Session 1 Regional Seminar on the economic and financial aspects of telecommunications Study Group 3 Regional Group for Latin America and Caribbean (SG3RG-LAC) Costs and tariff methodologies Antonio Garcia Zaballos July 2010 Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic Contents 1. Why regulate? Why cost accounting? 2. Steps in the design of a regulatory policy for an accounting model 3. Identification of the main levers of an accounting model 4. Phases of an accounting model 5. When should be used a bottom-up? 6. Cost accounting as a tool for Regulators 7. 2 Recommendations 1. Why regulate? Why cost accounting? 3 Why regulate? Why cost accounting? Encourage competition throughout the different telecom markets Guarantee the quality Standards in the provision of the different services Avoid anticompetitive behaviours as cross subsidies REGULADOR Guarantee the access to the basic telephony Services (Universal Service Obligation) 4 Avoid excessive prices which eventually affects the competition level at the retail and wholesale level Encourage the investment and innovation and increase the infrastructure based competition rather than the access based Why regulate? Why cost accounting? I. MARKET DEFINITION II. MARKET STRUCTURE Are there elements to consider the existence of dominance? Yes No Typology of ex ante remedies: End III. DOMINANT POSITION Is there a dominant position? Yes No Analysis of individual dominant position Is there an individual dominant position? Yes • Price control: Cost based vs reasonable prices Analysis of joint dominant position Is there a joint dominant position?Yes No No • Accounting separation • Carrier selection and preselection IV. ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS Is there effective competition? Yes No It is enough with the Competence Law Yes No Necessity of Regulation 5 The existence of competence is due to the current regulation? No End Yes • Guarantee the access to the network • Non discrimination and transparency • Functional separation Why regulate? Why cost accounting? NRA Control on … … the accounting model Accounting principles Model approval Approve Modification to the model … the key levers WACC External auditory Life spam Auditory done Auditory done by the by the NRA Operator Ad hoc studies Access Deficit elimination 6 … the results Cross subsidies Price-Cap Cost based Intercon. Conexe markets Annual Results USO Cost estimation Predatory prices Retail price control Why regulate? Why cost accounting? • The cost model will be a key tool to guarantee the cost based principle so that those operators who pay interconnection are only paying for the network components that are used in the provision of the wholesale service • The cost model will show the costs and margins associated to the different services and guarantees that non-discrimination occurs in the provision of the services (transfer prices). • The cost model provides information which contributes to increase transparency and to guarantee that no anticompetitive behaviors occurs. 7 2. Steps in the design of a regulatory policy for an accounting model 8 ANR Steps in the design of a regulatory policy for an accounting model Analysis of the model presented by the SMP Designatio n of SMP Operator Agree? Yes Accountin g model approved External Auditory Fill up of the model and results Presentation of the audited results Final decision on the approval of the results No Operator Notification Design of the accounting model according to the principles defined (*) Presentation of the accounting model to the NRA The NRA shouls execute control mechanisms throughout the whole production process (*) It could take from 6 to 9 months 9 Utilization of the results in the regulatory policy Steps in the design of a regulatory policy for an accounting model Causality The cost and revenue allocations should be made through the parameters that generate them (generating cost drivers) Objetivity The cost drivers must be objective and quantifiables Transparency The final value assigned to each service must be decomposed, by nature, in various costs Auditabiliity The cost system must be properly integrated with other company systems to facilitate auditability Desagregability Regardless of the number and order of all costs charges will go through an intermediate state called "activity centers" Neutrality Internal transfers will be produced at cost value and not at market value Compromise The accounting standards which requires estimations and forecast of particular variables should be on future management plans Enough information The cost accounting system must provide all information necessary for the regulator 10 In addition to the aforementioned principles, should be considered the principles of compensation and reconciliation Steps in the design of a regulatory policy for an accounting model Principles, criteria and conditions Implementation of accounting principles Accounting system Accounting manual (MICC) Costs / Revenues Review of the inventory Inventory Implementation of the MICC Mistakes? Financial accounting Reconciliation Externally audited Allocatino process Mistakes? Estimatino of the current costs Margins allocated to the different services Implementacion del MICC Inventory software and applications Equivalence rules Absolute valuation Implementation of accounting principles Analitic Review Re-concilliation Analysis of the inventoryde inventario Review of the current costs Review of the amortization criteria 11 Principles, criteria and conditions Depreciation criteria 3. Identification of the main levers 12 Identification of the main levers The WACC is defined as the average return required by the different Definición Investors (shareholders/debt holders) who finance the investment decisions of the company Formula E D WACC Ke Kd ( 1 t ) D E D E Ke is the return required by the shareholders Kd is the return required by the debt holders Componentes E is the market value for equity D is the market value for debt D+E is the market value of the company t is the tax rate 13 Identification of the main levers E D WACC Ke Kd (1 t ) D E D E * Risk free asset (Rf) + Market risk premium (RmRf) X Systematic Risk () Risk free asset (Rf) X Risk primum on debt X (1 – t) X % Equity on total market value % Debt on total market value = = WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL FOR EQUITY 14 + + WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL FOR DEBT = WACC Identification of the main levers CAPEX BV Depreciation WACC Annuity Net Value BV WACC n 1 1 WACC NV Annuity n n VN Annuity n* 15 n 4. Phases of an accounting model 16 Phases of an accounting model Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Financial Accounting Determination of incomes and cost from the financial accounts Cost allocation by activity centres Cost and income allocation to services Cost and income allocation to margins Incomes by nature Financial Incomes CAPEX Costs by nature Network Component Directly allocated OPEX 17 Incomes from different services Non directly allocated Costs attributable to the different services Margin accounts Phases of an accounting model OPEX Operating expenses Provisions Personnel Rental Suppliers Advertisement Handsets Itx Taxes Fees Renew handset Apoyo Promoc. Subcont. Serv. Depreciat. Financ. Exp. Financial Exp. Extraordinary Extraordinary Taxes Cost of Capital 18 Activity Costs Network Maintenance, Circuits, Power, VAS, Network management, etc Commerc. Customer care, Risks and fraud, Billing, Logístics, New service creation Supportive HR, General Services Structure Tax and legal, Management, Strataegic planning Cost of Sales directly allocated Handsets provision, insolvencies, fees, interconnection, roaming, taxes, Promotion, Handsets renewal Other provssions Fixed current Otras Amort. Taxes Activity costs based CAPEX They are allocated taking into account the roating Factor Matrix Cost of Sales NO directly allocated Finance, extraordinary costs, etc Phases of an accounting model Activity Costs Base Activity Centres Services Activity costs Prepay and postpaid services Network Commerc. Supporti Network Component • Connection Structure • On net • Off Net Costs of sales Directly allocate • International CAADS • Roaming • FTR/MTR Costs of sales No directly allocated 19 • etc CANADS 5. When should be used a bottom up? 20 When should be used a bottom up? Differences between the acquisition value and the current costs Extraordinary expenses Over sizing in the equipment and other inneficciencies Historic Costes Accounting Long run fixed costs Current Cost Accounting Mark- up? Current cost accounting adjusted with efficiency Incremenatl costs Fixed costs Incremenatl Costs Top-down from the accounting of the SMP Operator bottom-up? 21 Stand alone costs of an efficient telecom operator When should be used a bottom up? % Hogares 100% Zonas presencia redes fijas 90%alternativas Tecnologías inalámbricas 80% Sin banda ancha 70% Brecha Digital 60% >5.000 hog./ mun. 50% >2.500 hog./ mun. 40% 0% 10% 20% 30% >150 hog./ mun. 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Zona de muy baja penetración en BA Cost-based prices 22 vs 90% 100% % Municipios Reasonable prices 6. Cost accounting as a tool for regulators 23 Costs accounting as a tool for regulators • Wholesale price setting (interconnection and access) • Symmetric vs asymmetric prices (FTR/MTR –Waterbed effect) • Universal Service Cost estimation (Access deficit) • Estimation of the productivity factor X (price cap/glide path) • Analysis of bundling offers • Cost/benefit analysis of the regulatory policy • Commercial strategy of the operators • Improvement of the production process and increase in the competitiveness 24 7. Recommendations 25 Recommendations 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 26 Accounting models (top-down) are a useful tool not only for telecom operators but also for regulators, because that allows them to monitor the regulatory policies and how they impact on the results of regulated operators . Accounting models (top down) are very sensitive to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC), the depreciation method and lifespam, so that the regulator, in addition to defining the principles, criteria and conditions should have some control over these variables,. We need a verification (audit) of the results presented periodically to ensure that they comply with legislation and guidelines issued from the regulator. Accounting models (top down) usually are supplemented with theoretical models (bottom up) as these take into account the concept of productive efficiency thus has a direct impact on allocative efficiency ... No model is better than the other, everything depends on competitive conditions (orientation of prices and costs vs reasonable prices) and information available to develop each of them. The cost models are useful not only for setting access charges and interconnection but also for estimating the deficit, setting X, replication of commercial offers, etc. Antonio García Zaballos Fernando Huerta Antonio García Zaballos is PhD in Economics at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Currently he is senior advisor to the Global ICT Department of the World Bank and expert to the International Telecommunications Union (ITU). agz@profesor.ie.edu Móvil: 617 66 87 60 Areas of expertise: •Telecommunications •Regulation • Strategy Academin Background: • PhD in Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid •PDD IESE business School •Higher Education en Administración de Empresas en Heriot-Watt University (Edinburgh) •Bachelor degree in Business Organization at Universidad de Salamanca 27 Dr. García Zaballos was Head of the Cabinet for Economic Studies and Regulation (GEER) at Telefónica España, and was also Deputy Director at CMT, the Spanish telecoms regulator, where among others he was responsible for market analysis and economic issues applied to the estimation of the cost of Universal Service Obligations (USO), Fixed-Mobile convergence, regulatory policy applied to bundling, regulatory policy applied to retail and wholesale services and auditory of cost accounting models. He has a broad experience in economic consulting applied to the telecom sector in countries as: Saudi Arabia, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Argentina, Latvia, Bulgaria, Poland and Albania. Additionally, Dr. García Zaballos is a professor at Instituto de Empresa Business School and University Carlos III in Madrid, where he teaches telecoms economics and applied finance at the Global MBA and the Master in Industrial Economics.