Banking Low-Income Populations: Perspectives from South Africa Daryl Collins Jonathan Morduch New York University Outline 1. A new approach to understanding household financial management 2. 3 lessons learned from South Africa 3. -Cash flow management is a first tier objective -Savings requires not incentives, but the right mechanism -Useful credit is not just for small businesses Implications for serving low income communities Typical ways of understanding financial needs in low income households • Institutional approaches: What microfinance products are popular? • Household surveys: Usually large cross-sections. Helpful, but hard to: – See full range of activities, especially informal – Tease out logic of financial strategies – Gauge changes over time and differences between intentions and outcomes The Financial Diaries approach • Understand the financial lives of poor households by following all daily transactions over a year for 180 households in South Africa (and others in India and Bangladesh). • Not a one-time survey • Not self-reports of needs • Reconciled household “cash flow statements” capture informal and formal activities, even “unusual”ones Reconciling cash flows to obtain a margin of error Matching sources of funds to uses of funds every interview Sources of funds Regular wages Withdrawal from bank account $ 308 $ 154 $ 154 Uses of funds Deposit wages in bank account Buy food Buy electricity Pay burial society Pay off moneylender loan Keep money in the house $ 294 $ 154 $ 46 $ 5 $ 12 $ 62 $ 15 Cash on hand $ 8 Balance $ 6 (Margin of error) (2% of sources of funds) Declining margin of error over time Financial Diaries: Margin of error (% of Sources of Funds) 100% 50% 0% -50% -100% After about 6 interviews, the margin of error of data collection decreases to an average of 6%. -150% -200% -250% -300% -350% -400% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 The sample (% of households) Langa (urban) Lugangeni (rural) Diepsloot (urban) Above $10 per day 40% 19% 39% $5-$10 per day 33% 22% 29% $3-$5 per day 18% 17% 12% $2-$3 per day 9% 19% 16% $1-$2 per day 0% 17% 14% Less than $1 per day 0% 5% 0% Lessons from South Africa 1. Cash flow management is a first tier objective • Small asset balances, large transaction flows. • Income arising from several different sources each requires an instrument to capture and store it, and also requires instruments to patch times of cash scarcity . • The result: active financial management with numerous financial instruments, both formal and informal. Example of a household balance sheet (US$, converted at market rate) End of year value Turnover over year Assets Formal Bank account 2 086 10 353 369 182 - 68 Saved at home 483 4 875 Savings clubs 246 1 206 Money guard 153 153 Burial society - 68 Lending (for interest) 0 2 404 Savings annuity Funeral plan Informal Liabilities Formal Credit card 0 248 Informal Shop credit 0 1 Net Worth 3 338 19 564 Mixture of informal and formal in the same portfolio Formality of instruments used in the average household portfolio (Number of instruments) Informal South Africa Microfinance Formal Bangladesh 0 5 10 15 20 Lessons from South Africa 2. Saving requires not incentives, but the right mechanism • Poor households have a significant capacity to save. • Large assets are accumulated incrementally. • Problem: Savings instruments tend to be designed around a designated event or time (e.g., Christmas), leaving long term accumulation or emergencies. • When emergencies happen, they require patching from numerous sources. Finding the budget to save Uses of funds Sources of funds Total Regular wages Business profits $ 509 $ 185 $ 324 Total $ 488 Cell phone Cigarettes Electricity Food Home building Transport to shopping Transport to work $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 6 3 16 49 31 1 13 Savings clubs Net savings in bank $ 367 $ 23 Financial breakdown of an urban funeral Sources of funds $ 1410 Payout from burial society $ Remittance from relative $ Remittance from relative $ Remittance from relative $ Rental of tent by relative $ Rental of pots by relative $ Purchase of sheep by relatives $ Borrow from aunt’s burial society (no interest) $ Borrow from cousin’s ASCA (30% per month) $ Borrow from cousin (no interest) $ Money from grant $ Brother’s money $ 154 231 154 154 90 34 100 154 92 108 91 48 Uses of funds $ 1413 Undertaker Tent Pots Food Sheep $ 538 $ 91 $ 35 $ 649 $ 100 Lessons from South Africa 3. Useful credit is not just for small businesses • Both formal and informal consumer finance can lead to indebtedness, but many households can manage debt responsibly. • Most credit is taken not for micro-businesses, but for household consumption and emergencies. • Small businesses struggle to manage the credit they give than to service the credit they take. Implications for serving lowincome households • Most households seek general financial services, not micro-loans for micro-enterprise • Poor households actively seek ways to borrow and save (and insure) • Informal instruments are not crowded out and often provide services that formal instruments do not. Implications for serving lowincome households Poor households are willing to pay for quality services. • Quality dimensions most desired: – Reliability – Convenience – Flexibility – Continuity (in part: option value) – Discipline Implications for US (?) • There is a powerful demand for “consumer finance” – and it can improve welfare and support income generation and job stability • Long-term asset accumulation is only possible when built on a platform of basic financial management: – Cash flow management – Finance for emergencies – Use of easily implemented accumulation devices that can transfer lump sums into longer-term instruments www.financialdiaries.com ************* www.financialaccess.org