Healthy Communities Constance C. Holland, AICP Director State of Delaware Planning Coordination Post WWII Sububanization “Suburbia” by David Shankbone President Kennedy visits Delaware in 1963 “Moving Day” Historical Growth Patterns in Delaware Demand for Infrastructure DelDOT Photos State funded infrastructure and services impacted by land use decisions • Delaware Roads = 90% • Paratransit = $32 per person vs. $5 for DART ride (2008) • Schools = 70% - 80% • School Transportation = 100% (up 52% since 2002). • Paramedic Services = 60% • State Police = Delaware’s largest police force. • 14 State Service Centers delivering 160+ programs and services Need for Change New Castle County: Wilmington Riverfront Area Kent County: Dover Lexington Glen Sussex County: Milton Cannery Village Kent County: Dover Overlook on Silver Lake Kent County: Dover Overlook on Silver Lake Sussex County: Milton Paynter’s Mill Photos: Delaware State Parks Photos by Mike Mahaffie Photos by Mike Mahaffie Photos by Mike Mahaffie Photo: Delaware State Parks More examples from the: Delaware by Design Bus Tours New Castle County: Newark Streetscape, Main Street Opera House New Castle County: Wilmington Riverfront Area New Castle County: Wilmington Historic District Kent County: Smyrna Health and Wellness Center / Opera House Kent County: Dover Lexington Glen Kent County: Dover Overlook on Silver Lake Sussex County: Milton Cannery Village Sussex County: Milton Paynter’s Mill Path Forward Trends in Delaware • Delaware’s population is aging Figure 5. Age Breakdown in Delaware, 2000-2030 2030 24% 2020 25% 2010 26% 2000 53% 57% 10% 16% 59% 28% 0% 20% 13% 59% 20% 30% Age 0-19 40% 50% Age 20-64 60% Age 65-84 12% 70% Age 85+ 80% 90% 100% Infrastructure Costs of Five Community Prototypes Source: The Brookings Institution on Urban and Metropolitan Policy (Muro & Puentes, 2004) $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 Low Density Sprawl Recreation Roads Streets Sprawl Mix Schools Utilities LowDensity Planned Planned Mix High Density Planned Public Facilities Construction/Other* *Includes construction cost of the unit and other expenses such as land dedication. Capital Costs per Unit (Public Portion) Source: The Brookings Institution on Urban and Metropolitan Policy (Muro & Puentes, 2004) $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 Low Density Sprawl Sprawl Mix LowDensity Planned Public Costs Planned Mix High Density Planned Opportunity to Walk • Vehicle miles reduced by 40% • Improves air quality • Saves on auto maintenance. Changing Trends • Research indicates demographic changes and consumer preferences will dramatically shift demand for style / type of housing in next 20 years.* • “as baby boomers become empty nesters and retirees, they’re drawn to compact, walkable neighborhoods. So are single adults and married couples without children.” * Source: Ewing, Reid, “The Demand for Smart Growth: What Survey Research Tells Us”. Planning Magazine, December 2007.. Too much of the “big stuff” already • Arthur C. Nelson of Virginia Tech projects that by 2025, the demand for attached and small-lot housing will exceed the current supply by 35 million units (71 percent), while the demand for large-lot housing will actually fall short of the current supply. We have too much of the big stuff already.* * Source: Ewing, Reid, “The Demand for Smart Growth: What Survey Research Tells Us”. Planning Magazine, December 2007. The next generation need will need compact well planned communities. • Between now and mid-century America will have to rebuild itself to accommodate population growth. • If 75% of the new construction is of a more compact variety, emissions could be reduced by 10% or more. • --Ed Glaeser (“TRB Report Evaluates Densification & VMT Reduction”) Same Space Look what can be done with 121 acres 2,622 Feet 2,019 Feet Approximately 121 Acres 897 Housing Units 76 Housing Units 1,088 Persons 205 Persons (Estimated) Retail Restaurants Hospital Churches Park