A Bimonthly Market Report Vol. 27 No. 2 Mar/Apr 2009 Texas Timber Price Trends Market Overview* Timber markets remained slow during March/April 2009 as the U.S. housing market continued to languish and the pulp and paper markets suffered weak demand due to the global economic downturn. Statewide pine sawlog prices averaged $24.72 per ton, roughly the same as the last period, but a 20 percent decrease from one year ago. In Northeast Texas, the average pine sawlog price was $26.87 per ton and the average price was $24.03 per ton in Southeast Texas. The Average pine pulpwood price declined 19 percent — or $1.37 — from the last period, dropping to $5.68 per ton statewide. This was the lowest average pine pulpwood price since July/August 2006. Small diameter pine sawlog (CNS) prices averaged $12.66 per ton statewide, down $3.55 per ton or 22 percent from the last period. The average hardwood sawlog price was $21.12 per ton in East Texas. The price was $21.05 per ton in Northeast Texas. Statewide hardwood pulpwood prices averaged $9.03 per ton, a 17 percent increase from the last period but roughly the same as this same period one year ago. *The average prices reported here represent statewide transactions of 187,584 tons of pine sawlogs, 270,055 tons of pine pulpwood, 91,038 tons of pine CNS, 11,486 tons of hardwood sawlogs, and 56,084 tons of hardwood pulpwood during March/April 2009. Texas Timber Price Trends Page 2 Mar/Apr 2009 S t u m p a g e P r i c e s i n Te x a s Product /Region Average Price Last Period Year Ago Report PINE Sawlogs $/ton $/MBF $/ton $/MBF Chg $/ton $/MBF Chg Number Northeast TX 26.87 199.47 29.89 203.11 -10% 36.20 274.91 -26% 40 Southeast TX 24.03 184.75 23.17 180.70 4% 28.54 226.35 -16% 29 Statewide 24.72 188.44 24.25 184.73 2% 30.82 241.28 -20% 69 USFS 20.17 161.39 13.05 104.44 55% 24.19 193.50 -17% 5 Pulpwood $/ton $/cord $/ton $/cord Chg $/cord Chg Number Northeast TX 5.20 13.86 7.58 20.17 -31% 11.00 29.57 -53% 36 Southeast TX 5.85 15.79 6.86 18.52 -15% 10.18 27.48 -43% 40 Statewide 5.68 15.30 7.05 18.95 -19% 10.49 28.27 -46% 76 ** ** ** ** ** 9.08 24.52 ** ** $/ton $/cord $/ton $/cord Chg Northeast TX 19.84 53.57 13.36 36.08 49% 15.65 42.25 27% 4 Southeast TX 12.37 33.39 16.22 43.80 -24% 14.87 40.14 -17% 14 Statewide 12.66 34.19 16.21 43.76 -22% 14.88 40.19 -15% 18 Mixed Sawlogs $/ton $/MBF $/ton $/MBF Chg Chg Number Northeast TX 21.05 175.76 18.53 146.90 14% 16.94 153.43 24% Southeast TX ** 24.87 223.84 ** 27.83 241.04 ** 21.28 177.92 -1% 19.16 171.93 10% 44 ** ** ** $/cord Chg Number USFS Chip-N-Saw $/ton $/ton $/cord Chg Number HARDWOOD Statewide 21.12 ** 176.47 $/ton 43 ** ** ** ** ** ** $/ton $/cord $/ton $/cord Chg Northeast TX 8.57 24.09 7.85 21.99 9% 9.67 27.15 -11% 31 Southeast TX 9.50 26.60 7.61 21.30 25% 9.31 26.10 2% 27 Statewide 9.03 25.33 7.71 21.58 17% 9.45 26.51 -4% 58 ** ** ** 2.01 5.64 USFS Pulpwood USFS ** ** ** $/MBF $/ton ** ** 1. Stumpage price statistics include gatewood sales. Stumpage prices for gatewood sales are estimated by subtracting cut-and-haul costs, other expenses, and profits provided by reporter. 2. Price is calculated from a specific conversion factor reported for each sale if available; otherwise, the average conversion factors listed on page 4 are used. MBF = Thousand Board Feet. The DOYLE LOG SCALE is used for board foot measurements. 3. Statewide data excludes U.S. Forest Service sales. 4. ** indicates insufficient sales to report price statistics (less than three sales). 5. Prices listed for previous periods may differ from previously published values because additional data have been received. 6. Price change in percentage is calculated based on price in ton. 7. Extreme outliers from reported data are detected and filtered out based on statistical methods. 8. Price changes are calculated based on price in ton. Texas Timber Price Trends Mar/Apr 2009 Sawlogs Page 3 Pulpwood $/Ton $/Ton 20 55 50 18 P ine 45 P ine 16 H a rdwo o d 40 H a rdwo o d 14 35 12 30 10 25 8 20 6 15 4 10 2 5 0 0 M /A M /J '07 '07 J/ A '07 S/O '07 N/ D '07 J/ F '08 M /A M /J '08 '08 J/A '08 S/O '08 N/D '08 J/F '09 M / A M / J J/ A '07 '07 '07 M /A '09 S/ O N/ D '07 '07 J/F M / A M / J '08 '08 '08 J/A S/ O N'D '08 '08 '08 J/F M / A '09 '09 Historical Statewide Sawlog Prices $/MBF-Doyle 600 Pine 500 Hardwood 400 300 200 100 0 J/A '85 J/A '87 J/A '89 J/A '91 J/A '93 J/A '95 J/A '97 J/A '99 J/A '01 J/A '03 J/A '05 J/A '07 J/A '03 J/A '05 J/A '07 Historical Statewide Pulpwood Prices $/cord 50 45 40 Pine Hardwood 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 J/A '85 J/A '87 J/A '89 J/A '91 J/A '93 J/A '95 J/A '97 J/A '99 J/A '01 Note: A gap in the chart means less than 3 sales were reported and no price statistics were compiled. For chart data, please go to http://txforestservice.tamu.edu/main/article.aspx?id=145. Mar/Apr 2009 Texas Timber Price Trends Texas Timber Price Trends is a bimonthly publication reporting average prices paid for standing timber in Texas. This report is intended only as a guide to general price levels. Individuals interested in buying and selling timber can use this report to monitor market trends and get a general idea of what timber is worth. However, it should not be used to judge the fair market value of a specific timber sale, which may vary considerably due to many factors. HOW ARE AVERAGE PRICES CALCULATED? Data published in this report are from actual timber sales as reported by as many as 60 cooperators active in the East Texas timber market. Reporters include forest product companies, logging contractors, consulting foresters, family forest landowners, financial institutions, and federal agencies. The prices are volume weighted average prices. The price per ton for each product category is as reported or using a specific conversion factor provided by the reporters. When a specific conversion factor for each sale is not available, an average conversion factor listed here is used instead. Texas Forest Service 301 Tarrow, Suite 364 College Station, TX 77840-7896 Page 4 VOLUME CONVERSION FACTORS Sawlogs & Chip-N-Saw Pine— 8 tons=1 MBF-Doyle Pine CNS— 2.7 tons= 1 Cord Hardwood— 9 tons= 1 MBF-Doyle Pulpwood Pine— 2.7 tons=1 Cord Hardwood— 2.8 tons= 1 Cord This publication is also available on the Texas Forest Service website at: http://txforestservice.tamu.edu/main/article.aspx?id=145 WANT TO BE A REPORTER? If you are active in the East Texas timber market, please consider becoming a cooperating price reporter. You will receive report forms bi-monthly with a self-return envelope. In addition, you will receive a hard copy of the report in exchange for your price information.