LITHUANIA. Information and communication technology Dr. Ričardas Budavičius Deputy head of Frequency Management Division Communications Regulatory Authority of Republic of Lithuania 2007 Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 1 psl Lithuania Lithuania – a country in northern Europe. Situated along the south-eastern shore of the Baltic Sea. Area – 65.200 km². Population - 3,575,439 (2007). Capital – Vilnius. Currency – Litas (LTL). The Lithuanian landscape has been smoothed by glaciers. The highest areas are the moraines in the western uplands and eastern highlands, none of which are taller than 300 metres above sea level, with the maximum elevation being at 294 meters. The terrain features numerous lakes and wetlands; a mixed forest zone covers 30% of the country. The climate lies between maritime and continental, with wet, moderate winters and summers. Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 2 psl Economy In 2003, prior to joining the European Union, Lithuania had the highest economic growth rate amongst all candidate and member countries, reaching 8.8% in the third quarter. In 2004 — 7.3%; 2005 — 7.6%; 2006 — 7.4% growth in GDP reflected impressive economic development. Most of the trade Lithuania conducts is within the European Union. It is a member of the World Trade Organization, and the European Union. By UN classification, Lithuania is a country with a high average income. The country boasts a well developed modern infrastructure of railways, airports and four lane highways. It has almost full employment, with an unemployment rate of only 2.9%. According to officially published figures, EU membership fuelled a booming economy, increased outsourcing into the country, and boosted the tourism sector. Like other countries in the region (Estonia, Latvia) Lithuania also has a flat tax rate rather than a progressive scheme. In 2006 income tax was reduced to 27% and a further reduction to 24% is expected in October of 2007. The minimum wage currently stands at 600 litas (€174). The average wage in 2005 was 1453LTL (€420). Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 3 psl Information communication technology • In the 2006 report on global development of ICT, each year prepared by World Economic Forum, Lithuania ranked 39th among 122 countries (in 2005 Lithuania ranked 44th, in 2004 - ranked 43rd). • The mobile communications segment in Lithuania’s ICT sector still remains the most innovative. In February 2006, just upon awarding of the licenses, provision of third generation mobile radio communications (UMTS) services was commenced. • June 2006 saw the arrival of high speed rate mobile Internet services by using HSDPA data communication technology. Lithuania is among the first countries, which applied the new technology commercially. • Already for the third year in a row penetration of mobile communications in Lithuania was the biggest among the European Union (EU) Member States. Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 4 psl ICT: Legal Aspects Law on Legal Protection of Personal data Law on the National Radio and Television Law on Provision of Information to the Public Control of the off-the-record information in computer networks of public usage and rules of distribution of limited public information (Government Resolution) Conceptual Framework of the National Information Society Development of Lithuania (Government Resolution) European Convention on Transfrontier Television Strategic Plan of the Development of Information Society in Lithuania (Government Resolution) Law on Electronic Signature Law on Radio Communications (no longer in force) … Law on Communications (no longer in force) 1995 “Television without Frontiers” Directive 89/552/EC (amended by Directive 97/36/EC on 30 June 1997) Ričardas Budavičius 1996 Law on Telecommunications (no longer in force) 1997 Directive 1999/93/EC on Electronic Signature 1998 1999 Law (revised) on Telecommunications (no longer in force) 2000 Directive 2000/31/EC on Electronic Commerce Strategy for the Assignment of Radio Frequencies to Broadcasting and Transmission of Radio and Television Broadcasts (Government Resolution) Order of Director of the RRT Concerning the Approval of the Rules for Allocating and Using of Radio Frequencies / Channels 2001 2002 2003 Order of Minister of Economy regarding the regulation of provision of some services of New regulatory information society, especially of framework in EU electronic commerce, in internal market Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 5 psl ICT: Legal Aspects Order of Director of the RRT on Allocation of UMTS Frequencies / Channels Law concerning the ratification of the Convention Model of Order of Director of on Electronic Implementation of RRT on Digital Crimes Terrestrial Television Strategy of the Digital Television in Development of Development Plan Lithuania (Government Informational Resolution) Society of Lithuania (Government Law on Electronic Resolution) Communications Strategic Plan for the Assignment of Radio Frequencies to Broadcasting and Transmission of Radio and Television Broadcasts 2003 Ričardas Budavičius Law on Services of Information Society National Radio Frequency Allocation Table (Government Resolution) 2004 Order of Director of the RRT Concerning the Approval of the Plan of Development of Radio Communications in 3,410 – 3,800 MHz Frequencies (Channels) Bandwith Law on Amendment of Republic of Lithuania Law on Provision of Information to the Public 2005 2006 Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion In the nearest future 6 psl ICT Market Development European context: • ICT represents 6-8% of GDP in EU, but it determines • EU productivity’s growth by 40% and • EU GDP’s growth by 25 %. Lithuanian context: • ICT represents 8,72 % of Lithuanian GDP and approximates or even exceeds other traditionally important sectors 10.0% 8.72% Trends are the same as in other EU Member States 7.70% 7.5% 5.80% 5.0% 8.06% 3.80% 4.40% 2.5% 0.10% 0.10% 0.70% 0.50% 0.0% forestry, hunting RičardasAgriculture, Budavičius Fishery Mining and quarrying Electricity, gas and w ater Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion supply ICT 2000 2004 7 psl ICT. General outlook 1 Jan 2003 - electronic market liberalization de jure Leading operators’ market shares continue to decline and a steady growth of new market players’ market shares indicates decreased market power of the incumbent operators Lithuania was one of the first EU countries to refuse the licensing system and to move to the general authorization system in the telecommunication sector Fully implemented fixed and mobile number portability and carrier selection and pre-selection stimulates competition as well Radio spectrum policy and effective management boosts successful development of wireless technologies Low administrative charges have created preconditions for the lowest service prices on the retail market as ITU indicates Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 8 psl ICT. General outlook Electronic communication market is a fast developing sector, whose main driving forces are competition, general authorization regime and technological changes 17 12,75 11,65 13 9 Even though the prices of communication services have been falling down the growth of the sector is substantial 14,53 13,62 8,09 10,91 Electronic communications market’s share within Lithuania’s GDP structure in average amounted to 3,5 %. 5 5,16 5,08 Ist half 2004 II half 2004 1 I half 2005 II half 2005 GDP grow th, % Sector's grow th, % Growth of Lithuania’s GDP and electronic communications sector (comparing with the corresponding time period of the previous year) Lithuania’s electronic communications market grew by 11.9 % in 2005 (comparing with 2004) and amounted 2.391 billion LTL in 2004* * Revenues from data transmission, cable TV, MMDS, radio and TV transmission and cable radio are not included Source: Statistics Lithuania, RRT Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 9 psl ICT. General outlook Investments Market Structure Electronic communications sector value and infrastructure investment dynamics in 2000-2005, LTL million 800 3000 737 700 2516 671 600 2029 Distribution of 2003–2005 revenues according to the separate electronic communications sector markets, % 2nd half of 2005 16,77 46,83 9,25 21,37 1st half of 2005 17,87 46,29 7,83 21,88 2500 2137 2000 500 400 1500 387 310 300 2771000 273 2nd half of 2004 20,74 1st half of 2004 21,91 50,80 51,67 8,08 19,17 6,9 18,3 6,19 17,92 5,71 18,03 200 500 100 Y 2005 Y 2004 Y 2003 Y 2002 Y 2001 0 Y 2000 0 Total revenues from electronic communications market Investment into the electronic communications infrastructure Source: RRT Ričardas Budavičius 24,21 2nd half of 2003 50,50 26,66 1st half of 2003 0% 20% 48,23 40% Fixed telephone communication Leased lines Audiovisual services Data transmission 60% 80% 100% Mobile telephone communication Internet access Netw orks interconnection Source: RRT Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 10 psl Mobile Communications "The direct economic contribution of industries using the radio spectrum is already considerable, between 1 and 2% of national GDP in the EU,…" said Viviane Reding, DG InfSo. In 2004-2005 growth of mobile communications penetration of in Lithuania was the fastest among all the EU Member States Penetration of mobile communication was the highest in the world in December 2005 Countries with highest penetration rates in the world as of December of 2005 25 Bahrein 116.49% 0 Macau 116.39% Hong Kong 100% 127.7 103.1 89.2 2001, 2002, 2003, 2003, 2004, 2004, 2005, 2005, 2H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 1H 2H 112.26% 110% 75.0 117.16% 28.5 63.0 61.0 Italy 56.0 54.1 50 125.12% 47.6 120% 130% Source: Informa Telecoms & Media. Ričardas Budavičius 140% Penetration against the active subscribers Penetration against all the subscribers Source: RRT 527 528 2003, 2H 2004, 1H 559 566 2004, 2H 2005, 1H 610 475 400 79.9 75 127.80% Israel 700 500 99.9 100 128.04% Netherlands Mobile communication revenues in 2002-2005, mln.LT 600 119.2 125 131.10% Barbados 153.4 150 131.95% Luxembourg Cyprus 175 138.53% Lithuania Mobile communication penetration growth in Lithuania in 2002-2005, % 300 200 100 0 2003, 1H 2005, 2H Source: RRT Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 11 psl Mobile Communications … and all that is just 10 years’ story … 2004-10 1995-03 1995-10 2000-05 1998-09 1994-10 1995-05 2001-10 2002-10 2001-02 2002-09 2002-07 2001-01 2003-12 2005-09 2005-02 2005-09 2003-12 2005-03 2004-07 2005-04 2006 DCS 1800 NMT 3G trial Bite GSM DCS 1800 GSM 900 GSM 900 Omnitel Bite GSM GSM 900 Omnitel DCS 1800 TV via mobile FWA 3G GPRS services Tele2 Commercial GSM services Commercial GSM services Commercial GSM services Omnitel Bite GSM Tele2 GPRS services GPRS flat rate GPRS services EDGE services GPRS flat rate MMS services Ričardas Budavičius 3G MMDS Tele2 MMDS 3G, HSPDA HDTV trial Mobile internet EGDE services MMS services Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion Mobile internet Live TV broadca sting Live TV broadca sting 12 psl Mobile Communications … having a clear tendency of going mobile … 3. Data is going mobile 1. Users are going mobile 140 100% 120 80% 100 80 Other 60 LL Fiber optic 40 WLA 20 LAN CaTV 0 xDSL Dial - up 2000 01 01 2001 01 01 2002 01 01 2003 01 01 2004 01 01 2005 01 01 2005 07 01 Mobile telephony penetration 1200 Fixed telephony penetration 60% 40% 20% Mobile 0% 2003 07 01 2. Voice is going mobile Other 2004 07 01 2005 01 01 2005 07 01 200000 175000 1000 LL 800 Fiber optic 600 WLA 150000 125000 100000 75000 400 LAN 200 CaTV 0 2003 I-II Q 2003 III-IV Q 2004 I Q 2004 II Q Fixed Ričardas Budavičius 2004 III Q Mobile 2004 IV Q 2005 I Q 2005 II Q xDSL 50000 25000 0 2003 07-01 2004 01-01 2004 04-01 Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 2004 07-01 2004 10-01 2005 01-01 2005 04-01 2005 07-01 13 psl Mobile Communications UMTS development: In beginning of 2006, UAB „Omnitel”, UAB „Bitė Lietuva” ir UAB „Tele2” were provided with a right to use radio frequencies in the UMTS bandwidth to build UMTS networks 3G services are provided in the market since I quarter of 2006. In 2006, 3G communication is provided in 11 cities and cover ~35 % of Lithuanian population; Now, 3G be available to more than 50 % of Lithuanian population, and in 2008 – 75 %. The new services being offered by 3G operators include high speed internet access, information services, news, video messaging or conversations, games and music downloads Cheaper and smaller handsets for 3G available on the market are expected to be significant drivers of 3G take-up Wireless broadband services in 3,5 GHz, 10 GHz, 26 GHZ, 28 GHz : Plan for development of 3,5 GHz was publicly consulted, and soon a relevant order will be issued; In 2006, 2 operators had permissions to make activities in 3,5 GHz and 2 operators - in 10,5 GHz; 4 operators had permissions to make activities in 26 GHz. Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 14 psl Fixed telephone communication • The number of fixed telephone subscribers is reducing • The subscribers’ structure remains sufficiently stable – residential users form more than 90 % Market share of new entrants, Fixed telephone communication Fixed telephone communication penetration dynamics in 2001–2005, % market revenue dynamics, 1998-2005, 2004-2005, % LTL thousand 70% 56,9% 57,3% 56,0% 54,7% 53,9% 54,0% 800 6% 50% 200 23,9% 23,9% T he EU-25 T he EU-15 T he EU-10 Lithuania Oct-05 Sources: ANACOM, ITU, Regulatel, RRT. Ričardas Budavičius 6,45% 6,31% 6,25% 5,50% 5,65% 5,02% 0% 0 Jan-04 Jan-05 4,63% 23,5% 10% Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 2% 3,84% 32,0% 443,65 27,0% 35,4% 462,60 34,0% 33,1% 4% 515,30 400 36,2% 804,70 38,2% 45,0% 658,20 30% 38,9% 47,3% 46,5% 809,40 39,4% 600 48,6% 648,00 52,5% 619,00 51,6% 1998* 1999* 2000* 2001* 2002* 2003 2004 2005 Source: RRT Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 2004, 1 2004, 2 2004, 3 2004, 4 2005, 1 2005, 2 2005, 3 2005, 4 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Source: RRT 15 psl Fixed communication 2003 1996 1998 1998 1999 1999 2000 ISDN Internet dialup Centrex Ričardas Budavičius 2003 WLAN 2005 2005 DVBT broadcasting: license MPLS VPN over IP “Takas” PSTN network 2002 xDSL Privatization Frame Relay 2001 ATM Live reality broadcasting over IP – dedicated to special projects Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 16 psl Internet access Internet access market is one of the fastest growing sectors and is attractive for business in a long term perspective Internet penetration dynamics in 2003-2005, % 40 Internet access service providers market shares according to the revenue in 2003-2005, percent Active market entities, 2005 140 2003 2004 100% 2005 115 120 30 80% 98 31,7 100 60% 20 80 18,6 60 10 40 7,9 2,7 40 4,7 18 0 1st half of 2003 2nd half of 2003 40% 60 14,9 1st half 2nd half of 2004 of 2004 1st half of 2005 2nd half of 2005 Penetration per 100 inhabitants Source: RRT Ričardas Budavičius 24 20% 8 10 10 20 111515 0% 0 Fixed comm. Source: RRT Mobile comm. Leased line Internet access 1st half 2nd 1st half 2nd 1st half 2nd of half of of half of of half of 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 Omnitel Bitė Lietuva Lietuvos Telekomas Others Source: RRT Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 17 psl Internet access A significant part of Lithuanian territory is covered by EDGE networks Source: www.bite.lt UAB „Omnitel“ EDGE network, 2007 Source: www.omnitel.lt Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 18 psl Broadband communications Each year the broadband communication penetration in Lithuania nearly doubles (during 2005 the number of broadband Internet access subscribers grew by 81.4 %) Broadband communication penetration dynamics in 2003-2005, % The ten world’s countries with fastest growing broadband penetration, as of 1st Q, 2005 Mexico New Zealand Venezuela 10.00% Australia 6.90% 8.00% 5.00% 6.00% 2.00% Lithuania 3.75% 4.00% 1.11% 1.94% Slovenia Czech Republic 2.56% Poland Thailand 0.00% 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half 1st half 2nd half of 2003 of 2003 of 2004 of 2004 of 2005 of 2005 Turkey 0 Source: RRT Ričardas Budavičius 10 20 30 40 50 Source: World Broadband Statistics Q1 2005 // Point Topic Ltd., 2005. Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 19 psl Broadband communications At the end of 2005 the broadband communication, according to its provision feasibilities was available to the absolute majority of Lithuania’s residents and organizations. Broadband penetration, 144 kbps and more 2004 2006 Source: RRT Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 20 psl Broadband communications Competition between technologies in Lithuania in the broadband communications market is the most intense in the whole EU Greece Germany Cyprus Italy France Luxembourg Slovakia Finland Spain Ireland The UK Poland Hungary Sweden Slovenia Denmark Belgium Netherlands Malta Latvia Portugal Austria Estonia Czech Republic Lithuania 2 3 4 6 6 11 Distribution of subscribers against the broadband technologies in Lithuania 2005, % 18 21 23 24 28 31 35 35 37 37 38 40 42 43 43 44 LAN 20,21% xDSL 44,76% Other Leased 0,04% lines 0,61% Cable TV netw orks 21,19% Optical fibre cables 5,53% Wireless communica tion netw orks 7,66% 52 56 57 0 25 50 Other technologies 75 100 xDSL Source: European Electronic Communications Regulation and Markets 2005 (11th Report), European RičardasCommission, Budavičius Brussels, 2006. Source: RRT Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 21 psl Digital broadcasting In 2003 first transmissions in DVB-T format started by LRTC; In 2005, digital TV station broadcasted 5 TV programs in Vilnius; In 2005, DVBT transmission licenses were distributed and two operators have commenced to develop digital TV infrastructure: Before 2006 June 30, digital TV transmitters will be installed in Vilnius, Before 2007 December 31, digital TV transmitters will be installed in five largest cities; Before start-2009, at least one digital TV network will cover not less than 95% of the territory of Lithuania. Starting from 2012 – a gradual switch-off of the analogue TV shall be commenced in Lithuania Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 22 psl Digital broadcasting Envisaged coverage by digital TV (DVB-T) networks LRTC networks TEO LT networks Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 23 psl Conclusions ICT sector in Lithuania if fully open; ICT market trends: Going to data Going to wireless and mobile Going to converged networks and services Going to accessibility and affordability to everyone ICT market prospects: New technologies already on their way will make tremendous shifts in the established market structure Liberal view with regard to experimental use of certain bands for demanding entities allow to check possibilities to use implement new technologies Regulatory issues: Alteration of the whole regulatory system to the changes in the sector Apropos pro-/re- action to new threats in the electronic medium Gradual introduction of spectrum trading Wise management of radio resources: relevant spectrum ranges for new – more efficient – technologies to be ready timely without delay Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 24 psl Thank you! Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 25 psl Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 26 psl Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 27 psl Ričardas Budavičius Korea agency for digital opportunity and promotion 28 psl