bob alexander
Rural Livelihood
Risk Management Consulting
The Mercer et al Knowledge Integration Framework
Source: Mercer, Kelman, Sucher-Pearson, and Lloyd (2009)
Knowledge Continuum
Confirmation
As Truth
Willingness
to try
Knowledge
Perception Influences of
uncertainty
On Radar
Screen
Awareness
Ignorance
Source: I can’t remember (Fischoff, Renn?), but, wow, it was good
Vulnerability Scenarios: To & From
Hazards, trends, Hazards, trends, trends,
conditions
conditions
conditions
trends,
conditions
BSF-Processes
Environmental
Physical
Economic
Social
Food/Goods/
Vulnerability
Vulnerability
Vulnerability
Vulnerability
Income
Health Care
What effect on
What effect
What effect
vulnerability
on
What effect
Education/
on
of loss of
vulnerability
on process
Training
vulnerability
physical or
of loss of
and
of loss of
Shelter/Power/
direct
economic or
resultant
social
Watsan
economic or
direct social
function
effectiveness
Phys. Safety & direct social
effectiveness
effectiveof
these
DM
effectiveness
of these
ness?
elements?
Transport &
of these
elements?
Comms.
elements?
Rec/Ent/Rel/
Cul.
[all classified by function & underlying process for each element in that category]
Identify, Analyze , & Assess Vulnerability Levels
1) Identify
2) Analyze (& verify)
Outside:
•BSFs/Inst.
•Processes
Iterative
•Vulnerable
Knowledge
Elements
maps
*Coping/
1) Baseline
Buffering
2) Adverse
3) Future
Inside:
•BSFs/Inst.
•Processes
•Vulnerable
Elements
•Coping /
Buffering
3) Assess (& prioritize)
Outside:
•Clarify
•Analyze
Differences
•New info
→ new maps
Agreement
Inside:
•Clarify
•Analyze
Differences
•New info
→ new maps
Reps. Of
Inside Groups
(& Outside
Monitors):
•determine
unacceptable
levels of
elements
•Rank
reduction of
unacceptable
levels
Coping Mechanisms
Baseline
Low Men
Low Women
Y
M
N
Y(R)
Y(F,R) M(B,S)
Y (all if can)
Remittances
M
N
Y
Sell Assets
N
M
Y
Short Crops
N
N
N
Make/Sell Goods
N
N
M (rope/shells)
Inferior Foods
N
M
Y
Mechanism / Group
Savings
Borrow (F, R, B, S)
Baseline = 18%
Low Access Men = 12%
Low Access Women = 10 %
Identify, Analyze , & Assess Vulnerability Levels
1) Identify
2) Analyze (& verify)
Outside:
•BSFs/Inst.
•Processes
Iterative
•Vulnerable
Knowledge
Elements
maps
*Coping/
1) Baseline
Buffering
2) Adverse
3) Future
Inside:
•BSFs/Inst.
•Processes
•Vulnerable
Elements
•Coping /
Buffering
3) Assess (& prioritize)
Outside:
•Clarify
•Analyze
Differences
•New info
→ new maps
Agreement
Inside:
•Clarify
•Analyze
Differences
•New info
→ new maps
Reps. Of
Inside Groups
(& Outside
Monitors):
•determine
unacceptable
levels of
elements
•Rank
reduction of
unacceptable
levels
1) Culture relevance?: acknowledge & question
“inside”&“outside” cultures; start from
culture (how things work = BSFs/processes/
elements; then integrate “adverse” & “future” )
2) How engage with culture?: empower, iterate, agree,
treat, entrust (in a new CBDRR system)
3) How use IK value for DRR?: merge “inside” &
“outside” perceptions → knowledge from
which to base initial/continual treatment
4) Research → practice challenges?:
(a)“buy-in”, initial knowledge base creation, ease
of replication, “normal”&“adverse” commitment
(b)more focus on “co-knowing” social problems
that require solutions (NOT “hazard maps” OR
solutions to un-“known” problems)
http://sites.google.com/site/
RuralLivelihoodRiskManagement
bfootbob@hotmail.com
Sustainagility (barefoot bob, 2008)
I feel the waters start to rise - & I feel it getting worse each time
& I know that I can’t change - what others did - so placing blame
won’t help me find a new way to survive
We must seek new options
We must treat – what‘s exposed & weak
We must teach (all we can teach) each other
& change before the change becomes too deep
Once we had many of us here
But now it seems there’s less & less each year
Some have chosen to migrate , others met a different fate,
& those of us remaining live in fear
Waters may be rising all around us - So the time is now for us to act
Get assessment of what’s weak & Find the best way we can treat them
As we try to get on the sustainagility track