Political Economy of Central American State-building under Globalization Aaron Schneider Contemporary Central American state-building has to be understood in the context of recent transformations of capitalism, in which economic integration has accelerated rapidly to reach a global scale. In the domestic context, this brings forth new economic actors, especially those adapted to transnational processes of accumulation, and they operate alongside and in competition with previously established elite and popular sectors. The task of promoting further dynamism and accommodating these groups falls significantly to state institutions, yet Central American institutions have historically been inadequate. The states of the region continue to be inadequate under current formations of globalized accumulation. Still, it is precisely the precarious nature of states in the region that makes all the more clear the lessons to be drawn about the nature of state-building under globalization. This chapter proceeds in six sections. The first section addresses the concept of globalization as a stage in the evolution of capitalism, characterized especially by the integration of economic activity across multiple territories. The next section addresses the concept of statebuilding as it has been viewed in the literature and the dimensions of state-building important to elite in Central America adapted to transnational patterns of accumulation. Subsequent sections address the actually existing state-building patterns in the region. Emerging elites may recognize the need for a state-building project but 1) they are not always clear on what actions are appropriate, 2) they are not always politically united or victorious in imposing their agenda, 3) and the precise strategies that appear and come to dominate may differ across countries. As a result, examples from different countries can be explored to shed light on the real-world practice of state-building under globalization. 1 Globalization Contemporary state-building has to be understood in the context of a changing international economy which has expanded, integrated, and transformed over centuries (Wallerstein, 1974). This process has moved in fits, starts, and occasional reversals, characterized best by “punctuated equilibrium” in which long periods of gradual change are interrupted by moments of rapid transformation (Eldredge and Gould, 2002). These transformations alter patterns of production, distribution, and consumption, marked by shifting patterns of accumulation. The transformations that occurred in the 1970s shifted world capitalism towards a globalized pattern of liberalized trade and capital markets and integrated global production processes. This liberalization and globalization were associated with a technological shift in the emergence of high speed information and transportation flows; an international regime shift with the breakdown of Bretton Woods arrangements; and a policy shift in removing many national level regulations (Harvey, 1999; Marglin and Schor, 1990; Eichengreen, 1995). The process of economic integration that this produced brought more people, from more distant regions, into greater contact with one another in the process of capitalist production. As a concept, this process entails a more intensive application of capitalist social relations – liberalization - to a more extensive number of places and people – globalization (Arrighi and Silver, 1999; Arrighi, 2010). 1 As such, it was a particular kind of globalization, liberal globalization, which is different from empire, embedded liberalism, socialism, or other potential forms of global integration. 1 The process is of course partial and political. Liberalization has occurred for some countries but not others, for example as the U.S. and Europe retain agricultural subsidies and protections while requiring developing countries to remove theirs. In addition, there are large parts of the world which remain significantly outside of globalized production and exchange, such as parts of sub-Saharan Africa. 2 The impact on production processes was a shift towards globalized chains. Productive chains extract raw materials, transform them into intermediate goods, assemble them into finished products, distribute them to final consumption markets, and they are disposed. These processes need not occur in close geographic proximity, and firms reorganize themselves to locate stages of production in the locations that provide the greatest returns. 2 The entrepreneurs and elites who adapt to these requirements are qualitatively different from those emerging in prior moments of capitalism. As contemporary enterprises operate across borders in integrated production chains, their owners are no longer bound by residence or productive activities located in one territory. 3 Further, the interpenetration of national capitalist sectors through cross-border mergers and acquisitions, interlocking of financial networks, and strategic alliances among business associations and networks have produced a transnational class of emerging elites. This requires close attention to the character of emerging, transnational elites in each country. They sit atop transnationalized sectors, but they do not enjoy the same economic or political success in each place. They will be more dynamic in some places than others, and their strategies for international integration can significantly differ. This introduces national particularities into the content of their state-building agendas, as they attempt to hold together diverse factions of transnational actors, encounter rivals, remodel national institutions, and pursue distinct political strategies. 2 The result for firms is that they can adapt management techniques to respond more quickly to market demands. Firms set up production chains with tight turnarounds, minimal inventories and quick outputs, so production can occur “just in time” for each link in the production chain. Workers are trained and machines are designed to be specialized, but flexible, allowing them to switch quickly from production of one output to another to meet rapidly changing consumer tastes (Zysman, 1984; Piore and Sabel, 1986). 3 This differs from periods in which capitalists operated in several markets, but they organized their activities from start to finish in processes limited to one jurisdiction at a time. For example, a Ford factory could be built from bottom to top to produce cars in several countries, making it a national or multinational concern. The greater integration of globalization now allows them to operate transnationally, making parts in one country to be assembled in another and sold finally in yet another (Dicken, 2007; Gereffi, 1990). 3 In Central America, the homogenizing external pressure of international integration and the persistence of national particularities are both evident. The changes associated with globalization were accelerated by 1980s debt crisis and revolutionary upheaval, which ushered in governments favoring neoliberal reforms. With slight variations, the region followed the rest of Latin America in adopting the liberalization, deregulation, and privatization policies that characterized structural adjustment. These were locked into trade arrangements, such as the Caribbean Basin Initiative begun during the 1980s, and the Central American Free Trade Agreement of 2006, which gave producers in Central America access to the U.S. market. Deeper integration with the U.S. attracted Central American entrepreneurs into new export activities and attracted U.S. and thirdcountry investors to locate in the region, creating and empowering those emerging elites who could ally with foreign capital to advance processes of production adapted to transnational organization. This process has played out in Central America in specific ways. The sectors most attractive to U.S. markets have been tourism, final assembly manufacturing (called maquilas in Spanish), non-traditional agriculture, and remittances. In addition, financial sectors and other services have prospered by acting as intermediaries between local interests and transnational firms (Segovia, 2006; Schneider, forthcoming). As these sectors expand, the emerging elites who lead them devise unique strategies of accumulation and advance state-building programs that can advance their accumulation. The question posed by the current project is what kind of state-building projects are appearing in Central America in the context of globalization? What are the dimensions of statebuilding evident in the region, and how do these relate to the state-building projects advanced by 4 emerging elites? Before turning to these questions in more depth, it makes sense to consider the concept of state-building itself. State-building The current project considers state functions under globalization as an opportunity to reevaluate previous conceptualizations. Liberal observers of globalization posited that the transnational character of contemporary capitalists would eclipse the nation state as they outgrew state institutions as either unviable or unnecessary (Williamson, 1990; Friedman, 2007). Shifts in the international regime in the form of treaties and new institutions such as the WTO appeared to confirm the increasing constraints on the regulatory power and the role of states, while structural adjustment programs imposed limits on the policy space of individual governments (George, 1992). For critical globalization scholars, “economic integration processes and neoliberal structural adjustment programs are driven by transnational capital’s campaign to open up every country to its activities, to tear down all barriers to the movement of goods and capital, and to create a single unified field in which global capital can operate unhindered across all national borders” (Robinson, 2009: 19). This view holds that owners of capital had removed their obligations to the state or to other members of society and could simply pursue accumulation wherever and however they wanted (Amin, 1994). This stateless and apolitical version of globalization misses the continued relevance of national political patterns. In many national contexts, the legacy of prior institutional arrangements has proven durable. The character of nation-states has not been so easily brushed aside, and there is significant room for divergence, even as economies integrate. These national particularities remain evident in enduring institutions and political practices, indicated by wide 5 varieties in the size of states, the structure of welfare systems, and the regulation of work and environment, among other areas (Evans, 1997; Hall and Soskice, 2001). In addition, there remain unique historical functions necessary to manage globalization (Rodrik, 1996). 4 The functions of states have not so much disappeared as transformed to deal with challenges of economic integration. For example, state leaders now compete to attract stages of production to their borders, offering incentives that attract footloose capital, what some observers label the “competition state” (Cerny, 1997). 5 Thus, the question is not whether the state has disappeared, but rather the nature of the states being built in the context of globalization. Before addressing the dimensions that characterize state-building in Central America, it is worthwhile to note the theoretical contribution that the cases of the region can offer to broader understanding. Most traditional approaches to state-building rest on two assumptions. First, statebuilding is something that occurs with the establishment of national, sovereign authority over a territory, generally at the founding moment of a national unit, in which boundaries and national myths are set (Anderson, 1981). Second, state-building includes those efforts to approximate or move towards a Weberian ideal (Evans and Rausch, 1999). Max Weber defined the state by its unique power of coercion within a territory, “a 'state' if and insofar as its administrative staff successfully upholds a claim on the monopoly of the legitimate use of violence in the enforcement of its order” (Weber, 1968: 154). For early modern states, this was a process of asserting power, especially military power, by central governments over principalities, fiefdoms, and warlords (Ziblatt, 2008). 4 Even the World Bank acknowledged a new set of requirements of the “State in a Changing World,” in its 1997 World Development Report (World Bank, 1997). 5 The difficult task is to ensure that the stages of production attracted are high value-added processes with linkages to other sectors and firms, such that they allow for decent livelihoods and sustainable development (Reich, 1992). 6 Weber also emphasized the institutionalization of the state through the establishment of rational-legal authority, removing the crutch of traditional or charismatic legitimacy. Under rational-legal authority, professional politicians establish the legal authority of a meritocratic and impersonal bureaucracy, resting on “a belief in the ‘legality’ of patterns of normative rules and the right of those elevated to authority under such rules to issue commands (legal authority)” (Weber 1947: 328). In the context of capitalist modernization, the bureaucracy manages the challenges of public administration through the application of rules, science, and rationality. This replaces the communal values, religious principles, and traditional practices which might have guided decision-making under pre-modern arrangements. As a more effective and efficient mechanism of organizing authority, Weber believed that rational-legal bureaucracies would eventually outlive and out-compete bureaucracies organized along alternative lines. Al Stepan specifies additional dimensions focused on the nature of state linkages to groups within society. These are important to carry interests into the state, such as through mechanisms of representation, and also to allow the state to shape the social groups and cleavages that exist in society. “The continuous administrative, legal, bureaucratic and coercive systems that attempt not only to structure relationships between civil society and public authority in a polity but also to structure the many crucial relationships within civil society as well” (Stepan, 1978: xii). Mann refers to this as “infrastructural power” - the capacity to penetrate society and make effective the intentions of the state (Mann, 1986). To these domestic efforts, state-builders must also look outward, as “states are inherently Janus-faced, standing at the intersection of international and domestic processes” (Evans, 7 Reuschemeyer, and Skocpol, 1985: 350). 6 As Skocpol notes, international “contexts impinge on individual states through geopolitical relations of interstate domination and competition, through the international communication of ideals and models of public policy, and through world economic patterns of trade, division of productive activities, investment flows, and international finance” (Evans, Rueschemeyer, and Skocpol, 1985: 8). This suggests two distinct mechanisms of pressure from the external environment. The first is in terms of direct challenges or influences on national state authority, as in the form of war, economic competition, and policy diffusion. The second mechanism is through a shift in the domestic social structures and social coalitions that provide support to national states. For example, under globalization changes to international relations of trade, production, and investment can trigger domestic socioeconomic changes in the fortunes of rising and declining sectors. The internal and external dimensions of states have been incompletely incorporated into our conceptualization of state-building. In part, this is because contemporary state-building discussions are limited to formative moments of nationhood, directing attention to centuries old processes in Europe (Tilly, 1992), but only extended to limited contemporary contexts. These include apparently failed states in places like sub-Saharan Africa and attempts by external actors to rebuild states after conflict and invasion in places like Iraq and Afghanistan. The current project suggests that state-building tasks are not reserved to formative moments of nationhood; rather, state-building occurs repeatedly, triggered by major shifts in international capitalism. Economic shifts stimulate domestic sectors who then press for political changes to advance a policy agenda that can help them sustain their dynamism. This can include administrative adaptations and the construction of new political institutions, where necessary, as 6 This draws on Otto Hintze, who traced the nature of domestic regimes to external military threats (Gilbert, 1975). 8 well as creating new state-society linkages to link themselves to the state and manage relations among rising, falling and excluded groups. Successful contemporary state-building generates power and resources that can protect emerging sectors where they are vulnerable and help to insert them into transnational processes of accumulation where they are not. A combined external-internal approach is especially important in the context of contemporary liberalized markets in Central America. Global integration has accelerated changes in domestic actors and placed new and more sophisticated requirements on state institutions, but the capacity of political elites and state institutions to accomplish these tasks is by no means assured. National territories remain pocked with spaces and policy areas in which governance is incomplete, and the recent international financial crisis has shaken the foundations of ongoing integration processes (O’Donnell, 1994). 7 The crisis has exposed, once again, fundamental ideological and political struggles over the appropriate role for the state. These struggles are expressed in Central America in terms of competing state-building agendas. One such agenda draws on liberal traditions and seeks to capitalize on moments of crisis to roll back the state, removing it from economic functions, at once resolving crisis and preventing the state from intervening in the economy in the future. This view orients some potential state-builders in Central America, who are drawn to the liberal view out of both conviction and fear. They are convinced that the appropriate role for the state is a minimal one, and they are even more fearful of the populist alternative, in which short-term amelioration of crisis becomes a long-term threat to managing limited resources (Corrales, 2002). 8 This fear of 7 Further, the assumption that state-building occurs only at foundational moments creates the misguided impression that it occurs on a blank slate, wiped clean with each invasion or regime change. 8 This echoes fears of public choice theorists that expanding state mandates during crises creates self-interested bureaucrats who protect themselves and their lobbies even after the crisis has passed (Brennan and Buchanan, 1980). 9 populism has motivated elites and middle classes to occasionally support authoritarian solutions in coups, dictatorship, and undemocratic practices (Avritzer, 2002). In recent years, the general disapproval of authoritarian interruptions has limited attempted coups, and domestic elites have sought alternatives consistent with democracy, focusing on pluralism as a manageable form of democratic opening. Under pluralism, politics is limited to a competition among interest groups, directed by political institutions and mechanisms of social control to protect minorities from the whims of the majority (Dahl, 1971). 9 The kinds of institutional rules this has included in Central America are electoral rules to limit majorities and powerful constitutional courts, not to mention the implicit veto-power held by militaries over legislative and executive decisions. As a complement to pluralism, technocratic insulation removes popular demands and democratic process from core areas of decision-making (Centeno, 1994). Under technocratic arrangements, democratic competition is limited to non-economic areas, with areas essential to capitalism, such as finance or industrialization, placed in the hands of a protected bureaucracy (Dominguez, 1998). 10 The residue of such practices litters the region with semi-autonomous institutions and bureaucracies granted independence from party politics and executive discretion, though many such agencies are abandoned or absorbed once policymakers lose interest or move onto other challenges (Geddes, 1996). Some conflicts over state-building are waged within the state itself (Hirsch, 1996). Conflicts within and among branches of the government and the executive bureaucracy express 9 Mechanisms of social control include using the state to demobilize popular mobilization and prevent organization (Kurtz, 2006). 10 The neoliberal fear of self-interested bureaucrats seems at odds with the faith in technocrats. This has been resolved by Weberian assumptions about the role rational and meritocratic bureaucrats as shepherds to capitalist expansion, rather than inherent threats to it (Evans, 1995). 10 these internal struggles for power, dislocating ideological and political struggle from society into state institutions.11 What has not yet occurred is a pattern of state-building that renegotiates international patterns of economic insertion while also reorganizing domestic political and economic relationships. This is what happened in the developmental state models of East Asia, and to a lesser extent in the statist development models of post-World War II Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina (Evans, 1995). 12 Such efforts included institutional characteristics of modernizing bureaucracies, especially in terms of meritocratic and rational-legal orientation (Amsden, 1992); changes in the relationship of the state to leading social sectors, especially dynamic, exportoriented ones (Evans, 1995); and increased state ability to trade on geopolitical position to renegotiate the terms of international engagement, for example by securing markets for exports and upgrading technology (Wade, 2003). Peter Evans describes this as a triple alliance between the state, domestic capital, and international capital (Evans, 1979). Such an alliance would require a domestic balance of class forces which has not appeared in Central America. Galbraith, in describing U.S. capitalism, coined a term to describe such a balance: “countervailing power” (Galbraith, 1993). His focus was the post-war industrialization boom, in which large-scale business organizations confronted large-scale unions, and the balance of class power produced a state capable of reproducing accumulation while satisfying popular needs. Such an arrangement was appropriate to the nature of Fordist industrialization, and even had its imperfect reflection in the national populist models of Latin American developmentalism. 11 Fiscal crisis is taken by some to indicate fundamental conflicts over the goals of the state and the inability to accommodate competing visions within a limited fiscal envelope (Schumpeter, 1919). 12 He observed that even in the best of circumstances, Latin American states tended to be more “predatory than developmental,” stifling dynamic sectors rather than “shepherding” them towards sustainable patterns of development (Evans, 1995). 11 Contemporary transnational Central American elites have been preoccupied with the policies that can stimulate their expansion and smooth their profits, seeking state assistance to insert dynamic sectors into rapidly changing transnational processes. While these efforts will be discussed in more detail below, they include policy and institutional reforms to expand profit margins within existing sectors, open new opportunities for accumulation that did not previously exist, and reorganize social and political life to ensure ongoing hegemony for emerging elites. The room available for state-building projects in peripheral economies like those of Central America is difficult and qualitatively different than what happens in other parts of the world. The pattern of accumulation that has taken hold in the region produces too little wealth, in too few hands, through sectors with limited potential for sustained development (Agosín, et al, 2004). 13 The resources they generate are hardly sufficient to the requirements of renewing accumulation, sustaining the state, and meeting popular demands. Nor have the social formations produced by the patterns of growth occurring in the region created the coalitions that might provide a countervailing balance of class forces. Still, despite the overall limitations on Central American state-building, there are important variations in what has occurred. To explore the patterns of state-building emerging in the region, the next section outlines the dimensions that usefully characterize the behavior of transnational elites in state-building efforts. Transnational State-building in Central America This section explores the dimensions of state-building relevant to emerging elites in the region. Under current patterns of international insertion, emerging elites are defined above all by their transnational strategies of accumulation, in which they direct one stage in a chain of 13 Writing within the confines of economic theory, Chu, Davoodi, and Gupta (2000) note the intersection of economic distribution and problems of state capture, referring implicitly to structuralist traditions associated with dependency and underdevelopment (Frank, 1969). 12 production that crosses several borders. Three key dimensions characterize their state-building agenda: expanded accumulation, accumulation by dispossession, and regulation of the life-world. Expanded accumulation seeks to increase profit margins in existing economic activities. Accumulation by dispossession generates wholly new opportunities for accumulation in areas or activities that were not previously open to market operations. Regulation of the life-world transforms society and politics such that long-term hegemony of transnational elites can be assured. In each dimension, emerging elites pursue a particular agenda. It is of course the case that a more complete understanding of state-building might incorporate additional dimensions and the perspectives of other actors. For example, other dimensions might include the consolidation of democracy and other actors could include the preoccupations of popular sectors or international actors. Still, the perspective of emerging elites is of critical importance because their success, or failure, in advancing a state-building agenda has implications for long-term patterns of development and democracy. Also, the unique ways in which transnational elites have advanced their objectives on each dimensions helps to contrast the state-building patterns across countries. Finally, the perspective of emerging elites is especially illustrative of state-building under globalization because of their interest in aligning with and deepening the transnational patterns of accumulation which brought them to the fore. Expanded Accumulation in Transnationalized Sectors The first dimension to be considered is that of expanding accumulation in the transnational sectors that have appeared as a result of global integration. Integration presents opportunities to economic actors, and they pursue state assistance to expand their profitability. 13 This can come through policy and institutional changes that reduce the cost of inputs, raise the value secured for outputs, increase the efficiency of production processes, and provide dynamic advantages to domestic firms over the long-term. The sectors that have been most adapted to transnational production in Central America present various opportunities to reduce the price of inputs. Key inputs are land, labor, and capital, including those forms of capital represented by access to financing as well as accumulated in technological improvements. Fiscal and monetary restraint keeps interest rates down, making it possible for investors to access capital markets easily. Other costs, such as labor costs in the maquila, have also been held down. In the case of wages, costs have been kept down by incorporating new workers into the workforce, especially women, thereby increasing the potential number of low-skilled workers available, as well as undercutting traditionally male-dominated unions with little capacity or history of mobilizing female workers (Frank, 2005). Government actions can also raise the returns for outputs. Efforts to identify and diversify export markets and monetary policies that stabilize a competitive value for the currency can increase the attractiveness of Central American goods in foreign markets. In addition, government policies can capture greater value for Central American producers by decreasing the number of intermediaries to reach international consumers. In the case of tourism, for example, Central American countries have created or expanded ministries of tourism that cut out some of the marketing costs and tour-operator fees that stand between developed country tourists, and a devalued currency keeps Central American destinations attractive. A third route to expanded accumulation is to raise the efficiency of existing enterprises. This can come from certain kinds of inputs, such as the infusion of capital and technology, as 14 well as a reorganization of enterprise management and productive practices. To spur such upgrades, government policies can allow competition with more efficient firms, such as foreign firms operating with greater technology and international experience. Governments can selectively apply regulatory sanctions and incentives to encourage firms to improve their efficiency to match and surpass levels of international efficiency (Schrank and Piore, 2009). Finally, states can keep borrowing rates low by offering concessionary terms for credit as well as balanced fiscal policies that keep borrowing rates low. In Central America, and other peripheral countries, weak domestic capitalists tend to have great difficulty responding to such regulations, but upgrading has occurred in moving producers from less efficient traditional agricultural products to niche, non-traditional agriculture outputs such as off-season fruits and vegetables for Northern markets (Barham, Clark, Katz, and Schurman, 1992: 43-82). In the rapidly changing contemporary economic environment, the ability to secure expanded returns in the future is just as important as expanded accumulation in the current period. These ongoing returns can come from several sources. One possibility is through the possibility of multiple linkages that certain chains of production provide forward and backward to other activities. For example, Central American governments have assisted producers into productive chains like organic coffees with backward linkages to organic fertilizers and forward linkages to high-end brews. Such chains offer more opportunities for accumulation in-country, as multiple stages of production can be captured by national firms. In addition, innovations in productive techniques and technology provide temporary advantages while other firms catch-up. To retain the advantages of operating at the front of the technology frontier, governments invest in research and development; institutions attract 15 investment from foreign companies bearing leading technologies; and regulations privilege domestic participation in the most advantageous stages of production (Ross Schneider, 2009). Accumulation by Dispossession An additional way emerging elites use states to facilitate their dynamism is by creating opportunities for accumulation that did not previously exist. This can take several forms, including the creation of new markets, opening areas of activity to transnational actors that were previously controlled by others, reorganizing existing markets to facilitate concentration and monopoly rents, and financializing economic activity. State efforts can open new outlets for Central American producers. For example, arrangements such as the Central American Common Market open opportunities for producers to extend their operations across regional markets. In addition, agreements with developed countries, either bilateral or multilateral agreements as in the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA), present additional opportunities for export and exchange (IMF, 2005). Some existing activities offer profitable opportunities but have to be transferred to transnational actors and subjected to market relations. One set of examples in Central America are those entities created and controlled by the state, including public services and enterprises built up in prior decades, especially under import substitution development strategies and the welfare state and populist arrangements that accompanied them. Telecommunications, financial services, and energy offer opportunities for profit when privatized and handed to domestic and international actors. Other sectors, such as social services and public infrastructure tend to remain under public ownership, but they present opportunities for accumulation by factions of capital that can capture contracts providing services to the state. 16 Another opportunity for accumulation exists in sectors controlled by non-market actors. For example, during a period of commodity price booms, territories rich in natural resources offer opportunities for profit, but they are frequently occupied in communal, environmental, and indigenous uses. State actions in regulatory and other policies turn these territories over to market uses and facilitate the entrance of domestic and international private sector actors. Finally, government action can facilitate accumulation by helping to concentrate market power. In particular, moments of domestic and international crisis destroy the assets of competing factions of capital, and create opportunities for accumulation by survivors. State fiscal and monetary policies deepen crisis and protect certain factions of capital, thereby setting them up to profit from the market power they wield during post-crisis rebounds. In Central America, the 1980s was a period of generalized crisis across the region, and periodic crises have affected individual countries in subsequent years. Financial sectors have been particularly affected, and those actors favored by the regulatory, fiscal, and monetary actions of the state have been able to reap the subsequent windfall of newfound market power, something Harvey labeled as “accumulation by dispossession” (Harvey, 2003). 14 Harvey also refers to the financialization of economic activity as an opportunity for accumulation by dispossession. As financial sectors grow and gain leverage over the real economy, they can manipulate credit and stock markets to force the firesale stripping of assets. This concentrates wealth and control, and offers a further opportunity to reap rents from market power. Regulating Social and Political Life to Preserve Elite Hegemony 14 Harvey draws on the work of Rosa Luxembourg, who understood this process to be a form of primitive accumulation. 17 The final dimension of state-building relevant to the interests of emerging elites is in terms of the regulation of social and political life. For emerging elites seeking access to power and legitimacy for their actions, state institutions and policies offer crucial tools to structure the ways societies operate such that elites can maintain their dominance. This can include efforts to reframe the social rules and norms that govern interpersonal relationships and understandings, ameliorative policies to coopt or distract potential opponents of their changes, and the reorganization or invention of channels of access to political power. With respect to the regulation of social life, emerging elites require state-building efforts to legitimate their strategies of accumulation. As new sectors and opportunities for accumulation emerge, they can disrupt existing social arrangements, practices, and identities. Transnational elites pursue state-building efforts to legitimate the social changes provoked by their accumulation strategies. Essential tools in this regard are the instruments of cultural production, such as education systems and specialized agencies, as well as sites of knowledge production in media, thinktanks, and universities. One example is in the management of social change triggered by a changing workforce. Many transnational sectors include high levels of female participation in formal employment, with women making up as much as 70% of the workforce in assembly manufacturing and service and tourism economy. This implies a massive shift in the way women work and live and interact within society, with implications for families, workplaces, politics, and industrial relations. Emerging elites have legitimated the increase in women’s labor force participation with a new set of policies, media messages, and institutions, and all of the countries now boast Institutes of Women and the Family or some similar agency dedicated to the condition of women. 18 Other measures address the condition of actors displaced by economic and structural change. Rival elites from declining sectors and popular actors excluded from the benefits of international integration pose potential opposition to transnational strategies of accumulation. To limit their oppositions, concessions, side-payments, patronage, and outright coercion offer a menu of options (Etchemendy, 2001). In all countries, a mix of items selected from this menu is evident, particularly in response to zero-sum conflicts such as those surrounding free-trade agreements and privatizations. Finally, other measures attempt to regulate the operation of political life. It is no longer sufficient, as it was for parts of the 20th century, for dominant elites to cede control of the state to other actors, usually the military, while they concentrated on economic activities (Stanley, 2006). There are too many policy and institutional changes required to expand, extend, and legitimate their accumulation. This has led emerging elites to directly occupy elected office, form new political parties, finance political candidates, and create lobbying entities, among other efforts. Each of these strategies secures or creates a channel of access to power, and potential targets include executive, legislative, and judicial branches, along with a variety of electoral, bureaucratic, and public opinion strategies. In many ways, efforts to reorganize political life are the clearest indicators of elite state-building efforts, as they both reflect and determine the degree to which emerging elites can secure their ongoing hegemony. The paragraphs above have described three dimensions in which state-building is essential to the project of transnational emerging elites: expanded accumulation in existing sectors, extending accumulation to new sources, and regulating social and political life to preserve elite hegemony. Emerging elites seek to expand their accumulation in the sectors they occupy; introduce market relations in places and areas of life that were previously subject to non- 19 market control; and secure these changes for the long term by achieving ideological and political hegemony. The next section will examine these dimensions by observing examples as they appear in Central America. The examples are collections of policy changes, institutional adaptations, social constructions, and political practices. For each dimension, an example will be chosen from the region to demonstrate the kind of state-building occurring on each dimension. The objective is not to describe each country case in full; rather, country case examples offer useful illustrations of potential variations on the dimensions of state-building. Expanded Accumulation in Central America Expanded accumulation refers to those efforts made to boost profits by raising profit margins. As discussed above, this can include lowering the cost of inputs, increase the price secured for outputs, raising productivity, and increasing the efficiency of operations. In Central America, this has taken various forms, for example in the incorporation into the maquila workforce of women workers who were previously not economically active in the formal sector and not organized, fiscal and monetary restraint to keep capital costs low, investment in infrastructure and other public goods used by exports, and trade agreements that ease access to foreign markets. Examples drawn from Honduras and Costa Rica show the divergent patterns of intervention adopted by states, and the impacts these can have on development. In Honduras, tax incentives have been one of the key tools of the state to increase the profitability of transnational sectors, and these incentives have been characterized by abuse and ambiguous developmental impacts. In Costa Rica, a successful state push to scale-up production towards products with greater value-added and more technology content has included tax incentives, but these 20 incentives have been more strategically applied and combined with other measures to diversify Costa Rica’s export profile by attracting foreign investment with higher technology content and requiring more skilled labor. Expanded Profits, but not Development in Honduras In Honduras, exporters have pushed for and received a steady series of tax exemptions. The first such incentive was established in 1976, in the form of a tax exemption for foreign firms operating in an export processing zone around the Port of Cortes (ZOLI - Dto. 356-1976). 15 By 1998, the entire country had been designated tax free, so long as firms were producing for export (Dto. 131-1998). 16 Businesses taking advantage of this legislation do not have to pay tariffs, duties, property taxes, taxes on profits, local sales tax, taxes on capital imports, or excises and enjoy unlimited repatriation of profits and access to special customs offices in industrial parks. Almost all transnational sectors are now privileged by some form tax incentive legislation, including mining (dto. 292-1998), tourism (Dto 314-1998), and agricultural exports (Dto. 233-2001). These special regimes have increased exports, but are poorly applied and prone to abuse. For example, among the first firms to take advantage of the tourism exemption have been fast food franchises, taking advantage of a designation that for some reason is not applied to other restaurants. 17 15 Expanded to other municipalities in 1979 (Dto. 787-1979). The ZOLI was reformed and expanded in 1986 (Dto. 190-1986), though certain benefits were rolled back in 1994 (dto. 135-1994). Other regimes include the Temporary Import Regime (RIT – Dto. 37-1984) by which firms could import goods for assembly and reexport within a short amount of time and the Law for Zones of Industrial Processing for Exports (ZIP – Dto. 37-1987). Both of these included twenty-year holidays for income tax exemptions and ten years exemption on municipal taxes (Alonso, 2005). 17 To all new tourism projects, income tax was exempted for 10 years, and exemptions offered for all taxes and levies produced by import of goods and new services to construct or begin operations, except inputs, repairs, construction materials, arms, foods, toxic products, and printed materials. Exemption was also offered for all cultural activities, and deductions offered for up to 15% of all taxable income for businesses undertaking new projects. 16 21 There is little evidence to suggest that firms operating in privileged sectors alter their investment decisions primarily because of the fiscal incentives offered (IMF, 2005; ICEFI, 2006). Further, many firms oriented towards the domestic market make use of exemptions meant only for exporters, distorting economic activity and gaining an unfair advantage over competitors (Gómez Sabaini, 2005). In many cases, domestic producers have been successful in introducing their own products in the list of exempted products. For example, while sales tax exemptions for basic goods can decrease the regressivity of sales tax, Honduras provided exemptions for more than 180 goods, far more than those consumed primarily by the poor. As a result, the array of privileges increase vertical inequality by offering wealthier income groups increased opportunities to escape taxes, and increase horizontal inequity by offering different tax rates to firms operating within the same sector ((Matute López, 2008: 198; Gómez Sabaini and Cetrángolo 2006). It is difficult to calculate exactly how much is lost through these incentives. 18 According to Gómez Sabaini (2007), the losses associated with exemptions totaled 29.2% of actual receipts. Meza, et al (2008) estimate, with figures from the Executive Revenue Directorate (DEI), that the total amount of tax exemptions to textile exports was equal to sixteen percent of total taxes in 2003. 19 In sum, the Honduran state has expanded profits in transnational sectors through the use of generous tax incentives, but these incentives have done little to promote development. New exports have emerged, but incentives have cost the state significant resources and distorted 18 Much depends on the assumptions made. The easiest assumption to calculate though unlikely to be accurate is that economic actors keep their behavior the same regardless of tax incentives. Alternatively, one can compare actors exempted and not exempted from specific rules. Finally, costs can be calculated in terms of expenses needed to equalize losses. 19 The amounts were 19% in 2004 and 17% in 2005, with exemptions for fast food enterprises from 2003 until 2006 totaling L66 million, equal to about $3.7 million. 22 domestic markets meant to be shielded from their impacts. This experience stands in contrast to the experience of Costa Rica, where tax incentives have been combined with other efforts to promote transnational sectors while also altering the technological capacity and export diversity of the country. Scaling-up Profits and Development in Costa Rica. After a deep but short debt crisis at the start of the 1980s, the Costa Rican state embarked on a rapid transformation of the export sector. The state used tax incentives, privileged access to credit, partnership with foreign firms, and export promotion to direct producers into transnational sectors, expand their profits, and coax towards higher-end production. Early currency devaluation kept Costa Rican exports competitive, and firms were directed to sign an export contract with the state that included tax incentives, called Tax Incentive Certificates (CATs in Spanish), as well as other incentives to encourage industrial restructuring. These included duty free imports of raw materials, inputs, and capital goods, subsidized interest rates, lower port costs, and simplification of the export process. The CATs could be used to reduce tax obligations and were valid for up to 42 months, resulting in an immediate 15% increase in the profitability of exports (Arriagada, 1992). Corrales and Monge (1990) attribute much of the credit for export promotion to the CATs. In addition, the Costa Rican state also offered Law 6695 for the Zones for Processing, Export, and Industrial Parks (Ley de Zonas Procesadoras de Exportación y Parques Industriales). The zones were built by a public corporation and located in underdeveloped regions. Firms locating in the zones enjoyed preferential loans, reduced rents, and partial tax exemptions, though these were phased out over time. 23 During the second half of the 1990s, the government sought to diversify exports away from the simple assembly that tended to dominate the firms locating in export processing zones. The government adopted “an aggressive policy of investment attraction” in sectors that made “a sophisticated and well paid use of productive resources and not extensive and poorly rewarded use of cheap labor” (MIDEPLAN, 1998, 51, as cited in Martínez Franzoni and SánchezAncochea, 2012). The entrance of the computer company INTEL in 1997 rapidly shifted exports towards higher-value added and more sophisticated technological products and attracted other foreign firms such as Abbot, Procter and Gamble and Microsoft. These efforts have been coordinated by state institutions, some of which were created specifically to promote exports and direct industrial up-grading. The Ministry of Foreign Trade and the National Investment Board were both created to coordinate trade policy and promote foreign investment, and the the Costa Rican Investment Promotion Agency (Coalición Costarricense de Iniciativas de Desarrollo, CINDE) was created with financial assistance from USAID (Ulate, 2000; Villasuso, 2008). Costa Rica slowly became a regional leader not only in electronics but also in medical devices, medicines, back-office services and other high tech goods and services. In the case of electronics, the country has 47 different foreign firms in the FTZs that specialize in telecommunications, semiconductors and assembly of electronic products. They generate 12,000 direct jobs and account for approximately 30% of the total exports of goods (Martínez Franzoni and Sánchez-Ancochea, 2012). High-technology exports now account for 29% of Costa Rican exports, far above the regional average of 4%. Much of these exports are produced by foreign firms operating in the free trade zones, and Costa Rica has become a major recipient of foreign direct investment. 24 Much of this investment targeted outputs with high levels of technology content, requiring higher skills and sustaining relatively higher wages (Sánchez-Ancochea, 2004). In recent years, there has been an additional influx of services provided by foreign firms, including customer service centers and back-office tasks (Ernst and Sánchez-Ancochea, 2008). Despite these accomplishments, it should be noted that few Costa Rican producers have been able to benefit from the high-tech portions of transnational productive chains. While foreign firms provide the investment into the higher-end areas of export, they offer few linkages or spillovers to domestic suppliers, and the positions occupied by Costa Rica firms tend to remain in the primary sector (Sanchez-Ancochea, 2009). As a result, the overall impact on employment upgrading has been limited, and the export shows widening levels of inequality, as primary product exports, where most of the employment remains, continues to show lower levels of growth and productivity increases. While the Costa Rican case demonstrates some of the limitations of even the most successful state efforts at upgrading, the contrast with Honduras demonstrates some of the ways states contribute to expanded accumulation. While both countries have witnessed concerted policy campaigns to boost profit margins, in Honduras there have been much more ambiguous developmental impacts. In Honduras the main tool has been the proliferation of tax incentives, and these have produced distortions to the economy and complicated state administration. By contrast, while Costa Rica has also used tax incentives, these have been accompanied by policies and institutions that direct foreign investment into production with higher amounts of technology, rapidly increasing productivity in the export sector and upgrading skills in the workforce. Costa Rica continues to face problems in a lack of linkages and spillover from the higher-end outputs, and differences in productivity and skill are becoming more evident in 25 inequality. Still, the two cases demonstrate the kinds of variation possible in this particular dimension of state-building. Accumulation by Dispossession in Central America Accumulation by dispossession refers to those efforts made to open new opportunities for accumulation that did not previously exist. This can take several forms, including the creation of new markets, opening areas of activity to transnational actors that were previously controlled by others, reorganizing existing markets to facilitate concentration and monopoly rents through the manipulation of crisis and financialization of economic activity. In Central America, this has taken various forms, including the privatization of state assets, transfer of public and communal lands, and corruption of state resources. Examples drawn from El Salvador and Guatemala display some of the ways in which emerging elites engage in accumulation by dispossession. In El Salvador, the nationalization, privatization, and subsequent internationalization of banking has provided a windfall for those fractions of capital privileged by the state. In Guatemala, political and economic fortunes have been seized by those factions of capital that can capture areas of public service contracts. In neither case have the developmental impacts been laudable, but they demonstrate some of the variations evident across the region. The Transfer of Wealth through Salvadoran Banking The financial sector in El Salvador has provided a windfall return to a fraction of the transnational elite who garnered control of the sector. The privileges of control have been expressed in massive fortunes, political power, and linkages that reached into multiple other areas of the productive economy, both domestically and in the region. Interestingly, the latest 26 phase of restructuring in the sector has involved a sell-off to foreign interests, placing Salvadoran financiers in the position of shareholders and domestic managers of international interests. The fiscal crisis of the 1980s coincided with the breakdown of the previous regime and the onset of civil war, and it hit the financial sector with widespread insolvency. The government nationalized banks and financial institutions in 1980 in the Nationalization of Credit Institutions Law (dcto. 158), and they remained under government control for most of the duration of the war. Bank deposits fell drastically, as did the availability of capital, represented in a collapse of total credit, which fell 31%, and rates of debt default which rose to $786.7 million in 1988. Once transnational elites had gained control of the state with the election of ARENA in the 1989 election, the banks were quickly recapitalized in preparation for privatization. The 1990 law for Cleansing and Strengthening Commercial Banks and Savings and Loan Associations absorbed bad debts and transferred approximately $400 million to the banking sector from public coffers. The rules under the subsequent privatization encouraged the purchase of shares by the workers of the institutions and the pension funds, and approximately 20% of the shares went to these actors. Within only a few years, however, traditionally powerful families and networks had absorbed the controlling interest in most of the banks, including the Murray Meza, Simán, Poma, Kriete, and the then president and current leader of ARENA, Alfredo Cristiani. The limited number of banking conglomerates that emerged came to occupy an increasing portion of the national economy. A limited number of financial interests dominated the sector, including Cuscatlán, Banagrícola, Banco Salvadoreño, Banco de Comercio, Agrisal, Grupo Poma, Grupo de Sola and Grupo Hill. Through financial arms, these conglomerates 27 extended their reach into other transnational sectors, including commerce, real estate, tourism, and maquila production. The net assets of the financial sector rose from $1.88 billion in 1990 to $6.88 billion in 2000 (Dada, 2000). The state took additional steps to provide opportunities for financial accumulation were created with the privatization of the pension system, handing the revenues from contributions to financial services providers while retaining for the state the responsibility to already retired pensioners (Moreno, 2000). The system was copied from the Chilean model, a country with a far more developed financial markets, and it has provided relatively low returns (4.7%) as well as left the Salvadoran state with significant shortfalls in funding for current benefits. This has forced the state to secure bonds, many of which are now held by the private financial firms and pension operators (Rodrik and Hausman, 2004). As domestic markets began to slow, Salvadoran finance turned to an accumulation strategy focused on the rest of the region (Segovia, 2005). They successfully pushed to dollarize the Salvadoran currency in 2001, facilitating their own access to international capital and transfers. While the strategy increased prices domestically, raised the price of Salvadoran exports internationally, and removed policy autonomy from the Salvadoran state, it also facilitated access to international capital and convertibility of the assets of Salvadoran conglomerates (Towers and Borzutsky, 2004). This allowed them to extend their investment to transnational sectors in the rest of Central America, partnering with or absorbing the leading sectors in those countries also. By operating across the region, nontraditional agricultural producers insured themselves against bad seasons; hoteliers and shopping mall owners replicated their investments; and manufacturing 28 assembly firms in multiple export processing zones could share inputs and contracts. This degree of integration required coordination, led by Salvadoran finance capital, which allocated investments to ensure the compatibility of activities in different territories. For example, Banco Credomatic shifted to a regional outlook, changing its name in 2003 to BAC – Banco de América Central. From 1999 to 2003, average Salvadoran investment in Costa Rica, was almost $20 million per year and, between 1997 and 2004, 85 percent of all intraregional investment in Central America came from El Salvador (Segovia, 2005). According to one estimate, external investment equaled 98 percent of national income (Freedman, 2010a). In short, dollarization was part of the process by which financial conglomerates deepened their control over the domestic economy and extended their activities to an integrated economic network operating throughout the region (Segovia, 2005). The latest transformation of Salvadoran finance has occurred in the years surrounding the international financial crisis of 2008. Once their activities had saturated the domestic market and extended to regional markets, Salvadoran financial assets became attractive to international firms. International banks and financial services firms such as Scotiabank, HSBC, Bancolombia, and Citibank absorbed domestic firms, and El Salvador now has the largest presence of foreign banks in the region. The previous owners have been turned into shareholders and domestic managers for international operations, earning approximately $4 billion for their stewardship of the financial sector for the past two decades and the subsequent sell-off (Envio, 2009). Crony Capitalists in Guatemala In Guatemala, a different pattern of accumulation by dispossession is evident. In certain sectors, such as health, education, and infrastructure, wealth is available through crony capitalist contracts with the state. Well-connected providers can secure lucrative contracts providing 29 materials and services to the state for public programs. All states engage the private sector in various forms of partnership, but in Guatemala the lack of transparency and multiple mechanisms funnel public resources into private hands. A few areas are relevant: social funds, trust funds, non-governmental and international organizations, and transfers. All demonstrate a basic pattern by which funds are shifted off budget or outside of the formal institutions that might preserve transparency and participation. Instead, poorly monitored and narrow political processes allocate resources, with predictable impacts on developmental impact and state capacity. During the 1990s, international organizations, especially USAID, World Bank, Interamerican Development Bank, and the IMF promoted social funds to accompany structural adjustment. Social policy was meant to soften the impact of structural adjustment in such a fashion that minimized the potential for social policy to intrude on the stabilization and liberalization goals of structural adjustment (Bigio 1998). This meant minimizing fiscal costs, for example by targeting benefits and limiting their amounts. It also called for shifting social policy away from the state and away from the political process, reserving funds from privatization or international aid to social funds managed outside traditional budgetary and bureaucratic regulations. The strategy followed a general skepticism of government and sought to include participatory, decentralized mechanisms that would channel public money through private entities (Ruthrauf and Carlson 1997). In practice, social funds tended to proliferate and absorb general budgetary resources, rather than those reserved from unusual sources of income. The funds, which lacked the same type of oversight and deliberation as other areas of expenditure, evolved into a convenient mechanism for obscuring public spending for use in promoting accumulation by well-connected 30 interest-groups, corruption by political elites and their supporters, and a mechanism of clientelism to secure political support. The total amount dedicated to social funds averaged around 10 percent of the budget, and each government made use of the funds to position favored candidates for future office. In total, social funds account for over five billion quetzales (US$640 million). The next major area of alternative expenditure channels are trust funds. Trust funds are set up in various areas to hold deposits to be released over various time periods, occasionally extending various years. By placing the money in trust, Guatemalan governments avoid some of the planning limitations of annual fiscal expenditures that must be used within the fiscal year, and theoretically facilitate execution while protecting the funds from use for other priorities. In addition, by channeling low interest deposits into the banking sector, the state may facilitate easier credit terms to those who do business with the trusts. Still, the proliferation of such funds, their use for expenditures that might easily fit within traditional ministries, and their liberal use of contracting with third-party providers suggests that the trust funds have turned into vehicles for other purposes. By placing funds into a trust, private and public banks receive an influx of capital for which they charge a commission and can increase their turnover and reserves while offering the state a minimal interest return on their deposits. In addition, the regulations on the outlays of trust fund expenditures are more difficult to trace and less subject to traditional mechanisms of oversight and accountability. Those who provide materials or services to the state or benefit from soft loans may benefit beyond what was originally intended. The funds themselves are authorized through the budget and recognized in the Organic Budget Law, but the only legal architecture to govern them exists in a Commercial Code passed 31 in 1970 (Acción Ciudadano/DESC 2006: 36). Since 1998, the Ministry of Finance has issued a number of ministerial agreements to orient their use, and created a Department of Trust Funds within the Public Credit Directorate. Only in 2004 did the Congress assign responsibility to oversee movements in the trust funds to the Comptroller General Office (Dcto. 35-2004, art. 41). Examples of trust funds include a fund for the peace agreement and land payouts, FONAPAZ, and another road and highway maintenance, COVAL. These are the two largest, at Q6 billion each, followed by Q4 billion for Rural Cooperative Education, Q1.8 billion for reforestation and preserving water sources on public lands and in the countryside, Q1.5 billion for subsidized housing, and almost Q700 million for transportation in Guatemala City (Ministerio de Finanzas Públicas 2011, checked July 2011). The amounts passed through trust funds vary from year to year. They were as low as Q15 thousand in 1996 and as high as Q3.7 billion in 2008 and Q3.6 billion in 2006. In total, active trusts have been allocated over Q26 billion, filtered through more than twelve bank and financial institutions. In certain years, outlays through trust funds are as high as 15 percent of the entire budget and 22 percent of the investment budget (Sistema de Contabilidad Integrada Gubernamental, checked 2/5/2009). According to the Transparency International representative in Guatemala, “there can be two motivations to create a trust fund. One is that the bureaucrat wants to use the funds to deliberately realize corrupt transactions. . . Or that the institution has the mandate to apply said funds to a specific program or to a specific target population . . . The trust fund is the guarantee that the funds will not be exposed to transfer to other priorities” (Accion Ciudadana/DESC 2006: 40). There have been scandals within the trust fund accounts, as in 2005 when the Guatemalan 32 Housing Fund, with fourteen sub-fund accounts, transferred Q266 million on a nongovernmental organization with no experience in construction. Another area of dubious transparency and participation is in contracts with nongovernmental organizations and international organisms. Sometimes, instead of executing projects directly, governments contract non-governmental and international organizations to undertake core functions, thereby evading some requirements of Government Contracts Law. The main justification to work through non-governmental and international organizations is to pursue effective and efficient execution of outlays without having to operate within cumbersome government bureaucracy. Trust funds, social funds, and line ministries all use this mechanism to facilitate their expenditure. Yet, mechanisms of oversight for these entities are weak. Some are created simply to execute an outlay, with no other capacity or function except to find a private sector entity that can be subcontracted to actually undertake the project. In such cases, the non-governmental or international organization operates solely as a broker, securing the budget allocation, charging a commission, or simply holding onto the funds to earn interest while waiting to spend the money. The political economy of such entities can operate through several possible mechanisms. The most consistently cited in interviews was the Congress, generally through deputies on the Finance Committee. Deputies introduce amendments to specify the non-governmental entity or type of entity that should receive an allocation, and they have been particularly adept at using the List of Public Works to channel resources. The List of Public Works, an appendix to the budget that outlines the jurisdiction and characteristics of multiple public works programs, can be used to channel spending to well-connected contractors and non-governmental organizations operating in narrow geographic bases, generally the bases of support for particular deputies. 33 Such contractors and non-governmental organizations can also insert their requests through the communal, municipal, and departmental development councils, as well as directly through the relevant ministries, with the Communications, Infrastructure, and Housing ministry of particular importance in executing public works. Deputies then play the role of pressuring ministers to execute the projects, bringing potential recipients into Congress to embarrass ministries that have failed to execute a promised public work (Interview, Carlos Barreda ex. Vice Ministry of Transparency, 6/14/11). The lack of oversight of these transfers and more generally in the execution of the budget becomes clear in isolated examples of corruption that are unveiled by civil society, the media, and occasional efforts by transparency advocates within the state itself. In 2010, a joint technical commission of Congress and the Ministry of Health examined the execution of public funds through NGOs and found 49% were not meeting the terms of their agreements. 20 Deputies who supported the delinquent NGOs quickly mobilized to shut down the commission. One deputy, Taracena, recommended doing away with the obscure and non-transparent mechanisms of non-governmental organizations and contractors currying favor with deputies or deputies creating their own, shadow non-governmental organizations and firms to receive budgetary allocations. “If we pretend to be Puritans, we hide our sins under the table. Better,” he said, “to simply give every deputy Q3.5 million to allocate, and let them spend the money transparently in the municipality or project they desire” (Interview, Dep. Mario Taracena, 6/16/11). 21 20 The commission was created in response to pressure from various NGOs that had been allocated funds through the List of Public Works but had never received the money from the Ministry. 21 The critiques of the Center for International Human Rights (CIIDH) are more damning, “These irregularities indicate that annual allocations are dragged from one fiscal year to the next using administrative agreements, contracts with and reservation of trust funds for non-governmental organizations and international organizations. The management of funds and implementation of public works through these mechanisms evade the Law of Purchases and Contracts; limit the oversight of the Comptroller General and neutralizes the action of control and 34 The Guatemalan public sector is characterized by multiple mechanisms of channeling resources to the politically-connected allies of power-holders. Social funds and trust funds move resources into accounts that are difficult to monitor, and contracts with third parties are written directly into legislative amendments or ministerial budget requests. These mechanisms support a faction of capital dependent on contracts with the state for their accumulation. This pattern of crony capitalism is analogous, but different from the example drawn from El Salvador. In El Salvador, public financial assets were capitalized, privatized and concentrated in the hands of powerful political allies. These actors used their resulting economic and political power to direct policy such that they could regionalize their interests, and subsequently sold off their controlling interests and turned themselves into the shareholders and managers of transnational financial firms operating in El Salvador. Preserving Elite Hegemony in Central America Preserving elite hegemony refers to those efforts made to ensure the social and political dominance of transnational elites. As discussed above, this can include efforts to reframe the social rules and norms that govern interpersonal relationships and understandings, ameliorative policies to coopt or distract potential opponents, and the reorganization or invention of channels of access to political power. State action in this area includes efforts to manage the impacts of market processes on sectors that lose out in international markets. Some countries have sought to protect such sectors, such as the efforts of Costa Rican welfare state policies to decommodify pensions by providing them to urban and now rural workers. . In recent years, a more common practice has been to use social policies to bring people closer to, rather than farther from, market operations. For oversight of the Congress. The use of funds through these schemes is the site of doubts and anomalies, as the money is not executed rapidly and has been discovered to deposit in banks to earn interests” (CIIDH 2006). 35 example, Nicaraguan social policies distributing livestock to poor farmers has sought to provide them access to markets by distributing key inputs that would otherwise lie beyond their reach. Of course, the more sinister side of managing potential opponents is repression, and several countries have shown that this tool remains all too relevant. In Nicaragua, the criminalization of abortion places the female population in a vulnerable position and reasserts the authority of the Catholic Church to regulate life decisions. In Honduras, brutal repression has been directed towards peasants in the Bajo Aguan Valley, where agribusiness interests hope to direct production towards large-scale biofuel production, pushing subsistence peasants and small-farmers from their lands. In Guatemala, indigenous protests over energy increases and constitutional changes have been met with repression, leaving 8 dead and scores wounded when military forces fired on unarmed protestors. The examples drawn below from El Salvador and Honduras show the divergent strategies that can be part of efforts to establish emerging elite hegemony. In El Salvador, a wellarticulated set of institutions coordinate transnational interests within civil society, project them into politics, and secure their access to power through the party system and state institutions. This coordination and projection is exemplified by the ideologically oriented thinktank, FUSADES, and the right-wing political party ARENA, both of which took shape during the civil war. By contrast, in Honduras the emerging transnational elite has remained divided between two patronage oriented parties, sharing space with traditional elites and popular sectors, and securing a route to political power only when traditional patronage institutions can be bypassed at moments of crisis or political stalemate. The Rise and Fall of Hegemony within Salvadoran Civil Society and Politics. 36 In El Salvador, transnational elites emerged during the 1980s civil war as a result of a combination of factors. Among the most important was the violence in the countryside, which forced traditional elites to shift their activities to alternative sectors, where they were joined by rising commercial elites and financial interests. The war itself created a new source of accumulation, as U.S. counterinsurgency support summed more than $4.5 billion in economic and military aid. As the war progressed, business sectors found ways of capturing these funds, diverting them towards their institutions and entities, led especially by the Salvadoran Foundation for Economic and Social Development (FUSADES), formed in 1983. FUSADES and its network of allied foundations received more than $100 million from 1984 to 1992, with $150 million programmed in total (Rosa, 1993: 76-86). FUSADES had the explicit goal of promoting a new national economic model and established an autonomous intellectual unit, named the Department for Economic and Social Study (DEES), which grew rapidly to 250 people in 1991 and counted offices in Miami and New York (Rosa, 1993: 80). In addition, it secured political influence through its Legislative Department, offering development plans to each incoming government beginning in 1989. Starting in that year, members of the FUSADES Executive Committee put themselves forward and won candidacies to the presidency of the country through the ARENA party, and they carried with them FUSADES influence. This included FUSADES members and staff as cabinet ministers and members of the executive bureaucracy. 22 22 One of the first directors of FUSADES who was also the first ARENA president and is once again president of the ARENA party, Alfredo Cristiani, took with him no fewer than seventeen FUSADES allies to fill ministerial and bureaucratic posts. 37 The ARENA election of 1989 signaled the arrival of a state-building agenda oriented towards the interests of transnational elites (Paige, 1997; Wood, 2000; Stanley, 1996). The new president, Alfredo Cristiani, had been a director of FUSADES, and the two subsequent governments of Calderón Sol and Flores drew heavily from its ranks. Instead of the limited state and repressive apparatus that traditional exporters had sustained, ARENA presidents orchestrated a FUSADES agenda that included privatization of public sector assets and close integration with transnational production. This included liberalization of trade and prices and the provision of infrastructure to promote non-traditional exports. When financial sectors expanded in importance, FUSADES emphasized macroeconomic stability and access to credit, objectives institutionalized by dollarization in 2001. ARENA held the presidency from 1989 to 2009 and held an approximately equal share of the legislature as its main competitor, the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) (Gaspar Tapia, 1989; Paniagua Serrano, 2002; Rubio, 1997). This relative balance in the legislature forced ARENA to purchase majorities with the cooptation of smaller “taxi” parties, as the smaller right-wing parties are called – the Christian Democrats (PDC) and the National Conciliation Party (PCN). Both the PDC and the PCN were large enough to provide ARENA with a majority, but small enough to have little to gain in the legislature except patronage. Both parties have limited ideological content, and were willing to vote for ARENA projects in exchange for material benefits for their supporters. A second implication of ARENA’s slim legislative margin was to discourage moderation. With only a slim legislative advantage, ARENA was constantly threatened with the possibility it could lose power. The party and its base behaved as though every election could be their last, 38 and resisted any attempt to soften their stance during elections or to moderate their policy proposals while in office. The policies pursued eventually led to a slowdown in the domestic economy, as Salvadoran exports priced in dollars faced competition from products valued in weaker currencies. Though domestically-based exporters grumbled, they could not defect from the ARENA coalition out of fear it would lead to an FMLN victory. The fourth consecutive ARENA president was their candidate, Tony Saca, who had been president of the Salvadoran Industrial Enterprise Association (ANEP). He represented more domestically-based emerging elites, and he pursued greater investments in domestic infrastructure and incentives to exporters. The financial elite resisted leaving his side until the very end of his presidency, and he skillfully brokered their complaints through ARENA and his office, governing in a more personalist manner than the presidents who had preceded him. Though their truce fell apart in the 2009 election, domestically-based exporters and off-shore financial interests had held together until the end of his administration, capping 20 years in which they advanced a coherent statebuilding agenda (Segovia, 2002: 10-11; Salazar Candál, 1995). 23 The victory of the FMLN in the 2009 election marked the collapse of ARENA dominance and drove a wedge between factions of the capitalist elite backing Saca and his rivals in ARENA. While FUSADES sustains the ideological coherence of transnational interests within civil society, ARENA no longer provides the smooth channel to power that it did over the previous 20 years. The FMLN government has worked to identify elements within the elite amenable to alliances, even as they attempt to renegotiate some elements of the way Salvadoran economic actors fit into the international economy. 23 According to Segovia, “seen in this light, the adjustment did not refer to the promotion of non-traditional exports, but rather to restructure the economy towards strengthening the power of finance capital” (2005: 51). 39 Strategies of Hegemony for a Divided Transnational Elite Efforts to establish hegemony in Honduras look different because transnational elites have remained divided into rival factions, business networks, and political parties. As a result, their efforts to establish political access have required alliances with traditional political elites and popular sector actors within patronage-oriented institutions. Clear channels of access occur only at the moments of stalemate or crisis, when traditional elites are otherwise occupied and transnational elites can work around existing institutions. Honduran business is organized around powerful networks of firms operating in finance, manufacturing, agriculture, other services, and media (Torres Calderon, 2008: 155-158). Though there was a basic agreement on the transnational strategy to be pursued among leading Honduran firms, this did not prevent frequent division and competition. Regional, historical, and familial networks split, and they expressed these splits in political terms, dividing between the two main political parties. Seven of the major families are associated with the Liberal Party (Bueso, Ferrari, Kafati, Rosenthal, Bográn and Villeda Toledo) and five with the Nationalists (Goldstein, Callejas, Kattan, Rivera López, and López Arellano) (Romero, 2008: 107). Members of these same families also served in governments and those who did not directly serve are major financiers of political parties and shapers of public opinion. At the core of the state-building efforts of transnationally oriented elites are like-minded Honduran and international actors. For Jorge Dominguez and his co-authors, these were “technopols,” the politically-minded technocrats who navigated new democracies in the 1980s and 1990s to implement a marketizing agenda in most of Latin America. 24 The mechanism by which collaboration between national and international technopols began was through the 24 Jorge Dominguez coined the term technopols to characterize “the introspection of the thinker with the sociability of the politician” (Dominguez, 1997) 40 Foundation for Research and Business Development (FIDE). From USAID, FIDE received approximately $1 million per year during the 1980s, providing technical support, promoting investment in Honduras, and operating in both Miami and Honduras (Jackson, 2005: 216, 224). By 1989, FIDE also took on the role of financier, administering $9.7 million in loans to both local and foreign investors to establish assembly plants, and is currently managing an $85 million loan from the World Bank and IADB . 25 FIDE has also engaged directly in establishing a supportive environment among business sectors, spending $1.6 million to bring international experts from USAID to promote allying with transnational sectors in Honduras. 26 During the Callejas and Maduro presidencies, 18 FIDE board members, staff or directors served in the agencies important to economic transition, such as the Ministries of Economy, Tourism, and Finance as well state enterprises and regulatory boards for sectors such as energy and water. 27 A USAID evaluation stated that “FIDE had become a highly competent professional institution with influence in Honduras well beyond its small size” (Jackson, 2005: 227). Despite relatively clear dominance of transnational interests within civil society, this did not always translate into political access. Channels into state institutions were monopolized by the two main parties, the Liberal Party (PL) and Nationalist Party (PN), which have dominated politics for the last century. They occupy fairly similar Center-Right ideological positions, and both operate as catch-all parties drawing their greatest support from clientelist bases tied to the parties through patronage. 25 According to Norman Garcia, one of the board members of FIDE, they contracted former Arthur Anderson USAID contractor Carlos Torres to create a consultancy firm, CARANA, which FIDE contacted to lobby USAID to secure permission to act as financier (Interview 5/15/08). 26 Chicago economist Arnold Harberger was brought to Tegucigalpa to build support for the Structural Adjustment Law passed in 1990. Lawyer Richard Bolean, who had been the architect of Mexican industrial parks along the U.S. border, presented the advantages of assembly manufacturing for export to legislators and businessmen. Interview, COHEP, Arturo Alvarado (5/8/08). 27 Interview with FIDE Policy Direct, Teresa Deras (5/14/08) and Director Norman Garcia, (5/18/08). 41 Stable, two-party competition has allowed the party system to avoid rupture. The parties have survived repeated military interventions, including the most recent coup in 2009, military rule from 1973-1982, and 1963-1970. With each return to civilian control, the traditional parties reconfigured themselves to absorb new groups and adapt to transitions to and from military rule (Acker, 1988; Taylor, 1996). Differences between the parties are minor, and when they alternate in power the most significant policy changes that occur are different destinations for patronage (Interview, Leonardo Villeda, National Secretary of Convergence, 02/06/2007). Since 1994, the two traditional parties have averaged over 94 percent of the seats. Other parties win a few seats, and a few small-party deputies demonstrate single-issue leadership, but their most important role is as occasional legislative coalition partner as governing parties failed to win majorities in 2001 and 2005. The parties have limited ideological content and similar relationships to voters, which some trace to similarity in campaign finance, as both parties are “tied to the will of economic actors by flexible but unbreakable bonds, formed by monetary contributions during electoral campaigns” (Meza, et al, 2004). 28 When the two traditional parties cooperate, it is generally to privilege different social bases with patronage, and there are rare occasions for transnational elites to impose a coherent agenda. Such occasions appear at moments of crisis, such as the coup that deposed a president in 2009. The sitting Liberal president, Manuel Zelaya, was removed by the military in an act legitimated by the two parties in the legislature and their nominees in the Supreme Court. The government that succeeded the coup, led by Nationalist Felipe Lobo, has introduced policy and institutional changes long demanded by transnational sectors. 28 The PN, which emerged under 1930s dictator Tiburcio Carias, is perceived as the more Center-Right party of business, while the PL, which had some more social democratic periods in office during the 1960s under Villeda Moraels, is perceived as a slightly more Center-Left party of urban middle and popular sectors (Torres Rivas, 1993; Morris and Wodon, 1984; Del Cid, 1991). 42 On other occasions, the two parties simply stalemate, with internal factionalism weakening their ability to accomplish basic tasks such as selecting candidates and platforms for elections. At such moments, as occurred in the lead-up to the 2001 elections, leave an opening for FIDE and other representatives of transnational elites to introduce their agenda, as they did in 2002 when they passed fiscal reforms to balance the budget and stabilize the economy (Schneider, 2012: 166-169). The contrast between Honduras and El Salvador in terms of transnational elite hegemony shows some of the variations in the ways power is organized in the region. While Salvadoran emerging elites could coordinate their interests within civil society and project them successfully into the state over two decades, they eventually lost their dominance when internal splits and unsuccessful development created an opportunity for the FMLN to win power. In Honduras, while emerging elites have been forced to share political space with traditional elites and popular sectors, they have occasionally worked through or around established political channels to insert their agenda into state policy. Conclusion The previous sections have explored dimensions of state-building under globalization as they have appeared in Central America. The three dimensions explored include expanded accumulation, accumulation by dispossession, and regulation of social and political life. These three dimensions are of particular importance to elites oriented to accumulation within transnational sectors adapted to an integrated form of globalized capitalism. To display some of the variations, particularities, and permutations of state-building under globalization, contrasting examples from the region demonstrate the kinds of differences that can appear in Central America. Central American transnational elites are similar to the 43 transnational interests emerging in other parts of the world, but there are certain limits on what can be done in the small, vulnerable countries of the region. Still, the experience, success, and failures of Central American elite state-building projects shed light on more general statebuilding patterns. The focus on variation across Central America also offers useful contrasts. Despite sharing relatively similar patterns of insertion into international capitalism, the countries of the region have diverged in important ways. These divergences are useful to gain insight into the dimensions of globalization as well as to shed light on processes occurring in each country. This project has not sought a complete description of individual countries, but certain observations are relevant from the comparisons highlighted in the discussion of each dimension. For example, in the first dimension, expanded accumulation, the contrast between Costa Rican upgrading and Honduran tax incentives identifies quite different ways of dealing with the challenge of keep profit margins up. In Costa Rica, the strategy emphasized moving up value chains into more sophisticated outputs, higher productivity process, and high-skill activities. In Honduras, the strategy emphasized cutting costs by providing generous tax incentives, regardless of the technology and skill requirements of production. This is not to argue that these are the only or the overwhelming strategies to expand accumulation in the two countries, still it is noteworthy that such stark differences are evident. The contrast highlighted in the second dimension was also instructive. Accumulation by dispossession has been occurring in both El Salvador and Guatemala, but the factions of capital to have benefited would appear slightly different. In El Salvador, financial sector elites have shepherded a nationalized financial regime into private hands, secured high rates of profit with policies like pension privatization, projected themselves regionally with the help of dollarization, 44 and undertaken a highly lucrative sell-off to international capital. In Guatemala, a crony capitalist faction of capital has found ways to place public resources outside of normal mechanisms of accountability and then dedicated to the contracts and services they provide to the state. This is not to argue that crony capitalism exists only in Guatemala and financial speculation only in El Salvador, but these factions of capital would appear to wield inordinate power in each of these countries. Finally, the third dimension addresses the way emerging elites have adapted political and social life to secure their hegemony. Once again, the two examples show some of the contrasts that emerge from the historical and institutional particularities of each country. In El Salvador, emerging elites have coordinated their interests within civil society through the FUSADES thinktank and channeled their interests into the state through a dominant right-wing party, ARENA. As the interests of nationally-oriented and internationally-oriented capitalists diverged, ARENA has split, and emerging elites are only slowly rearticulating their links to the state now that it is controlled by the FMLN. By contrast, in Honduras emerging elites have remained divided among familial, sectoral, and partisan organizations. To secure access to politics they have had to accommodate the interests of traditional elites and popular sectors within patronage oriented political parties. Their ability to impose a state-building agenda has been limited to moments of crisis or stalemate among traditional interests. 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