TEXAS FOREST SERVICE 301 TARROW SUITE 364 COLLEGE STATION TX 77840-7896 TEXAS TIMBER PRICE TRENDS Place Mail Label Here Address Services Requested BIMONTHLY MARKET REPORT VOL. 20 NO. 3 May/June 2002 PAID Non-profit Organization U.S. POSTAGE College Station, Texas 77840 Permit No. 215 TEXAS TIMBER PRICE TRENDS WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF THIS REPORT? Texas Timber Price Trends is a bi-monthly publication reporting average prices paid for standing timber, commonly called the “stumpage price,” for the two months listed in the report. Its purpose is to provide timely information concerning timber market conditions in order to improve decision making and foster fair transactions that benefit both buyer and seller and encourage conservation of the timber resource. Market information is particularly important to nonindustrial private landowners who are only infrequent participants in this complex market. VOLUME CONVERSION FACTORS Sawlogs - Veneer Logs MBF-International-1/4" X 0.74 = MBF-Doyle MBF-Scribner X 0.78 = MBF-Doyle MBF-USFS Scribner X 0.814 = MBF-Doyle Pine - 8 Tons = 1 MBF-Doyle Hardwood - 9 Tons = 1 MBF-Doyle 2.37 Pine Cunits = 1 MBF-Doyle 1 Cunit = 100 Cubic Feet. Pulpwood WHERE DOES THE DATA COME FROM? Average stumpage prices published in this report are calculated from actual timber sales as reported by over 60 cooperators active in the East Texas timber market. Reporters include consulting foresters, large nonindustrial landowners, financial institutions, forest products companies, and state and federal agencies. Research has shown that a diversity of reporters tends to reduce bias and improve the reliability of the price estimates. HOW ARE AVERAGE PRICES CALCULATED? The calculation of average prices weighs each sale by the volume sold. This is done to filter out the effect that the size of the sale has on the price paid, thus providing a more consistent and meaningful average.The result is that the average price reported is the average price paid per unit of volume, NOT per the average timber sale. The price per ton for each product category is calculated from the price per volume unit using the conversion factors listed on page 8 of the report. Readers should note that volume to weight conversions vary depending on the average diameter of the logs in the sale. Because we don’t have information on average diameters for each sale reported, the per ton prices presented are based on an average conversion factor and not information from the specific sales reports. HOW CAN I USE THIS REPORT? This report is intended to serve only as a guide to general price levels. Individuals interested in selling timber can use this report to monitor market trends and get a general idea of what their timber is worth. However, it should not be used to judge the fair market value of a specific timber sale. The price paid for a specific stand of timber will vary considerably due to such factors as: size, species, and quality of timber; total volume and volume per acre; logging conditions; distance to the mill; end product of manufacture; and current demand and local competition for timber. Additionally, timber markets often change rapidly and therefore past prices are not necessarily a reflection of current market prices. We strongly recommend the use of competitive bidding process as the ultimate determinant of market price for any specific tract of timber. 1 Pine, Northeast TX - 2.5 Tons = 1 Cord Pine, Southeast TX - 2.625 Tons = 1 Cord Hardwood, 2.8 Tons = 1 Cord Pine - 81 Cubic Feet = 1 Cord Hardwood - 80 Cubic Feet = 1 Cord SUBSCRIPTION INFORMATION Texas Timber Price Trends is a publication of the Texas Forest Service and is available at $2 per copy from your local TFS office, or through an annual mail subscription of $10 per year. To subscribe, please send your request and check or money order (payable to "Texas Forest Service") to: Attn: Texas Timber Price Trends Texas Forest Service 301 Tarrow Suite 364 College Station, TX 77840-7896 This publication is also available free of charge on Texas Forest Service website(http://txforestservice.tamu.edu/forest_management/ texas_timber_price_trends/index.html). For more information, call (979)458-6650. WANT TO BE A REPORTER? If you are active in the East Texas timber market, please consider becoming a cooperating price reporter. You’ll receive report forms bi-monthly with a self-return envelope. In addition, you’ll receive a complimentary subscription to the report in exchange for your price information. To sign up, contact the Texas Forest Service at the above address. The Texas Forest Service is an Equal Opportunity Employer 8 COMMENTS Texas Timber Price Trends Pine Sawtimber Prices: Seasonal Reduction Market Regions Pine sawtimber stumpage experienced seasonal reduction in prices during the May/June 2002 period. The average prices for both Northeast and Southeast region of East Texas was $331/mbf ($41/ton) by volume-weighted average measurement. This average price represents a 16% decrease from the previous two-month period and 3% increase compared to a year ago. Unweighted average price (simple average of all reported prices) was $319/mbf ($40/ton) for East Texas region, $12/mbf ($2/ton) lower than the volume-weighted average price for the region. Unweighted average price for Northeast Texas was $310/mbf ($39/ton) and $328/mbf ($41/ton) for Southeast Texas. Red River Titus Morris Franklin Bowie Cass Camp Northeast TX Region I Wood Marion Upshur Pine Pulpwood Stumpage Prices: Staying at Bottom Stumpage prices paid for pine pulpwood during the May/June 2002 period averaged $12/cord ($5/ton) for East Texas. This average price remained virtually unchanged since the previous two-month period ($11/ cord) and a year ago ($13/cord). The huge volume increase for the Southeast region at 35,891 cords reflected a large purchase of pulpwood by one of the major industrial buyers. Harrison Van Zandt Gregg Smith Henderson Panola Rusk Anderson Cherokee Shelby Leon Houston San Augustine Nacogdoches Angelina Pine Chip-N-Saw Stumpage Prices: Very Low Sabine Grimes Polk Tyler San Jacinto Southeast TX Hardin Montgomery Region II Liberty Waller Jasper Walker Newton Trinity Madison Harris Stumpage prices paid for pine chip-n-saw during the May/June 2002 period averaged $40/cord ($15/ton). This average price was similar to that of the previous two-month period ($41/cord), but was 22% lower than $51/cord of a year ago. The highest pine chip-n-saw stumpage price during the last two decades was $76/cord in 1998. Again, the huge volume increase in the Southeast region at 20,297 cords included a large chip-n-saw stumpage purchase by one of our major industrial buyers. Chambers Orange Jefferson Pine Poles: Demand Steady Stumpage prices of pine pole averaged at $65-70/ton. Pine pole market demand was steady during the May/June 2002 period. Hardwood Sawtimber Stumpage Prices: Climing Up From the 14 sales reported to us, hardwood sawtimber stumpage price was up at $121/mbf ($13/ton) for East Texas during the May/June 7 2 2002 period. This average price was 22% higher than the previous twomonth period ($99/mbf) and 5% higher than a year ago ($115/mbf). Total sale volume reported was 685 mbf (76 tons). TEXAS ANNUAL STATEWIDE AVERAGE STUMPAGE PRICES Hardwood Pulpwood Stumpage Prices: Rising Hardwood pulpwood stumpage price was rising during the May/June period 2002, averaging at $17/cord ($6/ton) for East Texas. This was more than doubled the previous two months' price ($8/cord) and 22% higher than a year ago. Most of the price increase was in the Northeast Texas region with an average price of $19/cord ($7/ton) for the May/June 2002 period. Southeast Texas stumpage price of hardwood pulpwood was much lower than the Northeast region, at $11/cord ($4/ton), but this was 59% higher than the previous two-month period of the Southeast region ($7/cord). PINE SAWTIMBER High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price $/MBF-Doyle Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002.1 2002.2 2002.3 Sawlog $/MBF-Doyle 170.53 129.87 127.45 142.59 152.31 156.32 163.34 189.33 252.26 283.80 358.03 438.36 395.46 441.75 414.51 382.86 376.57 325.14 344.97 394.38 330.67 Pine Chip-N-Saw $/Cord 30.85 28.35 23.68 22.53 24.88 26.25 30.12 29.71 39.39 39.46 47.81 62.96 59.18 73.39 76.40 68.44 57.69 42.06 38.73 40.94 39.73 Pulpwood $/Cord 23.48 18.46 14.53 15.28 16.33 18.45 22.17 22.59 27.98 26.89 22.75 27.26 25.25 28.61 37.01 28.95 19.20 12.94 13.12 10.62 12.35 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 3 6 Hardwood Sawlog Pulpwood $/MBF-Doyle $/Cord 54.61 4.03 54.79 5.13 46.16 4.18 55.46 6.78 64.93 6.59 69.48 9.27 62.20 6.03 53.83 9.09 67.04 10.10 80.67 12.76 93.77 15.57 105.17 28.65 88.28 10.78 132.20 25.20 138.75 14.41 139.44 12.24 120.88 7.97 120.32 15.11 126.65 12.56 99.28 8.06 120.93 17.02 2002 period. This average price was 22% higher than the previous twomonth period ($99/mbf) and 5% higher than a year ago ($115/mbf). Total sale volume reported was 685 mbf (76 tons). TEXAS ANNUAL STATEWIDE AVERAGE STUMPAGE PRICES Hardwood Pulpwood Stumpage Prices: Rising Hardwood pulpwood stumpage price was rising during the May/June period 2002, averaging at $17/cord ($6/ton) for East Texas. This was more than doubled the previous two months' price ($8/cord) and 22% higher than a year ago. Most of the price increase was in the Northeast Texas region with an average price of $19/cord ($7/ton) for the May/June 2002 period. Southeast Texas stumpage price of hardwood pulpwood was much lower than the Northeast region, at $11/cord ($4/ton), but this was 59% higher than the previous two-month period of the Southeast region ($7/cord). PINE SAWTIMBER High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price $/MBF-Doyle Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002.1 2002.2 2002.3 Sawlog $/MBF-Doyle 170.53 129.87 127.45 142.59 152.31 156.32 163.34 189.33 252.26 283.80 358.03 438.36 395.46 441.75 414.51 382.86 376.57 325.14 344.97 394.38 330.67 Pine Chip-N-Saw $/Cord 30.85 28.35 23.68 22.53 24.88 26.25 30.12 29.71 39.39 39.46 47.81 62.96 59.18 73.39 76.40 68.44 57.69 42.06 38.73 40.94 39.73 Pulpwood $/Cord 23.48 18.46 14.53 15.28 16.33 18.45 22.17 22.59 27.98 26.89 22.75 27.26 25.25 28.61 37.01 28.95 19.20 12.94 13.12 10.62 12.35 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 3 6 Hardwood Sawlog Pulpwood $/MBF-Doyle $/Cord 54.61 4.03 54.79 5.13 46.16 4.18 55.46 6.78 64.93 6.59 69.48 9.27 62.20 6.03 53.83 9.09 67.04 10.10 80.67 12.76 93.77 15.57 105.17 28.65 88.28 10.78 132.20 25.20 138.75 14.41 139.44 12.24 120.88 7.97 120.32 15.11 126.65 12.56 99.28 8.06 120.93 17.02 TIMBER PRICE TRENDS IN TEXAS May/June 2002 01-Aug-02 Volume 20, No. 3 Product/Region Weighted Average(WA) WA Last Period $/Ton 38.67 41.00 39.84 ** $/MBF 330.95 330.55 330.67 ** $/Ton 41.37 41.32 41.33 ** $/MBF 404.47 390.42 395.18 ** $/MBF 336.86 311.56 321.52 ** 6 22 28 ** MBF 2,719 6,369 9,088 ** $/Cord 13.18 9.64 11.41 ** $/Ton 5.27 3.67 4.47 ** $/Cord 15.09 12.07 12.35 ** $/Ton 6.03 4.60 4.72 ** $/Cord 14.83 8.95 10.62 ** $/Cord 12.30 14.86 13.46 ** 6 17 23 ** Cords 3,290 32,600 35,891 ** $/Cord 52.50 37.04 37.04 ** $/Cord 52.50 45.79 49.15 ** $/Ton 20.00 17.44 18.72 ** $/Cord 52.50 39.25 39.73 ** $/Ton 20.00 14.95 15.14 ** $/Cord ** 40.94 40.94 ** $/Cord 57.09 48.72 51.12 ** 2 7 8 ** Cords 770 20,297 21,066 ** $/MBF 288.00 144.00 288.00 ** $/MBF 108.00 99.00 99.00 ** $/MBF 183.60 115.39 149.50 ** $/Ton 20.40 12.82 16.61 ** $/MBF 122.27 117.79 120.93 ** $/Ton 13.59 13.09 13.44 ** $/MBF ** 99.28 99.28 ** $/MBF 118.07 106.61 114.78 ** 5 9 14 ** MBF 480 205 685 ** $/Cord 21.87 14.00 21.87 ** $/Cord 11.20 6.00 6.00 ** $/Cord 15.97 10.43 13.20 ** $/Ton 5.70 3.73 4.71 ** $/Cord 18.91 10.63 17.02 ** $/Ton 6.75 3.80 6.08 ** $/Cord 10.26 6.70 8.06 ** $/Cord 14.33 11.68 13.94 ** 4 10 14 ** Cords 4,224 1,252 5,476 ** High Low Unweighted Average Sawlogs Northeast TX Southeast TX Statewide* USFS $/MBF 378.39 416.00 416.00 ** $/MBF 240.00 295.06 240.00 ** $/MBF 309.40 328.01 318.70 ** Pulpwood Northeast TX Southeast TX Statewide* USFS $/Cord 17.25 20.00 20.00 ** $/Cord 5.00 2.63 2.63 ** Chip-N-Saw Northeast TX Southeast TX Statewide* USFS $/Cord 52.50 51.01 52.50 ** Sawlogs Northeast TX Southeast TX Statewide* USFS Pulpwood Northeast TX Southeast TX Statewide* USFS WA 1 Year Ago # of Sales Reported Total Volume PINE HARDWOOD Price per ton is calculated from the average price per MBF or cord based on conversion factors listed under VOLUME CONVERSION FACTORS on page 8. MBF=Thousand Board Feet. The DOYLE LOG SCALE is used for all board foot measurements. *Statewide data excludes U.S. Forest Service sales. **Insufficient sale activity to report price statistics (less than three reported sales). PINE CHIP-N-SAW HARDWOOD SAWTIMBER $/MBF-Doyle High Low Statewide Weihghted Average Price $/Cord High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price 100 350 90 300 80 70 250 60 200 50 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 PINE PULPWOOD HARDWOOD PULPWOOD $/Cord High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price $/Cord 40 45 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 5 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 4 PINE CHIP-N-SAW HARDWOOD SAWTIMBER $/MBF-Doyle High Low Statewide Weihghted Average Price $/Cord High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price 100 350 90 300 80 70 250 60 200 50 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 PINE PULPWOOD HARDWOOD PULPWOOD $/Cord High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price High Low Statewide Weighted Average Price $/Cord 40 45 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 5 M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J J/A S/O N/D J/F M/A M/J '00 '00 '00 '00 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '01 '02 '02 '02 4 COMMENTS Texas Timber Price Trends Pine Sawtimber Prices: Seasonal Reduction Market Regions Pine sawtimber stumpage experienced seasonal reduction in prices during the May/June 2002 period. The average prices for both Northeast and Southeast region of East Texas was $331/mbf ($41/ton) by volume-weighted average measurement. This average price represents a 16% decrease from the previous two-month period and 3% increase compared to a year ago. Unweighted average price (simple average of all reported prices) was $319/mbf ($40/ton) for East Texas region, $12/mbf ($2/ton) lower than the volume-weighted average price for the region. Unweighted average price for Northeast Texas was $310/mbf ($39/ton) and $328/mbf ($41/ton) for Southeast Texas. Red River Titus Morris Franklin Bowie Cass Camp Northeast TX Region I Wood Marion Upshur Pine Pulpwood Stumpage Prices: Staying at Bottom Stumpage prices paid for pine pulpwood during the May/June 2002 period averaged $12/cord ($5/ton) for East Texas. This average price remained virtually unchanged since the previous two-month period ($11/ cord) and a year ago ($13/cord). The huge volume increase for the Southeast region at 35,891 cords reflected a large purchase of pulpwood by one of the major industrial buyers. Harrison Van Zandt Gregg Smith Henderson Panola Rusk Anderson Cherokee Shelby Leon Houston San Augustine Nacogdoches Angelina Pine Chip-N-Saw Stumpage Prices: Very Low Sabine Grimes Polk Tyler San Jacinto Southeast TX Hardin Montgomery Region II Liberty Waller Jasper Walker Newton Trinity Madison Harris Stumpage prices paid for pine chip-n-saw during the May/June 2002 period averaged $40/cord ($15/ton). This average price was similar to that of the previous two-month period ($41/cord), but was 22% lower than $51/cord of a year ago. The highest pine chip-n-saw stumpage price during the last two decades was $76/cord in 1998. Again, the huge volume increase in the Southeast region at 20,297 cords included a large chip-n-saw stumpage purchase by one of our major industrial buyers. Chambers Orange Jefferson Pine Poles: Demand Steady Stumpage prices of pine pole averaged at $65-70/ton. Pine pole market demand was steady during the May/June 2002 period. Hardwood Sawtimber Stumpage Prices: Climing Up From the 14 sales reported to us, hardwood sawtimber stumpage price was up at $121/mbf ($13/ton) for East Texas during the May/June 7 2 TEXAS TIMBER PRICE TRENDS WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF THIS REPORT? Texas Timber Price Trends is a bi-monthly publication reporting average prices paid for standing timber, commonly called the “stumpage price,” for the two months listed in the report. Its purpose is to provide timely information concerning timber market conditions in order to improve decision making and foster fair transactions that benefit both buyer and seller and encourage conservation of the timber resource. Market information is particularly important to nonindustrial private landowners who are only infrequent participants in this complex market. VOLUME CONVERSION FACTORS Sawlogs - Veneer Logs MBF-International-1/4" X 0.74 = MBF-Doyle MBF-Scribner X 0.78 = MBF-Doyle MBF-USFS Scribner X 0.814 = MBF-Doyle Pine - 8 Tons = 1 MBF-Doyle Hardwood - 9 Tons = 1 MBF-Doyle 2.37 Pine Cunits = 1 MBF-Doyle 1 Cunit = 100 Cubic Feet. Pulpwood WHERE DOES THE DATA COME FROM? Average stumpage prices published in this report are calculated from actual timber sales as reported by over 60 cooperators active in the East Texas timber market. Reporters include consulting foresters, large nonindustrial landowners, financial institutions, forest products companies, and state and federal agencies. Research has shown that a diversity of reporters tends to reduce bias and improve the reliability of the price estimates. HOW ARE AVERAGE PRICES CALCULATED? The calculation of average prices weighs each sale by the volume sold. This is done to filter out the effect that the size of the sale has on the price paid, thus providing a more consistent and meaningful average.The result is that the average price reported is the average price paid per unit of volume, NOT per the average timber sale. The price per ton for each product category is calculated from the price per volume unit using the conversion factors listed on page 8 of the report. Readers should note that volume to weight conversions vary depending on the average diameter of the logs in the sale. Because we don’t have information on average diameters for each sale reported, the per ton prices presented are based on an average conversion factor and not information from the specific sales reports. HOW CAN I USE THIS REPORT? This report is intended to serve only as a guide to general price levels. Individuals interested in selling timber can use this report to monitor market trends and get a general idea of what their timber is worth. However, it should not be used to judge the fair market value of a specific timber sale. The price paid for a specific stand of timber will vary considerably due to such factors as: size, species, and quality of timber; total volume and volume per acre; logging conditions; distance to the mill; end product of manufacture; and current demand and local competition for timber. Additionally, timber markets often change rapidly and therefore past prices are not necessarily a reflection of current market prices. We strongly recommend the use of competitive bidding process as the ultimate determinant of market price for any specific tract of timber. 1 Pine, Northeast TX - 2.5 Tons = 1 Cord Pine, Southeast TX - 2.625 Tons = 1 Cord Hardwood, 2.8 Tons = 1 Cord Pine - 81 Cubic Feet = 1 Cord Hardwood - 80 Cubic Feet = 1 Cord SUBSCRIPTION INFORMATION Texas Timber Price Trends is a publication of the Texas Forest Service and is available at $2 per copy from your local TFS office, or through an annual mail subscription of $10 per year. To subscribe, please send your request and check or money order (payable to "Texas Forest Service") to: Attn: Texas Timber Price Trends Texas Forest Service 301 Tarrow Suite 364 College Station, TX 77840-7896 This publication is also available free of charge on Texas Forest Service website(http://txforestservice.tamu.edu/forest_management/ texas_timber_price_trends/index.html). For more information, call (979)458-6650. WANT TO BE A REPORTER? If you are active in the East Texas timber market, please consider becoming a cooperating price reporter. You’ll receive report forms bi-monthly with a self-return envelope. In addition, you’ll receive a complimentary subscription to the report in exchange for your price information. To sign up, contact the Texas Forest Service at the above address. The Texas Forest Service is an Equal Opportunity Employer 8 TEXAS TIMBER PRICE TRENDS TEXAS FOREST SERVICE 301 TARROW SUITE 364 COLLEGE STATION TX 77840-7896 $2.00 Place Mail Label Here Address Services Requested BIMONTHLY MARKET REPORT VOL. 18 NO. 3 May/June 2000 PAID Non-profit Organization U.S. POSTAGE College Station, Texas 77840 Permit No. 215