, amount and duration. • Any adjustment assistance to facilitate change – not prevent it. • Any compensatory payments fully and permanently delinked from production, limited duration. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 19 OCDE Introducing more decoupled and targeted policies… • from consumer support to taxpayer financing • from decoupled payments to targeted policies • from permanent support to temporary assistance • protection –> compensation -> adjustment Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 20 OCDE Decoupled and targeted policy effects… • Any payment contingent on being a farmer has some effect. • But there are big differences across policies – the choice of policy instrument is key. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 21 OCDE POLICY EVALUATION MODEL Payments on Historical Entitlements Payments on Area Planted/Animals Output Payments Input Payments Market Price Support 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Trade effect of additional transfer, M PS=1 Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 22 OCDE Benefits of reform…. • Most countries gain – a lot – from unilateral as well as multilateral reform. • Not all countries gain, immediately, nor do all suppliers within countries. • For many developing countries, OECD policy reform is essential – but insufficient. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 23 OCDE The situation in developing countries… • Export subsidies undermine markets. • Market access is a necessary beginning. • Developing country policies may need reform and capacity building may be required. • Adjustment assistance should be considered (e.g. when preferences are lost). • S&DT should be considered. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 24 OCDE Conclusion • Good domestic policy is good trade policy. • Decoupling and targeting are key to – – – – Improve market access, Remove export subsidies, Lower the cost of support, Achieve societal goals. • Significant gains result, but not everyone gains equally, nor immediately. • Adjustment assistance, capacity building and S&DT should not be overlooked. • The case for comprehensive reform is strong. Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries OECD 25 OCDE