Climate Change & Sustainability Alert May 6, 2010 Authors: Thomas R. Carey tom.carey@klgates.com +1.312.807.4365 David A. Franchina david.franchina@klgates.com +1.704.331.7543 Ashley A. Peck ashley.peck@klgates.com +1.206.370.5893 Christopher S. Walker Boldly Going Where No One Has Gone Before: In the Face of Uncertainty, Power Plants May Want to Consider Preemptively Addressing their Greenhouse Gas Emissions The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ( EPA ) recently issued regulations confirming that it will not regulate emissions of greenhouse gases ( GHGs ) from stationary sources in 2010. However, barring court intervention or action from Congress, EPA will regulate GHGs under the Clean Air Act ( CAA ) starting in 2011 through the Prevention of Significant Deterioration ( PSD ) construction permit program and other sections of the CAA. EPA will focus its initial efforts on the largest emitters, including power plants. chris.walker@klgates.com +1.704.331.7515 K&L Gates includes lawyers practicing out of 36 offices located in North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, and represents numerous GLOBAL 500, FORTUNE 100, and FTSE 100 corporations, in addition to growth and middle market companies, entrepreneurs, capital market participants and public sector entities. For more information, visit www.klgates.com. Though it remains unclear what the practical effect of applying PSD for GHGs will ultimately be, power plants may want to address their GHG emissions sooner rather than later to prepare for eventual regulation and as a hedge against potential litigation. This client alert describes recent regulatory developments on GHG emissions, highlights actions underway to develop guidance for best available control technology ( BACT ) for GHGs under the PSD program, and suggests that power plants may want to consider addressing BACT for their GHG emissions prior to the onset of a legal mandate. I. Regulatory Developments After the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in 2007 that GHGs are air pollutants under the CAA, the Court directed EPA to determine whether GHG emissions from cars and light trucks are a danger to the public health and welfare. EPA answered this question in the affirmative in its Endangerment Finding on Dec. 7, 2009, which triggered EPA s obligation to promulgate regulations to control GHG emissions from light-duty vehicles. The implications of EPA s Endangerment Finding, however, reach far beyond vehicles. The finding will ultimately force new and modified major stationary sources to address GHG emissions through the PSD permitting process. It was originally expected that GHGs would become a regulated pollutant and trigger PSD permitting requirements on March 31, 2010, when the light-duty vehicle standards were to be adopted. However, in the Phase-in Rule issued March 29, 2010, EPA clarified that PSD permitting requirements would not be triggered until January 2, 2011. Notably, EPA also clarified that permits pending when the regulations take effect will not be grandfathered and therefore must address BACT for the source s GHG emissions where required. Meanwhile, in an attempt to avoid creating a regulatory scheme that could reach an unmanageable number of sources because GHGs are emitted at far higher levels than criteria pollutants, EPA is working on finalizing its Tailoring Rule to ease the regulatory burden on permitting authorities and smaller emitters. Initially, EPA proposed a 25,000 tons per year ( tpy ) GHG emission threshold to trigger PSD Climate Change & Sustainability Alert permitting requirements for new construction (and between 10,000 and 25,000 tpy for major modifications of existing sources). More recently, EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson stated that for the first six months of 2011, EPA will apply PSD only to sources that must comply with PSD for criteria pollutants and for at least 18 months after that EPA will apply PSD only to sources with GHG emissions exceeding 75,000 tpy. All the moving pieces to EPA s regulation of GHGs under the CAA provide avenues for legal challenges, leaving significant uncertainty as to whether EPA s timeline (and authority) to regulate GHGs will remain intact. The Endangerment Finding is currently being challenged by several industry groups, lawmakers, and three states. Many of these challengers are also attempting to have the Phase-in Rule struck down. These challenges could delay EPA s timeline if a court enjoins GHG regulation pending outcome of the suits. If the Endangerment Finding is invalidated (e.g., through congressional action), EPA may also find itself with nothing to stand on to regulate GHGs under the CAA. The final Tailoring Rule is also expected to face challenges from both industry and environmental groups. The problem for EPA is that the CAA clearly states that the PSD program applies to new sources emitting 100 or 250 tpy of air pollutants. Even though these lower thresholds are arguably unworkable for GHGs, it would not be surprising to see industry and environmental groups aligned in arguing that the Tailoring Rule violates the unambiguous provisions of the CAA; namely, the statutory 100 and 250 tpy thresholds. In the backdrop of these court challenges, efforts are being made in Congress to push through a comprehensive federal climate change bill. Thus, even if EPA is successful in defending its recent rulemakings, a federal climate bill also remains a mechanism available to sidestep the agency s efforts to address GHGs under the CAA a situation EPA would actually prefer. In a bipartisan effort, Senators Kerry, Graham, and Lieberman were expected to introduce a climate bill on April 26. The process was derailed when Senator Graham pulled back on his support after Senator Reid proposed to put immigration reform ahead of climate legislation. In response, on April 27 EPA issued a Climate Change Indicators Report outlining the negative climate impacts of increased GHG emissions in the United States a move some believe is the Obama Administration s attempt to turn up the heat on keeping congressional action on climate legislation moving before the mid-term elections. Given this political wrangling, and regardless of where you sit on the aisle, it is hard to imagine a climate bill making it through Congress before EPA s GHG regulations take effect in 2011. II. EPA s Climate Change Work Group Addressing BACT Assuming EPA s regulations withstand legal challenge in their current form and Congress does not preempt EPA s actions, the largest GHG emitters, including power plants, are likely to become the first guinea pigs required to address BACT for GHG emissions beginning in 2011. Apart from switching from coal to natural gas and increased operational efficiencies, the technical controls that will constitute BACT for GHGs are a mystery at this point. In other words, there are no clearly established GHG emission control technologies to capture GHGs. To address this situation, EPA established the Climate Change Work Group ( Work Group ) in October of 2009 to identify and address major issues for implementing the PSD requirements for GHGs, and BACT analysis in particular. The Work Group s findings will be used by EPA to develop guidance and assist states and regulated entities in implementing and complying with the new GHG regulations. During its initial meeting, the Work Group disagreed as to whether BACT should be applied to GHG sources in the same manner as it is currently applied to other criteria pollutants or whether EPA may or should adopt a different approach for GHGs. Because this disagreement fundamentally affected the framework for discussions, the Work Group decided to focus the first phase of its work on providing recommendations to help EPA craft BACT guidance for GHGs assuming, at least initially, that the process would occur in the same manner as criteria pollutants. During the second phase, which commenced on January 1, 2010, the Work Group will consider possible alternative approaches to applying the PSD program to GHG sources and whether these approaches are consistent with the requirements of the CAA. May 6, 2010 2 Climate Change & Sustainability Alert The Work Group released its Interim Phase I Report on February 3, 2010, in which it summarizes its discussions on several issues related to BACT analysis under EPA s longstanding top-down approach for criteria pollutants. These issues include: Of note, the Work Group agreed that the application of energy efficiency was an effective method of securing GHG and other emission reductions and should be included in BACT analysis as a factor in evaluating alternatives and in setting emission limits. This is critical for power plants because: 1. the scope of BACT analysis and defining the source ; 1. efficiency may be the most cost-effective way to control GHG emissions without requiring modifications that would fundamentally change the project purpose; and 2. criteria for determining feasible control technologies; 3. criteria for eliminating technologies; and 4. the technical information needs of states regarding control and mitigation measures. While identifying some general areas of agreement, the report largely highlights the many questions EPA will face in applying the PSD permitting process to GHGs. The Work Group suggested several actions that EPA should take to help address these uncertainties, including: Expanding the RACT-BACT-LAER Clearinghouse (a searchable central database of air pollution technology to aid in selection of emission controls) to include information regarding construction status, controls installed, and compliance test results for projects where GHG controls have been applied; Exploring ways to encourage the use of innovative GHG control technologies; Providing sector-specific guidance on evaluating energy efficiency in a BACT analysis; Developing a periodic GHG control measures newsletter and distributing to permitting authorities and other interested parties; Proactively collecting permit decisions with adequate documentation and making them available to stakeholders; Developing guidance on appropriate methods or formulas for calculating the costs of GHG controls and other various approaches and technologies for GHG reductions; and Providing guidance on how clean fuels should be considered in the BACT analysis. 2. alternative capture technologies for GHGs are nonexistent. During its deliberations, the Work Group also reviewed a case study involving a voluntary GHG BACT analysis conducted for Calpine Corporation s 612 megawatt natural gas-fired power plant in Hayward, California, the first power plant in the country to be subject to GHG emissions limits. The analysis concluded that high-efficiency power generation technology was the only available and feasible control technology for GHGs. The final permit incorporated an output-based efficiency limit of 7,730 Btu/Kwh for GHGs. Though the Work Group does not cite this case study in its report, the Calpine project will likely become a model for applying BACT to other power plants. III. Potential Interim Options for Power Plants Although future guidance from EPA and findings from the Work Group may eventually provide more direction regarding the obligations permittees will face in applying BACT for GHGs, the most concrete guidance may be provided by permittees who go through the process first. The obvious inclination may be to push permits for new projects and expansions through before the regulations take effect if at all possible, and then wait and see whether the regulations are invalidated or modified through court challenges or federal legislation. However, a more prudent approach may be to get ahead of the curve by voluntarily evaluating BACT now even in the absence of a legal mandate to do so. Despite the uncertainty involved, the first permittees to address BACT for GHG emissions will undoubtedly play a critical role in developing the national model to be applied to similar projects in May 6, 2010 3 Climate Change & Sustainability Alert the future. This presents a unique opportunity for permittees to advocate for more feasible and costeffective GHG control technologies, such as energy efficiency, as examples of BACT to be applied to their own future modifications. Given EPA s position that PSD will be applied to GHGs for all pending permits when the regulations take effect, voluntary compliance early on could also provide valuable insurance in the event of unforeseen permitting delays. Preemptively addressing BACT for GHGs could also serve to inoculate projects from potential legal challenges involving their GHG emissions under authorities other than the CAA. For instance, plaintiffs groups may very likely cite the Endangerment Finding and the Supreme Court decision on GHGs in common law nuisance actions, or in arguing that a project proponent must address the environmental impacts of GHG emissions under the National Environmental Policy Act ( NEPA ) or a state law analog. Voluntarily addressing a project s GHG emissions through BACT analysis early on may provide support in a NEPA or state impacts analysis or in defending a nuisance action. Proactively addressing GHG emissions could also provide a valuable public outreach opportunity and in some circumstances assuage concerns of project proponents, keeping legal challenges to a minimum. Anchorage Austin Beijing Berlin Boston Charlotte Chicago Dallas Dubai Fort Worth Frankfurt Harrisburg Hong Kong London Los Angeles Miami Moscow Newark New York Orange County Palo Alto Paris Pittsburgh Portland Raleigh Research Triangle Park San Diego San Francisco Seattle Shanghai Singapore Spokane/Coeur d Alene Taipei Tokyo Warsaw Washington, D.C. K&L Gates includes lawyers practicing out of 36 offices located in North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, and represents numerous GLOBAL 500, FORTUNE 100, and FTSE 100 corporations, in addition to growth and middle market companies, entrepreneurs, capital market participants and public sector entities. For more information, visit www.klgates.com. 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