Strategic Alliances within Economically Integrated Regions: Environmental Factors Influencing Alliance Structures and Patterns Hadi Alhorr Boeing Institute of International Business John Cook School of Business Saint Louis University Saint Louis, MO 63108 Kimberly Boal Rawls College of Business Texas Tech University Box 42101 Lubbock, Texas 79409 1 Strategic Alliances within Economically Integrated Regions: Environmental Factors Influencing Alliance Structures and Patterns ABSTRACT While regional economic integration has been a major area of research in the field of international economics and international trade, theoretical and empirical research addressing their impact on multinational cooperative strategies has not been fully uncovered. In this paper, we extend the study of international alliance and alliance structures by examining the effects of the environmental changes, resulting from economic integrations at the country level (e.g., market and currency commonality, economic community membership) on the patterns and structures (Equity-based and Non-equity-based) of alliance relationships among multinational firm. By building on the organization-environment relationship paradigm and using the European Union as the region of study, findings demonstrate that broad scale economic integration policies do influence the structure and pattern of alliance relationships among firms within the economically integrated region. Key words: regional economic integration; international alliances; equity-based alliances, environmental change 2 INTRODUCTION Regional economic integration has been a major area of research in international economics and economic trade literature. Although economic integration, as a world wide phenomenon, has been accelerating in numbers and has been happening in many regions attempting to reduce trade barriers, it has gained little attention in the field of international strategy and among strategic management scholars. Additionally, while an abundant amount of research and theoretical literature has been developed on organizational adaptation, especially in strategic management (Porter, 1980, Kraatz, 1998), the broad application of the environmentorganization perspective has not been adequately incorporated in the cross border cooperative strategy literature to account for the implications of economic integrations on the patterns and the structures of international strategic alliances. Research on international strategic alliances has been centered around the on-going debate about precisely how, when, and why these practices can be used to build long-run competitive advantage (Das et al., 1998; Koh and Venkataraman, 1992; Glaister and Buckley, 1996). Although the governance structure of an alliance relationship plays a major role in the success of the alliance (Osborn and Baughn, 1990), this stream of research has lacked the adequate application of the organization-environment paradigm. Therefore, making the existing explanations on alliance structures appear to be incomplete (Goshal and Moran, 1996; Tyler and Steensma, 1995). The main objective of this paper is to look at the specific environmental changes that result from regional economic integrations at the country level and how these changes affect the pattern and the structure of international strategic alliances within these integrated nations. This study addresses how multinational organizations choose among a set of alternative strategies to operate in the global arena when their nation states undergo economic, monetary and political integration. Precisely, we treat the European Union as a valid illustration of nations’ attempts to 3 form an economically integrated region. Thus, we look at the specific environmental changes accompanied with the European Union and how these changes affect the pattern and the structure of these international alliances (ISA) within the European nations. The European Union integration (EU) has been an attractive research phenomenon in the international economic trade literature; however, very few studies in international management research have addressed the EU implications on organizational strategies. Therefore, in this study, we look at how the European nations’ attempts to create an economically integrated region change the context within which multinational firms operate and within which they form and choose among different alternatives of alliance governance structures. The paper proceeds in five sections. First, we introduce the European Union as the empirical context. Then, we introduce the existing arguments about international strategic alliances, alliance structures and regional economic integrations and we introduce the research questions that the paper addresses. From here, we present our hypotheses. We report the research design, data, and research methods used in this study. We report the results of mixed model regression analysis of economic integration effects for patterns and structures of international alliances. Last we discuss these findings and present implications for theory. LITERATURE REVIEW AND RESEARCH QUESTIONS Regional Economic Integration Economic integration is happening in general and in particular among different set of nations around the world (Hill , 2002). Graph 1 shows the notable trend in the global economy of the accelerated movement toward regional economic integration between the year 1948 and 2002. --------------------------------------------- 4 Insert Graph 1 Here ---------------------------------------------Economic integration falls on a spectrum and occurs on several stages that have been addressed and studied heavily in international macro-economics. In theory, several levels of economic integration are possible; from the least integrated to the most integrated, they are a free trade agreement such as NAFTA, common markets, a common union, an economic union and finally, a full political union (Hill, 2002). With differences in the levels of integration, these different stages of a fully integrated union impose different levels of institutional forces and changes to the environment within which organizations in different nations operate. By removing trade barriers and promoting regional trade, economic, monetary and political integration of nation states boosts competition as well as growth potentials within certain industries and among existing organizations (Ricardo, 1817). Economic, monetary and political integrations also drive firms to change and implement different types of strategies to compete in the international market (Hill, 2002). Scholars of international economics and trade, along with researchers in sociology such as Fligstein and Sweet (2002), have looked at economic integration and the emergence of free trade blocks to examine how polities and markets are constructed. Existing theory on regional economic integration has been mainly concerned with the different levels and types of such phenomena and their implications the country’s overall economy. Stone and Caporaso (1998) suggest the path that nations follow as they move from free trade agreements towards a bigger supranational polity or integration. Additionally, consistent with the suggestions of international trade scholars, particularly the theory of comparative advantage among different nations, the theory on regional economic integration has mainly addressed the reasons why nation states engage in such integrations (North, 1989; Sharpf, 1996). A country’s costs and benefits from 5 joining a fixed-exchange economically integrated area depend on how integrated its economy is with those of its potential partners (Mundell, 1961). In fact, Mundell’s theory of optimum currency also purports that fixed exchange rates are most appropriate for areas closely integrated through international trade and factor movements, both of which are characteristics of economically integrated regions. These theories have been mainly concerned with the macro economic and sociological level of such phenomena exclusively without ties to micro organizational variables. As countries move toward a greater regional economic integration, consumers and organizations within these nations are faced with a new set of challenges and benefits (Hitt, 2002). When nation states sign agreements to facilitate trade and to remove tariff and non-tariff barriers to free flow of goods, services and factors of production, they bring new institutional regulations and policies that reshape and redefine the competitive scope of industries. In fact, there has been statistical evidence of industry consolidations within the continent of Europe after January 1, 1993, when the Single European Act became law among the member states of the European Union (Hill, 2002). These changes will directly affect organizations’ attempts to sustain their competitive edge or to gain a larger market share of the newly integrated unified market. In fact, the scale of the new integrated market and the free movement of goods, services and sources of production will encourage firms to exploit new areas in such markets and attempt to achieve economies of scale. Additionally, as the scope of competition intensifies among organizations, these organizations shift their competitive strategies more towards price competitive and low cost strategies (Hill, 2002). Therefore, organizations adjust their strategies and implement new strategies that help them achieve economies of scope and allow them to have a bigger share of the newly integrated markets 6 In general, international alliance strategies have been dealt with as phenomena at the firm level, even though it is apparent that there is a need to examine these cross cooperative strategies as patterns on the country or nation level. The paper attempts to bridge gaps between international economics and trade research on regional economic integration and international strategy literature on international alliance strategies. Attempting to explore the environmental changes associated with regional economic integrations, we address the changes that the European Union (EU) policies and regulations introduce to the organizational environment as countries adapt to these changes. We direct our attention in this paper on the effects of two major changes associated with the EU on the patterns and structures of international alliances. These changes are: the adoption of a single currency, the adoption of a common market for goods, services and labor. Therefore, the major tenet of this study is that international alliance strategies cannot be studied in vacuum as most existing studies have done. While past research has looked at international strategic alliances at the firm level, we extend this stream of research to look at the strategies as a pattern with a frequency and direction at the country level. In addition, the role of the macro-environment and the changes it imposes on organizational strategies cannot be ignored. With the regional economic integration being the macro-environmental change in this study, we look at the direct link between the changes on the country level and changes at the organizational strategy level. We look at how factors such as the adoption of common currency, the establishment of a common market, and the adoption of a single foreign trade affect the pattern and the choice of structure of international alliances within an economically integrated region. Therefore, we ask: How do economic and market integrations impact the pattern of international strategic alliances of multinational firms within these nation states? 7 This paper addresses the changes that organizations implement to their cross border alliance strategies as a result of economic integration of the nations within which these organizations operate. Economic trade theories emphasize the benefits of economic integration for national economies and for growth of industries (Ricardo, 1817; Hill 2002). As firms recognize these opportunities, they tend to change and adjust their strategies to achieve economies of scale and scope necessary to compete in such integrated markets. The primary objective for this question is to shed light on the linkage between a country’s membership to an economic integration and the changes to the strategic choice at the organizational level. Is there a particular structure of international strategic alliances action that will be used more than others associated with regional economic integration? Following up on the first question, it becomes necessary to look at the integrated environment created and the emerging changes that make such an environment more conducive for one governing form (Structure) of international alliances than for other forms. Specifically, in this question we attempt to examine and explain the spread of equity-based alliances as compared to non-equity based alliances after European nations become members of the EU. Motivations, Associated Risks and Likelihood of Success of International Strategic Alliances The literature on ISAs addresses several motivations, economic and non-economic, that are driving multinational organizations to engage in such cooperative strategies (Contractor and Lorange, 2002; Buckley and Casson, 2002). Technology exchange, R&D, and marketing collaboration are major motives behind many of the strategic alliances formed among international firms (Koh and Venkataraman, 1992; Glaister and Buckley, 1996). Additionally, alliances and joint ventures are viewed as a more conservative or defensive investment in a 8 foreign market to hedge against the risk and uncertainty associated with entering new markets (Vernon, 1983). In addition, strategic alliances allow firms to gain the advantages of scale economies or learnings. The ability to realize synergetic benefits can be captured by independent firms when they form strategic alliances (Anderson and Narus, 1990). There is empirical evidence that ISAs have been found to affect firm’s technological position, innovative capabilities, information exchange and reflexivity (Aulakh, Kotabe, and Sahav 1996; Chikudate, 1999; Stuart and Podolny, 1996). Some empirical and theoretical works have addressed the issues and risks associated with international strategic alliances. Reich and Mankin (1986) argue that alliances and collaborative relationships between competitors could be risky and firms have to be careful in these decisions because they may eventually end up losing their competitive advantage more than the benefits they can gain from an alliance. The effects of country or national variables on the success and survival of international alliance have been discussed under partner selection literature of strategic alliances. The commitment of the partners to transfer knowledge, expertise, resources and capabilities to the alliance is a key issue for the success of joint ventures and strategic alliances; however, it has its share of risk as well (Ikpen and Beamish, 1997; Isobe, Makino and Montgomery, 2000). A number of environmental, firm and alliance factors have been found to affect various aspects of the strategic alliance relationships (Pan, 1997). Some of these aspects include trust between partners of the alliance (Dyer and Chu, 2000; Griffith, Hu, and Ryans, 2000), reciprocity and governance (Kashlak, Chandran, and Di Benedetto, 1998), negotiation tactics (Money, 1998), stability of the alliance formed between multinational organizations of different nationalities (Celly, Spekman and Kamauff, 1999), and competitive and industry structure (Kogut and Singh, 2002). Additionally, networks of alliances among multinational corporations 9 have been found to relate to value creation, greater profits, and price and cost fluctuations (Holm, Erikson & Johanson, 1996; Holm, Erikson and Johanson, 1999). The Choice of Alliance Structures Companies cooperate by sharing control, technology, management, financial resources, and markets by organizing themselves into various forms, such as joint ventures, contractual programs or consortia, technology transferor licensing agreements, and management services and franchising agreements (Contractor and Lorange, 2002). Alliance forms range from informal cooperatives governed by simple agreements to highly formalized equity-based alliances (Lorange and Roos, 1991). Although differentiating between alliances structures has been problematic, differentiating between alliance structures involving some form of equity investment and alliance structures that are based on agreements with no equity involvement has been a major differentiation criterion (Gulati, 1995). Therefore, in this paper and consistent with the existing theory, we differentiate between two types of alliance structures: non-equity agreements or equity-based relationships. Tallman and Shenkar (1994) argue that organizations, when choosing among the different governance forms of alliances, choose the alliance structure that reduces uncertainty and improves organizational performance. Equity-based alliances are utilized, according to Gulati, “When the transaction costs associated with an exchange are too high to justify a quasi-market, non-equity alliances” (1995:89). Although existing research, such as transaction cost economics (Williamson, 1985) and resource dependency theory (Pfeffer and Salancik, 1978), provide powerful explanations for the choice of alliance structures, these explanations do not address changes in the environment and how these changes affect the choice of alliance structures ( Tyler and Steensma, 1985). Transaction costs economics offers a link between environmental 10 uncertainty and the choice of alliance structures through the agency of perceived transaction costs. Williamson (1985) argues that the more uncertain the firm’s environment the greater the perceived transaction costs. With this high perceived transaction costs, decision makers within the firm choose highly structured equity based alliances when forming alliances. In general, past research has addressed the emergence of strategic alliances (SAs) as a response to changes in the global environment and the different perceived benefits associated with internationalization (Ghoshal 1987, Hitt , Hoskinson, and Kim , 1997, Ghosal, 1987) and under different sets of economic variables such as emerging economies (Hitt et al, 2000; Steensma et al, 2000; Weaver and Dickson, 1999); However, it is apparent that the existing research on international strategic alliances has not fully embraced the increasing number of free trade blocks and the economic integration of several sovereign nation states. Scholars of international management realize that free trade agreements and market integration among countries constitute major changes to the global arena that have major effects on managers of multinational firms’ strategies; however, there is little theoretical and empirical research on their implications on multinational strategies such as international strategies. The European Union: Demonstration of Regional Economic Integration Although the idea of the ‘États-Unis d’Europe’[United States of Europe] was first imagined by Victor Hugo in 1851, it was not until the 1945, the end of World War II, that the idea had been taken seriously. By the end of World War II, the European continent was in turmoil. Looking at the United States and its economical growth, the European leaders remembered the famous words of the French writer; and with those words, a new concept was born: a concept, which sixty years later, became a reality. 11 The European Union is the most current illustration of a region attempting to economically integrate. To many, the EU is an emerging economic and political superpower of the same order as the United States and Japan, and it is reshaping the direction of international trade and FDI as it has become the fourth addition to the old international trade triad (Ball and McCulloch, 1999). Whether the European integration is a positive development for continental Europe remains a steamy fertile debate. Even though there still exist some confusion about how it works and about what it means among the 373 million people that live under its jurisdiction, the European Union has evolved considerably since its creation in 1958 and will go down in history as one of the most remarkable achievements of the twentieth century. According to the international economic theories that address on the different levels of regional economic integration, the current status of the EU fits the category of an economic union, which by definition involves the free flow of products and factors of production between member countries and the adoption of a common external trade policy and a common currency (Hill, 2002). However, The EU is still not a perfect economic union since not all members of the EU have adopted the common currency “Euro” and differences in tax rates across countries still remain (Hill, 2002). The EU is designed to promote peace and economic cooperation in Western Europe and is seen as a complex blend of supranational and intergovernmental modes of governance that varies across time and policy arenas (Fligstein and Sweet, 2002) and that will set new rules for many of Europe’s old institutions and organizations. The Treaty of Rome (established the European Community in 1957 but later became the European Union in 1991 after the Maastricht Treaty) has resulted in the establishment of a set of organizations with the capacity to produce, apply and enforce market rules in order to promote economic exchange across national borders of Western Europe nation-states (McCormick, 1999). 12 Therefore, these institutional, political, monetary and economic changes create a new framework within which organizations exist. As these organizations see new opportunities for growth within the unified integrated region, they adjust their strategies to capitalize on these opportunities. Implications on Organizations Within the field of international economics and trade, there is a stream of research that has long advocated the benefits of economic integration and common currency blocks (Krugman and Obstfeld, 2000) on national economies. Economic integration and the adoption of a common currency among a set of countries has been associated with a positive increase in intra-trade among member nations. Rose and Wincoop (2001) suggest that the true effect of the euro is close to 50 percent increase in intra-European trade. Rose (2000), using data on 186 countries, dependencies, territories and colonies, set out to test the hypothesis that economic and monetary unions promote trade. One innovation in his study is that he looked at the average effects of a common currency not only across time but also across different countries. Additionally, his study incorporated other determinants of trade other than currency union- including incomes, distance between trading partners, and so on. Rose (2000) concludes that on average, two countries that are members of the same currency union trade three times as much as with each other as countries that do not share a currency. Rose also finds significant trade-creating effects of reduced exchange-rate volatility even when it occurs without currency union; however, those effects are much smaller than those of the adoption of a common currency. Fiscal federalism is another aspect that economic theories have addressed as benefits of part of an economic integration (Krugman and Obstfeld, 2000). Being part of the ‘Euro zone’ makes it possible for the EU to transfer economic resources from members with healthy economies to those suffering economic setbacks. Therefore, improving the aggregate economic situation of the overall integrated area in the long run; hence, creating growth opportunities for 13 organizations to grow and expand. Unfortunately, due to limited taxation powers, the European Union can only practice fiscal federalism only on a very small scale (Krugman and Obstfeld, 2000). A larger, homogenous market of goods, services and labor offers new trade and investment opportunities and reduces unemployment levels. In an econometric study comparing unemployment patterns in U.S. regions with those of in EU countries, Eichengreen (1990) suggested that differences in regional unemployment rates are smaller and less persistent in the United States than are differences between national unemployment rates in the European Union. The European economic integration removes various trade barriers and allows goods, services, capital, labor, and technology to move freely between member countries. European integration also promotes regional trade, and enhances economic growth. All businesses are free to access the rest of the European Union, hence creating bigger market opportunities for growth within this homogenous market. Businesses that have entered the European Union have been able to achieve the economies of scale, foster specialization, attract more investment, and find new customers. The 2004 enlargement of the EU added 75 million citizens to the existing 378 million (Hill, 2002). This chance presents the EU, individual countries, and businesses with enormous opportunities, especially in the countries that have little experience as market economies- Countries associated with the former Soviet Block. There are few disadvantages to the European economic integration. At times, the European Union’s regulations have put the nonmember country businesses at a disadvantage. Since not all member countries of the EU are part of the ‘Euro Zone’, price differentials still exist in different European locations (Krugman and Obtsfeld, 2000). In addition to member nations, A few things can be addressed about those countries on the EU’s waiting list. Since businesses are not sure when the accession to the European Union 14 will take place, the businesses are weary of foreign direct investment (Krugman and Obstfeld, 2000); they either choose less costly methods of entering the country, or opt out for different business strategies. Keeping the countries on the waiting list only hurts the EU in the long run. Slower accession also affects companies’ ability to export to each other’s markets. In addition, applicant countries may be spending too much time and capital on attempting to improve the overall infrastructure of the country that they completely neglect the prospective business clients. --------------------------------------------Insert Figure 1 Here --------------------------------------------Figure 1 aids in visualizing the effects of changes in the external environment on organizational level strategies. As discussed in earlier sections of the paper, the European Union integration constitutes the change in the framework within which European firms exist. On the other hand, changes in the pattern and structure of international alliances among European firms in EU member nations constitute the adaptive behavior that organizations implement as a result of environmental changes. --------------------------------------------Insert Figure 2 Here ---------------------------------------------Figure 2 is a model that links the changes resulting from the European integration to the changes in the pattern and structure of alliance relationships among European firms. The market integration among EU members, the adoption of a common currency (Euro), and the adoption of a single foreign trade constitute the major changes in the environment for European firms. These changes and the institutionalization of the emerging EU policies and regulations among member 15 nations will impact both the pattern and the structure of organizational alliance relationships among European firms within EU members (Stearns and Allan, 1998). HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT To address the research questions of this paper, we look at the percentage of international alliances among firms in EU members rather than the total volume of alliances, since our study addresses the pattern of international alliances within EU members rather than the total volume of alliances with a country. While the volume of alliances might not change after a country joins the EU, the composition of the total volume if international alliances changes as more firms form alliances with other EU based firms and less alliances with foreign firms. Membership to the EU Economic theories, specifically comparative advantage theory, suggest that the establishment of an economically integrated region in Europe increases overall production of the region, and creates market and economic growth (Hill, 2002). With economic growth boosting in Europe, European multinationals are among the first to capitalize on such growth opportunities, seeing this as an opportunity to grow internally within the new boundaries of the EU, and later growing internationally in the global environment. Therefore, European firms tend to form alliances with other European firms as they try to attain the scale economies necessary to compete on a larger European playing field and capture the benefits of the economic growth among member nations. Although the EU is still not considered a truly single European market, pan-European firms will emerge as a result of this economic integration of European nations. Therefore, we propose: 16 Hypothesis 1: A country will experience a higher percentage of international alliances between its firms and firms of other EU members, after the country becomes a member of the EU than before becoming a member. Hypothesis 2: A country will experience a higher percentage of international equity based alliances between its firms and firms of other EU members, after the country becomes a member of the EU than before becoming a member. Adoption of a Common Market International trade theories argue for tariff and non-tariff trade restrictions; advantages of trade barriers include protection of infant industries, protection of jobs from cheap foreign labor in the domestic market within the geographic boundaries of a nation (Ball and McCulloch, 2002). However, these trade restrictions often cause less competition and price discrepancies for end consumers (Hill, 2002). In many cases, trade restrictions constitute entry barriers to multinational firms as they go into new foreign markets (Hill, 2002). As European countries join the supranational integration and agree to remove trade barriers between member nations, multinational organizations in European nations that join the EU perceive this as a barrier removal and an incentive for them to explore new market opportunities. European multinationals within the geographic boundaries of the EU are now protected against international competition from nations outside the EU. Additionally, they form alliances with other organizations in EU nations, treating these alliances as local branches of their operations. In addition, the integration of markets will facilitate and promote transactions between firms in the EU-member nations. As a result, European firms will favor other European firms that are operating in the same integrated market to form alliances with, instead of forming alliances with foreign partners that have no access to such markets. Dewenter (1995) cautions 17 that investors experience greater costs when pursuing business transactions across different markets. Therefore, we propose: Hypothesis 3: The emerging institutionalized environment of a common market among EU members resulting from the European integration is positively associated with an increase in the percentage of international SAs among firms of EU countries. Additionally, the homogeneity of regulations within the common market created across all members of the EU reduces the risks associated with going to foreign markets. Perceiving growth opportunities within this integrated market, firms tend to invest more equity in their alliance relationships with other European firms in EU members. Hypothesis 4: The emerging institutionalized environment of a common market among EU members resulting from the European integration is positively associated with an increase in the percentage of equity based alliances, as compared to non-equity based, among firms of the EU countries. Common Currency Transaction cost economics links environmental uncertainty to the choice of alliance structures through the agency of perceived transaction costs (Weaver and Dickson, 1999). Environmental uncertainty leads organizations to be doubtful about the success of their international alliance activities in addition to the greater potential transaction costs, as Williamson (1985) purports. These two factors are assumed to lead organizations going through alliances with international partners to form alliances that minimize their investments; hence, reducing risk in case the alliance failed. Exchange rate risk is a major economic force affecting the operations of multinationals; multinational firms often assess this risk as part of their environmental scanning of the country prior to their international expansion (Ball and McCulloch, 2002). With the European nations’ 18 attempts to create a Euro zone that uses one single currency across most of the European Union nations, exchange rate risk and the associated cost with the internationalization transactions become insignificant. This will lead multinationals within Euro zone nations to expand their operations to other Euro zone nations. In addition, they tend to invest more equity in their cross border activities as one of the environmental uncertainties disappears. Therefore, we propose: Hypothesis 5: A country’s adoption of the Euro will increase the percentage of international SAs between firms in this country and other countries that use the Euro. Hypothesis 6: A country’s adoption of the Euro will increase the percentage of equitybased SAs, as compared to non-equity alliances, between firms in this country and other countries that use the Euro. DESIGN, DATA, AND METHODS This study uses primary and secondary data. The data base contains data pertaining to strategic alliances occurring between 1985 and 2002. The data set developed for this study contains all strategic alliance transactions that were unconditionally completed and where the activity crossed the geographic boundaries of each of the countries included in this study. In other words, alliance transactions that occurred between two domestic (within the same country) are not included in this data base. The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of a nation’s membership to an economically integrated region, specifically the European Union, on strategic alliance patterns and structures within member nations. Therefore, the data set developed for this study contains all unconditionally completed alliance transactions in 29 countries, 15 of which are existing EU members, 10 are recently admitted members and 4 are not members of the EU. The data was collected for each of these countries for the period between 1985 and 2002. This eighteen-year period is pivotal for the empirical context of this study since it represents the 19 period during which major changes to the EU took place whether in terms of the level of integration or in terms of the number of members. The unit of analysis in this study is at the country level. All information collected about unconditionally completed strategic alliances was acquired from SDC Platinum database, developed by Thompson Financial Corporation. Additionally, all other information used in this study was collected from data compiled by the World Bank, the World Trade Organization the International Monetary Fund and the statistical office of the European Union. The original sample size is N = 522. Dependent Variables Percentage of European Strategic Alliances This variable is measured as the total number of international alliances that took place between a country’s organizations and other EU organizations during a specific year divided by the total number of international alliances in that country during a specific year. Percentage of European Equity Alliances In this paper, we use Varadarajan and Cunningham’s (1995) classification of strategic alliances which specify only two types of alliances, namely joint ventures and interorganizational entities that involve non-equity alliances. Hence, this variable is measured as the total number of joint ventures that took place between a country’s organizations and other EU organizations during a specific year divided by the total number of international alliances that took place between a country’s organizations and other EU organizations during a specific year. Independent Variables Membership to the EU 20 This measure is coded as a dummy variable with a country being a member of the EU during a specific year as (1) and a country that is not a member of the EU during a specific year as (0). During the period of study, a measure can change in value from 0 to 1 starting with the year that the country is admitted to the EU. Adoption of a common market for goods, services and factors of production. This variable indicates whether a country is part of the single market for goods, services and factors of production that the European Union infused among the European community. It indicated whether a country has removed the tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade with the rest of the EU members. It is coded as a dummy variable where (1) is assigned for countries that share the single market with the rest of the EU members and (0) for countries that are not part of this single market of goods and services. Adoption of the Euro This variable indicates whether a country has agreed to adopt the Euro as it is formal currency after the Maastricht treaty in 1992, since not all EU members belong to the Euro zone. This variable is coded as a dummy variable with (1) for nations that have adopted the Euro at a specific year and (0) for the nations that have not adopted the Euro. Control Variables There are five variables in our models that control for the overall differences between countries in terms of economic growth, political regime and overall business environment. To control for the wealth of a country compared to the other countries, we include The gross domestic product (GDP) of each of the 29 countries included in this study over the period 19852002. This variable measures the overall economic wealth of each of these nations and by controlling for it, we are isolating the effect of economic wealth of any two countries on the 21 pattern of cross border cooperative strategies between their organizations. We considered using the per capita gross domestic product as well, but the correlation between per capita GDP and GDP was .XX and we decided to drop per capita GDP to minimize collinearity issues. Additionally, macro economic theories suggest that high levels of inflation encourage borrowing since the real interest rate is calculated by subtracting the inflation rate from the nominal interest rate. This borrowing incentive suggests that countries with high inflation levels might experience more foreign organizations borrowing money from the country’s banks to establish cooperative entities in these countries. Therefore, we use inflation rate as a control variable. We also use foreign direct investment and the balance of payment figures (both stated in US dollars) of a nation indicate the amount of international activities of the nation use these two variables as control variables to isolate the effect of the intensity of a country’s involvement in international trade and investments, as these two activities suggest that organizations within a country that is highly involved with international activities to form more international cooperative relationships, namely cross international strategic alliances. The last control is the political regime within a country. As more countries are admitted to the European Union, there is diversity in the political regime among the member countries, especially with the admission of the Eastern European nations. Among the countries included in this study, there are various political regimes ranging from Post-Communist, Democratic, Monarchy, Republic and others. As of the current stage of the European Union integration, there is no obligation to adopt a single political regime among all members of the EU since the EU is still far from becoming a political and economic integration. In addition, political regimes do have an effect on the forms and patterns of cooperative strategies exercised by organizations under these political regimes (Hyder and Abraha, 2003). Method 22 ANALYSES AND RESULTS In models where data is collected on the same sample of subjects over a period of time, consideration must be given to the fact that observations on the same subject are expected to be correlated. In fact, “repeated measures” is a term that refers to situations where the same characteristic is observed on the same subject at different times or different locations. This study is characterized by repeated measures where the subjects are the 29 countries that are included in this study and the different variables collected are the characteristics observed over the period of 1985-2002. In cases similar to this application, linear mixed models are the best choice for analyses since the model assumes that the same covariance matrix (∑) holds for each country. Linear mixed models expand the general linear model so that data are permitted to exhibit correlated and non-constant variability. The mixed linear model, therefore, provides the flexibility of modeling not only the means of the data but also their variances and covariances. The general form for a mixed model is: Y = X + Zu + e. Where X denotes the fixed effects part, Z is a fixed design matrix, u is a random unobservable vector of random effects with E(u) = 0 and Cov(u) = G, and e denotes the random unobservable vector of errors, with E(e)= 0 and Cov(e)= R. In this study, since the data collected is cross sectional time-series data, there are several assumptions regarding the correlations between observations. The study is conducted across 29 countries and for a period of 18 years. Hence, the data is characterized by repeated measures both in terms of year and in terms of 23 countries. For a specific country, observations about the dependent variables are collected over a period of 18 years, and for a specific year, observations of the dependent variables are collected across 29 countries. Observations collected over one country are expected to exhibit time series correlations and observations collected for a specific year, are expected to exhibit cross-sectional correlations. The mixed model that is used in this study assumes three types of correlations. The first type of correlation is the time-series correlation based on common country effect, where observations in a country share a vector countryi. The second type of correlations is the cross-sectional correlations between countries, where countries in the same year share a vector yearj. The third type of correlation is the additional time series correlation, which decays over time (AR (1)). Therefore the general form for the mixed model of this study is: Yij = 0 + 1Xij + countryi + yearj + ij Where 0 + 1Xij denotes the fixed effects, countryi induces correlation between years, and yearj induces correlation between countries. RESULTS Table 1 summarizes the descriptive statistics and correlations for the variables used in the analysis. We began our analysis by conducting tests of collinearity by checking the variance inflation factor, VIF, which should be smaller than 10 for all variables (Belsey et al., 1980). Or models meet this criterion, except for two of the control variables that we initially planned to include in our models. These variables are GDP and Percentage increase in GDP. We decided to use only one of the two control variables (GDP) since GDP alone captures the economic wealth of the country. Results for the Pattern of International Alliances 24 Table 2 presents the parameter estimates from the mixed regression analyses for the percentage of European strategic alliances, which measures the direction and pattern of alliances in a specific country. Model 1 is a baseline model that includes the control variables of country’s wealth, international activity, inflation and political regime. Some of the control variables have predicted the positive effects: The accumulated wealth and the international trade activities of a country are incentives for firms within these firms to form international alliances with geographical neighbors. Model 2 tests Hypothesis 1. This model shows that a country’s membership to an economically integrated area is a significant factor in determining the pattern of strategic alliances that companies exercise within member countries. It suggests that firms within an economically integrated region tend to form international alliances with firms from other member nations, rather than with firms from outside the integrated region (p 0.001). Model 3 displays the results for Hypothesis 3, showing that the adoption of a common market for goods and services and the removal of tariff and non-tariff barriers of trade induces firms to form alliances with other firms within this tariff free region. Model 4 presents the results from arguments about adoption of a common currency. The model suggests that adoption of a common currency by a group of countries constitutes a motive for firms within these countries to form more alliances with other firms of these countries rather than with firms from outside this common currency zone (p < 0.001). Model 5 presents the results from the fully specified model that includes all the variables. The general pattern of results remains the same. The change of note is that some of the country level control variables become insignificant. As a country becomes a member of an economically integrated region, the country’s specific economic profile becomes less of a factor for firms trying to internationalize their activities to this country since the country’s profile becomes a micro economy of the supra economically integrated region. 25 Results for the Structure of International Alliances Table 3 presents the parameter estimates from the linear mixed regression analyses for the percentage of European joint ventures. As mentioned earlier in the paper, we only differentiate between two structures of alliances: equity based alliances (Joint ventures) and nonequity based alliances. Model 6 presents the results from the control variables. The only significant control variable for the structure of alliances is the GDP, a wealth indicator. Model 7 presents the results from Hypothesis 2. The data shows that a country’s membership to an economically integrated region increases the likelihood of firms within this country to form equity based alliances with other firms from within this integrated region. Thus, Hypothesis 2 is supported. Model 8 presents results for Hypothesis 4 and shows that the adoption of a common market does increase the likelihood of firms engaging more in equity based alliances with other firms within the integrated region rather than non-equity based alliances (p < 0.001). Thus, Hypothesis 4 is supported. Model 9 presents the results from the arguments of about common currency. The data shows that the adoption of a common currency is not a factor in determining the structure of an alliance. Therefore, hypothesis 6 is not supported and the results suggest that firms’ decision on the governing structure of their alliances is not influenced by the type of currency that is adopted within the countries of the alliance. Model 10 presents the results from a fully specified model that includes all the variables. The results suggest that while a country’s membership to an economically integrated region increases the likelihood of equity based alliances among firms of the region, and while the removal of trade barriers associated with the integration increase the likelihood of equity based alliances, the adoption of a common currency is not a significant factor in determining the 26 structure of alliances among firms of the integrated region. In addition, only the GDP of a country is a significant control variable. DISCUSSION Our models investigate one aspect of how organizations change their international strategies in response to environmental changes. The pattern of empirical results provides support to our arguments about how environmental change, specifically economic integrations influence organizational strategies, in terms of patterns and structures. The findings in this paper suggest that economically integrated region brings changes to the organizational environment within which organizations choose on different alternatives to internationalize. The two main changes that have been discussed in this paper are the adoption of a common market and the adoption of a common currency. Results of this research suggest that when countries integrate into a common market, firms within this integrated region tend to form alliances among each other, and tend to invest more equity in their alliance practices. On the other hand, while the adoption of a common currency constitutes an external incentive for firms within the common currency zone to form alliances with other firms in this zone, there is little support that the adoption of a common currency influences the structure of alliances formed and the firms decision on how much equity to invest in their alliance practices. CONTRIBUTIONS We believe that any study that attempts to bring two or more fields of research together adds value and contributes to the existing knowledge in each of these realms of research. This paper lies at the intersection of international economics and international strategy. The major contribution of this study is that it attempts to further apply the organization-environment paradigm to the study international alliances and the alliance structures; hence, suggesting that 27 international alliances and other cooperative strategies can be looked at as pattern on a country level, not only at the firm level. A very notable trend in the global economy in recent years has been the accelerated movement regional economic integration. Therefore, by linking economic integration of nation states to international alliance literature, a major contribution of this research design becomes its the ability to predict the adoption of a specific cooperative strategy when such nation state phenomena occurs. By 2001, nearly all of the WTO’s 136 members had participation of more than one or more regional trade agreement, and more countries are expected to undergo such integration as new regions attempt to boost their economies and as new countries join the WTO. Therefore, the study offers a major contribution to the field of international strategy by explaining the expected trend in alliance strategies within specific regions as they attempt to integrate. A third contribution of this study is that it sheds the light on the factors within economically integrated regions that matter and favor equity-based alliance structures. The paper offers multinational practitioners a theoretical justification for implementing equity alliances as opposed to non-equity alliances as they attempt to expand within economically integrated regions. Such an implication is essential for a global arena where competition is piling up in intensity and where economies of scale, accelerated R&D, and efficient resource allocation are not the only ways to sustain competitive advantage in a global market. In general, international alliance strategies and the different governing structures of these strategies have received a major share of the international management stream of research. However, regional economic integration on the nation level has not been adequately incorporated in multinational strategy literature. This study does so by exploring the environmental changes that make such integrated areas conducive to specific types of alliances. 28 REFERENCES Aulakh, P.S., Kotabe, M.,& Sahay, A. 1996. 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New York: Free Press. 32 Graph 1 Evolution of Regional Trade Agreements in the world, 1948-2002 Numberof RTAs Source: WTO Secretariat 33 FIGURE1: Organization- Environment framework Changes in the Environment European Union Integration Organizational Adaptation (Changes in strategy and structure Adaptive international alliance strategies 34 FIGURE 2: External Changes Translate to Changes in International Alliances Common Market International Alliance pattern /frequency Common Currency International Alliance structure (Equity vs. nonequity) 35 Table 1 Descriptive Statistics and Correlations Variable European alliance 1 percentage European joint 2 venture percentage 3 Membership 4 Common market 5 Common currency 6 GDP 7 GDP per capita 8 Balance of payment 9 FDI 10 Inflation 11 Political Regime Count Avg. Std. Dev. 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 36 Table 2 Results of Mixed Models Analyses for The Effects of Economic Integration on Alliance Patternsa Independent Variables 1 Membership 2 Common market 3 Common currency 4 GDP 6 GDP per capita 7 Balance of payment 8 FDI 9 Inflation 10 Political Regime 11 Constant Model (1) Model (2) Model (3) Model (4) Model (5) -0.009*** (0.002) 0.00 (0.00) 0.14 (0.19) -0.04 (0.004) -0.03** (0.01) 8.77*** 3.28 20.27*** (2.11) 0.395 13.91*** (3.51) -0.003 (0.002) 0.00** (0.00) 0.254 (0.21) 0.001 (0.05) -0.028* (0.01) 6.39** (3.37) 21.36*** (2.18) 0.31 0.61** (4.93) 16.88*** (5.08) 8.51** (3.49) -0.008*** 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.217 (0.19) -0.008 (0.04) -0.03* 0.01 8.76** (3.3) 20.24*** 2.18 0.42 7 7 9 14.98*** (2.61) 18.04*** (2.62) -0.003*** (0.002) 0.000 (0.000) 0.13** (0.20) -0.05 (0.04) -0.02* (0.01) 5.86 (3.34) 21.74*** (2.22) 0.243 0.008*** (0.003) 0.00 (0.00) 0.13 (0.19) -0.04 (0.04) -0.025* (0.01) 9.53*** (3.36) 18.96*** (2.19) 0.359 R-square -2 Log Likelihood AIC Degrees of freedom 6 7 Standard errors in parentheses. * p0.05; ** p<0.01; ***p<0.001 a n= 522 ( 29 countries over a period of 18 years from 1985 to 2002) 37 Table 3 Results of Mixed Models Analyses for the Effects of Economic Integration on Alliance Structures Independent Variables 1 Membership 2 Common market 3 Common currency 4 GDP 6 GDP per capita 7 Balance of payment 8 FDI 9 Inflation 10 Political Regime 11 Constant Model (6) Model (7) Model (8) Model (9) 4.93*** (4.6) 15.46*** (4.66) Model (10) 29.80*** (8.70) 42.16*** (8.96) -3.32 (6.15) 0.008* (0.004) 0.00 (0.00) 0.011** (0.04) 0.00 (0.00) 0.01* (0.003) 0.00 (0.00) 0.006 (0.004) 0.00 (0.00) 1.79 (6.10) 0.01** (0.004) 0.00 (0.00) 0.33 (0.34) 0.09 (0.07) 0.13 (0.02) -3.97 (5.84) 48.85*** (3.79) 0.34 (0.34) 0,09 (0.07) 0.15 (0.02) -2.76 (5.95) 47.94*** (4.61) 0.34 (0.34) 0.10 (0.07) 0.015 (0.019) -1.47 (5.82) 47.59*** (3.76) 0.39 (0.34) 0.09 (0.08) 0.01 (0.02) -3.98 (5.85) 48.81*** (3.79) 0.32 (0.34) 0.09 (0.07) 0.11 (0.02) -4.5 (5.82) 51.03*** 3.85 0.24 0.18 0.29 7 7 9 R-Square 0.17 0.19 -2 Log Likelihood AIC Degrees of freedom 6 7 Standard errors in parentheses. * p0.05; ** p<0.01; ***p<0.001 a n= 522 ( 29 countries over a period of 18 years from 1985 to 2002) 38