Wisconsin’s Machinery & Equipment Tax Exemptions: A Framework for Analysis Prepared for the Wisconsin Department of Revenue Agenda M&E Exemptions Project Components New Estimates Framework Recommendations Background: M&E Exemptions Policies – Property tax exemption – Sales tax exemption Goals – Interstate competitiveness – Incentive for manufacturing growth & retention Project Components Derive Value of M&E Exemptions – Statutorily required – 10% imputation Conduct Policy and Practice Review – Literature – Survey of state practices Develop Framework for Analysis – Apply to M&E exemptions Deriving New Estimates Method – Stratified random sampling 475 manufacturing firms (4.5%) Weighted by total personal property value (46.2%) 5 geographic regions, broad range of industries Results – Composition of M&E in Wisconsin 93% exempt 7% taxable M&E Estimates: Comparison Property Tax and Sales Tax Revenue Impact ($ millions) Estimates Property Tax: Tax Shift Sales Tax: Forgone Revenue La Follette Project $332 $155 Summary of Tax Exemptions $239 $159 $92 (39%) $4 (-3%) Difference Framework for Analysis Economic Development – Job creation, firm attraction, retention & reinvestment Model impact: output, employment, value-added IMPLAN, elasticity, multipliers Equity – Ability to pay (tax incidence) – Public services received Efficiency – Impact on purchasing and location decisions Administrative Costs Economic Development: Impact Impact of a Simulated $50 Million Tax Decrease to Manufacturers on Wisconsin’s Economic Activity ($ millions) Employment Wisconsin Employment ValueAdded ValueAdded Wisconsin Elasticity Output Wisconsin Output (-0.2) $461.1 0.25% 4,181 0.12% $225.3 0.19% (-0.3) $725.0 0.40% 6,554 0.19% $350.9 0.30% Economic Development: Jobs *Based on a Simulated $50 Million Exemption IMPLAN estimates – Minimum annual cost per job: $6,200 to $10,600 – Net present value: $55,700 to $95,200 – Best-case scenario Model assumptions – Omits indirect effects – One year impact only – Excludes other firm decision-making factors (e.g. public services) Recommendations Set clear goals and metrics when enacting tax incentive policies. Consider short and long-term evaluations from the beginning. Target tax exemptions/incentives carefully to achieve the highest return. Evaluate policies holistically using all four framework categories. If tradeoffs are made, take care to justify them. Consider the unique economic features of Wisconsin in order to get the highest return. Do not create policies solely on the basis of other states’ actions. Questions?