Health statistics 03 Autumn 1999 Quarterly IN THIS ISSUE Page In brief 2 Health indicators 4 Recent trends in deaths from homicide in England and Wales Examines trends in deaths from homicide using routine death registration data and compares these to data from the Home Office Cleo Rooney and Tim Devis 5 Road traffic deaths: trends and comparison with DETR figures Compares ONS and DETR data and explores trends in road traffic mortality between 1982 and 1997 Olivia Christophersen, David Dix and Cleo Rooney 14 Multiple congenital anomalies in England and Wales 1992–97 Presents new data on multiple congenital anomalies and describes how these data will be used for international comparisons Beverley Botting, Rolv Skjaerven, Eva Alberman and Carole Abrahams 24 Social patterning of health and mortality: children, aged 6–15 years, followed up for 25 years in the ONS Longitudinal Study Examines the relationship between health and socio-economic circumstances at different stages of the life course of children aged 6-15 years, followed up for 25 years in the ONS Longitudinal Study Seeromanie Harding, Michael Rosato, Joanna Brown and Jillian Smith Annual Update: 1997 Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning (England and Wales) 30 35 Tables List of tables Notes to tables Tables 1.1–6.3 38 39 40 Reports: Infant and perinatal mortality 1998: health areas, England and Wales Sudden infant deaths 1998 Death registrations in England and Wales, 1998: area of residence 62 66 70 Recent ONS publications 76 London: The Stationery Office A publication of the Government Statistical Service Health Statistics Quar terl y 03 Autumn 1999 in brief Changes to boundaries of Regional Offices The boundaries of the NHS Executive Regional Offices (ROs) changed on 1 April 1999.The former Regions of Anglia and Oxford, North Thames and South Thames were replaced by a new regional structure, as follows: ● ● ● a London RO, which covers the 16 health authorities in Greater London; a South East RO, which covers the 14 health authorities of East Kent, West Kent, East Sussex Brighton and Hove, West Sussex, East Surrey, West Surrey (all formerly in the South Thames RO), Isle of Wight, Southampton and South West Hampshire, Portsmouth and South East Hampshire, North and Mid Hampshire (formerly in the South and West RO), Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, Oxfordshire and Northamptonshire (all formerly in the Anglia and Oxford RO); an Eastern RO, comprising the eight health authorities of West Hertfordshire, East and North Hertfordshire, South Essex, North Essex (formerly part of North Thames RO), Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire*, Norfolk* and Suffolk (all formerly part of the Anglia and Oxford RO). As a result of these changes, the South West RO now excludes the Isle of Wight and the three Hampshire health authorities (noted above). * Norfolk and Cambridgeshire health authorities were created from 1 April 1999, replacing the three former health authorities of Cambridge and Huntingdon, East Norfolk and North West Anglia. Number of births in 1997 Since publication of 1997 births data, an error has been discovered on the births database. A technical problem resulted in 1,002 records being excluded from the published analysis. The revised total number of births for 1997 is 646.5 thousand of which 3.4 thousand were stillbirths. The total fertility rate remains unchanged at 1.73. Reference tables 2.1, 2.2, 3.1 and 3.2 have been revised to show the correct figures and more information will appear in Births statistics 1998 (Series FM1 no. 27) which will be published in December 1999. Published 1998 births data are unaffected by this problem. 2 Other topics covered in the study included the use of emergency contraception, condom use in relation to sexual health, and knowledge of sexually transmitted diseases. The data form one of the main sources of information on contraceptive use and sexual health. Questions were put to 7,500 adults at randomly selected addresses in Britain and a report has been published by Social Survey under the title ‘Contraception and Sexual health, 1997’. For further information about the Omnibus Survey contact Olwen Rowlands on 0171 533 5310. Use of contraception: Great Britain, 1997 Figure A Pill Sterilisation Condom Intrauterine device Withdrawal Cap Safe period Other methods None No sexual relationship 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage of women aged 16–49 Contraception and Psychiatric morbidity among health prisoners The ONS Omnibus Survey was used to mount a series of questions on contraception for several months in 1997/8. The results show that one in seven women aged 16 to 49 were not in a sexual relationship and one in eight were not using a regular form of contraception, but for those who were using contraception three methods predominated. The Office for National Statistics contraceptive pill was the most popular method, mentioned by a quarter of women in the age group. The condom was the next most common method but the permanent method of sterilisation was just as popular. Two new reports based on further analysis of data from the Survey of Psychiatric Morbidity among Prisoners in England and Wales were published by ONS on 27th July 1999. The survey, which was carried out by the Social Survey Division of ONS on behalf of Health Statistics Quar terly 03 the Department of Health, covered all prisons in the country and involved interviews with about 3,200 prisoners during the last quarter of 1997. The main report of the survey was published in October 1998.* The two new reports contain the results of additional analyses which focus in more depth on two topics of particular importance within the prison population: substance misuse and non-fatal suicidal behaviour. Substance misuse among prisoners in England and Wales (by Nicola Singleton, Michael Farrell and Howard Meltzer) brings together information on substance misuse from the main report with the results of a range of additional analyses such as smoking, age of initiation of drug use and more details of treatment for drug use. In addition, it considers the co-occurrence of use of tobacco, alcohol and illicit drugs and their association with mental disorder. High rates of substance misuse before coming to prison were found among all sample groups. The survey found very high levels of smoking among the prison population: 85 per cent of male remand, 78 per cent of male sentenced, 83 per cent of female remand and 81 per cent of female sentenced prisoners were current smokers. These rates are much higher than seen in the general population and closer to levels reported in surveys of homeless people and residents of institutions catering for those with mental illness. A large proportion of both male and female respondents reported a hazardous pattern of drinking in the year before coming to prison. Among the men, 58 per cent of remand prisoners and 63 per cent of sentenced prisoners reported hazardous drinking. The equivalent figures for the women in the sample were 36 per cent of remand and 39 per cent of sentenced prisoners. Very high rates of drug use and dependence prior to coming to prison were also found, with rates among remand prisoners being slightly higher than among sentenced prisoners. Among male remand prisoners, 10 per cent reported moderate drug dependence and a further 40 per cent severe drug dependence (three or more symptoms of dependence), while 11 per cent of male sentenced prisoners reported moderate and 32 per cent severe dependence in the year before coming to prison. Among the women the equivalent figures were 7 per cent of remand prisoners reporting moderate dependence and 47 per cent severe dependence with 8 per cent reporting moderate and 34 per cent severe dependence among sentenced prisoners. Among male remand prisoners, 38 per cent reported having used drugs during their current prison term as did 48 per cent of male sentenced, 25 per cent of female remand and 34 per cent of female sentenced prisoners. The drug most frequently used was cannabis, followed by heroin – other drugs were mentioned far less frequently. Respondents reported starting to use drugs at a young age, with more than half starting to use one of the six drugs considered in detail in the survey before the age of 16. The median age for starting cannabis use was the lowest (about 15), followed by amphetamines, then heroin and cocaine powder, with crack use commencing later at around 21 years. About one in five of the men in the sample who had used at least one of the six drugs covered in detail in the questionnaire at some time, reported having first used one of them in prison. Women were less likely to report starting to use drugs in prison – less than one in ten remand prisoners and about one in seven sentenced prisoners said a first episode of use had occurred in prison. The vast majority of respondents (over 85 per cent) reported either smoking, hazardous drinking or drug dependence in the year before coming to prison. The co-occurrence of substance misuse was also very common: 73 per cent of male remand, 68 per cent of male sentenced and female remand and 55 per cent of female sentenced prisoners reporting two or more out of smoking, hazardous drinking or drug dependence. The survey also found high rates of co-occurrence of mental disorder and substance misuse. The section of the questionnaire on drug use included questions on treatment, help or advice for drug problems received both within and outside prison. A third of the men and half of the women assessed as being dependent on drugs in the year prior to coming to prison reported receiving some sort of help for their drug problem in that year before imprisonment. Considerably lower proportions reported receiving help during their current prison term (ranging from 20 per cent of male remand prisoners to 32 per cent of female sentenced prisoners). The exception to this was among the male sentenced group but this may be an artefact of the time spent in prison. Those dependent on opiates were more likely than those dependent on other drugs to report receiving help or treatment both outside and in prison. The most common sources of help for drug problems outside prison were Community Drugs Teams and GPs or other practice staff. Within prison, remand prisoners usually cited prison medical staff as their source of help but sentenced prisoners mentioned outside agencies as the source of help as frequently as they mentioned prison staff. Women were more likely than their male counterparts to report having been prescribed methadone both before and in prison, but there was no difference between remand and sentenced respondents. About one in three women and one in six men reported receiving methadone treatment in the year before prison and nearly one in four women in the month before prison. These proportions decreased slightly to about one in ten men and one in four women when treatment in the month before coming to prison was considered. In general a smaller proportion reported receiving treatment with methadone while in prison for the current offence than had been receiving it in the month before coming to prison. The impact of coming to prison on continuity of treatment for drug problems is illustrated by the finding that less than a third of those who reported receiving methadone treatment in the month before coming to prison had received methadone in the month immediately after coming to prison. Autumn 1999 Overall, the report indicates very high levels of morbidity associated with tobacco, alcohol and drug consumption. Given the high rates of problems, the levels of help reported are limited both within the community and the prison setting. The report on Non-fatal suicidal behaviour among prisoners (by Howard Meltzer, Rachel Jenkins, Nicola Singleton, John Charlton and Mohammed Yar) identifies various factors which distinguish those prisoners who had attempted suicide in the past year from those who had not. Within the analysis male and female, remand and sentenced prisoners were considered separately. Since the majority of prisoners had been in prison for less than a year at the time they were interviewed, most of these suicide attempts will have occurred outside prison. Therefore it is not surprising that most of the factors associated with nonfatal suicide attempts are personal rather than prison characteristics. Eight factors emerged as distinguishing between prisoners who had and had not attempted suicide in the past year. Prisoners who had attempted suicide tended to be younger, white, suffer from a psychotic disorder or have a severe neurotic disorder, take psychotropic medication, have had a stay in hospital for a mental illness, have poor social support and have experienced several, stressful lifetime events. The data analysis also showed that different factors were relevant for men and women and for remand and sentenced prisoners. Prisoners who attempted suicide in the past year tended to be young, white, single, born in the UK and to have left school early and be poorly educated. Ethnicity and age were the most significant of these relationships. Psychosis was found in about 5 per cent of the non-suicidal group, but its prevalence was substantially increased to between a quarter and a half of those who had attempted suicide in the last year. Neurotic disorder and alcohol abuse, while both being fairly common among prisoners were both much more common in prisoners who had tried to kill themselves in the last year. Current psychotropic medication was three times more likely in male prisoners and two to three times more likely in female prisoners who had attempted suicide in the previous year compared with those who had not. Previous admission to a mental hospital was two to three times more likely in male prisoners and five to six times more likely in female prisoners who had attempted suicide in the previous year compared with those who had not. Suicide attempters were more likely to have very small primary support groups and to have a severe lack of social support. Suicide attempters were also much more likely to have experienced a variety of adverse life events, both in the last six months and over the course of their lifetime, particularly violence or sexual abuse. These two reports are available through ONS Direct on 01633 812078, price £15 each. * Singleton et al, Psychiatric morbidity among prisoners in England and Wales, ISBN 0 11 621045 1, price £45, is available from The Stationery Office. 3 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Health indicators Figure A England and Wales Population change (mid-year to mid-year) Thousands 200 100 0 Net migration and other changes Natural change Total change 8 7 –9 97 6 –9 96 5 –9 95 4 –9 94 3 –9 93 2 –9 92 1 –9 91 0 –9 9 –9 90 89 8 –8 7 –8 88 87 6 –8 86 –8 5 85 4 –8 –8 84 3 –8 82 83 2 1 –8 81 0 –8 80 79 –8 9 8 –7 78 7 –7 77 6 –7 76 5 –7 –7 74 75 3 –7 –7 73 72 72 1– 7 19 4 -100 Mid-year Figure B Age-standardised mortality rate Rate per million population 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998* Year * Provisional data. Figure C Infant mortality (under 1 year) Rate per 1,000 live births 20 15 10 5 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998* Year * Provisional data. Figure D Quarterly abortion rates – residents Rate per 1,000 women 14–49 15 14 13 12 11 10 Abortion rate 9 8 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Office for National Statistics 1986 4 1987 1988 1989 1990 Year Moving average rate 1991 1992 1993 1994 Provisional rate 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Recent trends in deaths from homicide in England and Wales Cleo Rooney and Tim Devis, ONS DATA ON HOMICIDES FROM DEATH There are difficulties in using data from routine death registration to study mortality from causes which are subject to lengthy investigation. However, once the effects of adjourned inquests, delayed registration and re-coding have been overcome, it is apparent that there has been an increase in homicide rates in young men over the last 20 years. Despite some decline in homicide rates at other ages, the highest rates are still in infants while the lowest rates in both sexes are in children aged 5–14. The increases in homicides in young men and the decrease in older men are similar to recent trends in suicides. REGISTRATIONS Timely statistics on the annual number of homicides are difficult to produce, if these are based on death registrations. Information about these deaths only becomes available after legal processes which may take many months to complete. Devis and Rooney found that in 1994 the median time to register a death eventually coded to homicide after its occurrence was 3.2 months, compared with 2.6 months for all deaths from external causes of injury and poisoning and only one day for deaths from natural causes.1 However, this was an analysis of deaths occurring in 1994 which had been registered by November 1995, and at that point there were still many possible homicides yet to be assigned their correct underlying cause of death. Five per cent of eventual homicides were not registered within a year of the death occurring. Thus a median delay of 3.2 months for homicides is almost certainly an underestimate. In England and Wales, all suspicious deaths, including all those due to accidents or violence, must be reported to the coroner for investigation before they can be registered.2,3 The coroner will usually order a post mortem examination before opening an inquest. If the police report at this point that charges are to be brought against anyone or that the death is being investigated as homicide but the perpetrator has not been identified, the coroner adjourns the inquest to await the results of investigation and legal proceedings. Since 1978 it has been possible to register deaths at this point – the so called ‘accelerated registrations’.4 The coroner sends the registrar a ‘certificate of cause of death after inquest adjourned’. This gives information on the injuries found at autopsy, and may give the mechanism of injury (eg crushing, fire) but no verdict. ONS assigns a temporary underlying cause code of E9888 (injury by other specified 5 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Q uar terly 03 Autumn 1999 means, undetermined whether accidentally or purposely inflicted)5 to these deaths. Since 1993 ONS has also coded coroner’s verdicts or ‘manner of death’. Adjourned inquest deaths are assigned a code indicating that the verdict is still ‘pending investigation’. Injuries are coded as normal to chapter XVII of ICD–9. The coroner will normally update ONS with the final verdict and cause of death when these are known, which may be months or years later. ONS then updates the coding on its dynamic national mortality database3 which holds information on deaths since the beginning of January 1993. Convictions for murder, manslaughter, and offences under the Children Act, or Health and Safety at Work Act are used by ONS to assign the underlying cause of death to homicide (ICD9 code E960–E969) (Box One). A conviction for causing death by dangerous driving, and even a manslaughter verdict for a motor vehicle death, will result in coding to a motor vehicle traffic accident (E810–E819). ONS, like most compilers of vital statistics, uses an epidemiological definition of homicide (that one person has been killed by another, not accidentally) rather than a strict legal definition. ONS would still code a death as homicide, for example, if the perpetrator was found not guilty by reason of insanity or could not be prosecuted. If ONS is informed that the court or coroner has found that the death was in fact an accident or suicide, the underlying cause of death is re-coded to reflect this. In other cases, where legal proceedings have already been completed or the death is known to have been homicide but no prosecution is possible, the coroner completes the inquest before issuing a certificate of cause of death. The certificate then includes the injuries, external cause and coroner’s verdict or verdict of a higher court, if there has been one, as to the intent of the perpetrator. Where the perpetrator has Box one HOMICIDE: VERDICTS, DEFINITIONS AND ICD–9 CODES Verdicts used in ONS to code deaths to homicide (E960–E969) Unlawfully killed Homicide Murder Manslaughter (except in motor vehicle deaths - see text) Causing death by: Cruelty under the Children and Young Persons Act Negligence under the Health and Safety at Work Act Broad cause groups Definite homicide Accelerated registration/probable homicide Total homicide (definite and probable homicide) ICD–9 E960–E969 E9888 with verdict ‘pending investigation’ E960–E969 and E9888 with verdict ‘pending investigation’ External cause groups – homicide mechanism Struck Fire or scald Poisoning Suffocation Drowning Firearms Cutting/piercing Pushed Other specified Unspecified ICD–9 E9600, E9682 E961, E9680, E9683 E962 E963 E964 E9650–E9654 E966 E9681 E9601, E965, E967, E9684, E9688 E9689, E969 and E9888 with verdict pending Injury groups Skull fracture Intracranial injury, including haemorrhage Injury to heart, lung and intra-thoracic organs Open wounds and injuries to blood vessels of: head and neck chest other and unspecified sites Poisoning Asphyxiation Other specified injuries ICD–9 800–804 850–854 860–862 Unspecified injuries, including ‘multiple injuries’ Office for National Statistics 6 870–874, 900, 920, 921, 925 875, 876, 901, 911, 922, 926 879 960–989 994 880–882, 884, 890–891, 903–908, 914, 863–868, 878, 902, 930–939, 924, 952, 958, 991, 993, 995, 997, 998, 9941, 805–848, 940–949 869, 919, 929, 959 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 1 Autumn 1999 Deaths from homicides in England and Wales 1950–97: original and updated numbers from ONS and Home Office Number of deaths 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 Year ONS E960–E969 as published ONS total – E960–E969 and E9888 'pending' ONS E960–E969 latest from database HO initially recorded died, by suicide or other means, ONS uses the coroner’s inquest verdict (usually ‘unlawful killing’) to assign the death to homicide. These processes are described in detail in the latest ONS annual publication on deaths from injury and poisoning.6 1 The number coded to ICD9 E960–E969 (homicide). This is the basic ICD classification, to which all homicides should eventually be assigned. 2 The number coded to E960–E969, plus those coded to E988.8. This takes account of accelerated registrations, most of which are eventually coded to a homicide code. This is a simple adjustment, using published figures by underlying cause, without requiring knowledge of the progress of inquest proceedings. It will include a handful of deaths which were almost certainly not homicides, since the inquest verdict was ‘open’. 3 The number coded to E960–E969, plus those coded to E988.8 where the ‘verdict’ is pending. This allows more exactly for accelerated registrations which are likely to finish up coded to homicide. Deaths on the dynamic database coded to E988.8 at any given time will include: 1 Deaths where an inquest has been adjourned and which have been assigned this code, and a ‘pending’ manner of death, as a temporary measure (as described above). Most of these will eventually be re– coded on receipt of further information, and all but a few will be re– coded either to homicide or to motor vehicle traffic accidents. 2 A very small number of deaths registered after a completed inquest which delivered an ‘open’ verdict, and a cause of death of injury or poisoning which could not be assigned to any more precise code for death by injury and poisoning of undetermined intent (E980–E989). These deaths will retain the E9888 code for underlying cause of death. When the 1995 annual extract was taken from this dynamic database (in September 1996) 361 deaths were assigned to code E988.8 in total, of which 28 had received an open verdict at an inquest and 333 were adjourned ‘pending investigation’. By May 1998 the total number of 1995 deaths coded to E988.8 had fallen to 178, of which 32 had received an open verdict and 146 were still ‘pending’ two and a half years after the end of the data year. 6 When other (minor) re-coding was taken into account it was found that 205 deaths for 1995 had been reassigned from code E988.8 – of which about nine out of every ten were eventually coded to homicide. We can thus make three separate estimates of the number of annual deaths from homicide: HO currently recorded For some purposes it might be appropriate to include deaths coded to motor vehicle traffic accidents with a manslaughter verdict, or even a serious driving offence. ONS is examining these alternatives at present, and may present annual statistics for homicides in an amended form in the future. 6 Homicides estimated by including deaths on which we do not have final information may appear too uncertain to be of much use. However, comparing these figures with those produced by the Home Office provides some reassurance. Unlike ONS, the Home Office uses a legal definition of homicide in their statistics. Home Office figures are based on the year in which the offence was first recorded by the police, which may not be the year that the death occurred or was registered. The initial number recorded for the year may subsequently be reduced as a result of decisions by the police or the courts that no offence of homicide took place. 7 It cannot ever increase. Revised figures which take account of these changes are published regularly by the Home Office. 7 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Q uar terly 03 Figure 2 Autumn 1999 Average age-specific mortality rates from homicide and probable homicide (E960–E969 and E988.8 ‘pending’ combined) in England and Wales 1993–97 by sex Figure 3 Method of homicide: England and Wales 1993–97 from Home Office as currently recorded* Percentage Rate per million 100 50 45 80 40 60 35 30 Male 40 25 20 20 15 Female 10 0 5 Women Men Persons Not known Shooting Blunt instrument Burning Strangluation Sharp instrument Other Hitting kicking etc –< 01 1 –0 05 4 –0 10 9 –1 15 4 –1 20 9 –2 25 4 –2 30 9 –3 35 4 –3 40 9 –4 45 4 –4 50 9 –5 55 4 –5 60 9 –6 65 4 –6 70 9 –7 75 4 –7 80 9 –8 4 0 00 85 us pl Age group ONS deaths data are tabulated by the year in which they occurred, and figures for homicides which occurred in a given year are now revised upwards to take account of late registration, re–coding or reregistration. Though the figures cannot therefore be matched exactly, they do show very similar patterns and trends since about 1960. In the 1950s numbers from death registrations were considerably lower than homicides recorded by the Home Office, and may have been incomplete. The closest correspondence is between Home Office figures for deaths initially recorded as homicide, and ONS ‘total’ figure – that is the sum of deaths certified as homicide, and coded to E960– E969 in time for routine annual publication, plus deaths certified after adjourned inquest coded to E9888 with verdict ‘pending’ (Box One, Figure 1). Figure 1 also illustrates the variation which may occur in ONS annual figures due to differences in how long after the end of the data year the data are extracted and analysed. The number of deaths coded to homicide in the 1993 annual publication was the highest ever, whereas the total including E9888 ‘pending’ was similar to the surrounding years. The reason is that the annual extract for 1993 was taken 15 months later than usual, because of changes in our computer systems. By that time, ONS had received updates on a much larger proportion of accelerated registrations than usual. A previous article by Noble and Charlton8 looked at trends in homicides in England and Wales up to 1992, and discussed some of the problems of using routine registration data. They showed that there had been substantial increases in crude homicide rates between 1950 and 1980, after which rates were largely stable up to 1992. We have taken this opportunity to re-examine homicide mortality by year of death since 1979 using all available data, including late registrations and corrections to the cause of death codes. Because the number of deaths is fairly small we grouped them into five-year periods. One period, 1989 to 1992, is only four years. We chose to split the data between 1992 and 1993 because of the major changes in handling and processing which began in 1993.9 Office for National Statistics 8 * Source: Criminal Statistics, England and Wales 1997. TSO, 1998. Includes all currently recorded homicides – 85 per cent of those initially recorded. THE CURRENT PICTURE OF HOMICIDE IN ENGLAND AND WALES Homicide is a rare cause of death in England and Wales accounting for about one in every 800 deaths, and about 4.4 per cent of deaths from any form of injury or poisoning (accidents and violence, E800–E999). Because the overall numbers are small and vary from year to year, we have combined data on deaths which occurred in the five years 1993 to 1997 to describe the current pattern of deaths from homicide. Box One shows the ICD–9 code groupings and definitions used in this article. Death rates due to homicide are generally higher in males than in females, the male to female ratio being highest in young adults and lowest in children and the elderly (Figure 2). By far the highest homicide rates in both sexes are in infants, with 44 homicides per million per annum in males and 35 per million in females. Once past infancy, rates fall rapidly so that they are lowest in both sexes between the ages of 5 and 14. They rise again in young adults, with a plateau around 12–15 per million in women from age 20 to 49, falling to around 5 per million in middle age then rising in those over 80 to around 12 per million. Men show a second peak around 33 per million in their twenties which gradually falls to a low of 10 per million around 70 years of age, then rises again to 14 in those aged 85 and over. METHODS OF HOMICIDE AND TYPE OF INJURY SUFFERED Because we have included deaths for which final information was not available, a remarkably large proportion of all homicides and probable homicides combined are assigned to ‘unspecified’ codes as their underlying cause. Adjourned inquests (E9888 ‘pending’) make up 27 per cent of all definite and probable homicides in the five years between 1993 and 1997, and E9689 (homicide by unspecified means) and E969 (homicide due to late effects of any type of injury purposefully inflicted) together a further 22 per cent. For deaths before Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 4 Autumn 1999 Injury type by age group: total homicides (E960–E969 and E988.8 ‘pending’), England and Wales 1993–97 Percentage of all homicides in age group Males 100 80 60 40 20 0 Under 1 1–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 Age group 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 plus Total 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 plus Total Females Percentage of all homicides in age group 100 80 60 40 20 0 Under 1 1–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 Age group Unspecified injury including 'multiple' Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, chest Other specified injury Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, head and neck Asphyxiation Injury intrathoracic organs Poisoning Intracranial injury and haemorrhage Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, other and unspecified Skull fracture 1993 this is even worse – for most years since 1979, 50–60 per cent of all homicides were registered without an external cause being specified (coded to E9888). Though some of these were updated later, and the numbers assigned to homicide were published, the data are no longer available for analysis in any detail. However, figures published by the Home Office on criminal statistics7 do include methods of homicide. 98.6 per cent of deaths currently recorded as homicides by the police and Home Office have an apparent method reported (this represents approximately 85 per cent of those initially recorded as homicide) (Figure 3). Assault with a sharp instrument (stabbing) is the commonest method in males (38 per cent in 1993–97), followed by hitting or kicking (19 per cent), shooting (12 per cent) and blunt instruments (11 per cent). In females, stabbing (28 per cent) and strangulation or asphyxiation (27 per cent) together account for more than half of homicides while hitting and kicking and blunt instruments each make up about 11 per cent. Information on the ‘secondary cause’ or main injury to the victim is much better than that on method in ONS data – only about 10 per cent are assigned to unspecified injuries or ‘multiple injuries’. Figure 4 shows the distribution of main injury by age and sex. Over 60 per cent of all infant killings are due to skull fracture or intracranial injury, including haemorrhage. About 10 per cent are from suffocation or strangulation, and one in five due to other or unspecified 9 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Q uar terly 03 Figure 5 Autumn 1999 TRENDS FROM 1979 TO 1997 Infant homicide rates (total homicides, including neonates) in England and Wales 1979–97 by sex In infants there is considerable year to year variation because of the small numbers, but no evidence of any trend between 1979 and 1997 (Figure 5). Average age-specific rates in women up to 69 years old are very similar in the four periods since 1979 (Figure 6). Rates in men however have risen in age groups between 15 and 44 and in those aged 50–54, while remaining steady in those aged 60–74 (Figure 6). There was a 55 per cent increase in men aged 30–34, from 18 to 28 homicides per million annually. In men aged 20–24 the average rates rose from 23 to 33 per million (a 47 per cent increase). Rates have actually fallen in both men and women aged 75 and over. The greatest fall is 51 per cent in men over 85, who were at higher risk of homicide than men at any other age in the earlier period, but are now at lower risk than men aged 15–49. The figures for 1997, and to a lesser extent 1996, which are based on data as at the end of December 1998 may not yet be complete. However the expected further increase based on past experience would not be more than 1.5 per cent for 1996 deaths and 4 per cent for 1997. Thus the average rates for 1993–97 are not likely to underestimate the increase, or overestimate the fall, in these age-specific rates by a significant amount compared to the size of the observed changes. Deaths per million infants 70 60 Male 50 40 30 20 Female 10 0 1979 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Year of death kinds of injury. The pattern of injury at other ages is very different. In older children there are very few head injuries, while poisoning, asphyxia and ‘other specified’ causes account for over 60 per cent in both girls and boys. In young men about a third of all homicides are due to open wounds and injuries to blood vessels of head, neck and trunk, and about 15 per cent to injuries to heart, lung and intrathoracic organs, injuries which are consistent with stabbing as the commonest method. In young women, a slightly smaller proportion (and therefore a much smaller number) are attributable to open wounds, considerably less to intrathoracic injuries and far more to asphyxiation, consistent with the higher proportion due to strangulation or suffocation as method. Figure 6 Rate per million 50 The higher rates of death from homicide in men than women are similar to the pattern of deaths from injury and poisoning as a whole. Deaths from disease are infrequent in young adults, so injury and poisoning comprise a large proportion of deaths. Overall mortality rates from all causes at ages 15–44 have fallen between 15 and 20 per cent in women since 1979, but in men falls have been much more modest. Rates of all cause mortality have actually risen in 30–34 year old men.10 Deaths from many causes contribute to these changes. In particular, suicide, including injury and poisoning of undetermined intent, rose by 30 per cent in men aged 25 to 34 between 1983 and 1995. Rises in suicides in men aged 15–24 and 35–44 were more modest, while those in older men and women were falling or stable.11 Similarly, drug-related deaths (poisoning with drugs whatever the intent, drug dependence and drug abuse) have risen markedly in young men since the mid-1980s, but fallen in young women.12 Motor vehicle traffic deaths, however, are lower in young men now than in 1979, though rates in age groups 15– 44 appear to have risen slightly in 1996 and 1997.13 Age-specific homicide rates in England and Wales by quinnquenia Rate per million 50 Males 45 1979–83 1989–92 45 40 1984–88 1993–97 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 Females 1979–83 1989–92 1984–88 1993–97 Age group Office for National Statistics –< 01 1 –0 05 4 –0 10 9 –1 15 4 –1 20 9 –2 25 4 –2 30 9 –3 35 4 –3 40 9 –4 45 4 –4 50 9 –5 55 4 –5 60 9 –6 65 4 –6 70 9 –7 75 4 –7 80 9 –8 4 00 85 85 00 –< 01 1 –0 05 4 –0 10 9 –1 15 4 –1 20 9 –2 25 4 –2 30 9 –3 35 4 –3 40 9 –4 45 4 –4 50 9 –5 55 4 –5 60 9 –6 65 4 –6 70 9 –7 75 4 –7 80 9 –8 4 0 s u pl Age group 10 us pl Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 7 Autumn 1999 Total homicides in men aged 15–44, 1979–97 by year of death and nature of injury Number of deaths 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1979 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 Year of death 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 Unspecified injury including 'multiple' Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, chest Other specified injury Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, head and neck Asphyxiation Injury intrathoracic organs Poisoning Intracranial injury and haemorrhage Open wound and injuries to blood vessels, other and unspecified Skull fracture Changes in homicide rates, particularly the falling death rates in older men and rising rates in young men, are very similar to those reported for suicide by Kelly and Bunting.11 The age and sex distribution and time trends in deaths from homicides are also similar to those from other sorts of injury and poisoning except motor vehicle traffic accidents. The actual numbers of deaths though are much smaller. Even in 20–24 year old men, homicide (including E9888 ‘pending’) accounted for only 5.2 per cent of injury and poisoning deaths in 1991– 95 (3.5 per cent of all deaths) whereas 27 per cent were suicide, 11 per cent undetermined intent, 36 per cent motor vehicle traffic accidents and 20 per cent other accidents. INJURIES AND METHODS OF HOMICIDE OVER TIME As for other types of external causes of death, information on injuries for homicides has been slightly less precise since 1993. This probably reflects changes in the coroner’s certificate of cause of death after inquest. 9 The cause of death section is now in the same format as in the medical certificate of cause of death, and the coroner is no longer asked to list the types of injury and the body parts affected. This seems to have led to coroners recording less detail on injuries. As would be expected, a larger proportion of deaths certified after adjourned inquest and not yet updated (E9888 ‘pending’) do not have details of main injury. Despite this, a main injury is coded for 90 per cent of homicides and probable homicides combined. Figure 7 shows a shift from skull fracture to intracranial injury in young male homicides, with no apparent overall increase. This shift has also been seen in motor vehicle traffic accident (MVTA) and other external causes of death 13 and is probably due to a change in certification practice by coroners and their pathologists using the new forms. There 97 is also an apparent shift from injuries of intrathoracic organs to open wounds of head and trunk. Whether this is a real change in the pattern of injuries, or another change in certification practice, is not clear. We are unable to say which mechanisms of homicide have risen on the basis of ONS data, because of the problems outlined above. Home Office data 7,14 (Figure 8), show rises in the average number of homicides by sharp instrument, blunt instrument, hitting or kicking and shooting in 1993–97 compared to 1979–83, and falls in strangulation and burning. The largest absolute rise is in homicides from sharp instruments, from an average 175 per year in 1979–83 to 211 per year in 1993–97. The greatest relative rise is in shooting, up 66 per cent. However, shooting still accounts for only about 10 per cent (up from 6 per cent) of all recorded homicides (on average 61 deaths per year in 1993–97). The changes in the pattern of method, particularly the increase in stabbings and shootings, are consistent with the rise in death rates from homicide in young men who are most often killed through open wounds and injuries to intrathoracic organs. SOCIAL CLASS Drever, Bunting and Harding15 showed a steep social class gradient in standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) for homicide in England and Wales. In 1991–93 men aged 20–64 in Social Class V (unskilled, SMR 300) were 12 times as likely to be killed as those in Social Class I (professional and managerial, SMR 25). Though this was based on only 482 definite homicides (E960–E969 only), the differences from the England and Wales figure were significant. 15 Deaths from accidents, suicide and undetermined injury all have an inverse relationship with social class, though that for homicide is much steeper than other external causes except for deaths from accidental poisoning.15 11 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Q uar terly 03 Figure 8 Autumn 1999 Average numbers of recorded homicides* in England and Wales 1979–83 and 1993–97 by method Figure 9 Average annual homicide rates by method of homicide: selected recent years for countries participating in ICE on injury Number of homicides United States 1995 250 Scotland 1986–95 Annual average 1979–83 HO (average total 532 homicides per year) Israel 1993–95 New Zealand 1984–93 Annual average 1993–97 HO (average total 619 homicides per year) 200 Australia 1993–95 Cut/ pierce Canada 1994–95 England and Wales 1993–95 Denmark 1994–95 150 Firearm The Netherlands 1995 All other Norway 1990–94 France 1992–94 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Deaths rate per million Source: ICE on Injury.16 50 Figure 10 Age-specific homicide rates* per hundred thousand population in England and Wales and in the USA n ow th N ot O kn s er cle hi ug or or ot n D ve ni w ro dr ng g in rn Bu M E n io os l xp iso g in ot o Sh Po Bl inst S un ru ha t i me rp ns n H tr t itt um in en gk t i ck St in ra ng g e as lula tc ph ti yx on iat o io r n 0 Rate per 100,000 population per year 25 England and Wales 1986–95 Method Source: Criminal Statistics, England and Wales 1997. TSO, 1998, and same for 1989, HMSO, 1990. * Includes all currently recorded homicides – 85 per cent of those initially recorded. 20 USA 1995 15 Ratio USA: England and Wales INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS DATA ISSUES AND WHAT ONS CAN DO ABOUT THEM The most serious problem with data on homicides from death registrations is timeliness. This is because these deaths cannot be registered until the coroner has completed an inquest, or adjourned it Office for National Statistics 12 10 5 19 4 –2 4 25 –3 4 35 –4 4 45 –5 4 55 –6 4 65 –7 4 75 –8 4 20 15 – 9 –0 1 10 –1 05 01 –< –0 4 0 00 ONS participates in an International Collaborative Effort on Injury Statistics, aimed at assessing and improving the comparability of routine vital and health statistics from a variety of countries. Recent comparisons of homicide rates in participating countries16 (Figure 9) show that mortality rates from homicide in England and Wales are lower than those in Scotland, New Zealand, Israel, Australia and Canada, even after including adjourned inquest deaths. They were higher than Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway and France16 (though French death registration figures almost certainly underestimate homicides and other injury deaths because the Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) does not have access to cause of death information on deaths subject to forensic investigation). 17 The homicide rate in the USA is six and a half times that in England and Wales. Firearm homicides alone accounted for an extra 55 deaths per million population in the USA, 75 per cent of the total difference, reflecting the enormous differences in the accessibility of guns between the two countries. The difference between homicide death rates in these two countries varies markedly with age. Infants are only twice as likely to be killed in the USA as here, whereas the ratio in 15 to 19 year olds is 12.5 (Figure 10). Age group us 85 pl * Males and females combined (note changed denominator to fit higher rates in USA). when legal proceedings in a higher court are likely. For deaths subject to inquest the delay from occurrence to registration has increased considerably from a few days or weeks in the 1960s to several months now.1 Even registration after adjournment usually involves weeks of delay, and can take years (unpublished data). In Scotland all deaths are registered within a few days using information from the medical certificate of cause of death. Any later investigation or legal conclusion is used to correct the data when it becomes available. A similar system would only be possible in England and Wales if the law governing death registration was changed. Civil registration is currently under review by ONS with a view to modernising the service provided to the public. This and other changes may be possible at some stage. Health Statistics Quar terly 03 In the meantime, many people need to make use of these data and cannot wait the two or three years needed to be sure that they are complete. At any given time, the best estimate of homicide mortality in preceding years is given by using deaths coded to E988.8 with verdict ‘pending’ in addition to those coded to the homicide range. This may include a very small number of non-homicides but, depending on the length of time since the data year, it may also be short by a few deaths not yet registered. Unfortunately, this also means using data which are still missing information about cause of death, particularly the methods of injury. Since 1993, because the data are stored in a dynamic database, we can update them at any time. We now publish updated figures each year in the annual volumes of statistics on deaths from injury and poisoning. We are also able to provide current data extracts for users whose needs are not met by the routine publications. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors wish to acknowledge the International Collaborative Effort (ICE) on Injury Statistics for contributions to this research. The ICE is sponsored by the National Center for Health Statistics, UK Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, with funding from the National Institute of Child Health and Development, National Institutes of Health. We also thank Professor Lois Appleby for his helpful comments on an earlier draft. REFERENCES 1 2 3 CONCLUSIONS Despite the difficulties with these data, we have shown some interesting trends and patterns which warrant further investigation. The similarities over the past two decades in changes in homicide rates with suicide rates (rising in young men while falling in the elderly), suggest areas for further research. The methods used for homicide and suicide are very different, but the social class pattern is similar. ONS plans further study of the geographic and temporal patterns of injury deaths. We are currently involved in further international studies aimed at improving data comparability, and exploring the differences in risk for particular population groups within countries, the variations in method or mechanism of injury and the determinants of the differing risks for various population groups between and within countries. Key findings ● ● ● ● ● The risk of dying from homicides is highest in babies and lowest in children aged 5–14. Males are at greater risk of being killed than females at all ages. Death rates from homicides have fallen in the elderly over the past 20 years. While in younger men they have risen by about 50 per cent on average . Stabbings and shootings have both increased but shootings still account for only 10 per cent of recorded homicides. Autumn 1999 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Devis T and Rooney C. The time taken to register a death. Population Trends 88 (1997), 48–55. Coroners Act 1988. Devis T and Rooney C. Death Certification and the epidemiologist. Health Statistics Quarterly 01 (1999), 21–33. Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Mortality statistics England and Wales; Deaths from injury and poisoning 1978. HMSO (London: 1980). World Health Organisation. International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision. WHO (Geneva: 1977). Office for National Statistics. Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 1996, series DH4 no 21, pp xii–xxi. TSO (London: 1998). Home Office. Criminal Statistics England and Wales: 1997. TSO (London: 1998). Noble B and Charlton J. Homicides in England and Wales. Population Trends 75 (1994), 26–29. Rooney C and Devis T. Mortality trends by cause of death in England and Wales 1980–94: the impact of introducing automated cause coding and related changes in 1993. Population Trends 86 (1996), 29–35. Aylin P, Dunnell K and Drever F. Trends in mortality of young adults aged 15–44 in England and Wales. Health Statistics Quarterly 01 (1999), 35–39. Kelly S and Bunting J. Trends in Suicide in England and Wales, 1982–96. Population Trends 92 (1998), 29–41. Christophersen C, Rooney C and Kelly S. Drug related mortality: methods and trends. Population Trends 86 (1996), 29–35. Christophersen C, Dix D and Rooney C. Trends in motor vehicle deaths in England and Wales. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 (1999), in press. Home Office. Criminal Statistics England and Wales: 1989. HMSO (London: 1990). Drever F, Bunting J and Harding S. Male mortality from major causes of death. In Drever F and Whitehead M (Eds) Health Inequalities. TSO (London: 1997). Fingerhut L, Cox C and Warner M. International Comparative analysis of injury mortality: Findings from the ICE on Injury Statistics. NCHS Advance Data No 303, October 1998. NCHS, CDC, US Department of Health and Human Services. Lecomte D, Hatton F, Renaud G, et Le Toullec A. Les suicides en Ile-de-France chez les sujets de 15 à 44 ans; resultats d’une étude coopérative. Bulletin épidémiologique hebdomadaire 2 (1994), 5–6. 13 Office for National Statistics Road traffic deaths: trends and comparison with DETR figures Olivia Christophersen, David Dix and Cleo Rooney, ONS INTRODUCTION Road traffic mortality data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are compared with figures produced independently by the Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions (DETR) to ensure the quality of both datasets. Trends in road traffic mortality between 1982 and 1997 are then explored according to age, sex and mode of transport and discussed with reference to possible risk factors.The geographical distribution by place of accident and place of usual residence of the deceased are also compared and the potential advantages of linking ONS and DETR datasets are examined. Road traffic mortality in England and Wales is among the lowest in the developed world and has been declining steadily since the 1960s. However, in recent years this decline has halted and it is still an important cause of death, particularly at younger ages. This article presents trends in road traffic deaths between 1982 and 1997 by age, sex, mode of transport and injury type. These trends are discussed with reference to changes in possible risk factors over time. In addition, the geographic distribution of deaths by place of accident and place of residence of the deceased is examined and the rates for England and Wales are compared with other countries. In order to ensure the quality of the data published by ONS, they are compared with equivalent figures compiled independently by DETR. DEFINITIONS In this article, road traffic deaths are defined as those deaths where the underlying cause of death, according to the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD9), is given as ‘motor vehicle traffic accident’ (E810–E819) or ‘other road vehicle accident’ (E826–E829). This set of codes covers approximately the same deaths as DETR’s definition of road traffic accidents. Most road traffic deaths for which someone is found guilty of an offence (such as causing death by reckless driving, driving without due care and attention or even manslaughter) are included in this definition, but the small number of crash deaths which are given a verdict of suicide or natural causes are excluded. The latter includes cases where, for example, a driver dies from a heart attack and so causes an accident. Office for National Statistics 14 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 1 Autumn 1999 Comparison of ONS and DETR road traffic mortality data, 1982–97, England and Wales Number of deaths Number of deaths 1,800 1,800 Males 1,600 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 Females 0 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 Year 1992 1994 1996 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 Year 1992 1994 Motor vehicle DETR Pedestrian DETR Motor cycle DETR Pedal cycle DETR Motor vehicle ONS Pedestrian ONS Motor cycle ONS Pedal cycle ONS In the analysis presented here, modes of transport are grouped into four main categories: ‘pedestrian’, ‘pedal cycle’ and ‘motor cycle’ which covers all two-wheeled motor vehicles, and ‘motor vehicle’ which includes all other motor vehicles. Data up to 1992 include all road traffic deaths which occurred in each year and were registered by 1994. Data from 1993 onwards include all deaths which had been registered and entered onto the ONS mortality database when the annual extract of deaths was taken, generally during the autumn of the following year. 1 The median time delay between occurrence and registration for road traffic deaths is approximately 4.5 months, so most road traffic deaths are included within the data used in this analysis, although a small number will be excluded.2 Figure 2 Crude road traffic mortality rate for England and Wales and number of licensed vehicles in Great Britain, 1926/30–1991/95 Crude rate per million population 180 100,000 licensed vehicles 300 Road traffic mortality, England and Wales J 160 Licensed vehicles, Great Britain J 250 J 140 J 120 200 J COMPARISON OF ONS AND DETR MORTALITY DATA J 100 J 150 80 J 100 60 J 40 J 0 30 – 26 19 J J J 0 35 –4 0 41 –4 5 46 –5 0 51 –5 5 56 –6 0 61 –6 5 66 –7 0 71 –7 5 76 –8 0 81 –8 5 86 –9 0 91 –9 5 J 50 J 36 20 31 – In 1993, when ONS introduced an automated system for coding the cause of death, there were some initial problems relating to the coding of deaths attributed to external causes, including road traffic deaths. These problems were corrected and revised figures for 1993 were published. 3 However, to confirm the quality of ONS statistics, they are compared here with figures on road traffic accidents compiled by DETR. These are based on the accident report forms completed by the police when they attend or are notified of a road accident involving a personal injury. The routine statistics on road traffic accidents published by DETR cover Great Britain as a whole3; so, for this analysis, figures for England and Wales only were derived from DETR’s database. There are various differences between the two datasets in terms of the definitions employed and methods of data collection, but for the purposes of comparing the overall trends in road traffic mortality, two main differences need to be taken into account: 1996 Calendar period Source: ONS 4 and DETR3 15 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 3 Autumn 1999 Road traffic mortality by mode of transport, 1982–97, England and Wales Age-standardised rates* per million Age-standardised rates* per million 160 160 Males 140 140 120 Pedestrian Motor cycle Pedal cycle Motor vehicle 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 Year 7 6 –9 95 5 –9 94 4 –9 93 3 –9 92 2 –9 91 1 –9 90 0 –9 89 9 –9 88 8 –8 87 7 –8 86 6 –8 85 5 –8 –8 84 82 19 83 7 6 4 –8 –9 95 5 –9 94 4 –9 93 3 –9 92 2 –9 91 1 –9 90 0 –9 89 9 –9 88 8 –8 87 7 –8 86 6 –8 85 –8 –8 83 84 5 0 84 – 82 19 Females Year * Three-year moving average. ● ● ONS data are classified according to the date of death, whereas DETR figures are based on the date of the accident. ONS figures include all deaths certified as due to a road traffic incident, no matter how long the period between the accident and the death, while DETR include deaths which take place within 30 days of the accident, whatever the certified cause. VARIATIONS BY AGE, SEX AND VEHICLE TYPE Figure 3 gives European age-standardised road traffic mortality rates for males and females from 1982 to 1997. Mortality from road traffic incidents has declined by over 40 per cent among both sexes since the early 1980s but it is still approximately three times higher among males than females. In view of the differences between the two datasets, the number of deaths would not be expected to be exactly the same but they should be broadly similar. Figure 1 gives the number of road traffic deaths for men and women from 1982 to 1997 by vehicle type according to both ONS and DETR data. There is very close agreement between the two sets of figures suggesting that the quality of both datasets is reliable. The slight differences can largely be explained by the differences in the definitions and data collection methods described above. Most of the remaining analysis is based on ONS data. Deaths to motor vehicle drivers and passengers currently account for around half the road traffic mortality among males, with pedestrians accounting for about a quarter. The proportion of road traffic deaths among men which involved motor cycles has fallen to less than a fifth in 1997. Among women, motor vehicles and pedestrians account for over 90 per cent of road traffic mortality, although the distribution between these two groups has changed over time as pedestrian mortality has fallen more than motor vehicle deaths. Pedal cyclists account for only a small proportion of all road traffic accident deaths among both males and females. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE Among men the most striking declines have occurred in pedestrian and motor cycle mortality rates, both of which have halved since the early 1980s. Mortality among female pedestrians has also fallen dramatically, by around 60 per cent over this period. For both men and women mortality rates for motor vehicle occupants were more stable during the 1980s but started to decline in the 1990s. In recent years, agestandardised mortality rates for most vehicle types appear to have levelled off or begun to increase slightly. The number of deaths due to road traffic incidents in England and Wales peaked in the late 1930s and again in the 1960s (Figure 2). Since the mid 1960s, the crude rate has fallen by more than 60 per cent to 62 per million population in 1997. The decline in mortality in the 1940s may be partly related to a fall in the number of licensed vehicles together with limited availability of fuel at this time, although the later decline, from the 1960s onwards, has been accompanied by a steady increase in the number of licensed vehicles.4 Office for National Statistics 16 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 4 Autumn 1999 Age-specific road traffic mortality rates, 1982–97, England and Wales Rate* per million Rate* per million 350 350 Males 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 Females Year 0–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 7 6 –9 95 5 –9 94 4 –9 93 3 –9 92 2 –9 91 1 –9 90 0 –9 89 9 –9 88 8 –8 87 7 –8 86 6 –8 85 –8 –8 84 2– 8 19 83 84 7 6 –9 95 5 –9 94 4 –9 93 3 –9 92 2 –9 91 1 –9 90 0 –9 89 9 –9 88 8 –8 87 7 –8 86 6 –8 85 5 –8 –8 84 2 8 19 83 4 –8 5 0 0 Year 45–54 55–64 65–74 75+ * Three-year moving average. Figure 4 reveals declines in road traffic mortality at all ages for both males and females between 1982 and 1997. Rates are highest among the elderly (75 years and over) and men aged 15–24, although mortality at these ages has declined substantially since the late 1980s. Mortality at other ages has declined steadily since the early 1980s but at a slower rate. The majority of the deaths among the elderly are to pedestrians, although there are also a significant number among motor vehicle occupants at older ages. High mortality rates among the elderly may be partly because they are more likely to die than younger casualties suffering the same severity of injury. Figure 5 Road traffic mortality by age group, 1995–97, England and Wales Age-specific rate per million The current pattern of mortality by age is given in Figure 5, which shows a peak in the 15–24 age group for men which is more than three times as high as the peak at ages 15–19 among women. Mortality rates are lower among adults up to approximately retirement age but they increase noticeably with age among the elderly. As road traffic mortality is high at younger ages, road traffic accidents account for a disproportionately large number of years of life lost. Road traffic incidents currently account for around 3 per cent of the years of working life lost among men and 1 per cent among women, approximately 100,000 and 30,000 years respectively. This is lower than the years of working life lost due to suicide, but higher than the number due to drug-related deaths among males. In view of the high rates at younger ages and the policy and health implications of this, data for those aged 15 to 24 were analysed in more detail. VARIATIONS BY VEHICLE TYPE AMONG 15–24 YEAR OLDS 350 300 250 Males 200 150 100 Females 50 Figure 6 shows the numbers of road traffic deaths aggregated over two five-year periods, 1982–86 and 1993–97, for males and females. Data are presented by single year of age for 15 to 24 year olds and by vehicle type. The most striking feature is the sharp peak in motor cycle deaths among 17 year old males and the steady decline in the number of deaths with age in the earlier time period. Deaths to other motor vehicle drivers on the other hand are much lower among men in their late teens and more stable over this age range. By 1993–97 the number of deaths among male motor cyclists in this age group had fallen dramatically, by 77 per cent, to well below the number among drivers of other motor vehicles, and the peak at age 17 was no longer evident. The fall in motor cycle deaths among young men was not accompanied by an increase in other motor vehicle deaths, which declined slightly over this period. A close inverse relationship between age and mortality was observed for motor vehicle passengers during the later period, with a peak at age 17 followed by a steady decline to age 24. 0– 4 5– 10 9 –1 15 4 –1 9 20 -2 4 25 –2 30 9 –3 35 4 –3 40 9 –4 45 4 –4 50 9 –5 55 4 –5 60 9 –6 65 4 –6 70 9 –7 75 4 –7 80 9 –8 4 85 + 0 Age The pattern for women is very different over both time periods. In 1982–86 deaths generally decline with each year of age from about 18 17 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 6a Autumn 1999 Road traffic deaths by vehicle and occupant type, males aged 15–24 years, 1982–86 and 1993–97, England and Wales Number of deaths Number of deaths 500 1982–86 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 1993–97 0 0 15 16 17 18 19 20 Age in years Motor vehicle driver Figure 6b 21 22 23 15 24 Motor vehicle passenger 16 Motor cyclist 17 18 19 20 Age in years Motor cycle passenger 21 22 23 Cyclist 24 Pedestrian Road traffic deaths by vehicle and occupant type, females aged 15–24 years, 1982–86 and 1993–97, England and Wales Number of deaths Number of deaths 100 100 1982–86 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 1993–97 0 15 16 17 18 19 20 Age in years Motor vehicle driver Office for National Statistics 21 22 23 Motor vehicle passenger 18 24 15 Motor cyclist 16 17 18 19 20 Age in years Motor cycle passenger 21 Cyclist 22 23 24 Pedestrian Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 7 Numbers of road traffic deaths by type of injury, 1982–97, England and Wales Number of deaths 6,000 Autumn 1999 GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATION Figure 8 is based on DETR data and shows the place of accident for all road traffic accidents between 1993 and 1997. The fatal accidents are clustered in metropolitan areas, where road density is high. For males there were also large numbers throughout the South East and the Midlands. There were fewer fatal accidents in the North, South West and Wales for both males and females. 5,000 The geographic distribution of road traffic deaths according to place of usual residence of the deceased, derived from ONS data, shows a very different picture. Figure 9 shows European age-standardised road traffic mortality rates by local authorities, according to whether the rate for residents was significantly higher or lower than the rate for England and Wales as a whole, using 95 per cent confidence intervals. Mortality rates were low in many metropolitan areas showing that, although a large number of accidents take place in cities, people living in cities have a lower risk of dying from road traffic deaths than for England and Wales as a whole. Low rates were also observed in parts of South Wales, while rates were above average in East Anglia and in the Midlands. 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 Year 1992 1994 1996 Skull fracture (ICD9 800–804) Internal injury – unspecified (ICD9 869) Neck/trunk fracture (ICD9 805–809) Internal injury – other (ICD9 860–868) Limb fracture (ICD9 810–829) Other Intracranial injury (ICD9 850–854) years for most vehicle types. This pattern was particularly marked among motor vehicle passengers who account for the highest number of female deaths at each age except among 15 year olds. By 1993–97 this decline in mortality with age was no longer apparent. Motor vehicle passengers aged 16–18 years still accounted for the largest number of deaths, although the number had fallen by a third since the earlier time period and was still significantly lower than the corresponding figures for male drivers and passengers. This difference between place of death and place of residence is partly due to high population densities in cities which result in a larger number of accidents but lower population based rates. There is also evidence that many road traffic accidents do not take place close to the place of residence of the deceased. It is not currently possible to link individual records from the ONS and DETR datasets, but the relationship between the place of death and the area of usual residence can be analysed based on the information collected at death registration. The place of death is not necessarily the same as the place of accident, but comparing area of death and area of residence can nevertheless give some indication of whether or not fatal accidents tend to take place near the home of the deceased. Table 1 gives the percentage of deaths to residents in each Health Regional Office area in 1996 which occurred outside these areas. This shows that a high proportion of deaths, over one third on average, occurred outside the area covered by the NHS Regional Office where the deceased lived. NHS Regional Offices cover large areas, so this suggests that the deaths took place at some distance from the homes of the deceased. However, we cannot tell from these data how many were in fact short distances across borders between two regions or how often injured patients are transferred long distances for care. Some of the fall in the number of deaths may be related to the fall in the population aged 15–24 over this time period. However, this would not account for all the decline, particularly the dramatic fall in motor cycle deaths among young men. Other possible explanations are discussed below. Table 1 NATURE OF INJURY The most striking feature revealed by the data on the nature of the injuries responsible for road traffic deaths is the apparent decline in the number of deaths attributed to skull fractures (ICD9 800–804) in the early 1990s (Figure 7). This was observed for all vehicle categories, including pedestrians, for both males and females. There was also a fall in neck, trunk and limb fractures. Some of the decline in deaths due to fractures may be associated with a change in the coroner’s form in 1993 which led to less detailed information on injuries being recorded.5 It appears that many of the deaths previously attributed to fractures are now classified as being due to internal injuries of the chest, abdomen and pelvis (ICD9 860–869), which includes a large number of deaths due to multiple injuries. The proportion attributed to intracranial injury without mention of skull fracture (ICD9 850–854) has also increased slightly. Road traffic deaths to residents of Health Regional Office areas who die elsewhere as a percentage of all road traffic deaths of residents in each area, 1996 Health Regional Office area Percentage of deaths Northern and Yorkshire Trent Anglia and Oxford North Thames South Thames South and West West Midlands North West Wales England and Wales 19 Males Females 35 39 35 55 39 30 34 42 24 37 30 46 33 45 38 25 38 36 27 35 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Figure 8a Road traffic deaths by place of accident, males, 1993–97 Figure 8b Road traffic deaths by place of accident, females, 1993–97 Office for National Statistics 20 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 9a Autumn 1999 Road traffic mortality rates by local authority according to place of usual residence, males, 1993–97 Age-standardised rates High (49) Average (270) Low (57) Figure 9b Road traffic mortality rates by local authority according to place of usual residence, females, 1993–97 Age-standardised rates High (15) Average (320) Low (41) 21 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS Figure 11 Road traffic mortality in England and Wales, as for injury and poisoning deaths in general, is low compared with other similar countries. A recent comparison of injury mortality in 11 developed countries revealed that during the early 1990s, England and Wales had the lowest rates from motor vehicle traffic accidents at all age-bands considered (1–14 years, 15–24, 65 and over, and all ages).6 The notable exception is pedestrian mortality which is about average compared with other countries. There has been concern that pedestrian deaths among children were higher in England and Wales than in most other countries but ONS data suggest that these have declined along with other road traffic deaths. The other countries covered by the study included Scotland, where road traffic mortality is higher than in England and Wales. POSSIBLE RISK FACTORS There has been a sharp fall in the number of motor cycle and pedal cycle miles travelled in recent years (Figure 10). Since the early 1980s the estimated motor cycle mileage in Great Britain has roughly halved, while pedal cycle mileage has fallen by around one third. 3 Similarly, the distance walked per person has fallen by nearly 20 per cent since the mid 1980s.7 These trends probably account for much of the long-term reduction in deaths among users of these modes of transport. Over the same time period the distance travelled using other motor vehicles has increased dramatically. This increase may have contributed to a decline in road traffic accidents in some areas where traffic speeds have been reduced owing to increased volumes of traffic. Recent sales figures reveal an increase in the popularity of motor cycles in recent years,8 which may partly explain the slight increase in motor cycle deaths in 1997. Licensed vehicles and vehicle kilometres travelled by mode of transport, 1982–97 Log scale 100,000 10,000 100m vehicle kilometres – Other motor vehicles 1,000 Licensed vehicles – Two-wheeled motor vehicles 100m vehicle kilometres – Two-wheeled motor vehicles 100m vehicle kilometres – Pedal cycles 10 1 1982 1984 1986 Fatal accidents involving alcohol * 1988 1990 Year Source: DETR 3 Office for National Statistics 22 1992 1994 Roadside screening breath tests (thousands) 1,000 Positive/refused breath tests (thousands) 100 Percentage of breath tests positive/refused (thousands) 1 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 Year 1992 1994 1996 * Estimated. Source: DETR 3 Various legislative changes have also probably contributed to the decline in mortality. In particular, the striking decline in motor cycle deaths at young ages is likely to have been partly due to the introduction of a two-part motor cycle test and the restriction of provisional motor cycle licenses to two years in 1982, and to the change in 1983 which limited learner motor cyclists to riding machines of up to 125cc. Stricter drink driving controls are likely to have contributed to falls in mortality from all modes of transport. DETR figures show a steady decline between 1982 and 1997 in the number of fatal road traffic accidents in Great Britain involving alcohol, and in the proportion of breath tests which are positive or refused4 (Figure 11). The introduction of speed cameras may be a further contributory factor, 9 although the impact of the introduction of seat-belt legislation in 1983 is less clear. 10 Various other safety measures have been introduced, including improvements in car design and engineering measures on roads, which have been found to reduce road traffic injuries at all ages.11 Improvement in treatment may also account for some of the improvements in road traffic mortality.12 Data on hospital admissions supplied by the Department of Health reveal that in the early 1990s the number of admissions due to road traffic accidents was relatively stable. The fact that the decline in deaths in the early 1990s was not accompanied by a fall in hospital admissions may suggest that the chances of surviving an accident improved as a result of improved treatment or safety measures which have reduced the severity of accidents. Another possible explanation is that a higher proportion of patients with less severe injuries are now being admitted to hospital following road traffic accidents. Data for 1995/6 to 1997/8 suggest there has been an increase in hospital admissions following road traffic incidents in recent years, but as the data currently available for these years are provisional and are coded according to ICD10, comparisons with earlier years are difficult. Licensed vehicles – Other motor vehicles 100 Log scale 10,000 10 The clear decline in road traffic mortality may be related to various possible risk factors and prevention measures, probably acting in combination. It is likely that the explanatory factors vary between modes of transport and at different ages. A major factor is changes in the population at risk, in this case the number of people using different modes of transport. Figure 10 Drink driving statistics, 1982–96 1996 A DVANTAGES OF LINKING DETR AND ONS DATASETS There are marked differences in the type of information recorded by ONS and DETR so that linking the two sets would yield some useful Health Statistics Quar terly 03 information. Until now this has not been possible as the only common variables were age and sex. In 1999, DETR started to record the postcode of the usual residence of casualties, which may make linkage between the two datasets feasible, although other identifiers, such as name and NHS number, would facilitate comprehensive linkage. REFERENCES As all road traffic deaths should be referred to a coroner, ONS receives all the details of the deceased recorded on the coroner’s certificate, such as marital status, occupation, place of usual residence and place of death. The accident report forms from which DETR figures are derived contain more detailed information on the circumstances of the accident, such as the light, road and weather conditions, but geographical information is limited to the place of the accident. As all vehicle and casualty records relating to an accident are linked by a common accident reference number, it is much easier to analyse accidents involving multiple vehicles or casualties using DETR rather than ONS data. 3 One notable advantage of linking DETR and ONS records is that it would be possible to determine the length of time between an accident and any death resulting from it. This has important policy implications in terms of allocating resources to emergency treatment, hospital care or safety measures to reduce the severity of accidents. Linking the datasets would also make it possible to analyse the relationship between the nature of injury, which is not recorded by DETR, and certain accident details which are not collected by ONS at death registration. These include more specific descriptions of the vehicles involved in an accident, whether or not alcohol was involved, the time of day and, in the case of casualties to motor vehicle passengers, whether they were sitting in the front or rear seat. SUMMARY The close agreement between DETR and ONS data on road traffic deaths indicates that both sources are probably reliable. The figures reveal declines in mortality rates for most modes of transport and at most ages between 1982 and 1997. There has been a particularly marked fall in motor cycle deaths among young men; the number of motor cycle deaths among 17 year olds in the 1990s was around one tenth of the number in the early 1980s. There has also been a dramatic decline in pedestrian deaths, particularly among the elderly. However, in recent years mortality has levelled off or begun to increase for some modes of transport, and road traffic incidents remain a major cause of death at younger ages. 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Autumn 1999 Office for National Statistics. Mortality Statistics: cause 1993 (revised) and 1994, Series DH2 no 21. HMSO (London: 1996). Devis T and Rooney C. The time taken to register a death. Population Trends 88 (1997), 48–55. Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions. Road Accidents Great Britain: 1997 The Casualty Report. TSO (London: 1998). Office for National Statistics. Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 1996, Series DH4 no 21. TSO (London: 1998). Rooney C and Devis T. Mortality trends by cause of death in England and Wales 1980–94; the impact of introducing automated cause coding and related changes in 1993. Population Trends 86 (1996), 29–35. Fingerhut et al. International Comparative Analysis of Injury Mortality: Findings from the ICE on Injury Statistics. Advance data from Vital and Health Statistics for Disease Control and Prevention/National Center for Health Statistics 303. Department of Health and Human Services (Maryland, USA: 1998). Department of Transport. Transport Statistics Great Britain 1996 Edition. HMSO (London: 1996). Griffiths J. ‘Grey’ imports drive up motorcycle sales. Financial Times, 2.2.99. West R. The effect of speed cameras on injuries from road accidents. British Medical Journal 316 (1998), 5–6. McCarthy M. The benefit of seat belt legislation in the United Kingdom. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 43 (1989), 218–222. Munro et al. Can we prevent accidental injury to adolescents? A systematic review of the evidence. Injury Prevention 1(4) (1995), 249–255. Roberts et al. Reducing accident death rates in children and young adults: the contribution of hospital care. British Medical Journal 313 (1996), 1239–1241. Key findings ● ● ● ● ● There is close agreement between ONS and DETR figures on road traffic deaths. Road traffic mortality is around three times higher among males than females. Mor tality rates have fallen by over 40 per cent among both men and women since the early 1980s. The decline in mortality among young male motor cyclists over this period is particularly dramatic . In recent years the long-term decline in mortality among users of all the main modes of transport has halted or reversed. 23 Office for National Statistics Multiple congenital anomalies in England and Wales 1992–97 Beverley Botting, ONS Rolv Skjær ven, Section for Medical Statistics,University of Bergen, Norway Eva Alberman, Wolfson Institute and Carole Abrahams, ONS Many known human teratogens result in groups of seemingly unrelated anomalies, rather than in a single anomaly. At the Office for National Statistics (ONS) we currently monitor individual anomalies. Our current methods of surveillance would not be able to detect the small increase in a combination of anomalies resulting from a teratogen which can cause multiple congenital anomalies. This analysis presents new data on multiple congenital anomalies. It also describes how these data will be used for international comparisons. INTRODUCTION Congenital anomalies are one of the leading causes of childhood death and morbidity in the developed world. During the last 50 years there has been a growing public awareness of congenital anomalies and their possible connection with environmental hazards. Many known human teratogens, however, result in groups of seemingly unrelated anomalies, rather than in a single anomaly. The prevalence of each associated anomaly may only show a small increase in the presence of such a teratogen. The prevalence of the resulting combination of these anomalies, however, would show a significant increase. In 1994 the National Congenital Anomaly System was reviewed by a working group of the Registrar General's Medical Advisory Committee.1 One of their recommendations was that ONS should improve the sensitivity of its surveillance procedures. At ONS we currently monitor individual anomalies. If exposure to a teratogen can result in a single anomaly, this type of surveillance is sufficiently powerful to detect quickly a small increase in that anomaly. It would not, however, be able to detect the small increase in a combination of anomalies resulting from a teratogen which can cause multiple congenital anomalies (MCAs). We have therefore decided to incorporate a separate monitoring of MCAs into our routine surveillance. The aim of this paper is to estimate the current incidence of babies with two or more seemingly unrelated anomalies in England and Wales. We have calculated Odds Ratios for combinations of anomalies and discuss our results. These results will be used to set baselines for future monitoring and to compare with international data. Office for National Statistics 24 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 BACKGROUND Many known human teratogens result in groups of anomalies which were previously not known to be related.2 One example is rubella infection, which can result in cataracts, deafness, and/or patent ductus arteriosus (a cardiovascular anomaly). Another example is isotretinoin, a drug used for acne. This drug can lead to anomalies of the ear, the central nervous system, and the heart. Identifying and monitoring MCAs is therefore an important part of surveillance. Methods have been developed in recent years to analyse groups of anomalies occurring in a single child. The aim is to discover whether particular combinations are occurring more frequently than would be expected by chance. If so, research can then investigate whether any particular combination might be associated with a given teratogen. An MCA can simply be defined as the presence of two or more anomalies in one child. ONS previously analysed data about such cases in 1984.3 The main problem will always be how to decide which groups of anomalies to monitor in order to detect an increase which could be the result of a new teratogen. On the one hand one wishes to retain as many separate categories as possible to identify specific new combinations. On the other hand there are advantages in limiting the number of defect categories so that the number of combinations is manageable. We need a procedure to analyse all combinations of anomalies and select those which occur more often than would be expected by chance. Multiple anomalies are monitored in several countries worldwide, as well as by the two principal international organisations working on congenital anomaly surveillance - The International Clearinghouse for Birth Defect Monitoring Systems4 (the Clearinghouse) and EUROCAT (a concerted action project of the EU for the Epidemiological Surveillance of Congenital Anomalies).5 The Clearinghouse has devised a list of anomalies that have been observed to occur in combination with other seemingly unrelated defects. This list was discussed extensively to take into account as much as possible accepted biological and teratological knowledge and it is presented in the Appendix. We have used this list as the basis for classifying our data from England and Wales. Autumn 1999 teratogen which does not affect one specific organ, but will affect any organ or process if exposed during its sensitive period of development. Also, exposure to different teratogens may be correlated. This could result in the same infant being affected by several anomalies of different etiology more often than expected by chance. NATIONAL CONGENITAL ANOMALY SYSTEM In England and Wales, as in many other parts of the world, we routinely collect and analyse information on congenital anomalies. Since 1964 ONS has run the National Congenital Anomaly System which depends on voluntary notification from Health Authorities. ONS set up the notification system in the wake of the thalidomide epidemic and has always had surveillance as its first priority. Its aim has been to pick up early warnings of increased rates of congenital anomalies. These could result from a new teratogen in the environment or an increase in exposure to an existing one. Notification to the England and Wales National Congenital Anomaly System is not complete. 1 The level of ascertainment varies for different anomalies, largely depending on how easily the anomaly can be identified at birth. Those which are easily recognised at birth, such as limb reduction defects, tend to be well notified, whereas others, such as heart anomalies, tend to be less well reported. 6 DATA USED For these analyses we have used notifications to the England and Wales National Congenital Anomaly System for 1992–1997. We receive written descriptions of anomalies which are coded centrally. On the database prior to 1995 we hold only coded information for notified conditions, coded using the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD9). From 1 January 1995 we began to use ICD10 7 and all the text provided is also held on the database. The Clearinghouse list described above is designed for use with text descriptions of the anomalies. We did not re-examine the text on our original notification forms for this analysis, however, as this would have been too labour intensive. Instead, after considering the text descriptions of the appropriate ICD codes, we defined a mapping which converted ICD codes as closely as possible to appropriate Clearinghouse multiple defects categories. OCCURRENCE OF MULTIPLE ANOMALIES We might expect that the chance of a baby having any given anomaly is independent of their having any other anomaly if each anomaly is due to an independent etiologic agent. If this were so, then the chance of having a combination of two different anomalies would be the two separate probabilities multiplied together. In reality, the probability of many combinations of two anomalies occurring together is greater than the product of their separate probabilities. There are many reasons for this phenomenon. A given group of anomalies may be due to a common single etiologic agent. Such groups include chromosomal and single gene syndromes (for example Down’s syndrome). Alternatively, the combinations may be a sequence, which means that the defects affect the same system or simultaneously damage more than one system. An example of a sequence is spina bifida plus hydrocephaly and clubfoot, the last two defects resulting from the first one. Alternatively, the etiology of a given grouping may not yet be explained. These are the groupings of particular interest in this analysis. The given anomalies may have been caused by an environmental All conditions notified in the period 1992–94 had been coded using ICD9. Notifications from 1995–97 had been coded using ICD10. We therefore derived two versions of the mapping, one for use with each ICD revision. We compared trends over the change in classification to test whether the mapping was robust across the two ICD revisions. We mapped the ICD codes onto the Clearinghouse list, ensuring that each child had no more than one mention of each defect category on the list. For example, if a baby was notified as having two different cardiovascular conditions, which both mapped to ‘congenital heart defects’, the record would only hold one occurrence of that mapping. For each record we then counted the number of multiple defect categories. All babies with chromosomal anomalies were removed from the analysis. Our definition of a baby with MCA was a child with anomalies which mapped to two or more codes from the list. These data, which included sequences and same system anomalies, as well as those of unknown etiology, were used for the remainder of this paper. Odds Ratios (ORs) were calculated. This statistic measures whether the particular combination occurs more often than would be expected by chance. The ORs were calculated based on the limited population of 25 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1 Autumn 1999 Numbers of babies notified to ONS by number of anomalies, 1992–97, England and Wales Number of anomalies Year Total number of babies 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 6,096 5,750 5,611 5,576 5,568 5,630 1 2 3 5,330 4,989 4,883 4,736 4,703 4,686 540 541 508 600 611 681 130 144 140 146 149 166 4 5 52 38 36 49 61 49 16 19 18 13 21 16 6 7 8 Number with 2+ anomalies Percentage of all babies with 2+ anomalies 13 9 11 19 14 14 7 4 10 7 4 8 8 6 5 6 5 10 766 761 728 840 865 944 12.6 13.2 13.0 15.1 15.5 16.8 Source: National Congenital Anomaly System as at 11 June 1999. Table 2 Numbers of babies notified by number of defect categories, 1992–97, England and Wales Number of defect categories Year 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Total Total number of excluding babies chromosomal 6,096 5,750 5,611 5,576 5,568 5,630 5,582 5,329 5,185 5,152 5,110 5,191 0 1 722 688 734 698 756 753 4,423 4,221 4,053 3,983 3,885 3,969 2 331 339 300 357 362 385 3 4 5 6 7 Number with 2+ defect categories Percentage of all babies with 2+ defect categories 69 53 59 76 78 63 22 19 23 24 18 12 9 4 12 9 9 7 6 4 4 4 2 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 437 420 398 471 469 469 7.2 7.3 7.1 8.4 8.4 8.3 Source: National Congenital Anomaly System as at 11 June 1999. babies with multiple congenital anomalies. Limiting the population in this way improves our ability (reflected in the statistical power calculations) to detect exposure to a teratogen, if the exposure of interest is primarily associated with multiple defects rather than with isolated defects.8 The period 1992–97 has been chosen because prior to this date there was a major change which affected the data. We introduced an exclusion list for notifiers on 1 January 1990. This list was based on that used by EUROCAT and stated that notifiers did not need to report minor anomalies such as small haemangiomas and positional talipes unless they occurred in combination with other major anomalies. After we introduced the exclusion list the National Congenital Anomaly System saw a fall in the number of notifications for these excluded conditions. It took some time for notifiers to become familiar with these changes, however, so numbers of notifications continued to fall through both 1990 and 1991. Therefore the analysis here has been confined to the period 1992–97, a period of relative stability after the rapid decrease in the number of notifications. The definition of a stillbirth was altered on 1 October 1992, to be a baby born showing no sign of life after 24 completed weeks of gestation. The previous definition was based on 28 completed weeks of gestation. In reality we think that this change will only have had a limited effect on our analysis since we know that stillbirths with anomalies tend to be less well notified than live births. RESULTS Number of anomalies notified Table 1 shows the original number of anomalies notified for each baby in the years 1992–97. These were based on the data as notified to ONS without any subsequent classification. Between 1994 and 1995 the proportion of all notifications with two or more conditions notified Office for National Statistics 26 increased from 13 to 15 per cent, subsequently reaching 17 per cent in 1997. This may be a real increase, or due to better ascertainment or notification of multiple anomalies. It is probably, however, largely the result of the introduction of ICD10 in 1995. In ICD10 it has been possible to provide more precise coding for several anomalies. Some conditions, which it was not possible to distinguish under ICD9, can now be coded uniquely using ICD10. Examples include omphalocele (an abdominal wall defect) and transverse limb reduction defects (such as the complete absence of a foot or arm). As a result, more of the conditions notified have been able to be uniquely coded with the corresponding increase in number of conditions coded. Over the period there have also been increases in notification rates for some conditions which were not affected by the ICD revision. One notable increase was for the eye anomalies, anophthalmia and microphthalmia. This increase is likely to be due to improved notification after the media concerns about these anomalies and hypothesised associations with a pesticide, Benomyl. Table 2 shows the number of babies with anomalies from two or more of the defect categories on the Clearinghouse list. Some anomalies reported for a given child affect the same body organ or system, so two or more ICD codes may map to the same defect category. Therefore, once the ICD codes have been reclassified to the Clearinghouse multiple defect categories, there are fewer babies with anomalies from two or more categories than in Table 1. Indeed, some babies only have minor anomalies which are not included in the Clearinghouse defect categories. These babies are shown in Table 2 as having ‘0’ anomaly codes. The proportion of notified babies who have two or more anomalies from this list is smaller than in Table 1, but shows a similar change over the period. In each year 1992–97 there were 400–500 babies notified as having two or more anomalies from the list. Over 80 per cent of these babies had just two anomalies from the list. In 1995– 97, 8.4 per cent of all notifications related to babies with two or more anomalies, an increase from 7.2 per cent in the earlier period, again largely due to the change in ICD revision. Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 3 Autumn 1999 Combination of defect categories which occurred more often than would be expected (OR >= 1.96) 1992–97, England and Wales Odds ratio Same system Other small intestinal atresias A-microtia Ano/microphthalmia Anencephaly Renal a/dysgenesis Encephalocele Gut malrotation CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Holoprosencephaly Spina bifida Encephalocele Other severe genitalia defects Syndactyly Limb reduction defects, transverse Hydrocephaly Encephalocele Hypospadias Limb reduction defects, transverse Cystic kidney Limb reduction defects, preaxial Anorectal atresia Microcephaly Duodenal atresia Renal a/dysgenesis Spina bifida Lung laringo-tracheal Limb reduction defects, transverse Other small intestinal atresias Limb reduction defects, other types Spina bifida Oesophageal atresia Gut malrotation Other ear defects Other eye anomalies Spina bifida Cystic kidney Microcephaly Other intestinal defects Laterality situs inversus Other brain defects Encephalocele Other brain defects Bladder extrophy Polydactyly Limb reduction defects, preaxial Other brain defects Hydrocephaly Other severe genitalia defects Limb reduction defects, other types Other urinary tract infections Limb reduction defects, other types Duodenal atresia Other brain defects Other intestinal defects Other urinary tract infections Other brain defects Bronco-pulmonary (including lung hypoplasia) Syndactyly Other intestinal defects Syndactyly Microcephaly Duodenal atresia 64.30 53.00 42.70 27.80 17.70 9.06 8.93 8.73 8.69 8.27 8.27 7.95 7.90 7.88 7.87 5.72 5.11 4.43 4.40 3.73 3.71 3.44 3.39 2.61 2.60 2.52 2.42 2.39 2.35 2.18 2.02 Sequence Laterality situs inversus Holoprosencephaly Hypospadias CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Diaphragmatic hernia Holoprosencephaly Other intestinal defects Spina bifida CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Bronco-pulmonary (including lung hypoplasia) Holoprosencephaly Spina bifida A-polysplenia Other severe cranio-facial defects Bladder extrophy Vessel anomalies Bronco-pulmonary (including lung hypoplasia) Cleft lip with cleft palate Gastroschisis Hydrocephaly A-polysplenia Renal a/dysgenesis Cleft palate Limb deformities (including clubfoot and hip anomalies) 86.10 20.50 17.30 15.10 8.56 8.31 5.16 4.73 4.36 3.93 3.51 2.72 Multiple congenital anomalies Duodenal atresia Cleft palate Esophageal atresia Microcephaly Encephalocele Oesophageal atresia Anencephaly Choanal atresia Anorectal atresia Other eye anomalies Neck anomalies Other eye anomalies Ano/microphthalmia Omphalocele Omphalocele Other axial skeleton defects Other brain defects Gut malrotation Cleft palate Anorectal atresia Other small intestinal atresias Duodenal atresia Cleft lip (and palate) Lung laringo-tracheal Microcephaly Duodenal atresia Encephalocele Microcephaly Other brain defects Other urinary tract infections Anencephaly Microcephaly Other eye anomalies Anencephaly Laterality situs inversus Craniostenosis Lung laringo-tracheal A-polysplenia Duodenal atresia Anorectal atresia Omphalocele CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Other severe genitalia defects Other severe cranio-facial defects Polydactyly Other ear defects Other severe cranio-facial defects Diaphragmatic hernia CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Limb reduction defects, other types Other severe cranio-facial defects CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Choanal atresia Limb reduction defects, preaxial Cystic kidney CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Choanal atresia CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Other severe cranio-facial defects Gastroschisis Other eye anomalies Other eye anomalies Other small intestinal atresias A-polysplenia Gastroschisis Lumbo/sacral axial skeleton defects Cleft lip with cleft palate Cleft lip with cleft palate 28.50 17.60 14.30 10.30 7.57 6.57 6.07 5.82 4.78 4.74 4.56 4.48 3.87 3.73 3.19 3.03 2.92 2.89 2.80 2.79 2.73 2.70 2.47 2.47 2.45 2.43 2.35 2.22 2.16 2.12 2.08 2.07 2.02 1.96 27 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Appendix Autumn 1999 Total occurrences of multiple defect categories in all records with two or more codes, 1995–97, England and Wales Anencephaly Spina bifida Encephalocele Hydrocephaly Microcephaly Holoprosencephaly Other brain defects Ano/microphthalmia Other eye anomalies A-microtia Other ear defects Cleft lip with cleft palate Cleft palate Other severe cranio-facial defects Choanal atresia Craniostenosis Neck anomalies Oesophageal atresia Anorectal atresia Duodenal atresia Other small intestinal atresias Gut malrotation Other intestinal defects Gastroschisis Omphalocele Diaphragmatic hernia Lung laringo-tracheal Bronco-pulmonary (including lung hypoplasia) CHD anomalies and other structural heart defects Vessel anomalies Hypospadias Other severe genitalia defects Renal a/dysgenesis Cystic kidney Other urinary tract infections Bladder extrophy Lumbo/sacral axial skeleton defects Other axial skeleton defects Limb reduction defects, transverse Limb reduction defects, preaxial Limb reduction defects, other types Syndactyly Polydactyly Limb deformities (including clubfoot and hip anomalies) Ring constriction or fibrotic band Laterality situs inversus A-polysplenia Teratoma, sirenomelia Total births Observed Rate per 10,000 births Clearinghouse baseline rates per 10,000 births Expected number 1995–97 16 40 7 40 27 9 59 25 57 23 148 143 109 60 7 14 0 48 84 17 22 5 95 29 34 29 30 60 284 171 132 125 93 82 137 31 68 122 122 20 227 173 162 334 0 4 10 0 1995–97 0.08 0.21 0.04 0.21 0.14 0.05 0.30 0.13 0.29 0.12 0.76 0.73 0.56 0.31 0.04 0.07 0.25 0.43 0.09 0.11 0.03 0.49 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.31 1.46 0.88 0.68 0.64 0.48 0.42 0.70 0.16 0.35 0.63 0.63 0.10 1.16 0.89 0.83 1.71 0.02 0.05 - 1992–96 0.18 0.40 0.20 0.93 0.44 0.17 0.72 0.53 0.47 0.62 0.24 1.16 0.83 0.24 0.19 0.13 0.27 0.96 1.25 0.18 0.11 0.13 0.42 0.18 0.49 0.54 0.06 0.43 3.64 0.35 0.83 0.65 0.74 0.43 1.33 0.12 0.11 1.20 0.25 0.37 0.44 0.52 1.07 1.78 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.04 1995–97 35.94 77.32 39.29 182.23 86.52 33.86 140.44 103.24 91.12 120.37 47.65 225.70 161.75 46.81 36.36 24.66 52.25 188.08 243.67 35.11 21.32 25.91 82.34 35.11 94.88 104.91 12.54 83.59 710.12 68.13 161.75 125.81 145.03 84.01 259.56 22.57 21.32 233.22 49.32 72.73 85.68 101.98 208.98 346.91 6.69 23.82 23.41 7.94 0.45 0.52 0.18 0.22 0.31 0.27 0.42 0.24 0.63 0.19 3.11 0.63 0.67 1.28 0.19 0.57 0.26 0.34 0.48 1.03 0.19 1.15 0.83 0.36 0.28 2.39 0.72 0.40 2.51 0.82 0.99 0.64 0.98 0.53 1.37 3.19 0.52 2.47 0.28 2.65 1.70 0.78 0.96 0.17 0.43 - 1,949,056 Odds Ratios Table 3 shows ORs which were significantly higher than expected (greater than 1.96). The ORs have been calculated from data with anomalies from two or more defects categories from the Clearinghouse list for 1992–97 combined. The data are shown separately for those combinations which are within the same body system, those which are known to be sequences and those which are not known to be related. As Office for National Statistics O/E ratio 28 expected, there were strong associations amongst combinations affecting closely related body organs or systems. For example, amicrotia (small or missing external ear organ) and ‘other ear defects’ had a high OR of 53. Similarly several sequences had raised ORs, but this would be expected given our knowledge that they are more likely to occur together. Among combinations of anomalies not known to be related there were several with high ORs. Duodenal atresia and laterality situs inversus had an OR of 28.50. Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 DISCUSSION AND THE WAY FORWARD Key points We plan to begin regular monitoring of multiple congenital anomalies, so it is important to know how complete notification is to the National Congenital Anomaly System. Khoury found more complete ascertainment of congenital anomalies in regional registers compared with the national programme in the USA.9 We plan to compare our data with those notified to regional registers in England and Wales. ● ● 1 The review of the national system in 1994 recommended that ONS could improve the quality of congenital anomaly data by exchanging data with local congenital anomaly registers. We began to do this from January 1999 using two volunteer registers - in Trent and in Wales. One implication of this exercise is that in the future we would hope to achieve more complete ascertainment both in terms of the number of babies notified and in clinical accuracy. We would expect this to increase the number of notifications of babies with two or more anomalies from the Clearinghouse list. We expect to find that we can improve ascertainment by exchanging information with the regions. As a result we will need to alter our baselines for future monitoring. One aim of this type of analysis is to detect increases in combinations of anomalies which may give rise to hypotheses about potential new teratogens. The national system does not include exposure data other than limited occupation data. If the results of any analysis lead to a hypothesis of exposure to a teratogen, however, it is always possible to go back to the local notifiers. We can then seek additional exposure information for all or for a sample of affected and control cases (for example births which occurred in the same area and month). ● ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Thanks are due to Pierpaolo Mastroiacovo and Aldo Rosano at the International Centre for Births Defects in Rome for their advice. REFERENCES 1 2 From 1999 we plan to submit our MCA data to the Clearinghouse on a quarterly basis, thus facilitating international comparisons. The Clearinghouse list, however, was designed for use with text descriptions not coded material. Since 1995 we have held text on our computer records as well as ICD10 codes. We will use ICD codes as an initial sift to extract potential MCAs. We can then extract the relevant text to select the true MCAs and forward these to the Clearinghouse. 3 4 5 6 CONCLUSION We have shown that we can identify notifications of babies with two or more seemingly unrelated congenital anomalies. In 1995–97, 8 per cent of all notifications fell into this category. Since we can now also retrieve the text descriptions we can extract appropriate cases and submit details on these internationally. This is important, because even in a large population such as ours, small numbers of multiple anomalies require international collaborations to detect small increases in given combinations of conditions and to search for possible teratogens. As our data become more complete through data exchange we will be in an even better position to help monitor this aspect of public health. 17 per cent of congenital anomaly notifications describe more than one anomaly. For 1998 data onwards ONS has started to monitor multiple congenital anomalies (MCAs). 8 per cent of notifications related to babies with two or more seemingly unrelated congenital anomalies (MC As). 7 8 9 Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. The OPCS Monitoring Scheme for Congenital Malformations. A Review by a Working Group of the Registrar General's Medical Advisory Committee. Occasional Paper 43. OPCS (London: 1995). Khoury M J et al. Monitoring For Multiple Congenital Anomalies: An International Perspective. Epidemiologic reviews 16, (2) (1994), 335–350. OPCS Monitor. Monitoring Multiple Malformations MB3 84/3. OPCS (London: 1984). International Clearinghouse for Birth Defects Monitoring Systems. Annual Report 1998 with data for 1996. International Centre for Birth Defects (Rome: 1998). EUROCAT Newsletter Vol. 5 no. 6 August 1991. Payne J N. Limitations of the OPCS Congenital Malformation Notification System illustrated by examination of congenital malformations of the cardiovascular system in Districts within the Trent region. Public Health 106 (1992), 437–448. World Health Organisation. International Classification of Disease and related health problems, tenth revision. World Health Organisation (Geneva: 1992). Friedman J M. The use of dysmorphology in birth defects epidemiology. Teratology 45(2) (1992), 187–193. Khoury M J, Waters G D and Erickson J D. Patterns and trends of multiple congenital anomalies in birth defects surveillance systems. Teratology 44 (1991), 57–64. 29 Office for National Statistics Social patterning of health and mortality: children, aged 6–15 years, followed up for 25 years in the ONS Longitudinal Study Seeromanie Harding, Michael Rosato, Joanna Brown and Jillian Smith, ONS Children aged 6–15 years in 1971 were followed up in the ONS Longitudinal Study for 25 years.The relationship between health and socio-economic circumstances at different stages of the life course was examined. Measures of socioeconomic position in childhood and adulthood were all associated with health and survival but the relationship appeared strongest with the most recent measure of socioeconomic position. This could be because of the young age of this sample as accidents and injuries accounted for most of the deaths. Health and survival was poorest among those who had experienced persisting socio-economic disadvantage. BACKGROUND Several studies have examined the relationship between socioeconomic conditions in childhood and health in adult life.1,2,3 Recently research has focused on the relative importance of influences at different stages of the life course on adult health and disease risk.4,5,6 The notion of cumulative exposure over the life course has direct relevance to policies that aim to arrest or reverse social deprivation.7 In this study we use the ONS Longitudinal Study to assess the influence of socio-economic position at different stages in life on health and survival. S TUDY SAMPLE AND METHOD OF ANALYSIS The Longitudinal Study is a record linkage study that contains information on individuals and households from censuses and routinely registered vital events. Details of the study can be found elsewhere. 8 It began in 1971 and is based on a representative 1 per cent sample (about 550,000) of the population of England and Wales. The current followup period extends to the end of 1995. Children aged 6–15 years at the 1971 Census and living in a private household were included in the analysis. This age restriction allowed children to be at least 16 in 1981 (school leaving age), so that they could be classified by their own socio-economic position in the 1981 and 1991 Censuses. Socio-economic position was measured using three established indicators 9,10 – occupation based social class, housing tenure and access to cars as reported at the census. Own social class in 1981 was not used as more than 25 per cent could not be classified. By 1991 however, the proportion unclassified reduced to 8 per cent. In comparison, less than 5 Office for National Statistics 30 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 per cent could not be classified by access to cars or by housing tenure at the three Censuses. Two outcome measures were used – death from any cause which occurred between Census day 1991 and the end of 1995, and the prevalence of limiting long-term illness in the 1991 Census. The relative importance of childhood and of own socio-economic position in later life on premature mortality during 1991–95, and on morbidity was examined by fitting these measures individually and simultaneously. Cumulative adverse exposure was measured by summing the number of occasions an individual was included in a particular socio-economic group at the 1971, 1981 and 1991 Censuses. Age and sex adjusted relative risks of mortality were measured using Cox regression, and of prevalence of limiting long-term illness using logistic regression. Table 1 Autumn 1999 Intergenerational mobility of children aged 6–15 years in 1971: parental socio-economic position in 1971 by own socio-economic position in 1981* and 1991 Own socio-economic position 1981/91 Census Parental socio-economic position 1971 Social Class* Non-manual 1991 Manual 1991 Unclassified 1991 Non-manual % 50 26 25 Manual % 44 66 62 Yes % 77 61 37 24 No % 23 39 63 76 Owner occupied % 75 69 23 15 Privately rented % 8 10 17 17 Unclassified All=100% % 6 50,409 8 39,389 13 8,559 Car access Conventionally in Longitudinal Study analyses, those who are not found at a subsequent census or by registration of a vital event are assumed to be lost to follow-up. Among all children who should have been aged at least 16 in 1981, 5 per cent were not found at the 1981 Census or by the end of follow-up. Loss to follow-up of study members was higher among children whose fathers were not classified to a social class (8 per cent) or were living in privately rented housing (7 per cent). This could introduce a small bias depending on whether they would have remained in the same social grouping or not had they been followed up. The numbers were small, however, and their exclusion is unlikely to have had any significant effect on the results. FINDINGS Access 1981 and 1991 Access 1981, no access 1991 No access 1981, access 1991 No access 1981 and 1991 All=100% 39,891 4,243 9,959 5,584 Housing tenure Owner occupied 1981 and 1991 Owner occupied 1981, rented 1991 Rented 1981, owner occupied 1991 Rented 1981 and 1991 * Local authority % 17 21 60 68 All=100% 29,142 4,514 15,221 10,800 Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. Trajectories of socio-economic position from childhood to later life Table 1 and Figure 1 show parental socio-economic position at the 1971 Census and own socio-economic position at the 1991 Census. All three indicators show very similar patterns. There is a high degree of similarity between parental and own circumstances. Those in the least advantaged socio-economic position in 1981 and 1991 were more than twice as likely to come from a disadvantaged than an advantaged background. Of all those who were in a manual social class in 1991, 66 per cent had a parent in a manual occupation. Similarly, of those without access to cars at both censuses, 76 per cent came from households with no car access and, of those living in rented housing at both censuses, 85 per cent were living in rented housing as children. Figure 1 Intergenerational mobility of children aged 6–15 years in 1971: parental socio-economic position in 1971 by own socio-economic position in 1981* and 1991 Percentage 100 90 80 The influence of socio-economic circumstances in childhood and in later life on mortality and limiting long-term illness 70 Table 2 shows mortality by parental and own socio-economic position. With the exception of housing tenure in 1981, consistent gradients in mortality were seen for both parental and own socio-economic positions, which suggest that childhood and later circumstances contributed separately to mortality differences. For example, by parental car access, mortality was 43 per cent higher among those with no access to a car compared with that of those with access. By own car access in 1981 the differential increased to 63 per cent, and by 1991 it was more than twofold. However, after adjustment for both parental and own car access, the differentials attenuated. The earlier measures of car access were no longer significantly associated with mortality. Mortality was therefore much more strongly associated with current than with parental or earlier car access. Housing tenure showed a similar pattern; the most recent measure of housing tenure showed the strongest association with mortality differences after adjustment for parental housing. 40 60 50 30 20 10 0 NonManual class Manual class Car access No car access Owner Privately Local occupied rented Authority Socio-economic cirumstances in childhood Most disadvantaged socio-economic position in adulthood Most advantaged socio-economic position in adulthood * Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. 31 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 2 Autumn 1999 Age and sex adjusted relative risks of mortality, 1991–95, of children aged 6–15 years in 1971: parental socio-economic position in 1971 and own socio-economic position in 1981* and 1991 by socio-economic status Table 3 Relative risks of limiting long-term illness in 1991 of children aged 6–15 years in 1971: parental socioeconomic position in 1971 and own socioeconomic position in 1981* and 1991 Unadjusted Unadjusted Adjusted † Adjusted † Parental Social Class 1971* Non-manual Manual Unclassified 1.00 1.30 1.93 ** (0.96-1.75) (1.19-3.12) 1.00 1.23 1.72 ** (0.90-1.69) (1.06-2.81) Own Social Class 1991* Non-manual Manual Unclassified 1.00 1.08 2.57 ** (0.80-1.47) (1.71-3.86) 1.00 1.01 2.35 ** (0.74-1.40) (1.55-3.56) Parental car access 1971 Yes No 1.00 1.43 ** (1.09-189) 1.00 1.12 (0.82-1.52) Own car access 1981 Yes No Non-private households 1.00 1.63 ** 1.74 (1.22-2.19) (0.89-3.43) 1.00 1.15 1.40 (0.82-1.61) (0.70-2.79) Own car access 1991 Yes No Non-private households 1.00 2.72 ** 5.26 ** (2.02-3.66) (2.32-11.94) 1.00 2.50 ** 4.79 ** (1.81-3.46) (2.07-11.06) Parental housing tenure 1971 Owner occupied 1.00 Privately rented 1.14 Local authority 1.16 (0.73-1.76) (0.87-1.56) 1.00 1.06 0.97 (0.67-1.69) (0.68-1.40) Own housing tenure 1981 Owner occupied Privately rented Local authority Non-private households 1.00 0.94 1.32 1.63 (0.59-1.49) (0.97-1.78) (0.83-3.23) 1.00 1.86 1.16 1.35 (0.53-1.39) (0.78-1.72) (0.67-2.71) Own housing tenure 1991 Owner occupied Privately rented Local authority Non-private households 1.00 1.34 1.59 ** 4.67 ** (0.83-2.17) (1.14-2.23) (2.06-10.61) 1.00 1.34 1.50 ** 4.37 ** (0.83-2.18) (1.04-2.17) (1.89-10.08) Total number of deaths 202 202 Parental Social Class 1971* Non-manual Manual Unclassified 1.00 1.37** 1.83** (1.26-1.49) (1.59-2.10) 1.00 1.10 ** 1.29 ** (1.01-1.20) (1.11-1.49) Own Social Class 1991* Non-manual Manual Unclassified 1.00 1.62** 6.82** (1.48-1.78) (6.15-7.56) 1.00 1.57 ** 6.56 ** (1.43-1.73) (5.90-7.29) Parental car access 1971 Yes No 1.00 1.44** (1.33-1.55) 1.00 1.10 ** (1.01-1.20) Own car access 1981 Yes No Non-private households 1.00 1.72** 2.25** (1.59-1.89) (1.88-2.69) 1.00 1.23 ** 1.70 ** (1.12-1.35) (1.41-2.05) Own car access 1991 Yes No Non-private households 1.00 2.79** 11.85 ** (2.57-3.04) (9.58-14.66) 1.00 2.52 ** 10.51 ** (2.30 - 2.76) (8.46-13.06) 1.00 1.25** 1.42** (1.10-1.41) (1.31-1.54) 1.00 1.04 0.97 (0.91-1.19) (0.88-1.08) 1.00 1.06 1.77** 2.37** (0.93-1.21) (1.63-1.93) (1.97-2.83) 1.00 0.89 1.25 ** 1.69 ** (0.77-1.02) (1.11-1.39) (1.40-2.05) 1.00 1.50** 2.95** 12.60 ** (1.31-1.73) (2.71-3.21) (10.18-15.61) 1.00 1.49 ** 2.70 ** 11.42 ** (1.30-1.72) (2.46-2.98) (9.18-14.21) Parental housing tenure 1971 Owner occupied Privately rented Local authority Own housing tenure 1981 Owner occupied Privately rented Local authority Non-private households Own housing tenure 1991 Owner occupied Privately rented Local authority Non-private households * Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. † Adjusted for own and parental socio-economic circumstances. ** p<0.05 * Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. † Adjusted for own and parental socio-economic circumstances. ** p<0.05 With occupational social class the mortality of those who were unclassified remained significantly associated with parental and own class after adjustment but the effect was greater with own class in 1991. A breakdown of the causes of death revealed that of the 418 deaths, 38 per cent (157) were due to accidents and injuries, 19 per cent (81) to all malignant neoplasms, 12 per cent (52) to circulatory diseases, and 6 per cent (23) to respiratory disease. Deaths from accidents and injuries may explain why current socio-economic position was the most important influence. Limiting long-term illness at the 1991 Census showed similar patterns (Table 3). Both childhood and later circumstances were important predictors of illness before and after adjustment. As with mortality, morbidity appeared more strongly associated with current than with childhood or earlier socio-economic position. Office for National Statistics 32 Cumulative socio-economic position and health Table 4 and Figures 2a and 2b show mortality and limiting long-term illness by cumulative measures of socio-economic position. Mortality increased with the extent to which people were in disadvantaged circumstances at different times in their life. Both morbidity and premature mortality among those who remained without access to a car at the three Censuses was more than three times higher than that of those who remained with access. Similarly, mortality of those who remained in rented accommodation at the three Censuses was 71 per cent higher than that of those who remained in owner occupied housing. Morbidity was more than two and a half times higher. Local authority and privately rented housing were aggregated for reasons related to both conceptual reasoning and the small number of events in the privately rented group. Most of the deaths in the aggregated rented grouping were attributable to those who remained in local authority housing, but other work (not shown) has shown that mortality is also generally high among those who remain in privately rented housing. Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Figure 2a Autumn 1999 Relative risks of premature mortality using that of those in the most advantaged socio-economic circumstances at all three censuses as the baseline Relative risk (log scale) Social Class * Non-manual 2 censuses = 1.00 4.00 Car access Yes 3 censuses = 1.00 Housing tenure Owner occupied 3 censuses = 1.00 2.00 1.00 Manual 1971 Manual 1971 Unclassified or 1991 and 1991 1971 or 1991 * Yes 2 censuses Yes 1 census No 3 censuses Owner occupied 2 censuses Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. Figure 2b Relative risk (log scale) Owner occupied 1 census Rented 3 censuses Relative risks of limiting long-term illness using that of those in the most advantaged socio-economic circumstances at all three censuses as the baseline Social Class * Non-manual 2 censuses = 1.00 Car access Yes 3 censuses = 1.00 Housing tenure Owner occupied 3 censuses = 1.00 5.00 2.00 1.00 Manual 1971 Manual 1971 Unclassified or 1991 and 1991 1971 or 1991 * Table 4 Yes 2 censuses Yes 1 census No 3 censuses Owner occupied 2 censuses Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. Relative risks of mortality, 1991–95, and limiting long-term illness in 1991, by cumulative indicator of socio-economic position Mortality Limiting longterm illness Social Class* Non-manual 1971 and 1991 Censuses Manual 1971/ 91 Censuses Manual 1971 and 1991 Censuses Unclassified either 1971/91 1.00 1.17 (0.83-1.64) 1.21 (0.86-1.72) 2.46** (1.78-3.40) 1.00 1.41** (1.25-1.60) 1.80** (1.59-2.04) 4.97** (4.41-5.59) Car Access Access 3 censuses Access 2 censuses, none 1 No access 2 censuses, access 1 No access 3 censuses 1.00 1.33 (0.92-1.90) 1.45 (0.95-2.21) 3.56** (2.38-5.33) 1.00 1.38** (1.25-1.53) 1.82** (1.63-2.04) 3.30** (2.92-3.72) Housing Tenure Owner occupied 3 censuses Owner occupied 2 censuses, rented 1 Rented 2 censuses, owner occupied 1 Rented 3 censuses 1.00 1.33 (0.90-1.96) 1.22 (0.82-1.80) 1.71** (1.13-2.58) 1.00 1.15** (1.02-1.29) 1.35** (1.21-1.51) 2.71** (2.43-3.02) * Own social class in 1981 was not used because a large proportion was not classified to a class. ** p<0.05 Owner occupied 1 census Rented 3 censuses S UMMARY Children aged 6–15 years in 1971 were aged between 31 and 40 by the end of follow-up in 1995. Children of parents in higher socio-economic positions were more likely than others to remain in advantaged positions and experienced least morbidity and best survival. Persisting disadvantage was associated with worst health and survival. Though this study was limited to young people, these findings suggest that it is likely that the effects of accumulating disadvantage on health would increase at older ages. The association between worst health and poorest socio-economic circumstances among adults is well documented.11,12 In the past, this reflected the assumption that exposures near to death were the most important influences on the risk of disease. Other studies have emphasised the influence of early environment on risk of disease in later life.13,14 Because of a lack of relevant longitudinal data few studies have been able to examine the impact of length of exposure to disadvantaged circumstances on the risk of ill health or premature mortality. The notion of accumulation of risk is based on the premise that continued exposure to adverse environmental, behavioural or psychological conditions over the life course increases vulnerability to disease. A study of a Scottish cohort reported findings similar to those 33 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 of this study – those who remained in less favourable circumstances experienced the highest mortality risk.15 The direction of mobility was not examined in this study but from other work we know that this is not an important influence on these differentials.16 Though this study was based only on those aged under 40 by end of follow-up, the findings add to the limited data available on the effect of accumulation of socially patterned adverse exposures over the lifespan on health. 4 5 6 Key findings Children, aged 6–15 years at the 1971 Census were followed up for 25 years, by the end of which they were aged 31–40 years. ● ● ● Those from disadvantaged family backgrounds were more likely than others to be in disadvantaged socio-economic positions in later life . Both childhood and adult circumstances were important predictors of limiting long-term illness in adulthood and premature mortality. The association was strongest with current socio-economic position. Accidents and injuries accounted for most of the deaths. Persisting disadvantage over the life course was significantly associated with worse health and survival. 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 REFERENCES 1 2 3 Vagero D and Leon D. Effect of social class in childhood and adulthood on adult mortality. The Lancet 343 (1994), 1224–5. Wannamethee S G, Whincup P H, Shaper G and Walker M. Influence of father’s social class on cardiovascular disease in middle aged men. The Lancet 348 (1996), 1259–63. Wadsworth M E J and Kuh D J L. Childhood influences on adult health: a review of recent work in the British 1946 national birth Office for National Statistics 34 15 16 cohort study, the MRC National Survey of Health and Development. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology 11 (1997), 2–20. Bartley M, Power C, Blane D and Davey Smith G. Birthweight and later socio-economic disadvantage: evidence from the 1958 British Cohort Study. British Medical Journal 309 (1994), 1475–9. Kuh D and Ben-Shlomo Y (eds). A life Course Approach to Chronic Disease Epidemiology. Oxford University Press (Oxford: 1997). Davey Smith G, Hart C, Blane D, Gillis C and Hawthorne V. Lifetime socio-economic position and mortality; prospective observational study. British Medical Journal 314 (1997), 547–552. Department of Health. Our Healthier Nation: A Contract for Health. Consultation paper. TSO (London: 1998). Hattersley L and Creeser R. Longitudinal Study 1971–1991: History, organisation and quality of data. HMSO (London: 1995). Goldblatt P (ed). Longitudinal Study, Mortality and Social Organisation LS6. HMSO (London: 1990). Smith J and Harding S. Mortality of women and men using alternative social classifications. In Drever F, Whitehead M (eds), Inequalities in Health. TSO (London: 1997). Harding S, Brown J, Rosato M and Hattersley L. Socio-economic differentials in health: illustrations from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study. Health Statistics Quarterly 01 (1999), 5–15. Davey Smith G, Blane D, and Bartley M. Explanations for socioeconomic differentials in mortality: evidence from Britain and elsewhere. European Journal of Public Health 4 (1994), 131–144. Barker D J P. The foetal and infant origins of inequalities in health in Britain. Journal of Public Health Medicine 13 (1991), 64–8. Gliksman M D, Kawachi I, Hunter D, Colditz G A, Manson J E, Stamfer M J et al. Childhood socio-economic status and risk of cardiovascular disease in middle aged US women: a prospective study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 49 (1995), 10–15. Davey Smith G, Hart C, Ferrell C, Upton M, Hole D, Hawthorne V, and Watt G. Birthweight of offspring and mortality in the Renfrew and Paisley study: prospective observational study. British Medical Journal 315 (1997), 1189–93. Blane D, Harding S and Rosato M. Does social mobility affect the size of the socio-economic mortality differential?: evidence from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 162 (1999), Part 1. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Autumn 1999 Annual Update: 1997 Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning (England and Wales) Summary box This article discusses the 1997 annual reference volume on mortality from injury and poisoning which was published in July 1999. It outlines the data available in this publication and describes the main changes from previous editions. It gives examples of the information which can be found in this volume, including: ● ● ● ● accidental and violent deaths by nature of injury; coroners’ verdicts; place of accident; age-specific death rates. I NTRODUCTION The ONS annual reference volume Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 1997, Series DH4, no. 22 was published in July 1999. It contains statistical information on deaths resulting from injury and poisoning (known as ‘external causes’) in England and Wales during 1997. These deaths are coded according to the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD9) and are assigned code numbers in the range E800–E999. As a volume specialising in external causes, Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 1997 contains details about these deaths which are not available in other ONS publications. For example, it presents data on accidental deaths by place of occurrence; deaths from external causes by month of occurrence; transport deaths by place and whether the person killed was a driver, passenger, pedestrian, etc; and deaths from all causes by verdict. A few changes have been made in the 1997 edition. For the first time, all tabulations of deaths from suicide and homicide incorporate information from the verdicts of coroners’ inquests, giving better estimates of these deaths than can be derived using ICD9 codes alone. A new table has been introduced which shows deaths from every code where at least one death occurred during the year. This table includes age-standardised rates and age-specific death rates for males and females by nature of injury and external causes separately. Several tables which formerly contained a large number of null entries (resulting from the desire to show every sub-category in which at least one death occurred) have been now been reduced in size. Some general findings from Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 1997 are given below. More detailed information on deaths from homicides 1 and road traffic accidents2, including data issues and longer term trends, are given in separate articles in this edition of Health Statistics Quarterly. Articles on drug-related deaths3 and suicides 4,5 were published last year in Population Trends. MAIN CAUSES OF DEATH FROM INJURY AND POISONING There were 16,311 deaths from external causes in England and Wales in 1997, accounting for 3 per cent of all deaths in that year (Table 1). Of these, 10,342 (or nearly two-thirds) were among males and 5,969 among females. The age-specific death rates for external causes are higher for males at all ages although the difference is greatest among young adults; death rates for men aged 15–44 years are approximately four times higher than the rates for women (Table 2). The crude death rate for external causes in 1997 was 312 per 1,000,000 population, the same as in 1994, reversing the slight downward trend observed throughout the 1990s. The numbers of males and females who died from accidents were 6,183 and 4,498, respectively. Just over half the accidental deaths among females (2,392 deaths) were due to accidental falls (E880–E888) compared with a quarter of the male accidental deaths (1,493 deaths). Deaths from motor vehicle traffic accidents (E810–E819) accounted for over a third of all accidental deaths among males and just under onefifth among females. 3,744 males and 1,274 females died in 1997 from suicide (E950–E959 and E980–E989, where the verdict is open) accounting for 36 and 21 per cent of all deaths from external causes for males and females, respectively. There were 413 male and 197 female homicides (E960– E969 plus E988.8, where the verdict is pending) in 1997. (Figures for suicides and homicides include both definite and probable cases.) 35 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1 Autumn 1999 Deaths from injury and poisoning: external cause and year of registration or occurrence, 1966–1997 England and Wales * Accidents and adverse effects External causes of injury and poisoning (E800–E999) External causes of injury and poisoning* (E800–E999) Crude rate per million population Numbers Total accidents (E800–E949) Road transport accidents (E810–E829) Accidental poisoning (E850–E869) Accidental falls (E880–E888) Accidents caused by fire and flames (E890–E899) Suicide and self–inflicted injury (E950–E959)** Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons (E960–E969)*** Injury undetermined whether accidentally or purposely inflicted (E980–E989) 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 510 460 423 399 375 24,412 22,624 20,945 19,788 18,754 17,998 17,125 15,069 13,284 12,378 7,546 7,072 6,115 4,150 4,953 1,768 911 780 753 625 5,355 5,538 4,918 4,313 3,732 805 694 701 625 656 4,994 3,945 3,816 4,419 4,126 330 404 540 175 340 1,089 1,139 1,508 1,907 1,900 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 335 323 318 312 310 17,122 16,547 16,354 16,091 16,049 10,824 10,366 10,418 10,245 10,176 4,364 3,951 3,481 3,327 3,175 668 791 890 948 936 3,381 3,268 3,630 3,402 3,602 498 525 446 395 437 3,990 3,902 3,719 3,619 3,570 279 271 533 373 353 2,023 2,005 1,679 1,851 1,948 1996 1997 309 312 16,061 16,311 10,502 10,681 3,242 3,232 1,089 1,058 3,637 3,885 442 436 3,445 3,424 313 290 1,798 1,914 * Data for 1966–92 are based on year of registration, 1993–97 are based on year of occurrence. Figures from 1986 onwards exclude deaths at age under 28 days. ** From 1993 a better estimate of total suicide deaths may be obtained by combining numbers assigned to codes E950–E959 with those for codes E980–E989, with inquest verdict ‘open’. *** From 1993 a better estimate of total homicide deaths may be obtained by combining numbers assigned to codes E960–E969 and E980–E989, with inquest verdict ‘pending’. VERDICTS Thirty-one per cent of the total deaths from all causes in 1997 were referred to a coroner and 4 per cent (21,024 deaths) were subject to an inquest, either with or without a post-mortem. Figure 1 shows the distribution of verdicts for deaths from all causes which were subject to an inquest. Most of these deaths, with the exception of those given a Figure 1 Deaths that occurred in 1997 by coroner‘s inquest verdict, England and Wales Number of deaths 7,000 Males 6,000 Females 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Accident Suicide Homicide Pending Verdict* Open Natural causes * Excluding lawful killing/war service and deaths where no verdict was stated. Office for National Statistics 36 verdict of natural causes, were assigned an external cause as the underlying cause of death. Ten per cent of deaths from external causes were given an open verdict. Most of these were coded to E980–E989. The majority of these deaths among adults are likely to be suicides, although there is not enough evidence to prove that the deceased deliberately intended to kill themselves. Six per cent of motor vehicle traffic accident deaths were given a verdict of manslaughter or causing death by a driving offence. These cases are shown under the heading of ‘homicide’ in the DH4 volume. NATURE OF INJURY All deaths assigned an external cause as the underlying cause of death are also given a nature of main injury code in the range ICD9 800–999. The DH4 volume contains tables in which deaths from external causes are cross-tabulated by the nature of injury, allowing one to see, for any particular range of E codes, which are the main injuries and vice versa. For example, these tables reveal marked differences in the external causes associated with poisoning by drugs, medicaments and biological substances (960–979) on the one hand, and with toxic effects of substances which are chiefly nonmedicinal (980–989) on the other. Fifty-seven per cent of male and 74 per cent of female deaths where the nature of injury was poisoning by drugs were suicides (E950–E959, E980–E989 excluding E988.8). Most of the remainder of these deaths, for both sexes, were accidental poisonings (E850–E869). However, for deaths from nonmedicinal substances, only a third were suicides among women compared with two-thirds among men, as exhaust fumes are a more common method of suicide among men than women. A significant proportion of deaths from the toxic effects of nonmedicinal substances (15 per cent for males and 34 per cent for females) were due to accidents caused by fire or flame (E890–E899). These deaths would be mostly due to the inhalation of smoke, which is a more common cause of injury than burns (940–949) in deaths from fires. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 2 Autumn 1999 Age-standardised and age–specific death rates for selected ranges of external causes, 1997 England and Wales ICD 9 Code Cause of death Sex European agestandardised rate Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over Death rates per million population E800–E999 External causes of injury and poisoning M F 385 159 100 80 60 34 57 28 475 114 483 114 414 140 379 146 365 164 428 267 1,039 707 2,611 2,309 E810–E819 Motor vehicle traffic accidents M F 86 28 6 6 16 11 28 18 182 48 121 26 74 20 60 20 60 24 83 47 155 79 268 89 E850–E858 Acccidental M poisoning by drugs, F medicaments and biological substances 23 8 - 1 - - 47 9 54 12 36 15 15 10 7 6 4 7 12 6 12 4 E880–E888 Accidental falls M F 52 42 3 - 2 - 3 2 10 2 11 3 21 8 34 17 59 29 104 84 424 401 1,474 1,782 E890–E899 Accidents caused by fire and flame M F 10 5 6 10 9 8 2 2 10 3 5 2 8 4 7 3 10 7 20 10 41 19 97 52 E950–E959, Suicide E980–E989 with verdict ‘open’ M F 141 45 3 6 1 2 3 2 155 35 220 55 199 70 191 68 149 58 121 61 184 61 381 62 E960–E969, Homicide E980–E989 with verdict ‘pending’ M F 16 7 46 19 7 5 4 3 26 8 24 9 21 10 16 6 11 5 8 5 9 9 8 14 PLACE OF ACCIDENT Of the 6,934 non-transport accidents (E850–E869, E880–E928) that occurred in 1997, 42 per cent (2,898) resulted from accidents that took place in the home (1,673 males and 1,225 females), and 8 per cent in communal establishments (216 males and 305 females). The proportions of home accidents due to falls were 37 per cent for males (621 deaths) and 56 per cent for females (690 deaths). There were 112 deaths in 1997 in industrial premises or places, almost all of which were among men, and 66 at places of recreation and sport. In both cases, around one-third of these deaths were due to accidental falls. REFERENCES 1 2 3 4 5 Rooney C and Devis T. Recent trends in deaths from homicide in England and Wales. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 (1999), 5–13. Christophersen O, Dix D and Rooney C. Road traffic deaths: trends and comparison with DETR figures. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 (1999), 14–23. Christophersen O, Rooney C and Kelly S. Drug-related mortality: methods and trends. Population Trends 93 (1998), 29–37. Kelly S and Bunting J. Trends in suicide in England and Wales, 1982–1996. Population Trends 92 (1998), 29–41. Kelly S and Bunting J. Geographic variations in suicide mortality, 1982–1996. Population Trends 93 (1998), 7–18. Conclusions box ● ● ● ● ● ● There were 16,311 deaths from injur y and poisoning in 1997, accounting for 3 per cent of all deaths. Approximately two-thirds of all deaths from injury and poisoning were to males. Mor tality rates from injury and poisoning were higher for men than women at all ages. Fifty per cent of all accidental deaths to females were from falls. Just over one-third of all accidental deaths to males were from motor vehicle traffic incidents. Of the number of deaths to females from drug poisoning, almost three-thirds occurred in suicide . 37 Office for National Statistics Tables Page Notes to tables 39 Table 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.2 Population International ................................................................................. Selected countries National ........................................................................................ Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Subnational ................................................................................... Health Regional Office areas of England Subnational ................................................................................... Government Office Regions of England Age and sex .................................................................................. Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age, sex and legal marital status .................................................. England and Wales Summary ...................................................................................... Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Key demographic and health indicators ....................................... Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Live births 4.1 4.2 Conceptions and abortions 5.1 Expectation of life Age of mother ............................................................................... England and Wales Outside marriage: age of mother and type of registration ............ England and Wales Age of women at conception ........................................................ England and Wales (residents) Abortions: age and gestation. ....................................................... England and Wales (In years) at birth and selected age ............................................... Constituent countries of the United Kingdom 6.3 43 44 45 48 50 52 53 54 55 56 57 Deaths Age and sex .................................................................................. England and Wales Subnational ................................................................................... Health Regional Office areas of England Selected causes and sex ................................................................ England and Wales Symbols .. not available not applicable nil or less than half the final digit shown blank not yet available Office for National Statistics 42 Vital statistics 3.1 3.2 6.1 6.2 40 38 58 59 60 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Notes to tables Changes to tables With the introduction of Health Statistics Quarterly, the previous Population Trends tables have been reviewed and some small changes introduced, in particular, a new table, Table 2.2, showing key demographic and health indicators for the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. For most tables, years start at 1971 and then continue at five-year intervals until 1991. Individual years are shown thereafter. If a year is not present the data are not available. Population The estimated and projected populations of an area include all those usually resident in the area, whatever their nationality. Members of HM forces stationed outside the United Kingdom are excluded. Students are taken to be resident at their term-time addresses. Figures for the United Kingdom do not include the population of the Channel Islands or the Isle of Man. The population estimated for mid-1991 onwards are final figures based on the 1991 Census of Population with allowance for subsequent births, deaths and migration. Live births For England and Wales, figures relate to numbers occurring in a period; for Scotland and Northern Ireland, figures relate to those registered in a period. See also Note on page 63 of Population Trends 67. Perinatal mortality In October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was changed, from baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. Expectation of life The life tables on which these expectations are based use current death rates to describe mortality levels for each year. Each individual year shown is based on a threeyear period, so that for instance 1986 represents 1985–87. More details may be found in Population Trends 60, page 23. Deaths Figures for England and Wales represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. Provisional figures are registrations. Figures for both Scotland and Northern Ireland represent the number of deaths registered in each year. Age-standardised mortality Directly age-standardised rates make allowances for changes in the age structure of the population. The age-standardised rate for a particular condition is that which would have occurred if the observed agespecific rates for the condition had applied in a given standard population. Tables 2.2 and 6.3 use the European Standard Population. This is a hypothetical population standard which is the same for both males and females allowing standardised rates to be compared for each sex, and between males and females. Abortions Figures relate to numbers occurring in a period. Marriages and divorces Marriages are tabulated according to date of solemnisation. Divorces are tabulated according to date of decree absolute, and the term ‘divorces’ includes decrees of nullity. Government Office Regions Figures refer to Government Office Regions (GORs) of England which were adopted as the primary classification for the presentation of regional statistics from April 1997. Health Regional Office areas Figures refer to new health regions of England which are as constituted on 1 April 1996. Sources Figures for Scotland and Northern Ireland shown in these tables (or included in totals for the United Kingdom or Great Britain) have been provided by their respective General Register Offices, except for the projections in Table1.2 which are provided by the Government Actuary. Rounding All figures are rounded independently; constituent parts may not add to totals. Generally numbers and rates per 1,000 population are rounded to one decimal place (e.g. 123.4); where appropriate, for small figures (below 10.0), two decimal places are given (e.g. 7.62). Figures which are provisional or estimated are given in less detail (e.g. 123 or 7.6 respectively) if their reliability does not justify giving the standard amount of detail. Where, for some other reason, figures need to be treated with particular caution, an explanation is given as a footnote. Latest figures Figures for the latest quarters and years may be provisional (see note above on rounding) and will be updated in future issues when later information becomes available. Where figures are not yet available, cells are left blank. Population estimates and rates based on them may be revised in the light of results from future censuses of populations. 39 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1.1 Year Autumn 1999 Population and vital rates: international United Kingdom (1) Austria (2) Belgium (2) Denmark (2) Finland (2) Population (thousands) 1971 55,928 1976 56,216 1981 56,352 1986 56,852 1991 57,808 1992 58,006 7,501 7,566 7,569 7,588 7,818 7,915 9,673 9,811 9,859 9,862 10,005 10,045 4,963 5,073 5,122 5,121 5,154 5,170 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 7,989 8,028 8,047 8,059 8,072 10,085 10,116 10,137 10,157 10,170 Selected countries France Germany Germany (2) (Fed. Rep (2))* (2)† Greece (2) Irish Republic (2) Italy (2) Luxembourg (2) Netherlands (2) Portugal (2) 4,612 4,726 4,800 4,918 5,014 5,042 51,251 52,909 54,182 55,547 57,055 57,373 61,302 61,531 61,682 61,066 64,074 64,865 78,352 78,321 78,419 77,694 80,014 80,624 8,831 9,167 9,729 9,967 10,247 10,322 2,978 3,228 3,443 3,541 3,526 3,557 54,074 55,718 56,510 56,596 56,751 56,859 342 361 365 368 387 393 13,195 13,774 14,247 14,572 15,070 15,184 8,644 9,355 9,851 10,011 9,871 9,867 5,189 5,205 5,228 5,262 5,284 5,066 5,089 5,108 5,125 5,140 57,654 57,899 58,137 ‡ 58,374 ‡ 58,607 ‡ 65,534 65,858 66,715 81,156 81,438 81,678 82,071 10,380 10,426 10,454 10,475 10,485 ‡ 3,574 3,587 3,605 3,626 3,661 57,049 57,204 57,301 57,397 57,523 398 404 410 416 418 15,290 15,383 15,459 15,531 15,604 Population changes (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–76 1.0 1.7 2.9 1976–81 0.5 0.1 1.0 1981–86 1.8 0.5 0.1 1986–91 1.7 6.1 2.9 4.4 1.9 0.0 1.3 4.9 3.1 4.9 3.9 6.5 4.8 5.0 5.4 0.7 0.5 –2.0 9.9 –0.1 0.3 –1.8 6.0 7.6 12.3 4.9 5.6 16.8 13.3 5.7 –0.8 6.1 2.8 0.3 0.5 10.7 2.5 1.8 10.2 8.8 6.9 4.6 6.8 16.5 10.6 3.2 –2.8 1991–92 1992–93 1993–94 1994–95 1995–96 1996–97 4.1 3.9 3.1 2.1 1.9 1.3 3.2 3.7 3.0 4.4 6.4 4.3 5.6 4.8 4.4 3.7 3.3 3.0 5.6 4.9 4.2 4.1 ‡ 4.1 ‡ 4.0 ‡ 12.3 10.3 4.9 13.0 7.6 6.6 3.5 2.9 4.8 7.3 5.6 4.5 2.7 2.0 1.0 8.8 4.8 3.9 5.0 5.8 9.6 1.9 3.4 2.7 1.7 1.7 2.2 13.9 14.3 14.3 14.6 14.4 5.8 7.6 7.0 6.1 4.9 4.6 4.7 –0.4 1.4 2.2 1.4 1.1 0.7 13.4 12.5 12.0 12.1 12.6 12.4 14.6 12.0 10.2 11.5 12.5 13.1 13.1 13.6 13.4 12.7 13.0 13.3 16.0 14.1 14.2 13.8 13.3 13.0 10.8 9.7 9.8 10.9 11.3 11.1 10.5 10.5 10.7 15.8 15.6 13.3 10.6 10.1 10.1 22.2 21.3 19.2 15.8 15.0 14.4 16.0 12.6 10.6 9.8 9.9 9.7 11.6 11.2 11.6 12.2 12.9 13.1 14.9 12.6 12.2 12.8 13.2 13.0 20.3 17.9 14.5 11.9 11.8 11.6 12.0 ‡ 11.5 ‡ 11.4 ‡ 11.4 ‡ 11.4 ‡ 13.0 13.4 13.4 12.9 ‡ 12.8 ‡ 12.8 12.8 12.3 11.8 11.5 ‡ 12.3 12.3 12.5 ‡ 12.6 ‡ 12.4 ‡ 11.0 10.5 10.2 10.6 ‡ 9.8 10.0 9.7 9.6 ‡ 9.7 ‡ 13.8 13.4 13.5 13.9 14.3 9.6 9.3 9.2 ‡ 9.2 ‡ 9.2 ‡ 13.4 13.5 13.2 13.7 13.1 12.8 12.7 12.3 12.2 12.2 ‡ 11.5 11.0 10.8 11.1 11.4 Death rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 11.8 12.6 1976–80 11.9 12.3 1981–85 11.7 12.0 1986–90 11.4 11.1 1991 11.3 10.7 1992 11.0 10.5 12.1 11.6 11.4 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.1 10.5 11.1 11.5 11.6 11.8 10.7 10.2 10.1 9.5 9.2 9.1 11.9 11.7 11.6 11.3 11.1 10.7 12.3 12.2 12.0 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.3 9.3 9.5 11.0 10.2 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.7 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.7 9.6 12.2 11.5 11.2 10.5 9.7 10.2 8.3 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.6 11.0 10.1 9.6 9.6 10.5 10.2 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 10.7 ‡ 10.4 ‡ 10.5 ‡ 10.4 ‡ 10.2 ‡ 12.1 11.7 12.1 11.6 ‡ 11.3 ‡ 10.9 10.7 10.6 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.8 10.8 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 8.7 8.6 ‡ 9.0 8.8 ‡ 8.6 ‡ 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.0 8.7 8.8 8.9 ‡ 8.7 ‡ 10.7 10.0 10.4 10.8 10.5 58,191 58,395 58,606 58,801 59,009 3.4 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.5 12.3 9.3 4.9 2.4 1.6 1.6 Live birth rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 14.1 13.3 1976–80 12.5 11.5 1981–85 12.9 12.0 1986–90 13.6 11.6 1991 13.7 12.1 1992 13.5 12.1 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 * † ‡ ≠ 13.1 12.9 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.1 ‡ 11.3 10.7 10.9 10.9 10.8 11.9 11.5 11.0 11.0 10.4 10.3 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.8 Excluding former GDR throughout. Including former GDR throughout. Provisional. Estimates prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations. + Rates are for 1990–95. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.1 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.2 9.0 9.1 ‡ 9.2 ‡ 9.1 ‡ 10.4 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.4 9.7 ‡ 11.4 11.0 ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ 9.8 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.4 9,881 9,902 9,917 9,927 9,934 ‡ Population estimated at 30 June each year. Average of estimated populations at start and end of year as given in Council of Europe report Recent demographic developments in Europe 1997. EU as constituted 1 January 1986 and including countries subsequently admitted. Population estimated at 1 June each year. Population estimated at 31 December each year. Population estimated at 1 July except for 1991 (1 March). Population estimated at 1 October. (Rates for Japan are based on population of Japanese nationality only.) Note: Figures may not add exactly due to rounding. Office for National Statistics 40 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Population and vital rates: international Table 1.1 continued Spain (2) Autumn 1999 Sweden (2) European Union (3) 34,190 35,937 37,742 38,537 38,920 39,008 8,098 8,222 8,321 8,370 8,617 8,668 342,631 350,384 356,511 359,543 366,256 368,033 39,086 39,150 39,210 39,270 39,323 8,719 8,781 8,827 8,841 8,847 369,706 371,005 372,122 373,331 10.2 10.0 4.2 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.2 5.9 4.5 3.5 1.7 3.7 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 5.9 5.8 7.1 5.3 1.6 0.7 4.9 4.5 3.5 3.0 19.2 17.1 12.8 10.8 10.2 10.2 13.5 11.6 11.3 13.2 14.3 14.2 14.7 13.1 12.2 13.3 11.7 11.5 9.9 9.5 9.3 ‡ 9.1 ‡ 9.2 ‡ 13.5 12.8 11.7 10.8 10.2 11.2 ‡ 10.9 ‡ 10.7 ‡ 8.5 8.0 7.7 8.2 8.6 8.5 10.5 10.9 11.0 11.1 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.4 11.4 10.2 10.0 8.7 8.6 8.8 ‡ 8.9 ‡ 8.9 ‡ 11.1 10.5 10.6 10.6 10.5 10.2 ‡ 9.9 ‡ 10.0 ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ ‡ Selected countries Russian Federation (2) Australia (1) Canada (4) New Zealand (5) 139,422 144,475 148,624 148,689 13,067 14,033 14,923 16,018 17,284 17,495 22,026 23,517 24,900 26,204 28,120 28,542 2,899 3,163 3,195 3,317 3,450 3,516 852,290 943,033 1,011,219 1,086,733 1,170,052 1,183,617 148,520 148,336 148,141 147,739 17,667 17,855 18,072 18,311 18,530 28,947 29,256 29,615 29,964 ‡ 3,556 3,604 3,658 3,716 1,190,360 1,208,841 1,221,462 1,232,083 5.6 8.5 7.2 5.7 14.8 12.7 14.7 15.8 13.5 11.8 10.5 14.6 18.2 2.0 7.6 8.0 19.9 15.2 15.5 15.3 0.4 –1.1 –1.2 –1.3 –2.7 12.2 9.9 10.6 12.2 13.2 12.0 15.0 14.2 10.7 12.3 11.8 ‡ 19.0 11.5 13.5 15.0 15.8 11.6 5.7 15.5 10.4 8.7 19.0 18.5 39.2 18.7 18.8 15.7 15.6 15.1 14.9 15.1 15.9 15.5 15.1 14.8 14.3 14.0 20.4 16.8 15.8 17.1 17.4 17.2 27.2 18.6 19.2 35.6 33.4 .. 14.7 14.5 14.2 13.9 13.4 13.2 12.8 17.1 16.4 16.3 18.3+ 28.7 28.7 28.3 8.2 7.6 7.3 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.0 6.9 8.4 8.2 8.1 8.2 7.8 7.9 7.3 6.6 6.7 15.5 13.8 .. 6.8 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.2+ 12.1 10.7 9.3 9.5 9.2 8.8 8.6 11.4 12.2 14.3 15.5 14.9 14.1 13.7 China (5) India (6) Japan (7) ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ 551,311 617,248 676,218 767,199 851,661 867,818 105,145 113,094 117,902 121,672 123,102 123,476 ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ 833,910 918,570 ≠ 935,744 ≠ 936,000 ≠ 123,788 124,069 124,299 124,709 USA (1) Year Population (thousands) 207,661 1971 218,035 1976 230,138 1981 240,680 1986 252,177 1991 255,078 1992 257,783 260,341 262,755 265,284 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Population changes (per 1,000 per annum) 23.9 15.1 10.0 1971–76 18.8 8.5 10.9 1976–81 27.3 6.4 9.3 1981–86 22.0 2.4 9.6 1986–91 29.5 29.0 9.8 10.1 9.3 9.3 9.0 3.0 2.5 2.3 1.9 3.3 11.5 10.6 9.9 9.3 9.6 1991–92 1992–93 1993–94 1994–95 1995–96 1996–97 Live birth rate (per 1,000 per annum) 18.6 15.3 1971–75 14.9 15.2 1976–80 12.6 15.7 1981–85 10.6 16.0 1986–90 9.9 16.3 1991 9.7 16.0 1992 9.5 9.9 9.5 9.6 ‡ 15.5 15.2 14.8 14.8 ‡ Death rate (per 1,000 per annum) 6.4 9.1 1971–75 6.1 8.7 1976–80 6.1 8.6 1981–85 6.4 8.7 1986–90 6.7 8.6 1991 6.9 8.5 1992 7.0 7.0 7.4 7.1 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 ‡ See notes opposite. 41 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Office f or National Statistics 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1.2 Autumn 1999 Population: national Numbers (thousands) and percentage age distribution Mid-year Constituent countries of the United Kingdom United Kingdom Great Britain England and Wales England Wales Scotland Northern Ireland Estimates 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 55,928 56,216 56,352 56,852 57,808 58,006 54,388 54,693 54,815 55,285 56,207 56,388 49,152 49,459 49,634 50,162 51,100 51,277 46,412 46,660 46,821 47,342 48,208 48,378 2,740 2,799 2,813 2,820 2,891 2,899 5,236 5,233 5,180 5,123 5,107 5,111 1,540 1,524 1,538 1,567 1,601 1,618 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 58,191 58,395 58,606 58,801 59,009 56,559 56,753 56,957 57,138 57,334 51,439 51,621 51,820 52,010 52,211 48,533 48,707 48,903 49,089 49,284 2,906 2,913 2,917 2,921 2,927 5,120 5,132 5,137 5,128 5,123 1,632 1,642 1,649 1,663 1,675 6.3 14.2 40.9 20.4 10.9 7.2 6.3 14.1 40.9 20.5 10.9 7.3 6.3 14.2 40.8 20.5 10.9 7.3 6.3 14.1 41.0 20.5 10.8 7.3 6.0 14.5 38.4 21.2 12.0 7.9 6.0 13.9 41.8 20.4 11.3 6.6 7.4 17.2 41.9 18.5 9.6 5.5 59,618 60,287 60,929 61,605 62,244 57,924 58,576 59,209 59,880 60,519 52,818 53,492 54,151 54,849 55,526 49,871 50,526 51,161 51,832 52,484 2,947 2,966 2,989 3,017 3,043 5,106 5,084 5,059 5,031 4,993 1,694 1,711 1,720 1,725 1,724 5.6 12.2 35.7 27.3 10.6 8.6 5.6 12.1 35.7 27.3 10.6 8.6 5.6 12.2 35.8 27.2 10.6 8.7 5.6 12.2 35.8 27.3 10.5 8.6 5.6 12.4 35.2 26.2 11.3 9.4 5.3 11.8 34.6 28.7 11.1 8.5 5.8 13.1 36.7 27.0 9.6 7.7 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64M/59F 65M/60F–74 75 and over Projections≠ 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64† 65–74† 75 and over ≠ These projections are based on the mid-1996 population estimates. † Between 2010 and 2020, state retirement age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women, to 65 years for both sexes. Note: Figures may not add exactly due to rounding. Office for National Statistics 42 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1.3 Population: subnational Numbers (thousands) and percentage age distribution Mid-year Autumn 1999 Health Regional Office areas of England* Northern and Yorkshire + Trent + Anglia and Oxford North Thames South Thames South and West West Midlands North West Estimates 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 6,482 6,512 6,238 6,207 6,285 6.309 4,483 4,557 4,921 4,945 5,035 5,060 4,272 4,531 4,745 4,979 5,174 5,206 6,914 6,695 6,598 6,652 6,744 6,766 6,642 6,567 6,489 6,567 6,679 6,696 5,569 5,789 5,988 6,224 6,426 6,459 5,146 5,178 5,187 5,197 5,265 5,278 6,903 6,832 6,657 6,570 6,600 6,603 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 6,323 6,332 6,337 6,338 6,336 5,081 5,096 5,109 5,121 5,128 5,226 5,261 5,315 5,361 5,410 6,795 6,830 6,872 6,934 6,988 6,715 6,749 6,782 6,819 6,865 6,486 6,529 6,569 6,594 6,639 5,290 5,295 5,306 5,317 5,321 6,617 6,616 6,614 6,605 6,598 6.1 14.4 40.4 20.6 11.3 7.1 6.1 14.1 40.3 20.9 11.3 7.3 6.4 14.3 41.5 20.8 10.2 6.8 6.9 13.8 44.1 19.2 9.6 6.5 6.4 13.5 41.6 20.1 10.6 7.9 5.8 13.7 39.1 21.1 11.8 8.6 6.4 14.6 40.0 20.9 11.1 7.0 6.3 14.9 40.2 20.6 11.0 7.1 6,365 6,382 6,405 6,435 6,464 5,184 5,232 5,277 5,324 5,371 5,568 5,747 5,906 6,057 6,198 7,088 7,220 7,352 7,487 7,614 6,955 7,077 7,198 7,326 7,455 6,786 6,958 7,122 7,291 7,456 5,343 5,358 5,372 5,391 5,411 6,582 6,553 6,530 6,521 6,515 4.5 12.8 37.6 26.6 12.8 8.6 4.4 12.7 37.4 23.7 12.9 8.9 4.6 13.1 37.8 23.6 12.5 8.5 5.1 13.4 40.8 22.8 10.8 7.1 4.7 12.9 38.3 23.5 12.0 8.6 4.2 12.2 35.8 23.7 13.9 10.3 4.6 13.3 37.1 23.5 12.8 8.7 4.6 13.2 37.8 23.5 12.5 8.4 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64M/59F 65M/60F–74 75 and over Projections≠ 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64† 65–74† 75 and over * Areas as constituted in 1996. Population figures for years before 1981 may relate to different areas where boundaries have changed. ≠ These projections are based on the mid-1996 population estimates. + From 1 April 1996 boundary changes due to local government reorganisation have led to changes in the constitution of the Northern and Yorkshire and Trent Regional Office areas. South Humber Health Authority with 311.3 thousand people – mid-1996 is now included in the Trent Regional Office area rather than in the Northern and Yorkshire area. † Between 2010 and 2020, state retirement age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women, to 65 years for both sexes. Note: Figures may not add exactly because of rounding. 43 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1.4 Autumn 1999 Population: subnational Numbers (thousands) and percentage age distribution Mid-year Government Office Regions of England North East North West and Merseyside North West Merseyside Yorkshire and the Humber East Midlands West Midlands East London South East South West Estimates 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 2,679 2,671 2,636 2,601 2,603 2,609 7,108 7,043 6,940 6,852 6,885 6,890 5,446 5,457 5,418 5,381 5,436 5,444 1,662 1,586 1,522 1,471 1,450 1.446 4,902 4,924 4,918 4,906 4,983 5,002 3,652 3,774 3,853 3,919 4,035 4,062 5,146 5,178 5,187 5,197 5,265 5,278 4,454 4,672 4,854 5,012 5,150 5,175 7,529 7,089 6,806 6,803 6,890 6,905 6,830 7,029 7,245 7,492 7,679 7,712 4,112 4,280 4,381 4,560 4,718 4,746 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,612 2,610 2,605 2,600 2,594 6,903 6,902 6,900 6,891 6,885 5,462 5,468 5,473 5,471 5,471 1,441 1,434 1,427 1,420 1,413 5,014 5,025 5,029 5,036 5,037 4,083 4,102 4,124 4,141 4,156 5,290 5,295 5,306 5,317 5,321 5,193 5,223 5,257 5,293 5,334 6,933 6,968 7,007 7,074 7,122 7,737 7,784 7,847 7,895 7,959 4,768 4,798 4,827 4,842 4,876 6.0 14.5 40.3 20.6 11.7 6.9 6.2 14.8 40.1 20.6 11.0 7.1 6.3 14.8 40.1 20.8 10.9 7.1 6.1 15.0 40.3 19.9 11.5 7.2 6.3 14.4 40.6 20.4 11.0 7.3 6.1 14.2 40.3 21.1 11.1 7.2 6.4 14.6 40.0 20.9 11.1 7.0 6.3 13.9 40.3 21.1 11.0 7.4 7.1 13.6 46.1 18.2 8.9 6.2 6.2 13.9 40.4 21.0 10.8 7.8 5.8 13.5 38.5 21.1 12.1 9.0 2,579 2,555 2,536 2,521 2,509 6,871 6,843 6,820 6,813 6,808 5,485 5,490 5,497 5,514 5,530 1,386 1,353 1,323 1,299 1,278 5,071 5,098 5,130 5,165 5,200 4,234 4,312 4,384 4,455 4,523 5,343 5,358 5,372 5,391 5,411 5,448 5,582 5,702 5,823 5,941 7,215 7,337 7,470 7,609 7,736 8,134 8,344 8,534 8,722 8,905 4,977 5,098 5,213 5,333 5,452 4.4 12.7 37.3 23.9 13.1 8.6 4.6 13.2 37.6 23.6 12.6 8.5 4.6 13.2 37.6 23.6 12.6 8.4 4.5 13.1 37.8 23.2 12.7 8.7 4.5 12.9 38.0 23.5 12.5 8.5 4.4 12.8 37.3 23.7 12.9 8.8 4.6 13.3 37.1 23.5 12.8 8.7 4.5 13.0 36.7 23.5 13.1 9.3 5.3 13.3 43.1 22.6 9.7 6.1 4.5 12.9 37.0 23.7 12.7 9.2 4.1 12.1 35.1 23.9 14.3 10.7 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64M/59F† 65M/60F–74† 75 and over Projections≠ 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64† 65–74† 75 and over ≠ These projections are based on the mid-1996 population estimates. † Between 2010 and 2020, state retirement age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women, to 65 years for both sexes. Note: Figures may not add exactly because of rounding. Office for National Statistics 44 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1.5 Population: age and sex Numbers (thousands) Autumn 1999 Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age group Mid-year All ages United Kingdom Persons 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 55,928 56,216 56,352 56,852 57,808 58,006 58,191 58,395 58,606 58,801 59,009 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over 899 677 730 749 794 787 759 759 734 719 736 3,654 3,043 2,725 2,893 3,092 3,124 3,129 3,117 3,102 3,044 2,977 8,916 9.176 8,147 7,163 7,175 7,289 7,417 7,483 7,526 7,595 7,665 8,144 8.126 9,019 9.283 8,247 7,969 7,723 7,554 7,450 7,325 7,219 6,971 7,868 8,010 8,048 9,057 9,199 9,295 9,375 9,409 9,420 9,362 6,512 6,361 6,774 7,717 7,955 7,818 7,787 7,837 7,931 8,093 8,296 10,202 9,836 9,540 9,210 9,500 9,814 10,070 10,277 10,445 10,582 10,702 3,222 3,131 2,935 3,067 2,888 2,868 2,839 2,808 2,784 2,772 2,783 4,764 5,112 5,195 5,017 5,067 5,104 5,169 5,223 5,127 5,058 5,006 2,159 2,348 2,675 2,986 3,136 3,100 3,020 2,952 3,054 3,125 3,175 358 390 428 516 639 662 688 703 719 728 732 127 147 174 203 257 274 294 308 325 339 356 14,257 13,797 12,541 11,679 11,741 11,850 11,965 12,075 12,106 12,098 12,104 32,548 32,757 33,780 34,846 35,469 35,533 35,589 35,689 35,848 36,035 36,214 9,123 9,663 10,031 10,328 10,597 10,623 10,637 10,630 10,652 10,668 10,691 27,167 27,360 27,409 27,698 28,246 28,362 28,474 28,592 28,727 28,856 28,990 461 348 374 384 407 403 389 389 376 369 377 1,874 1,564 1,399 1,484 1,588 1,602 1,603 1,596 1,589 1,560 1,526 4,576 4,711 4,184 3,682 3,688 3,744 3,808 3,840 3,861 3,897 3,932 4,137 4,145 4,596 4,747 4,227 4,087 3,965 3,879 3,825 3,760 3,705 3,530 3,981 4,035 4,063 4,591 4,670 4,723 4,767 4,793 4,805 4,780 3,271 3,214 3,409 3,871 3,986 3,917 3,904 3,929 3,984 4,072 4,182 4,970 4,820 4,711 4,572 4,732 4,889 5,017 5,118 5,201 5,270 5,329 1,507 1,466 1,376 1,462 1,390 1,384 1,374 1,363 1,358 1,355 1,361 1,999 2,204 2,264 2,205 2,272 2,297 2,333 2,363 2,330 2,310 2,299 716 775 921 1,063 1,151 1,143 1,117 1,096 1,147 1,185 1,215 97 101 105 128 167 176 186 193 201 206 211 29 31 35 38 47 51 55 58 62 67 71 7,318 7,083 6,438 5,999 6,033 6,084 6,140 6,194 6,208 6,205 6,209 17,008 17.167 17,646 18,266 18,576 18,611 18,642 18,687 18,779 18,882 18,984 2,841 3,111 3,325 3,433 3,637 3,666 3,692 3,710 3,740 3,768 3,796 28,761 28,856 28,943 29,153 29,562 29,645 29,718 29,803 29,878 29,946 30,019 437 330 356 365 387 384 370 370 358 350 359 1,779 1,479 1,326 1,409 1,505 1,522 1,526 1,521 1,513 1,484 1,450 4,340 4,465 3,963 3,480 3,487 3,545 3,609 3,643 3,665 3,698 3,733 4,008 3,980 4,423 4,536 4,021 3,882 3,758 3,674 3,625 3,565 3,514 3,441 3,887 3,975 3,986 4,466 4,530 4,572 4,608 4,616 4,615 4,581 3,241 3,147 3,365 3,846 3,968 3,900 3,883 3,908 3,947 4,020 4,114 5,231 5,015 4,829 4,638 4,769 4,925 5,054 5,159 5,244 5,312 5,374 1,715 1,665 1,559 1,605 1,498 1,484 1,466 1,444 1,427 1,418 1,422 2,765 2,908 2,931 2,813 2,795 2,807 2,836 2,861 2,797 2,748 2,707 1,443 1,573 1,755 1,923 1,986 1,957 1,903 1,856 1,907 1,940 1,960 261 289 322 388 472 486 502 510 518 522 521 97 116 139 164 210 223 239 249 262 273 285 6,938 6,714 6,103 5,679 5,708 5,766 5,826 5,881 5,898 5,893 5,895 15,540 15,590 16,134 16,580 16,893 16,922 16,946 17,002 17,069 17,153 17,229 6,282 6,552 6,706 6,894 6,961 6,957 6,946 6,920 6,911 6,900 6,894 England and Wales Persons 1971 49,152 1976 49,459 1981 49,634 1986 50,162 1991 51,100 1992 51,277 1993 51,439 1994 51,621 1995 51,820 1996 52,010 1997 52,211 782 585 634 655 702 694 670 671 649 636 651 3,170 2,642 2,372 2,528 2,728 2,760 2,764 2,752 2,739 2,688 2,632 7,705 7,967 7,085 6,243 6,281 6,385 6,504 6,568 6,613 6,683 6,751 7,117 7,077 7,873 8,134 7,237 6,985 6,768 6,612 6,521 6,411 6,332 6,164 6,979 7,086 7,088 8,008 8,137 8,219 8,293 8,329 8,342 8,290 5,736 5,608 5,996 6,863 7,056 6,924 6,887 6,925 7,003 7,146 7,325 9,034 8,707 8,433 8,136 8,407 8,695 8,929 9,118 9,272 9,397 9,503 2,853 2,777 2,607 2,725 2,553 2,534 2,507 2,478 2,458 2,447 2,456 4,228 4,540 4,619 4,470 4,506 4,538 4,596 4,644 4,554 4,490 4,440 1,926 2,093 2,388 2,673 2,810 2,777 2,704 2,642 2,734 2,800 2,844 323 351 383 465 576 598 623 636 651 658 661 115 135 157 184 233 249 268 281 297 311 327 12,334 11,973 10,910 10,190 10,303 10,407 10,515 10,618 10,653 10,655 10,672 28,710 28,894 29,796 30,759 31,351 31,402 31,445 31,530 31,676 31,851 32,018 8,108 8,593 8,928 9,213 9,446 9,467 9,480 9,473 9,491 9,505 9,522 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 23,897 24,089 24,160 24,456 24,995 25,099 25,198 25,304 25,433 25,557 25,684 402 300 324 336 360 356 343 344 333 327 334 1,626 1,358 1,218 1,297 1,401 1,416 1,416 1,410 1,403 1,378 1,350 3,957 4,091 3,639 3,211 3,231 3,282 3,341 3,371 3,394 3,430 3,463 3,615 3,610 4,011 4,156 3,710 3,583 3,476 3,396 3,348 3,291 3,249 3,129 3,532 3,569 3,579 4,065 4,137 4,184 4,225 4,252 4,265 4,243 2,891 2,843 3,024 3,445 3,539 3,472 3,456 3,475 3,523 3,602 3,700 4,414 4,280 4,178 4,053 4,199 4,343 4,458 4,551 4,626 4,689 4,740 1,337 1,304 1,227 1,302 1,234 1,228 1,218 1,209 1,204 1,201 1,206 1,778 1,963 2,020 1,972 2,027 2,049 2,082 2,109 2,078 2,059 2,048 637 690 825 954 1,035 1,028 1,004 985 1,032 1,066 1,094 86 91 94 115 151 160 170 175 183 188 192 26 29 32 35 43 46 51 53 57 61 66 6,334 6,148 5,601 5,236 5,296 5,346 5,397 5,448 5,465 5,466 5,475 15,036 15,169 15,589 16,143 16,442 16,470 16,495 16,533 16,619 16,716 16,810 2,527 2,773 2,970 3,076 3,257 3,283 3,306 3,323 3,349 3,375 3,399 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 25,255 25,370 25,474 25,706 26,104 26,178 26,241 26,317 26,387 26,453 26,527 380 285 310 319 342 339 326 327 316 310 317 1,544 1,284 1,154 1,231 1,328 1,345 1,348 1,342 1,335 1,310 1,282 3,749 3,876 3,446 3,032 3,050 3,104 3,163 3,197 3,219 3,253 3,287 3,502 3,467 3,863 3,978 3,527 3,403 3,293 3,216 3,172 3,120 3,083 3,036 3,447 3,517 3,509 3,943 4,001 4,035 4,069 4,076 4,077 4,046 2,845 2,765 2,972 3,418 3,517 3,452 3,431 3,449 3,480 3,544 3,625 4,620 4,428 4,255 4,083 4,208 4,352 4,471 4,567 4,646 4,709 4,763 1,516 1,473 1,380 1,422 1,319 1,306 1,289 1,270 1,254 1,246 1,250 2,450 2,577 2,599 2,498 2,479 2,488 2,514 2,536 2,477 2,430 2,392 1,289 1,403 1,564 1,718 1,775 1,749 1,700 1,656 1,702 1,733 1,750 236 261 289 349 425 439 453 461 468 471 470 89 106 126 149 191 203 218 228 240 250 262 6,000 5,826 5,309 4,953 5,007 5,062 5,117 5,170 5,188 5,188 5,196 13,673 13,725 14,207 14,616 14,908 14,932 14,950 14,997 15,058 15,134 15,208 5,581 5,820 5,958 6,137 6,189 6,184 6,173 6,150 6,141 6,130 6,123 45 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1.5 continued Autumn 1999 Population: age and sex Numbers (thousands) Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age group Mid-year All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over England Persons 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 46,412 46,660 46,821 47,342 48,208 48,378 48,533 48,707 48,903 49,089 49,284 739 551 598 618 663 657 633 634 615 603 616 2,996 2,491 2,235 2,385 2,574 2,606 2,611 2,601 2,589 2,543 2,490 7,272 7,513 6,678 5,885 5,916 6,014 6,125 6,186 6,231 6,298 6,364 6,731 6,688 7,440 7,692 6,840 6,601 6,394 6,246 6,158 6,054 5,980 5,840 6,599 6,703 6,717 7,599 7,724 7,803 7,873 7,909 7,922 7,873 5,421 5,298 5,663 6,484 6,665 6,541 6,508 6,545 6.622 6,761 6,933 8,515 8,199 7,948 7,672 7,920 8,193 8,415 8,593 8,738 8,856 8,956 2,690 2,616 2,449 2,559 2,399 2,381 2,356 2,329 2,310 2,299 2,308 3,976 4,274 4,347 4,199 4,222 4,252 4,308 4,355 4,270 4,210 4,164 1,816 1,972 2,249 2,518 2,645 2,612 2,541 2,481 2,568 2,629 2,670 306 332 362 438 543 564 587 600 613 620 623 109 127 149 174 220 235 253 265 280 293 308 11,648 11,293 10,285 9,608 9,711 9,811 9,913 10,012 10,048 10,053 10,071 27,128 27,275 28,133 29,070 29,627 29,678 29,720 29,803 29,946 30,114 30,275 7,636 8,092 8,403 8,665 8,870 8,889 8,899 8,893 8,909 8,922 8,939 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 22,569 22,728 22,795 23,086 23,588 23,688 23,782 23,882 24,008 24,129 24,251 380 283 306 317 340 337 325 326 315 309 316 1,537 1,280 1,147 1.224 1,322 1,336 1,338 1,332 1,327 1,304 1,278 3,734 3,858 3,430 3,026 3,043 3,091 3,146 3,175 3,198 3,233 3,265 3,421 3,413 3,790 3,931 3,507 3,385 3,282 3,207 3,160 3,106 3,067 2,965 3,339 3,377 3,392 3,859 3,928 3,974 4,012 4,039 4,051 4,030 2,733 2,686 2,856 3,255 3,344 3,281 3,267 3,286 3,333 3,410 3,504 4,161 4,031 3,938 3,822 3,957 4,093 4,202 4,289 4,360 4,420 4,468 1,261 1,228 1,154 1,224 1,159 1,154 1,145 1,136 1,132 1,129 1,134 1,671 1,849 1,902 1,853 1,900 1,920 1,951 1,977 1,948 1,931 1,921 599 649 777 900 975 968 945 926 969 1,002 1,027 107 85 89 109 143 151 160 166 173 177 181 25 27 30 33 41 44 48 50 54 58 62 5,982 5,798 5,280 4,937 4,991 5,039 5,089 5,137 5,155 5,158 5,168 14,209 14,320 14,717 15,254 15,539 15,566 15,590 15,626 15,709 15,803 15,893 2,377 2,610 2,798 2,895 3,058 3,082 3,103 3,119 3,144 3,167 3,191 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 23,843 23,932 24,026 24,257 24,620 24,691 24,751 24,825 24,896 24,960 25,033 359 269 292 301 324 320 309 309 300 293 300 1,459 1,211 1,088 1,161 1,253 1,270 1,273 1,268 1,262 1,239 1,213 3,538 3,656 3,248 2,859 2,873 2,923 2,979 3,010 3,033 3,065 3,099 3,310 3,275 3,650 3,761 3,333 3,215 3,111 3,039 2,998 2,948 2,913 2,875 3,260 3,327 3,325 3,739 3,795 3,829 3,862 3,871 3,872 3,843 2,688 2,612 2,807 3,229 3,322 3,260 3,241 3,259 3,289 3,351 3,429 4,354 4,168 4,009 3,850 3,964 4,100 4,212 4,304 4,378 4,437 4,488 1,429 1,387 1,295 1,335 1,239 1,227 1,211 1,193 1,178 1,170 1,174 2,305 2,425 2,445 2,346 2,323 2,332 2,357 2,378 2,322 2,279 2,244 1,217 1,323 1,472 1,618 1,670 1,644 1,597 1,555 1,598 1,627 1,643 309 246 273 330 400 413 427 434 441 443 442 85 100 119 141 179 191 205 214 226 235 246 5,666 5,495 5,004 4,671 4,720 4,772 4,824 4,874 4,893 4,894 4,903 12,918 14,968 13,416 13,816 14,088 14,112 14,131 14,177 14,237 14,311 14,382 5,259 5,481 5,605 5,770 5,812 5,807 5,796 5,774 5,765 5,755 5,748 Wales Persons 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,740 2,799 2,813 2,820 2,891 2,899 2,906 2,913 2,917 2,921 2,927 43 33 36 37 39 38 36 36 35 34 35 173 151 136 143 154 154 153 151 149 145 141 433 453 407 358 365 372 379 382 383 385 387 386 388 434 441 397 385 375 367 363 357 352 325 379 383 371 409 413 416 420 420 420 417 315 309 333 378 391 383 379 379 380 385 392 519 509 485 464 486 501 514 525 534 541 547 164 161 158 166 154 152 151 149 148 148 148 252 267 272 271 284 286 288 289 284 280 276 110 121 139 155 165 165 163 161 166 171 174 16 19 21 26 33 34 36 36 37 38 39 6 7 8 10 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 686 680 626 582 592 596 602 606 605 602 601 1,582 1,618 1,663 1,690 1,724 1,724 1,725 1,727 1,730 1,737 1,743 472 501 525 548 576 578 580 580 581 582 583 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1,329 1,361 1,365 1,370 1,407 1,411 1,417 1,422 1,425 1,428 1,433 22 17 18 19 20 19 19 19 18 17 18 89 78 70 73 79 79 78 77 76 74 72 222 233 209 185 188 191 195 196 196 197 198 194 197 221 225 203 198 193 190 188 185 182 164 193 193 187 206 208 210 213 214 214 214 158 157 168 190 195 191 189 189 190 192 196 253 249 240 231 242 250 256 262 266 269 272 76 75 73 79 74 74 73 72 72 72 72 107 114 118 119 128 129 131 131 130 128 127 38 41 48 54 60 60 60 60 62 65 67 6 5 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 11 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 352 350 321 300 305 306 309 311 310 308 308 827 849 871 889 904 904 905 907 910 913 917 150 162 173 181 199 201 203 204 206 207 208 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1,412 1,438 1,448 1,450 1,484 1,488 1,490 1,491 1,491 1,493 1,494 21 16 18 18 19 19 18 18 17 16 17 85 73 66 70 75 75 75 74 73 71 69 211 220 199 173 177 181 185 186 187 188 189 191 191 213 217 194 187 181 177 175 172 170 161 187 190 184 203 205 206 207 206 206 204 157 153 165 188 195 192 190 190 190 193 196 265 260 246 233 244 252 258 263 268 272 275 88 86 85 87 80 79 78 77 76 76 76 146 152 154 152 156 157 157 158 154 151 148 73 80 91 101 105 105 103 101 104 106 107 16 14 16 20 25 25 26 27 27 28 28 4 6 6 8 11 12 13 13 14 15 15 335 330 305 282 288 290 293 295 295 294 293 755 770 791 800 820 820 819 820 820 824 826 322 339 352 367 377 377 377 376 376 375 375 Office for National Statistics 46 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1.5 continued Population: age and sex Numbers (thousands) Autumn 1999 Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age group Mid-year All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over Scotland Persons 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 5,236 5,233 5,180 5,123 5,107 5,111 5,120 5,132 5,137 5,128 5,123 86 67 69 66 66 67 64 63 61 59 60 358 291 249 257 259 260 260 261 261 255 247 912 904 780 657 634 641 648 651 649 647 649 781 806 875 870 754 727 705 690 677 663 651 617 692 724 742 809 817 825 829 827 821 809 612 591 603 665 699 692 694 703 715 728 744 926 897 880 849 853 873 888 902 911 919 924 294 282 260 273 265 264 262 260 258 256 255 430 460 460 435 441 445 451 456 450 446 443 183 202 232 251 259 256 249 243 250 255 259 29 31 35 41 50 51 52 53 55 56 56 9 11 14 15 19 20 21 21 22 23 24 1,440 1,352 1,188 1,063 1,023 1,025 1,032 1,038 1,036 1,028 1,021 2,986 3,023 3,110 3,171 3,174 3,174 3,176 3,183 3,187 3,185 3,185 810 858 882 889 910 912 912 911 914 915 917 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,516 2,517 2,495 2,474 2,470 2,473 2,479 2,486 2,489 2,486 2,484 44 34 35 34 34 34 33 32 31 30 31 184 149 128 131 133 133 133 133 133 130 126 467 463 400 337 325 328 332 333 332 331 332 394 408 445 445 385 371 360 353 346 339 333 306 347 364 375 407 412 415 418 416 413 407 299 290 298 332 348 344 345 350 356 362 371 440 429 424 410 415 426 434 441 446 450 453 134 128 118 127 124 124 123 122 121 121 121 176 193 194 184 192 194 197 200 198 197 196 60 65 77 86 91 90 88 86 90 92 95 8 8 8 10 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 738 693 610 545 524 525 528 531 530 526 522 1,530 1,556 1,603 1,647 1,646 1,646 1,648 1,651 1,653 1,651 1,651 247 269 282 283 299 301 302 304 307 309 311 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,720 2,716 2,685 2,649 2,637 2,638 2,642 2,646 2,647 2,642 2,638 42 32 33 32 32 33 32 31 30 29 29 174 142 121 126 126 126 127 128 128 125 121 445 440 380 320 309 313 316 318 317 316 317 387 398 430 425 369 356 345 337 331 324 318 311 345 359 368 402 406 409 412 411 408 403 313 301 305 334 351 348 349 353 359 366 374 485 468 456 439 437 447 454 461 465 469 471 160 154 142 146 141 141 139 138 136 135 135 254 267 265 250 249 251 254 256 252 249 247 122 137 155 165 168 165 161 157 160 163 164 20 23 27 32 37 38 39 40 40 41 41 7 8 11 12 16 16 17 17 18 19 19 701 659 579 518 499 500 504 507 506 502 498 1,455 1,468 1,506 1,525 1,528 1,527 1,528 1,532 1,534 1,534 1,534 563 589 600 606 611 611 609 607 607 606 605 Northern Ireland Persons 1971 1,540 1976 1,524 1981 1,538 1986 1,567 1991 1,601 1992 1,618 1993 1,632 1994 1,642 1995 1,649 1996 1,663 1997 1,675 31 26 27 28 26 26 25 25 24 24 25 126 111 104 108 104 104 105 104 102 101 99 299 306 282 262 260 263 265 265 264 264 265 247 243 271 280 256 256 250 251 252 251 236 189 198 200 218 240 245 251 253 253 257 262 165 163 175 189 200 202 205 209 213 218 227 243 231 227 225 241 247 253 257 261 266 275 74 73 68 69 70 70 70 70 69 69 72 106 111 116 113 119 121 123 123 123 123 123 51 53 55 62 67 67 67 68 69 71 72 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 483 471 442 426 415 417 419 419 417 416 412 853 840 874 915 945 957 968 976 985 999 1,011 205 212 221 226 241 244 246 246 247 249 252 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 755 754 754 768 781 791 797 802 805 812 821 16 13 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 64 58 53 55 54 53 54 53 52 51 51 152 157 145 134 133 134 135 136 135 136 136 127 127 140 146 132 132 129 130 130 129 123 95 102 102 109 119 121 124 125 125 127 130 81 81 87 94 100 101 102 104 105 108 112 116 111 109 109 118 121 124 126 128 131 136 36 34 32 32 32 32 33 33 32 33 34 45 47 50 48 52 53 54 54 54 54 55 19 19 20 22 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 246 242 227 218 213 214 214 214 214 213 211 441 442 454 476 487 495 500 504 508 515 523 67 70 73 74 81 82 83 83 84 85 86 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 786 769 783 798 820 828 835 840 844 851 854 15 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 62 53 51 52 51 51 51 51 50 49 48 147 149 137 128 127 128 129 129 129 129 129 119 116 130 133 125 124 121 121 122 121 113 95 96 98 108 121 124 127 128 128 130 132 84 81 88 95 100 101 103 105 107 111 115 126 120 118 116 123 126 129 131 133 135 139 39 38 37 37 38 38 38 37 36 36 37 61 64 66 64 67 68 69 69 69 69 68 32 33 36 40 43 43 43 43 44 45 46 5 6 7 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 11 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 237 229 215 208 203 204 204 205 203 203 200 411 398 420 439 457 463 468 472 477 484 487 138 143 148 152 160 162 163 163 163 164 166 47 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1.6 Autumn 1999 Population: age, sex and legal marital status Numbers (thousands) Total population Mid-year England and Wales Males Single Married Divorced Females Widowed Total Single Married Divorced Widowed Total Aged 16 and over 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 36,818 37,486 38,724 39,887 40,796 40,869 40,925 41,003 41,167 41,356 41,540 4,173 4,369 5,013 5,673 6,024 6,089 6,147 6,221 6,345 6,482 6,622 12,522 12,511 12,238 11,886 11,745 11,663 11,580 11,492 11,415 11,339 11,256 187 376 611 919 1,200 1,269 1,342 1,413 1,480 1,543 1,604 682 686 698 695 731 732 732 730 729 728 726 17,563 17,941 18,559 19,173 19,699 19,753 19,801 19,855 19,968 20,091 20,209 3,583 3,597 4,114 4,613 4,822 4,871 4,906 4,958 5,058 5,171 5,292 12,566 12,538 12,284 11,994 11,838 11,749 11,661 11,583 11,488 11,406 11,319 296 533 828 1,164 1,459 1,533 1,610 1,684 1,754 1,819 1,882 2,810 2,877 2,939 2,943 2,978 2,963 2,946 2,922 2,898 2,870 2,838 19,255 19,545 20,165 20,714 21,097 21,116 21,124 21,147 21,199 21,265 21,331 16–19 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,666 2,901 3,310 3,144 2,680 2,539 2,421 2,360 2,374 2,436 2,517 1,327 1,454 1,675 1,601 1,372 1,301 1,242 1,212 1,220 1,251 1,291 34 28 20 10 8 5 4 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,362 1,482 1,694 1,611 1,380 1,306 1,246 1,215 1,222 1,253 1,293 1,163 1,289 1,523 1,483 1,267 1,209 1,157 1,131 1,139 1,171 1,212 142 129 93 49 32 24 18 14 13 12 11 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,305 1,419 1,616 1,533 1,300 1,233 1,175 1,145 1,152 1,183 1,224 20–24 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 3,773 3,395 3,744 4,203 3,966 3,879 3,770 3,625 3,495 3,329 3,177 1,211 1,167 1,420 1,794 1,764 1,760 1,742 1,699 1,658 1,597 1,536 689 557 466 322 249 214 182 152 127 105 87 3 4 10 14 12 10 8 7 6 5 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,904 1,728 1,896 2,130 2,025 1,984 1,933 1,858 1,791 1,707 1,628 745 725 1,007 1,382 1,421 1,434 1,432 1,416 1,404 1,369 1,333 1,113 925 811 658 490 434 381 330 282 238 204 9 16 27 32 29 26 23 20 17 15 12 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1,869 1,667 1,847 2,072 1,941 1,895 1,838 1,767 1,703 1,622 1,549 25–29 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 3,267 3,758 3,372 3,724 4,246 4,256 4,220 4,168 4,094 4,045 3,972 431 533 588 841 1,183 1,232 1,263 1,293 1,326 1,368 1,401 1,206 1,326 1,057 956 894 852 807 754 696 639 577 16 39 54 79 85 83 80 76 70 64 58 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1,654 1,900 1,700 1,877 2,163 2,169 2,152 2,124 2,092 2,071 2,037 215 267 331 527 800 848 880 908 936 977 1,014 1,367 1,522 1,247 1,204 1,158 1,112 1,062 1,011 947 887 818 29 65 89 113 123 124 124 122 116 109 101 4 5 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1,614 1,859 1,671 1,847 2,083 2,087 2,069 2,044 2,002 1,975 1,935 30–34 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2,897 3,220 3,715 3,341 3,762 3,882 3,999 4,126 4,235 4,296 4,318 206 236 318 356 535 596 662 732 799 855 903 1,244 1,338 1,451 1,200 1,206 1,202 1,194 1,187 1,177 1,155 1,125 23 55 97 125 160 167 174 179 182 181 177 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 1,475 1,632 1,869 1,683 1,903 1,968 2,032 2,100 2,160 2,194 2,207 111 118 165 206 335 375 418 467 518 560 598 1,269 1,388 1,544 1,292 1,330 1,336 1,338 1,340 1,333 1,316 1,287 34 75 129 154 189 198 205 213 218 221 222 8 8 9 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1,422 1,588 1,846 1,658 1,859 1,914 1,967 2,025 2,075 2,103 2,111 35–44 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 5,736 5,608 5,996 6,863 7,056 6,924 6,887 6,925 7,003 7,146 7,325 317 286 316 397 482 497 522 556 601 657 725 2,513 2,442 2,519 2,743 2,658 2,561 2,500 2,463 2,446 2,449 2,458 48 104 178 293 388 403 423 444 464 483 503 13 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 13 13 2,891 2,843 3,024 3,444 3,539 3,472 3,456 3,475 3,523 3,602 3,700 201 167 170 213 280 295 316 343 374 414 459 2,529 2,427 2,540 2,816 2,760 2,669 2,612 2,587 2,568 2,575 2,593 66 129 222 350 444 456 473 491 509 527 545 48 42 41 39 34 32 31 29 29 28 28 2,845 2,765 2,972 3,419 3,517 3,452 3,431 3,449 3,480 3,544 3,625 Note: Population estimates by marital status for 1971 and 1976 are based on the 1971 Census and those for 1981 and 1986 are based on the 1981 Census and have not been rebased using the 1991 Census. Office for National Statistics 48 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1.6 continued Population: age, sex and legal marital status Numbers (thousands) Total population Mid-year 45–64 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 65 and over 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Autumn 1999 England England and andWales Males Single Married Divorced Females Widowed Total Single Married Divorced Widowed Total 11,887 11,484 11,040 10,860 10,960 11,228 11,436 11,596 11,730 11,844 11,959 502 496 480 461 456 468 479 489 500 512 524 4,995 4,787 4,560 4,423 4,394 4,479 4,532 4,564 4,581 4,587 4,590 81 141 218 332 456 499 544 587 630 673 715 173 160 147 141 127 125 122 120 119 118 117 5,751 5,583 5,405 5,356 5,433 5,571 5,677 5,759 5,830 5,890 5,946 569 462 386 326 292 295 297 300 305 310 318 4,709 4,568 4,358 4,221 4,211 4,308 4,376 4,422 4,452 4,473 4,494 125 188 271 388 521 568 615 659 703 746 789 733 683 620 569 503 487 471 456 440 425 412 6,136 5,901 5,635 5,504 5,527 5,658 5,759 5,837 5,900 5,954 6,013 6,592 7,119 7,548 7,752 8,127 8,162 8,191 8,203 8,237 8,259 8,272 179 197 216 223 231 235 237 239 241 242 242 1,840 2,033 2,167 2,233 2,337 2,349 2,360 2,368 2,385 2,401 2,417 17 33 54 76 99 106 113 121 128 137 147 492 510 534 539 589 593 596 595 595 594 593 2,527 2,773 2,971 3,070 3,257 3,283 3,306 3,323 3,349 3,375 3,399 580 569 533 475 427 416 405 393 382 370 358 1,437 1,579 1,692 1,754 1,858 1,866 1,873 1,879 1,893 1,904 1,912 32 60 90 127 153 161 170 179 190 201 213 2,016 2,138 2,263 2,325 2,433 2,436 2,436 2,429 2,422 2,410 2,390 4,065 4,347 4,578 4,681 4,870 4,879 4,885 4,880 4,887 4,884 4,873 See note opposite. 49 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 2.1 Year and quarter Autumn 1999 Vital statistics summary Numbers (thousands) and rates All live births Number Rate* Live births outside marriage Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Marriages Number Rate† Number Rate** Divorces Deaths Number Rate†† Number Rate* Infant mortality*** Number Neonatal mortality††† Rate† Number Rate† 17.9 14.5 11.2 9.5 7.4 6.6 10.8 6.68 4.93 4.00 3.46 3.37 12.0 9.9 6.7 5.3 4.4 4.3 Perinatal mortality**** Number Rate†††† United Kingdom 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 901.6 675.5 730.8 755.0 792.5 781.0 16.1 12.0 13.0 13.3 13.7 13.5 73.9 61.1 91.3 158.5 236.1 240.8 82 90 125 210 298 308 459.4 406.0 397.8 393.9 349.7 356.0 .. .. 49.4 43.5 36.0 .. 79.6 135.4 156.4 168.2 173.5 175.1 .. .. 11.3 12.5 13.0 .. 645.1 680.8 658.0 660.7 646.2 634.2 11.5 12.1 11.7 11.6 11.3 10.9 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 761.7 750.7 732.0 733.4 726.8 717.2‡ 13.1 12.9 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.1‡ 241.8 240.1 245.7 260.4 267.0 269.7‡ 318 320 336 355 367 376‡ 341.6 331.2 322.3 317.5 310.2‡ .. .. .. .. .. 180.0 173.6 170.0 171.7 161.1‡ .. .. .. .. .. 658.5 627.6 645.5 636.0 629.7 627.6‡ 11.3 10.7 11.0 10.8 10.7 10.6‡ 4.83 4.63 4.52 4.50 4.25 4.06‡ 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7‡ 3.18 3.09 3.05 3.00 2.81 2.70‡ 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8‡ 6.73 6.74 6.52 6.41 6.06 5.92‡ 8.8 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.3 8.2‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 186.3 177.0 12.5 11.9 68.9 66.4 370 375 128.9‡ 54.9‡ .. .. 141.2 159.3 9.5 10.7 1.01 1.08 5.4 6.1 0.69 0.71 3.7 4.0 1.49 1.53 8.0 8.6 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 176.0‡ 178.9‡ 187.1‡ 175.0‡ 12.1‡ 12.1‡ 12.5‡ 11.7‡ 65.7‡ 65.5‡ 70.7‡ 67.7‡ 373‡ 366‡ 378‡ 387‡ 37.7‡ 85.4‡ .. .. 166.7‡ 152.3‡ 143.1‡ 165.4‡ 11.5‡ 10.4‡ 9.6‡ 11.1‡ 1.02‡ 0.97‡ 0.98‡ 1.10‡ 5.8‡ 5.4‡ 5.2‡ 6.3‡ 0.67‡ 0.65‡ 0.68‡ 0.70‡ 3.8‡ 3.7‡ 3.6‡ 4.0‡ 1.51‡ 1.45‡ 1.44‡ 1.53‡ 8.5‡ 8.1‡ 7.7‡ 8.7‡ 1999 March 171.8‡ 11.8‡ 66.4‡ 387‡ 184.0‡ 12.6‡ 16.2 9.79 8.16 7.18 5.82 5.14 20.7 12.3 8.79 7.31 6.45 6.01 22.6 18.0 12.0 9.6 8.1 7.7 England and Wales 1971 783.2 1976 584.3 1981 634.5 1986 661.0 1991 699.2 1992 689.7 15.9 11.8 12.8 13.2 13.7 13.4 65.7 53.8 81.0 141.3 211.3 215.2 84 92 128 214 302 312 404.7 358.6 352.0 347.9 306.8 311.6 69.0 57.7 49.6 43.5 35.6 35.8 74.4 126.7 145.7 153.9 158.7 160.4 5.9 10.1 11.9 12.9 13.5 13.7 567.3 598.5 577.9 581.2 570.0 558.3 11.5 12.1 11.6 11.6 11.2 10.9 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 673.5 664.7 648.1 649.5 643.1 635.9‡ 13.1 12.9 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.1‡ 216.5 215.5 219.9 232.7 238.2 240.6‡ 322 324 339 358 370 388‡ 299.2 291.1 283.0 279.0 272.5‡ 33.9 32.6 31.0 30.0 28.7‡ 165.0 158.2 155.5 157.1 146.7‡ 14.2 13.7 13.6 13.8 13.0‡ 578.8 553.2 569.7 560.1 555.3 553.4 11.3 10.7 11.0 10.8 10.6 10.6‡ 4.24 4.10 3.98 3.99 3.80 3.61‡ 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.7‡ 2.80 2.74 2.70 2.68 2.52 2.41‡ 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8‡ 6.03 5.95 5.70 5.62 5.38 5.25‡ 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.3 8.2‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 164.9 156.8 12.5 11.9 61.4 59.3 373 378 113.2‡ 47.7‡ 47.4‡ 19.9‡ 37.2‡ 35.0‡ 13.1‡ 12.3‡ 124.3 140.4 9.4 10.7 0.91 0.96 5.5 6.1 0.62 0.64 3.8 4.1 1.32 1.36 8.0 8.6 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 155.8‡ 158.6‡ 166.1‡ 155.4‡ 12.1‡ 12.1‡ 12.6‡ 11.8‡ 58.5‡ 58.4‡ 63.2‡ 60.5‡ 375‡ 368‡ 381‡ 389‡ 33.4‡ 74.9‡ 14.3‡ 31.7‡ 37.0‡ 36.6‡ 37.1‡ 13.3‡ 13.0‡ 13.0‡ 146.9 134.0 125.8 146.6 11.4‡ 10.3‡ 9.6‡ 11.1‡ 0.93‡ 0.83‡ 0.86‡ 0.99‡ 6.0‡ 5.3‡ 5.2‡ 6.4‡ 0.60‡ 0.57‡ 0.60‡ 0.64‡ 3.9‡ 3.6‡ 3.6‡ 4.1‡ 1.34‡ 1.28‡ 1.26‡ 1.37‡ 8.6‡ 8.1‡ 7.5‡ 8.8‡ 1999 March 151.9‡ 11.8‡ 58.9‡ 388‡ 161.6‡ 12.6‡ England 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 740.1 550.4 598.2 623.6 660.8 651.8 15.9 11.8 12.8 13.2 13.7 13.5 62.6 50.8 76.9 133.5 198.9 202.4 85 92 129 214 301 311 382.3 339.0 332.2 328.4 290.1 295.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 146.0 150.1 151.5 .. .. .. .. .. .. 532.4 560.3 541.0 544.5 534.0 522.7 11.5 12.0 11.6 11.5 11.2 10.8 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 636.5 629.0 613.2 614.2 608.6 602.5‡ 13.1 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.2‡ 203.6 202.7 206.8 218.2 223.4 225.8‡ 320 322 337 355 367 375‡ 283.3 275.5 268.3 264.2 258.0‡ .. .. .. .. .. 156.1 149.6 147.5 148.7 138.7‡ .. .. .. .. .. 541.1 517.6 532.6 524.0 519.1 518.1 11.1 10.6 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.5‡ 4.00 3.83 3.74 3.74 3.60 3.37‡ 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.6‡ 2.65 2.57 2.55 2.53 2.37 2.28‡ 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8‡ 5.70 5.58 5.41 5.36 5.09 4.96‡ 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.3 8.2‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 156.1 148.4 12.6 11.9 57.7 55.6 370 374 107.0‡ 45.1‡ .. .. 35.1‡ 33.1‡ .. .. 116.1 131.4 9.3 10.6 0.86 0.91 5.5 6.1 0.60 0.61 3.8 4.1 1.26 1.28 8.0 8.6 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 147.6‡ 150.2‡ 157.4‡ 147.3‡ 12.1‡ 12.2‡ 12.6‡ 11.8‡ 54.9‡ 54.8‡ 59.3‡ 56.7‡ 372‡ 365‡ 377‡ 385‡ 31.6‡ 70.9‡ .. .. 35.0‡ 34.6‡ 35.1‡ .. 137.6 125.4 117.6 137.5 11.3‡ 9.6‡ 8.9‡ 10.4‡ 0.87‡ 0.77‡ 0.79‡ 0.94‡ 5.9‡ 5.2‡ 5.1‡ 6.4‡ 0.57‡ 0.54‡ 0.56‡ 0.61‡ 3.9‡ 3.6‡ 3.5‡ 4.2‡ 1.26‡ 1.21‡ 1.18‡ 1.31‡ 8.5‡ 8.0‡ 7.5‡ 8.8‡ 1999 March 144.0‡ 11.8‡ 55.3‡ 384‡ 151.0‡ 12.4‡ 13.7 8.34 7.02 6.31 5.16 4.54 12.9 7.83 6.50 5.92 4.86 4.26 17.5 14.3 11.1 9.6 7.4 6.6 17.5 14.2 10.9 9.5 7.3 6.5 9.11 5.66 4.23 3.49 3.05 2.96 8.58 5.32 3.93 3.27 2.87 2.79 11.6 9.7 6.7 5.3 4.4 4.3 11.6 9.7 6.6 5.2 4.3 4.3 17.6 10.5 7.56 6.37 5.65 5.24 16.6 9.81 7.04 5.98 5.33 4.95 22.3 17.7 11.8 9.6 8.0 7.6 22.1 17.6 11.7 9.5 8.0 7.6 * Per 1,000 population of all ages. † Per 1,000 live births. ** Persons marrying per 1,000 unmarried population 16 and over. †† Per 1,000 married population. *** Deaths under 1 year. ††† Deaths under 4 weeks. **** Stillbirths and deaths under 1 week. In October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was changed, from baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. †††† Per 1,000 live and stillbirths. ‡ Provisional. Office for National Statistics 50 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 2.1 continued Year and quarter Vital statistics summary Numbers (thousands) and rates All live births Number Wales 1 971 Rate* Live births outside marriage Autumn 1999 Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Marriages Number Rate† Number Rate** Divorces Number Deaths Rate†† Number Rate* Infant mortality*** Number Neonatal mortality††† Rate† 18.4 13.7 12.6 9.5 6.6 6.0 Number 0.53 0.32 0.29 0.21 0.16 0.14 Rate† 12.3 9.6 8.1 5.6 4.1 3.8 Perinatal mortality**** Number 1.07 0.64 0.51 0.38 0.30 0.26 Rate†††† 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 43.1 33.4 35.8 37.0 38.1 37.5 15.7 11.9 12.7 13.1 13.2 12.9 3.1 2.9 4.0 7.8 12.3 12.8 71 86 112 211 323 340 22.4 19.5 19.8 19.5 16.6 16.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.9 8.6 8.9 .. .. .. .. .. .. 34.8 36.3 35.0 34.7 34.1 33.8 12.7 13.0 12.4 12.3 11.8 11.7 0.79 0.46 0.45 0.35 0.25 0.23 24.4 19.0 14.1 10.3 7.9 7.0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 36.6 35.4 34.5 34.9 34.5 33.4‡ 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.4‡ 12.9 12.7 13.1 14.4 14.8 14.8‡ 352 360 381 412 428 443‡ 15.9 15.5 14.7 14.8 14.6‡ .. .. .. .. .. 8.9 8.6 8.0 8.4 8.0‡ .. .. .. .. .. 35.9 33.9 35.6 34.6 34.6 33.9 12.4 11.6 12.2 11.8 11.8 11.6‡ 0.20 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19‡ 5.5 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.7‡ 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12‡ 3.3 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.7‡ 0.30 0.33 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.27‡ 8.2 9.3 7.9 7.5 7.9 8.0‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 8.8 8.4 12.0 11.4 3.7 3.7 420 446 6.2‡ 2.5‡ .. .. 2.0‡ 1.9‡ .. .. 7.7 8.7 10.5 11.8 0.04 0.04 4.9 4.5 0.02 0.03 2.5 3.3 0.06 0.07 7.2 7.7 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 8.3‡ 8.4‡ 8.8‡ 8.0‡ 11.4‡ 11.4‡ 11.8‡ 10.9‡ 3.6‡ 3.6‡ 3.9‡ 3.8‡ 435‡ 428‡ 444‡ 468‡ 1.8‡ 4.0‡ .. .. 2.0‡ 2.0‡ 2.0‡ .. .. 9.0 8.3 7.8 8.8 12.5‡ 11.3‡ 10.6‡ 12.0‡ 0.04‡ 0.04‡ 0.05‡ 0.05‡ 5.3‡ 5.3‡ 5.9‡ 6.1‡ 0.03‡ 0.03‡ 0.04‡ 0.03‡ 3.4‡ 3.7‡ 4.3‡ 3.1‡ 0.07‡ 0.07‡ 0.08‡ 0.06‡ 7.9‡ 8.5‡ 8.5‡ 7.1‡ 1999 March 7.9‡ 11.0‡ 3.6‡ 454‡ 10.3‡ 14.2‡ Scotland 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 86.7 64.9 69.1 65.8 67.0 65.8 16.6 12.5 13.4 12.9 13.1 12.9 7.0 6.0 8.5 13.6 19.5 20.0 81 93 122 206 291 303 42.5 37.5 36.2 35.8 33.8 35.1 64.1 53.8 47.5 42.8 38.7 39.9 4.8 8.1 9.9 12.8 12.4 12.5 3.9 6.5 8.0 10.7 10.6 10.7 61.6 65.3 63.8 63.5 61.0 60.9 11.8 12.5 12.3 12.4 12.0 11.9 1.72 0.96 0.78 0.58 0.47 0.45 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 63.3 61.7 60.1 59.3 59.4 57.4‡ 12.4 12.0 11.7 11.6 11.6 11.2‡ 19.9 19.2 20.3 21.4 22.4 22.3‡ 313 312 337 360 377 389‡ 33.4 31.5 30.7 30.2 29.6 29.6‡ 37.6 35.1 33.7 32.8 31.7 31.1‡ 12.8 13.1 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.4‡ 11.0 11.4 10.7 10.9 11.0 11.2‡ 64.0 59.3 60.5 60.7 59.5 59.2‡ 12.5 11.6 11.8 11.8 11.6 11.5‡ 0.41 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.32 0.32‡ 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.3 5.5‡ 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.19 0.20‡ 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.2 3.5‡ 0.61 0.56 0.58 0.55 0.47 0.49‡ 9.6 9.0 9.6 9.2 7.8 8.5‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 15.2 14.6 11.7 11.3 5.7 5.6 379 382 12.1 5.8 51.4 24.6 3.1 3.0 11.1 10.8 13.4 15.1 10.4 11.7 0.06 0.07 4.0 4.9 0.04 0.04 2.8 2.6 0.11 0.12 7.4 8.1 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 14.2‡ 14.2‡ 14.8‡ 14.1‡ 11.2‡ 11.2‡ 11.5‡ 10.9‡ 5.5‡ 5.5‡ 5.7‡ 5.6‡ 389‡ 384‡ 385‡ 402‡ 3.5‡ 8.4‡ 11.9‡ 5.8‡ 14.7‡ 35.4‡ 49.8‡ 24.2‡ 3.1‡ 3.2‡ 3.1‡ 3.0‡ 11.5‡ 11.5‡ 11.1‡ 10.8‡ 15.7‡ 14.4‡ 13.8‡ 15.2‡ 12.5‡ 11.3‡ 10.7‡ 11.8‡ 0.06‡ 0.09‡ 0.09‡ 0.08‡ 4.2‡ 6.4‡ 5.7‡ 5.9‡ 0.04‡ 0.06‡ 0.06‡ 0.05‡ 2.8‡ 4.0‡ 4.1‡ 3.2‡ 0.12‡ 0.12‡ 0.13‡ 0.12‡ 8.1‡ 8.5‡ 9.0‡ 8.3‡ 1999 March 13.9‡ 11.0‡ 5.7‡ 411‡ 3.6‡ 15.3‡ 17.7‡ 14.0‡ Northern Ireland 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 31.8 26.4 27.3 28.2 26.3 25.6 20.7 17.3 17.8 18.0 16.5 15.9 1.2 1.3 1.9 3.6 5.3 5.6 38 50 70 127 202 219 12.8 11.2 10.6 10.3 9.4 9.3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 24.9 24.3 23.9 24.6 24.3 23.9‡ 15.3 14.9 14.5 14.8 14.5 14.2‡ 5.5 5.4 5.5 6.4 6.4 6.8‡ 219 220 231 259 266 283‡ 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 6.3 5.6 14.8 13.3 1.7 1.5 1998 March 1998 June 1998 Sept 1998 Dec 6.1‡ 6.1‡ 6.2‡ 5.5‡ 14.6‡ 14.5‡ 14.7‡ 13.0‡ 1999 March 6.0‡ 14.4‡ 12.2 9.9 9.6 10.2 9.2 9.4 19.9 14.8 11.3 8.8 7.1 6.8 0.72 0.48 0.36 0.36 0.19 0.15 22.7 18.3 13.2 13.2 7.4 6.0 1.17 0.67 0.47 0.34 0.29 0.30 .. .. 45.4 .. 37.7 .. 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.3 .. .. 4.2 .. 6.8 .. 17.6 17.0 16.3 16.1 15.1 15.0 0.51 0.35 0.23 0.23 0.12 0.10 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.3 8.1 7.8‡ .. .. .. .. .. .. 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 .. .. .. .. .. 15.6 15.1 15.3 15.2 15.0 15.0‡ 9.6 9.2 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.9‡ 0.18 0.15 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.13‡ 7.1 6.1 7.1 5.8 5.6 5.6‡ 0.12 0.10 0.13 0.09 0.10 0.09‡ 269 264 3.6 1.4 .. .. 3.4 3.7 8.2 8.9 0.04 0.05 5.7 8.6 1.7‡ 1.7‡ 1.8‡ 1.6‡ 281‡ 273‡ 285‡ 294‡ 0.8‡ 2.2‡ 3.4‡ 1.4‡ .. .. .. .. 4.1‡ 3.8‡ 3.5‡ 3.6‡ 9.9‡ 9.2‡ 8.2‡ 8.5‡ 0.04‡ 0.04‡ 0.03‡ 0.02‡ 5.8‡ 7.1‡ 5.5‡ 4.0‡ 1.8‡ 302‡ 4.7‡ 11.4‡ 13.5 10.3 6.9 5.2 4.4 4.6 15.9 13.3 8.3 8.3 4.6 4.1 2.15 1.20 0.81 0.67 0.58 0.60 24.5 18.3 11.6 10.2 8.6 9.0 0.88 0.59 0.42 0.42 0.22 0.21 27.2 22.3 15.3 15.3 8.4 8.2 4.9 4.2 5.5 3.7 4.2 3.9‡ 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.23 0.21 0.20‡ 8.8 9.7 10.4 9.4 8.6 8.1‡ 0.03 0.03 4.2 6.1 0.05 0.06 8.1 10.3 0.03‡ 0.03‡ 0.02‡ 0.02‡ 4.3‡ 4.4‡ 3.5‡ 3.3‡ 0.05‡ 0.05‡ 0.05‡ 0.05‡ 8.8‡ 7.7‡ 8.0‡ 8.2‡ Notes: 1. Rates for the most recent quarters will be particularly subject to revision, even when standard detail is given, as they are based on provisional numbers or on estimates derived from events registered in the period. 2. Figures for England and Wales represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. Provisional figures are registrations. 3.The marriage and divorce rates for 1991 onwards differ in part from those previously published because of a revision of the denominators. 4. From 1972 births for England and Wales are excluded if the mother was usually resident outside England and Wales, but included in the total for the United Kingdom. 5. From 1972 deaths for England and for Wales separately exclude deaths to persons usually resident outside England and Wales, but these deaths are included in the totals for England and Wales combined, and the United Kingdom. 51 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 2.2 Autumn 1999 Key demographic and health indicators Numbers (thousands), rates, percentages, mean age Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Dependency ratio Population Live births Deaths Children* Elderly† United Kingdom 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 55,928.0 56,216.1 56,352.2 56,851.9 57,807.9 58,006.5 58,191.2 58,394.6 58,605.8 58,801.5 59,008.6 901.6 675.5 730.8 755.0 792.5 781.0 761.7 750.7 732.0 733.4 726.8 717.2‡ 645.1 680.8 658.0 660.7 646.2 634.2 658.5 627.6 645.5 636.0 629.7 627.6‡ 43.8 42.1 37.1 33.5 33.1 33.3 33.6 33.8 33.8 33.6 33.4 28.0 29.5 29.7 29.6 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5 England 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 46,411.7 46,659.9 46,820.8 47,342.4 48,208.1 48,378.3 48,532.7 48,707.5 48,903.4 49,089.1 49,284.2 740.1 550.4 598.2 623.6 660.8 651.8 636.5 629.0 613.2 614.2 608.6 602.5‡ 532.4 560.3 541.0 544.5 534.0 522.7 541.1 517.6 532.6 524.0 519.1 518.1 42.9 41.4 36.4 33.1 32.8 33.1 33.4 33.6 33.6 33.4 33.3 Wales 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2,740.3 2,799.3 2,813.5 2,819.6 2,891.5 2,898.5 2,906.5 2,913.0 2,916.8 2,921.1 2,926.9 43.1 33.4 35.8 37.0 38.1 37.5 36.6 35.4 34.5 34.9 34.5 33.4‡ 34.8 36.3 35.0 34.7 34.1 33.8 35.9 33.9 35.6 34.6 34.6 33.9 Scotland 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 5,235.6 5,233.4 5,180.2 5,123.0 5,107.0 5,111.2 5,120.2 5,132.4 5,136.6 5,128.0 5,122.5 86.7 64.9 69.1 65.8 67.0 65.8 63.3 61.7 60.1 59.3 59.4 57.4‡ Northern Ireland 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1,540.4 1,523.5 1,537.7 1,566.8 1,601.4 1,618.4 1,631.8 1,641.7 1,649.0 1,663.3 1,675.0 31.8 26.4 27.3 28.2 26.3 25.6 24.9 24.3 23.9 24.6 24.3 23.9‡ Live births TPFR** Expectation of life (in years) at birth Outside marriage as percentage of total live births Mean age of mother at birth (years) Agestandardised mortality rate†† Males Females Infant mortality rate*** 2.41 1.74 1.82 1.78 1.82 1.79 1.76 1.74 1.71 1.72 1.72 1.72‡ 8.2 9.0 12.5 21.0 29.8 30.8 31.8 32.0 33.6 35.5 36.7 37.6‡ 26.2 26.4 26.8 27.0 27.6 27.9 28.1 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.8 28.9‡ 10,448 10,486 9,506 8,897 8,107 7,860 8,037 7,622 7,706 7,522 7,370 7,344 ‡ 68.8 69.6 70.8 71.9 73.2 73.4 73.7 73.9 74.1 74.3‡ 75.0 75.2 76.8 77.7 78.8 78.9 79.1 79.2 79.4 79.5‡ 17.9 14.5 11.2 9.5 7.4 6.6 8.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 5.9‡ 28.1 29.7 29.9 29.8 29.9 30.0 29.9 29.8 29.8 29.6 29.5 2.37 1.70 1.79 1.87 1.81 1.79 1.76 1.74 1.71 1.73 1.72 1.72‡ 8.5 9.2 12.9 21.4 30.1 31.1 32.0 32.2 33.7 35.5 36.7 37.5‡ 26.4 26.8 27.0 27.7 27.9 28.1 28.4 28.6 28.7 28.8 29.0‡ 10,278 10,271 9,298 8,694 7,941 7,678 7,825 7,440 7,526 7,333 7,190 7,175 ‡ 71.1 72.0 73.4 73.7 74.0 74.1 74.4 74.6‡ 77.0 77.9 79.0 79.1 79.3 79.4 79.6 79.7‡ 43.4 42.0 37.6 34.4 34.4 34.6 34.9 35.1 35.0 34.7 34.5 29.8 30.9 31.6 32.5 33.4 33.6 33.6 33.6 33.6 33.5 33.5 2.44 1.79 1.87 1.86 1.88 1.87 1.84 1.79 1.78 1.82 1.82 1.77‡ 7.2 8.7 11.2 21.1 32.3 34.0 35.2 36.0 38.1 41.2 42.8 44.4‡ 26.0 26.6 26.5 27.0 27.3 27.4 27.7 27.8 27.8 28.0 28.0 11,175 10,858 9,846 9,012 8,074 7,886 8,227 7,753 7,953 7,664 7,578 7,419 ‡ 61.6 65.3 63.8 63.5 61.0 60.9 64.0 59.3 60.5 60.7 59.5 59.2‡ 48.2 44.7 38.2 33.5 32.2 32.3 32.5 32.6 32.5 32.3 32.0 27.1 28.4 28.4 28.0 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.6 28.7 28.7 28.8 2.53 1.80 1.84 1.67 1.70 1.67 1.62 1.58 1.55 1.55 1.57 1.54‡ 8.1 9.3 12.2 20.6 29.1 30.3 31.3 31.2 33.7 36.0 37.7 39.0‡ 26.0 26.3 26.6 27.4 27.7 27.9 28.2 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.8‡ 17.6 17.0 16.3 16.1 15.1 15.0 15.6 15.1 15.3 15.2 15.0 15.0‡ 56.6 56.1 50.6 46.5 44.0 43.6 43.3 42.9 42.3 41.6 40.8 24.0 25.3 25.3 24.7 25.6 25.4 25.4 25.2 25.1 24.9 25.0 3.13 2.70 2.60 2.46 2.18 2.09 2.01 1.95 1.91 1.95 1.93 1.91‡ 3.8 5.0 7.0 12.7 20.2 21.9 21.9 22.0 23.1 25.9 26.6 28.3‡ 27.4 27.6 27.6 28.0 28.1 28.4 28.6 28.8 28.8 29.0 29.1‡ 52 18.4 13.7 12.6 9.5 6.6 6.0 5.5 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.9‡ 70.4 71.6 73.2 73.3 73.5 73.5 73.8 74.0‡ 76.4 77.6 78.9 78.9 79.0 79.0 79.2 79.2‡ 11,444 11,675 10,849 10,135 9,254 9,146 9,529 8,840 8,887 8,868 8,623 8,593 ‡ 67.3 68.2 69.1 70.2 71.4 71.5 71.7 71.9 72.1 72.2 73.7 74.4 75.3 76.2 77.1 77.1 77.3 77.4 77.6 77.8 19.9 14.8 11.3 8.8 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.3‡ 11,607 11,746 10,567 10,071 8,564 8,347 8,600 8,256 8,255 8,057 7,810 7,818 ‡ 67.6 67.5 69.1 70.6 72.3 72.5 72.8 72.9 73.3 73.6 73.7 73.8 75.4 76.7 78.1 78.3 78.4 78.4 78.7 78.9 22.7 18.3 13.2 10.2 7.4 6.0 7.1 6.1 7.1 5.8 5.6‡ ‡ Provisional. * Percentage of children under 16 to working population (males 16–64 and females 16–59). † Percentage of males 65 and over and females 60 and over to working population (males 16–64 and females 16–59). ** TPFR (the total period fertility rate) is the number of children that would be born to a woman if current patterns of fertility persisted throughout her childbearing life. †† Per million population. The age-standardised mortality rate makes allowances for changes in the age structure of the population. See Notes to tables. ***Deaths under one year per 1,000 live births. Notes: 1. Some of these indicators are also in other tables. They are brought together to make comparison easier. 2. Figures for England and Wales represent the number of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. Office for National Statistics 17.5 14.2 10.9 9.5 7.3 6.5 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.9‡ Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 3.1 Live births: age of mother Numbers (thousands), rates, mean age and TPFRs England and Wales Age of mother at birth Year and quarter Autumn 1999 All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 Age of mother at birth 35–39 40 and over All ages Under 20 Total live births (numbers) 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40 and over Mean age (years) TPFR† Age-specific fertility rates* 1961 1964(max)† 1966 1971 1976 1977(min)† 1981 1986 1991 811.3 876.0 849.8 783.2 584.3 569.3 634.5 661.0 699.2 59.8 76.7 86.7 82.6 57.9 54.5 56.6 57.4 52.4 249.8 276.1 285.8 285.7 182.2 174.5 194.5 192.1 173.4 248.5 270.7 253.7 247.2 220.7 207.9 215.8 229.0 248.7 152.3 153.5 136.4 109.6 90.8 100.8 126.6 129.5 161.3 77.5 75.4 67.0 45.2 26.1 25.5 34.2 45.5 53.6 23.3 23.6 20.1 12.7 6.5 6.0 6.9 7.6 9.8 89.2 92.9 90.5 83.5 60.4 58.1 61.3 60.6 63.6 37.3 42.5 47.7 50.6 32.2 29.4 28.1 30.1 33.0 172.6 181.6 176.0 152.9 109.3 103.7 105.3 92.7 89.3 176.9 187.3 174.0 153.2 118.7 117.5 129.1 124.0 119.4 103.1 107.7 97.3 77.1 57.2 58.6 68.6 78.1 86.7 48.1 49.8 45.3 32.8 18.6 18.2 21.7 24.6 32.1 15.0 13.7 12.5 8.7 4.8 4.4 4.9 4.8 5.3 27.6 27.2 26.8 26.2 26.4 26.5 26.8 27.0 27.7 2.77 2.93 2.75 2.37 1.71 1.66 1.80 1.77 1.82 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 689.7 673.5 664.7 648.1 649.5 643.1 635.9 47.9 45.1 42.0 41.9 44.7 46.4 48.3 163.3 152.0 140.2 130.7 125.7 118.6 113.5 244.8 236.0 229.1 217.4 211.1 202.8 193.1 166.8 171.1 179.6 181.2 186.4 187.5 188.5 56.7 58.8 63.1 65.5 69.5 74.9 78.9 10.2 10.5 10.7 11.3 12.1 12.9 13.6 63.5 62.6 61.9 60.4 60.5 59.8 59.1 31.7 31.0 29.0 28.5 29.8 30.2 30.7 86.2 82.7 79.4 76.8 77.5 76.6 75.4 117.3 114.1 112.1 108.6 106.9 104.8 102.6 87.2 87.0 88.7 87.3 88.6 88.8 89.9 33.4 34.1 35.8 36.2 37.2 38.9 39.9 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.2 7.6 7.8 27.9 28.1 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.8 28.9 1.80 1.76 1.75 1.72 1.73 1.73 1.73 1996 Dec 164.2 12.0 32.1 52.6 46.6 17.7 3.2 61.9 32 82 109 90 38 8 28.6 1.79 1997 March June Sept Dec 158.1 163.3 164.9 156.8 11.5 11.3 11.8 11.8 29.8 29.5 30.3 29.0 50.4 51.6 52.1 48.7 45.7 48.4 48.1 45.4 17.7 19.2 19.3 18.7 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.2 60.8 60.4 59.0 59.0 31 29 30 31 78 75 76 76 107 106 104 103 90 91 88 87 38 40 38 39 8 8 7 8 28.7 28.9 28.8 28.8 1.75 1.74 1.71 1.72 1998 March‡ June‡ Sept‡ Dec‡ 155.8 158.6 166.1 155.4 11.7 11.4 12.7 12.4 27.8 27.5 29.8 28.5 47.9 48.6 50.6 46.1 46.2 48.1 48.9 45.4 18.8 19.7 20.7 19.6 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.4 59.5 58.8 59.6 58.6 31 29 31 32 75 73 76 77 103 103 104 101 90 91 90 88 39 40 40 40 8 8 8 8 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 1.73 1.71 1.74 1.72 1999 March‡ 151.9 12.0 27.0 44.9 45.0 19.6 3.4 58.1 31 74 101 89 40 8 29.9 1.71 * Births per 1,000 women in the age-group; all quarterly rates and total period fertility rates (TPFRs) are seasonally adjusted. † TPFR (the total period fertility rate) is the number of children that would be born to a woman if current patterns of fertility persisted throughout her childbearing life. During the post Second World War period the TPFR reached a maximum in 1964 and a minimum in 1997. ‡ Provisional. Note: The rates for women of all ages, under 20, and 40 and over are based upon the populations of women aged 15–44, 15–19, and 40–44 respectively. 53 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 3.2 Autumn 1999 Live births outside marriage: age of mother and type of registration Numbers (thousands), mean age and percentages Age of mother at birth Year and quarter All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 England and Wales Age of mother at birth 35–39 40 and over Mean age (years) All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 Registration* 35–39 40 and over Joint Sole Same Different address† address† Percentage of total births As a percentage of all births outside marriage { Live births outside marriage (numbers) 65.7 53.8 81.0 21.6 19.8 26.4 22.0 16.6 28.8 11.5 9.7 14.3 6.2 4.7 7.9 3.2 2.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 23.7 23.3 23.4 8.4 9.2 12.8 26.1 34.2 46.7 7.7 9.1 14.8 4.7 4.4 6.6 5.7 5.2 6.2 7.0 8.6 3.9 9.0 10.1 12.5 45.5 51.0 58.2 54.5 49.0 41.8 1986 1991 1992 141.3 211.3 215.2 39.6 43.4 40.1 54.1 77.8 77.1 27.7 52.4 55.9 13.1 25.7 28.9 5.7 9.8 10.9 1.1 2.1 2.3 23.8 24.8 25.2 21.4 30.2 31.2 69.0 82.9 83.7 28.2 44.9 47.2 12.1 21.1 22.8 10.1 16.0 17.3 12.6 18.3 19.3 14.7 21.3 22.9 46.6 54.6 55.4 19.6 19.8 20.7 33.8 25.6 23.9 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 216.5 215.5 219.9 232.7 238.2 240.6 38.2 35.9 36.3 39.3 41.1 43.0 75.0 71.0 69.7 71.1 69.5 67.8 57.5 58.5 59.6 62.3 63.4 62.4 31.4 34.0 37.0 40.5 42.2 43.9 11.9 13.4 14.4 16.2 18.2 19.6 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.7 3.9 25.4 25.8 25.9 26.0 26.2 26.3 32.2 32.4 33.9 35.8 37.0 37.8 84.8 85.5 86.6 88.0 88.7 89.1 49.4 50.6 53.3 56.5 58.6 59.7 24.4 25.5 27.4 29.5 31.3 32.3 18.4 18.9 20.4 21.7 22.5 23.3 20.2 21.2 22.0 23.4 25.0 24.8 23.5 25.2 26.2 26.7 28.6 29.0 54.8 57.5 58.1 58.1 59.5 60.9 22.0 19.8 20.1 19.9 19.3 18.3 23.2 22.7 21.8 21.9 21.2 20.8 1996 Dec 61.3 10.6 18.7 16.4 10.5 4.2 0.8 26.0 37.3 87.9 58.2 31.2 22.6 23.9 26.7 58.2 19.9 21.8 1997 March 1997 June 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 58.5 58.9 61.4 59.3 10.2 10.1 10.5 10.4 17.4 17.1 17.9 17.2 15.7 15.5 16.5 15.7 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.4 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 26.1 26.3 26.2 26.2 37.0 36.1 37.3 37.8 88.7 89.1 88.8 88.3 58.4 58.0 58.9 59.2 31.0 30.1 31.8 32.2 22.4 22.0 22.7 23.0 23.9 24.3 24.4 24.8 28.7 28.4 27.8 29.3 58.4 59.6 59.9 60.0 19.5 19.4 18.9 19.2 22.1 21.0 21.2 20.7 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 58.5 58.4 63.2 60.5 10.4 10.3 11.3 11.0 16.5 16.2 17.9 17.2 15.3 15.4 16.3 15.4 10.7 10.8 11.5 10.9 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 26.3 26.4 26.3 26.3 37.5 36.8 38.1 38.9 89.0 89.6 89.2 88.5 59.5 59.1 60.0 60.4 31.9 31.8 32.3 33.3 23.1 22.5 23.6 24.0 24.4 24.0 25.2 25.6 29.6 28.3 28.5 29.6 60.5 61.0 60.9 61.2 18.4 18.2 18.4 18.4 21.1 20.8 20.7 20.4 1999 March‡ 58.9 10.7 16.3 15.0 10.9 5.0 1.0 26.3 38.8 89.7 60.4 33.4 24.1 25.4 29.4 61.5 18.1 20.4 { 1971 1976 1981 * Births outside marriage can be registered by both the mother and father (joint) or by the mother alone (sole). † Usual address of parents. ‡ Provisional. Office for National Statistics 54 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 4.1 Autumn 1999 Conceptions: age of woman at conception Numbers (thousands) and rates; and percentage terminated by abortion England and Wales (residents) Age of woman at conception Year and quarter All ages Under 16 Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40 and over (a) numbers (thousands) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997‡ 871.5 853.6 828.0 819.0 801.6 790.3 816.1 799.2 8.6 7.8 7.3 7.2 7.8 8.0 8.8 8.3 115.1 103.3 93.0 86.7 85.0 86.2 94.4 95.5 245.2 234.1 215.0 202.9 189.6 180.4 179.1 166.5 283.8 281.1 274.8 271.4 261.5 249.9 251.9 241.8 160.2 166.3 172.9 181.9 185.9 191.2 200.5 201.2 55.4 56.9 60.1 63.5 66.7 69.2 76.0 79.4 11.8 11.9 12.2 12.6 12.9 13.3 14.2 14.8 1995 March 1995 June 1995 Sept 1995 Dec 193.2 194.1 195.2 207.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 20.9 21.3 21.0 23.0 45.2 44.7 43.3 47.2 61.4 61.1 62.0 65.4 45.8 46.4 48.4 50.6 16.6 17.2 17.2 18.2 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 1996 March 1996 June 1996 Sept 1996 Dec 206.3 200.7 202.3 206.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 24.1 23.7 22.5 24.1 47.2 44.4 42.9 44.7 63.8 61.9 63.0 63.2 49.4 48.9 51.0 51.3 18.4 18.4 19.3 19.8 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 1997 March‡ 1997 June ‡ 1997 Sept ‡ 1997 Dec ‡ 193.9 198.1 199.0 208.2 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.1 23.1 23.8 23.2 25.5 41.4 41.5 40.2 43.3 59.3 59.6 60.5 62.3 47.7 49.9 51.3 52.3 18.7 19.6 20.1 20.9 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.9 (b) rates (conceptions per thousand women in age group) 1990 79.2 10.1 1991 77.7 9.3 1992 76.3 8.5 1993 76.1 8.1 1994 74.7 8.3 1995 73.7 8.5 1996 76.0 9.4 1997‡ 74.3 8.9 69.1 65.1 61.7 59.6 58.6 58.7 63.0 62.3 124.4 120.6 113.5 110.4 107.3 105.9 110.4 107.5 137.8 135.0 131.7 131.2 128.0 124.8 127.6 124.9 89.1 89.4 90.4 92.5 91.8 92.1 95.3 95.3 33.2 34.0 35.4 36.8 37.8 38.2 40.7 41.2 6.4 6.4 7.0 7.4 7.7 8.0 8.5 8.7 1995 March 1995 June 1995 Sept 1995 Dec 73.0 72.6 72.2 76.8 8.2 8.7 8.7 8.6 58.0 58.2 56.5 61.7 106.0 104.9 101.5 112.0 123.5 122.1 123.1 130.2 90.3 89.9 92.5 96.2 37.6 38.2 37.5 39.5 8.0 8.1 7.8 8.0 1996 March 1996 June 1996 Sept 1996 Dec 77.3 75.2 74.9 76.5 9.9 9.8 9.1 9.0 65.2 63.7 59.6 63.4 114.9 109.3 105.8 111.5 129.4 125.8 127.2 128.3 94.9 93.6 96.4 96.8 40.1 39.7 41.0 41.8 8.1 8.6 8.6 8.6 1997 March‡ 1997 June ‡ 1997 Sept ‡ 1997 Dec ‡ 73.1 73.9 73.4 76.8 8.7 9.4 8.6 8.9 61.6 62.3 60.3 65.8 106.5 106.9 104.2 113.1 123.4 123.2 125.6 130.1 91.8 94.8 97.3 99.3 39.9 41.0 41.6 43.0 8.6 8.9 8.5 9.1 (c) percentage terminated by abortion 1990 19.9 1991 19.3 1992 19.3 1993 19.2 1994 19.5 1995 19.7 1996 20.8 1997‡ 21.3 50.6 51.0 51.0 52.1 52.8 49.8 51.5 51.8 35.6 34.4 34.5 34.9 35.3 35.2 36.8 37.3 22.2 22.1 22.4 22.9 23.5 24.3 25.9 26.8 13.5 13.4 13.9 13.8 14.3 14.8 15.6 16.4 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.4 13.4 13.4 14.0 14.1 23.3 22.0 21.8 21.2 20.8 20.3 20.9 20.8 43.3 41.8 40.6 39.4 40.0 37.2 36.7 37.2 1995 March 1995 June 1995 Sept 1995 Dec 19.8 20.2 19.3 19.6 48.7 48.8 52.1 49.3 35.3 35.4 35.1 34.8 23.8 24.7 24.1 24.5 14.9 15.4 14.4 14.5 13.8 13.8 12.9 13.4 20.6 20.8 19.6 20.3 38.0 37.4 38.1 35.3 1996 March 1996 June 1996 Sept 1996 Dec 21.0 21.3 19.8 21.1 49.4 51.6 52.9 52.5 36.7 37.2 35.7 37.7 25.6 26.6 24.8 26.4 15.8 16.0 14.9 15.9 14.3 14.3 13.2 14.2 21.5 21.6 20.0 20.8 36.1 37.2 36.4 37.1 1997 March‡ 1997 June ‡ 1997 Sept ‡ 1997 Dec ‡ 21.4 21.8 20.6 21.6 50.8 52.0 50.2 54.1 36.6 37.3 37.2 38.2 26.7 27.3 25.9 27.2 16.6 16.8 15.8 16.5 14.4 14.5 13.5 14.2 20.7 21.7 20.4 20.3 37.7 38.2 35.5 37.2 ‡ Provisional Notes: 1. Conceptions are estimates derived from birth registrations and abortion notifications. 2. Rates for women of all ages, under 16, under 20 and 40 and over are based on the population of women aged 15–44, 13–15, 15–19 and 40–44 respectively. Some figures for September 1996 onwards have been amended. These rates use mid-1997 population estimates. 55 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 4.2 Autumn 1999 Abortions: residents and non-residents; age and gestation (residents only) Numbers (thousands) and rates; and percentages for gestation weeks Englandand andWales Wales England All women (residents) All ages Year and quarter All women Residents** Numbers (thousands) 126.8 94.6 129.7 101.9 162.5 128.6 172.3 147.6 179.5 167.4 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998++ Age group Gestation weeks (percentages) Nonresidents Under 16 16–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–44 45 and over 32.2 27.8 33.9 24.7 12.1 2.3 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.2 18.2 24.0 31.4 33.8 31.1 24.5 23.6 34.3 45.3 52.7 17.3 19.3 21.9 28.7 38.6 14.2 14.6 18.7 18.0 23.4 15.9 14.7 17.6 17.5 17.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 Under 9 9–12 Percentages 16.6 57.9 24.8 55.8 31.0 53.4 33.4 53.8 35.2 52.9 13–19 20 and over 21.8 15.0 13.5 11.5 10.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 172.1 168.7 166.9 163.6 177.5 179.7 186.9 160.5 157.8 156.5 154.3 167.9 170.1 177.3 11.6 10.9 10.3 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.4 3.7 27.6 25.8 25.1 24.9 28.8 29.9 33.2 49.0 46.8 44.9 43.4 46.4 45.0 45.6 38.4 38.1 38.1 37.3 39.3 40.2 40.3 23.9 24.7 25.5 25.8 28.2 28.9 30.4 18.1 18.8 19.1 19.2 21.1 22.3 23.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 36.8 39.2 40.5 41.9 40.0 41.2 41.4 51.8 49.7 48.4 47.3 48.7 47.9 47.6 10.3 9.9 9.9 9.6 10.1 9.6 9.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1995 March June Sept Dec 42.9 40.0 41.3 39.5 40.4 37.7 38.9 37.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 6.5 6.0 6.4 6.1 11.6 10.6 10.8 10.4 9.6 9.2 9.5 9.0 6.7 6.3 6.4 6.3 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 39.1 41.9 42.2 44.6 49.4 47.5 46.7 45.4 10.4 9.4 9.7 8.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1996 March June Sept Dec 45.7 45.5 44.0 42.4 43.2 42.9 41.6 40.1 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 12.4 11.9 11.2 10.8 10.2 10.1 9.8 9.3 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.8 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 38.0 38.9 40.0 43.1 50.5 49.3 48.3 46.3 10.2 10.5 10.3 9.3 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1997 March June Sept Dec 46.2 45.2 45.1 43.3 43.6 42.8 42.7 41.0 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 7.7 7.4 7.5 7.4 11.8 11.4 11.1 10.7 10.3 10.2 10.0 9.6 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.0 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 37.4 41.3 42.0 44.5 50.2 48.0 47.2 46.0 11.1 9.4 9.6 8.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1998++ March June Sept Dec 47.9 46.1 46.6 45.2 45.4 43.7 44.2 43.0 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 8.6 8.1 8.2 8.0 11.9 11.3 11.2 10.9 10.3 10.0 10.0 9.7 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.5 5.8 5.8 6.1 5.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 37.6 40.9 42.6 45.0 50.3 48.1 46.6 45.0 10.8 9.5 9.5 8.9 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.2 1999++ March 47.0 44.7 2.4 0.9 8.6 11.7 9.8 7.5 6.0 0.1 40.2 48.1 10.3 1.4 Rates (per thousand women 14–49) 1971 : 8.4 1976 : 8.9 1981 : 10.6 1986 : 11.7 1991 : 13.1 : : : : : 3.5 4.4 4.5 5.4 5.6 13.9 16.9 19.4 22.0 24.0 13.1 14.2 19.1 21.9 27.2 10.7 10.4 13.3 15.5 18.6 10.0 9.2 10.3 10.9 12.7 5.6 5.3 5.9 5.1 5.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998++ : : : : : : : 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.0 13.0 13.3 13.8 : : : : : : : 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.8 5.5 6.0 22.4 22.0 22.0 21.7 24.3 24.5 27.1 25.9 25.5 25.4 25.5 28.6 29.0 29.5 18.4 18.4 18.6 18.6 19.9 20.8 20.8 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.4 13.4 13.7 14.4 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.5 6.0 6.1 6.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 1995 March June Sept Dec : : : : 12.8 11.8 12.0 11.5 : : : : 5.6 4.9 5.1 5.2 22.9 21.0 21.9 21.0 27.7 24.9 25.2 24.1 19.5 18.4 18.7 17.8 13.1 12.2 12.3 12.1 5.8 5.4 5.6 5.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 1996 March June Sept Dec : : : : 13.5 13.4 12.8 12.4 : : : : 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.8 25.0 24.9 24.0 23.5 30.7 29.6 27.5 26.5 20.7 20.6 19.7 18.7 13.8 13.7 13.3 12.9 5.9 6.1 6.1 5.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1997 March June Sept Dec : : : : 13.8 13.4 13.2 12.7 : : : : 5.7 5.4 5.7 5.3 25.5 24.1 24.3 24.0 30.8 29.6 28.3 27.4 21.7 21.1 20.6 19.7 14.1 13.8 13.8 13.1 6.2 6.2 6.3 5.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 1998++ March June Sept Dec : : : : 14.4 13.7 13.7 13.3 : : : : 6.3 5.7 6.1 5.9 28.5 26.4 26.7 26.0 31.2 29.3 28.8 28.0 21.7 20.8 20.4 19.8 14.7 14.3 14.2 14.0 6.5 6.4 6.7 6.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1999++* March : 14.0 : 5.8 27.2 31.1 21.7 14.4 6.3 0.3 ++ * ** Provisional The denominators used to calculate rates are the 1999 population projections Includes cases with not stated age and/or gestation weeks. Office for National Statistics 56 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 5.1 Expectation of life (in years) at birth and selected age Autumn 1999 Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Males Year At birth Females At age Year 5 20 30 50 60 70 80 At birth At age 5 20 30 50 60 70 80 United Kingdom 1971 1976 68.8 69.6 65.3 66.0 50.9 51.4 41.3 41.9 23.0 23.4 15.3 15.7 9.5 9.6 5.5 5.6 1971 1976 75.0 75.2 71.4 72.0 56.7 57.3 47.0 47.5 28.3 28.7 19.8 20.3 12.5 12.9 6.9 7.2 1981 1986 70.8 71.9 66.9 67.8 52.3 53.2 42.7 43.6 24.1 24.9 16.3 16.8 10.1 10.5 5.7 6.0 1981 1986 76.8 77.7 72.7 73.5 57.9 58.7 48.1 48.9 29.2 29.8 20.8 21.2 13.3 13.8 7.5 7.9 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 73.2 73.4 73.7 73.9 74.1 74.3 68.9 69.1 69.3 69.5 69.7 69.9 54.2 54.4 54.6 54.8 55.0 55.2 44.7 44.8 45.1 45.2 45.5 45.7 26.0 26.1 26.4 26.5 26.8 26.9 17.7 17.8 18.0 18.1 18.4 18.5 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.3 11.5 11.6 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 78.8 78.9 79.1 79.2 79.4 79.5 74.4 74.4 74.6 74.7 74.9 75.0 59.6 59.6 59.8 59.9 60.1 60.1 49.7 49.8 50.0 50.0 50.2 50.3 30.7 30.7 30.9 31.0 31.2 31.2 21.9 21.9 22.1 22.2 22.4 22.4 14.4 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.6 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 England and Wales 1971 69.0 1976 69.9 65.6 66.2 51.1 51.6 41.5 42.1 23.1 23.5 15.4 15.8 9.5 9.7 5.5 5.7 1971 1976 75.2 76.0 71.6 72.2 56.9 57.4 47.1 47.7 28.4 28.8 20.0 20.4 12.6 13.0 7.0 7.2 1981 1986 71.0 72.1 67.1 68.0 52.5 53.4 42.9 43.8 24.3 25.0 16.4 16.9 10.1 10.6 5.8 6.1 1981 1986 77.0 77.9 72.9 73.6 58.1 58.9 48.3 49.0 29.4 30.0 20.9 21.4 13.4 13.9 7.5 7.9 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 73.4 73.6 74.0 74.1 74.4 74.6 69.1 69.3 69.6 69.7 70.0 70.2 54.5 54.6 54.9 55.0 55.2 55.4 44.9 45.0 45.3 45.4 45.7 45.9 26.2 26.3 26.5 26.7 26.9 27.1 17.9 17.9 18.2 18.3 18.5 18.7 11.2 11.2 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.7 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 79.0 79.1 79.3 79.4 79.6 79.7 74.6 74.6 74.8 74.9 75.1 75.2 59.8 59.8 60.0 60.1 60.3 60.3 49.9 50.0 50.2 50.3 50.4 50.6 30.8 30.9 31.1 31.2 31.3 31.4 22.1 22.1 22.3 22.3 22.5 22.6 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.7 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 England 1981 1986 71.1 72.2 67.1 68.1 52.5 53.4 42.9 43.8 24.3 25.1 16.4 17.0 10.1 10.6 5.8 6.1 1981 1986 77.0 77.9 72.9 73.7 58.2 58.9 48.4 49.1 29.4 30.0 20.9 21.4 13.4 13.9 7.5 7.9 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 73.4 73.7 74.0 74.1 74.4 74.6 69.1 69.3 69.6 69.7 70.0 70.2 54.5 54.6 54.9 55.0 55.3 55.5 44.9 45.0 45.3 45.5 45.7 45.9 26.2 26.3 26.6 26.7 27.0 27.2 17.9 18.0 18.2 18.3 18.5 18.7 11.2 11.2 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.7 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.7 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 79.0 79.1 79.3 79.4 79.6 79.7 74.6 74.6 74.9 74.9 75.1 75.2 59.8 59.8 60.0 60.1 60.3 60.4 49.9 50.0 50.2 50.3 50.5 50.6 30.9 30.9 31.1 31.2 31.4 31.4 22.1 22.1 22.3 22.4 22.5 22.6 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.8 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 Wales 1981 1986 70.4 71.6 66.5 67.5 51.9 52.9 42.2 43.3 23.6 24.6 15.8 16.6 9.7 10.4 5.5 6.0 1981 1986 76.4 77.6 72.3 73.3 57.5 58.5 47.7 48.7 28.9 29.7 20.4 21.1 13.1 13.8 7.4 7.8 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 73.2 73.3 73.5 73.5 73.8 74.0 68.9 68.9 69.1 69.1 69.4 69.5 54.2 54.2 54.4 54.4 54.7 54.8 44.6 44.7 44.9 44.9 45.2 45.4 25.9 25.9 26.1 26.2 26.5 26.6 17.6 17.7 17.8 17.9 18.1 18.3 11.0 11.0 11.2 11.1 11.3 11.4 6.4 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996‡ 78.9 78.9 79.0 79.0 79.2 79.2 74.4 74.4 74.5 74.5 74.7 74.7 59.6 59.6 59.7 59.7 59.8 59.8 49.8 49.8 49.9 49.8 50.0 50.0 30.7 30.7 30.8 30.8 30.9 31.0 21.9 21.9 22.0 22.0 22.2 22.2 14.4 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.5 14.5 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 Scotland 1971 1976 67.3 68.2 64.0 64.4 49.5 49.9 40.1 40.4 22.0 22.3 14.6 14.9 9.1 9.2 5.4 5.3 1971 1976 73.7 74.4 70.1 70.6 55.4 55.9 45.6 46.1 27.2 27.6 19.0 19.4 11.9 12.4 6.7 6.9 1981 1986 69.1 70.2 65.2 66.0 50.6 51.4 41.1 41.9 22.9 23.5 15.4 15.8 9.5 9.9 5.5 5.7 1981 1986 75.3 76.2 71.2 71.9 56.4 57.1 46.7 47.3 27.9 28.4 19.7 20.1 12.7 13.0 7.2 7.5 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 71.4 71.5 71.7 71.9 72.1 72.2 67.1 67.2 67.3 67.5 67.7 67.8 52.5 52.5 52.7 52.8 53.1 53.1 43.0 43.1 43.2 43.4 43.6 43.7 24.6 24.6 24.8 24.9 25.2 25.3 16.6 16.6 16.8 16.9 17.2 17.3 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.8 10.9 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 77.1 77.1 77.3 77.4 77.6 77.8 72.6 72.6 72.8 72.9 73.2 73.2 57.8 57.8 58.0 58.1 58.3 58.4 48.1 48.1 48.2 48.3 48.6 48.7 29.1 29.1 29.3 29.4 29.6 29.7 20.6 20.6 20.7 20.8 21.0 21.1 13.4 13.4 13.4 13.5 13.7 13.7 7.8 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.9 Northern Ireland 1971 1976 67.6 67.5 64.6 64.1 50.1 49.7 40.7 40.5 22.6 22.5 15.0 14.9 9.4 9.2 5.3 4.8 1971 1976 73.7 73.8 70.4 70.4 55.6 55.7 45.9 46.0 27.3 27.3 18.9 19.0 11.7 11.8 6.5 6.1 1981 1986 69.1 70.6 65.3 66.4 50.8 51.8 41.4 42.4 23.1 23.9 15.5 16.0 9.6 10.0 5.5 5.7 1981 1986 75.4 76.7 71.4 72.5 56.7 57.7 47.0 47.9 28.1 28.9 19.9 20.4 12.6 13.0 7.1 7.2 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 72.3 72.5 72.8 72.9 73.3 73.6 67.9 68.2 68.4 68.6 68.9 69.2 53.3 53.6 53.8 54.0 54.3 54.5 43.8 44.1 44.4 44.5 44.8 45.0 25.2 25.5 25.6 25.8 26.1 26.3 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.5 17.7 17.9 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 78.1 78.3 78.4 78.4 78.7 78.9 73.7 73.9 74.0 74.0 74.2 74.5 58.9 59.1 59.2 59.2 59.4 59.7 49.1 49.3 49.4 49.4 49.6 49.8 30.0 30.2 30.3 30.3 30.5 30.7 21.3 21.5 21.6 21.6 21.7 21.9 13.8 13.9 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.1 7.8 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 Note: Figures from 1981 are calculated from the population estimates revised in the light of the 1991 Census. All figures are based on a three-year period; see Notes to tables for further information. ‡ Provisional. 57 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 6.1 Autumn 1999 Deaths: age and sex Numbers (thousands) and rates England and Wales Age group Year and quarter All ages Under 1* 1–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over Numbers (thousands) Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 288.4 300.1 289.0 287.9 277.6 271.7 7.97 4.88 4.12 3.72 2.97 2.61 1.23 0.88 0.65 0.57 0.55 0.49 0.92 0.68 0.45 0.32 0.34 0.30 0.69 0.64 0.57 0.38 0.35 0.32 1.54 1.66 1.73 1.43 1.21 0.97 1.77 1.66 1.58 1.75 1.76 1.62 3.05 3.24 3.18 3.10 3.69 3.75 6.68 5.93 5.54 5.77 6.16 5.95 21.0 20.4 16.9 14.4 13.3 13.1 55.7 52.0 46.9 43.6 34.9 33.7 89.8 98.7 92.2 84.4 77.2 76.4 71.9 80.3 86.8 96.2 95.8 92.7 26.1 29.0 28.5 32.2 39.3 39.9 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 279.6 267.6 274.4 268.7 264.9 264.2 2.41 2.37 2.31 2.27 2.14 2.06 0.51 0.43 0.39 0.44 0.41 0.42 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.24 0.27 0.25 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.29 0.33 0.31 0.91 0.84 0.91 0.93 0.95 0.96 1.60 1.55 1.53 1.41 1.44 1.40 3.81 4.07 4.04 4.06 3.94 4.11 5.78 5.77 5.88 5.84 5.71 5.89 13.4 12.9 13.5 13.6 13.5 13.6 33.3 31.3 31.0 30.1 28.9 28.9 78.9 76.3 75.0 71.0 68.0 66.0 93.8 88.2 92.3 90.7 90.2 90.0 44.5 43.2 47.1 47.8 49.1 50.2 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 278.9 298.5 288.9 293.3 292.5 286.6 5.75 3.46 2.90 2.59 2.19 1.93 0.98 0.59 0.53 0.49 0.44 0.39 0.57 0.45 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.42 0.42 0.37 0.27 0.22 0.20 0.63 0.62 0.65 0.56 0.46 0.43 0.79 0.67 0.64 0.67 0.64 0.62 1.84 1.94 1.82 1.65 1.73 1.72 4.53 4.04 3.74 3.83 3.70 3.72 13.3 12.8 10.5 8.8 8.4 8.3 30.8 29.6 27.2 25.8 21.3 20.6 64.0 67.1 62.8 58.4 54.2 53.4 95.0 104.7 103.6 106.5 103.3 99.5 60.4 72.1 73.9 83.6 95.7 95.5 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 299.2 285.6 295.2 291.5 290.4 289.2 1.84 1.75 1.68 1.69 1.66 1.55 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.25 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.39 0.36 0.38 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.58 0.54 0.50 0.51 0.49 0.47 1.80 1.77 1.86 1.85 1.72 1.77 3.63 3.67 3.64 3.66 3.74 3.71 8.6 8.7 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.1 20.4 19.0 18.9 18.2 18.0 17.9 55.2 53.9 53.0 50.2 48.3 46.7 100.9 94.2 97.2 96.7 95.5 94.3 105.0 101.0 108.4 108.7 110.9 112.7 Rates (deaths per 1,000 population in each age group) Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 12.1 12.5 12.0 11.8 11.2 10.8 19.8 16.2 12.6 11.0 8.3 7.3 0.76 0.65 0.53 0.44 0.40 0.34 0.44 0.34 0.27 0.21 0.21 0.18 0.37 0.31 0.29 0.23 0.23 0.20 0.90 0.88 0.82 0.71 0.69 0.61 0.93 0.96 0.83 0.82 0.86 0.82 0.97 0.92 0.89 0.87 0.94 0.91 2.31 2.09 1.83 1.67 1.76 1.71 7.07 6.97 6.11 5.27 4.62 4.29 20.1 19.6 17.7 16.6 13.8 13.4 50.5 50.3 45.6 42.9 38.5 37.3 113.0 116.4 105.2 101.1 93.6 90.1 231.8 243.2 226.5 214.8 197.1 193.9 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 11.1 10.6 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.3 7.0 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.5 6.3 0.36 0.31 0.28 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.59 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.83 0.83 0.86 0.83 0.89 0.86 0.91 0.96 0.95 095 0.93 0.97 1.67 1.66 1.67 1.62 1.54 1.59 4.24 3.99 4.08 4.02 3.94 3.98 13.3 12.4 12.3 12.0 11.5 11.5 37.9 36.2 36.1 34.5 33.2 32.2 93.3 89.5 89.4 85.1 82.5 82.3 202.3 188.6 196.0 192.1 190.3 194.8 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 9.3 10.4 5.9 6.6 0.24 0.34 0.16 0.12 0.20 0.19 0.57 0.62 0.89 0.86 0.93 0.94 1.48 1.61 3.76 4.04 10.9 11.7 30.5 33.2 72.4 83.1 161.8 194.4 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 11.0 10.1 9.4 10.7 6.5 6.0 5.7 7.1 0.38 0.28 0.27 0.30 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.19 0.21 0.15 0.19 0.60 0.65 0.50 0.62 0.93 0.87 0.84 0.81 1.02 0.93 0.88 1.04 1.64 1.57 1.52 1.64 4.13 3.90 3.88 4.00 12.1 11.3 10.7 11.7 34.7 31.6 29.5 33.2 88.0 80.8 74.7 85.9 210.9 186.5 169.9 212.1 1999 March‡ 11.9 7.1 0.36 0.11 0.20 0.60 0.77 0.93 1.70 4.26 12.2 35.7 96.8 249.7 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 11.0 11.8 11.3 11.4 11.3 10.9 15.1 12.2 9.4 8.0 6.4 5.7 0.63 0.46 0.46 0.40 0.33 0.29 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.39 0.35 0.32 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.42 0.40 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.60 0.56 0.52 0.47 0.45 0.43 1.59 1.46 1.26 1.12 1.06 1.08 4.32 4.30 3.80 3.23 2.91 2.73 10.0 10.1 9.5 9.2 8.1 7.9 26.1 26.0 24.1 23.4 22.0 21.5 73.6 74.6 66.2 62.5 58.6 56.9 185.7 196.6 178.2 171.0 163.8 148.8 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 11.4 10.9 11.2 11.0 10.9 10.9 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.0 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.27 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.45 0.44 0.46 0.45 0.42 0.44 1.06 1.06 1.05 1.03 1.03 1.02 2.73 2.68 2.72 2.62 2.63 2.65 7.9 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 22.0 21.3 21.4 20.7 20.2 19.5 59.4 56.9 57.1 55.8 54.6 53.9 156.5 146.6 153.1 150.8 151.8 154.1 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 9.6 10.9 4.8 5.6 0.18 0.22 0.08 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.26 0.31 0.33 0.30 0.43 0.44 1.01 1.00 2.57 2.63 6.6 6.9 18.3 20.3 48.0 54.1 127.2 151.3 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 11.8 10.5 9.8 11.5 5.4 4.4 4.6 5.6 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.30 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.13 0.18 0.09 0.10 0.14 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.31 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.41 0.45 0.45 0.43 1.03 1.00 0.98 1.07 2.64 2.68 2.51 2.77 7.1 6.8 6.4 7.3 21.3 18.9 17.8 20.2 58.5 52.4 48.1 56.6 169.3 146.6 134.9 165.8 1999 March‡ 13.2 5.5 0.29 0.11 0.17 0.31 0.34 0.46 1.09 2.81 7.4 21.8 64.3 202.5 * Rates per 1,000 live births. ‡ Provisional registrations. Note: Figures represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992 and the numbers of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. Office for National Statistics 58 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 6.2 Year and quarter Deaths: subnational Rates Northern and Yorkshire Autumn 1999 Health Regional Office areas of England* Trent Anglia and Oxford North Thames South Thames South and West West Midlands North West Total deaths (deaths per 1,000 population of all ages) 1991 11.8 11.2 1992 11.4 11.0 9.7 9.5 10.0 9.6 11.3 11.1 11.5 11.3 10.8 10.6 12.0 11.7 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 11.8 11.2 11.3 11.2 11.0 11.3 11.4 10.8 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.9 9.8 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.9 9.5 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.1 11.5 10.9 11.1 10.9 10.7 10.4 11.6 11.1 11.5 11.2 11.2 11.0 11.0 10.5 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.5 12.1 11.5 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.4 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 9.8 11.1 9.6 11.1 8.3 9.4 8.3 9.1 9.4 10.6 9.8 11.2 9.4 10.6 10.2 11.6 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 12.4 10.9 10.0 11.8 11.7 10.7 9.5 11.8 10.0 9.2 8.7 10.1 9.8 8.6 8.3 9.6 11.3 10.1 9.4 10.8 11.9 11.0 10.0 11.3 11.2 10.1 9.5 11.1 12.1 11.1 10.4 12.1 1999 March‡ 12.9 13.0 11.5 10.6 12.3 13.2 12.6 13.6 Infant mortality (deaths under 1 year per 1,000 live births) 1991 8.5 8.0 1992 6.9 6.8 6.8 5.4 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.0 6.4 5.6 8.7 8.2 7.5 7.3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.1 7.0 7.2 6.4 6.3 5.9 6.0 5.3 5.6 5.2 5.8 5.1 5.1 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.3 5.5 6.4 5.2 5.8 6.1 5.3 5.1 5.6 5.0 5.6 5.5 5.8 4.7 7.0 7.2 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.2 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 6.5 6.0 5.8 5.2 4.4 6.0 5.0 5.9 5.8 4.5 5.1 6.0 5.8 8.0 5.9 7.8 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 6.5 6.4 5.1 6.6 6.0 5.6 5.5 6.8 5.1 4.4 5.2 6.0 5.2 5.4 4.8 6.7 5.8 4.4 4.2 6.0 5.1 3.8 4.5 5.5 7.2 6.3 5.7 6.6 6.8 5.2 5.9 6.9 Neonatal mortality (deaths under 4 weeks per 1,000 live births) 1991 4.9 4.7 3.8 1992 4.5 4.5 3.5 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.4 5.9 5.9 4.0 4.4 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.1 3.8 4.7 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.4 3.7 3.3 3.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.7 4.2 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.0 4.8 5.4 5.3 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.0 3.9 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 4.5 3.8 4.2 3.5 2.6 3.8 3.5 3.4 4.1 3.2 3.6 4.3 4.3 5.6 3.9 5.5 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 3.8 4.0 3.1 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.9 4.3 2.9 3.6 3.6 3.3 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.6 3.9 3.1 3.1 4.5 3.3 2.5 3.2 3.2 5.2 4.9 3.9 4.9 4.8 3.2 4.1 4.3 Perinatal mortality (stillbirths and deaths under 1 week per 1,000 total births)† 1991 8.7 8.6 7.2 1992 7.3 8.5 6.2 8.0 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.7 9.9 9.2 7.8 8.1 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 9.4 9.1 9.4 8.6 8.2 8.6 8.6 9.1 9.5 8.7 7.9 8.7 8.5 7.9 7.2 7.7 7.5 7.2 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.4 8.3 8.9 8.1 8.6 8.6 7.8 8.0 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.5 8.4 6.8 9.9 10.6 10.2 10.2 9.6 9.3 8.9 9.2 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.7 1997 Sept 1997 Dec 8.6 8.4 8.4 7.5 6.5 7.6 8.0 8.8 7.9 7.3 7.3 9.4 8.5 11.1 9.1 9.1 1998 March‡ 1998 June‡ 1998 Sept‡ 1998 Dec‡ 9.5 9.0 7.0 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.4 6.5 7.4 6.3 8.7 8.5 8.2 7.7 9.0 7.8 7.5 7.7 9.2 6.5 5.9 7.6 7.4 10.6 9.5 7.8 9.3 10.3 8.3 7.0 9.6 * As constituted on 1 April 1996. The Regional Office boundaries were revised from 1 April 1999.The new Regions will be shown in this table in Health Statistics Quarterly 04, when data for the June quarter 1999 are included. † In October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was changed, from baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. ‡ Provisional registrations. Note: Figures represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992 and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. 59 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 6.3 Autumn 1999 Deaths: selected causes (International Classification)* and sex Number (thousands) and rate for all deaths and age-standardised rates† per million population for selected causes England and Wales Malignant neoplasms Year and quarter All deaths Number (thousands) Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ All causes Oesophagus Stomach Colon, rectum, rectosigmoid junction and anus Trachea, bronchus and lung Melanoma of skin Other neoplasm of skin Breast Cervix uteri Ovary and other uterine Prostate (150) (151) (153,154) (162) (172) (173) (174) (180) (183) (185) Rate** 288.4 300.1 289.0 287.9 277.6 271.7 279.6 267.6 274.4 268.7 264.9 264.2 1,207 1,246 1,196 1,177 1,121 1,083 1,109 1,057 1,079 1,051 1,031 1,029 13,464 13,613 12,200 11,349 10,234 9,870 10,010 9,502 9,582 9,271 9,019 9,011 76 84 90 101 117 120 123 128 126 126 125 130 317 292 251 224 185 179 162 162 148 145 136 133 331 339 316 313 310 316 294 283 281 272 267 266 1,066 1,091 1,028 949 841 810 766 743 712 681 649 650 10 14 17 18 23 22 25 24 26 25 25 26 12 12 9 9 10 10 8 9 9 8 7 8 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 198 211 214 263 302 303 296 295 296 287 277 278 1996 Dec 69.3 1,078 9,634 132 146 282 684 25 8 : : : 306 1997 Sep 1997 Dec 60.1 67.5 928 1,042 8,142 9,126 132 125 138 141 267 267 630 663 27 23 8 7 : : : : : : 277 285 1998 Mar‡ 1998 Jun‡ 1998 Sep‡ 1998 Dec‡ 69.7 64.4 60.6 69.5 1,100 1,006 936 1,074 9,626 8,712 8,209 9,414 130 126 134 130 133 127 135 136 276 257 263 265 667 622 640 663 26 26 26 26 8 8 6 9 : : : : : : : : : : : : 277 275 275 284 1999 Mar‡ 75.1 1,186 10,385 127 138 258 626 24 7 : : : 278 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 278.9 298.5 288.9 293.3 292.5 286.6 299.2 285.6 295.2 291.5 290.4 289.2 1,104 1,176 1,134 1,141 1,127 1,095 1,140 1,085 1,119 1,102 1,095 1,090 8,186 8,303 7,433 6,947 6,399 6,197 6,347 6,039 6,128 5,995 5,925 5,891 40 43 42 47 49 49 51 50 52 51 51 49 149 136 111 89 74 73 66 66 61 55 57 54 255 262 231 220 207 206 190 187 179 174 169 163 183 219 252 285 300 297 294 298 294 292 285 293 14 16 16 19 18 17 22 22 20 20 20 21 6 6 5 4 4 5 3 4 4 3 3 3 379 393 405 420 401 395 376 370 359 343 336 330 83 78 69 69 54 52 47 42 42 41 37 35 127 125 122 121 118 118 116 114 116 122 115 118 : : : : : : : : : : : : 1996 Dec 75.5 1,136 6,259 55 56 172 300 20 4 350 38 130 : 1997 Sep 1997 Dec 64.3 73.0 961 1,091 5,309 5,921 54 51 58 58 169 170 293 286 20 20 3 3 340 338 38 37 116 118 : : 1998 Mar‡ 1998 Jun‡ 1998 Sep‡ 1998 Dec‡ 77.3 69.6 65.2 77.1 1,181 1,053 976 1,153 6,321 5,650 5,332 6,027 45 48 49 52 50 57 58 51 158 160 166 168 295 274 288 310 21 18 23 23 4 3 3 3 331 312 330 343 37 35 35 34 120 113 120 117 : : : : 1999 Mar‡ 86.5 1,323 6,947 53 51 164 288 20 3 329 33 116 : * The Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases, 1975, came into operation in England and Wales on 1 January 1979. ONS has produced a publication containing details of the effect of this Revision (Mortality statistics: comparison of the 8th and 9th revision of the International Classification of Diseases, 1978 (sample), (Series DH1 no.10). ‡ Provisional registrations. † Directly age-standardised to the European Standard population. See Notes to Tables. ** Per 100,000 population. Notes 1. Between 1 January 1984 and 31 December 1992, ONS applied the International Classification of Diseases Selection Rule 3 in the coding of deaths where terminal events and other ‘modes of dying’ such as cardiac arrest, cardiac failure, certain thromboembolic disorders, and unspecified pneumonia and bronchopneumonia, were stated by the certifier to be the underlying cause of death and other major pathology appeared on the certificate. In these cases Rule 3 allows the terminal event to be considered a direct sequel to the major pathology and that primary condition was selected as the underlying cause of death. Prior to 1984 and from 1993 onwards, such certificates are coded to the terminal event. ONS also introduced automated coding of cause of death in 1993, which may also affect comparisons of deaths by cause from 1993. Further details may be found in the annual volumes Mortality statistics: Cause 1984, Series DH2 no.11, and Mortality statistics: Cause 1993 (revised) and 1994, Series DH2 no.21. 2. On 1 January 1986 a new certificate for deaths within the first 28 days of life was introduced. It is not possible to assign one underlying cause of death from this certificate. The ‘cause’ figures for 1986 onwards therefore exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. 3. Figures represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993. Provisional figures are registrations. Office for National Statistics 60 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 6.3 continued Autumn 1999 Deaths: selected causes (International Classification)* and sex Number (thousands) and rate for all deaths and age-standardised rates† per million population for selected causes England and Wales Malignant neoplasms Bladder Leukaemia Diabetes mellitus Ischaemic heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Pneumonia Bronchitis, emphysema and allied conditions Asthma Gastric, duodenal and peptic ulcers Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis Chronic renal failure Motor vehicle traffic accidents Suicides and undetermined deaths Year and quarter (188) (204-208) (250) (410-414) (430-438) (480-486) (490-492, 496) (493) (531-533) (571) (585) 124 128 121 120 121 123 114 109 111 104 100 99 74 76 74 75 76 72 69 68 70 65 66 67 82 91 82 134 130 127 100 97 100 96 94 94 3,801 3,930 3,664 3,463 2,981 2,854 2,829 2,595 2,535 2,410 2,261 2,223 1,541 1,357 1,141 1,071 939 886 794 755 754 743 714 708 920 1,237 1,054 460 390 361 759 679 753 725 741 717 944 852 683 725 605 573 566 494 524 480 475 462 21 17 28 33 31 27 24 23 20 19 19 18 107 108 90 85 73 69 67 67 63 63 61 60 35 45 49 56 70 70 67 67 75 88 95 107 48 61 44 38 24 14 21 20 21 19 17 18 198 170 113 130 117 109 90 86 83 87 86 86 124 135 151 154 158 157 149 148 146 137 140 153 Males 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 104 66 99 2,513 759 800 502 21 69 97 18 90 131 1996 Dec 101 100 68 65 87 93 1,976 2,296 637 726 531 717 347 458 20 19 53 65 89 108 17 19 90 84 145 145 1997 Sep 1997 Dec 94 101 100 101 64 65 67 70 99 87 86 105 2,419 2,168 1,980 2,304 758 685 637 746 843 689 551 781 560 424 363 497 17 18 17 18 64 57 55 63 107 104 109 106 18 18 16 19 93 86 76 89 158 153 144 154 1998 Mar‡ 1998 Jun‡ 1998 Sep‡ 1998 Dec‡ 96 68 107 2,454 803 1,146 697 20 81 109 23 86 145 1999 Mar‡ 32 35 35 36 34 35 34 34 32 31 31 31 47 48 46 46 43 42 43 42 41 40 43 41 89 81 66 100 95 94 73 69 72 67 65 64 1,668 1,774 1,601 1,554 1,404 1,347 1,330 1,222 1,179 1,126 1,060 1,042 1,352 1,212 1,012 930 809 773 711 677 677 667 639 637 623 824 741 349 324 284 569 499 553 534 559 531 193 183 155 194 211 216 223 202 227 220 225 224 25 22 30 35 30 29 27 24 24 21 23 22 44 49 57 52 46 46 45 43 42 43 41 40 26 29 36 38 45 43 43 46 49 52 55 58 30 35 28 21 13 8 12 12 11 10 9 11 80 65 39 49 44 40 34 33 29 29 28 30 84 83 81 67 51 51 48 44 46 44 45 46 Females 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998‡ 31 42 68 1,181 686 587 243 22 45 49 11 31 43 1996 Dec 30 32 43 47 64 66 934 1,061 559 640 378 530 160 227 19 23 36 38 55 55 10 9 28 30 43 46 1997 Sep 1997 Dec 32 32 32 29 41 35 40 46 66 61 60 69 1,140 1,020 931 1,068 691 614 576 661 651 493 380 598 288 198 157 250 24 19 19 24 45 41 35 41 57 54 55 65 13 11 9 11 29 34 27 30 46 43 45 50 1998 Mar‡ 1998 Jun‡ 1998 Sep‡ 1998 Dec‡ 30 46 74 1,140 723 916 354 26 45 64 12 28 42 1999 Mar‡ (E810-E819) (E950-E959, E980-E989 exc. E9888) 61 Office f or National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Report: Infant and perinatal mortality 1998: health areas, England and Wales This report gives provisional statistics of live births, stillbirths and infant deaths registered in 1998 in England and Wales, for each health authority and regional office. In addition, 1.2 per cent of live births with a stated birthweight were under 1,500 grams (very low birthweight), the same as 1997. LIVE BIRTHS AND BIRTHWEIGHT There were 635,901 live births in England and Wales in 1998 (Table 1), compared to 643,095 in 1997, a decrease of 1.1 per cent. Table 1 Of live births in 1998 with a stated birthweight, 7.5 per cent weighed less than 2,500 grams (low birthweight), compared with 7.4 in 1997. Table 2 gives proportions of low and very low birthweight babies for each health area in 1998. Live births, stillbirths and infant deaths †, 1973–98 England and Wales Deaths Live births Year 1973 1978 1983 1988 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Stillbirths+ Numbers 675,953 596,418 629,134 693,577 689,656 671,224 664,256 648,001 649,489 643,095†† 635,901 7,936 5,108 3,631 3,382 2,944 3,866 3,816 3,597 3,539 3,439†† 3,417 Under 1 week 6,438 4,242 2,951 2,701 2,294 2,178 2,142 2,104 2,066 1,941 1,835 Under 4 weeks 4 weeks – 1 year Under 1 year 3,879 2,694 2,699 2,849 1,584 1,446 1,371 1,284 1,314 1,282 1,195 11,407 7,881 6,381 6,270 4,539 4,242 4,120 3,982 3,959 3,799 3,605 Neonatal* Postneonatal* Infant* 11.1 8.7 5.9 4.9 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8 5.7 4.5 4.3 4.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 7,528 5,187 3,682 3,421 2,955 2,796 2,749 2,698 2,645 2,517 2,410 Mortality Stillbirths** Rates Perinatal ** 1973 1978 1983 1988 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 ** * + † †† 11.6 8.5 5.7 4.9 4.3 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 21.0 15.5 10.4 8.7 7.6 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.3 8.2 Per 1,000 live births and stillbirths. Per 1,000 live births. Excluding the 216 stillbirths of 24–27 weeks’ gestation which occurred between 1.10.92 and 31.12.92. Numbers of deaths shown are based on annual occurrences for years 1993 to 1997, and on annual registrations for all other years. Revised numbers – see ‘In brief’ on page 2. Office for National Statistics 62 16.9 13.2 10.1 9.0 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.7 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Between 1988 and 1998 this pattern reversed. Over these years the neonatal rate fell by only 22 per cent, but the postneonatal rate decreased by 54 per cent. A major reason for the large fall in postneonatal mortality since 1988 has been the reduction in the number of sudden infant deaths. Provisional statistics on the latter are shown in the Report on page 66. Infant mortality rates, 1973–98, England and Wales Figure 1 Infant deaths per 1,000 live births 40 Infant Autumn 1999 Neonatal 35 Postneonatal NOTES 30 Statistics in this Report 25 Numbers of live births in this Report correspond to those in the Report on 1998 births in the recent issue of Population Trends 96. These numbers are based on births registered in 1998, while the mortality data are based on deaths registered in 1998. However, in line with ONS practice in publishing mortality data, final mortality statistics will be based on deaths occurring in the year, and will not be available until later in 1999. 20 15 10 Note also that in Table 1 numbers of deaths for 1993 to 1997 are based on occurrences in these years, while numbers for years up to 1992 are based on death registrations. 5 0 1971 74 77 80 83 86 Year 89 92 95 98 PERINATAL AND INFANT MORTALITY In 1998 there were 3,417 stillbirths in England and Wales, and 1,835 deaths at ages under seven days (Table 1). The perinatal mortality rate was 8.2 per thousand live births and stillbirths, a decrease from 8.3 in 1997. In 1998 there were also 3,605 infant deaths in England and Wales, with an infant mortality rate of 5.7 per thousand live births – the lowest yet recorded. Neonatal deaths (at ages under 28 days) numbered 2,410 in 1998. The neonatal mortality rate was 3.8 per thousand live births, down from 3.9 in 1997. Postneonatal deaths (at ages between 28 days and one year) numbered 1,195 in 1998. The postneonatal mortality rate was 1.9 deaths per thousand live births, compared to 2.0 in 1997. NEONATAL AND POSTNEONATAL MORTALITY 1973–98 The separate contributions of neonatal and postneonatal deaths to the fall in infant mortality rates over 1973–98 are illustrated in Figure 1. Over the 25 year period the infant mortality rate fell by 66 per cent, while the neonatal and postneonatal rates fell by 66 per cent and 67 per cent, respectively. However, these declines were not uniform over the period. Between 1973 and 1988 the decline was more marked for neonatal deaths, falling by 56 per cent. Over the same period the decline in the postneonatal rate was only 28 per cent. Areal statistics in this Report are derived from the usual residence at the time of birth or death. If the usual residence was outside England and Wales, these events were included in the aggregate for England and Wales and elsewhere, but excluded from the figures for individual health authorities and regional offices. Health authority boundary changes In Table 2 the figures shown are for health authorities and regional offices as on 1 April 1998. Because of differences between these areas and the previous regional and district health authorities, it is not possible to compare the statistics directly with earlier Monitors in the DH3 series. Recording of birthweight Since 1975 ONS (formerly OPCS) has obtained the birthweight of a baby from information provided to the registrar of births and deaths by the local health services. By 1986, birthweight was recorded for 99.9 per cent of all live births, with the same proportion in 1998. Legal definition of stillbirths On 1 October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was altered, from a baby born dead after 28 or more weeks’ completed gestation to one born after 24 or more weeks’ completed gestation. This means that perinatal and stillbirth data for 1998 can be compared with data only from 1993 onwards. General More details on the above, and on other aspects of stillbirth and infant mortality data, may be found in the ONS annual volume Mortality statistics: childhood, infant and perinatal 1997, series DH3 no 30, published in March 1999. 63 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 2 Autumn 1999 Births, perinatal and infant mortality statistics 1998, health regional office and health authority of usual residence England and Wales Numbers Births Mortality rates Percentage of live births with a stated birthweight Deaths Live births Still births Under 1 wk Under 4 wks Under 1 yr Perinatal** Neonatal* Postneonatal* Infant* Under 1,500g Under 2,500g England, Wales and elsewhere*** 635,901 3,417 1,835 2,410 3,605 8.2 3.8 1.9 5.7 1.2 7.5 England 602,111 3,219 1,743 2,277 3,371 8.2 3.8 1.8 5.6 1.2 7.5 72,941 416 212 276 446 8.6 3.8 2.3 6.1 1.2 7.6 7,098 7,622 6,724 6,303 3,815 8,358 5,205 3,295 3,199 7,928 3,223 6,554 3,617 34 43 35 36 19 47 39 18 20 43 21 36 25 24 29 16 23 9 32 12 9 6 18 7 18 9 31 37 21 28 10 40 17 11 7 23 11 25 15 64 51 35 44 16 64 26 17 13 39 18 37 22 8.1 9.4 7.5 9.3 7.3 9.4 9.7 8.1 8.1 7.7 8.6 8.2 9.3 4.4 4.9 3.1 4.4 2.6 4.8 3.3 3.3 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 1.6 2.9 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.9 9.0 6.7 5.2 7.0 4.2 7.7 5.0 5.2 4.1 4.9 5.6 5.6 6.1 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.0 9.8 8.2 7.0 7.4 6.8 8.4 7.5 6.6 6.7 6.0 8.4 7.8 7.7 Trent 59,186 323 194 243 352 8.7 4.1 1.8 5.9 1.3 7.8 Barnsley Doncaster Leicestershire Lincolnshire North Derbyshire North Nottinghamshire Nottingham Rotherham Sheffield South Derbyshire South Humber 2,569 3,538 11,133 6,665 3,973 4,493 7,334 3,009 6,088 6,831 3,553 11 22 69 32 16 20 36 18 40 40 19 13 16 33 23 12 7 13 14 21 29 13 17 16 40 27 16 10 24 17 26 35 15 22 26 64 40 21 20 39 24 33 42 21 9.3 10.7 9.1 8.2 7.0 6.0 6.6 10.6 10.0 10.0 9.0 6.6 4.5 3.6 4.1 4.0 2.2 3.3 5.6 4.3 5.1 4.2 1.9 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.3 2.2 2.0 2.3 1.1 1.0 1.7 8.6 7.3 5.7 6.0 5.3 4.5 5.3 8.0 5.4 6.1 5.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.4 7.8 7.7 8.0 7.3 6.4 7.7 7.8 7.8 8.4 7.9 8.2 Anglia and Oxford 66,265 315 164 222 341 7.2 3.4 1.8 5.1 1.1 7.0 Bedfordshire Berkshire Buckinghamshire Cambridge and Huntingdon East Norfolk Northamptonshire North West Anglia Oxfordshire Suffolk 7,527 10,645 8,638 5,256 6,575 7,519 4,994 7,449 7,662 35 54 41 16 30 32 25 37 45 18 31 15 11 21 21 15 12 20 27 39 23 14 29 26 19 19 26 38 52 46 23 45 39 29 31 38 7.0 7.9 6.5 5.1 7.7 7.0 8.0 6.5 8.4 3.6 3.7 2.7 2.7 4.4 3.5 3.8 2.6 3.4 1.5 1.2 2.7 1.7 2.4 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.6 5.0 4.9 5.3 4.4 6.8 5.2 5.8 4.2 5.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 0.8 1.1 7.6 7.6 6.6 5.8 6.9 7.5 8.1 5.9 7.0 North Thames 97,777 550 269 366 536 8.3 3.7 1.7 5.5 1.3 7.6 Barking and Havering Barnet Brent and Harrow Camden and Islington Ealing, Hammersmith and Hounslow East and North Hertfordshire East London and The City Enfield and Haringey Hillingdon Kensington & Chelsea and Westminster North Essex Redbridge and Waltham Forest South Essex West Hertfordshire 5,000 4,227 6,626 5,219 10,135 6,435 12,026 7,581 3,534 4,298 10,267 6,759 8,830 6,840 24 19 39 32 44 29 99 55 17 23 49 36 43 41 18 13 24 9 17 6 44 13 15 20 34 18 21 17 22 15 34 14 26 12 56 23 18 25 43 26 27 25 30 23 46 23 42 24 86 38 26 35 49 35 42 37 8.4 7.5 9.5 7.8 6.0 5.4 11.8 8.9 9.0 10.0 8.0 7.9 7.2 8.4 4.4 3.5 5.1 2.7 2.6 1.9 4.7 3.0 5.1 5.8 4.2 3.8 3.1 3.7 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.0 2.3 2.3 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.8 6.0 5.4 6.9 4.4 4.1 3.7 7.2 5.0 7.4 8.1 4.8 5.2 4.8 5.4 1.4 1.2 1.8 1.0 1.4 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 6.8 7.2 8.4 7.2 8.2 6.1 9.7 8.3 8.2 7.5 6.4 7.7 6.3 6.8 South Thames 88,304 472 242 318 445 8.0 3.6 1.4 5.0 1.2 7.0 6,025 3,644 28 14 16 7 26 11 36 16 7.3 5.7 4.3 3.0 1.7 1.4 6.0 4.4 1.3 0.9 7.6 6.3 Area Northern and Yorkshire Bradford Calderdale and Kirklees County Durham East Riding Gateshead and South Tyneside Leeds Newcastle and North Tyneside North Cumbria Northumberland North Yorkshire Sunderland Tees Wakefield Bexley and Greenwich Bromley * Per 1,000 live births. ** Per 1,000 live and stillbirths. *** Including births and deaths to persons normally resident outside England and Wales. Office for National Statistics 64 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 2 continued Autumn 1999 Births, perinatal and infant mortality statistics 1998, health regional office and health authority of usual residence England and Wales Numbers Births Mortality rates Percentage of live births with a stated birthweight Deaths Live births Still births Under 1 wk Under 4 wks Under 1 yr Croydon East Kent East Surrey East Sussex, Brighton and Hove Kingston and Richmond Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham Merton, Sutton and Wandsworth West Kent West Surrey West Sussex 4,651 6,721 5,110 7,964 4,417 12,250 8,912 12,297 7,867 8,446 21 21 21 47 16 101 65 61 31 46 20 16 10 19 8 56 21 28 22 19 25 21 13 25 11 74 27 36 26 23 32 29 19 37 16 101 39 49 37 34 8.8 5.5 6.0 8.2 5.4 12.7 9.6 7.2 6.7 7.7 5.4 3.1 2.5 3.1 2.5 6.0 3.0 2.9 3.3 2.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.1 2.2 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 6.9 4.3 3.7 4.6 3.6 8.2 4.4 4.0 4.7 4.0 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 8.7 6.3 5.9 6.3 5.4 8.8 6.9 6.9 6.5 6.60 South and West 74,328 340 172 228 350 6.9 3.1 1.6 4.7 1.0 6.60 Avon Cornwall and Isles of Scilly Dorset Gloucestershire Isle of Wight North and East Devon North and Mid Hampshire Portsmouth and South East Hampshire Somerset Southampton and South West Hampshire South and West Devon 11,666 5,039 6,831 6,439 1,221 4,866 7,075 6,229 5,313 5,980 6,112 45 31 28 24 6 21 30 29 26 17 33 29 9 18 15 2 14 9 14 16 12 15 37 10 25 21 3 18 13 21 18 14 18 58 14 31 37 4 27 26 33 25 26 29 6.3 7.9 6.7 6.0 6.5 7.2 5.5 6.9 7.9 4.8 7.8 3.2 2.0 3.7 3.3 2.5 3.7 1.8 3.4 3.4 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.9 2.5 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.3 2.0 1.8 5.0 2.8 4.5 5.7 3.3 5.5 3.7 5.3 4.7 4.3 4.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.0 6.3 6.2 7.0 6.5 7.3 6.7 6.4 6.6 6.3 7.0 6.7 Wiltshire 7,557 50 19 30 40 9.1 4.0 1.3 5.3 1.0 6.50 West Midlands Birmingham Coventry Dudley Herefordshire North Staffordshire Sandwell Shropshire Solihull South Staffordshire Walsall Warwickshire Wolverhampton Worcestershire 65,035 14,762 3,724 3,569 1,811 5,164 3,870 4,945 2,182 6,676 3,476 5,659 3,117 6,080 365 92 20 19 8 30 17 25 14 43 21 37 14 25 241 64 24 12 6 17 17 15 3 16 15 22 10 20 305 81 26 15 7 24 23 25 3 17 20 28 12 24 418 118 35 20 10 31 34 32 6 24 26 35 16 31 9.3 10.5 11.8 8.6 7.7 9.0 8.7 8.0 7.7 8.8 10.3 10.4 7.7 7.4 4.7 5.5 7.0 4.2 3.9 4.6 5.9 5.1 1.4 2.5 5.8 4.9 3.8 3.9 1.7 2.5 2.4 1.4 1.7 1.4 2.8 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.2 6.4 8.0 9.4 5.6 5.5 6.0 8.8 6.5 2.7 3.6 7.5 6.2 5.1 5.1 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 1.2 2.1 1.0 8.40 10.0 8.7 8.8 6.7 8.2 10.4 7.0 6.6 7.4 10.3 6.7 10.0 6.60 North West 78,275 438 249 319 483 8.7 4.1 2.1 6.2 1.3 8.10 5,038 6,888 5,545 5,842 3,160 4,008 4,972 4,006 5,428 2,879 7,358 3,449 3,234 6,013 6,879 3,576 31 39 33 37 22 12 27 23 32 16 40 11 15 34 48 18 12 21 19 17 8 10 19 16 19 14 13 15 10 22 17 17 14 27 26 25 12 14 20 22 25 16 17 18 13 25 24 21 25 44 38 41 19 22 30 30 35 21 32 25 16 39 37 29 8.5 8.7 9.3 9.2 9.4 5.5 9.2 9.7 9.3 10.4 7.2 7.5 7.7 9.3 9.4 9.7 2.8 3.9 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.5 4.0 5.5 4.6 5.6 2.3 5.2 4.0 4.2 3.5 5.9 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.0 0.9 2.3 1.9 2.2 5.0 6.4 6.9 7.0 6.0 5.5 6.0 7.5 6.4 7.3 4.3 7.2 4.9 6.5 5.4 8.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.4 9.2 9.5 8.2 9.3 6.9 6.5 8.3 8.5 8.3 7.9 6.1 6.3 7.2 8.4 8.9 8.0 33,438 182 87 122 189 8.0 3.6 2.0 5.7 1.1 7.20 45 25 34 59 26 8.6 8.3 8.9 8.3 6.0 4.0 2.2 5.0 4.0 2.7 2.0 2.9 1.3 2.6 1.2 6.0 5.1 6.3 6.6 3.9 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0 6.6 6.4 7.4 8.0 7.0 Area Bury and Rochdale East Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Morecambe Bay North Cheshire North West Lancashire St Helens and Knowsley Salford and Trafford Sefton South Cheshire South Lancashire Stockport West Pennine Wigan and Bolton Wirral Wales North Wales 7,499 43 22 Dyfed Powys 4,909 31 10 Morgannwg 5,370 29 19 Bro Taf 8,981 51 24 Gwent 6,679 28 12 * Per 1,000 live births. ** Per 1,000 live and stillbirths. *** Including births and deaths to persons normally resident outside England and Wales. 30 11 27 36 18 Perinatal** Neonatal* 65 Postneonatal* Infant* Under 1,500g Under 2,500g Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Report: Sudden infant deaths 1998 This report presents provisional statistics on sudden infant deaths in England and Wales which occurred in 1998. It also compares the number of sudden infant deaths by sex, age at death and month of occurrence with data from 1994 to 1998. ● ● There were 284 sudden infant deaths which occurred in England and Wales in 1998, compared with 393 in 1997, a decrease of 28 per cent. The sudden infant mortality rate decreased from 0.61 to 0.45 per thousand live births, a decrease of 26 per cent. Key findings for the period 1994–98: ● ● ● Sudden infant deaths are more common amongst boys than girls. In the period 1994–98, 60 per cent of all sudden infant deaths occurred amongst boys, whilst boys comprised 51 per cent of all live births. In the period 1994–98, 87 per cent of sudden infant deaths occurred at ages less than six months and 55 per cent occurred at ages less than three months. There is a clear seasonal pattern in sudden infant deaths with most cases occurring during the winter months. In the period 1994 to 1998 there were 36 per cent more sudden infant deaths in the three month period January to March compared with the three month period July to September. ● The sudden infant death rate for babies born outside marriage where only one parent registered the birth was over three times higher than the overall sudden infant death rate. The rate for babies born inside marriage to mothers who had no previous births was 66 per cent lower than the overall sudden infant death rate. For births inside marriage, the babies of fathers in Social Classes IV and V had higher sudden infant death rates than babies of fathers in the other social classes. In all social classes babies born outside marriage had higher sudden infant death rates than babies born inside marriage. EXPLANATORY NOTES: Definition The statistics given in this report are based on any mention of ‘sudden infant death’, ‘cot death’, ‘SIDS’, ‘crib death’, or some similar term mentioned on the death certificate. Future changes to the data The figures presented in this report relate to our database as at 9 June 1999. Therefore these figures may differ slightly from those published elsewhere. Key findings for 1998: Differences in tables ● ● ● The sudden infant death rate was highest for very low birthweight babies (under 1,500 grams) and it decreased with increasing birthweight. The rate for babies weighing less than 1,500 grams was ten times higher than that for babies weighing 3,500 grams and over. The sudden infant death rate was highest for children of mothers aged under 20 compared to all other age groups at the time of the child’s birth. There were only 23 babies (8 per cent) whose mothers were born outside the United Kingdom. Office for National Statistics 66 Tables 1 to 4 include data for years 1994 to 1998 and relate to number of occurrences in each year. Tables 5 to 9 present statistics on sudden infant deaths which occurred in 1998 and which have been linked to their corresponding birth records. Information about parents which was collected at birth registration can then be used to enable analysis of the data according to certain risk factors. The risk factors presented here include birthweight (Table 5), mother’s age at birth of child (Table 6), mother’s country of birth (Table 7), marital status and parity (Table 8), and father’s social class based on his occupation (Table 9). Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1 Autumn 1999 Sudden infant deaths by sex, 1994–98 Numbers and rates Year England and Wales Boys Girls All babies Neonatal deaths Postneonatal deaths Infant deaths Neonatal deaths Postneonatal deaths Infant deaths Neonatal deaths Postneonatal deaths Infant deaths 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Numbers 15 24 24 23 19 269 217 227 221 142 284 241 251 244 161 24 24 29 22 15 146 133 144 127 108 170 157 173 149 123 39 48 53 45 34 415 350 371 348 250 454 398 424 393 284 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Rates per 1,000 live births 0.04 0.79 0.07 0.65 0.07 0.68 0.07 0.67 0.06 0.44 0.83 0.73 0.75 0.74 0.49 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.45 0.42 0.46 0.41 0.35 0.53 0.50 0.55 0.48 0.40 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.62 0.54 0.57 0.54 0.39 0.68 0.61 0.65 0.61 0.45 Table 2 Sudden infant deaths by age at death, 1994–98 Numbers and percentage distribution England and Wales Year Age at death Under 28 days 28 days and over but less than 2 months 2 completed months 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Numbers 39 48 53 45 34 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Percentages of all sudden infant deaths under 1 year 8.6 20.7 19.6 12.1 22.6 19.8 12.5 23.1 22.4 11.5 24.2 19.3 12.0 30.3 18.7 Table 3 94 90 98 95 86 3 completed months 4 completed months 5 completed months between 6 and 11 completed months All babies 64 65 66 49 38 50 31 39 50 30 35 35 30 31 21 83 50 43 47 22 454 398 424 393 284 14.1 16.3 15.6 12.5 13.4 11.0 7.8 9.2 12.7 10.6 7.7 8.8 7.1 7.9 7.4 18.3 12.6 10.1 12.0 7.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 89 79 95 76 53 Sudden infant deaths by month of occurrence, 1994–98 Numbers Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 England and Wales Month January February March April May June July August September October November 60 32 43 39 28 49 35 43 28 24 31 50 54 37 20 34 28 26 37 17 36 32 31 31 23 48 34 26 29 21 23 34 41 32 19 30 25 24 26 15 39 30 29 34 21 41 31 28 29 30 22 27 35 32 24 December Total 41 40 44 39 42 454 398 424 393 284 Table 4 Sudden infant deaths by quarter of occurence and Health Regional Office, 1998 Numbers and rates Year Quarter ending England and Wales Northern and Yorkshire Number March June September December 72 61 55 96 12 8 8 10 2 7 6 9 9 5 5 8 12 10 2 12 10 4 5 8 13 10 9 15 2 4 6 10 7 10 10 15 5 3 3 5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 1998 1998 Rates per 1,000 live births March 0.5 June 0.4 September 0.3 December 0.6 Trent Anglia and Oxford North Thames South Thames South and West 67 West Midlands North West Wales Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 5 Autumn 1999 Live births, and infant deaths by birthweight, 1998 Numbers and rates Birthweight (grams) England and Wales Numbers Births Rates* Deaths Live births Neonatal Postneonatal Infants Neonatal All 635,921 34 246 280 0.05 0.39 0.44 < 1500 1500–1999 2000–2499 2500–2999 3000–3499 3500 and over Not Stated 7,746 9,502 30,274 106,865 228,007 252,726 801 0 2 7 9 9 7 0 14 13 39 62 78 40 0 14 15 46 71 87 47 0 0.00 0.21 0.23 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.00 1.81 1.37 1.29 0.58 0.34 0.16 0.00 1.81 1.58 1.52 0.66 0.38 0.19 0.00 * Postneonatal Infant Neonatal, postneonatal, and infant deaths per 1,000 live births. Table 6 Live births, and infant deaths by mother’s age, 1998 Numbers and rates Mother‘s age England and Wales Numbers Births Rates* Deaths Live births Neonatal Postneonatal Infants Neonatal All 635,921 34 246 280 0.05 0.39 0.44 Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40 and over 48,287 113,518 193,130 188,510 78,909 13,567 6 11 9 6 1 1 57 73 53 38 21 4 63 84 62 44 22 5 0.12 0.10 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.07 1.18 0.64 0.27 0.20 0.27 0.29 1.30 0.74 0.32 0.23 0.28 0.37 * Postneonatal Infant Neonatal, postneonatal, and infant deaths per 1,000 live births. Table 7 Live births and infant deaths by mother’s country of birth, 1998 Numbers and rates Country of birth England and Wales Numbers Births Rates* Deaths Live births Neonatal Postneonatal Infants Neonatal Postneonatal Infant All 635,921 34 246 280 0.05 0.39 0.44 United Kingdom Scotland Northern Ireland Irish Republic 549,464 9,059 2,649 4,665 33 1 0 0 224 4 1 2 257 5 1 2 0.06 0.41 0.47 Rest of European Union Australia, Canada, New Zealand 10,417 3,392 0 0 4 1 4 1 New Commonwealth Bangladesh Pakistan East Africa Rest of Africa Caribbean 46,011 7,429 13,052 4,496 7,582 2,563 1 0 1 0 0 0 11 2 3 1 3 1 12 2 4 1 3 1 Other†† 19,130 0 5 5 * Neonatal, postneonatal and infant deaths per 1,000 live births. †† Includes cases where no country of birth was stated. Note: Where no data is shown indicates that the number of deaths in each category is too small to make the publication of rates meaningful. Office for National Statistics 68 Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 8 Autumn 1999 Live births and infant deaths by marital status, parity (within marriage) and type of registration (outside marriage), 1998 Numbers and rates England and Wales Marital status Numbers Births Parity/type of registration Live births Rates* Deaths Neonatal Postneonatal Infants Neonatal Postneonatal Infant All 635,921 34 246 280 0.05 0.39 0.44 Inside marriage All 0 1 2 3 and over 395,274 154,680 146,348 60,974 33,272 13 4 6 2 1 74 19 29 15 11 87 23 35 17 12 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.19 0.12 0.20 0.25 0.33 0.22 0.15 0.24 0.28 0.36 Outside marriage All Joint registration/same address Joint registration/different address Sole registration 240,647 146,545 44,119 49,983 21 12 3 6 172 64 37 71 193 76 40 77 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.12 0.71 0.44 0.84 1.42 0.80 0.52 0.91 1.54 * Neonatal, postneonatal, and infant deaths per 1,000 live births. Table 9 Live births* and infant deaths by social class (based on father’s occupation at death registration)†, 1998 Numbers and rates England and Wales Social class Numbers Births Live births* Rates** Deaths Neonatal Postneonatal Infants Neonatal Postneonatal Infant All†† 58,638 28 175 203 0.05 0.30 0.35 Inside marriage All*** I II IIIN IIIM IV V Other 39,497 3,876 12,407 4,247 10,527 5,172 1,388 1,880 13 2 4 0 3 4 0 0 74 6 16 4 22 12 4 7 87 8 20 4 25 16 4 7 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.21 0.23 0.29 0.37 0.22 0.21 0.16 0.09 0.24 0.31 0.29 0.37 Outside marriage joint registration All*** I II IIIN IIIM IV V Other 19,141 620 3,422 1,470 7,043 3,868 1,666 1,052 15 0 1 1 7 4 0 2 101 3 11 10 19 18 15 21 116 3 12 11 26 22 15 23 0.08 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.19 0.53 0.48 0.32 0.68 0.27 0.47 0.90 2.00 0.61 0.48 0.35 0.75 0.37 0.57 0.90 2.19 * ** *** † †† Figures for live births are a 10 per cent sample coded for father’s occupation. Neonatal, postneonatal, and infant deaths per 1,000 live births. Includes cases where father’s occupation was not stated. Information on the father’s occupation is not collected for births outside marriage if the father does not attend the registration of the baby’s birth. Excludes births outside marriage, sole registration. 69 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Autumn 1999 Report: Death registrations in England and Wales,1998: area of residence This report gives (in Table 1) the numbers of deaths registered in England and Wales in 1998 by area of usual residence of deceased. The table also shows standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) by area. The areas include both local and health authorities, as well as health regions and Government Office regions. The numbers of deaths are from all causes. Mortality levels in 1998 were highest in the North East (SMR of 116) and North West (110) regions, and lowest in the South West (91). Among local authorities, mortality was highest in Halton UA (129) and Merthyr Tydfil UA (127), with lowest levels in Rutland UA (77), Dorset (83) and Bath and NE Somerset UA (83). For health areas the heaviest mortality was in Manchester (127), Liverpool (123) and St Helens and Knowsley (123); the lightest was found in Kensington, Chelsea and Westminster (81) and Solihull (85). Figures for 1998 deaths registrations by age and sex, and for selected causes of deaths, were published in a Report in Health Statistics Quarterly 02 on 27 May 1999. EXPLANATORY NOTES: Occurrences and registrations Up to 1992 ONS (formerly OPCS) publications gave numbers of deaths registered in the data year. Since 1993 most of our published figures represent the number of deaths which occurred in the data year. This change has had little effect on annual totals but makes it easier to analyse seasonal variations in mortality. We also reviewed our production of deaths data by period of occurrence or registration, and decided to take two annual extracts. The main reason for this is the considerable number of late registrations, particularly for deaths from external causes.1 Office for National Statistics 70 The first annual extract from our deaths database, produced in April following the data year, comprises registrations in that year. Outputs produced using this extract include this Report and a cause based Report in Health Statistics Quarterly, VS tables, and the Public Health Common Dataset. The second extract is produced in the following September, and comprises occurrences in the data year. This extract forms the basis for annual mortality publications, with the exception of the two reports mentioned above. These new arrangements began in 1996, for annual extracts of 1995 data. Standardised mortality ratios Comparison of the level of mortality between different areas is difficult if no account is taken of differences in their population structure. In Table 1 this is done by using standardised mortality ratios (SMRs). For each area, the ratio is derived by comparing the number of deaths actually occurring in it with the number which would have been expected if the sex and age specific mortality rates for England and Wales applied to the area’s population distribution. If local mortality rates are high compared to national rates, the number of deaths observed will be greater than the expected number, and the SMR greater than 100; and vice versa for areas with low mortality rates. More details may be found in ONS annual reference volumes.2 Note that in Table 1 SMRs for males and females are not directly comparable with each other. REFERENCES 1 Office for National Statistics. Mortality statistics: cause 1997, series DH2 no 24, section 2.2. The Stationery Office (London: 1998). 2 Office for National Statistics (1998). Mortality statistics: general 1996, series DH1 no 29, section 2.6. Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1 Deaths by area of usual residence, numbers and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), by sex, 1998 registrations England, Wales and elsewhere, government office regions, unitary authorities, counties, former counties, regional offices and health authorities Number of deaths Area of usual residence Autumn 1999 Standardised mortality ratios Persons Males Females Persons England, Wales and elsewhere 553,435 264,202 289,233 100 100 100 England 518,089 247,202 270,887 100 99 100 33,905 16,112 17,793 102 102 103 1,441 888 553 : : : 30,550 14,662 15,888 116 117 115 Darlington UA Hartlepool UA Middlesbrough UA Redcar and Cleveland UA Stockton-on-Tees UA 1,252 1,017 1,505 1,540 1,817 569 520 743 773 852 683 497 762 767 965 112 115 113 112 117 109 121 118 119 110 115 109 109 107 123 Durham County Northumberland Tyne and Wear 5,958 3,815 13,646 2,834 1,853 6,518 3,124 1,962 7,128 116 114 117 115 114 120 117 114 116 5,879 7,210 2,888 3,403 2,991 3,807 114 115 116 114 112 117 78,849 36,917 41,932 110 110 110 Blackburn with Darwen UA Blackpool UA Halton UA Warrington UA 1,558 2,147 1,266 1,971 728 1,011 596 911 830 1,136 670 1,060 122 110 129 112 123 113 124 107 122 108 135 117 Cheshire County Cumbria County Greater Manchester Lancashire County Merseyside 7,093 6,003 28,923 13,072 16,816 3,327 2,803 13,714 5,977 7,850 3,766 3,200 15,209 7,095 8,966 100 105 114 104 113 97 102 117 102 116 102 108 113 107 112 Former County of Cheshire Former County of Lancashire 10,330 16,777 4,834 7,716 5,496 9,061 105 106 101 105 108 108 YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER 55,469 26,426 29,043 104 105 104 East Riding of Yorkshire UA Kingston upon Hull, City of UA North East Lincolnshire UA North Lincolnshire UA York UA 3,708 2,953 1,762 1,763 1,915 1,739 1,413 869 900 928 1,969 1,540 893 863 987 104 113 104 109 95 101 113 108 112 98 106 112 101 105 92 North Yorkshire County South Yorkshire West Yorkshire 6,555 14,768 22,045 3,005 7,105 10,467 3,550 7,663 11,578 95 109 105 92 110 106 98 108 104 Former County of Humberside Former County of North Yorkshire 10,186 8,470 4,921 3,933 5,265 4,537 107 95 107 93 107 97 EAST MIDLANDS 44,140 21,534 22,606 102 101 102 Derby UA Leicester UA Nottingham UA Rutland UA 2,447 2,928 2,999 269 1,212 1,388 1,494 120 1,235 1,540 1,505 149 102 106 108 77 104 104 112 67 99 107 104 87 Derbyshire County Leicestershire County Lincolnshire Northamptonshire Nottinghamshire County 8,204 5,662 7,501 6,027 8,103 3,938 2,770 3,679 2,945 3,988 4,266 2,892 3,822 3,082 4,115 105 93 101 102 103 103 90 99 101 103 106 94 101 102 102 10,651 8,859 11,102 5,150 4,278 5,482 5,501 4,581 5,620 104 96 104 103 93 105 104 98 102 Wales Elsewhere NORTH EAST Former County of Cleveland Former County of Durham NORTH WEST Former County of Derbyshire Former County of Leicestershire Former County of Nottinghamshire Males Females Note: SMRs are based on mid-1997 population estimates 71 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1 Continued Autumn 1999 Deaths by area of usual residence, numbers and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), by sex, 1998 registrations England,Wales and elsewhere, government office regions, unitary authorities, counties, former counties, regional offices and health authorities Number of deaths Area of usual residence Males Females Persons 55,648 27,104 28,544 103 103 102 Herefordshire, County of UA Stoke-on-Trent UA Telford and Wrekin UA 1,937 2,813 1,303 919 1,376 673 1,018 1,437 630 94 110 109 90 116 114 97 106 105 Shropshire County Staffordshire County Warwickshire West Midlands Worcestershire County 3,132 8,221 5,193 27,419 5,630 1,481 3,911 2,490 13,586 2,668 1,651 4,310 2,703 13,833 2,962 96 104 100 104 99 93 101 95 108 96 97 107 103 101 101 Former County of Hereford and Worcester Former County of Shropshire Former County of Staffordshire 7,567 4,435 11,034 3,587 2,154 5,287 3,980 2,281 5,747 97 99 106 94 98 105 100 99 107 EAST 53,997 25,917 28,080 95 92 96 Luton UA Peterborough UA Southend on Sea UA Thurrock UA 1,426 1,479 2,196 1,139 733 738 1,003 585 693 741 1,193 554 102 108 98 105 104 106 99 111 99 110 98 100 Bedfordshire County Cambridgeshire County Essex County Hertfordshire Norfolk Suffolk 3,256 5,051 13,233 9,529 9,422 7,266 1,564 2,452 6,296 4,440 4,640 3,466 1,692 2,599 6,937 5,089 4,782 3,800 96 92 95 94 94 93 94 90 92 89 92 90 98 94 96 98 94 95 Former County of Bedfordshire Former County of Cambridgeshire Former County of Essex 4,682 6,530 16,568 2,297 3,190 7,884 2,385 3,340 8,684 98 96 96 97 93 94 98 97 97 LONDON Inner London Outer London 62,302 21,874 40,428 30,278 11,113 19,165 32,024 10,761 21,263 95 98 94 97 104 95 93 93 94 SOUTH EAST 81,800 38,147 43,653 93 91 94 Bracknell Forest UA Brighton and Hove UA Isle of Wight UA Medway UA Milton Keynes UA 832 3,113 1,804 2,137 1,436 389 1,394 868 1,060 708 443 1,719 936 1,077 728 101 98 92 106 105 96 99 94 108 105 105 98 90 105 106 Portsmouth UA Reading UA Slough UA Southampton UA West Berkshire UA 2,100 1,202 920 2,167 1,155 990 578 487 1,083 564 1,110 624 433 1,084 591 102 90 109 98 90 103 93 115 102 88 102 88 103 94 92 Windsor & Maidenhead UA Wokingham UA 1,296 1,099 591 492 705 607 95 97 87 85 103 110 Buckinghamshire County East Sussex County Hampshire County Kent County Oxfordshire 4,136 6,862 11,950 14,700 5,376 1,963 3,017 5,664 6,884 2,551 2,173 3,845 6,286 7,816 2,825 92 86 93 95 93 88 86 91 95 89 96 87 95 96 95 Surrey West Sussex 10,389 9,126 4,780 4,084 5,609 5,042 88 88 85 86 90 89 Former County of Berkshire Former County of Buckinghamshire Former County of East Sussex Former County of Hampshire Former County of Kent 6,504 5,572 9,975 16,217 16,837 3,101 2,671 4,411 7,737 7,944 3,403 2,901 5,564 8,480 8,893 96 95 90 95 96 92 92 89 94 96 99 98 90 96 97 WEST MIDLANDS Persons Standardised mortality ratios Office for National Statistics 72 Males Females Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1 Continued Deaths by area of usual residence, numbers and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), by sex, 1998 registrations England, Wales and elsewhere, government office regions, unitary authorities, counties, former counties, regional offices and health authorities Number of deaths Area of usual residence Standardised mortality ratios Males Females 55,334 26,217 29,117 91 90 91 Bath and North East Somerset UA Bournemouth UA Bristol, City of UA North Somerset UA 1,736 2,387 3,963 2,221 801 1,037 1,940 985 935 1,350 2,023 1,236 83 91 94 91 82 92 98 89 84 92 91 93 Plymouth UA Poole UA South Gloucestershire UA Swindon UA Torbay UA 2,646 1,645 1,902 1,587 1,935 1,289 762 883 763 868 1,357 883 1,019 824 1,067 99 88 87 102 92 102 87 79 101 95 97 88 94 103 91 Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly Devon County Dorset County Gloucestershire Somerset Wiltshire 5,808 8,744 4,837 5,920 5,785 4,218 2,800 4,123 2,329 2,837 2,800 2,000 3,008 4,621 2,508 3,083 2,985 2,218 90 89 83 93 93 92 90 88 82 93 93 89 90 90 82 92 91 94 Former County of Avon Former County of Devon Former County of Dorset Former County of Wiltshire 9,822 13,325 8,869 5,805 4,609 6,280 4,128 2,763 5,213 7,045 4,741 3,042 90 92 86 94 89 92 85 92 91 91 86 96 WALES 33,905 16,112 17,793 102 102 103 Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire 809 1,461 1,679 1,294 1,378 379 693 793 606 654 430 768 886 688 724 99 97 92 100 97 98 102 97 101 93 100 94 88 99 100 Wrexham Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire 1,434 1,588 755 1,404 2,243 676 788 356 656 1,022 758 800 399 748 1,221 106 101 84 108 102 106 99 82 102 98 107 101 85 113 106 Swansea Neath Port Talbot Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff 2,669 1,734 1,515 1,298 2,950 1,273 832 728 604 1,402 1,396 902 787 694 1,548 100 106 106 102 93 100 112 107 96 94 99 103 106 107 93 Rhondda, Cynon, Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen 2,768 744 1,917 921 980 1,310 340 921 443 476 1,458 404 996 478 504 115 127 118 115 108 116 126 117 118 108 115 131 120 114 108 Monmouthshire Newport 953 1,411 476 684 477 727 92 99 95 100 89 99 71,537 34,036 37,501 108 109 108 Bradford Calderdale and Kirklees County Durham East Riding Gateshead and South Tyneside 5,113 6,301 7,210 6,661 4,521 2,435 2,915 3,403 3,152 2,186 2,678 3,386 3,807 3,509 2,335 108 106 115 107 120 112 106 114 106 122 106 107 117 108 118 Leeds Newcastle and North Tyneside North Cumbria Northumberland North Yorkshire 7,288 5,757 3,811 3,815 8,470 3,456 2,691 1,822 1,853 3,933 3,832 3,066 1,989 1,962 4,537 98 113 108 114 95 99 116 106 114 93 98 112 109 114 97 Sunderland Tees Wakefield 3,368 5,879 3,343 1,641 2,888 1,661 1,727 2,991 1,682 121 114 112 125 116 115 120 112 109 SOUTH WEST NORTHERN AND YORKSHIRE Persons Autumn 1999 Persons 73 Males Females Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terly 03 Table 1 Continued Autumn 1999 Deaths by area of usual residence, numbers and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), by sex, 1998 registrations England,Wales and elsewhere, government office regions, unitary authorities, counties, former counties, regional offices and health authorities Number of deaths Area of usual residence Males Females Persons Males 56,088 27,302 28,786 103 103 103 Barnsley Doncaster Leicestershire Lincolnshire North Derbyshire 2,715 3,346 8,859 7,501 4,374 1,318 1,633 4,278 3,679 2,072 1,397 1,713 4,581 3,822 2,302 116 118 96 101 107 118 116 93 99 104 115 119 98 101 110 North Nottinghamshire Nottingham Rotherham Sheffield Southern Derbyshire South Humber 4,408 6,694 2,670 6,037 5,959 3,525 2,205 3,277 1,280 2,874 2,917 1,769 2,203 3,417 1,390 3,163 3,042 1,756 108 101 106 102 101 106 109 103 106 104 102 110 107 100 107 101 100 103 51,379 24,861 26,518 96 93 97 Bedfordshire Berkshire Buckinghamshire Cambridge and Huntingdon East Norfolk 4,682 6,504 5,572 3,911 7,426 2,297 3,101 2,671 1,899 3,641 2,385 3,403 2,901 2,012 3,785 98 96 95 89 94 97 92 92 87 92 98 99 98 89 93 Northamptonshire North West Anglia Oxfordshire Suffolk 6,027 4,615 5,376 7,266 2,945 2,290 2,551 3,466 3,082 2,325 2,825 3,800 102 101 93 93 101 98 89 90 102 103 95 95 NORTH THAMES 63,299 30,725 32,574 95 96 94 Barking and Havering Barnet Brent and Harrow Camden and Islington 4,044 3,008 3,773 3,093 1,951 1,351 1,888 1,618 2,093 1,657 1,885 1,475 101 92 93 97 104 87 95 106 99 96 90 89 Ealing, Hammersmith and Hounslow East and North Hertfordshire East London and The City Enfield and Haringey Hillingdon 5,504 4,655 4,707 3,997 2,178 2,733 2,214 2,539 1,933 1,060 2,771 2,441 2,168 2,064 1,118 98 97 105 91 90 101 93 113 96 91 95 100 96 87 90 Kensington, Chelsea and Westminster North Essex Redbridge and Waltham Forest South Essex West Hertfordshire 2,694 9,410 4,204 7,158 4,874 1,335 4,497 1,993 3,387 2,226 1,359 4,913 2,211 3,771 2,648 81 95 95 97 91 83 93 97 96 85 79 95 94 99 96 71,427 33,096 38,331 93 93 93 Bexley and Greenwich Bromley Croydon East Kent East Surrey 4,236 3,033 2,812 7,577 4,365 2,033 1,347 1,319 3,545 2,005 2,203 1,686 1,493 4,032 2,360 101 89 95 95 87 103 88 93 96 85 99 91 97 94 89 East Sussex, Brighton and Hove Kingston and Richmond Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham Merton, Sutton and Wandsworth 9,975 2,997 6,245 5,777 4,411 1,369 3,163 2,646 5,564 1,628 3,082 3,131 90 88 104 97 89 88 111 99 90 88 99 97 West Kent West Surrey West Sussex 9,260 6,024 9,126 4,399 2,775 4,084 4,861 3,249 5,042 98 88 88 96 85 86 99 91 89 73,355 34,822 38,533 92 91 92 9,822 5,808 8,869 5,920 1,804 4,609 2,800 4,128 2,837 868 5,213 3,008 4,741 3,083 936 90 90 86 93 92 89 90 85 93 94 91 90 86 92 90 TRENT ANGLIA AND OXFORD SOUTH THAMES SOUTH AND WEST Avon Cornwall and Isles of Scilly Dorset Gloucestershire Isle of Wight Persons Standardised mortality ratios Office for National Statistics 74 Females Health Statistics Quarterly 03 Table 1 Continued Deaths by area of usual residence, numbers and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), by sex, 1998 registrations England, Wales and elsewhere, government office regions, unitary authorities, counties, former counties, regional offices and health authorities Number of deaths Area of usual residence Persons Males Autumn 1999 Standardised mortality ratios Females Persons Males Females North and East Devon North and Mid Hampshire Portsmouth and South East Hampshire Somerset Southampton and South West Hampshire 6,017 4,785 5,734 5,785 5,698 2,836 2,269 2,716 2,800 2,752 3,181 2,516 3,018 2,985 2,946 90 94 97 93 93 88 92 97 93 93 90 97 98 91 93 South and West Devon Wiltshire 7,308 5,805 3,444 2,763 3,864 3,042 93 94 95 92 92 96 WEST MIDLANDS 55,648 27,104 28,544 103 103 102 Birmingham Coventry Dudley Herefordshire North Staffordshire 10,277 3,206 3,308 1,937 5,240 5,085 1,562 1,614 919 2,540 5,192 1,644 1,694 1,018 2,700 105 103 103 94 107 110 103 105 90 109 102 102 101 97 106 Sandwell Shropshire Solihull South Staffordshire 3,580 4,435 1,784 5,794 1,809 2,154 929 2,747 1,771 2,281 855 3,047 118 99 85 104 127 98 90 100 111 99 81 107 Walsall Warwickshire Wolverhampton Worcestershire 2,600 5,193 2,664 5,630 1,266 2,490 1,321 2,668 1,334 2,703 1,343 2,962 100 100 107 99 101 95 109 96 99 103 105 101 75,356 35,256 40,100 110 111 111 Bury and Rochdale East Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Morecambe Bay 4,327 5,841 5,469 4,888 3,870 2,077 2,683 2,572 2,398 1,746 2,250 3,158 2,897 2,490 2,124 115 114 123 127 101 118 110 125 133 97 114 117 122 122 105 North Cheshire North West Lancashire St Helens and Knowsley Salford and Trafford Sefton 3,237 6,155 3,649 5,157 3,621 1,507 2,876 1,799 2,411 1,610 1,730 3,279 1,850 2,746 2,011 118 104 123 108 100 113 106 126 110 101 124 103 121 108 101 South Cheshire South Lancashire Stockport West Pennine Wigan and Bolton Wirral 7,093 3,103 3,104 5,468 6,297 4,077 3,327 1,392 1,421 2,598 2,970 1,869 3,766 1,711 1,683 2,870 3,327 2,208 100 101 97 119 114 105 97 97 97 123 116 109 102 106 98 118 114 104 33,905 16,112 17,793 102 102 103 8,055 5,990 5,918 7,760 6,182 3,801 2,822 2,833 3,656 3,000 4,254 3,168 3,085 4,104 3,182 98 100 103 104 107 99 97 105 104 108 97 103 102 105 107 NORTH WEST WALES North Wales Dyfed Powys Morgannwg Bro Taf Gwent 75 Office for National Statistics Health Statistics Quar terl y 03 Autumn 1999 Recent ONS publications The 2001 Census of Population White Paper (The Stationery Office, March, £7.55, ISBN 0 10 142532 5). Omnibus Survey: Contraception and Sexual Health, 1997 (Office for National Statistics, March, £10, ISBN 1 85774 312 1). Population Trends 95 (Spring 1999) (The Stationery Office, March, £20, ISBN 0 11 621115 6). Mortality statistics 1997: childhood, infant and perinatal (DH3 no. 30) (The Stationery Office, March, £35, ISBN 0 11 621165 2). Gazeteer of the old and new geographies of the United Kingdom (Office for National Statistics, March, £20, ISBN 1 85774 298 2). Focus on London 99 (The Stationery Office and London Research Centre, April, £45, ISBN 0 11 621159 8). Cancer Survival Trends 1991–1995: deprivation and NHS Regions (The Stationery Office, April, £130, ISBN 0 11 62103 1). Office for National Statistics 76 Cancer Survival Trends 1971–1995: deprivation and NHS Regions CD-ROM (The Office for National Statistics, April, £100 + VAT, ISBN 1 85774324 5). International migration 1997 (MN no 24) (The Stationery Office, April, £30, ISBN 0 11 621166 0). Mid-1996 national population projections (The Stationery Office, May, £30, ISBN 0 11 621160 1). Key population and vital statistics 1997 (VS no 24/PP1 no 20) (The Stationery Office, June, £30, ISBN 0 11 621167 9). Social Focus on Older People (The Stationery Office, June, £30, ISBN 0 11 621168 7). Population Trends 96 (Summer 1999) (The Stationery Office, June, £20, ISBN 0 11 621116 4).