Prepared by: Ian Moore and Julia Belmonte APPENDIX 9

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APPENDIX 9
Prepared by: Ian Moore and Julia Belmonte
APPENDIX 9
Our view of the Current State
— Catholic population in East Credit is declining, due to
population change and increases in property values,
fewer families with younger children are moving in.
— Areas with more affordable homes like Brampton and
Milton are experiencing growth.
— To ensure the long-term sustainability of Catholic
education in East Credit, in addition to reducing
empty seats we need to add programs that will attract:
Catholic families with young children to the area and
Catholic students currently enrolled in public or
private school programs.
APPENDIX 9
Our View of Staff Options
— In coming up with their proposals board staff sought to:
— Eliminate ~1400 student spaces
— Retain central schools in the middle of the boundary area– this
increases the walkable area of the remaining open schools and means
less bussing and lower transport costs
— Retain newer schools – these schools would have lower maintenance
costs over the near term
— Have the major East/West roads as boundary lines and distribute
remaining open schools evenly north to south between: Hwy. 403,
Eglington, Bristol and Britannia
— Increase utilization by >20% at any receiving schools
— Each of the staff options involves splitting school populations as part of
relocation
— Decisions based solely on geography are not aligned with the Ontario
Ministry of Education PAR guidelines and are not representative of a
sound evidence-based decision making process
APPENDIX 9
What We Didn’t Hear from Staff About Options
“Ministry of Education’s vision (for Pupil Accommodation Review)…, focuses
on student well-being; academic achievement; and school board
financial viability/sustainability. All school board pupil accommodation
review policies should be designed to align with these guiding principles.”
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION PUPIL ACCOMMODATION REVIEW GUIDELINE
March 2015
Student Well Being
1.
—
Not served by splitting school populations
Academic Achievement
2.
—
—
—
High achieving schools attract families to our area
The formula for a great school is more than the sum of its parts. The
students, parents, teachers and administrators come together to create
something unique that can’t be divided and transferred
The Board view is that student performance is transferable
School Board Financial Viability
3.
—
Eliminating empty spaces achieves short-term goal of closing budget gap
but is not long-term sustainable without adding programs that will attract
families
APPENDIX 9
Our Proposal – Option 4
— Does not split schools population when relocating
—
—
—
—
students
Keeps schools with high and growing utilization open
Achieves a reduction of 1369 students spaces
Has ideas/provisions for adding new single stream and
dual stream programs to schools that will attract new
students
Adheres to the principles set out by the Ontario Ministry
of Education PAR guidelines
1.
2.
3.
Student well-being
Academic achievement
Financial Viability
APPENDIX 9
Our Methodology – Option 4
— Considered all possible closure combinations that keep 5 schools open.
There were 56 possible combinations which resulted in a reduction of
pupil places of between 1251 and 2054 pupil places with a resulting 2017
utilization rate ranging from 84% to 133%
— Not all of these combinations would make geographic sense i.e. some
involve keeping open only schools in one corner of the study area
— Priority 1 - Student Well-Being
— We looked at each possible outcome for a solution that had
geographic distribution in the catchment area and most
importantly, where the students of closed schools could be
accommodated entirely within the empty spaces available in
an adjacent school.
— Impact on student well-being is minimized when moving to a new
school building when their peer support network is with them
APPENDIX 9
Our Methodology – Option 4 (Continued)
— Academic Achievement
— Where possible, attempted to maintain top performing
schools and/or transition students to a similar or
higher performing school
— School Board Financial Viability and Long-Term
Sustainability
— Where possible, maintained schools that have current
high utilization, high growth rates and high academic
achievement
— Proposed new programs to attract new students
APPENDIX 9
List of Possible Combinations (1-25)
Overall Utilization
Open
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gregory St Herbert St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Herbert St Raymond St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Herbert St Valentine St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gregory St Raymond St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gregory St Valentine St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gregory St Herbert St Raymond St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gregory St Herbert St Valentine St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gregory St Herbert St Raymond St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gregory St Herbert St Valentine St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gertrude St Herbert St Gregory
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Raymond St Valentine St Gertrude
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gertrude St Gregory St Herbert
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Herbert St Raymond St Valentine St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Herbert St Raymond St Valentine St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gertrude St Gregory St Herbert St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gertrude St Gregory St Herbert St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gregory St Raymond St Valentine St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gregory St Raymond St Valentine St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gertrude St Raymond St Gregory
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Dunstan St Gertrude St Valentine St Gregory
O.L. Good Voyage St Gregory
St Herbert St Raymond St Valentine St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gertrude St Herbert St Raymond St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Dunstan St Gertrude St Herbert St Valentine St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gertrude St Herbert St Raymond St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage St Bernadette St Gertrude St Herbert St Valentine St Dunstan
Close
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
Spaces
Removed
2054
1959
1959
1936
1936
1890
1890
1887
1887
1858
1841
1835
1795
1792
1789
1786
1772
1769
1740
1740
1723
1694
1694
1691
1691
2017
113%
109%
109%
108%
108%
106%
106%
106%
106%
104%
104%
103%
102%
102%
102%
101%
101%
101%
100%
100%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
2018
112%
108%
108%
107%
107%
105%
105%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
101%
101%
101%
101%
100%
100%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
97%
2019
111%
107%
107%
106%
106%
104%
104%
103%
103%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
100%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
2020
110%
106%
106%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
103%
101%
101%
101%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
97%
97%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
2021
109%
105%
105%
104%
104%
102%
102%
102%
102%
100%
100%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
97%
97%
96%
96%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
2022
109%
105%
105%
104%
104%
102%
102%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
98%
98%
98%
98%
97%
97%
96%
96%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
2023
109%
105%
105%
104%
104%
102%
102%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
2024
110%
106%
106%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
103%
102%
101%
101%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
2025
110%
106%
106%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
103%
102%
101%
101%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
APPENDIX 9
List of Possible Combinations (26-56)
Overall Utilization
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
Open
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert St Raymond
St Herbert St Valentine
St Gregory St Raymond
St Gregory St Valentine
St Gregory St Raymond
St Gregory St Valentine
St Herbert St Raymond
St Herbert St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Gregory St Herbert
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Herbert St Raymond
St Herbert St Valentine
St Gregory St Raymond
St Gregory St Valentine
St Herbert St Raymond
St Herbert St Valentine
St Herbert St Raymond
St Herbert St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
St Raymond St Valentine
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3
Option 4
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
Close
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
Spaces
Removed
1683
1683
1671
1671
1668
1668
1622
1622
1588
1582
1576
1573
1565
1527
1519
1516
1504
1487
1487
1464
1464
1418
1418
1415
1415
1369
1323
1320
1300
1297
1251
2017
98%
98%
97%
97%
97%
97%
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
91%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
89%
87%
86%
86%
86%
85%
84%
2018
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
94%
93%
93%
93%
93%
92%
91%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
90%
88%
88%
88%
88%
87%
85%
85%
85%
85%
83%
2019
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
94%
94%
92%
92%
92%
92%
92%
90%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
89%
87%
87%
87%
87%
86%
84%
84%
84%
84%
83%
2020
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
93%
93%
92%
92%
91%
91%
91%
90%
89%
89%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
86%
86%
86%
86%
85%
84%
84%
83%
83%
82%
2021
94%
94%
93%
93%
93%
93%
92%
92%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
88%
88%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
85%
85%
84%
83%
83%
82%
82%
81%
2022
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
86%
86%
84%
83%
83%
82%
82%
81%
2023
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%
91%
89%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
86%
86%
85%
83%
83%
83%
83%
81%
2024
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
93%
93%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
87%
87%
85%
84%
84%
83%
83%
82%
2025
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
93%
93%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
87%
87%
85%
84%
84%
84%
83%
82%
APPENDIX 9
Option 4 - Details
— Open: St Bernadette, St Dunstan, St Gertrude, St Raymond, St
—
—
—
—
—
Valentine
Closed: O.L. Good Voyage, St Herbert, St Gregory,
Student Relocation:
— All O.L. Good Voyage students moved, to St. Dunstan
— All St Herbert students moved to St. Bernadette
— All St Gregory students moved to St. Raymond
St. Gertrude remains untouched, it has high overall utilization as is and
French Immersion program does not move, you keep the experience,
expertise and children together
Leaves St Valentine with 270 empty spaces
— We propose a dual stream program such as: extended French,
International Business and Technology or Scitech
Empty schools would be O.L. Good Voyage, St Herbert and St Gregory
— For one of these empty buildings we propose adding a second
Catholic Global Learning Centre, like the one recently opened at St.
James. The program is over subscribed and one is needed in central
Mississauga
APPENDIX 9
Option 4 - Boundary Map
Open Schools:
1. St Bernadette
2. St Dunstan
3. St Gertrude
4. St Raymond
5. St Valentine
Distributed: North, South, East and
West.
APPENDIX 9
Option 4 - Cost Details
— Calculated average school age, FCI, 5-year renewal
costs and utility costs for each of 4 options
Average Build Year
Average FCI
Total 5-yr Renewal
Costs
Total Utilities Salt and
Snow
Option 1
1999
10.2%
$ 2,925,796.00
$ 467,730.06
Option 2
1998
11.0%
$ 3,528,642.00
$ 446,805.76
Option 3
1996
19.5%
$ 2,615,460.42
$ 418,723.12
Option 4
1998
12.4%
$ 2,606,847.00
$ 410,109.70
T-2nd
3rd (only 0.5%
above board
average)
2nd
1st
Option 4
St. Dunstan average age calculated as average between original build date (1993) and 12 room addition
(2000)
APPENDIX 9
Advantages of Keeping St. Dunstan – Option 4
— Walking distance to St. Joseph’s Church
— YMCA with infant room
— Strong parent council, participation and fundraising
— On a main road with high visibility with good drop-
off car flow and no traffic jams
— No other schools nearby to increase traffic congestion
when adding students
APPENDIX 9
Option 4 - Enrollment Numbers
Name
St. Herbert
St. Bernadette
St Bernadette
Available
Spaces
487
487
OLGV
St Dunstan
St Dunstan *
484
484
St. Getrude
FI
St Gertrude
752
St Gregory
St Raymond
St Raymond
651
651
St Valentine
St Valentine
651
651
2017
237
201
438
90%
174
331
505
104%
2018
230
196
426
87%
175
350
525
108%
2019
227
198
425
87%
171
346
517
107%
2020
230
200
430
88%
170
358
528
109%
2021
232
201
433
89%
165
365
530
110%
2022
237
203
440
90%
165
373
538
111%
2023
239
206
445
91%
170
370
540
112%
2024
239
215
454
93%
167
373
540
112%
2025
242
217
459
94%
171
369
540
112%
656
87%
285
368
653
100%
639
85%
283
348
631
97%
638
85%
277
321
598
92%
629
84%
270
297
567
87%
613
82%
266
275
541
83%
616
82%
271
252
523
80%
617
82%
275
241
516
79%
624
83%
280
231
511
78%
624
83%
280
232
512
79%
394
394
61%
403
403
62%
416
416
64%
419
419
64%
429
429
66%
432
432
66%
443
443
68%
454
454
70%
449
449
69%
*Starting in 2017 no new out of boundary registration for St Dunstan
APPENDIX 9
Option 4 Strengths
— Strengths
— Adheres to the principles set out by the Ontario Ministry of
Education PAR guidelines
— Student Well-being:
—
No splitting schools
— Academic Achievement:
— Highest performing school remains open
— 2/3 closing schools merging with similar or higher performing
schools
— School Board Financial Viability
— Still closes 3 schools eliminates 1369 spaces, overall projected
utilization >85%
— Adds needed specialization programs to attract Catholic students
from other schools (private and public)
— Distributed N,S,E,W
APPENDIX 9
Possible Extra Programs to Add to Attract New
Students to East Credit (Some in Public Schools)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
International Baccalaureate, a second Catholic Global Learning Centre, like the
one recently opened at St. James.
Extended French, none in East Credit, kids are going to Rose of Lima (West
Credit). Gr 5,6,7,8
Actively in Motion (Athletics and Fitness),
http://www.peelschools.org/parents/programs/regional/AIM/Pages/default.asp
x
Arts,
http://www.peelschools.org/parents/programs/regional/arts/Pages/default.asp
x
Arts and Technology,
http://www.peelschools.org/parents/programs/regional/arts_tech/Pages/defau
lt.aspx
International Business and Technology,
http://www.peelschools.org/parents/programs/regional/IBT/Pages/default.asp
x
Scitech,
http://www.peelschools.org/parents/programs/regional/SciTech/Pages/default.
aspx
Specialized program for leading into St. Joe’s AP classes. No template program
now, but can be created to better prepare kids for AP high school classes
APPENDIX 9
Thank you for your consideration
Julia Belmonte
Ian Moore
APPENDIX 9
Closure Permutations for East Credit that Result in >80% Utilization
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Option 3
38
39
40
Option 1
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
Option 2
50
Option 4
52
53
54
55
56
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Gertrude
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Gregory
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
Open
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Herbert
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Herbert
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
Close
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
O.L. Good Voyage
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Dunstan
St Gregory
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
O.L. Good Voyage
St Dunstan
St Bernadette
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Gertrude
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Gregory
St Valentine
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gertrude
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Valentine
St Raymond
St Herbert
St Gregory
St Gregory
St Herbert
St Herbert
St Dunstan
Spaces Removed
2054
1959
1959
1936
1936
1890
1890
1887
1887
1858
1841
1835
1795
1792
1789
1786
1772
1769
1740
1740
1723
1694
1694
1691
1691
1683
1683
1671
1671
1668
1668
1622
1622
1588
1582
1576
1573
1565
1527
1519
1516
1504
1487
1487
1464
1464
1418
1418
1415
1415
1369
1323
1320
1300
1297
1251
2015
119%
114%
114%
113%
113%
111%
111%
111%
111%
109%
109%
108%
107%
107%
107%
106%
106%
106%
105%
105%
104%
103%
103%
103%
103%
102%
102%
102%
102%
102%
102%
100%
100%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
97%
97%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
93%
93%
93%
93%
92%
90%
90%
90%
90%
88%
2016
115%
111%
111%
110%
110%
108%
108%
108%
108%
107%
106%
106%
104%
104%
104%
104%
103%
103%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
94%
94%
94%
93%
93%
93%
92%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
2017
113%
109%
109%
108%
108%
106%
106%
106%
106%
104%
104%
103%
102%
102%
102%
101%
101%
101%
100%
100%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
97%
97%
97%
97%
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
91%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
89%
87%
86%
86%
86%
85%
84%
2018
112%
108%
108%
107%
107%
105%
105%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
101%
101%
101%
101%
100%
100%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
94%
93%
93%
93%
93%
92%
91%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
90%
88%
88%
88%
88%
87%
85%
85%
85%
85%
83%
Overall Utilization
2019
2020
2021
111%
110%
109%
107%
106%
105%
107%
106%
105%
106%
105%
104%
106%
105%
104%
104%
103%
102%
104%
103%
102%
103%
103%
102%
103%
103%
102%
102%
101%
100%
102%
101%
100%
101%
101%
99%
100%
99%
98%
100%
99%
98%
100%
99%
98%
99%
99%
98%
99%
98%
97%
99%
98%
97%
98%
97%
96%
98%
97%
96%
97%
96%
95%
96%
95%
94%
96%
95%
94%
96%
95%
94%
96%
95%
94%
96%
95%
94%
96%
95%
94%
95%
94%
93%
95%
94%
93%
95%
94%
93%
95%
94%
93%
94%
93%
92%
94%
93%
92%
92%
92%
91%
92%
92%
91%
92%
91%
90%
92%
91%
90%
92%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
90%
89%
89%
90%
89%
88%
90%
89%
88%
89%
89%
88%
89%
89%
88%
89%
88%
87%
89%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
87%
86%
86%
87%
86%
85%
87%
86%
85%
86%
85%
84%
84%
84%
83%
84%
84%
83%
84%
83%
82%
84%
83%
82%
83%
82%
81%
2022
109%
105%
105%
104%
104%
102%
102%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
98%
98%
98%
98%
97%
97%
96%
96%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
86%
86%
84%
83%
83%
82%
82%
81%
2023
109%
105%
105%
104%
104%
102%
102%
102%
102%
101%
100%
100%
99%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
92%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%
91%
89%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
86%
86%
86%
86%
85%
83%
83%
83%
83%
81%
2024
110%
106%
106%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
103%
102%
101%
101%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
93%
93%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
87%
87%
85%
84%
84%
83%
83%
82%
2025
110%
106%
106%
105%
105%
103%
103%
103%
103%
102%
101%
101%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
93%
93%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
88%
88%
87%
87%
87%
87%
85%
84%
84%
84%
83%
82%
APPENDIX 9
Prepared by: Julia Belmonte and Ian Moore
APPENDIX 9
WHAT WE HEARD FROM BUDGET
 $4.5M shortfall for the entire Board
 $1.5M in cut-back savings solely coming from the East
Credit PAR Review
 This accounts for 33% of the budget cutbacks coming
from an 8 school catchment area out of a total of 148
schools in the board
 There have been no offers/proposals for empty
buildings once schools are closed
 ln the next 4 years, the Board is looking at an
additional 4 other areas flagged as “significantly
under capacity”.
APPENDIX 9
CURRENT STATUS QUO
 St. Dunstan and St. Valentine only 2 schools in East
Credit showing projected increase
 Significant projected drop in St. Raymond
 4 out of 8 schools under 50% utilization in
projections: St. Herbert, St. Bernadette, St. Raymond
and St. Gregory
 St. Dunstan increases to 76% utilization
 St. Valentine increases to 69% utilization
 St. Gertrude remains stable at 83%
APPENDIX 9
CURRENT STATUS QUO
East Credit Utilization
100%
90%
80%
70%
Utilization
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Year
O.L. Good Voyage
St Bernadette
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Herbert
St Raymond
St Valentine
EAST CREDIT
St Gregory
2024
2025
APPENDIX 9
OPTION 5 - RATIONALE
 Keep 3 of the 8 schools with increased/stable capacity





open
Merge schools showing declining numbers and those less
than 50% utilization to increase utilization in
neighbouring schools
Catholic presence in ALL of East Credit from west to east
and north to south
Focus on keeping children together as a unit moving to a
neighbouring school
Reduce impact for school communities closing only 2 of 8
schools rather than 3 schools
Complies with ALL PAR GUIDELINES set by the Ministry
APPENDIX 9
OPTION 5 - DETAILS




Close OLGV and move children as a unit to St. Raymond
Close St. Herbert and move children as a unit to St. Bernadette
Add French Extended to St. Dunstan
St. Dunstan has classroom space available to accommodate
Gr.5 through 8 needed for the program
 OLGV, St. Raymond, St. Herbert and St. Bernadette combined
have 1951 pupil spaces. In 2017 the combined projected
number of students between these 4 schools is 980 (50.2%).
 By combining these 4 schools into 2 schools reduces available
spaces to 1138 and brings the average utilization between these
4 schools to 86%
 St. Herbert building available for International Baccalaureate
program as in Option 4
APPENDIX 9
Option 5 - Map
Open Schools:
1. St Bernadette
2. St Dunstan
3. St Gertrude
4. St Raymond
5. St Valentine
6. St. Gregory
Distributed: North to South and East to
West.
APPENDIX 9
OPTION 5 - DETAILS
Name
St. Herbert
St. Bernadette
St Bernadette
Utilization
OLGV
St Raymond
St Raymond
Utilization
St Dunstan
St Dunstan Extended French
St Dunstan
Utilization
St Gertrude
Utilization
St Gregory
Utilization
St Valentine
Utilization
EAST CREDIT
Available
Spaces
487
487
651
651
484
484
752
556
651
3581
2017
237
201
438
90%
174
368
542
83%
331
50
381
79%
656
87%
285
51%
394
61%
2018
230
196
426
87%
175
348
523
80%
350
60
410
85%
639
85%
283
51%
403
62%
2019
227
198
425
87%
171
321
492
76%
346
72
418
86%
638
85%
277
50%
416
64%
2020
230
200
430
88%
170
297
467
72%
358
86
444
92%
629
84%
270
49%
419
64%
2021
232
201
433
89%
165
275
440
68%
365
100
465
96%
613
82%
266
48%
429
66%
2022
237
203
440
90%
165
252
417
64%
373
100
473
98%
616
82%
271
49%
432
66%
2023
239
206
445
91%
170
241
411
63%
370
100
470
97%
617
82%
275
49%
443
68%
2024
239
215
454
93%
167
231
398
61%
373
100
473
98%
624
83%
280
50%
454
70%
2025
242
217
459
94%
171
232
403
62%
369
100
469
97%
624
83%
280
50%
449
69%
2696
75%
2684
75%
2666
74%
2659
74%
2646
74%
2649
74%
2661
74%
2683
75%
2684
75%
APPENDIX 9
Option 5 Utilization
East Credit Utilization - Option 5
100%
90%
80%
70%
Utilization
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year
St Bernadette
St Raymond
St Dunstan
St Gertrude
St Gregory
St Valentine
EAST CREDIT
APPENDIX 9
WHAT THIS OPTION OFFERS
 More than half of empty spaces are filled
 Closing 2 schools not 3 gives room to grow if enrollment
projections increase
 No added costs of $1.5M to add additional Kindergarten




classrooms in Options 1, 2 and 3 to schools with low utilization
Keeps all children together in any transition
Reduces transportation costs from Board’s “preferred” option
Allows French Extended wait list to be reduced, attract
families back into the Catholic school system and feeder
school for French close by
Catholic presence in ALL of East Credit West of Creditview,
East of Mavis, North of Britannia, South of Eglington and
between.
APPENDIX 9
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
 We would also recommend a reconsideration review
in 7 years for East Credit to re-assess if projected
numbers are not met in coming years.
 This proposal leaves room for any new review to
accommodate a possible growth in the East Credit
APPENDIX 9
February 2016
APPENDIX 9
Agenda
 Introduction
 Problem Statement
 Guiding Principles
 Evaluation Methodology
 Criteria Development
 Results
 Recommendations
APPENDIX 9
Introduction
 Recognize the PAR process
 Need to reduce excess capacity in East Credit Review
Area
 Closure is not just an option but a reality
 Evaluation of Options need to be clear, transparent
and repeatable and in alignment with PARG Guiding
 Not everybody will like the final recommendation but
intent is to find the most preferred
APPENDIX 9
Problem Statement
 What is the Problem?
 Review of school closures include:
“a school or group of schools to facilitate the
development of viable solutions for pupil
accommodation that support the guiding
principles”.
APPENDIX 9
Guiding Principles
 Pupil Accommodation Review Guidelines (March
2015)
“framework of minimum standards for school boards to
undertake pupil accommodation reviews to determine the
future of a school or group of schools”
 Any PAR shall be aligned with Guiding Principles:
 Focus on student well being
 Academic Achievement; and
 School board financial viability/sustainability
APPENDIX 9
Evaluation Methodology
 “Triple-bottom line”
 Repeatable and can be applied objectively with any
other options that have or may be presented
 Typical criteria:
 Environmental
 Socio-economical
 Financial
 Incorporate Guiding Principle criteria
APPENDIX 9
Evaluation Methodology (cont.)
 Criteria represents Impact from Options presented
 “High” – represents a high impact and high degree of
concern => Least Preferred
 “Moderate” – represents a moderate impact or some
concerns but not significant => Indifferent or Neutral
 “Low” – represents a low impact or minor or no negative
issues => Most Preferred
APPENDIX 9
Environmental Criteria
 Impacts to the environment
APPENDIX 9
Socio-Economical Criteria
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Number of students displaced
Potential for maintaining or increasing student grade
School Utilization
Over-capacity
Crossing of major intersections / streets
Minimizing separation of students from same school
Maintaining Catholic Elementary school presence in
key districts
APPENDIX 9
Financial
 Savings from deferred major maintenance over next 5
year
 Operating/Maintenance Costs – Electricity and Gas
Commodity Pricing
 Additional costs for portables
 Costs to French Immersion parents
APPENDIX 9
Evaluation Matrix
CRITERIA
OPTION 1
OPTION 2
OPTION 3
OPTION 4
OPTION 5
OPTION 6
OPTION 7
OPTION 8
OPTION 9
CLOSE OLGV,
ST. DUNSTAN,
ST. GERTRUDE
CLOSE OLGV,
ST. DUNSTAN,
ST. VALENTINE
CLOSE ST.
DUNSTAN, ST.
HERBERT, ST.
GREGORY
CLOSE OLGV,
ST. HERBERT
CLOSE OLGV,
ST. HERBERT,
ST. VALENTINE
CLOSE OLGV, ST.
BERNADETTE, ST.
VALENTINE
CLOSE OLGV, ST.
DUNSTAN, ST.
VALENTINE
CLOSE OLGV, ST.
HERBERT, ST.
GREGORY
CLOSE OLGV
AND ST.
HERBERT
87%
87%
85%
Environmental
Air Quality
Social 1
No. of Students Displaced
Social 2
Potential for Academic
Achievement (Frazer)
Social 2
Potential for Academic
Achievement (EQAO)
Social 3
School Utilization
Social 4
Over capacity (Safety
issue)
Social 5
Increased Road Crossings
(Safety issue)
Social 6
Separation of students
from the same school
Social 7
Maintain distributed
Catholic presence in area
Financial 1
Savings in school 5-Y
Financial 2
O&M – Electricity and Gas
Consumption (Energy
Intensity)
Financial 3
Additional costs for
portables
Financial 4
Additional costs to FI
Parents for increased
travels
90%
87%
92%
72%
75%
72%
APPENDIX 9
Recommendations
 Further assess Options 4, 5, 6, 8 and 9 in greater detail
with weighting factors to arrive at a preferred solution
 Agreement on priority ranking and weighting factors
 Consider other options that may have been raised or
are going to be raised in ARC (i.e. St. Dunstan Option
#5)
APPENDIX 9
Option #4
APPENDIX 9
Option #5
APPENDIX 9
Option #6
APPENDIX 9
Option #8 (St. Dunstan #4)
APPENDIX 9
Option #9 (St. Dunstan #5)
APPENDIX 9
OTG
418
2017
174
171
345
83%
2018
175
180
355
85%
2019
171
179
350
84%
2020
170
185
355
85%
2021
165
187
352
84%
2022APPENDIX
2023 9 2024
165
170
167
192
192
192
357
362
359
85%
87%
86%
2025
171
190
361
86%
St Bernadette
South St. Dunstan
487
201
160
361
74%
196
170
366
75%
198
167
365
75%
200
173
373
77%
201
178
379
78%
203
181
384
79%
206
178
384
79%
215
181
396
81%
217
179
396
81%
St Herbert
FI
533
237
309
546
102%
230
303
533
100%
227
304
531
100%
230
303
533
100%
232
301
533
100%
237
302
539
101%
239
302
541
102%
239
302
541
102%
242
302
544
102%
St Gertrude
St Valentine
752
347
394
741
99%
336
403
739
98%
334
416
750
100%
326
419
745
99%
312
429
741
99%
314
432
746
99%
315
443
758
101%
322
454
776
103%
322
449
771
103%
St Raymond
St Gregory
651
368
285
653
100%
348
283
631
97%
321
277
598
92%
297
270
567
87%
275
266
541
83%
252
271
523
80%
241
275
516
79%
231
280
511
78%
232
280
512
79%
OLGV
Noth St. Dunstan
1691 Pupil Places Reduced
98% Utilization
OLGV
OTG
280
2017
174
62%
2018
175
63%
2019
171
61%
2020
170
61%
2021
165
59%
2022
165
59%
84% Utilization
St Dunstan
484
331
68%
350
72%
346
71%
358
74%
365
75%
All school communities
remain intact
St Gertrude
FI
752
347
309
656
87%
336
303
639
85%
334
304
638
85%
326
303
629
84%
St Valentine
651
394
61%
403
62%
416
64%
St Raymond
St Gregory
651
368
285
653
100%
348
283
631
97%
St Herbert
St Bernadette
533
237
201
438
82%
230
196
426
80%
1043 Pupil Places Reduced
APPENDIX 9
2023
170
61%
2024
167
60%
2025
171
61%
373
77%
370
76%
373
77%
369
76%
312
301
613
82%
314
302
616
82%
315
302
617
82%
322
302
624
83%
322
302
624
83%
419
64%
429
66%
432
66%
443
68%
454
70%
449
69%
321
277
598
92%
297
270
567
87%
275
266
541
83%
252
271
523
80%
241
275
516
79%
231
280
511
78%
232
280
512
79%
227
198
425
80%
230
200
430
81%
232
201
433
81%
237
203
440
83%
239
206
445
83%
239
215
454
85%
242
217
459
86%
APPENDIX 9
APPENDIX 9
Additional Option
Presented by St. Valentine School ARC Committee
Members: Karen Canlas & Zarah von Schober
February 28, 2016
APPENDIX 9
Agenda
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Purpose
Methodology
Presentation of Option
Supporting Details
Analysis
Considerations
Closing Remarks
APPENDIX 9
Purpose
 To conduct further analysis, exploration and
promote discussion of an alternate option, to
address the utilization problem.
APPENDIX 9
Methodology
• Maintain rationale / criteria presented through the
current PAR process. No new criteria was introduced.
 Maintain Catholic presence within the East Credit
Review area
 Keep school communities together when possible
 Retain newer schools with lower maintenance costs
 Reduce overall capacity by 1400 – 1600 pupil places
 Take into consideration major roads as boundary lines
 Increase utilization minimizing need for portables or an
addition at receiving school
APPENDIX 9
Presentation of Option
 Close 3 schools; OLGV, St. Raymond & St. Herbert
• ALL students of OLGV would go to St. Dunstan
• ALL students of St. Raymond would relocate to
St. Gregory
• ALL students of St. Herbert would relocate to
St. Bernadette
APPENDIX 9
Supporting Details
Boundary Map
APPENDIX 9
APPENDIX 9
Enrollment Numbers
APPENDIX 9
Cost Details
APPENDIX 9
Our Analysis
• School communities would be kept together
• The presence of catholic communities within the
proposed boundaries is still maintained.
o Covering a North to South, West to East geographical
region
• Schools with higher financial / operating cost or
decreased in utilization numbers
• Aging schools
• When possible minimized crossing of major roads
• 1464 pupil spaces would be reduced
APPENDIX 9
Specific Details
• St. Raymond cannot accommodate RCMs
• St. Raymond is centrally located but adjacent to
Braeban golf course, thus community growth is
limited.
• OLGV has the highest 5-yr renewal need $2.85 mil
• St. Bernadette & St. Herbert since 2015 are below
50% in utilization
o St. Bernadette 44% and St. Herbert 50% and are
projected to decline in the next 5 yrs.
APPENDIX 9
Considerations
• Key facts about St. Valentine
♥ Projected enrollment over 10 years is expected to
steadily increase
♥ Short walking distance to St. Francis Xavier Church
♥ 21st century learning
• Therefore, this is a viable location for new & other
programs (i.e. Catholic student wellness or Science
& Tech)
• Transportation costs in proposed option would need to
be evaluated
• Possible RCM requirement is recognized in schools
absorbing students
APPENDIX 9
Closing Remarks
• Our approach was first to minimize school closures
across all the impacted 8 schools. Initially, we
attempted re-distributing boundaries and then
attempted closing only 2 schools.
• We suggest this as an alternate and proposed
option in that it addresses the key issues but
preserves key PAR and ARC concerns.
APPENDIX 9
APPENDIX 9
St. Gregory Community
Proposal
Prepared By: Erin Ljubanovic &
Jennifer Greenman
APPENDIX 9
WHAT WE KNOW TO DATE:
• $4.5 Million shortfall for the entire board.
• $1.5 Million savings coming from our East Credit
PAR review.
• A very high 33% “solution” sourcing from only 8
schools, with a total of 148 schools as a whole
within the board.
• We need to reduce excess capacity within East
Credit area.
• To date, there has been no interest/proposals for
the empty schools once closed.
APPENDIX 9
FACTS ABOUT ST. GREGORY:
• St. Gregory is the ONLY school North of Britannia under PAR.
• If St. Gregory were to close this would seriously harm our
neighbourhood, and change the entire demographics with the
loss of the only Catholic school.
• St. Gregory has potential to expand our boundaries, with an
option of extending north of 401. We could provide bussing
to students to/from the future pedestrian bridge at 2nd Line.
• St. Gregory is 1 of 2 schools within PAR that is part of the
Mississauga Brampton Central Family of Schools.
• St. Gregory is 1 of 3 schools within PAR that has a 3 lane Kiss
N’ Ride area.
APPENDIX 9
ST. GREGORY: NETWORK
CONSIDERATIONS:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Our next north school is St. Julia, which is very close to capacity! There will be a permanent traffic
closure of 2nd Line when it becomes a bicycle/pedestrian bridge in the future.
We propose to extend our boundary to 2nd Line, allowing the students / parents affected to feed
into St. Gregory.
It is the outmost importance to keep communities intact, while maintaining a strong Catholic
representation.
Schools located on major routes are more viable for alternative uses over sites located deep within
residential areas.
East/West flow or movement of students is safer and involves shorter trips. The two largest roads
through the study area are Britannia and Eglington, both of which are major commuter routes and
also Region of Peel designated truck routes. Avoiding the North/South flow over these routes
should take priority!
The Credit River on the western edge of the study area, handcuffs the viability of schools located
close to it as it limits study area expansion to the west. Hence all movement is Easterly or to the
North or South.
The area North/West of St. Gregory (Kenninghall, Falconer, River St, Old English Lane) houses
students that currently are bussed to St. Joseph’s in Streetsville.
We propose to extend our boundary to accommodate the families living in that area, attend St.
Gregory. With a possibility of saving incurred costs with bussing.
APPENDIX 9
POTENTIAL IMPACT TO DPCDSB:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Increasing or at a minimum maintaining students numbers in the DPCDSB needs to
be priority moving forward.
The DPCDSB needs to makes decisions that will not negatively impact or push
additional students out the DPCDSB system
Our school community can confirm that we have lost at least 2 families (total of 4
children) in the recent school years to FI program “next door” offered at a Peel
School.
When we say ”next door” we are referring to St. Gregory and Britannia Public
School being side by side, separated only by a playground.
The concept of DP schools being “next door” to PS is not exclusive to us! It is a
very common practice.
Seriously consider how many more families will choose this option for
convenience, over staying within Dufferin Peel Schools.
With school closures, come the possibility of an even lower pupil place ratio that is
unforeseeable!
Keeping Catholicity in the area of East Credit is utmost in importance!!
We cannot lose sight of the implications of school closures on Catholicity!!
APPENDIX 9
Grade 8 OCSGE SURVEY:
• Data reflects the attitudes of grade 8 students in Dufferin-Peel.
• The following six themes were each cited by more than 10% of
the students when asked what they liked best about their
Catholic Elementary School
1) Having, making, being with friends, new people
2) Caring and supportive staff
3) Perspectives related to positive personal growth
4) Extra-curricular, clubs, teams, sports, activities, special events
5) Welcoming, safe, supportive, respectful, accepting school
community
6) Learn about, appreciate, live catholicity in school
Source: DPCDSB presentation – Our Catholic Journey:Achieving the Ontario Catholic School Graduate
Expectations through Catholic Community Culture and Caring.
APPENDIX 9
ABSENCE OF LONG TERM PLAN:
• DPCDSB Proposed Options #1, 2, 3 have St. Raymond
as a feeder school.
• Out of the 8 schools under review, St. Raymond is the
ONLY school that cannot accommodate portables!!
• Where is the long term plan?? What if the bricks and
mortar of the existing school is not enough?
• Short sighted decisions – impact future on generations,
affecting children, communities and schools…we need
to be prepared for the future!!
• Has there been an environmental study done on the
locations in and around St. Raymond and St. Valentine
as a result of the former landfill site??
APPENDIX 9
ABSENCE OF LONG TERM PLAN:
• If St. Gregory was to close and students move to St. Raymond (as
proposed within Option #3) a major disconnect will occur.
• Our Grade 8 graduating class will be split in two when moving to
secondary school.
• St. Raymond students will go to St. Joseph, and St. Gregory students
will go to St. Marcellinius.
• The intersection of Britannia and Whitehorn is a dangerous
intersection, with 8 lanes of traffic, heavy commuter volumes,
busses and truck traffic - extremely dangerous route, endangering
the safety of all students!
• Britannia used to be 80 km/hr in this location, and in recent years
has gone down to 70km/hr. However cars speed along this road as
if it were a highway!
APPENDIX 9
ST. GREGORY SUPPORTED OPTION:
•
•
•
•
•
•
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
St. Gregory supports Option #5 as proposed by the families of the St. Dunstan
community.
Option #5 proposes to:
Close Our Lady of Good Voyage and move students as a unit to St. Raymond.
Close St. Herbert and move students as a unit to St. Bernadette.
Add French Extended to St. Dunstan.
This option is preferred for various reasons:
Closes only 2 schools of 8, reducing the impact on children within a school
community.
Strong Catholic presence in ALL East Credit …West of Creditview, East of
Mavis, North of Britannia and South of Eglington.
Focuses on keeping children together as a unit moving to a neighbouring
school.
No added costs of $1.5M to add Kindergarten classrooms as proposed within
Options #1, 2, 3.
This proposal also leaves room for any new review to accommodate possible
growth within East Credit.
APPENDIX 9
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS:
• We encourage a strong Long Term Plan
Accommodation be made to prevent any further
disruption to the learning journey of our young
children within DPCDSB!!
• There has not been a formal census in more than a
decade! Very disheartening to know school closures
are based on out of date projections.
• In recent years within our community we have seen a
change in families having 3 children…3 is the new 2!!
• We encourage the Board of Trustees to choose an
option that leaves room for any new growth within
East Credit and surrounding areas.
APPENDIX 9
Thank you for your consideration!!
Questions
APPENDIX 9
Dufferin-Peel Catholic District
School Board PAR – East Credit
Preferred Rationale Proposed
by the St. Herbert Community
Prepared by Natasha De Menna, ARC Member
Presented to the ARC on March 2, 2016
APPENDIX 9
Ministry’s PAR Guideline
The Ministry of Education’s Pupil Accommodation
Review Guideline requires school boards to
consider three guiding principles when
developing PAR policies:
1. Student well-being;
2. Student achievement; and
3. School board financial viability
APPENDIX 9
Source of the Guidelines
• Section 169.1(1) of the Education Act mandates that
every school board shall, “promote student
achievement and well-being and . . .ensure effective
stewardship of board resources”.
• The Ministry of Education clearly states that trustees
must consider these three principles in all decision
making including decisions to close schools.
• Trustees are expected to carry out “. . . their primary
responsibilities of fostering student achievement and wellbeing, and ensuring effective stewardship of school board
resources.” (Source: Ministry of Education, Pupil
Accommodation Review Guideline, March 2015)
APPENDIX 9
Balanced Budget
• Dufferin-Peel Catholic District School Board (the
“Board”) must maintain a balanced budget.
• Due to a significant reduction of provincial funding,
the Board must reduce their budget by $1.5 million
in each of the next three years for a total savings of
$4.5 million.
• In November 2015, our Board of Trustees approved
the commencement of the PAR process in East
Credit in order to address the budget shortfall.
APPENDIX 9
Alternative to School Closures
• The preference of the St. Herbert community is that no schools be
closed.
• As stated, Trustees are mandated by the Ministry of Education
pursuant to the Education Act, to promote student well-being and
achievement.
• During the Finance Department’s presentation on February 3, 2016,
the ARC was advised that,
• “Trustees may choose to do nothing, but depending on the
outcome of this process, it will affect the budget next year.
Trustees may reprioritize the budget cuts. If savings don’t come
from here, they must come from somewhere else to balance the
budget.”
• Given the potential negative impact of school closures on student wellbeing and achievement, it is our position that the Board should first
explore all other possible means of achieving a balanced budget
before resorting to school closures.
APPENDIX 9
School Closures
• In the event that a comprehensive analysis of all
alternatives to school closures concludes that
school closures are the only means of achieving a
balanced budget, the St. Herbert community
respectfully submits that the Board should close as
few schools as possible.
• We strongly recommend that our proposed rationale
be used to determine which school(s) should be
closed.
• Our proposed Option 7 meets the proposed
rationale without having to close three schools.
APPENDIX 9
Closure of Three Schools
• Board data indicates that East Credit is “significantly under
capacity”. Four additional areas within the DPCDSB are
projected to be “significantly under capacity” in the next four
years.
• Any Option that proposes closing three schools in East
Credit to address the funding cuts is inequitable as it places
a disproportionate burden on the school communities of East
Credit.
• Closing three schools in East Credit is inconsistent with the
principles of student well-being and achievement due to the
proposed separation of student communities and the
resulting over capacity at one or more receiving schools.
Utilization rates of the combined schools in Options 1-4
range from 102%-129% (2017-2025).
APPENDIX 9
Preferred Rationale
1. Promote student well-being by keeping students
together when moving a school community to
another school.
2. Retain newer schools that have lower costs (i.e.
outstanding renewal needs + maintenance costs).
3. Reduce the number of schools significantly under
capacity in East Credit.
4. Avoid over capacity to minimize the need for RCMs
or portables at receiving schools and maintain
reasonable class sizes consistent with Ministry
guidelines.
APPENDIX 9
Preferred Rationale cont.
5. Maintain Catholic presence in the area.
6. Additional considerations raised by ARC members:
• Keep schools with high projected enrollment;
• Maintain space for the possible introduction of new
programs to the East Credit area such as Extended French
or International Baccalaureate;
• Ensure accessibility for special needs students;
• Maintain space for prayer room and specialized classrooms;
• Avoid separation of school community upon graduation to
high school; and
• Keep schools with air conditioning to provide physical
environment conducive to learning and also to attract
revenue generating rental during the summer.
The preferred rationale complies with all PAR
Guidelines set by the Ministry of Education.
APPENDIX 9
Application of Rationale
• Option 7 complies with the preferred rationale. The
details of Option 7 are set out below.
Open schools:
• St. Dunstan, St. Gertrude, St. Gregory, St. Herbert,
St. Raymond, and St. Valentine
Closed schools:
• Our Lady of Good Voyage and St. Bernadette
Student Relocation:
• All Our Lady of Good Voyage students move to
St. Raymond
• All St. Bernadette students move to St. Herbert
APPENDIX 9
Option 7 Meets Preferred Rationale
• No school communities are separated. All students
from closed schools are moved as a unit to receiving
schools.
• Schools with the highest projected enrollment over the next
3 years remain open.
• Five out of six East Credit schools are no longer
significantly under capacity.
• In 2017, O.L.G.V., St. Bernadette, St. Herbert and St.
Raymond combined have a projected utilization rate of
50%. In Option 7, the projected utilization after combining
these schools increases to 83% in the receiving schools.
• Option 5 proposes the addition of Extended French at St.
Dunstan. Options 5 and 7 result in virtually the same
average utilization (2017 to 2025) with the inclusion of
Extended French at St. Dunstan (74.4% for Option 5 and
73.6% for Option 7).
APPENDIX 9
East Credit Utilization - Comparison
80%
75%
70%
65%
UTILIZATION
60%
55%
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
YEAR
Option 7
Option 5
2022
2023
2024
2025
APPENDIX 9
Option 7 Avoids Problems Caused
by Over Capacity
• No portables or RCMs required at receiving schools.
• Average class size for the two consolidated schools
is 20 students which is consistent with the Ministry’s
average class size requirements.
• Space is available at one or more schools in East
Credit for the introduction of programs such as
Extended French and International Baccalaureate.
These programs may increase utilization but more
importantly, will promote student well-being and
achievement.
• Does not require the elimination of prayer rooms
and/or specialized classrooms.
APPENDIX 9
Option 7 – Additional
Considerations
• Receiving schools are accessible for all students (special
needs and students who may suffer an injury). There is an
elevator at both receiving schools providing access to both
the second floor and the stage. Any other possible
accessibility issues would be fully addressed by the Board
prior to September 2017 in compliance with the Education
Act and the Human Rights Code.
• Students in the proposed consolidated schools live within
St. Joseph’s boundary and thus, graduating students will
be able to attend high school together.
• Keeps newer schools with air conditioning which assists
student learning and may attract possible revenue stream
during the summer months. For example, French Summer
Program offered by a private company.
• Maintains Catholic presence in the area.
Catholic Presence in the Area
• The map of feeder schools for St.
Joseph Secondary School shows
the Catholic presence in East
Credit and adjacent areas.
• St. David of Wales contributes to
the Catholic presence in the area
despite the fact that it was not
included in the East Credit PAR
process.
• In Option 7, two schools would
close – one north of Bristol Road
and one south of Bristol Road.
• Option 7 retains a total of seven
Catholic schools in the area – five
schools in St. Joseph’s family of
schools and two schools in the
adjacent areas north of Britannia
and east of Mavis.
• Option 7 maintains the Catholic
presence in East Credit to the
same or greater extent as all other
proposed options.
APPENDIX 9
APPENDIX 9
Option 7 – Financial Advantages
• Compared to Option 5, which also proposes the
closure of two schools, Option 7 results in a lower
average FCI.
• Option 5: Average FCI = 12.4% (higher than Board average)
• Option 7: Average FCI = 10.0% (lower than Board average)
• Maximum savings are achieved by closing the oldest
schools with the highest overall costs.
• Option 7 would result in over $5 million in savings for
the Board as early as September 2017.
• In comparison to Option 5, Option 7 saves the Board
an additional $1.27 million dollars.
APPENDIX 9
Total Costs Saved – Option 5 vs. Option 7
$6,000,000
$5,074,410
$5,000,000
$4,000,000
$3,805,282
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$0
Option 5
Option 7
School Renewal Needs
Maintenance Expenditures
APPENDIX 9
Disadvantages of Staff Options
• In all three staff options, students are not moved
together as a unit to another school. Two school
communities in each option are separated and
sent to different receiving schools.
• All three options result in one or more schools
being over capacity as early as 2017. In 2025, two
schools are over capacity in each option which
may result in larger class sizes, the need for
portables or additions, and/or the loss of
specialized classrooms.
• For example, Option 1 creates the need for
portables at St. Valentine and/or the elimination of
one or more of the specialized classrooms within
the school.
APPENDIX 9
Disadvantages of Staff Options cont.
• Another example of the difficulty created by over capacity
in Option 1 relates to FDK. No new facility requirements
are identified in the Initial Staff Report for St. Valentine
meaning that all FDK students (86 from St. Gertrude and
99 from St. Valentine) would be put into the existing four
FDK classrooms.
• Thus, from 2017-2025, each FDK class would consist of at
least 46 students. This raises serious concerns regarding
student safety and student learning.
• Options 1-3 close schools with the highest projected
enrollment.
• As already explained, closing three schools in East Credit
places a disproportionate burden on the school
communities of East Credit.
APPENDIX 9
Disadvantages of Option 4
• In 2017, St. Dunstan can accommodate 3 FDK
classrooms, however, each class will have 30 students
which is greater than the required Board average (26
students).
• Loss of the science and technology classroom to
make room for the third FDK classroom.
• By 2020, Option 4 results in the need for a portable,
the elimination of a specialized classroom, or the loss
of YMCA spaces.
• Portables at St. Dunstan would result in the loss of
hard surface play area.
APPENDIX 9
Disadvantages of Option 4 cont.
• Closing three schools in East Credit places a disproportionate
burden on the school communities of East Credit given that four
other areas within the Board are significantly under capacity.
• As with all options that propose closing St. Herbert, this Option
increases the risk that the Board will lose students to the public
school board. St. Herbert is the only school in this PAR review
or in previous PAR reviews that has three public schools,
covering Kindergarten to Grade 12, within walking distance.
• The Transportation Dept. estimates that Option 4 will cost the
Board an additional $162,000 per year in transportation costs.
• Option 4 does not maximize the potential savings to the Board.
Option 7 demonstrates that keeping St. Herbert open results in
an additional $1.27 million dollar budget reduction.
APPENDIX 9
Summary
• It is respectfully submitted that the Board explore all other
possible means of achieving a balanced budget before
resorting to school closures.
• If school closures are deemed necessary, no more than
two schools should be closed in East Credit.
• The rationale proposed addresses all of the PAR
Guidelines and it is strongly recommended that this
rationale be used to determine which schools should
close, if any.
• Option 7 promotes student well-being and achievement as
well as ensures the continued financial viability of the
Board.
APPENDIX 9
EAST CREDIT P.A.R.
ST. GERTRUDE SUBMISSION
APPENDIX 9
GUIDING RATIONALE
• This is fundamentally a financial problem (funding & top-up levels) driven by reduced utilization
• Let data be the guide
• Recognize the constraints of geography and school sizes
• Attempt to keep school families together & keep schools where the students are
• Balance the overall number of students required to change schools
APPENDIX 9
SCHOOL POPULATION AND PLANNED
CHANGES 2016-2025
APPENDIX 9
CURRENT POPULATION AND FORECAST
Enrolment
POPULATION BY SCHOOL – 2016
OLGV, 7%
St.
Bernadette,
8%
St. Dunstan,
11%
St. Raymond,
16%
4500
4000
3500
Students
St.Valentine,
14%
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
St. Herbert,
10%
St. Gertrude,
23%
St. Gregory,
12%
500
0
Available
Capacity
2016 - Act
2025 - Fcst
APPENDIX 9
STATUS QUO - 2025
Projected Enrolment 2025
700
624
600
500
449
369
400
280
300
242
232
217
171
200
100
0
St. Gertrude
St. Valentine
St. Dunstan
St. Gregory
St. Herbert
St. Raymond
St. Bernadette
OLGV
Without changing anything, 56% of the total population will be in the first 3 schools
APPENDIX 9
NUMBER OF VACANCIES BY SCHOOL - 2016
300
Surplus Spaces
250
200
150
100
50
0
OLGV
St. Bernadette
St. Dunstan
St. Gertrude
St. Gregory
St. Herbert
St. Raymond
St. Valentine
Currently St.Valentine, St Herbert and St. Bernadette have the highest number of surplus spaces
APPENDIX 9
FORECAST CHANGES IN ENROLMENT: 2016-2020
St. Raymond
St. Gregory
St. Herbert
OLGV
St. Gertrude
St. Bernadette
St. Valentine
St. Dunstan
42
46
100
Number of spots
50
0
-34
-50
-22
-17
-15
-53
-100
-150
-150
-200
80% of the additional surplus spots are in the first 3 schools
APPENDIX 9
FORECAST CHANGES IN ENROLMENT: 2016-2025
OLGV
St. Bernadette
St. Dunstan
St. Gertrude
St. Gregory
St. Herbert
St. Raymond
30%
Percentage Change in Enrolment
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
Clear areas of change in certain schools catchment areas
St. Valentine
Average
APPENDIX 9
2025 EXCESS CAPACITY REVIEW – STATUS QUO
450
100%
400
90%
350
80%
70%
300
60%
250
50%
200
40%
150
30%
100
50
0
20%
80% of excess capacity
St. Raymond
St. Herbert
20% of excess capacity
St. Gregory St. Bernadette St. Valentine St. Gertrude
2025 Vacancies
Cumulative %
St. Dunstan
OLGV
10%
0%
Cumulative %
Surplus Spots
Review of Excess Capacity - 2025
Status Quo Enrolment By Location - 2025
APPENDIX 9
280
55% of student population in
the St. Dunstan, St.Valentine, St.
Gertrude areas
171
54% of surplus student spaces
in the combined areas of St.
Raymond, St. Herbert and St.
Gregory areas
232
449
624
242
369
217
APPENDIX 9
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
APPENDIX 9
SCHOOL AGE
• St. Valentine Elementary School - 2001
Enrolment Expectations
St. Valentine
Growth
St. Raymond
Decline
16
• St. Herbert Elementary School - 2000
St. Herbert
Decline
16
• St. Gregory Elementary School - 1998
St. Gregory
Decline
• St. Raymond Elementary School - 2000
• St. Bernadette Elementary School - 1996
• St. Dunstan Elementary School -1993
• St. Gertrude Elementary School -1993
• Our Lady of Good Voyage Elementary School -1989
< average age
15
At or > average age
18
Stable
St. Bernadette
St. Dunstan
St. Gertrude
20
Growth
23
Stable
23
Decline
OLGV
0
5
The average age of the schools is 20 years old
10
27
15
20
25
30
APPENDIX 9
5 YEAR RENEWAL COSTS – EAST CREDIT AREA
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Our Lady of
Good Voyage
Elementary
School
St. Bernadette
Elementary
School
St. Dunstan
Elementary
School
St. Gertrude
Elementary
School
St. Gregory
Elementary
School
St. Herbert
Elementary
School
St. Raymond
Elementary
School
Our Lady requires 25% of the total capital investment in the East Credit Area
St. Valentine
Elementary
School
APPENDIX 9
FIVE YEAR CAPITAL INVESTMENT BY SCHOOL
COST PER M2
COST PER STUDENT
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
-
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
•
•
Older schools ‘tend’ to require more funding, but not always
true
OLGV, St. Bernadette and St. Dunstan all have greater than
average capital requirements
•
St. Hebert has declining attendance, but relatively little required
capital investment
APPENDIX 9
RECURRING COSTS:
UTILITY & TRANSPORTATION
APPENDIX 9
UTILITY COSTS BY SCHOOL
$120,000
Total Utility Cost
$100,000
$80,000
Gas
$60,000
Water
Electricity
$40,000
$20,000
$0
OLGV
St. Bernadette
St. Dunstan
St. Gertrude
St. Gregory
St. Herbert
St. Raymond
St. Valentine
APPENDIX 9
UTILITY COSTS
UTILITY COSTS PER M2
$22.00
$20.00
$18.00
$16.00
$14.00
$12.00
$10.00
UTILITY COSTS PER STUDENT
$450
$400
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
APPENDIX 9
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
CURRENTLY USING TRANSPORTATION
St. Dunstan,
199
St. Bernadette,
7
St. Herbert, 9
OLGV, 30
St. Gertrude,
34
St. Valentine ,
54
St. Gregory ,
32
St. Raymond ,
30
TRANSPORT COSTS PER STUDENT
$1,800
$1,600
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$-
APPENDIX 9
UTILITIES & TRANSPORTATION SUMMARY
UTILITIES
TRANSPORTATION
• St.Valentine, St. Hebert and St. Gregory
are all above average (>10%) in utility
consumption per M2
• St. Bernadette and St. Hebert pay a larger
premium (per student) due to the low
number of students
• St. Bernadette and St. Gertrude are
significantly cheaper per M2
• St. Dunstan represents the largest element
of transportation costs due to the volume
of students
• Most schools pay around 16K annually for
the use of one bus
APPENDIX 9
SO WHAT?
APPENDIX 9
SUMMARY
School
Population
% Change
from current
Capital
(5 Year)
Cost
(Annual)
Enrol @ 2018
Vacancies
in 2018
Vacancies in
2025
St. Raymond
Declining
-48%
Very Low (57%)
Medium (106%)
348
303
419
St. Herbert
Declining
-8%
Very Low (36%)
High (114%)
230
303
291
St. Gregory
Declining
-13%
Medium (89%)
Medium (110%)
293
263
276
Stable
+1%
High (124%)
Low (86%)
196
291
270
St.Valentine
Growth
19%
Low (63%)
High (117%)
403
248
202
St. Gertrude
Stable
-3%
Medium (83%)
Very Low (72%)
639
113
128
St. Dunstan
Growth
+18%
High (144%)
Medium (94%)
350
134
115
OLGV
Declining
-11%
Very High (242%)
Medium (107%)
175
105
109
St. Bernadette
Growth = > 5%
Stable = +/- 5%
Declining = < -5%
Relative to Avg.
VL < 60%
L = < 80%
M =80-120%
H = > 120%
VH = > 150%
Relative to Avg.
VL = < 80%
L = < 90%
M = 90-110%
H = > 110%
VH = > 120%
APPENDIX 9
TOP VACANCY SCHOOLS
School Utilization – Top 4 Vacancy Schools by 2025
700
600
500
419
400
291
276
Alternative Scenarios
270
300
200
100
0
232
St. Raymond
242
St. Hubert
Enrolment
•
280
St. Gregory
Excess Capacity
Consideration of transportation costs – St. Raymond Example*
• 419 empty spaces at St. Raymond requires a significant change in catchment area
• Assume 75% of students require transportation (419 X 0.75)= 314 students into
the area each day
• Avg. bus costs (within East Credit area) are $425/student X 314 students =
$133K/year minimum
217
St. Bernadette
•
Close and move OLGV (OTG – 280) to St. Raymond improve utilization to 61%
- impact to 175 students
•
Could not move St. Valentine in as the 2025 projection has population exceeding
the St. Raymond available capacity
•
Close and move St. Gregory (OTG - 556) to St. Raymond to improve utilization
to 73% - impact to 283 students
•
Close St. Raymond (OTG- 651) and move to St. Gregory to improve utilization
from 50% to 92% - impact to 348 students
- transportation costs are based on the average costs of bussing within the East Credit area. Transporting students across catchment areas would be anticipated to be higher.
Data needs to be validated by the transportation group.
APPENDIX 9
RELATIVE SCHOOL CAPACITIES AND FLEXBOUNDARY STUDENTS
700
Flex-Boundary Students - Total
Combined St. Gregory & St. Raymond Enrolment
and Available Capacity
70
63
60
600
52
47
50
500
40
400
30
300
20
200
10
28
24
30
23
28
26
18
23 20
23
28
22
28
0
100
0
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
St. Gregory
St. Raymond
St Gregory Capacity
St. Raymond Capacity
2025
Total
Outside East Credit
297 students in total – but 121 from within East Credit area for a net inflow of 176
students from outside East Credit area (excluding FI)
With declining enrolment, particularly St. Raymond, it makes
sense to consolidate in the smaller of the two schools
Between the two schools there are 51 flex-boundary students –
managing this could prevent over-capacity issues from 2018-2020
APPENDIX 9
TOP VACANCIES SCHOOLS
School Utilization – Top 4 Vacancy Schools by
2025
• Similarly;
700
600
500
419
400
291
276
270
300
200
100
0
• Closing St. Hubert (OTG – 533) and consolidating into St.
Bernadette would improve utilization from 45% to 94% impact to 230 students
• Or
232
St. Raymond
242
St. Hubert
Enrolment
280
St. Gregory
Excess Capacity
217
St. Bernadette
• Closing St. Bernadette (OTG – 487) and consolidating into St.
Hubert would improve utilization from 45% to 86% - impact
to 196 students
APPENDIX 9
OUR LADY OF GOOD VOYAGE REVIEW
• Capital investment 2.5 times that of average school in East Credit
Decision Point: A 10 year government T-bill @2.25% would cost
a total of $341K in interest to finance this expenditure
• Slightly more expensive than average from operating expense
perspective ~ $5,100/year more expensive than average in utility
costs (pro rated)
• Declining enrolment – 192 projected to decrease to 170 by 2020
• Flex boundary - 24 of 28 from outside East Credit area
• No other schools fit to fill it up
• To achieve a 90% capacity, it would require at least another 82
students to be transported in. For 82 students @ 425/student =
$70K annual in transportation costs
Five Year Capital Requirement/M2
Capital Requirement Per Square Metre
•
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
OLGV
Avg of Other 7 Schools
Cost/M2
There is a significant cost penalty associated with keeping Out Lady Of Good Voyage open
APPENDIX 9
SUMMARY – WITH RECOMMENDATIONS
School
Population
% Change
from current
Capital
Cost
Enrol @ 2018
Vacancies
in 2018
Vacancies in
2025
Close
St. Raymond
Declining
-48%
Very Low (57%)
Medium (106%)
348
303
419
Close
St. Herbert
Declining
-8%
Very Low (36%)
High (114%)
230
303
291
Backfill
St. Gregory
Declining
-13%
Medium (89%)
Medium (110%)
293
263
276
Backfill
St. Bernadette
Stable
+1%
High (124%)
Low (86%)
196
291
270
Maintain
St.Valentine
Growth
19%
Low (63%)
High (117%)
403
248
202
Maintain
St. Gertrude
Stable
-3%
Medium (83%)
Very Low (72%)
639
113
128
Backfill
St. Dunstan
Growth
+18%
High (144%)
Medium (94%)
350
134
115
Close
OLGV
Declining
-11%
Very High (242%)
Medium (107%)
175
105
109
APPENDIX 9
YEARLY DETAIL FOR SCHOOL
CONSOLIDATION
Capacity
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
St. Bernadette
St. Hubert
487
196
230
426
87%
198
227
425
87%
200
230
430
88%
201
232
433
89%
203
237
440
90%
206
239
445
91%
215
239
454
93%
217
242
459
94%
St. Dunstan
OLGV
484
320
147
467
96%
316
143
459
95%
328
142
470
97%
335
137
472
98%
343
137
480
99%
340
142
482
100%
343
139
482
100%
339
143
482
100%
reduced by 30 of 52 FB
reduced by 28 FB
St. Gregory
St. Raymond
556
293
348
641
115%
277
321
598
108%
270
297
567
102%
266
275
541
97%
271
252
523
94%
275
241
516
93%
280
231
511
92%
280
232
512
92%
23 FB could be removed
28 FB could be removed
St. Gertrude
St. Gertrude - FI
752
336
303
639
85%
334
304
638
85%
326
303
629
84%
312
301
613
82%
314
302
616
82%
315
302
617
82%
322
302
624
83%
322
302
624
83%
St. Valentine
651
403
62%
416
64%
419
64%
429
66%
432
66%
443
68%
454
70%
449
69%
Total
2930
2576
88%
2536
87%
2515
86%
2488
85%
2491
85%
2503
85%
2525
86%
2526
86%
St. Valentine could take overflow
Special program candidate?
APPENDIX 9
SUMMARY COMPARISON OF OPTIONS
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3
Proposed Option
Students Changing Schools
(in 2018)
•
1,164 students
•
928 students
•
863 students
•
725 students
Schools Closed
Eliminated Surplus Spots
•
•
3
1516
•
•
3
1415
•
•
3
1573
•
•
3
1464
Schools Split Up
•
2 of the 3
•
2 of the 3
•
2 of 3
•
None
Distributed Catholic Presence
•
Yes
•
Yes
•
Yes
•
Yes
Resulting Utilization*
•
Utilization of 90%
•
Utilization of 90%
•
Utilization of 92%
•
Utilization of 86%
Estimated Cost Savings
•
Estimated savings $272/yr
•
Estimated savings $290K/yr
•
Estimated savings $319K/yr
•
Estimated savings $326/yr
Change to 5 year Capital
Requirements
•
Saves 53% of capital
expenditure
•
Saves 38% of capital
expenditure
•
Saves 31% of capital
expenditure
•
Saves 37% of capital
expenditure
New Infrastructure Required
•
Relocation of Ontario
Early Years Center
•
•
3 new FDK - $1.5M
Relocation of OEYC
•
Relocation of OEYC
•
TBD
•
Yes – Approx. ~ 6
•
Yes – Approx. ~ 1
•
Yes – Approx. ~ 4
•
No – Redirect flex-boundary
students/1 for 1 year
•
Additional transportation
costs of $45K
•
Additional transportation
costs of $28K
•
Additional transportation
costs of $28K
•
TBD**
Portable Requirements
Additional Transportation Costs**
* Utilization calculation for all 4 options needs to be reviewed for standard approach
** All transportation costs require further review – Options 1-3 use average cost per student of $167 whereas average in East Credit area (within catchment) is $425
APPENDIX 9
Q&A
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Jesus Is The Reason!
▪ No matter which school our kids
attend in the future – Jesus is the
reason for each of the schools.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
A Bit Different…
▪ We already have 14 different options – do we want to make it 15?
▪ At this stage in the PAR process, the St. Raymond community does not wish to
formulate and present an additional option.
▪ Emphasis on the qualities which make St. Raymond an ideal receiving school.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Central & Safe Location
▪ St. Raymond is centrally located.
▪ Ensures Catholic presence within East Credit
area.
▪ Maintains a convenient location for receiving
students and families.
▪ Street where school is located is calm and
safe with low traffic.
▪ Two crossing guards and cross-walks are
positioned at the north and south points of
the school.
▪ Since school is located on a corner – there is
ample street parking in addition to school
parking lot.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Catholic Education
▪ Catholic education is under fire with growing interest demonstrated within Ontario
to amalgamate Ontario’s school system and the elimination of publicly funded
Catholic schools.
▪ St. Raymond is located immediately next door to Whitehorn Public School.
▪ Whitehorn Public School accommodates children in JK – grade 5, and currently
has over 900 children enrolled with 4 portables. Enrollment is thriving.
▪ The potential closure of St. Raymond while the public school next door is thriving
would present negative optics and provide further support to those in the
community who believe in one publicly funded school system.
▪ The potential closure of St. Raymond presents a higher risk of losing enrollment
to the public school next door for reasons of convenience.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Proximity to Feeder High School
▪ St. Raymond is located within very close proximity to feeder high school – St.
Joseph’s Secondary School.
▪ According to Google Maps – St. Raymond is located 850 meters from St.
Joseph’s Secondary and would take 7 minutes to walk from one school to the
other.
▪ This maintains a convenient and safe location for graduating students and their
families transitioning into high school.
▪ Close proximity allows older siblings who attend St. Joseph Secondary to pick up
siblings after school at St. Raymond.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Air Conditioning (!)
▪ St. Raymond is a fully air-conditioned building. It is one of only three schools in
the East Credit review area which is fully air-conditioned.
▪ Comfortable air-conditioned environment is conducive to learning and can aid in
revenue generating rental opportunities during the summer months.
▪ A fully air-conditioned building also boasts health & safety benefits.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
(No) Portables
▪ St. Raymond is currently unable to accommodate portables. The St. Raymond
community views this as a very positive fact based on the below points:
▪ Based on the ARC’s evaluation of all options, comments of “no portables” can be
frequently found as being listed as a pro.
▪ Reviewing the vast majority of proposals, St. Raymond will be able to receive
projected enrollment from other schools without the need of portables.
▪ “Minimize the need for portables” was a critical item and was selected as a category
on the March 2016 survey.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Newer School / Low Renewal Costs
▪ St. Raymond is a reasonably new school, with the second lowest renewal costs in
the East Credit area.
Projected 5-Year Renewal Needs
$3,500,000
$3,000,000
$2,500,000
$2,000,000
$1,500,000
$1,000,000
$500,000
$0
Herbert
Raymond Valentine
Gregory
Gertrude
Projected 5-Year Renewal Needs
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
Dunstan Bernadette
OLGV
APPENDIX 9
Rental Permits
▪ St. Raymond has a high number of community permits, currently with eight (two
per night, four times per week) making it a significant contributor on a cost
recovery basis.
▪ This suggests that St. Raymond is a community hub, and a solid component of
the community.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Special Needs Upgrades / Full Accessibility
▪ St. Raymond is a fully accessible school with ramps, an elevator, automatic
doors, etc.
▪ Accessible washrooms on both the first and second floors within the school were
recently upgraded (2015) with automatic door accessibility and safety alarms.
Closing St. Raymond would potentially result in the receiving school incurring
additional costs to accommodate children with special needs.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Prayer Room
▪ The prayer room within St. Raymond school is used on regularly which instils
and reinforces strong Catholic values.
▪ The space was converted into a prayer room in 2015 where the community was
engaged and contributed with various donations of faith-based items.
▪ The prayer room is used for class-based activities and for individual use.
▪ The St. Raymond prayer room contains:
o 6 full size church pews which can accommodate at least two full
classes at once
o Altar with large crucifix on wall
o Stations of The Cross (Donated by the Archdiocese of Toronto)
o Large Mother Mary statue with kneeler (pictured at right)
o And more…
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
More images of the St. Raymond chapel…
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Primed for Immediate & Future Accommodation
▪ In 2001/2002, St. Raymond effectively accommodated a student population of 800+
children.
▪ St. Raymond can accommodate incoming pupils, and can sustain future growth if needed.
▪ St. Raymond currently has four full-day kindergarten classrooms with a self-contained
outdoor play yard. This is sufficient to accommodate incoming pupils and can also be
utilized for childcare programs in the future.
▪ Out of 17 different options (14 ARC + 3 Staff), only one option (option F) projects St.
Raymond would be at over-capacity. With projected continual decline in enrollment, this
over-capacity issue would be short-lived.
▪ Beginning in the transition year (2017) – St. Raymond can accommodate 283 additional
pupils without making any changes or retro-fits to the building. Going forward, St.
Raymond will continue to be able to accommodate additional students should the
community demographics change, or should school programs be implemented (i.e.,
French immersion program) – St. Raymond will continue to present itself as a solution.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Proximity to Key Community Facilities
▪ As St. Raymond is centrally located, it is within walking distance to:
o St. Joseph Secondary School
o River Grove Community Center
o St. Joseph Church
o Soccer Fields (directly behind school)
o Park/Playground (directly behind school)
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Community Response Option Which Names St. Raymond as a
School Recommended for Closure
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Community Response
The St. Raymond community would like to address certain points from an option which
was put forth earlier in the PAR process:
The option proposes that St. Raymond should be closed and have the students relocate
to St. Gregory.
Option Supporting Details:
▪ “School communities would be kept together”
▪ Community response: Inaccurate. When transitioning into high school, students
living within the St. Gregory proximity would attend St. Marcellinus, and grade 8
students living within the St. Raymond proximity would attend St. Joseph.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Community Response
Option Supporting Details:
▪ “Aging Schools” (Closure of)
▪ Community response: Inaccurate. St. Raymond (tied with St. Valentine) is the
latest school built in the East Credit review area.
OLGV
27
Gertrude
23
Dunstan
23
Bernadette
20
Gregory
18
Herbert
16
Valentine
15
Raymond
15
0
5
10
15
Years Old
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
20
25
30
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Community
Response
Option Supporting Details:
▪ “The presence of catholic communities
within the proposed boundaries is still
maintained”
▪ Community response: Inaccurate.
St. Raymond school is centrally
located within the East Credit review
area. The closure of St. Raymond
would create a significant void of
Catholic education (elementary level)
within the review area particularly as
it is adjacent to a public school.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
St. Raymond Community Response
Option Supporting Details:
▪ “Schools with higher financial/operating cost”
▪ Community response: St. Raymond has the second lowest renewal costs in the
East Credit review area, and other cost areas (i.e., utilities, transport, etc.) are
average or below average.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Highly Active School / Strong Community
Engagement
St. Raymond is thriving with school activities such as:
▪ Sports:
▪ Volleyball, basketball, beach volleyball, soccer (all tournament fees paid by council)
▪ Extra Curricular:
▪ Lego Club, Forest of Reading, Eco Club, Choir, Karate Canada, Rock & Rings, Chess Club, Faith
Ambassadors, Skills Canada, Craft Club, Crew Club, etc.
▪ Purchases/Contributions by Parent Council:
▪ Library books, numeracy & literacy website licensing fees, butterfly larvae kits, playground
equipment, sports bins, virtue prizes, club t-shirts, Sacrament Gifts, first communion retreat,
agendas, transportation to church & sporting events, $5 per student trip subsidy, SK and grade 8
graduation, smart boards, iPads, birthday pencils, etc.
▪ Rosary Apostolate: Rosary Visitors go into the classrooms to teach children to pray the rosary.
The aim of the Apostolate is to create a positive experience of prayer which the students enjoy and
remember with the goal of forming good habits of prayer.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Highly Active School / Strong Community
Engagement
St. Raymond is thriving with school activities such as:
▪ Event Days:
▪ Pancake Day, Freezie Day, Cap Day, Blue Jay Spirit Day, Picture with Santa, grade 8 retreat trip,
Kinder Play Day, etc.
▪ Lunch Days:
▪ Pizza (weekly), pita day, sub day, Food 4 Students, Lunch Lady, Popcorn Sales, Pretzel, etc.
▪ Charity Support:
▪ Christmas Hampers, ShareLife, Dr. Simone’s Canadian Food For Children, Human Family in
Christ, etc.
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Highly Active School / Strong Community
Engagement
St. Raymond is thriving with school activities such as:
▪ Parent/Community Engagement:
▪ School barbecue and open house in September where St. Raymond partners with our local
Knights of Columbus council.
▪ Various guest speakers
▪ Family Movie Night
▪ Blue Jay Game Day
▪ Grandparents Day
▪ Welcome to Kindergarten Night
▪ And more…
St. Raymond Presentation
East Credit Pupil Accommodation Review
APPENDIX 9
Thank You!
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