Summary for CIFE Seed Proposals for Academic Year 2015-16 Proposal number: 2015-04 Proposal title: Space-Mate: Computational Modeling for Building and Occupant Cooperative Sustainable Performance Principal investigator(s) 1 and department(s): Kincho H. Law Research staff: Renate Fruchter, Vladimir Bazjanac, and Graduate Student: Flavia Grey Total funds requested: $ 65,000 Project URL for continuation proposals http://cife.stanford.edu/SeedProjects2015-16 Project objectives addressed by proposal2 Usable, Buildable, Operable, Sustainable Expected time horizon 2 to 5 years Type of innovation Breakthrough Abstract (up to 150 words) 1 2 Building performance simulation tools model and predict building performance, but their accuracy is compromised by simplified simulated occupancy. Occupant behavior is complex yet energy modeling software represents it as deterministic and unchanging in hour-long periods of time, which leads to discrepancies between model results and measured performance. These discrepancies limit the use of the models both as a predictive tool and real time post occupancy evaluation of the building. We propose to (1) define a computational modeling framework for building and occupant cooperative sustainable performance; (2) collect correlated occupant and building performance data sets in real time (3) develop a computational spatial-temporal-physiological occupant model and a preliminary prototype Space-Mate. Real-time occupant state and building performance data feeds will generate dynamic occupancy information for building energy performance simulation and building space adjustment to respond to the evolving occupant’s energy needs and provide feedback to the occupant for potential sustainable behavior changes. The PI(s) must be academic council member(s) at Stanford. For this and the next points, delete the answers that don’t apply to your proposal. Engineering or Business Problem We are designing with old, limited data! Building performance simulation tools model and predict building energy performance, but their accuracy is compromised by the approximations, assumptions and simplifications made in the model. This is equally true for building performance simulation used to predict performance of the future building and justify decisions considered in its design, as for real-time simulation used to optimize building operation. In both cases, the simulation of internal loads is a critical determinant of the results, and the basis for most of a building’s internal load is simulated occupancy. Several research projects aim to improve the calculation of occupancy for use in building energy performance simulation are already in progress (e.g. Annex 66). Most of these projects are developing occupancy definitions based on statistics of measured and recorded occupant presence in buildings and building spaces that are varied depending on building type and use. Such methodology has a general shortcoming: It does not link the generated statistical information with its cause – the reasons that determined the defined occupancy as such. In other words, such statistics define records of what occupancy took place, with no indication why and of the involved agents of change. Occupant behavior is complex and stochastic yet current energy modeling software represents occupant behavior as discrete, deterministic and unchanging in hour-long periods of time [1]. Such occupancy definitions affect not only building use schedules, but also related variables such as lighting, plug loads, humidity, and airflow, which leads to questionable results and a known gap between these and the building’s actual performance. These discrepancies limit the use of the models both as a predictive tool for building performance during design – directly impacting the sustainability of the project - and as part of post occupancy evaluation of the building in the operating and maintenance phase – limiting the analysis of the usability and operability of the facility, which are three out of the four CIFE RFP goals. When available, the building energy performance simulation help facility managers identify discrepancies between actual energy consumption of the building and ideal levels, and can serve as a basis for decision making regarding the operation of the building’s systems. Yet this information is limited as well, for the output of these models only provides data regarding energy consumption, and the facility manager can become blinded to other important goals for the building and focus solely on reducing energy. However, beyond a building’s energy consumption, a central corporate goal focuses on knowledge work productivity. In order to achieve this goal, it is critical to focus on occupant well-being, which subsumes comfort as a health-related indoor building performance metric in addition to satisfaction, collaboration, productivity and creativity, to name a few. Consequently, energy consumption and occupant comfort and well-being need to be addressed in an integrated approach. The knowledge productivity depends on the human physiological state, the activity or task being performed, the location where the activity takes place, and the technology infrastructure used to perform the activity. These spatial-temporal-physiological occupant characteristics are hard to characterize due to their variable nature- in time windows from second-by-second, minute-by-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and seasonally- and thus do not align with the simplified, deterministic assumptions of simulated occupant models used in energy simulation tools. Law Space-Mate 2 Figure 1. Energy Flow and End Uses in the Jerry Yang and Akiko Yamazaki Environment and Energy (Y2E2) building at Stanford University [2]. Figure 1 is an example that illustrates the importance of plug loads as the end-use of electricity in buildings. Plug loads are largely determined by spatial-temporal-physiological occupant characteristics. Determining these characteristics will help identify strategies for potential reduction in the energy consumption of buildings such as Y2E2, without sacrificing occupant well-being. What if the building space becomes a silent teammate to occupants’ activities as a continuous realtime dialogue between building energy performance and occupant state as they dynamically interact and affect each other through co-simulation? Current building sensor technologies and biometric sensors offer new opportunities to collect data in real time from both the building’s operations as well as the occupant’s physiological state. Using this data, we propose to (1) define a computational modeling framework for building and occupant cooperative sustainable performance; (2) collect correlated occupant and building performance data sets in real time; (3) develop a computational spatial-temporal-physiological occupant model and a preliminary prototype called Space-Mate. Real-time occupant state and building performance data feeds will generate dynamic occupancy information for building energy performance simulation and building space adjustment to respond to the evolving occupant’s energy needs as well as provide feedback to the occupant for potential sustainable behavior changes. Moreover, the generated occupant models will make simulated occupancy in predictive building energy performance simulation significantly more realistic than it is now. Theoretical and Practical Points of Departure This research builds on practical and theoretical points of departure that include: industry state of the art such as the use of building energy performance simulations use -EnergyPlus, Ecotect, eQuest- [3]; the use of building post occupancy evaluations to avoid, diminish and understand the impact of occupant’s behavior [4], and the use of building automation systems [5]. We will leverage the use of sensors and building sensor networks to obtain qualitative and quantitative data, thus linking environmental sensors to physiological and health data. Towards the goal of developing a more accurate occupant model and Space-Mate prototype we will explore and expand a number of agent software models such as the open source ADAPT software (Agent Development and Prototyping Testbed) [6] or the SAFEgrees (Social Agents for Egress) [7], and 3D ICC’s Immersive Terf™ platform. Although a variety of building energy and performance models exist in the literature, three general types of modeling methods are widely used: physical models consisting of partial differential equations of physical laws that govern energy flows in buildings, statistical models based on experimental data, and the combination of both physical and statistical. Currently, the most dominant method for modeling energy performance is the use of building energy performance simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, Ecotect, and eQuest, which are physically-based. Law Space-Mate 3 Nevertheless, due to many assumptions and simplifications that are typically made during the modeling process, predictions obtained from these simulation tools deviate from the actual measurements, both in terms of energy consumption and indoor environment. These differences have been attributed to three main causes: faults in the building envelope and systems, the influence of occupants and weather changes. In particular, the accurate representation of population heterogeneity presents a long-standing gap in energy and building modeling [8]. Post-occupancy evaluations (POE) have gained more importance in the last years, as an attempt to better understand the role of occupant behavior and its impact on energy and building performance. The have been defined as a “diagnostic tool and system which allows facility managers to identify and evaluate critical aspects of building performance systematically”, and are separated into three categories: indicative, investigative and diagnostic. Indicative POEs are based on quick walkthroughs, structured interviews and inspections. Investigative POEs utilize interviews and survey questionnaires, photographic/video recordings and physical measurements. Diagnostic POEs require sophisticated data gathering and analysis techniques and traditionally take months or years. None of these POE types include real-time data analysis and feedback, since they are set up not as a continuous monitoring system but as one-off systems. For this reason,“interactive adaptation” was introduced where an improved feedback loop with user information is established for continuous information collection. [9] Building automation systems have been established as part of the “smart buildings” trend with the purpose of overcoming facility management challenges and realize the potential of improved operational and energy efficiencies by optimization or automation of facility management work processes and providing a wealth of data for analysis. Yet, despite advances in the building automation industry, building management improvements have not kept pace. Some common reasons for this, including a lack of understanding of facility design intent and inadequate training have been listed in the literature [5] resulting in a struggle to operate the building as designed, limited performance measurement and controls and a lack of standardization. Research Methods and Work Plan In the proposed framework we envision three layers with the respective units of analysis (Figure 2): - The physical world represented by the building and the occupants - The simulation world represented by building performance simulation software and agent software - The 3D immersive virtual world represented by the virtual building model and the avatar agent model We propose to launch the Space-Mate research effort. The CIFE seed project will serve as the Stage one feasibility study. We will start with interviews and/or surveys to determine the current state of practice and an extensive literature review to develop a holistic integrated perspective, and a graphic summary to represent considered criteria and results to date. We plan to use big data, data analytics and visualization techniques to cluster the criteria and develop a mechanism for determining feature sets to be included in the Space-Mate model. In Stage 1 of the project, a central objective will be to develop a protocol for concurrent building spaces and occupant data collection. These two data sets will yield a longitudinal correlated space and occupant database. Using this database, we will develop the spatial-temporal-physiological occupant response probability distributions. We will use this dynamic occupant model to develop a preliminary Space-Mate framework (Figure 2). Our target will be to identify two different types spaces in the Jerry Yang and Akiko Yamazaki Environment and Energy (Y2E2) building at Stanford University to be instrumented for data collection purposes; e.g. a room facing south façade with continuously changing solar heat loads and occupancy variability, and an interior Law Space-Mate 4 space with no windows (e.g. CIFE or PBL lab). We will process the IRB protocol for Human Subject Research in order to instrument the occupants of those spaces and collect physiological data. Stage 2 will take the dynamic occupancy information generated during Stage 1, i.e. the correlated building and spatial-temporal-physiological occupant data sets, for a preliminary building energy performance simulation that is based on occupant response to the environment: occupancy definitions resulting from occupants’ response to simulated change in environmental conditions affecting individual occupants in the simulation (such as space temperature, exposure to solar radiation, glare, comfort, air flow, etc.). The continuous recalculation of occupancy will require cosimulation. Environmental conditions will be calculated by the "new generation" version of the EnergyPlus simulation engine. The "new generation" energy simulation engine will feed the "current" environmental conditions data to another simulation tool: the agent software that will calculate individual occupant response to those conditions (Figure 2). Stage 3 will propose a new computational spatial-temporal-physiological building and occupant performance prototype in a 3D immersive virtual world platform, with real-time input of environmental and occupant data, which will provide feedback to the occupants about their state as well as to the facility manager about the performance of the building in terms of well-being, environmental impact and lifecycle cost (Figure 2). The preliminary results will be documented, reported and disseminated and serve as preliminary evidence to write a larger proposal for the continuation of the project and seek the support from corporate and funding agencies. Fig. 2 Space-Mate’s project stages Expected Results: Findings, Contributions, and Impact on Practice The expected findings and contributions of this research project focus on increasing the usability, operability, and sustainability of building performance and occupant well-being. Usable - Correlated occupant and building performance data sets will allow for data analytics and visualization studies to better understand occupant’s physiological state, how occupants use and interact with and within the space. - The occupant model developed throughout this project can be used to calibrate CIFE’s Activity-Space-Performance (ASP) model [10]. Operable - A computational spatial-temporal-physiological occupant model will expand current occupant models that focus only on comfort metrics with spatial-temporal-physiological occupant characteristics, which will provide new baseline targets for facility managers. - Definition of appropriate time unit for real-time co-simulation of agent response to environmental conditions, balancing micro and macro variations of occupant conditions and heterogeneity of individuals. Law Space-Mate 5 - Space-Mate will provide a framework for taking the facility manager’s role from simply focusing on the building’s energy consumption and its related lifecycle costs, to a well-being management position where the metric of building performance will be occupant well-being. Sustainable - Scalable database architecture/framework for a correlated building-occupant data sets - For the Operation & Maintenance phase of the building life cycle: Real time dynamic modeling and simulation environment to improve building sustainable energy performance and well-being of occupants. The sending of continuously recalculated agent response to environmental conditions back to the "new generation" energy simulation will update occupancy in buildings and individual building spaces at the end of each time unit in the simulation. This will make the simulated occupancy in predictive building energy performance simulation significantly more realistic than it is now. - For the Design phase of the building life cycle: This will provide more accurate occupant models, building performance simulation engine, and correlated building-occupant dataset framework. Industry Involvement We will interact directly with CIFE members by extending an invitation to participate in the SpaceMate project. Their participation will allow us to collect state-of-practice data and provide industry specific input regarding needs and conditions of facility managers through interviews and surveys. We invite industry to engage by providing data, new sensor technologies, and analytic tools. Research Milestones and Risks Fall 2015 Activity Winter 2016 Spring 2016 Summer 2016 Literature Review Interview/survey FMs Develop data collection protocol Process IRB for Human Subjects Research Identify and instrument two spaces in Y2E2 Collect occupant data Collect building data Develop Space-Mate framework Preliminary occupant statistics model for agent Rapid prototyping of simulation and agent occupant information flow Write larger proposal and seek funding Document, report, disseminate preliminary results To collect statistically relevant data may require a longer time frame than the first year of this seed project. To mitigate this risk we plan to continue the data collection effort over multiple years. Law Space-Mate 6 Balancing complexity and usability will be a research challenge. We plan to address this by rapid prototyping and engaging industry partners and building occupants to provide input and feedback. Next Steps The proposed occupant and building performance data sets can serve as points of departure to build further more accurate occupant agent software models and building performance simulation software tools. This feasibility study will serve as a key point of departure to write an extensive proposal and seek further funding. Law Space-Mate 7 References [1] D’Oca, S., and Hong, T. (2015). Occupancy schedules learning process through a data mining framework. Energy and Buildings. Pages 395-408. [2] Graffy, K., Lidstone, J., Roberts, C., Sprague, B. G., Wayne, J., & Wolsk, A. (2008, March). Y2E2: The Jerry Yang and Akiko Yamazaki Environment and Energy Building, Stanford University, California. The Arup Journal, 44-55. http://www.arup.com/_assets/_download/DB23BA55-19BB316E-40F2B300E8544F3C.pdf [3] Ham, Y., Golparvar-Fard, M. (2013, August). 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