How can we evaluate the contribution of intangible assets on productivity growth ? - Measurement in IO & SNA Masahiro KURODA Economic and Social Research Institute Cabinet Office, Japan Story on Productivity Paradox Productivity Paradox: ・R.Solow remarked in1987 that “you see the computer revolution everywhere except in the productivity data.” Conceptualization Problem: ・Greenspan pointed out that the negative trends in measured productivity in many service sectors seemed inconsistency with the facts that they ranked among the top computer-using industries. ・Questions raised by Greenspan on the accuracy of the computer price index. Productivity Trends in 1990s - U.S. vs. Japan and Europe Robert E. Rubin, former Secretary of the Treasury, pointed out that the return of the productivity in the U.S. at the first half of 1990s and raised several factors for the recovery. 1. The restoration of sound fiscal policy. 2. Advances in technology contributed to the US productivity growth. Why Europe and Japan did not experience increased productivity growth, although they had access to the same technologies the US did in the 1990s. 3. America’s culture and historical disposition to take risks and embrace change. 4. More flexible labor market . 5. Openness of the market: Japan’s and Europe’s relatively less open markets protected companies and reduced their incentive to become more efficient. -Contents・ At first, I will observe the facts on productivity growth by commodity by 7 Japanese linked Input-Output tables since 1960 and summarize recent features on the productivity growth in Japan. ・ How to evaluate the contribution of intangible assets on productivity growth. / Classification of intangible assets. / Treatment of intangible assets in current SNA and Input-Output framework ・Software ・Innovative property ・Economic competencies ・Problems to be solved Linked IO Tables and Related Data ・ Linked IO Tables /60-65-70 Linked: 339 /65-70-75 Linked: 392 /70-75-80 Linked: 394 /75-80-85 Linked: 349 /80-85-90 Linked: 353 /85-90-95 Linked: 394 /90-95-00 Linked: 394 commodities commodities commodities commodities commodities commodities commodities ・Time-series Labor and Capital Service (Keio Economic Observatory Data) Input Quantity and price Index: 43 Industrial sectors : (1960-2000) Triangulation and Technology Linkage Construction Machinery Electric Products Metal Products Food Products Stone & Clay Mnf. Final Prod. Material Prod. Energy Auxiliary Repairs Service Block Classification Technology Linkage: Semiconductor production Personal Computer etc. Consump. Invest. Applied Electronics Semiconductor Non-ferrous Metal Prod. Non-ferrous Mine Other IT installed Machine Productivity Analysis䋺 Commodity-base Own TFP I-O Table j-Industry Intermediate Input Aij Xj Capital Input Bij Xj TFP ; Tj 䊶 Commodity-base Commodity 䊶 Structural Change X j , K j , Lj 䊶 Production Function Xj =f ( Kj, Lj, Xij, Tj ) 䊶 Own Total Factor Productivity Labor Input Output Lkj Xj Xj x x Tj Xj Tj Xj x ¦sxij n Xij Xij x sLj Lj Lj x sKj Kj Kj Unit Structure & Static Unit TFP 䊶Unit Structure Intermediate Input Aij Xj Capital Input Bij Xj Labor Input Output Lkj Xj Xj Taking f*=e(i), where e(i) denotes the i-th unit Vector with a one in position I and all other entities Equal to zero, the matrices of intermediate deliveries, X*, labor L*, and capital K* required for producing A single unit of final demand of commodity are given as follows: 1 ª X t º ª At ( I At ) ft º » « » « L 1 Ut / f e « Lt » « Bt ( I At ) ft » t (i ) « Kt » « B K ( I A )1 f » t t » ¬ ¼ «¬ t ¼ 䊶 䊶 Ti PjXj Tj Ti = 㰿j PvV Tj 䊶 Aggregation of commodity-based TFP K:Re pare s L:Se rvi J:A u xialry Produ c ts H:Mate rial G:Oth e r Man u fac tu rin g Fin al Produ ct F:Stone &Clay Prod. E :Food D:Me tal Produ c ts -10 C:Electric & Electronic -5 Commoditie s B:Mac h in e ry & E qu ipme n t -15 -20 A:Con stru c t -25 Ow Sta % L L L L L K K J J J J I H H H H H G G G G G G G G F E E E D D C C B B B B A Annual Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the per iod 60-65 20 15 10 5 0 Difference between Static Unit and Own TFP : 1960-1965 8 6 4 % 2 0 difference 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91 101 111 121 131 141 151 161 171 181 191 201 211 221 231 241 251 261 271 281 291 301 311 321 331 -2 -4 -6 -8 Commodities L :S e r v i c e K :R e p a i r s J :A u x i a r y P r o d u c t s -15 -20 Commodi ti es E :E n e r g y P r o d u c t s H :M a t e r i a l Prod u c ts G :O t h e M a n u f a c t u r i n g F i n a l Prod u c ts F :S t o n e & C l a y P r o d u c t s E :F o o d P r o d u c t s -25 B :M a c h i n e r y & E q u i p m e n t -10 A :C o n s t r u c t i o n -30 C :E l e c t r i c & E l e c t r o n i c P r o d u c t s D :M e t a l P r o d u c t s Own TFP Static TFP -5 % A A B B B B C C D D E E E E F G G G G G G G H H H H H H J J J J J K L L L L L L L L L L Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the period 65-70 20 15 10 5 0 Difference between Static Unit and Own TFP: 1965-1970 12 10 8 6 4 2 % difference 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 254 265 276 287 298 309 320 331 342 353 364 375 386 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 Commodities -20 -25 -30 Commodi ti es L :S e r v i c e -15 K :R e p a i r s H :M a t e r i a l P r o d u c t s G :O t h e M a n u f a c tu rin g F i n a l Prod uc t -10 Own TFP Static TFP -5 L L L L L L L L L K J J J J J H H H H G H G G G G G F E E E D D J :A u x i a r y P r o d u c t s 25 C C B F :S t o n e & C l a y P r o d u c t s 5 B E :F o o d P r o d u c t s 10 B D :M e t a l P r o d u c t s 15 B C :E l e c t r i c & E l e c t r o n i c P r o d u c t s B :M a c h i n e r y & E q u i p m e n t A :C o n s t r u c t i o n 20 A A % Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the period 70-75 0 Difference betwen Static Unit and Own TFP : 1970-1975 5 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 254 265 276 287 298 309 320 331 342 353 364 375 386 % -5 -10 difference -15 Pe t r o le u m Ar o m at ic Pr o d. -20 Pe t r o le u m Re fin ar y Pr o d . -25 Commodities -10 L :S e r v i c e K :R e p a i r s -30 -40 Commodi ti es J :A u x i a r y P r o d u c t H :M a t e r i a l P r o d u c t G :O t h e r M a n u f a c t u r i n g F i n a l Prod uc t F :S t o n e & C l a y P r o d u c t s E :F o o d P r o d u c t s D :M e t a l P r o d u c t s C :E l e c t r i c & E l e c t r o n i c P r o d u c t s -50 B :M a c h i n e r y & E q u i p m e n t -20 A :C o n s t r u c t i o n -60 Own TFP Static TFP % Annual Growth rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the Period 75-80 30 20 10 0 A A B B B B C C D D D E E E F F G G G G H H H H H H J J J J K K L L L L L L L L L L L L Difference between Static Unit and Own TFP: 1975-1980 10 5 0 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91 101 111 121 131 141 151 161 171 181 191 201 211 221 231 241 251 261 271 281 291 301 311 321 331 341 -5 % -10 -15 difference -20 -25 -30 -35 st ar c h -40 Commodities -20 30 Commodi ti es L : S e r v ic e -10 J : A u x ia r y P r o d u c t s H : M a t e r ia l P r o d u c t s G : O t h e r M a n u f a c t u r in g P ro du c ts F :S t o n e & C la y P r o d u c t s E :F o o d P r o du c t s D :M e t a l P r o du c t s 40 A : C o n s t r u c t io n 20 B : M a c h in e r y & E q u ip m e n t C : E le c t r i c & E l e c t r o n ic P r o d u c t Own TFP Static TFP % Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP bt Commodities during the Period 80-85 50 10 0 A A B B B B B C C D D E E E E F G G G G G G H H H H H J J J J J L L L L L L L L L L L L L Diffe re n c e s be twe e n Static Un it an d Own TFP : 1 9 8 0 - 8 5 25 20 No n - fe r r o u s m e t al P r o d. % 15 10 difference 5 0 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91 101 111 121 131 141 151 161 171 181 191 201 211 221 231 241 251 261 271 281 291 301 311 321 331 341 351 -5 Commodities % Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the Period 85-90 20 15 10 Own TFP L :S e r v ic e K :R e p a ir s J :A u x u ia r y P r o d u c t s H :M a t e r ia l P r o d u c t s G :O t h e r M a n u f a c t u r in g F in a l P ro d. D :M e t a l P r o d u c t s E :F o o d P r o d u c t s F :S t o n e & C la y P r o d u c t s Commodi ti es C :E le c t r ic & E le c t r o n ic P ro du c ts -5 B : M a c h in e r y & E q u ip m e n t -15 A :C o n s t r u c t io n -10 Static TFP 5 0 A A B B B B B B C C C D D D E E E E E F G G G G G H H H H H J J J J J J K L L L L L L L L L L L L L De ffe re n c e be twe e n Static Un it an d Own TFP : 1 9 8 5 - 1 9 9 0 6 O t h e r n o n - m e t al i c o r e s 5 C o ppe r Vi de o Fac i l i t y 4 % 3 2 difference 1 0 1 -1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 254 265 276 287 298 309 320 331 342 353 364 375 386 P l ywo o d S t ar c h -2 Commodities O c e an T r an s po r t 0 L : S e r v ic e K : R e p a ir s Co mmo ditie s J : A u x ia r y P r o d u c t s H : M a t e r ia l P r o d u c t s G : O t h e r M a n u f a c t u r in g F in a l P ro du c ts F : S t o n e & C la y P r o d u c t s E :F o o d P r o du c t s D :M e t a l P r o du c t s -25 C : E le c t r ic & E le c t r o n ic P r o d u c t s -20 Static TFP -5 B : M a c h in e r y & E q u ip m e n t -15 A : C o n s t r u c t io n -10 A A B B B B B B C C C C D D D E E E E F G G G G G H H H H H J J J J J J K L L L L L L L L L L L L L Own TFP % Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the Period 90-95 20 15 10 5 Diffe re n c e s be twe e n Statric Un it an d Own TFP 1 9 9 0 - 1 9 9 5 8 Nu c l e ar Fu e l s C u ppe r 6 P i g Ir o n 4 Ro l l e d & dr awn Al u m i n u m T h e r m o pl ast i c s r e si n s Co m m oditie s PC 2 C o m pu t e r Pu lp 系列1 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 254 265 276 287 298 309 320 331 342 353 364 375 386 -2 -4 T u r bi n e s -6 % % Annual Growth Rate of Own and Static TFP by Commodities during the Period 95-00 25 20 15 10 L :S e r v ic e K :R e pa r e s J :A u x ia r y P r o du c t s Co m mo dit ie s H :M a t e r ia l P r o du c t s G :O t h e r M a n u fa c t u r in g F in a l P r o du c t s F :S t o n e & C la y P r o du c t s E :F o o d P r o du c t s D :M e t a l P r o du c t s -20 C :E le c t r ic & E le c t r o n ic P r o du c t s -5 B :M a c h in e r y & E qu ipm e n t -15 A :C o n s t r u c t io n -10 Own TFP Static TFP 5 0 A A B B B B B B C C C C D D D E E E E F G G G G G H H H H H J J J J J J K L L L L L L L L L L L L L Differences between Static Unit and Own TFP 1995-2000 6 PC C o m pu t e r 5 T u r bin e s 4 Vide o 3 T o ys & gam e s Applie d Ele c t r o n ic e qu ip. Diar y c at t le far m in g % Ho t r o ll st e e l 2 difference 1 0 1 -1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 254 265 276 287 298 309 320 331 342 353 364 375 386 pu lp -2 Commodities Adve r t isin g Changes of TFP Paterns During 1990-95 (Price) Own & Unit TFP : 95-00 年Domar Weight (1)Both Own (b) & (2) Own (b) is Unit (a) TFPs are positive, but Unit (a) negative and TFP is negative and differences (a-b) is differences (a-b) is 90-95 negative. also negative. (b) (a) (a-b) (b) (a) (a-b) 0311-04 Marine Culture 1711-01 Wooden Funiture and Fixtures 0213-01Special Forest Products 031201 Inland Water Fisheries and 1995-2000 (3)Both Own (b) & Unit(a) TFPs are positive,and differences (a-b) is negative. (b) (a) (a-b) (4) Both Own(b) & Unit(a) TFPs are negative, but differences (a-b) is positive. (b) (a) (a-b) 1521-01 Woven Fabric Apparel 4132-09 Other Civil Engineering 6112-01Reatl Trade 8519-09 Other Business Service 861201 General eating Places 861301 Hotel and Lodging Places 0112-02,0622-02,1113-03, 1119-02,112903,1141-01,1519-02,1813-01,191102,1911-03,2039-01,2039-02,207101,2071-02,2074-01,2079-09,231902,2411-01,2523-01,2599-02,301101,3011-03,3013-01,3019-01,301909,3021-01,3022-01,3024-02,302901,3029-02,3029-03,3029-04,302909,3031-01,3031-02,3031-09,351001,3611-02,3611-03,3719-01,413102,4131-03,4132-01,4132-02,521001,5211-02,7189-04,7189-09,861109,8619-02,8619-03,8619-04,861906,8619-07,8619-08 (1) (5) Own (b) is negative, but Unit(a) TFP is positive, and differences (a-b) is positive. (b) (a) (a-b) 2211-01 Plastic Poducts 352101 Trucks and Buses 411101 Residential Const.(wooden) 4112-02 Residential Const.(nonwooden) 4121-01 Repair of Construction 4131-01 Public Const. of Road 851501Repair of Car 8516-01 Repari of Machine 8611-04 Amusement and recreation Facilities (6) Both Own(b) & Unit(a) TFP are positive, and differences (a-b) is positive. (b) 1114-01 6211-01 6411-02 7122-01 (a) (a-b) Grain milling Financial Service Real Estate Rental Bus Transp. Service 0111-01,0116-01,0116-02,0121-02,012104,0212-01,0311-00,0622-01,071101,1111-01,1112-02,1112-03,111304,1113-09,1115-03,1116-02,111901,1119-05,1121-01,1121-03,112901,1129-02,1611-02,1829-01,202903,2039-09,2072-02,2121-02,231101,2512-01,2519-09,2531-01,259901,2599-03,3011-02,3024-01,32120131-01,0131-02,1117-05,1119-03,112102,3421-03,3629-01,3711-09,391102,1519-09,1521-02,1522-09,1619-09,2319- 01,5212-02,6212-02,7142-01,7161-01 01,2319-09,2412-02,2522-01,2599-09,301201,3112-01,3241-01,3611-01,3621-01,371903,3911-02,3919-01,3919-03,3919-09,411201,7311-01,8900-00 6111-01 Wholesale Trade 7111-01 Railway Transport 8211-01 School (Passengers) 1115-01,362101,5212-01,8213-03,8411-02 Education(Public) 861203 Eating and Drinking Places 0116for Pleasure 03,1119-09,1519-03,7121-02,718101,7189-02,7189-03,7189-06,731909,7321-03,8213-01,8221-01,822105,8313-01,8411-01,8514-01,851902,8619-01,8919-09 (2) 2061-01 Medicaments 3541-02 Internal Combustion engines for Motor Vehciles and Parts 6421-01 House Rent 8112-01 Public Adminm.(local) 8211-02 School Education (Private) 8222-01 R&D (intraenterprises) 8519-03 Civil Engineering and Construction Service 0113-00,0115-02,012109,1113-02,1114-02,1117-03,112109,1514-01,2029-02,2521-01,335903,3611-01,5211-03,6411-01,711201,7121-01,7143-01,7171-01,718901,7189-05,8213-02,8221-06,831202,8313-02,8313-04,8519-04,8611-06 0211-01,8313-03 8511-01 Advertising Saervices 9000-00 Activities not classified 3541-03 Parts of Motor Vehicles 1711-02 1116-01,1119-04,8519-01,8611-07 1131-02,1711-03,1813-02,1829-09,191101,2029-09,2599-04,2631-02,2812-01,289101,2899-02,2899-09,3111-01,3321-09,333201,3341-02,3411-02,3411-03,3421-02,362210,3629-09,3712-01,3719-02,4132-03,861102 3311-03 Electric Computing Equipment(accessory equipt.) 1821-09,2631-01,2721-01,2722-03,3919-05 0112-01,1513-01,1812-02,2031-02,204109,2611-03,2649-09,2722-02,2811-01,332101,3421-04,5121-01 0114-01,1115-02,1117-01,1512-01,151202,1821-01.2611-01,2623-01,2711-03 2111-01 Petroleun Refinery Producvts 262101 Hot Rolled Steel 3359-09 Other Electronic Components 731201 Telecommunication 8111-01 Public Admim.(central) 8311-01Medical Service(Public) 8311-02 Medical Service(NGO) 8311-03 Medical Service(Corporations) 851201 Information Services (3) 2021-01 1117-02,1519-01 1112-01,2011-01,2079-01,2899-01,289903,3019-02,3541-01,3919-02,391906,8611-03 (4) 0629-09,1512-03,1529-01,1529-09,161101,2032-01,2033-01,2412-01,263103,3321-03,3331-01,3411-01,341109,3421-05,3919-04,5122-21 (5) 0115-01,0621-01 0721-01,1811-01 5111-00 Electricity 6212-01 Life Insurance 011509,0121-05,1117-04,1131-01,161103,2031-01,2041-01,2072-01,271102,2722-09,7141-01,7321-01,732102,8221-02,8312-01,8512-02,861101,8611-05 0111-02,0121-01,0611-01,1511-01,181201,2029-01,2032-02,2039-03,203904,2041-02,2041-03,2051-01,205102,2073-01,2121-01, 2611-02,261104,2622-01,2623-02,2649-01,271101,2711-09,2721-02,2722-01,272204,3023-01,3111-09,3211-01,321102,3211-03,3212-01,3311-01,331102,3321-02,3359-01,3421-01,342109,3622-01,3711-01,5111-04,715101,8213-04, 8221-03,8221-04,8619-05 (6) Note: Rank of the Size in Domor Weight for Macro TFP Measures (1) Rank 1-10 (2) Rank 11-20 (3) Rank 21-30 (4) Rank 31-40 (5) Rank 41-50 (6) Rank 51- Se m ou s el ec t El ec eh ol d ro ni c El ic ec on tro app t ro lia du ni ni nc c cto c co es rd co m m ev p on pu ic en t in es ts g an eq d ui in Co pm te m g ra en m te un t A d ic pp c a irc lie t io G u d n oo el eq its ds ec ui t ro re pm nt n en ic al t eq Pu an ui d bl pm le ic as ad en i Fi ng m t na in se nc ist rv ia ra ic ls tio es er n vi ( ce ce nt an ra d l) in s ur Co an m c m In un e fo ic M rm at ed at io ica io n n l se se Pu rv rv bl ice ic ic ea s ad nd m in he ist al ra th tio n (l Re oca l) ta il tra de Ed uc at io n Re se ar ch H million JPY Capital formation in 2000 (Electronic computing equip.) Annual own TFP growth ('95-'00) Annual unit TFP growth ('95-'00) 3000000 2500000 2000000 1000000 500000 0 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 1500000 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% -2.00% Se m ic o nd uc rd cc ec cc t in ni pu tro om El sa ni ic e t ro ev ec om po ne g nt Co nd e s H o m in t e q u i m p g us m en e h u n ic ra t e t d ol a A p d e l ti o n c i r c e q u it p l ec t i r ui s e o Fi n a d e l n ic p m e e nc a i a l ct r o p p l n t s e n ic ia n rv c ic e e q u e s i Pu an pm bl d e ic W in s n t ad h o u ra m le s n c in i st a le e ra t ra tio de n (c e In Pu R e n tr a f or bl ic m t a i l l) a tr a ad m t io n de in i st s e r v ra t i o ic e s n Ad (l o ve c E r ti l al s in e c t r ) ic i Pu g a ty bl nd is h s in ur v g, e Co pr y m int R a m u n in g i l w ic a y a ti o tr a n ns po rt to El million JPY Capital formation in 2000 (Software) Annual own TFP growth ('95-'00) Annual unit TFP growth ('95-'00) 1400000 12.00% 1200000 10.00% 1000000 8.00% 800000 6.00% 600000 4.00% 400000 2.00% 200000 0.00% 0 -2.00% Classification of Intangible Assets defined by CHS (1)Computerized information 1-1) Custom software 1-2) Packaged software 1-3) In-house software 1-4) Data base (2)Innovative property 2-1) Science and engineering R&D 2-1) Mineral exploration 2-3) Copyright and license costs 2-4) Other product development design and research expenses (3) Economic Competencies 3-1) Brand equity 3-2) Firm-specific human capital 3-3) Organizational structure Note: c.corrado, C.R.Hulten and D.E.Sichel, (2006) ,”Intangible Capital and Economic Growth”, Working Paper 11948, NBER Measurement of Software Figure 1 Production Process and Use of Software Originals (1) Reproduction of Original (a) Own-account Original Software (b) Purchased Original Software Use in Reproduction *Original as Investment Use in Other Production ; Licenses to Use *Copies as Investment (c) Prepackaged Software Embedded onto Other Use in Other Production *Original as Investment Products *Copies as Intermediate Consumption (d)Pre-installed Software Use in Reproduction Licenses to Reproduction *Copies as Intermediate Consumption Note: (1) This figure is referred from Nomura(2004). K. Nomura (2004) ,”Capitalizing Own Account Software in Japan” Keio Economic Observatory, Discussion Paper Software Measurement in the Japanese IO and SNA ・IO framework: a) Customized software has been measured since 1980 as a commodity of information service industry. But it has not been capitalized. They were treated to be allocated into intermediates and consumption. b) Since 1995, customized software are capitalized and since 2000, package software was added into intangible assets. ・SNA framework: Since 1995 customized software, Mineral exploration and plant engineering were treated as intangible assets. Since 2000 package software was added. ・Pre-installed software is treated as intermediate input. ・Own-account software has not been capitalized so far. Capitalizing Own-accounts Software In the Japanese IO and SNA, so far the own-account software has not been treated explicitly not only as an intermediate input, but also as an intangible asset. We could understand the current treatment as the following alternative explanations. 1) Hypothesis 1: Own-accounts software seems to be included in the in-house R&D activities and allocated as intermediate inputs. R&D Hypothesis 2) Hypothesis 2: Own-accounts software seems to be included in every industry activities implicitly. Industry Activity Hypothesis R&D Activity Hypothesis R&D Activity Hypothesis: ・ Intra-enterprise R&D activities by industry has been identified in IO and its outcome including own-account software development is assumed to allocate to industries as intermediate inputs. Therefore in order to capitalize own-accounts software, firstly, we have to separate it from intra-enterprise R&D activity and secondly capitalize it. ・GDP measure is increased by capital formation, while GDI measure is increased by imputed rents + capital consumption allowance by own-account software as an intangible asset. Industry Activity Hypothesis Industry Activity Hypothesis: ・Own-accounts software activity assumes to be included in the industry activity implicitly. Then, own-accounts software activity has to be identified from the industry activity. ・Because own-accounts activity has been already included implicitly in the industry activity, treatment we have to do is only to identify the own-accounts software accounts from each industry activity and capitalize it. ・GDP is increased by capital formation and GDI is increased by capital consumption allowance. Alternative Methods on the Evaluation of R & D Activities by IO ・Current Treatment of the R&D Activities in the Japanese InputOutput Table 1) Classification Research Institutes for National Science (Public) Research Institutes for Cultural & Social Science (Public) Research Institutes for Natural Sciences (Private & non- profit) Research Institutes for Cultural & Social Science Private & non-profit) Research Institutes for Natural Sciences (Profit making) Research Institutes for Cultural & Social Sciences (Profit making) Research and Development (intra-enterprise) Current Treatment of R&D in JIO 2. Gross Output evaluated by Cost structure Gross Output = Total Intermediate Cost + Labor Compensation + Capital Consumption allowance where gross output in R&D sectors except profit making activities is evaluated by the total amount of cost, and that in the profit making R&D institute is added certain of profit to above cost. The deflator of gross output of the R&D activities in the institutes except the profit making institute is estimated by the cost structure. That means that TFP growth in R&D sector assumed to be zero by definition. Current Treatments of R&D in JIO 3. Outputs of the R&D activities, which are estimated by the information of expenditure side, are allocated into the using sectors as the intermediate inputs, but not into the final demand. It implies that R&D activities do not have any accumulation of the knowledge stock in the society. Alternative Treatments of R&D Activities 1. 2. 3. R&D activities assume to accumulate the knowledge stock to create new innovative action in the society. Some parts of the knowledge are freely distributed and the other are distributed with some charge. Whatever freely or non-freely available, we have to evaluate R&D activities by the cost. The R&D activities will accumulate the knowledge stock in the society. We have to evaluate the R&D activities not only in the current transaction, but also in the capital investment for the knowledge stock as intangible assets. We need information to allocate the output into intermediate demands as well as final demand by the using sectors. The knowledge stocks which are accumulated by the R&D activities is going to create new capital service dynamically. In the using sectors, they will capitalize the innovative capital service as capital input from the knowledge stock. Treatment of Activities though Intangible Assets 1. Activities though investment for intangible assets are assumed to create the knowledge stock dynamically though intangible assets as well as the static changes in flow of intermediate transaction. 2. We have to estimate the knowledge stock as intangible assets by sectors and capitalize the service input dynamically. Static Structure Dynamic Structure Aij Bij Ii