Paper: Technological Adaptation in Canadian Manufacturing, 1900-1929 Author: Peter J. Wylie Kimaya Gill and Aine Donnelly BACKGROUND ON CANADA • Canada was a small economy and a late industrializer, it was largely bypassed by the first industrial revolution with the emergence of Canada into the industrial age coming during the second IR. • Canada’s economic development was founded on the use of technology to give value to abundant natural resources, including trees for wood pulp and rocks for minerals and valuable metals. PURPOSE OF PAPER • The main question posed in Wiley’s paper is how much Canadian technological adaptation occurred and he looks in detail at the fundamental debate between historians about Canada’s ability to adapt technology for Canadian market conditions. • Canada relied heavily on imported technology, mainly from the USA and Wiley estimates biases to technical change in Canadian manufacturing compared to estimates of biased technical change in US manufacturing. INDUSTRIALIZATION AND THE NATIONALISTCONTINENTALIST CONTROVERSY (how Canada’s industrialization occurred) • The second IR was heavily based on commercial application of science and new energy forms overtaking iron and steel. Canada’s abundant supplies of falling water resulted in hydroelectric power dominating industry and as previously mentioned Canada had the natural resources to industrialise. • A combination of the above and a significant amount of immigrant labour fashioned these materials into manufactured goods for not only the growing domestic market but also foreign markets as Canada’s exporting market grew. • Wiley includes statistics to support this combination of factors leading to the growth of manufacturing, as in 1900 manufacturing accounted for 21% of Canadian GNP and this had grown to 24% by 1940. • When looking at this Wiley discounts agricultural and other growths in favour of manufacturing growth being the most prominent. He argues growth was concentrated in technologically sophisticated markets such as chemicals, mineral products and machinery. It is in these industries where Canada gained a chemical advantage • Wiley emphasizes that electric power was key to the development of these industries because it offered significant productivity advances in three ways: 1. It allowed a moving assembly line. Wiley quotes Alfred Chandler here “economies of speed were reaped by high volume throughput” 2. Purchased power reduced overall capital requirements in manufacturing 3. It brought about investment in new plants and equipment designed to run on purchased power which in turn led to new technology such as furnaces, lighting, electric welding etc. • Electrification in general altered the optimal mix of inputs and it improved efficiency greatly, by 1929 62% of all primary power was purchased rather than selfgenerated. • These points show that the basis for industrialization was there, between the resources and labour via immigration but as Wiley argues the most significant aspect was technological development. There are two views of the role of technology in Canada’s development, nationalist and continentalist. Nationalist: • Canadian industrialization relied on foreign technologies, which were inappropriate and not adapted to local conditions, this held back productivity advances in an otherwise dynamic economy. • Institutional conditions stifled development of indigenous innovation and fostered dependence on imported technology. • Problems arose from deficiencies in the flow of information between industrialists, technical suppliers and government departments. • Evidence of this view is high level of foreign ownership in Canadian manufacturing mainly US. • The main effect of this view is that it ignores manufacturing as a course of economic growth and prosperity in Canada. Continentalist: • Industrialization in Canada was successful because there was the early emergence of indigenous technological capability. Meaning there was successful application and adaptation of imported technology to local economic conditions, exactly the opposite of the nationalist view. • This allowed attainment and maintenance of Canadian comparative advantage. It was dependant on technical information which was informally disseminated by scientific and trade associations and government research agencies. • The resulting conclusion is that manufacturing succeeded in raising its own productivity and that of the entire economy. The article goes on to explore changes in the shares of value added going to labour, capital, electricity and coal in important sectors of Canadian and US manufacturing. FACTOR PRICE TRENDS AND THE NEED FOR ADAPTATION • Because Canadian industrialisation occurred in a time where there was significant technical and organizational change happening, relative factor prices also underwent significant change. • Canada was relying on the US to provide it’s manufacturing infrastructure and conditions in the factor markets in the US were significantly different. • It’s therefore likely that since the technology was developed under specific US conditions, the transferred versions were economically inappropriate for Canada. • Wiley emphasizes the difference in labour market conditions. Price of labour rose less in Canada than US due primarily to divergent stances of both countries on immigration policy, Canada let people in, US didn’t. • Average wages and earnings were absolutely lower. • Cost of capital was higher in Canada due to the differential effect of tariffs on national capital goods. Canadian tariffs protected domestic capital goods producers and raised capital goods prices to domestic consumers. In US capital goods exporters to the US had to pay the tariff by accepting lower export prices. • The interest rate was higher in Canada so was overall cost of capital. However Canadian tariffs fell more than US tariffs (Wiley suggests no reason) so over 1900-29 period rate of increase of cost of capital was lower in Canada. • Fall in Canada’s price of electricity can be attributed to its predominant use of largescale hydroelectric power; US relied on smaller thermal power plants. • Canadian utilities could supply electricity at lower overall cost and marketed aggressively to benefit from economies of scale. • US prices were tied to rising coal prices, the plants offered fewer economies of scale in production so couldn’t reduce prices as they increased output. • As a whole this all means that Canadian manufacturers were provided with a new competitive edge in the early 20th century that manifested itself in factor prices that generally fell relative to US prices. • From this Wiley states that significant differences are found between similar industries in the two countries which indicates that Canadian manufacturers didn’t use US tech in an unaltered fashion but adapted it to be more cost efficient under Canadian factor market conditions. A MODEL OF CANADIAN TECHNOLOGICAL ADAPTATION Many models of technological change argue that technology will be adapted in ways that make it more cost effective under local conditions, some explaining why technological change will reflect local factor prices: 1. Exploitation of factor substitution possibilities using existing technology simultaneously with stimulated innovation 2. Technological change is localised and takes the form of “learning-by-doing” 3. Capital-saving, labour using technological change when wage rates are rising and cost of capital falling is not viable Figure 3 demonstrates Canada’s situation in the early 20th century. The isoquants represent the tradeoff between capital and labour, and coal and electricity. The isoquants are a characterization of readily available US manufacturing technology. • One way that Canadians could have adapted this technology to their resource scarcity would be for them to costlessly substitute for inputs using the blueprints of developed and available American technology that symbolized these substitutions. • As the relative price of labour to capital and of electricity to coal fell in Canada compared to the US up til 1929, a transfer and use of American technology would have resulted in Canadians using blueprints embodying the use of more labour and less capital, and more electricity and less coal. • Therefore, Canadians would have operated at point C with US technology rather than at point A. • It was assumed that American industrialists endeavored for inventions that reduced factor prices, and that at point A all economically viable cost reductions had been exploited by American engineers. • With this view, American engineers would not have exploited cost reductions around point C because they were not employing those factor amounts; however these proportions were suitable at Canadian factor prices. • If Canadian engineers had acted similarly to those in the US, Canadian cost reductions would have been exploited at factor prices, reducing Canadian costs and prices. • Hence, methods may have existed within the segment xyz where Canadians could have developed and used e.g. point CA. • Moving from point C to CA involves the application of existing knowledge, rather than a new scientific breakthrough, leading to the disagreement over whether this movement involves innovation or encouraged factor substitution. • Encouraged technological adjustment to changing factor prices takes place in 2 stages: 1. The existing method which is the most cost efficient at different or new factor prices is chosen 2. The existing technical knowledge is applied to adjust this method and make it more cost efficient at these new factor prices. • The issue of whether Canadians moved to points such as CA can be determined by seeing whether they used production technologies described by the US isoquants. Examining factor share movements over time in Canadian and American manufacturing can do this. • Given the elasticity of substitution (curve of the isoquant), a factor share can change over time due to a change in relative factor prices or biased technological change. • If Canadians followed American production methods, then factor substitution opportunities in Canada would be the same as in the US. This would demonstrate a Canadian dependence on American technology and inability to develop alternatives – the nationalist view of Canadian technology development. • If, however, factor share movement differed from the US over time in ways unexplainable by the substitution opportunities, different technologies must have been in use such as that at the point CA. This would imply there was induced technological innovation – the continentalist view. CONCLUSION • In the early 20th century there was a large amount of technological adaptation to domestic factor prices in Canada. • The continentalist view is successful in explaining the technological development. • Successful application and adaptation of new and advanced foreign technology to local economic conditions. • They were reshaped, when transferred to Canada, through time by a series of adaptive changes. • This allowed the attainment and maintenance of Canadian comparative advantage in the long run and manufacturing made a healthy contribution to development. • Canadian technological adaptation depended on absorption of technical information.