9/16/2010 Chapter 4 Time Value of Money y Korth 1 Money Has “Time “Time Value” Value” Money today is preferred to money next month, next year or in 10 years. The further in the future that money is to be received, the less valuable it appears now. Korth 2 Of all of the concepts of finance, none is more important than the time time--value of money (TVM TVM). ). The core to understanding TVM is compounding.. compounding • Even Albert Einstein, the most brilliant and famous scientist of the 20th Century, called it “one of the most important forces in the world.” Korth 3 1 9/16/2010 A Dollar Available Today: Today: Is safer than the same dollar received in the future. Won’t lose value to inflation. Can be spent and enjoyed now. Can be invested to earn income or increase in value, so that more will be available tomorrow. Korth 4 (Or) A Dollar Available Later: Later: Is riskier than the same dollar received now. Will lose value to inflation. Cannot be spent and enjoyed now. Cannot be invested to earn income or increase in value. Korth 5 Interest Rate The inducement to encourage someone to save and invest rather than spend today. today Korth 6 2 9/16/2010 Time Value of Money Future Value & Compounding Present Value & Discounting Korth 7 Future Value (FV) & Compounding Korth 8 Compounding The growth over time of a beginning amount when each period’s increase is added to the base for the next period. period. • Ex: $1000 is invested for 5 years w/ all of the P+I to be left untouched until maturity. Korth 9 3 9/16/2010 If earnings are withdrawn, it is NOT compounding!!! Korth 10 Growth Over Time (1) Inflation averages 2.70% growth per year-year--compounded compounded.. Y Your wages grow by b 6.25%/year6.25%/year 6 25%/ -compounded compounded.. The world population continues to grow by 1.5% annually-annually-compounded.. compounded 11 Growth Over Time (2) Cost of buying a car Cost of buying a house Value of investments for retirement Korth 12 4 9/16/2010 Cash Flows Lump sum: sum: a single cash flow (or series of different cash flows) Annuity: a series of CFs of the Annuity: same size • Ex: A salary of $5000/month • Ex: Monthly car payments of $525 Korth 13 Future Value What is the value in the future of a cash flow today ? How H d do we combine bi multiple lti l cash flows over several periods into a single future value? Korth 14 Future Value The ending value A single lump sum The amount to which a beginning lump sum (or series of cash flows) will be compounded Korth 15 5 9/16/2010 Future Value The higher the compounding rate (i) the greater will be the future value. The higher the number of compounding periods (n) the greater will be the future value. Korth 16 4-17 Time Lines A graph showing all relevant information in a TVM problem Especially helps to visualize time periods Korth 18 6 9/16/2010 Time Line of Cash Flows • Tick marks at end of periods • Time 0 is today; • Time 1 is the end of Period 1 0 1 2 3 CF1 CF2 CF3 r% CF0 Future Value of Two Cash Flows Future Value of Three Cash Flows 7 9/16/2010 FVn= PV * (1 + i)n = P0 (1 + i)n FVn : FV of the principal (i.e., the PV) at the end of n periods PV:: The PV Th original i i l principal i i l (P0) i: The interest rate per period n: number of periods 22 1st period: P + P*i = P(1+i)1 2d period: P(1+i)(1+i) = P(1+i)2 3d period: i d P(1+i)(1+i)(1+i) = P(1 + i)3 nth period: P(1+i)(1+i)(1+i)(1+i).. = P(1 + i)n = FV 23 Compounding More Than Once Per Year Number of periods: n*m Interest rate: i÷m Also: Pmt÷ Pmt÷m Korth 24 8 9/16/2010 n i n*m i÷m PV Pmt FV Pmt Pmt÷ ÷m nc nc Korth 25 Present Value (PV) & Discounting Korth 26 Present Value The beginning value A single lump sum The h amount that h iis to b be compounded to a future value The amount to which a future value is to be discounted discounted.. 27 9 9/16/2010 Present Value What is the value of future cash flows today? How H d do we combine bi multiple lti l future cash flows into a single value today? Korth 28 Present Value The higher the discounting rate (i) the lesser will be the present value. The higher the number of discounting periods (n) the lesser will be the present value. Korth 29 Present Value of Three Cash Flows 10 9/16/2010 4-31 FV vs. PV Alternative choices can be compared on either a PV or a FV basis. • However, all alternatives must be evaluated in the same timeframe— timeframe— either PV or FV. Korth 32 FV vs. PV Compounding is the process of converting PV(s) to a single FV. Discounting is the process of converting FV(s) to a single PV. Korth 33 11 9/16/2010 With compounding, i is called the compound rate. rate. With discounting, di ti i is i called ll d the th discount rate. rate. Korth 34 FVn= PV * (1 + i)n FV = PV * (1 + i)n (1 + i)n (1 + i)n PV = FVn / (1 + i)n Korth 35 Financial Calculator Korth 36 12 9/16/2010 Financial Calculator: TVM n i PV Pmt FV Knowing any 4 of these variables, we can calculate the 5th • Either PV, Pmt or FV is often not given & can be assumed to = 0. Korth 37 Check Your Calculator!!! Always clear the memory before beginning a calculation. 1 payment per period Ordinary annuity (“end (“end”) ”)— —not “beg” (beginning) Korth 38 Watch Your Sign!!! Either PV or FV must be negative. negative. • If you enter a negative value for PV, the FV answer will be positive. positive • If you enter a positive value for PV, the FV answer will be negative. Korth 39 13 9/16/2010 If you make an investment or if the price is given, PV is negative and FV will be positive. positive. If you borrow money, PV is positive and FV will be negative. negative. 40 Korth Financial Calculator: TVM n i PV Pmt FV n: Number of periods (years, quarters, months, etc.) i: Periodic interest rate PV:: LumpPV Lump-sum beginning value Pmt:: Periodic payment (year, month) Pmt FV:: LumpFV Lump-sum ending value Korth 41 “Rule of 72” Korth 42 14 9/16/2010 “Rule of 72” 72” Used to determine the compounding rate (i) or the number of periods (n) that will be necessary y to approximately pp y double a beginning value. value. • If you know n: 72 ÷ n ~ i • If you know i: 72 ÷ i ~ n Korth 43 15