Investment Management Alert July 2009 Author: Gordon F. Peery gordon.peery@klgates.com +1.617.261.3269 K&L Gates is a global law firm with lawyers in 33 offices located in North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, and represents numerous GLOBAL 500, FORTUNE 100, and FTSE 100 corporations, in addition to growth and middle market companies, entrepreneurs, capital market participants and public sector entities. For more information, visit www.klgates.com. Small Bang Protocol Adherence Period Closes on July 24, 2009 In its first concerted effort to standardize certain over-the-counter (“OTC”) derivatives and address problems surrounding the settlement of credit default swaps (“CDSs”), the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. (“ISDA”) published earlier this year the Big Bang Protocol, which became effective on April 8, 2009. That protocol, among other things, enabled adhering parties to automatically amend CDSs that are triggered by credit events such as bankruptcy, failure to pay and certain other standard credit events. A summary of the Big Bang Protocol is available at ISDA Launches the Big Bang Protocol, Determinations Committees and SNAC CDSs, Investment Management Alert, by Gordon F. Peery, Robert A. Wittie, Anthony R.G. Nolan and Stacey H. Crawshaw-Lewis, March 13, 2009. Importantly, the Big Bang Protocol did not bring about the settlement by auction of CDSs upon the occurrence of a restructuring credit event. In its next effort to standardize credit derivatives and make CDS settlement more efficient, ISDA launched the Small Bang Protocol. The Small Bang Protocol addresses the settlement by auction of CDSs upon a “restructuring,” when a distressed company restructures debt that is referenced in the CDS. In connection with this protocol, ISDA published a supplement to the 2003 ISDA Credit Derivatives Definitions (the “2003 Definitions”)—the 2009 ISDA Credit Derivatives Determinations Committees, Auction Settlement and Restructuring Supplement (the “Restructuring Supplement”). Market participants may adhere to the Small Bang Protocol until 5:00 P.M. EDT on Friday, July 24, 2009, by using the form of adherence letter that is accessible via ISDA’s website, www.isda.org. By adhering to the Small Bang Protocol, parties to CDSs would also adhere to the Big Bang Protocol to the extent that they have not previously done so. Adherence is voluntary; market participants are free to customize CDSs so long as they are able to find a counterparty that has not adhered to either the Big Bang Protocol or Small Bang Protocol. The Small Bang Protocol is especially relevant for CDS trades in which restructuring includes maturity limitations, as is the case in the standard CDS contract used in European and certain emerging market CDS trades. The Small Bang Protocol therefore constitutes the most recent global undertaking by ISDA to standardize and centrally clear CDSs. Background Participants in the OTC market viewed the launch of the Big Bang Protocol by ISDA earlier this year as an initial, major step in standardizing CDSs for central clearing. The standardization and central clearing of CDSs continue to be a major global undertaking by ISDA, regional clearing houses and key OTC market participants. This effort aims to accomplish four principal objectives— (1) mitigating counterparty credit risk through the use of central counterparties, (2) bringing transparency to the USD30 trillion global CDS market, (3) making credit derivatives Investment Management Alert such as CDSs more fungible for trading and clearing purposes, and (4) preventing problems that may occur in the physical settlement of CDSs due to the reality that, in many cases, the aggregate CDS notional value is greater than the supply of bonds that are to be delivered upon the occurrence of CDS credit events. In light of the recent market crises and the perceived roles that CDSs and counterparty risk played in those crises, regulators throughout the world called for the central clearing of CDSs to bring transparency to this important market. On February 17, 2009, major European dealers of CDSs — Barclays Capital, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and UBS — committed to the European Commission that each would work to centrally clear CDSs by July 31, 2009. While the Big Bang Protocol and the parties that adhered to it laid the foundation for many CDSs to be more fungible and thereby easier to centrally clear, the deliberate exclusion of CDSs with restructuring credit events by ISDA from the Big Bang Protocol remained a hurdle to making all CDSs fungible and available for central clearing. In order to understand why CDSs with the restructuring credit event were not included as a part of the Big Bang Protocol, it is necessary to summarize briefly the mechanics and credit events of CDSs, including the manner in which CDSs settle. In a CDS, one party, the protection seller, agrees to compensate the other party, the protection buyer, for the financial loss that the protection buyer incurs upon the occurrence of a specified credit event. In the 2003 Definitions, six credit events are listed: bankruptcy, failure to pay, repudiation/moratorium, obligation acceleration, obligation default and restructuring. Parties to a CDS often include more than one credit event in a CDS trade confirmation (the “Confirmation”). CDSs may be physically settled or settled by cash or auction. Upon the occurrence of a credit event, the protection buyer in a physically settled CDS delivers an asset, a “Deliverable Obligation,” typically a bond, to the protection seller in exchange for a payment (the notional amount of the CDS) by the protection seller. When parties to a CDS select restructuring as a credit event, the protection buyer receives a payment upon the occurrence of certain developments relating to the reference obligation, including a reduction in the interest rate or principal of the debt, the deferral of interest or principal, the extension of the maturity or an adjustment in the seniority of the reference obligation. If a reference entity restructures or begins to restructure debt, both the buyer and seller of protection to the CDS with restructuring and bankruptcy credit events may be incentivized to trigger settlement of the CDS. A buyer of protection in such a CDS can decide to trigger payment (i.e., become a “Notifying Party”) if a reference obligation is in the course of being restructured by the underlying obligor, but the buyer of protection may also opt to wait to trigger the CDS upon the bankruptcy of the obligor, in which case the payoff in the settlement of the CDS could be greater than if it were triggered by a restructuring. A seller of protection may become a Notifying Party and decide to trigger the CDS upon restructuring in order to prevent a larger payoff later, should the underlying obligor’s financial situation further deteriorate. Prior to the Big Bang Protocol, since either party could claim that a credit event had occurred, there were many disputes over the existence of credit events. The Big Bang Protocol establishes Determinations Committees, which, as their name implies, determine key developments that trigger CDS remedies and other key provisions in Confirmations, including the determination of whether a credit event has taken place and the asset that may be delivered for settlement of the CDS. In an effort to make CDSs more fungible and easier to centrally clear, ISDA mandated the auction settlement methodology in connection with the Big Bang Protocol earlier this year, but found that applying the auction methodology to CDSs with the restructuring event was unworkable. A significant complicating factor is the absence of a uniform practice worldwide for determining the Deliverable Obligation upon the occurrence of the restructuring July 2009 2 Investment Management Alert credit event. 1 To understand how the Small Bang Protocol and Restructuring Supplement address these issues, it is necessary to further describe the process whereby parties settle CDSs mandating restructuring as a credit event. If a CDS contract with a restructuring credit event is triggered by a protection seller, the protection buyer is generally permitted to deliver bonds with remaining maturities of up to thirty years. On the other hand, if the protection buyer triggers settlement in a physically-settled CDS, the maturity of bonds that are permitted for delivery under the CDS is typically agreed to be the longer of (a) five years plus the remaining maturity of the restructured obligation; and (b) two-and-a-half years plus the remaining maturity of non-restructured obligations. Thus, there are two variables to the settlement of a standard CDS with a restructuring credit event: (i) the party that triggers settlement of the CDS; and (ii) the remaining maturity of the debt of the CDS reference entity. These variables present a challenge to the integration of CDS with restructuring credit events into the auction methodology furthered by earlier revisions to the 2003 Definitions and the Big Bang Protocol, because the combination of these two variables creates a potentially large number of auctions that must be held to facilitate settlement of such CDSs. These complications, coupled with the regulators’ aggressive timeline for centrally clearing CDSs, led ISDA to omit CDSs with restructuring credit events from the Big Bang Protocol. 1 To date, the market for CDSs has not adopted a uniform standard for determining Deliverable Obligations upon the occurrence of a restructuring credit event due to differences in bankruptcy law and banks’ inability to reach agreement on a single standard for determining Deliverable Obligations. Consequently, two categories of CDSs with restructuring as the credit event developed over time. For CDSs in which the underlying asset is an American credit, the market refers to the restructuring as modified restructuring, or “Mod R.” If the reference entity in the CDS is a European or Asian credit, the market refers to the restructuring as a modified modified restructuring, or “Mod Mod R.” The significant difference between these two categories of CDSs lies in the different standard for determining the permitted maturity of the Deliverable Obligation upon the occurrence of a restructuring credit event. In this bifurcated market of CDSs with restructuring credit events, conducting a streamlined auction and centrally clearing these CDSs were not attainable goals prior to the Small Bang Protocol. Auctions, which are important for centrally clearing CDSs, require a single list of Deliverable Obligations. The Small Bang Protocol Earlier this year, following the launch by ISDA of the Big Bang Protocol, OTC market participants began to develop a practice for integrating the restructuring credit event into the auction settlement methodology. What evolved in that process was a grouping together of CDSs into “buckets” depending on the maturity of the underlying debt obligation that is referenced in the CDS. ISDA generally accepted and codified this evolving practice into the Restructuring Supplement, which will be incorporated into new and existing ISDA documentation between adhering parties for transactions covered by the Small Bang Protocol. Under the Restructuring Supplement’s mechanics, CDSs would be included in one of many buckets that “hold” CDSs with remaining maturities of 2.5, 5, 7.5, 10, 12.5, 15, 20 and 30 years after the restructuring date, with an additional bucket for settling CDSs that terminate within 2.5 years of the restructuring date. The Restructuring Supplement effectively “hardwires” the auction method of settlement into the Confirmations evidencing covered transactions between parties that adhere to the Small Bang Protocol. Following a restructuring, CDSs will be assigned to maturity buckets according to the following process. The Determinations Committee identifies the bonds or loans that correspond to the CDSs in the maturity buckets, and then ISDA will publish a listing of maturity buckets and Deliverable Obligations. Parties that adhered to the Small Bang Protocol will have five business days within which to decide to trigger their CDSs. In CDSs between two parties that have adhered to the Small Bang Protocol, both parties retain their respective rights to trigger the settlement provisions of the CDS. If the protection buyer triggers the CDS, certain maturity limitations apply to the selection of the Deliverable Obligation; if the protection seller triggers the CDS, the same maturity limitations do not apply. This aspect of the Restructuring Supplement is designed to replicate the current settlement process for CDSs with a restructuring credit event and to maintain the right of the buyer and seller of protection to trigger CDS. The protection buyer that triggers CDS settlement will continue to be limited in its ability to select Deliverable July 2009 3 Investment Management Alert Obligations for settlement. In the current practice for settling standard CDSs with restructuring credit events, if a protection buyer becomes a Notifying Party and as such declares a restructuring credit event, then the protection buyer is permitted to tender to the protection seller a Deliverable Obligation. However, not all debt—with any maturity— may be tendered for settlement in that case; Deliverable Obligations are restricted in terms of maturity. On the other hand, if the protection seller declares a restructuring credit event, the foregoing maturity limitations that are imposed on the buyer when it is a Notifying Party do not apply; the protection buyer in that case is free to deliver the Deliverable Obligations as it would for a bankruptcy or failure to pay credit event. The protection buyer typically tenders to the protection seller a Deliverable Obligation with a maturity of up to 30 years. The rationale for this practice is that, in the case where the protection seller brings about settlement of the CDS by declaring a restructuring credit event, the protection buyer should be permitted to exercise discretion in the selection of Deliverable Obligations. Conversely, a protection buyer that triggers CDS settlement should be limited in the selection of Deliverable Obligations that it tenders to the protection seller for settlement in order to discourage the protection buyer from triggering a restructuring credit event in a way that may inequitably further its own interests. The concepts and rationale underlying this current practice are generally retained by ISDA in its Restructuring Settlement, with the small difference that the maturity limitations on Deliverable Obligations are imposed via the maturity buckets. Under the Restructuring Supplement, if the protection buyer triggers the CDS, the CDS and the corresponding Deliverable Obligation will fall within a maturity bucket. The protection buyer will have to tender the Deliverable Obligation designated within a corresponding maturity bucket. Conversely, if the seller of protection triggers settlement, the CDS will be held in the 30-year bucket. Thus, similar to the current practice, the protection buyer will not be able to exercise complete discretion in the selection of Deliverable Obligations by triggering settlement of the CDS. Determinations Committees assist in the allocation of CDSs to maturity buckets and the designation of corresponding Deliverable Obligations and ISDA announces whether an auction is to be held for settlement. If no auction is held for a given maturity bucket holding a CDS that a protection buyer is attempting to trigger, the Restructuring Supplement entitles the protection buyer to “roll down” the CDS to the next maturity bucket with shorter maturity. If 500 or more CDSs are triggered and if five or more dealers are parties to those CDSs, an auction will take place. This new regime attempts to limit the number of auctions to only one auction for each bucket of CDSs, thereby increasing the fungibility of CDSs for central clearing. Buyers and sellers of protection will then have five business days to become Notifying Parties and trigger the CDS for settlement. CDSs that are not designated for auction will continue until a subsequent credit event takes place. As with the Big Bang Protocol, adhering to the Small Bang Protocol is voluntary and not all credit derivative transactions are covered by the Small Bang Protocol; the following credit derivative transactions are specifically excluded — Loan Only transactions, U.S. municipal credit derivative transactions, credit derivative transactions with asset-backed securities as the underliers, and credit derivative transactions that are based on indices entered into between dealers (listed in the Small Bang Protocol) relating to trust certificates linked to any Dow Jones CDX.NA.HY Index or CDX.NA.HY Index. Adherence to the Small Bang Protocol must be effected by 5:00 P.M. EDT on Friday, July 24, 2009. There is no fee for adherence. Adhering to the Small Bang Protocol does not prevent an adhering party from negotiating and entering into a CDS that does not incorporate the revised 2003 Definitions; two adhering parties can separately agree that select credit derivative transactions are not “Protocol Covered Transactions,” and as such the Confirmations for those transactions will not incorporate revisions to the 2003 Definitions from the Big Bang and Small Bang Protocols. The parties may evidence their intent to do so in Confirmations or in a separate side agreement. ISDA recommends that parties that previously specified certain July 2009 4 Investment Management Alert transactions as excluded from the Big Bang Protocol should also exclude those transactions from the Small Bang Protocol for the sake of clarity, in order to evidence their intent to not incorporate the revised 2003 Definitions. As of the time that this Alert went to press, 359 parties have adhered to the Small Bang Protocol, including many of the major credit derivatives dealers. This suggests that end users that do not adhere to the Small Bang Protocol may experience difficulty in negotiating CDSs that do not incorporate revised definitions published in connection with the Big Bang and Small Bang Protocols. The Restructuring Supplement will take effect for adhering parties on Monday, July 27, 2009. * * * In the event that you have questions concerning Small Bang Protocol adherence or the mechanics of the Restructuring Supplement, please do not hesitate to contact the author. Anchorage Austin Beijing Berlin Boston Charlotte Chicago Dallas Dubai Fort Worth Frankfurt Harrisburg Hong Kong London Los Angeles Miami Newark New York Orange County Palo Alto Paris Pittsburgh Portland Raleigh Research Triangle Park San Diego San Francisco Seattle Shanghai Singapore Spokane/Coeur d’Alene Taipei Washington, D.C. 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