http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2016.1145571 B research article Coal chemicals: China’s high-carbon clean coal programme? CHI-JEN YANG* Downloaded by [CHI-JEN YANG] at 12:36 29 February 2016 Center on Global Change, Box 90658, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA The Chinese government is promoting several coal conversion technologies as a part of its clean coal action plan. All of these coal conversion technologies have very high carbon footprints. The promoters of high-carbon technologies frequently invoke the possibility of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) to justify high-carbon development. However, apart from two small pilot projects that capture less than 5% of their carbon emissions, none of the other coal-to-chemicals projects incorporate CCS operation. The Chinese government should disqualify the high-carbon coal chemical industry as ‘clean coal’ unless they sequester their carbon emissions. Policy relevance This article discusses a major contradiction in China’s clean energy policy, namely high-carbon development in the name of the low-carbon clean coal policy. Keywords: coal chemical; clean coal; carbon capture and storage (CCS); China Introduction In April 2015, China’s National Energy Administration announced its ‘Action Plan for Clean and Efficient Use of Coal (2015 – 2020)’ as the guiding principles for China’s clean coal policy. The major components of the Action Plan include: (1) increasing the efficiencies of coal-fired power plants; (2) increasing raw coal washing rates; (3) increasing the efficiencies of coal-fired industrial boilers; and (4) demonstrating modern coal chemical industries. The stated purpose of this Action Plan is to construct clean, efficient, low-carbon, safe and sustainable coal-utilization systems. Increasing the efficiencies of coal-fired power plants and boilers will lower their carbon intensities, and washing coal will lower ash content, increase burning efficiencies and therefore reduce carbon emissions. Developing modern coal chemical industries, on the contrary, will greatly increase the carbon footprints in a wide range of industrial activities. High-carbon ‘clean coal’ In China, the term ‘modern coal chemicals’ refers to a group of coal conversion technologies that include coal-to-olefins (i.e. coal – methanol, methanol – olefins), synthetic natural gas and B *Email: cj.y@duke.edu # 2016 Taylor & Francis Downloaded by [CHI-JEN YANG] at 12:36 29 February 2016 2 Yang coal-to-liquids. These modern coal chemicals are typically described as low-carbon, highly efficient clean coal technologies in the Chinese media and government documents (Du & An, 2013; Luo, 2013). Coal-to-olefins processes first produce methanol from coal and then use methanol to synthesize olefins (mainly ethylene and propylene), which are the most versatile feedstock in the chemical industry. Olefins can be made into a wide range of products, including various kinds of plastics, synthetic rubbers, detergents, lubricants and additives. Globally, the most dominant feedstock for manufacturing olefins is naphtha, accounting for roughly half of the global output of olefins, followed by ethane (Yang, 2015b). The development of the coal-to-olefins technology is new and largely limited to China. It is also very carbon intensive. The coal-to-olefins process emits about 5.8 tCO2 for each metric ton of olefins (not including the downstream use of olefins), whereas ethane-to-olefins and naphtha-toolefins emit about 0.78 and 0.93 tCO2 respectively. For the same amount of olefin output, coal-toolefins will emit 7 times more CO2 than naphtha-to-olefins, and 9 times that of ethane-to-olefins (Figure 1) (Ren, Patel, & Blok, 2008; Xiang, Qian, Man, & Yang, 2014). Chinese companies are planning over 45 coal-to-olefins plants by 2019, with total output capacity of over 28 Mt of olefins per year (CCIN, 2015a). However, the Chinese government has become wary of such rush developments and indicated that it may attempt to limit the coal-to-olefins capacity to 15 Mt yr – 1 by 2020 (People’s Daily, 2014). The Chinese coal-to-olefins capacity has been expanding quickly, from almost zero before 2010 to about 12 Mt yr – 1 expected by the end of 2015 (Figure 2) (Anychem, 2015; CCIN, 2015b). The rapid buildup in production capacities suggests that the coal-to-olefins technology has moved beyond the demonstration stage and into widespread deployment. Coal-to-gas, or synthetic natural gas (SNG), emits about 3 times the amount of CO2 than regular natural gas (Figure 3) (Ding, Han, Chai, Yang, & Shen, 2013). Each cubic metre of SNG emits about 7.9 kgCO2 in its full lifecycle, whereas pipeline natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) emit about 2.2 and 2.5 kg respectively. The Chinese government has approved 9 demonstration projects Figure 1 CO2 emissions of olefin production. CLIMATE POLICY Downloaded by [CHI-JEN YANG] at 12:36 29 February 2016 Coal chemicals without CCS is not clean coal 3 Figure 2 Growth of coal-to-olefin capacity in China. with a total capacity of 37.1 billion m3 of natural gas per year (Yang & Jackson, 2013). Owing to the unsuccessful outcomes of the earliest projects and environmental controversies (Yang, 2015a), the enthusiasm for SNG development has waned since 2014. Nevertheless, once built, the SNG plants will probably continue to operate even if they are not profitable (Yang, 2014). Coal-to-liquids (CTL) (synthetic gasoline and diesel) emit roughly 1.5 times to twice as much lifecycle CO2 than petroleum-based gasoline and diesel (Figure 4) (Jaramillo, Griffin, & Matthews, 2008; Figure 3 CO2 emissions from SNG and regular natural gas. CLIMATE POLICY Downloaded by [CHI-JEN YANG] at 12:36 29 February 2016 4 Yang Figure 4 Lifecycle CO2 emissions from coal-based and petroleum-based automotive fuels. Ou, Yan, & Zhang, 2010). For each kilometre travelled, the lifecycle CO2 emissions of CTL are about 280 to 460 g; those of coal-based methanol fuels are about 383 to 520 g, whereas those of petroleum-based gasoline and diesel are about 189 and 216 g respectively. Owing to the low oil prices since 2014, the coal-to-liquid industries are faced with financial difficulties. Nevertheless, Chinese policy makers still aim to increase CTL output to 6.6 Mt yr – 1 by 2020 (People’s Daily, 2014). In addition to coal-based synthetic gasoline and diesel, coal-based methanol is also used as an automotive fuel in China. Since the early 2000s China has been rapidly building a unique coal-based methanol industry (Yang & Jackson, 2012). China has become the world’s largest producer and consumer of methanol, accounting for more than half of the global methanol output. Outside China methanol is predominantly manufactured from natural gas. Coal-based methanol emits about 3.2 times as much CO2 as methanol made from natural gas (Figure 5) (Zhu, Zhang, Zhou, Li, & Hu, 2010). For each metric ton of methanol, the coal-based process emits about 5.3 tCO2, whereas the natural gas-based process emits about 1.7 tCO2 over the full lifecycle. In 2014, China produced 37.4 Mt of methanol, with roughly 80% made from coal (Sxcoal, 2015). Methanol is used as feedstock for making a wide range of chemicals, including formaldehyde, dimethyl ether, acetic acid and olefins, and is also used as automotive fuel in China. Contradictions between potential and reality The advocates for coal chemicals in China often refer to the potential for CCS as a justification for highcarbon projects. However, the only operational CCS projects in China’s coal-to-chemical industries are two small demonstration projects that capture less than 5% of their CO2 emissions. None of the other modern coal chemical projects are built with CCS operations. Invoking the possibility of CCS CLIMATE POLICY Downloaded by [CHI-JEN YANG] at 12:36 29 February 2016 Coal chemicals without CCS is not clean coal 5 Figure 5 Lifecycle CO2 emissions of methanol production from coal and natural gas. without actual implementation has led to a contradiction between China’s proclaimed low-carbon policy and ongoing high-carbon development. In order to stop clean coal from being a misleading ‘greenwash’ label for high-carbon development, the Chinese government should clarify its definition of clean coal. High-carbon coal chemicals should not be qualified as clean coal unless carbon sequestration is incorporated in their production to lower their carbon footprints. ORCID Chi-Jen Yang http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4810-3901 References Anychem. (2014, February 10). Introduction to coal-to-olefins industry. Retrieved from http://coalchem.anychem. com/2014/02/10-2815.html [In Chinese]. CCIN. (2015a, May 15). Olefins: Market divided, how will it go? Retrieved from http://www.ccin.com.cn/ccin/ news/2015/05/15/317278.shtml [In Chinese]. CCIN. (2015b, May 14). How many CTM/MTO projects to build and how to buid them? Retrieved from http://www. ccin.com.cn/ccin/7734/7736/index.shtml [In Chinese]. Ding, Y., Han, W., Chai, Q., Yang, S., & Shen, W. (2013). 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