Parental Borrowing for Dependent Children’s Higher Education Kyung-Wook Cha Sungshin Women’s University Robert O. Weagley University of Missouri-Columbia Laura Reynolds University of Alabama ABSTRACT: Using the 1992–1993 Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study, with the 1997 follow-up, the parental decision to borrow and, for borrowers, the level of borrowing for dependent children’s college education was analyzed. Parents with smaller household size and those being college graduates borrowed greater amounts. White parents borrowed greater amounts than their non-White counterparts. The age of the student, dependent students’ income and parents’ cash and savings each had a significant negative impact on the amount parents borrowed, while home equity was a significant positive factor. Greater college costs significantly increased parents’ decision to borrow, as well as the borrowed amount. Greater amounts of grants significantly reduced the amount borrowed. KEY WORDS: borrowing; college; Heckman; parental investment. An increasing challenge for individuals and families in the United States is the expense of a higher education. Clearly, attainment of a college education is desirable given its high positive correlation with lifetime earnings. As of 1998, bachelor’s degree recipients earned, on average, 81% more than those with only a high school diploma. Over a lifetime, the summed differences in potential earnings between the high school graduate and the bachelor’s degree recipient exceeds $1,000,000 (The College Board, 2000a). Kyung Wook Cha, Sungshin Women’s University, 913 Soojung Hall, Dongseon-dong, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, Korea; e-mail: kwcha@sungshin.ac.kr. Robert O. Weagley, University of Missouri-Columbia, 240 Stanley Hall, Columbia, MO 65211; e-mail: WeagleyR@missouri.edu. Laura Reynolds, University of Alabama, Box 870158, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487; e-mail: laura@bama.ua.edu. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Vol. 26(3), Fall 2005 2005 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. DOI: 10.1007/s10834-005-5900-y 299 300 Journal of Family and Economic Issues The benefits of greater lifetime earnings are partially offset by the expense of higher education. During the 2000–2001 academic year, average charges for undergraduate tuition, fees, and room and board were estimated to be $8,470 at public four-year institutions, and $22,541 at private four-year institutions. Moreover, these costs have been rising at a rate faster than the rate of increase in federal grant aid, the rate of increase in household incomes, and the rate of increase in overall price levels. Between 1980–1981 and 1999–2000, tuition for public four-year colleges increased 114%, and tuition for equivalent private colleges increased 118%. Over this same time period, median incomes for families whose householders were between the ages of 45 and 54 rose only 20% (The College Board, 2000a). Today, many public institutions of higher education are raising fees to cope with budgetary shortfalls as a result of the current recession. Such actions exacerbate the existing problem. Most parents consider the funding of their children’s college education as one of their most important family financial goals. In 1999, about 60% of parents whose children were in grades 6–12 had started saving money or making other financial plans for postsecondary education (NCES, 2000). Using the 1992 Survey of Consumer Finances, Lee (1997) indicated that paying for a college education has traditionally been seen as primarily a family obligation, being met through some combination of current earnings, savings, and borrowing. Governments at both the federal and state level, as well as higher education institutions, have roles in the drama of higher education financing. In the 1999–2000 academic year, the federal government provided over 70% of all direct aid to postsecondary students, and almost 60% of this aid was in the form of loans (The College Board, 2000b). Federal grants have been declining relative to borrowing which, when combined with rising college costs and stagnant family incomes, means that families must borrow more heavily in order to pay for college costs. Between 1989–1990 and 1999–2000, loan aid has increased by 125% in constant dollars, while grant aid has increased by only 55% (The College Board, 2000b). Parental loans, funded by federal and state governments, as well as private sources, have also increased. Without a doubt, the student’s decision to go to college may hinge on the student’s parents being willing to borrow money to underwrite the children’s human capital investment. While many parents help defray the expense of their children’s higher education, the parents’ choice of funding sources and the amount of their contributions will vary Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 301 according to parental income, the type and cost of institution attended, and other family characteristics (Churaman, 1992a; Miller & Hexter, 1985). Previous studies have shown the impact of student borrowing through the effects loans have on educational decisions, such as access, college choice, and persistence (Campaigne & Hossler, 1998; Cuccaro-Alamin & Choy, 1998; St. John & Noell, 1989). Little research, however, has been devoted to the factors that influence parental borrowing for children’s college education. This study is an extension of our previous study (Cha & Weagley, 2002) where we examined the total demand for borrowing from all sources. In the current work, we focus on the identification of factors important to parents’ borrowing to support their children’s college educations. A two-stage estimation model is used to examine both the decision to borrow, as well as how much they borrow, once they decide to borrow. Review of Literature The literature review focuses on parental borrowing for their dependent children’s college education in the context of socioeconomic factors. First, parental investment in children’s higher education is discussed, followed by a presentation of the trends, impacts and types of borrowing chosen by parents. Parental Investment in Children Parental investment in children is typically viewed in the context of human capital theory. Human capital theory views higher education as a form of investment in the acquisition of productive abilities, skills, and knowledge of individuals or of society as a whole. Investments in children are based on a rational calculation of potential financial returns (e.g., increased earnings of a child resulting from increased education) against college costs. Human capital theory assumes rational parental choice, where the parents are willing to expend money (costs) towards the education of their children up to the point where the marginal benefit, both financial and non-financial, equals the marginal cost. Resources are then allocated in ways that maximize future payoffs, in the context of current assets and each child’s endowment of natural human capital (Becker, 1964; Becker & Tomes, 1986; Steelman & Powell, 1991). 302 Journal of Family and Economic Issues Human capital theory asserts that changes in prices (e.g., tuition and fees) or subsidies (e.g., grants or loans) alter the costs of college and lead students to reassess the net benefit from an investment in higher education. The value of human capital is typically expressed in terms of the measurable component, the income that individuals receive in return for their productive contributions (Ehrenberg & Smith, 1991). Sewell and Hauser (1976) focused on college education to underscore the important role of schooling, both directly and indirectly, in socioeconomic achievement. They stated that a college education allows the most direct access to occupations of higher social standing and to a level of living commensurate with greater earnings. Many studies have found that the demand for college attendance is negatively related to college costs (Clotfelter, Ehrenberg, Getz, & Siegfried, 1991; Ehrenberg & Smith, 1991). Leslie and Brinkman (1988) examined the variation in the effect tuition had on different income levels and, importantly, found that low-income families were the most responsive to changes in the cost of tuition. Churaman (1992b) used the National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 1987 to examine parental contributions to their children’s college education, both in terms of the type of financial transfers from parent to student and the timing of such transfers. She found that 75% of parents reported making contributions and parental contributions were the largest single source of funds for student college expenses. She also found that 23% of the parents used only current income, 10% used only accumulated savings, and 3% used only borrowed money to fund their contribution. The remaining 64% of parents used some combination of sources. Catsiapis (1980) investigated the probability of parental contribution to children’s postsecondary education using the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972. The study found that the probability of parental contributions was positively related to tuition costs and parental income, while negatively related to financial aid, the number of children in the family, and being male compared to being female. Steelman and Powell (1991), using the 1980 Parent Survey of the High School and Beyond, found that family income was a positive factor and the number of younger siblings a negative factor in the likelihood of parental support. Steelman and Powell (1993) investigated racial and ethnic differences in parental attitudes toward funding college education costs, as well as actual investments in their children’s education. From the National Educational Longitudinal Study of 1988, they found that Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 303 minority parents were more likely to believe that the responsibility for their children’s education rested upon themselves and upon the government, whereas White parents were more likely to believe that their children should share the responsibility for funding their education. Parental choice of funding is related to the family’s resource constraints, the projected amount of financial aid, and other demographic and family characteristics. Miller and Hexter (1985) indicate that middle-income families need to combine available resources, as well as obtain outside assistance, in order to meet college expenses. They suggested that middle-income families consider a financing pattern that mixes grants, loans, and student employment in order to fill the gap between the available resources and the full cost of attendance. Chen and Hanna (1996) emphasize that financing a contribution toward children’s college costs should be viewed in the context of a comprehensive financial plan. The family’s values, goals, and short-term needs should be considered, along with the goal of financing a college education, as borrowing for a child’s college education may cause a repayment burden. Also, if those parents who did not save enough money for college expenses exhaust most of their financial resources to pay for college, they will have little left for financing their retirement goals (Loewel, 1991). Borrowing for College Education The most prominent trend in student aid has been the growing reliance on borrowing for higher education. Hartman (1971) explained that student loans are the primary means of providing a general subsidy to encourage investments in higher education. Moreover, loans for low-income students, as compared to grants, potentially alter the distribution of college attendance across socioeconomic classes. Traditionally, borrowing has been made possible by a combination of support from the federal government, state governments, and private sources. In the 1999–2000 academic year, total awarded aid was $68 billion, with the federal government providing over 70% of all direct aid to postsecondary students or their parents. Approximately 52% of the total aid ($35 billion) was in the form of federal loans (The College Board, 2000b). State and private loan programs for students and parents began to grow in the 1980s as college prices outpaced inflation and federal aid failed to cover the difference. 304 Journal of Family and Economic Issues Federal, private, and college-sponsored loan options are available to parents. Originally, the goal of the parental borrowing program was to extend more credit opportunities to the parents of dependent students, in order to contribute to their children’s education (Miller, 1986). The federal Parent Loans to Undergraduate Students (PLUS) is the largest source of parent loans and is designed to help parents of undergraduate students meet the costs associated with their education. The annual amount available on a federal PLUS loan is the total cost of education minus any other financial aid received. In 1999–2000, after adjusting for inflation, borrowing through the federal PLUS program rose 6% over the preceding year, with an average loan amount of $6,769 (The College Board, 2000b). A number of financial institutions offer private education loans for parents, although these loans usually carry a higher interest rate than PLUS loans. Moreover, a small number of colleges offer their own loans to parents, usually at a lower rate than the federal PLUS loan. Most of the private loan plans are directed toward parents rather than students because private lenders do not consider a student’s potential future earnings as adequate security. Moreover, most students are reluctant to take out an expensive, unsecured bank loan (Margolin, 1989). Berkner (1998) examined the role of educational loans, in the context of the total price of attendance and undergraduates’ family income over the 1995–1996 academic year. The study found that families were more likely to take out loans when college costs were high and less likely to borrow when their family incomes were high. Choy (2000) focused on low-income undergraduates, defined as those whose family income was below 125% of the federally established poverty level for their family size, and examined how they paid for college in 1995–96. The study reported that approximately 86% of the low-income students, attending full-time, full-year, received some financial aid. Most (81%) received grants, averaging $3,900, while 51% borrowed with an average loan of $4,700. Low-income students who received aid received coverage for about 50% of their college budget, while about 32% of the aid was in the form of loans. To summarize, previous studies have examined and analyzed parental contribution in financing their children’s higher education. The socioeconomic conditions associated with a borrower, such as income, economic background, and family characteristics, all have an effect on whether or not to borrow and on how much is borrowed. These results are the backdrop for this empirical study. Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 305 Theoretical Framework Becker and Tomes (1979) provide a theoretical foundation for parental investment in their children’s human capital. Their theory of inequality and intergenerational mobility assume that each family maximizes a utility function spanning several generations. The parents are assumed to be concerned about their children’s future economic well being and choose to finance a portion of the expenditures associated with their children’s education to maximize that well-being (Becker & Tomes, 1979, 1986; Catsiapis & Robinson, 1981). In this desire, the parents are additionally constrained by supply-side factors that might limit access to the resources of financial institutions. Typical supply-side constraints that could exist are credit restrictions: character, capacity, collateral, and conditions. Measures of these factors are not available in the data. To the extent the lender relies on non-manipulative factors to restrict access to credit (such as racial or gender discrimination), these will be employed, if necessary, in the discussion of the results. Other factors, such as income, also have dual interpretations. Greater income could reduce demand to borrow as the resources exist to pay for schooling. On the other hand, greater income increases the willingness of lenders to lend to households, thus increasing the amount borrowed. The utility of parents is assumed to depend on their own consumption, Ct, on the number of children, n, and per capita income, Yt+1, of those children in the next generation. The exposition may be simplified by setting n = 1 for each set of parents and assuming the Cobb--Douglas form for the utility function. a Ytþ1 : Ut ¼ C1a t ð1Þ The income of the child depends on the stock of human capital the child would have in period t + 1, called his endowment of human capital, Ht+1, plus the increase in his human capital resulting from the expenditure of transfers from parents or other sources. Assume that the market rate of return per unit of human capital in t + 1 is unity, then the income of the child is given by: Ytþ1 ¼ Htþ1 þ ð1 þ rÞEt þ ð1 þ rÞGt ; ð2Þ where, Et is dollar amounts directly received from parental sources, Gt is the dollar amount received from other sources including public and private subsidy, and r is the rate of return one obtains by converting dollars into human capital. 306 Journal of Family and Economic Issues The income of the parents, Yt, may be spent either on their own consumption or transferred to their children. Yt ¼ Ct þ Et : ð3Þ Substituting Et from (2) we obtain: Ct þ Ytþ1 Htþ1 ¼ Yt þ þ Gt ¼ St ; ð1 þ rÞ ð1 þ rÞ ð4Þ where, St is the present value of the family income flow over the two generations, called the family income by Becker and Tomes (1979). Parents maximize their utility with respect to Ct and Yt+1 subject to their family income constraint (Equation (4)) and potential supply-side lender constraints. If they correctly anticipate both the endowment and market opportunities of their children, the equilibrium conditions are given by Equation (4) and @U . @U 1 a Ytþ1 ¼ ¼ 1 þ r: ð5Þ @Ct @Ytþ1 a Ct This marginal rate of substitution given by Equation (5) assumes that the rate of return is independent of the amount invested in children and that parents can consume more than their own income by creating a debt to be repaid by their children. Given Ht+1, Gt, and r, the parents are assumed to choose Ct and Et so as to maximize their utility (Equation (1)) subject to their family income constraint (Equation (4)). The results of this maximization yield the following demand function for Et. Et ¼ aYt ½ð1 aÞ=ð1 þ rÞHtþ1 ð1 aÞGt : ð6Þ Thus, the contribution of the parent to the child’s human capital should be positively related to the income of the parent and negatively related to the transfers the child receives from other sources and to the child’s own endowment. Empirical Model and Hypotheses The empirical model of parental borrowing for a child’s college education (Bi) can be a function of elements of a household’s total resource vector, as well as the price of a college education and other family characteristics to control for preferences. Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 307 Bi ¼ b0 þ Rji bj þ EYi by þ Pki bk þ Zli bl þ ei ; ð7Þ where Bi is i’s parents’ borrowing for 1992--93 college costs in dollar amount; Rji is a (J · 1) vector of household i’s resources; EYi is the estimated expected income of student i; Pki is a (K · 1) vector of the price of college attendance; Zli is a (L · 1) vector of characteristics of household i; and the error term is denoted i. The dependent variable (Bi) has zero for a significant fraction of the observations because many parents do not borrow for their child’s education. In situations like this, ordinary least squares regression is inappropriate since it would lead to biased and inconsistent estimates (Greene, 2000). In order to model such a distribution, an empirical method is needed to account for the probability of non-occurrence of the event. The Tobit model has been traditionally used when the data censors at zero. In the Tobit model, however, the same set of variables, with the same coefficients, is held to determine both the probability of truncation and the expected value of the realized dependent variable, conditional on its having been observed (Breen, 1996). The double-hurdle model, proposed by Cragg (1971), features two separate stochastic processes, under the assumption that the two stages are independent of each other. Heckman’s (1979) sampleselection model extends Cragg’s model by relaxing the assumption that the two stages are independent. The logic of the Heckman sample-selection model is appropriate when individuals must pass a separate hurdle before they are observed to have a positive level of demand; in this case, the decision to borrow and the level of borrowing. In this study, a two-stage approach is specified as follows: 0 Decision to borrow equation: Pi ¼ Xpi a þ ui Pi ¼ 0 if Pi 0 Pi ¼ 1 if Pi > 0 ð8Þ 0 Level of borrowing equation: Bi ¼ Xbi b þ ei Bi ¼ Bi if Bi not observed if Pi ¼ 1 Pi ¼ 0 ð9Þ 0 0 and Xbi are vectors of the independent variables that where Xpi influence the decision to borrow and the level of borrowing at observation i, a and b are vectors of the unknown parameters, and ui and i are error terms. We observe Pi, a dichotomous variable, which is a 308 Journal of Family and Economic Issues realization of an unobserved (or latent) variable, Pi , having a normally distributed and independent error, u, with mean zero and variance r2. For values of Pi = 1, we observe Bi, which is the observed realization of a second latent variable, Bi , which has a normally distributed, independent error, e, with mean zero and variance r2. The two error terms across the two equations are assumed to be correlated in the Heckman sample-selection model. The two-stage approach starts with a Probit analysis to measure the decision by parents to borrow (Pi = 1) or not borrow (Pi = 0), and then estimate the actual amount borrowed, Bi, in truncated regression analysis (Abdel-Ghany & Silver, 1998; Breen, 1996; Jones, 1989). The following hypotheses are posited based on the theoretical framework and previous research. Taking other socioeconomic variables into account, 1. A household’s resources (income and assets) have a negative effect on both the parental decision to borrow and the level of borrowing. 2. A dependent student’s expected future income has a positive effect on the amount parents borrowed for the student’s college education. 3. Total college costs are positively related to both the parental decision to borrow and the level of borrowing. 4. Total amount of grants received is positively related to the decision to borrow, but negatively related to the amount borrowed. Parents with younger dependent students, larger household size, and those who had greater levels of education are more likely to decide to borrow, and if they decide to borrow, to borrow a greater amount. Methods Data and Sample This study used data collected through the 1992–1993 Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study (B&B: 93) to examine the factors important to the parental decision to borrow and the amount borrowed for their children’s college education. Additionally, this study used the 1997 follow-up survey (B&B: 93/97) to estimate student expected income that was used as an independent variable. Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 309 The B&B study, developed by the National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, tracks the experiences of a cohort of college graduates who received their bachelor’s degrees during the 1992–1993 academic year and were first interviewed as part of the 1992–93 National Postsecondary Student Aid Study (NPSAS: 1993). The B&B is an appropriate data set to use to allow an understanding of students’ educational investment decisions. While these data provide information concerning the education and work experiences of baccalaureate recipients, as well as information regarding the methods used to finance their undergraduate education, it does not include information about those students that began their college experience yet failed to persist to graduation. While knowledge of the educational financing decisions of these parents is clearly of interest, nothing is known of them with the current data. The B&B: 93 included the student interview as well as the parent interview. Parental interviews were designed to gather data concerning the effects of postsecondary education on family finances. Parents were asked to describe their personal finances, financial support they had given to the children, and any money they had borrowed to provide financial aid to the sampled student. When the parents were not married to each other, the parent who tended to provide the most financial support was primarily asked. If both parents contributed equally, the questions were asked to each parent individually (U.S. Department of Education, 1999). The sample drawn for this work are parents of dependent children who received bachelor’s degrees in the 1992–1993 academic year and did not enroll for additional postsecondary education by 1997. First, the decision to remove those who sought post-secondary education was made to focus the analysis on those that borrowed money to complete their final year of their baccalaureate degree. While omitting those that enrolled in further introduces some bias, in which two facts led to their exclusion: (1) further enrollment would affect the timing of repayment and, hence, it’s present value to the borrower and (2) post-graduate education would change the timing of their work force entry and systematically change their future expected income growth due to experience. We, thus, viewed their inclusion as introducing more bias to the results than their omission. To the extent the terminal-baccalaureate degree student is systematically unique, say they earn less money while in school, the coefficient on that variable would be biased downward. Second, the sample was restricted to parents of dependent students because only parents of dependent students are eligible for federal PLUS, the largest source of parental loans. In determining the need for federal financial aid, students are considered either dependent on their parents or independent and self-supporting. For the purpose of determining financial aid eligibility, undergraduates who are 24 years or younger are assumed to be financially dependent unless they are married, have dependents of their own, or are veterans or orphans. Undergraduates 24 years or older are considered financially independent for purposes of determining their eligibility for financial aid, regardless of their parents’ incomes and assets and whether or not their parents provide them with any financial assistance (U.S. Department of Education, 2000). Using these criteria may possibly misclassify someone who is actually an independent student as a dependent student, or vice versa. This study, however, followed these criteria as they 310 Journal of Family and Economic Issues were utilized by the U.S. Department of Education to determine federal financial aid eligibility. The resulting sample was 2,561 parents of dependent students who graduated in 1993. Variables In the decision to borrow equation, the dependent variable was dichotomous. The parents who borrowed for college costs were coded as 1, while non-borrowers were coded as 0. In the level of borrowing equation, if the parents decided to borrow, the dependent variable was the total amount of all loans parents took out to pay for their children’s 1992–1993 college costs. The sources of parental borrowing include federal Parent Loans to Undergraduate Students (PLUS), state-sponsored parent loans, schoolsponsored parent loans, signature loans, home equity loans, personal lines of credit used for college expenses, loans against a life insurance policy, commercial loans, loans from a non-profit underwriter, Family Education Loans from Sallie Mae, loans against a retirement fund, loans from a former spouse, relatives, or friends, or any other type of loan to the parents in support of their child’s college education. Independent variables were selected to account for variation in economic and student characteristics, and include a vector of current resources, a measure of expected future income of the student, a vector of the price of college attendance, and a vector of the family characteristics. The vector of the current resources included parents’ total income, students’ own income, home equity, family business or farm equity, parents’ cash and savings, and student’s cash and savings. Home equity and family business or farm equity are tangible assets that proxy wealth. These variables were estimated by the value of the parent’s home and business or farm equity. Dependent students’ asset holdings were not considered because too few of the dependent students had their own home, family business, or farm equity. The student’s estimated expected income was generated by regressing the 1996 annual employment income (obtained from the 1997 B&B) of the student against undergraduate major, GPA, institution type, region of institution, age, and race. This estimate provided the instrument to control for income expectations of the student. Table 1 reports the results of regression analysis to estimate students’ future income. The vector of the price of college attendance is composed of two variables: total college costs and total amount of grants received. Total costs were the sum of tuition, fees, and other direct costs of attendance, such as the amount of spending for books, supplies, and equipment. The total amount of grants received was the sum of federal, state, institutional, and other grant amounts. The vector of family characteristics included students’ age, gender, race, parents’ education, and household size. Continuous variables were used for respondent’s age as of receipt of a bachelor’s degree in the 1992–93 academic year, and household size. Dummy variables were used to control for gender (1 if male, 0 if female), race (1 if White, 0 if non-White), and parental education (1 if college graduate or over, 0 if high school or less). The variable of parents’ education measured the highest level of education completed by either parent. Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 311 TABLE 1 Results of Regression Analysis for Student’s Expected Incomea Annual income coefficient (Std. error) Variable (reference group in the parenthesis) Constant 24,882.702*** (2,061.159) Undergraduate major_(business, management) Education Engineering Health professions Public affairs/social services Biological sciences Math. and other sciences Social science History Humanities Psychology Other )11,639.585*** (1,058.025) 7,493.408*** (1,267.724) 1,894.636 (1,147.202) )6,792.609*** (1,659.891) )8,019.658*** (1,989.371) 2,657.653 (1,413.892) )1,372.312 (1,144.295) )13,115.155*** (2,528.571) )10,406.579*** (1,139.543) )13,805.467*** (1,862.514) )5,160.045*** (907.383) GPA Normalized GPA on 4.0 773.459 (588.299) Type of Institution_(Public) Private, not-for-profit Private, for-profit )114.075 (660.464) )4,289.159* (2,378.398) Region of Institution (Southeast) New England Mid East Great Lakes Plains Southwest Rocky Mountains Far West Outlying areas 4,407.066*** (1,300.903) 705.314 (956.378) 1,892.679* (898.057) )1,854.427 (1,075.447) 1,720.507 (1,014.307) )3,230.872* (1,628.506) 2,406.779* (1,111.632) )15,194.241*** (3,973.508) Age Age when received BA 274.626*** (44.720) Race_(non-White) White 342.178 (917.637) a The analyses were weighted by the adjusted weight (see note 1). *p < 05, **p < 01, ***p < 001. Results and Discussions Borrower/Non-borrower Comparisons In the sample, only 6.83% of parents borrowed money for their dependent children’s 1992–93 college costs, with an average loan 312 Journal of Family and Economic Issues amount of $9,894. Table 2 presents descriptive statistics for the independent variables that were included in the model to specify the decision to borrow and the borrowing amount equations. For each variable, the sample average or frequencies were computed over each subset of 175 borrowers and 2,386 non-borrowers. The significant differences in the two samples determined by either t-test of mean differences or chi-square tests of association were indicated by bold, italic print. The parents who borrowed money for their children’s college education had significantly greater home equity ($68,844) than their TABLE 2 Descriptive Statistics of Two Sub Samplesa Mean (Std. Dev.)/frequencies (percent) Borrower (n = 175) Non-borrower (n = 2,386) $64,959.60 (38,507.10) $3,998.40 (3,737.20) $68,844.20 (76,996.80)b $13,833.00 (44,144.50) $10,282.10 (47,746.80) $1,469.90 (2,629.50) $31,047.70 (5,882.40) – $63,056.00 (62,491.70) $4,257.30 (4,049.70) $48,132.70 (95,835.90) $10,277.00 (69,840.00) $6,347.50 (37,767.80) $2,028.90 (6,829.00) $31,157.80 (5,882.40) $14,406.70 (7,923.30) $11,618.60 (7,161.00) Total grant Total amount of all grants $1,465.90 (2,931.40) $1,222.90 (2,799.80) Age Age when received BA 21.97 (0.78) 22.17 (0.87) 75 (42.9 %) 100 (57.1 %) 1,068 (44.8 %) 1,318 (55.2 %) Race White (n = 2,294) Non-White (n = 267) Household size 159 (90.9 %) 16 (9.1 %) 3.62 (1.13) (18.9 %) 2,135 (89.5 %) 251 (10.5 %) 3.88 (1.25) Parents’ Education High school or less College graduate or over 33 (81.1 %) 142 733 (30.7 %) 1,653 (69.3 %) Variables Total amount borrowed Parents’ income Students’ income Home equity Family business or farm equity Parents’ cash and savings Students’ cash and savings Student’s expected income Total costs Tuition, fees and non-tuition costs Gender Male (n = 1,143) a The analyses were weighted by the adjusted weighti. Statistically significant differences at the .05 level are indicated in bold and italic print. b Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 313 non-borrower counterparts ($48,133), although parents’ income did not have a significant difference between borrowers and non-borrowers. Students whose parents borrowed money for college education faced significantly greater tuition, fees, and other educational expenses ($14,407) than those whose parents did not borrow ($11,619). In the sample, the dependent students whose parents were borrowers were significantly younger (21.97 years) than the students whose parents were non-borrowers (22.17 years). Regarding household size, those whose parents did not borrow had a significantly larger household size (3.88) than those whose parents borrowed (3.62). As for the parents’ highest level of education, approximately 81.1% of borrowers had at least a college degree, while 69.3% of non-borrowers had at least a college degree. This difference was found to be statistically significant. Decision to Borrow and the Level of Borrowing Equations Table 3 shows the results of the Heckman sample-selection model on parental borrowing for 1992–1993 college costs. Among variables included in the vector of the current resources, the dependent student’s income, the parents’ home equity, and parental cash and savings were significant factors to the level of borrowing. Once the parents had decided to borrow money for their children’s college education, they increased the borrowing amount as their children’s own income decreased, although the dependent student’s income was not a significant factor in the decision to borrow equation. Previous studies have confirmed the negative relationship between higher education debt and family income (Berkner, 1998; Grubb & Tuma, 1991). In this case, the parents appear to substitute their debt for the current income of their children. Home equity was a significant positive factor in the level of parental borrowing. Parents who decided to borrow for their children’s college costs were found to borrow a greater amount, as the value of their home equity increased. One would expect home equity to be a preferred source of credit for this purpose. The tax deductibility of mortgage interest dramatically lowered the costs of this source of financing during the time period in question. Importantly, the value of home equity as a preferred means of higher education financing is highlighted. Parental cash and savings had a significant negative impact on the amount borrowed for their children’s college education. As cash and savings increased, parents were found to borrow less for their children’s college education. Here, the importance of planning for college outlays, as indicated 314 Journal of Family and Economic Issues TABLE 3 Results of Sample-Selection Model for Parental Borrowinga Variables Constant Parents’ income Students’ income Home equity Family business or farm equity Parents’ cash, savings Students’ cash, savings Student’s expected income Total costs of college Attendance Total grants received Student’s age Student’s gender (female) male Race (Non-White) White Household size Probit: decision to borrow (n = 2,561) 0.893 (1.271) )0.692E-6 (0.839E-6) )0.420E-5 (0.107E-4) 0.579E-6 (0.388E-6) 0.192E-6 (0.567E-6) 0.810E-6 (0.899E-6) )0.132E-4 (0.120E-4) )0.368E-5 (0.714E-5) 0.215E-4*** (0.601E-5) )0.599E-5 (0.150E-4) )0.103 (0.055) 0.396E-3 (0.085) )0.045 (0.130) )0.115** (0.036) Lambda (k)b Log likelihood )556.391*** Truncated regression: level of borrowing (n = 175) 114,372.2** (27,939.4) )0.019 (0.030) )1.376** (0.496) 0.107** (0.033) )0.029 (0.024) )0.043 (0.023) )0.043 (0.359) )0.052 (0.172) 0.636** (0.240) )1.034* (0.466) )6,799.5** (2,524.2) )1,165.1 (1,879.5) 15,291.3** (5,812.0) 1,268.9 (933.5) 3,827.5 (2,788.7) 47,310.1* (23,312.5) )1,888.613*** a The analyses were weighted by the adjusted weight. For a technical explanation of Lambda (k)3, see note 2. *p < .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001. b by greater liquid assets, can be seen to offset the need of the family to borrow for college expenses. Surprisingly, a student’s expected future income was not significantly related to their parents’ borrowing. It is of interest to note that parental income was not significant to the decision to borrow, or to the amount borrowed. One might consider Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 315 it likely for a higher income household to be less likely to borrow yet, if they were to borrow, to borrow less. On the other hand, the greater capacity for repayment may induce the lender to consider them a lower risk and be willing to lend more. Taken together, it is not surprising that the result on the amount-borrowed equation is not significantly different from zero. As hypothesized, total costs of tuition, fees, and other educational expenses had a significant positive effect on both the decision to borrow and the level of borrowing equations. The greater the costs of college attendance, the greater the probability that parents borrowed for college costs and, if they did, they borrowed more. Empirical studies have shown that students were significantly more likely to take out loans when they faced higher tuition and other educational expenses (Choy & Geis, 1997; Cuccaro-Alamin & Choy, 1998; Grubb & Tuma, 1991). We found that greater costs have a similar effect on parental borrowing. As the cost of college attendance continues to increase at rates greater than changes in the general price level, it can be anticipated that more and more parents will increase their liabilities as a means of financing their children’s education. The other indicator of the price of college attendance, the total amount of grants received, was found to be a significant negative factor to the amount of parental borrowing, but it was not a significant factor in the decision to borrow. Once parents decided to borrow for their children’s college costs, borrowing amounts decreased as the amount of grants students received increased. Generally, it is expected that the demand for educational loans will be high when alternative sources of financial aid are limited. Thus, the amount of grant received was expected to have a negative effect on the level of borrowing, as grants can reduce the outlays required for attendance. Policy makers need to be aware of this relationship, as grants are often used to target specific populations, defined by merit, need, or other factors. Hypotheses regarding family characteristics received limited support. As was found in previous empirical studies, age was found to be a significant negative factor to both the decision to borrow and the amount borrowed (Grubb & Tuma, 1991). When their children were younger, parents were more likely to decide to borrow to pay college costs, and if they borrowed, they borrowed more than the parents of older students. Once the parents decided to borrow for college costs, White parents borrowed more than did non-White parents. This result for parents was found to be different from the results of St. John and Noell’s (1989) study that demonstrated Black and Hispanic students as being more likely than White students to receive loans, as well as 316 Journal of Family and Economic Issues other financial aid. This apparent preference for borrowing to increase investments in children calls for greater research to increase our understanding of the family and possible differences in subjective rates of time preference by racial groups. Alternatively, while illegal, supply-side factors may be indicated where White households’ are able to borrow more than non-White households. Household size was found to have a significant negative impact on the decision of parental borrowing, although it was not a significant factor in the amount borrowed. When family size increased, parents were less likely to borrow for college costs. As family size increases, the amount of resources available to each family member declines and, accordingly, parents take less responsibility for college expenditures (Steelman & Powell, 1991). On the other hand, lenders may see borrowers with more dependents to be greater risks, ceteris paribus, and thus be less willing to give loans to those families. The parents’ highest level of education was a significant positive factor to the decision to borrow equation. The parents who had at least a college degree were more likely than those with a high school diploma, or less, to borrow money for their children’s college education. However, the education level was not a significant factor to the amount borrowed. Steelman and Powell (1991) indicated that parents with a higher education may place a higher premium on parental assistance than their less well-educated peers, as many of them have received help from their parents when they pursued their educational goals. Conclusions and Implications By identifying the extent of human capital investment and intergenerational support, the findings of this study provide information about which factors influence the parental decision to borrow and the level of borrowing for their children’s college education. The results of this study underscore using a Heckman sample-selection model to examine higher education debt, as the results show several factors with differential effects on each equation. Thus, the two-stage estimators provided more information than the Tobit model would have provided. Financial aid administrators and public policymakers can use these results as necessary information when developing effective financial aid programs, and in targeting loans and grants to undergraduate students and their families. For example, students from large families are much less likely to use parental support through borrowing than Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 317 those from smaller families. This might induce financial aid offices to inform such students of other sources of financing. The question of whether parents have increased their responsibilities to finance their children’s higher education is partially answered by the fact that the rate of increase in parental loans has been lower than the rate of increase in student loans. Perhaps, there is a shift in parental responsibility toward their children’s human capital investments. These results would suggest that parents with greater education are more likely to borrow. More research on how to develop this value in parents with lesser education could prove valuable to today’s college students that face ever-increasing fees. Moreover, federal aid programs should share in future increases in costs, to help relieve additional future burdens, as well as alleviate present burdens. As an example, maximum Pell Grants could be inflated to more closely match changes in the cost of tuition at public institutions of higher education. We, as a citizenry, have been less committed to the concept of human capital beyond the level of high school, while there are clear positive externalities to having an educated population that warrant greater public investment in higher education. The returns to higher education, however, seem considerably more private than those associated with lower grade levels. As such, we are comfortable privatizing the costs through loan programs. Besides earning more money following their education, indicating greater productivity, they participate more in our democracy and instill values related to human capital enhancement within future generations that are clearly public goods. Public higher education, in particular, should be accessible to all, regardless of economic means, as it benefits all. Governments must continually evaluate the importance of higher education to the productivity of our society. This study is subject to several limitations. To analyze parental borrowing for children’s college education, it would be of interest to know specific sources of funds that parents have used through all the student’s undergraduate years. The B&B data, however, did not provide either separate sources or the summed amount that parents borrowed through all the undergraduate years. Thus, this study focused on the total amount of parental borrowing solely for the 1992–93 academic year. Along those same lines, the sample of this study was composed of parents whose dependent children received bachelor’s degrees in the 1992–93 academic year. In other words, this study examined the borrowing behaviors of parents of graduating seniors. Thus, this study could not examine those who began college but did not finish, as these data were not present in the sample. Greater 318 Journal of Family and Economic Issues variation in the sample of students studied could potentially result in greater understanding of the decision to borrow for one’s progeny. Moreover, future research should consider the way parents and student fund college expenses throughout the education years. Borrowing patterns can be expected to be much different at different stages of the college experience. One can easily conjecture that the closer one is to the goal of a college degree, the greater the likelihood of borrowing. Conversely, lesser academic success or degree uncertainty could retard borrowing, as the returns on the investment would have greater variance. Future research can analyze whether socioeconomic factors have differential effects between student and parental borrowing. In addition, the factors that affect the repayment of loans following a child’s or a student’s graduation remains a topic for future research. Importantly, trends leading to greater borrowing do not seem to be changing. Greater fees and tuition, stagnant asset markets, and income growth that lags the increase in the price of college all point to an increase in borrowing as a source of funding for human capital investments. How this is distributed across society remains a topic of social discussion and political debate. Notes 1. This study employed the B&B panel weight to compensate for an unequal probability of selection and to adjust for non-response. The panel weight was calculated by a non-response adjustment to the baseline weight that was computed by area, institution, and student level components. Using this raw panel weight, however, inflated the sample size and therefore, the estimated standard errors were dramatically decreased. To preserve the effective sample size, while adjusting for the unequal probability of selection, an adjusted weight was by dividing the raw panel weight by its mean: P calculated wi w where w ¼ wi n. By using this adjusted weight, the estimates of the means and standard errors can be considered correct (Thomas & Heck, 2001). 2. The level of borrowing equation (Equation (9)) is estimated for the cases in which the amount of borrowing was greater than zero. Thus, this study needs to estimate only the expected value of Bi, conditional on Pi = 1. It can be written as: 0 b þ Eðei jPi ¼ 1Þ EðBi jP ¼ 1; Xbi Þ ¼ Xbi 0 0 b þ Eðei jui > Xpi aÞ: ¼ Xbi Recall that Bi will exceed zero only when the condition on i is met from this equation. So, instead of having the expression E(i) in a normal OLS model, this study has the 0 aÞ. Since it is assumed that the unconditional conditional expectation Eðei jui > Xpi expectation of i is zero, this conditional expectation will be non-zero. Using the Kyung-Wook Cha, Robert O. Weagley, and Laura Reynolds 319 required standard results for the expectations of a truncated, normal random variable, it can be written: 0 aÞ ¼ qre ru Eðei jui > Xpi / ; U 0 where Ui is the standard normal distribution function evaluated at Xpi a r. / is the corresponding standard normal density function evaluated at the same point. 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