Midterm Exam in Econometrics ECON 837 February 23rd, 2015 Exercise 1 Consider the following two models: Y = Xβ + ϵ (1) Y = Xβ + Zγ + ϵ (2) where X is (N, KX ) and Z is (N, KZ ). Denote the OLS estimator of β in Equation (1) by β̂ (1) . Denote the OLS estimator of β in Equation (2) by β̂ (2) . (a) What are E[β̂ (1) |X, Z] and V ar[β̂ (1) |X, Z] equal to if in fact the true model is (2)? (b) What are E[β̂ (2) |X, Z] and V ar[β̂ (2) |X, Z] equal to if in fact the true model is (1)? (c) For the special case KX = KZ = 1, compare V ar[β̂ (1) |X, Z] and V ar[β̂ (2) |X, Z] if the true model is (1). (d) For the special case KX = KZ = 1, compare V ar[β̂ (1) |X, Z] and V ar[β̂ (2) |X, Z] if the true model is (2). (e) Discuss and interpret your ndings. Exercise 2 Consider the two regressions, yi = β1 x1,i + β2 x2,i + β3 x3,i + ui (3) yi = α1 z1,i + α2 z2,i + α3 z3,i + vi (4) where z1,i = x1,i − 2x2,i , z2,i = x2,i + 4x3,i , and z3,i = 2x1,i − 3x2,i + 5x3,i . Let X = [x1 x2 x3 ] and Z = [z1 z2 z3 ], where x1 = [x1,1 x1,2 · · · x1,N ]′ (a column-vector). We use similar denitions for the other components of X and Z . (a) Find the elements of the (3, 3) matrix A such that Z = XA. Show that A is invertible. (b) How is the OLS estimator β̂1 related to the OLS estimators α̂1 , α̂2 , and α̂3 ? 1 (c) Show that the two regressions give the same predicted values and residuals. Provide some intuition for this result. Exercise 3 Consider again the linear regression model yi = x′i θ0 + ui , i = 1, · · · , n (5) d1 d2 where xi ∈ Rd can be partitioned into 2 subvectors x(1) and x(2) (d = d1 + d2 ) i ∈ R i ∈ R with corresponding coecient vectors θ0,1 and θ0,2 . Suppose that the object of principal interest is θ0,1 . Suppose that xi is endogenous and that a vector of mean zero instruments (2)′ zi ∈ Rdz is available such that E[zi ui ] = 0 and for which also E[zi xi ] = 0. Assume iid data. (a) If d1 ≤ dz < d then E[zi x′i ] cannot possibly have full column rank because the linear system is underidentied. Moreover, zi is uncorrelated with the regressors x(2) i . Show that θ0,1 can nevertheless be consistently estimated by proposing a consistent estimator θ̂1 of θ0,1 and derive its limit distribution. (b) Now suppose that dz ≥ d and that zi is independent of both ui and x(2) i . Under what circumstances would you use the standard 2SLS estimator of θ0,1 (i.e. the subvector of the 2SLS estimator corresponding to θ0,1 ) and under what circumstances would it be better to use the estimator you proposed in your answer to question (a)? Show your work. Exercise 4 Consider the linear regression model yi = x′i θ0 + ui , i = 1, · · · , n Assume iid data, and suppose that there is homoskedasticity. (a) Derive the test statistic that you would use to test 2 2 2 2 H0 : θ01 − θ02 = 5 and θ02 + θ03 = 1 vs H1 : θ01 − θ02 ̸= 5 or θ02 + θ03 ̸= 1 (b) What is the limit distribution of your test statistic? 2 (6)