Telecom Industry Highlights Regulatory Perspectives Dr. Amr Badawi Executive President Outline • Convergence • Re-Structuring Broadband • Challenges of Restructuring Broadband • WiMAX • VOIP • Market Overview Fixed Lines Mobile Lines Internet 1 Convergence Roadmap Technical Side: 1. 1. Digitalized Infrastructure • • • 2. 2. Broadband; Wireless and mobile technologies; High-speed backbone networks; Digitalized Media Content • • DRM DAM Convergence Roadmap Cont’d Regulatory view: 1. 1. Conducive Market Conditions (supply, demand, competition); 2. 2. Technological Neutrality; 3. 3. Intellectual Property Rights and GATS agreement Business view: 1. 1. Investment incentives; 2. 2. Additional service providers; 3. 3. Diverse services; options; 4. 4. Digital content creators 2 Impact of ‘Converged’ Telecom • Gradual shift to VoIP and VOB (Voice over Broadband) • CATV systems offering video on demand, broadband access and voice telephony. CATV operators are now competing with telecom operators. • Trend offer triple play service bundles in inclusive packages • Steady growth in 3G networks and wireless broadband services • Threat on the industry Impact of Convergence on Regulation Implications: Rise in the number of wireless services for spectrum management reform. raises the need Revisiting current licensing regimes & favors regimes that are technologically neutral. Broadening market definitions, with the possibility of replacing several narrowly defined markets by a single more broadly defined market. 3 “Regulations in the Era of Convergence” • Sharm El Shiekh, Egypt. th – 29th th 2007. • March 27th Re-Structuring Broadband • Increasing broadband penetration • Promoting ADSL higher speeds by getting their prices down (starting from USD 16 per month) • Paving the road for eContent market by availing high speed connections • Providing special services for buildings as an alternative to ADSL line sharing • Considering WiMax technology as a possible solution to BWA in Egypt 4 Challenges of Restructuring Broadband • Impact on Free Internet market • ADSL business model and pricing scheme • ADSL line sharing and unlicensed service providers Evolution of ADSL Subscribers May04 – Oct06 Total number of subsribers 170,093 M a Ju y-0 n 4 Ju -04 A l-0 u 4 Se g-0 p 4 O -04 ct N -0 o 4 D v-0 ec 4 Ja -04 F en - 0 M b-0 5 a 5 A r -05 p M r-0 ay 5 Ju -0 n 5 Ju -05 A l-0 u 5 Se g-0 p 5 O -05 ct N -0 o 5 D v-0 ec 5 Ja -05 n Fe - 0 M b-0 6 a 6 A r -06 p M r-0 ay 6 Ju -0 n 6 Ju -06 A l-0 u 6 Se g-0 p 6 O -06 ct -0 6 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 5 Evolution of International Capacity May04 – Apr06 Mbps 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 M ay J u 04 n0 Ju 4 l Au -04 g0 Se 4 p0 O 4 ct N 04 ov D 04 ec -0 Ja 4 nFe 0 5 bM 05 ar Ap 05 rM 05 ay J u 05 n0 Ju 5 l-0 Au 5 g0 Se 5 p0 O 5 ct N 05 ov D 05 ec -0 Ja 5 nFe 0 6 bM 06 ar Ap 06 r-0 6 0 WiMAX Traditional Technologies can deliver WiMAX Will Meet Emerging Customer Demand Broadband, but Fixed Mobile, but Narrowband Fixed & Nomadic Data, Voice, Video 6 Consultation Procedures • First Phase – April 05 Hearing Session • Second Phase – within June Publishing a Consultation Paper (draftframework) • Third Phase – within July Workshop discuss the Consultation Paper and feedback and adopt final framework BWA Hearing Session • Discussed different applications Nationwide Network Backhauling Last-Mile Access Network • Scenarios for Regulatory Models Nationwide Service Provider Regional Service Provider Network Operator • Licensing issues • Concentrated on WiMax technology 7 Food for Thought • WiMAX will become the dominant standard for Wireless LAN in fixed broadband networks • Focus is too often on technologies: Subscribers pay for services, not technologies Technologies enable services, but should not be a burden on users Broadband capabilities are important, but bandwidth is not the only meter to assess service. VOIP: Introduction • Transformation in Internet technologies • Transition from circuit switched services to digital, Internet, packet-based networks and technologies — such as VOIP • VOIP offers service at lower cost • Uncharted legal, financial and technological challenges • Ways to fit the new technology into existing regulatory frameworks. 8 VOIP Regulatory Framework • Security Issues • Voice Quality • Interconnection Requirements • Emergency Services • Universal Service • Interoperability between VOIP Operators; • Compatibility & Interoperability between VOIP and PSTN Operators • Numbering in Nomadic and non-Nomadic VOIP services Egyptian Market Development 9 Fixed Line Market • Fixed Network Unbundling of the Local Loop TE Licensing • Market Access permitted for Domestic payphones Domestic value-added services allowed (e.g. PPCC) • Domestic Voice Resale of Telecom Egypt’s domestic service allowed • International Voice International voice liberalized Fixed Line Market cont’d • Telecom Egypt has privatized 20% of its shares. • Telecom Egypt may continue the privatization up to 49% of its shares in subsequent stages. • All licensees must be companies registered in Egypt • All companies must train local human resources Telephone main lines in operation 10.6 Million Lines Total Public Pay phones 55683 Cabins 10 Mobile Market • Increase in mobile subscribers • Usage of mobile phones surpassed the usage of fixed telephone lines • Prices decrease gradually, especially with a third operator entering the market • Services offered by both mobile operators are very similar to each other 3rd Mobile Network • NTRA issued an RFP for 3rd mobile network in February 2006 • It will use both 2G & 3G technology • 11 consortia from international companies in partnership with Egyptian companies applied • NTRA formed a high-level committee to conduct the technical evaluation of bids • Financial bidding process • Consortium of Etisalat of Emirates, Egypt Post, and CIB won the bid with 16.7 billion Egyptian Pounds 11 Steady Increase in Fixed Lines & A Boom In Mobile Phone Users 14 Mobile penetration Rate 12 18.5% 16 10 mobile fixed 8 6 4 2 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Fixed Line penetration 14.8 % Internet Market • Enabling Internet access on all fixed phone lines without monthly fees • Same cost as a local call since Jan 2002 • Provided by Telecom Egypt in conjunction with 210 Egyptian ISPs • Beneficiaries: > 6 million users • International Bandwidth: 8.3 Gbps • Data Backbone Providers: 7 • Target within a year Linking Linking 1.7 1.7 million million households households to to the the Free Free Internet Internet service service Getting Getting 77 million million users users online online while while doubling doubling the the international international capacity capacity 12 Major Increase in the number of Internet Users 6 5 4 3 internet 2 1 0 1999 2000 201 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 • For more information, please contact: • Ms. Nermine El Saadany; nermines@tra.gov.eg • Ms. Shahira Selim; shahiras@tra.gov.eg 13 THANK YOU 14