Introduction • The pressure on all types of operators to implement costbased pricing, especially for interconnect services, is growing • I will deal with issues around the determination of tariff levels, and how to determine tariff structures. • I will also touch upon how tariffs for commercial services will typically be determined in a negotiation process SEMINAR ON ITU PRICING MODELS TBILISI, GEORGIA, NOVEMBER 14-15, 2002 Price Determination By Cleveland Thomas Why are interconnection rates so important? Sellers of Services Regulators • • “Protect” retail • customers • Promote • competition • Give efficiency • incentives • Deter uneconomic entry etc. Protect retail market positions - discourage cherry-picking - protect retail tariffs • Increase revenues Buyers of services Minimize overall costs Enable competitive tariffs Simplify roll-out of own retail services Key issues for pricing wholesale / interconnect services • The growing importance of jointly-provided services • The importance of taking both long and short-term considerations • The importance of recognizing that the interests of the regulator are, in the longer term, fundamentally opposed to the interests of the telecoms industry • The need to understand the implications of pricing decisions across retail and wholesale services • The need to understand that wholesale relations between operators are bilateral (both sides are buyers and sellers) Key differences between a Regulatory & Commercial Approach Commercial Approach Regulatory Approach • Driven by demands rather than costs • Cost-based – FAC vs.. LRIC – historic vs.forwardlooking • Mark-up – zero – uniform – Ramsey – ECP • Long-term profit maximizing • Must fit with overall strategy and retail tariff structures • Art based on science Tariffing must be approached in an integrated manner. Wholesale Retail Cross elasticity’s Cross elasticity’s Service N Service 2 Service 1 Value to Customer Expected competitive Price action Service N Service 2 Service 1 Value to Customer Own costs to produce Expected competitive Price action Own costs to produce Optimization Regulatory interests Incr. Cost Microwave alt. Chosen Price FAC 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Retail Tariffs Value-Based Price of a Wholesale Service Different cost-bases can provide the starting point for (cost-based) tariffs • Short Run Marginal Cost (SRMC) – Cost of one additional unit of output, given existing capacity • Long Run Incremental Cost (LRIC) – Cost of adding a service or increment, including capacity costs • Stand Alone Cost (SAC) – Cost of providing one service by itself • Fully Allocated Cost (FAC) – Directly attributable cost plus a pro rata share of overheads These cost types will be addressed in more detail later Tariffs must also include a mark-up Type of mark-up Pro’s Cons • Zero mark-up stimulates entry threatens viability of seller strong efficiency promotes uneconomic entry incentives distorts competition prevents excess profits • Uniform mark-up easy to calculate balances conflicting objectives • Ramsey Pricing arbitrary inefficient promotes efficient final impact depends on flexibility svc. Prices of final service prices prevents excessive inelasticity may be due to lack profits Tariffs must also include a mark-up Type of mark-up Pro’s • Efficient Component Pricing - promotes fair competition - deters uneconomic entry - ensures viability of seller Cons provides weak efficiency incentives does not address monopoly profits The Choice of mark-up can have a dramatic effect on tariff levels Illustrative Interconnect Charges (pence/call minute) Call Type Local Note: LRIC Ramsey AC/Unif with no orm Markmark-up Up 1.1 2.8 2.3 ECPR 2.1 National 1.1 1.6 2.3 4.3 Int’l 1.1 1.4 2.3 8.0 Price for the use of a local Tandem Tariff structure is an important as tariff level • A generic tariff is a combination of one or more of the following elements : – initial charge (one-off charge - only one time) – fixed charge (time-based) – call set-up (unsuccessful vs. only successful calls) – charge per unit • Other dimensions also need to be considered – geographical structure (distance) – time-of-day structure – charging unit (per minute, per second) • The link to the retail tariff structures must also be considered – same structure ? – closer links to cost-drivers ? – higher complexity ? Examples of importance of tariff structures An infinite of solutions give the same result (3 minute call) • True results depend on expected calling patterns • expectations will differ among operators depending on Call set-up 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 – retail customers served – retail services offered 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Charge per minute • each wholesale customer will have individual wishes for the optimal tariff structure Arriving at tariffs in this market segment will involve a set of negotiations Regulator Operator 2 Operator 1 Overview of typical positions Start Target Walk-away Position - Tariffs based on historic FAC - Tariffs based on WACC of 18% - Tariffs based on LRIC + equal mark-up - WACC equal 15% Reasoning - Tariffs should cover all historic costs - Risk of business is high - Tariffs should cover incremental costs - Level of cost of capital is more important than cost - Tariffs based on LRIC + equal markup - WACC equal 12.5% - Cost of capital at minimum level to ensure viable business Impact of different views on revenues 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Scenario A - Expected short calls duration Call Set-up Minute Rate Net Impact Scenario B - Expected longer calls Key Conclusions • Pricing is an integral part of your overall commercial strategy for dealing with wholesale and interconnect • All parties negotiation interconnect and wholesale tariffs should address the issues with a broad, long-term view to ensure that value stays in the industry • Regulatory-lead, cost-based pricing of these services should only be a last resort when negotiations fail • Developing optimal tariff structures is as important as determining the tariff level • Determining tariff levels and structures is not a one-off exercise, but rather part of an ongoing negotiation process