Indrajeet Chaubey Purdue University ichaubey@purdue.edu Water Quality Modeling Food, Energy, Water Workshop https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology October 12, 2015 Iowa State University Remote Sensing Based Inputs In Situ Input Weather, Vegetation Vigor Soil Moisture Multiscale Models Field Scale Model 1 Site Output Database Downloadable Databases Weather Data Field Scale Model 2 Watershed Scale Regional Scale Models Models Soil Data Regional Scale Models Crop Data Weather Simulation Data https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology Weather/Climate Landscape & Hydrology Precipitation Transpiration (from plants) Evaporation (from leaves and bare soil) Corn Runoff Infiltration Grass Runoff Plant Uptake Tile Drains (if applicable) Percolation Lateral Flow Return Flow Deep Percolation Groundwater https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology Ditch/ Stream Landscape & Nitrogen Precipitation Fertilizer Volatilization Trapped by Filter Strip Nitrogen loss with soil erosion Grass Corn Infiltration (Nitrate) Tillage Runoff Plant Uptake Tile Drains (if applicable) Percolation (Nitrate) Deep Percolation (Nitrate Leaching) Lateral Flow (Nitrate) Some organic N is attached to eroded soil particles and nitrate (NO3-) is dissolved in water https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology Nutrient Cycling Sw Sb Sp Water Benthic zone Sediments Complete cycle = spiraling length Spiraling length (S) = uptake length (Sw) + turnover length (Sb+Sp) C Q C 1 C 1 AD kcC k B C B t A x A x x h (Advection) (Dispersion) (Uptake) https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology (Release) Water quality modeling– Wildcat Creek Watershed Cibin et al., 2011 https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology 6 Perennial bioenergy crops improve water quality • Bioenergy crops grown on marginal Lands https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology 7 Perennial bioenergy crops improve ecosystem services St Joseph river watershed High slope area: 347 Km2(33% of corn/soybean area and 12% of watershed area) Fresh water provision (FWPI) , food (FPI) and fuel provision (FuPI), erosion regulation 8 https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology (ERI), and flood regulation (FRI) based on Logsdon & Chaubey, 2013 Crop placement optimization - example •Objective Functions: •maximize biomass production •Minimize erosion, nitrate losses •Constraints: •Grain yield reduction < 10% •Total biomass production to support >100 million gallon ethanol •At least 20% of biomass from switchgrass •Stover removed from slopes < 2% https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology Effects of climate change on hydrology • Projected decrease in snowfall, cover and depth • Rainfall is projected to increase • Altered streamflow timing and amount – Earlier spring peak flows – Increase in flash floods and high flows – Decline in summer seasonal streamflow • Increase risk of summer moisture stress • Temperature in projected to increase • – Longer growing season – Longer period for growth – Increase evapotranspiration Intense rainfall events – soil erosion – Runoff process https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology Climate change impacts on ecohydrologic processes Miscanthus in high slope marginal land- St. Joseph River watershed Flow (m3/s) Sediment (Mg/ha) Org N (kg/ha) Org P (kg/ha) Nitrate-N (kg/ha) Min P (kg/ha) Results that are similar under all climate periods and GCMs (error bars) show that water quality benefits due to land use change is generally greater than the effects of climate change variability. https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology 11 Future Research Needs 1. Experimental data at multiple spatial and temporal scales 2. Improvements in the current watershed models to include ecohydrologic process representation 3. Climate change impacts on catchment scale ecohydrologic processes 4. Threshold effects https://engineering.purdue.edu/ecohydrology