Coastal CO2 fluxes from satellite ocean color, SST and winds Pete Strutton CIOSS / College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences Oregon State University 1. The coastal ocean as a CO2 sink (?) 2. Magnitude and variability of fluxes 3. Quantifying fluxes via satellite GOES-R Risk Reduction Coastal CO2 Fluxes • • • • • pCO2 in the coastal environment (and the equatorial regions for that matter) is associated with characteristic chlorophyll and SST signatures. Using techniques such as multiple linear regression, it should be possible to determine sea surface pCO2 from space. Combining this with winds from either scatterometer(s) or coastal/buoy meteorological stations will facilitate flux calculations. Important: In many areas we don’t even know the sign of the flux. Coastal ocean important for quantifying terrestrial fluxes. NO3 NO3 gradient Turbulent eddy-diffusion NO3 flux Characteristics of the Oregon upwelling system What are the important properties that make this region a CO2 sink? • Strong (but episodic) upwelling throughout summer. • Extremely rapid depletion of NO3 and CO2. – – – – – • NO3 depleted from ~34 M to essentially zero over ~10km Corresponding drawdown of CO2 from ~600 to 200ppm Low concentrations offshore persist, despite variability nearshore Mean along-transect CO2 concentration typically ~300ppm Implies CO2 ~70ppm (as much as 150ppm on some transects) Minimal warming of the upwelled waters (cf California?) What is the magnitude of the sink? • • • • Assume the conditions off Oregon are characteristic of upwelling regions along the entire west coast. Assume an upwelling season from May to August. Carbon sink is ~0.02 Pg C, approx. 5% of the annual mean North Pacific sink. …or ½ of the North Pacific sink for the same time period (ie May to August). Coastal CO2: Relationship to temperature and chlorophyll Productivity & CO2 uptake N limitation offshore Coastal CO2 Fluxes: Satellite requirements • • • • • Chlorophyll and SST will enable significant progress via multiple linear regression techniques. Temporal resolution ~3 hours will enable (primitive) budgets to be calculated: tracking of processes such as productivity and subduction. Higher temporal resolution of course better. This is a dynamic environment – any ability to ‘clear’ or alias clouds will enhance badly-needed coverage. Critical spatial scales ~1 to 10km. Current and proposed observational programs will provide the necessary in situ data for validation. Characteristics of the California upwelling system • • In contrast to Oregon, not a strong source or sink. Possible reasons (ie differences from Oregon) – – • • Limitation of CO2 drawdown by something other than NO3 Greater warming (works against biological uptake) Evidence for a significant change, towards a source, circa 1998 Illustrates the level of (lack of) understanding of the spatial and temporal variability. Coastal CO2: Relationship to physics and biology Productivity & CO2 uptake N limitation offshore Coastal CO2: Relationship to temperature and particulate carbon