Variable Data • Measured on some continuous segment of the real number line. • Assume precision of measurement instrument is at whatever level necessary. • May be measuring process output – Length, diameter, resistance, life • May be measuring process parameters – Pressure, temperature, tension G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 1 Short Term Variation • We gather data in subgroups. Each subgroup estimates the location and variation of the measured parameter or characteristic at that moment in time. Diameter Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 2 1 Consistent Short-term Variation and Consistent Location Characteristic or Parameter Value Process Output Characteristic or Parameter Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 3 Consistent Short-term Variation and Changing Location Characteristic or Parameter Value Process Output Characteristic or Parameter Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 4 2 Inconsistent Short-term Variation and Consistent Location Characteristic or Parameter Value Process Output Characteristic or Parameter Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 5 Inconsistent Short-term Variation and Inconsistent Location Characteristic or Parameter Value Process Output Characteristic or Parameter 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 6 3 Assignable Cause Variation • Assignable (special) cause sources of variation are those that act to create inconsistent short-term variation or act to create inconsistencies in the process average. • We will use a system of two charts (X-bar and R) to distinguish assignable cause variation from common cause variation. G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 7 Consider the Following Subgroups of Process Measurements: Subgroup X1 X2 X3 X4 R X 1 36.13 32.85 34.05 38.04 5.19 35.2675 2 38.68 34.95 32.36 33.68 6.32 34.9175 3 34.34 35.69 35.06 29.72 5.97 33.7025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 34.08 28.97 34.76 35.53 6.56 33.3350 93.30 686.9200 Sums G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 8 4 X-bar Charts Control Chart Plotting x-bar x-bar values µˆ x + 3σˆ x µ̂ x µˆ x − 3σˆ x Subgroups G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 9 X-bar Chart using R n • Plot x = ∑ xi i =1 • Centerline: n k X= • Control Limits: ∑x i =1 k ,where k = number of subgroups X ± A2 R ,where A2 is based on subgroup size G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 10 5 R Chart Control Chart Plotting R µˆ R + 3σˆ R R values µ̂ R µˆ R − 3σˆ R Subgroups G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 11 R Chart • Plot the range of each subgroup. k • Centerline: R = • Control Limits: ∑ Ri i =1 k ,where k = number of subgroups LCLR = D3 R UCLR = D4 R ,where D3 and D4 depend on subgroup size G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 12 6 R Chart R Chart for X1 - X4 UCL=10.64 Sample Range 10 5 R=4.665 0 LCL=0 0 10 20 Sam ple Num ber G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 13 X-bar Chart X-bar Chart for X1 - X4 38 UCL=37.65 Sample Mean 37 36 35 Mean=34.35 34 33 32 LCL=31.05 31 30 0 10 20 Sam ple Num ber G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 14 7 The Whole Picture Sample Mean Xbar/R Chart for X1-X4 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 UCL=37.74 Mean=34.35 LCL=30.95 Sample Range Subgroup 0 10 20 UCL=10.64 10 5 R=4.665 0 LCL=0 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 15 Using s Instead of R Subgroup X1 X2 X3 X4 s X 1 36.13 32.85 34.05 38.04 2.29 35.2675 2 38.68 34.95 32.36 33.68 2.72 34.9175 3 34.34 35.69 35.06 29.72 2.71 33.7025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 34.08 28.97 34.76 35.53 2.97 33.3350 Sums 41.3950 686.9200 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 16 8 s Chart • Plot the sample standard deviation,s, of n each subgroup. 2 s = ∑ ( x − x ) /( n − 1) i i =1 k • Centerline: s • = ∑s i i =1 ,where k = number of subgroups k Control Limits: LCL = B s UCL = B s s 3 s 4 ,where B3 and B4 depend on subgroup size G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 17 X-bar Chart using s n • Plot x = ∑ xi i =1 • Centerline: n k X= • Control Limits: ∑x i =1 k ,where k = number of subgroups X ± As 3 ,where A3 is based on subgroup size G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 18 9 R vs s R C h a rt fo r X 1 - X 4 U C L = 1 0 .6 4 Sample Range 1 0 5 R = 4 .6 6 5 0 L C L = 0 0 1 0 2 0 S a m p le N u m b e r S C h a rt fo r X 1 - X 4 5 U C L = 4 .6 9 0 Sample StDev 4 3 S = 2 .0 7 0 2 1 L C L = 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 S a m p le N u m b e r G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 19 X-bar using R vs X-bar using s X -b a r C h a rt fo r X 1 - X 4 3 8 U C L = 3 7 .6 5 Sample Mean 3 7 3 6 3 5 M e a n = 3 4 .3 5 3 4 3 3 3 2 L C L = 3 1 .0 5 3 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 0 S a m p le N u m b e r X -b a r C h a rt fo r X 1 - X 4 38 U C L = 3 7 .7 2 Sample Mean 37 36 35 M e a n = 3 4 .3 5 34 33 32 31 L C L = 3 0 .9 8 30 0 10 20 S a m p le N u m b e r G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 20 10 Ball Bearing Case Study A small plant has a single line producing ball bearings. The process output characteristic of interest is maximum diameter, measured to the nearest .01mm. Starting at 8:00 AM, a sample of 5 ball bearings is taken and measured. This continues every half hour until 30 samples have been taken. The subgroup size of each sample is 5. G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 21 Ball Bearing Data Sample x1 x2 8:00 8.25 8:30 10.09 9.68 x3 x4 x5 9.71 10.06 9.65 10.39 9.38 9.76 11.27 . . . . . . . . . . . . 22:30 9.55 9.82 10.47 10.72 10.09 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 22 11 Ball Bearing Data Ball Bearing Maximum Diameter (.01mm) Sample Mean 11 UCL=10.75 10 Mean=9.949 LCL=9.145 9 Subgroup 0 Sample Range Sample 1 3 10 20 30 12:30 17:30 22:30 1 1 1 UCL=2.950 2 R=1.395 1 0 LCL=0 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 23 Ball Bearing Data Ball Bearing Maximum Diameter (.01mm) Sample Mean 11 1 UCL=10.58 10 Mean=9.932 LCL=9.279 9 Subgroup Sample Range Sample 0 10 20 13:30 19:00 UCL=2.393 2 R=1.132 1 0 LCL=0 After eliminating points at 8:00,12:00,16:00,20:00 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 24 12 Ball Bearing Data Sample Mean Ball Bearing Maximum Diameter (.01mm) UCL=10.56 10.5 10.0 Mean=9.898 9.5 LCL=9.236 9.0 Subgroup 0 Sample Range Sample 5 10 15 20 25 10:30 13:30 16:30 19:00 22:30 UCL=2.424 2 R=1.146 1 LCL=0 0 After eliminating point at 19:30 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 25 Chart vs Population Estimate Estimated Chart and Population Distributions 2 f(x) 1.5 n(9.90,0.22) 1 0.5 n(9.90,0.49) 0 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 11.5 12 Diameter (.01mm) Note: 0.49/sqrt(5) = 0.22 G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 26 13 Operations Charts Ball Bearing Diameter - x-bar Chart Diameter (.01mm) 11.00 UCL = 10.56 10.50 Centerline = 9.90 10.00 9.50 LCL = 9.24 9.00 Sample Time Ball Bearing Diameter - R Chart 3.00 UCL = 2.42 Range (.01mm) 2.50 2.00 Centerline = 1.15 1.50 1.00 0.50 LCL = 0.00 0.00 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 27 Operations Charts with Zones Ball Bearing Diameter - x-bar 10.80 Diameter (.01mm) 10.60 10.40 10.20 10.00 9.80 9.60 9.40 9.20 10.56 10.34 10.12 10.12 9.90 9.90 9.68 9.68 9.46 9.46 9.24 9.24 ZONE A ZONE A ZONE B ZONE B ZONE C ZONE C ZONE C ZONE C ZONE B ZONE B ZONE ZONE AA 9.00 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 28 14 Zone Rules for Control Chart Interpretation Two out of Three Points in Zone A (x-bar only) x-bar or R value x-bar or R value Extreme Points (x-bar & R) Sample Time Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 29 Zone Rules for Control Chart Interpretation Runs Above and Below Centerline (x-bar & R) x-bar or R value x-bar or R value Four out of Five Points in Zone B or Beyond (x-bar) 1 Sample Time 6 11 16 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 30 15 Zone Rules for Control Chart Interpretation x-bar or R value Successive Points 14Six Successive Points Increasing or Decreasing Oscillate Up and Down (x-bar & R) (x-bar & R) x-bar or R value Six Successive Points Increasing or Decreasing (x-bar & R) 1 6 11 16 1 6 Sample Time 11 16 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 31 Zone Rules for Control Chart Interpretation x-bar or R value Fifteen Successive Points in Zone C Only (x-bar) x-bar or R value Eight Successive Points that Avoid Zone C (x-bar) 1 3 5 7 Sample Time 9 11 1 6 11 16 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 32 16 Pick Out All the Zone Violations x-bar or R value x-bar Chart 1 6 11 16 21 26 Sample Time G. Baker, Statistics Department University of South Carolina: Slide 33 17