HOFSTRA UNIVERSITY FRANK G. ZARB SCHOOL OF BUSINESS “Educating for Personal and Professional Achievement” DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE FINANCE 205 INVESTMENTS (Graduate Course) Fall 2013 Semester, Sec. 01, Wed 1:00 -3:20 PM, CRN: 91927, CV Starr 0104 INSTRUCTOR OFFICE HOUR LOCATION OF OFFICE PHONE EXTENSION ON CAMPUS E-MAIL ADDRESS Dr. Ehsan Nikbakht, CFA, FRM Tue and Thur 2:15 PM to 3:45 PM Weller 116A 516-463-5679 finezn@hofstra.edu GENERAL INFORMATION Location of Department Office Telephone number of Department Department Chairperson 221 Weller Hall 463-5698 Dr. K.G. Viswanathan, CFA DESCRIPTION OF COURSE An examination of models and techniques used to conduct security analysis. Extensive coverage of fundamental approaches to the valuation of stocks is provided. Topics include cash flow valuation and relative valuation techniques to analyze markets, industries and companies. Earnings forecasting and stock selection are covered in depth. The use of technical analysis for making investment decisions is investigated. Equilibrium asset pricing and the efficient capital markets hypothesis are also discussed. Coverage of bond fundamentals including pricing, yield computation, risk in fixed income securities along with the calculation and implications of duration and convexity. An introduction to the pricing of derivative securities and their investment uses is provided. PREREQUISITES OF COURSE Prerequisites: FIN 203, QM 203 READING SOURCES • Textbook: Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex and Alan J. Marcus Investments (the latest edition) • Computer Proficiency: Students are expected to be proficient in using spreadsheets and finance calculators. Excel is intensively used and required. PROGRAM-WIDE LEARNING GOALS Knowledge Base: Each student will demonstrate knowledge of the theories, models, and analytical tools relevant to his/her major field of study • Given a course assignment or exam, each student will be able to apply analytical tools or strategies relevant to his/her discipline to problem solve. Communications: Each student will effectively communicate orally and in writing. • Each student will be able to produce a written project that meets all course requirements and is informative, analytical, well written, and uses appropriate citations (footnotes and bibliography). Critical Thinking: Each student will be able to identify, analyze and solve complex business problems. • Given problems that need to be solved, each student will be able to identify and apply methods that are appropriate to his/her discipline to problem solve. INSTRUCTOR’S COURSE-SPECIFIC LEARNING GOALS Each student will learn how to retrieve financial data from Bloomberg and other sources as available and use them for stock valuation and analysis through selected Excel apps such as Solver. SCHOOL OF BUSINESS POLICY ON MAKEUP EXAMINATIONS To be eligible for a makeup examination, a student must submit to the instructor written documentation of the reason for missing a scheduled examination due to medical problems or death of an immediate family member. The instructor (not the student) determines whether and when a makeup is to be given. If a makeup examination is to be given, the instructor will determine the type of makeup examination. If the student misses (for any reason) the scheduled makeup examination, additional make-ups are not permissible. UNIVERSITY POLICY ON INCOMPLETE GRADES When requested by the student, the instructor may grant, at her/his discretion, a grade of Incomplete (‘I’). An ‘I’ grade should be given only when unforeseen circumstances prevent the student from completing course work on time. As part of the normal final-grade process, the instructor must submit an ‘I’ grade online to the Office of Academic Records with a default grade, the grade the student will receive if the missing work is not completed. The default final grade must be a letter grade or a permanent ‘I’; a UW is not an acceptable default grade. In unusual circumstances, the faculty member may submit an ‘I’ grade without prior discussion with the student. The instructor will decide the time frame in which the student will complete the required course work. However, the deadline may not exceed one calendar year from the close of the semester or session in which the course was taken. A student will not be allowed to attend the regular class meetings at the next offering of the course. The instructor will inform the student of the completion requirements and terms. The instructor is required to submit a grade for the student within 30 days after the student has submitted work to fulfill the terms specified. If the instructor cannot oversee the completion of the incomplete work with the student, the instructor will arrange for oversight within the department with the Dean’s permission. If the incomplete work is not completed by the deadline, the ‘I’ grade will convert to the default grade previously submitted by the instructor. UNIVERSITY POLICY ON ACADEMIC HONESTY Academic dishonesty is a serious ethical and professional infraction. “Hofstra University places high value upon educating students about academic honesty. At the same time, the University will not tolerate dishonesty, and it will not offer the privileges of the community to the repeat offender.” Please refer to the Undergraduate Policy at http://www.hofstra.edu/pdf/Faculty/Senate/senate_FPS_11.pdf for details about what constitutes academic dishonesty, including plagiarism, and Hofstra’s procedures for handling violations. DEPARTMENT STATEMENT ON ACADEMIC HONESTY The Department of Finance is dedicated to maintaining the highest level of academic honesty in all of its classes. The University Policy on Academic Honesty states that expulsion from the University is a possible punishment for academic dishonesty. The University Policy also states that students "must avoid not only cheating, but the very appearance of cheating." Activities such as looking at the examination of another student, talking, or passing notes during examinations give the appearance of cheating, and therefore will be regarded as cheating. Submission of assigned work that is identical in any abnormal way to the work of another student is subject to reasonable interpretation as cheating. Students knowingly providing work to others are as guilty of cheating as those who accept their work. Please see Blackboard for more information on the definition of plagiarism. (For further information on academic honesty, please refer to the "Policy on Academic Honesty" in the Hofstra University General Bulletin. ) STUDENT WITH DISABILITIES STATEMENT If you believe you need accommodations for a disability, please contact Services for Students with Disabilities(SSD). In accordance with Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 and the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, qualified individuals with disabilities will not be discriminated against in any programs, or services available at Hofstra University. Individuals with disabilities are entitled to accommodations designed to facilitate full access to all programs and services. SSD is responsible for coordinating disability-related accommodations and will provide students with documented disabilities accommodation letters, as appropriate. Since accommodations may require early planning and are not retroactive, please contact SSD as soon as possible. All students are responsible for providing accommodation letters to each instructor and for discussing with him or her the specific accommodations needed and how they can be best implemented in each course. For more information on services provided by the university and for submission of documentation, please contact the Services for Students with Disabilities, 212 Memorial Hall, 516-463-7075. METHODS OF EVALUATING STUDENTS Class participation is strongly recommended. Students use desktops and resources when available in the classroom (or their laptops) to participate in discussion and problem solving. There will be two exams in this course – a midterm exam and a final exam. The final exam is cumulative of all chapters, readings, assignments, and discussions that we had in class. Assigned projects will be collected as part of your portfolio for course evaluation. See below for the breakdown of the components to determine a final grade. No extra credit or extra assignment will be considered in final evaluation. Midterm Exam Final Exam: Cumulative Project and Participation Total 30% 40% 30% 100% Industry and Company Analysis: A required assignment 1. Week 1: Students are formed in groups of two in the first meeting of the course. 2. Weeks 2: By the end of the second session, each group will choose two industries with four companies from each industry. The choice of the firms is discussed among the student and must be approved by your professor. 3. Week 4: Using Bloomberg data (or other sources if Bloomberg is not available to you), each group will prepare a four page report evaluating the two industries they choose for study. Among topics you should cover in this section are: a. Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each industry. b. Collect the historical and current performance data for each industry using selected ETFs or other industry indexes. If you are in a class room equipped with Bloomberg Database, the instructor will show you how to import data from Bloomberg to your Bloomberg Excel. If Bloomberg is not available, other sources could be used for this section. c. Identify the major players in each industry. d. Evaluate the emerging regulations that may affect the industry . e. Determine the industry trend/s and whether you are bullish, bearish or neutral on each industry. 4. Week 6: Using data extracted from Bloomberg or other sources, choose the two firms from each industry with the highest Sharp ratio or the least CV ratio (or the best performance based on other indicators as discussed in class.) 5. Week 8: Using stock valuation methods leaned in this course, determine and report a value for the stocks under your study. With a 5% margin of error in stock valuation, determine if you should include the stock/s in constructing your portfolio. The concept of margin of error in the choice of stocks will be discussed in class. You many change your choice of stocks as you make progress if needed. 6. Week 10: Using portfolio diversification methods learned in this course, determine the best asset allocation among the stocks under your study. Note: You need to run many iterations to derive your most efficient portfolio. 7. Week 12: Prepare a volatility report for the stocks under your study based on the materials covered in the course. You may use a moving average standard deviation for this purpose. 8. Week 15: Each group will be given up to 15 minutes to give a final oral presentation about the industries/firms under study as outlined above. 9. A final written report is submitted to your professor in the last day of your class. FALL 2013 SEMESTER COURSE CALENDAR Week 1 2 M Date 9/2 W 9/4 W Topic Labor Day. University Closed. Classes begin on 9/3 We meet on Sept 4th (Note: only evening classes are not in session.) Chapter 1-4 and Review 9/11 Chapter 1-4 3 4 W W 9/18 9/25 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 W W W W W W W W W W W 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30 11/6 11/13 11/20 11/27 12/4 12/11 Chapter 6-7 Chapter 9-10 Chapter 9-10 Chapter 17 Chapter 18 Chapter 11, 12 Chapter 14 Chapter 15 Chapter 16 Chapter 20 Thanksgiving Recess – NO Classes Cases Presentation 16 W 12/18 Assignment N/A Odd Numbered Problems (ONP) ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 ONP 1-11 Group Discussion Power Point slides for your group project and the final project are due Finals Week for ALL classes All items on the syllabus are tentative and subject to change at the instructor’s discretion. . COURSE OUTLINE (Note: Depending on the edition you may have, the chapter numbers may vary.) I. A Quick Review of TVM Application Logistics for the course Review of Financial environment Investment environment . Different types of securities and the organization and operation of securities markets and a discussion of the construction and characteristics of major security market indexes. Text: Chapters 1-4. II. Asset Pricing Models Risk retunr, investors’ risk preferences and the equity risk premium. Coverage of portfolio risk and return concepts. Development and coverage of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Discussion of applications and empirical issues related to Index Models. Text: Chapter 5 (pages 127-138), Chapters 6-7, Chapter 9 (pages 280-293) and Chapter 10 III. Fundamental Analysis Cash flow and relative valuation techniques for the analysis of industries and companies. The significance of unique industry and company attributes are stressed. Issues related to using financial statements for assessing the earnings potential and risk of firms. Coverage of cash flow valuation models. Economic significance of Price/Earnings, Price/Book, Price/Sales and other relative valuation techniques are presented. Text: Chapters 17 and 18 IV. Market Efficiency, Behavioral Finance and Technical Analysis Efficient markets and significance for fundamental and technical analysis is presented. Recent advances in behavioral finance are discussed. Coverage of the underlying assumptions of technical analysis and some of some common approaches used by technicians. Text: Chapters 12 and 11 V. Bond Fundamentals and Valuation Fixed income securities. Valuation and characteristics of fixed-income securities are covered. Measurement and application of duration and convexity are discussed. A discussion of the term structure of interest rates is also provided. Text: Chapters 14, 15 and 16 (pp. 512-526). VI. Introduction to Derivative Securities Application and pricing of options, futures and forwards is provided. The role of these derivatives in managing risk in investment decisions is stressed. Text: Chapters 20 (pages 671-690) and 22 (pages 759-774).