Lecture 7: The Industrial Revolution ECON 451 Fall 2012 Professor David Jacks 1 Need to get a handle on what happened in Britain in between 1750 and 1850. Already know something about agricultural productivity, share non-agricultural employment, and urbanization rates a la Wrigley. Also already know that we witness a break from the Malthusian trap. Other signs? Introduction 2 Introduction 3 Introduction 4 Introduction 5 Old school: 1.) The IR was a true revolution. 2.) Tremendous changes in the economic, political, and social fabric of first Britain and then the world. 3.) All of which were generated by a wave of Approaches to the industrial revolution 6 New school: 1.) Looking at the production figures of individual industries as before, something definitely happened. 2.) Zooming up, cumulative effects and timing unclear. Approaches to the industrial revolution 7 1.) How large were the “revolutionized” sectors? Again, a tension between sector shares and industry productivity growth on the one hand and aggregate productivity growth on the other. Examples of books and eyeglasses. Questions raised by the new school 8 2.) What explains the geographic pattern of the “revolution”? Spatial distribution of industrial activity highly concentrated as many areas saw little change. A British industrial revolution or a Northern English/Scottish industrial revolution? Questions raised by the new school 9 Questions raised by the new school 10 3.) If the industrial revolution was truly revolutionary, how did so many people miss it? Smith, Malthus, and Ricardo… 4.) Looking across Europe and across the globe, why was England first? Or what was special about the English Questions raised by the new school 11 5.) Finally, was the movement in population and wages the real break from the Malthusian trap? What if stuck with the technology of 1850? A reintroduction of Malthusian dynamics? Or had the IR broken the mechanisms of the Questions raised by the new school 12 Even if it de-emphasizes the “revolution” part, the new school is still concerned with causes. Quickly took up one of the older explanations, namely the scientific revolution in the 17th/18th centuries. Basic research as well as the application of the scientific method helped transform industry. Science and technology as a cause 13 Others have argued that the Glorious Revolution (and thus limited government) sparked the development of public/private capital markets. Achieved by making the state’s commitment to repay its debt credible and paved the way for the Industrial Revolution. Chief empirical evidence: decline in English Institutions as a cause 14 More recently, it has been claimed that the real reason England experienced an industrial revolution was “coal and colonies”. A resolution to the Europe versus China debate? But location of industry was endogenous in England and an abundance of relatively unsettled land in Geography as a cause 15 Remaining issues for the week: 1.) determining the pace of industrialization within England: revolution or evolution? (Crafts) 2.) determining the pattern of industrialization across Europe: the view from trade? (Temin) 3.) determining the nature of industrialization across time: exogenous or endogenous? (Crafts) Conclusion 16