Mario Marcos do Espirito Santo and Arturo Sanchez-Azofeifa CRN2-021, Tropi-Dry: Human and Biophysical Dimensions of Tropical Dry Forests Differential Response of Tropical Dry Forests to Climate Change After Sanchez-Azofeifa et al. Under Review Not for distribution Water in Dry Forests • Climate Change: Drought will contribute to desertification processes and therefore reductions on both minimum ecological discharges and also water available for human consumption. This will be significant in northern Mexico and northeast brazil. • Tourism Development (Mexico and Costa Rica): Environmental conflicts between large tourism developments and local communities are emerging as a results of competing interests. Challenges reaching the constitutional court of Costa Rica of local communities against large hotel chains that increase water consumption are becoming the norm rather than the exception. • Ecology vs. Crop development: As climate change effects and economic development increase, conflicts between biodiversity conservation and crop development are starting to be significant. Social conflicts in the Pacific Coast of Mexico (Jalisco) are starting to be significant. Water Effects: Brazil • The Tropi-Dry study sites in Brazil: semi-arid region vulnerable to desertification; • The Jaíba Project: largest irrigated perimeter in Latin America, with investments of US$ 500 million; • Transposition of the São Francisco river: unknown consequences; Water availability: 2-10 litters per second Hydric deficit: 400 mm per year Water flux: 4.5 litters/sec/km2 Balance use x availability (% of river extension) Warning Critical Very critical Confortable Excelent