DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES Date: Public Health Service Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Memorandum October 30, 2006 From: WHO Collaborating Center for Research, Training and Eradication of Dracunculiasis Subject: GUINEA WORM WRAP-UP #167 To: Addressees Count Down to Glory Consecutive months with zero indigenous cases: Burkina Faso 9 Nigeria 5 Ethiopia 3 Detect every case. Contain each worm. Trace the source of every sporadic case. UPDATE ON IMPLEMENTATION OF GHANA’S ACTION PLAN Ghana’s Guinea Worm Eradication Program (GWEP) has now reported 2,968 cases of Guinea worm disease (GWD) in January-September 2006, which is an increase of 1% from the 2,943 cases reported during the same period of 2003 (See Table 1, and Figures 1,3 and 4). This year’s case containment rate is stalled at 61% overall. Figure 2 compares the monthly percentage of persons with GWD in 2006 which were prevented from transmitting their infection to others to the GWEP's monthly targets for case containment rates. The 38 reported cases of GWD in September is a reduction of -32%, compared to 56 cases during the same month in 2005, but the case containment rate for the 38 cases reported in September 2006 is only 44% (compared to September’s target of 76% for case containment in the Plan of Action). The status of program indicators in 528 known endemic villages during September were: 99% sent reports about cases, 95% had cloth filters in all households, 96% received one or more health education/mobilization sessions, 59% were protected with ABATE® Larvicide at least once in 2006, and 47% have access to one or more safe sources of drinking water. Other measures that have been taken in follow up to the Plan of Action developed during the Program Review held in Atlanta in August include replacement of 2 regional and 3 district Guinea worm coordinators, and preparations for an intensive media blitz to inform the public about the state of the campaign and mobilize populations in the remaining endemic areas. Unfortunately, Ghana’s electrical power crisis created by the low water level in Lake Volta is exacerbating problems with delivery of clean drinking water to the towns of Tamale and Savelugu in the Northern Region. On October 26, Mr Abraham Odoom, Deputy Minister of Local Government, Rural Development and Environment announced in Tamale that the government of Ghana is committing 9.5 billion Cedis (circa US $ 1 million) towards the eradication of Guinea worm disease. The Northern Region Poverty Reduction Program is to receive 5.5 billion Cedis for provision of 62 borehole wells to the highest endemic districts, i.e., Yendi, Tolon-Kumbungu, and Savelugu-Nanton. The Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning is to receive the remaining 4 billion Cedis for a special Guinea worm eradication fund which will be used to provide sources of safe drinking water to other lesser endemic districts. Figure 1 Ghana Guinea Worm Eradication Program Cases Reported, % Contained and % Change: During Jan. 2005 - Sept. 2006 800 100 Number of Cases of Dracunculiasis and Percent Contained: 2005 and 2006* 700 500 71 553 66 71 72 65 65 62 458 395 397 400 383 37 300 64 455 54 64 433 65 60 63 56 46 337 40 293 31 162 100 60 57 403 355 41 224 200 80 # Cases 66 483 % Contained 621 606 160 60 20 77 56 38 0 0 100 % Change in Cases of Dracunculiasis Compared to the Same Month in the Previous Year: Jan. 2005 - Sept. 2006* 47 28 25 % Change 12 -3 -2 -26 -23 -37 -56 -57 -60 -56 -49 2 -8 -19 -26 10 -32 -48 -100 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2005 2006 % of cases contained Number of cases 600 74 Figure 2 Ghana Guinea Worm Eradication Program Major Indicators by month % Cases Contained by month 2006 - 2007 100% 100% * March 2007 is Ghana's Target for stopping transmission of Guinea worm disease. 75% Percentage 64% 60% 62% 62% 61% 60% 59% 56% 57% 50% 45% 2006 25% 0% 2006 Target Target 2005 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 60% 64% 62% 61% 59% 62% 60% 56% 57% 45% 64% 65% 65% 65% 65% 68% 70% 73% 76% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 100.0% 79% 83% 88% 94% 98% 100.0% Table 1 Number of Cases Contained and Number Reported by Month during 2006* (Countries arranged in descending order of cases in 2005) NUMBER OF CASES CONTAINED / NUMBER OF CASES REPORTED COUNTRIES REPORTING CASES % JANUARY FEBRUARY GHANA NIGER 10 NIGERIA 0 TOGO BURKINA FASO 0 / COTE D'IVOIRE 0 / 0 1 0 0 / ETHIOPIA 1 UGANDA 0 0 333 638 0 0 2934 / 584 3264 5524 4475 / / / / / 14 86 / / / 3 0 / / / 5 100 3 100 2 100 22152 53 / / 2 / 1 933 3525 67 / 0 0 / 15 / / 1305 / / 1 1 2341 / 83 / 3 0 / 71 10 1 / 0 0 2672 / / 0 0 / 89 5 0 / 1 1 / 1 / 0 1 0 1 465 / 654 1 0 1 / 1 2 199 2 1 / 61 / 1 / 0 / / 0 / 0 2 1 0 0 0 / 0 / / 0 1 / 2968 12 5 / 2 / 1 0 1 396 / 0 / 0 2 / 0 0 1 403 TOTAL* 0 / 0 1 0 / 0 / 0 0 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 / 0 / 1 51 / 1 0 / / / 0 0 / 1 0 / 21 / 5 2 1 / / / / 0 0 0 0 / 1 0 3 1 0 / 0 0 / / 18872 / 59 21 / 0 2 / / / / 91 / 0 / 0 1 1 0 0 / / 0 0 14 2 1 / / 0 / 15 12 7 / / / / 0 0 0 0 / 6 2 0 0 2 0 / 178 72 / / / / / / / / 38 / 17 11 7 / 79 14 14 3 / 1811 77 / / / 6 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 / / / / MALI / / 66 TOTAL* 1203 / 11 14 DECEMBER 17 160 293 337 3 1 0 1 403 433 606 621 3 NOVEMBER 9700 1955 / OCTOBER / / 44 90 / SEPTEMBER 819 3335 4156 / AUGUST 1172 / / 177 209 / JULY 2225 5175 2857 / / / JUNE 2469 / / 237 265 376 MAY 2714 151 30 10 396 APRIL 226 / / 1 SUDAN MARCH 68 7 0 CONT. 0 / 2131 0 / 1357 0 / 0 11782 / 0 / 0 % CONTAINED 63 61 57 14 53 60 66 61 69 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 53 % CONT. OUTSIDE SUDAN 64 62 61 59 63 64 61 76 74 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 63 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! * provisional Shaded cells denote months when zero indigenous cases were reported. Numbers indicate how many imported cases were reported and contained that month. Figure 3 Distribution by Country of 22,140 Indigenous Cases of Dracunculiasis Reported During 2006* Number of cases 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 18,872 Sudan (9) 2,968 Ghana (9) Mali (9) 20,000 195 Niger (9) 70 Nigeria (10) 15 Togo (9) 14 Cote d'Ivoire (9) 5 Ethiopia (9) 1 Burkina Faso (9) 0 Target Dates for Last Case 2006 – 2007 Burkina Faso Cote d'Ivoire Ethiopia Mali Niger Nigeria Togo 2007 – 2008 Ghana 2009 Sudan * Provisional (9) Number of months for which reports have been received, e.g. Jan. - Sept. 2006 Figure 4 Number of Indigenous Cases Reported During the Specified Period in 2005 and 2006*, and Percent Change in Cases Reported Country Indigenous Cases Reported 2005 % CHANGE 2005 - 2006 2006 -100% Burkina Faso (9) 21 0 -100% Ethiopia (9) 29 1 -97% Nigeria (10) 116 15 Togo (9) 56 14 Mali (9) 415 195 8 5 2943 2968 60 70 4896 18872 Cote d'Ivoire (9) Ghana (9) Niger (9) Sudan (9) -80% -60% -40% All countries, excluding Sudan and Ghana 8544 22140 705 300 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% -87% -75% -53% -38% 1% 17% 285% Goal: 80% reduction Total -20% Overall % change outside of Sudan = -10% (9) Indicates months for which reports were received, i.e., Jan. -Sept. 2006 * Provisional -57% 158% Figure 5 SUDAN GUINEA WORM ERADICATION PROGRAM NUMBER OF REPORTED CASES OF DRACUNCULIASIS: 2005 AND 2006* 6,000 2005 = 5569 2006 = 18872 5,175 Number of cases 5,000 4,156 4,000 3,335 3,000 2,857 1,955 2,000 1,606 1,442 1,203 1,000 0 30 102 10 66 Jan 542 151 169 Feb 499 146 Mar Apr 324 410 262 1 May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec * Provisional Figure 6 SUDAN GUINEA WORM ERADICATION PROGRAM ENDEMIC COUNTIES BY STATE REPORTING 17,789 (94%) OF 18,872 CASES OF DRACUNCULIASIS DURING JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2006* Number of Cases 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 7,697 Kapoeta North, E. Equatoria 4,318 Kapoeta East, E. Equatoria 1,612 Gogrial East, Warrab 1,049 Kapoeta South, E. Equatoria 710 Ayod, Jonglei Gogrial West, Warrab 528 Wuror, Jonglei 496 Aweil East, N. BAG Terekeka, Cent. Equatoria 8,000 435 340 Awerial, Lakes 270 Nyirol, Jonglei 236 Duken, Jonglei 198 * Provisional SUDAN Provisional data from the southern Sudan GWEP during January –September indicates a total of 18,872 cases of GWD reported from 2,611 endemic villages, a 285% increase in cases compared to the 4,896 cases reported during the same period in 2005 (Table 1, Figures 3 and 4). The 2,611 endemic villages in 2006 is already a 141% increase over the 1,085 endemic villages reported during 2005. Figure 5 ranks the most endemic counties in southern Sudan in descending order of cases reported so far. The reporting rate from endemic villages so far during 2006 is 63%, but the goal is to improve it to 75% or better by the end of the dry season in May 2007 or before, if possible. Full filter coverage (cloth filters in every household) in each endemic village is 16%, and 25% of endemic villages have achieved full pipe filter coverage (70% of total population or 53% of 333,907 eligible individuals). One or more health education sessions have been provided to 66% of the endemic villages, and 7% of these have been protected with the use of ABATE® Larvicide. Only 16% of endemic villages have access to one or more safe sources of drinking water. The increases in cases of GWD and endemic villages in 2006 are a result of improved accessibility to areas of southern Sudan during 2006, unprecedented support since December 2005 by the Government of Southern Sudan and The Carter Center to intensify the GWEP, ongoing assessments of the extent of GWD in southern Sudan, and the speed and diligence with which the GWEP has been able to establish a program infrastructure and logistical support to immediately activate surveillance and monthly reporting of cases and to implement interventions in newly discovered endemic areas. UNICEF is assisting with the provision of safe sources of drinking water and WHO with surveillance in non-endemic areas. IN BRIEF: Togo. Dr. Bakaye Awani Su Keya DOTSE has been named the new national coordinator of Togo’s GWEP. The Togolese GWEP held regional reviews in all five regions of Togo the first week of October. MEETINGS 14-15 November 2006 Program Review for Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Togo, The Carter Center, Atlanta, USA 15 November 2006 Ceremony to honor Benin, CAR, Mauritania, Uganda The Carter Center, Atlanta, USA 5-6 December 2006 Program Review for South Sudan GWEP Juba, Sudan 5-7 December 2006 National Review for Niger GWEP Dosso, Niger Sixth Meeting of the International Commission for the Certification of Dracunculiasis Eradication WHO, Geneva, Switzerland 5-7 March 2007 Inclusion of information in the Guinea Worm Wrap-Up does not constitute “publication” of that information. In memory of BOB KAISER For information about the GW Wrap-Up, contact the WHO Collaborating Center for Research, Training, and Eradication of Dracunculiasis, NCID, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, F-22, 4770 Buford Highway, NE, Atlanta, GA 303413724, U.S.A. FAX: 770-488-7761. The GW Wrap-Up web location is http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dpd/parasites/guineaworm/default.htm. CDC is the WHO Collaborating Center for Research, Training, and Eradication of Dracunculiasis.