Canada’s Asia-Pacific Gateway and Corridor Research Consortium, Vancouver, British Columbia, May 2-4 2007 Corridors and the Maritime / Land Interface: North America and the Pacific Jean-Paul Rodrigue Associate Professor, Dept. of Economics & Geography, Hofstra University, New York, USA Email: ecojpr@hofstra.edu Paper available at: http://people.hofstra.edu/faculty/Jean-paul_Rodrigue Mounting Capacity and Time Pressures in Global Freight Distribution ■ Time is the essence… • Surprising time underperformance: • Only 63% of transpacific container vessels arrived on time at their scheduled port calls. • 53% for transatlantic port calls. • The major factor behind delays is port congestion: • • • • • Multidimensional concept. Physical docking capacity. Transshipment capacity. Storage capacity. Inland capacity. • Reinforce the importance of the maritime / land interface. A Hard Pill to Swallow: The Emma Maersk Logistics and the Acceleration of Freight ■ The velocity of freight Speed barrier Transshipment Pull Logistics Logistical threshold Containerization Push Logistics Shipment • Shipment and transshipment. • No significant speed improvements in recent decades. • Intermodal operations; the most important element. • Logistical threshold: • Time based management of distribution becomes a possibility. • From push (supply based) to pull (demand based) logistics. Elements of the Maritime / Land Interface Maritime Freight Distribution Foreland (Shipping Network) Inland Freight Distribution Port System Gateways Road Rail Corridors and Hubs Hinterland (FDC) Coastal / Fluvial Foreland: Liner Shipping Networks Regional Port System Conventional liner / break bulk services Mainline services Feeder services Third order network First order network Second order network Regional Port System Two Major Transpacific Pendulum Routes Serviced by OOCL, 2006 (The Wal-Mart Express) Vancouver Seattle Qingdao Shanghai Laem Chabang Shekou Ningbo Hong Kong Kaohsiung Northwest Express (NWX) Pusan Kobe Tokyo Oakland Los Angeles 40 Days Nagoya Singapore 49 Days South China Express (SCX) Note: Paths are approximate and transit time includes port time Source: OOCL Web Site Largest American Importers of Asian Goods Through Maritime Container Transport, 2004 (in TEUs) CVS (Eckerds) Honda Hamilton Beach Toyota Matsushita Samsung Payless ShoeSource Ashley Furniture Costco Lowe's Ikea Sears (K-Mart) Target Home Depot Wal-Mart 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 Main North American Trade Corridors and Metropolitan Freight Centers Edmonton Calgary Vancouver Winnipeg Seattle Halifax Portland Montreal Minneapolis Toronto Boston Detroit Chicago Salt Lake City Pittsburgh Philadelphia Baltimore San Francisco Denver Cincinnati Kansas City St. Louis Norfolk Charlotte Los Angeles San Diego New York Cleveland Oklahoma Ci ty Memphis Phoenix Atl anta Charleston Dallas Hub Gateway Houston New Orleans Miami The Hinterland Effect: Interdependencies and Imbalances ■ Macro-economic and physical imbalances • Globalization has made the economies of the Pacific Rim more integrated. • These interdependencies however come with acute imbalances. • The core of these imbalances is at start macro-economic: • Comparative advantages. • Foreign direct investments. • Debt and asset inflation. • Macro-economic imbalances have an outcome in the physical world of freight flows: • • • • International trade. Container flows. Transportation rates. Structure of long distance transport services. The “Perpetual Motion” Machine: The Dynamics of the World’s Most Significant Trade Relationship USD $ for goods Unemployment Investment Goods Interest Rates Borrowing Bonds (IOUs) Reserves China $ for bonds USD Asset Inflation Debt United States World’s 10 Largest Exporters and Importers, 2005 Belgium Imports Exports Canada Italy United Kingdom Netherlands France Japan China United States Germany 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Billions of $US 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Containerized Cargo Flows along Major Trade Routes, 1995-2006 (in millions of TEUs) 2006 14.5 2005 13.9 2004 4.9 4.3 12.4 2003 10.2 2002 8.8 2001 4.1 3.9 8.9 7.3 6.1 5.9 2000 5.6 3.3 1998 5.2 3.3 3.5 2.7 1.31.7 1995 4.0 0 9.9 4.2 3.9 7.2 12.7 4.5 7.3 5.6 2.6 4.2 1.8 3.3 Asia-USA USA-Asia Asia-Europe Europe-Asia USA-Europe Europe-USA 5.2 1.7 3.2 4.9 1.7 2.9 4.2 1.5 2.6 4.0 2.7 3.6 3.6 2.2 2.9 3.5 2.8 2.31.21.4 10 20 30 40 50 2005-4 2005-2 2004-4 2004-2 2003-4 2003-2 2002-4 2002-2 2001-4 2001-2 2000-4 2000-2 1999-4 1999-2 1998-4 1998-2 1997-4 1997-2 1996-4 1996-2 1995-4 1995-2 $500 1994-4 1994-2 1993-4 Maritime Freight Rates (USD per TEU), 1993-2006 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 Asia - US US- Asia Asia - Europe Europe - Asia $0 Container Traffic at Major Transpacific Container Ports: Mirror Images? Pacific Asia Anchorage Tokaido Yellow Sea Rim Dalian YokohamaTokyo Busan Tianjin OsakaKobe Nagoya 2004 Traffic Less than 2 million TEU Quingdao 2 million to 4 million TEU Prince Rupert Shanghai 4 million to 7 million TEU Ningbo Sunan Delta 7 million to 10 million TEU Taiwan / Fujian Keelung Pearl River Delta Shenzhen Yantian Guangzhou More than 10 million TEU Kaohsiung Puget Sound Hong Kong Vancouver Fraser Seattle Tacoma Portland Manila San Francisco Bay Oakland Laem Chabang San Pedro Bay Singapore Los Angeles Long Beach Port Kalang Singapore Tanjung Pelepas Ensenada Tanjung Priok North American West Coast Port Holdings as Elements of the Maritime / Land Interface ■ Horizontal integration using fixed assets • Gain a foothold in a wide variety of markets (strategic positioning). • Capture value added activities linked with inland distribution. • Financial assets. • Managerial expertise. • Gateway access. • Leverage. • Traffic capture. • Global perspective. Global Port Terminal Ownership, 2001 Other Private Port Authorities Ocean Carriers Global Port Holdings 0 10 20 30 40 Share of global port container throughput Share of global terminal ownership 50 Majort Port Holdings, 2007 Dedicated Maritime Container Terminals APM Terminals Dubai Ports World Hutchison Port Holdings Port of Singapore Authority Eurogate Stevedoring Services of America Pacific Asia Europe Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Dept. of Economics & Geography, Hofstra University Port Holdings at Transpacific Container Ports Pacific Asia Yellow Sea Rim 14 (4) AIG (American International Group) Tokaido 5 (3) APM (A.P. Moller Group) DPW (Dubai Ports World) EVG (Evergreen) HAN (Hanjin) HPH (Hutchison Port Holdings) OOCL (Orient Overseas Container Line) PSA (Port of Singapore Authority) Sunan Delta 6 (2) Pearl River Delta 16 (3) SSA (Stevedoring Services of America) Taiwan / Fujian 10 (6) Puget Sound 9 (6) San Francisco Bay Singapore 8 (3) San Pedro Bay 4 (3) 8 (6) North American West Coast Gateways and Hinterland Effect Pacific Asia North American West Coast SEZ Corridor Inefficient Inland Freight Distribution Efficient Inland Freight Distribution Container Transport Costs from Inland China to US West Coast ($US per TEU) Land access to final destination (USA) Port handling (USA) Maritime transport Port handling (China) Land access to port (China) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 100.0 9 8 7 10.0 6 5 4 1.0 3 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2 1 0.1 0 Loaded (inbound) Loaded (outbound) Loaded Ratio (Outbound / Inbound) Empty (inbound) Empty (outbound) Empties Ratio (Outbound / Inbound) Millions Containers Handled by the Port of Los Angeles, 19952006 (in TEU) Port of Los Angeles / Long Beach, Inland Flows Intra-terminal On-dock rail yards Near-dock rail yards Alameda Corridor Non-local destination 16% Non-local destination 13% Marine Terminal Off-dock rail yards Rail Non-local destination 13% Transloading facility Off-dock rail yards Non-local destination 22% Warehouse Transloading facility Local destination 34% Warehouse Truck Non-local destination 2% The “Agile Port” System (Maritime / Rail Container Terminal Cluster) On-dock rail terminal Local & regional distribution Dedicated Rail Corridor National rail distribution Transloading Local & regional distribution Port Terminal Foreland Inland Rail Terminal Maritime / Land Interface Hinterland Container Port Traffic and Ownership of Major Rail Lines, 2005 Fraser Burlington Northern Sante Fe (BNSF) Kansas City Southern (KCS) Canadian National (CN) Norfolk Southern (NS) Canadian Pacific (CP) Union Pacific (UP) CSX Transportation (CSXT) Other Ferromex (FNM) Vancouver Tacoma Seattle Halifax Portland Montreal Boston New York/New Jersey Wilmington (DE) Philadelphia Baltimore Oakland Hampton Roads Long Beach Los Angeles Wilmington (NC) Charleston Savannah Jacksonville Houston Gulfport New Orleans Port Traffic in TEU (2005) Less than 300,000 300,000 to 500,000 500,000 to 1,000,000 Port Everglades Palm Beach 1,000,000 to 3,000,000 Miami More than 3,000,000 Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Dept. of Economics & Geography, Hofstra University Potential Location of Major Transmodal Rail Facilities: Maritime Gateways and Inland Hubs Calgary Vancouver Seattle Regina Winnipeg Tacoma Montreal Minneapolis Chicago Oakland Kansas City New York/New Jersey St Louis Hampton Roads Memphis Long Beach Los Angeles Dallas / Fort Worth Houston Charleston Savannah Maritime Rail Gateway Transmodal Rail Hub Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Dept. of Economics & Geography, Hofstra University Conclusion: Improving the North American Maritime / Land Interface ■ Transpacific trade • Substantial rebalancing of the global economy. • Emergence of global production networks. • Imbalanced freight flows. ■ The Maritime / land interface • An interaction between maritime shipping networks, gateways and their corridors. • Improving the velocity of freight from an intermodal and transmodal perspective. • The throughput of a gateway must be supported by the throughput of its corridors (vice-versa). • The introduction of a new generation of containerships (above 10,000 TEU) may force solutions. The Future of the Maritime / Land Interface: Maritime Shipping Companies taking Control of Inland Distribution?