Florida Small Business Index 2016 Quarter 1 Survey Results Presented by the Florida Chamber of Commerce Small Business Council March 2016 About the Florida Chamber’s Small Business Council Florida’s small businesses are essential to the continuing recovery of the Florida economy. The Florida Chamber’s Small Business Council works directly with state and national leaders to pass important legislation such as reducing the business rent tax and reducing the cost of healthcare. The Florida Chamber’s Small Business Council provides a unified voice for all small businesses in our mission to secure Florida’s future. Participants meet with legislators, contact media, and testify before both Florida’s House and Senate on issues important to small businesses. Survey Overview Many in Florida’s small business community are experiencing both challenges and successes as our economy grows. As we work to secure Florida’s future, it is crucial that the Florida Chamber of Commerce understand what issues are most important to small businesses. The purpose of the Small Business Index Survey is to track trends and issues affecting small businesses in Florida. Small business owners are surveyed in order to monitor small business trends and identify emerging issues that may be addressed by the Florida Chamber’s Small Business Council. The Council’s previous surveys were performed in May 2010, September 2010, February 2011, July 2011, March 2012, June 2012, September 2012, December 2012, April 2013, July 2013, September 2013, January 2014, May 2014 and August/September 2014, May 2015, September 2015, and December 2015/January 2016. This survey is a nonscientific, random sampling of small business owners in Florida. It was conducted March 8, 2016 through March 24, 2016, and received 88 responses. The electronic survey was e-mailed to small businesses in Florida; and distributed by local chambers of commerce throughout the state; and posted on social media including Facebook and Twitter. Of those responding: • 33% of respondents employ less than 5 employees; • 46% employ 5 to 49 employees; • 5% employ 50 to 99 employees; and • 16% employ 100 to 500 employees. Additionally: • 76% of respondents employ less than 5 part-time employees; • 18% employ 5 to 49 part-time employees; • 0% employ 50 to 99 part-time employees; and • 6% employ 100 or more part-time employees. 2 Survey Analysis Although financial markets have been reasonably calm during much of the time this survey was available for response, “Economic Uncertainty” remains the top issue facing Florida’s small businesses, according to 19 percent of respondents. “Workforce Quality”, moved to second place on the list, with 15 percent of respondents citing it as their top issue. Third on this quarter’s survey is “Access to Capital”, with 13 percent of respondents indicating that it was their top issue. “Government Regulations” is the most important concern for 10 percent of the respondents, with “Healthcare Costs” at 8 percent, and “Lawsuit Abuse” being the most important issue for 6 percent of respondents. The top six issues - “Economic Uncertainty”, “Workforce Quality”, “Access to Capital”, “Government Regulations”, “Healthcare Costs”, and “Lawsuit Abuse” - cover the top concerns of 71 percent of small businesses taking the survey in the 1st quarter of 2016. Economic conditions continue to show increased uncertainty, especially from the international sector, including recession in Brazil, the strong dollar, and weakening international demand. However, a majority of respondents expect increased sales during the upcoming year. According to respondents demand appears to be softening with only 53 percent indicating sales were up over the same period last year, compared to 65 percent during the past survey. As respondents look forward to the near-term future, 63 percent expect their company’s sales to improve during the upcoming 12months, however that is down from 79 percent in the previous survey. Small Business Employment Outlook: • • • 54 percent of respondents expect to hire in the next six months – that includes those that plan to hire either a few (48%) or many (6%) Only 1 percent expect to lay off employees in the next six months, which is the same percentage as the last survey 87 percent said economic uncertainty and lack of sales are the leading obstacles preventing their small business from hiring new employees, the same as indicated in the last survey. An indicator of further business expansion in Florida, 53 percent of businesses plan to increase investments in plants or equipment, up from 50 percent in the previous survey. Of those respondents that indicated they needed financing during the past 6 months, 80 percent were able to obtain it. Looking forward to the next 6 months, 62 percent of respondents that use financing indicate that they expect financing to be more difficult to obtain. Another concern of Florida small businesses is that 12 percent of respondents indicate that they expect their sales to drop over the next year, which is higher than the 8 percent from the previous survey. 3 Survey Results Comparisons Q1: Top issues facing Florida small businesses today: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Economic Uncertainty – 19% Workforce Quality – 15% Access to Capital – 13% Government Regulations – 10% Healthcare Costs – 8% Lawsuit Abuse – 6% Q4: Company Sales Over the Last 3 Months Compared to the Same Period Last Year Higher Lower Unchanged 53% 23% 24% 4 Q5: Company Sales Over the Last 3 Months as Compared to Prior 3 Months Higher Unchanged Lower 51% 32% 17% Q6: How Do You Expect the Economy Will Change Over the Next Year? 3% 10% 10% Improve Significantly Improve Slightly Remain Unchanged 29% 48% Weaken Slightly Weaken Significantly 5 Q7: How Do You Expect the Economy Will Change Over the Next 3 Years? 3% 18% 18% Improve Significantly Improve Slightly 6% Remain Unchanged Weaken Slightly Weaken Significantly 55% Q8: How Do You Expect Your Company's Sales Will Change Over the Next 3 Months? Increase Remain Unchanged Decrease 61% 30% 9% 6 Q9: How Do You Expect Your Company's Sales Will Change Over the Next Year? Increase Remain Unchanged Decrease 63% 25% 12% Q10: Does your company do business internationally? 30% Yes No 70% 7 Q12: Employment Plans During the Next Six Months 1% 0% 7% 6% Hire many new employees Hire few new employees Maintain current workforce Lay off few employees 38% 48% Lay off Many Employees Not Sure Q13: Top obstacles preventing you from hiring new employees? 4% Economic Uncertainty 8% Lack of Sales 6% 49% 33% Too Much Regulation Requirements of the federal health care bill Uncertainty about what state government will do next 8 Q14: Plans to Increase Investments in Plant or Equipment Yes, less than 6 months Yes, more than 1 year No, does not apply Yes, 6-12 months No, no plans 36% 20% 23% 11% 10% Q15: Is Your Business Better Off Today Than It Was Six Months Ago? Much Better 42% 4% Better Same Worse Much Worse 41% 9% 4% 9 Q16: Overall, how reasonable are state government regulations of small businesses today? 3% 10% Very Reasonable Somewhat Reasonable 35% 52% Somewhat Unreasonable Very Unreasonable Q17: Worried about regulations, restrictions and taxes that have been put on your business in Tallahassee, negatively impacting your ability of do business? Not at all worried Not very worried Somewhat worried Very worried 40% 34% 22% 4% 10 Q19: Confidence in the Direction the State is Taking to Make Florida a Better Place to Conduct Business Very Confident Confident Neutral 27% Somewhat Confident Not Confident 28% 24% 21% 0% Q21: Able to Obtain Financing During the Last 6 Months Yes No I did not need capital financing 48% 42% 10% 11 Q22: Ability to Obtain Financing During the Next 6 Months Easier Harder Not Applicable 49% 32% 19% 12