The Use of COMS Clear Sky Radiance in NWP Model; CSR Product in Global Forecast Model and Clear Pixel Radiance for Local Forecast Model Jung-rim Lee, Yoonjae Kim, Eunhee Lee, Dong-jun Kim and In-cheol Shin jrleeng@korea.kr Korea Meteorological Administration Impact of New Bias Coefficients WV CSR in Global Forecast Model Operationally assimilated since June 27th, 2013. Use fixed bias coefficients WV CSR product - Central wavelength : 6.75 ㎛ Mean brightness temperature of surrounding (spatial resolution is about 30 km) - Only 100 % clear data is used in the 4DVAR - July, 2013 7x7 clear - December, 2013 (hPa) pixels Monitoring the Bias Mean RMSE Difference (Exp-Ctr), Negative: improvement (m) (m/s) In the northern hemisphere, RMS error reduced in December by applying new bias coefficients, but shows neutral impact in July. Timeseries of C-B upgrade model Percentage Difference of Geopotential Height RMSE, Positive: improvement - Own analysis - Sonde - ECMWF GPH/Verfi. against ECMWF GPH/Verfi. against ECMWF 2 1.5 1 0.5 Global 0 NH -0.5 -1 TR -1.5 SH -2 100hPa +5D 100hPa +4D 100hPa +3D 100hPa +2D 100hPa +1D 200hPa +5D 200hPa +4D 200hPa +3D 200hPa +2D 200hPa +1D 300hPa +5D 300hPa +4D 300hPa +3D 300hPa +2D 300hPa +1D 500hPa +5D 500hPa +4D 500hPa +3D 500hPa +2D 500hPa +1D 850hPa +5D 850hPa +4D 850hPa +3D 850hPa +2D SH 850hPa +1D 100hPa +5D 100hPa +4D 100hPa +3D 100hPa +2D 100hPa +1D 200hPa +5D 200hPa +4D 200hPa +3D 200hPa +2D 200hPa +1D 300hPa +5D 300hPa +4D 300hPa +3D 300hPa +2D 300hPa +1D 500hPa +5D 500hPa +4D 500hPa +3D 500hPa +2D 500hPa +1D 850hPa +5D 850hPa +4D 850hPa +3D 850hPa +2D 850hPa +1D 1000hPa +5D 1000hPa +4D 1000hPa +3D Experiment Using New Bias Coefficients 1000hPa +2D 1000hPa +1D -2 TR 1000hPa +5D C-B is getting larger. Needs for recalculating new bias. NH 1000hPa +4D -1 Global 1000hPa +3D 0 1000hPa +2D 1 1000hPa +1D 2 Overall, applying new bias coefficients made positive impact on forecasting performance except some part of tropics. At least in the northern hemisphere including Asia region, obvious improvements are shown. Couldn’t find any specific trend with the verification results against sonde. Periods: ① July (1~30, 30 days), ② December (9~25, 17 days) Compared with operational model Verification against own analysis, sonde, ECMWF Changes in mean analysis (Exp-Ctr), red circles indicate COMS observation domain Mean RMSE Difference of Geopotential Height, blue: improvement - Geopotential Height (m), red: higher - Relative Humidity (%), red: moisture In the area of COMS observation domain shows positive impact (East Asia and Australia). The positive impacts enhanced over the land. After changing the bias coefficients, GPH become higher as reaching to low level, and, RH changed to be more humid in middle and low levels. Clear Pixel Radiance in Local Forecast Model Summary - Temperature (K) Currently working on the evaluation Calculated bias coefficients using Local Forecast Model Bias exp-op 6 6 6 Local Forecast Model - Spatially 1.5 km, 70 vertical levels (~39km), 3DVAR 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 WV Clear Pixel Radiance - Central wavelength : 6.75 ㎛ - Spatial resolution : about 4 km - 100 % clear, standard deviation surrounding 5x5 pixels < 0.5 K 2 2 2 1 1 1 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 C-B of COMS CSR in KMA’s global forecast model is getting slightly larger since its operation. % difference 0.1 -15 -10 -5 New bias coefficients are calculated, and tested on the model for 1 month. 0 The model analysis got more moisture throughout all vertical levels after changing bias coefficients. 5 - Relative humidity (%) Experiment Method - Period : July, 2013 - Compared with operation (without COMS CSR) Verification against Sonde -3 -2 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 -1 0 1 2 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 -10 -5 Forecasting performance seems improved very much for all forecast time especially in the long term forecast. 0 In the Northern Hemisphere including Asia, and Australia which is in the COMS observation domain, the forecast performance improved a lot. 5 - Geopotential height (m) Overall, the impact of CSR is quite neutral except in the 6-hour forecast of temperature and relative humidity. In the verification of geopotential height, it made the bias lower, and led positive impact in low levels. In the future, optimization works will be carried out. -30 -20 -10 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 18h 2 2 2 12h 1 1 1 0 10 -5 0 5 10 15 -4 -2 36h 30h 24h 6h 0 2 ITSC-19 in Jeju Island, South Korea The use of pixel radiance in the local forecast model is not yet optimized, and more works will be done in KMA.