Paleo Working Group: MTNCLIM 2006 Project updates from 2005 and new initiatives Greg Pederson, Connie Woodhouse, & Franco Biondi Discussion Outline • • • • • Connie Woodhouse: – TreeFlow - Status and Expansion – Paleo Fire - FRAMES and FHAES Greg Pederson: – Update on status of PCVI Franco Biondi: – Status of HEC-HMS model for use in dendrohydrology – New approaches in Dendrohydrology (SEAMOD model) Wally Wolfenden: – High resolution pollen analysis and implications for sustainable forest ecosystem management Open discussion on projects & introduction to new projects… Connie Woodhouse The Colorado TreeFlow web page was designed to make available the reconstructions of streamflow we have been developing in collaboration with water resource managers. It includes: • background information on the project • information on chronologies used • reconstructions, along with data and graphics to evaluate skill • a case study to explain the reconstruction process • links to other resources http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/streamflow/ We are working on expanding this for California, the AZ and NM, and hope to work with others to broaden the geographic scope Connie Woodhouse We need to add 10 new gage reconstructions for the Green, Colorado (Lees Ferry, Cisco), Gunnison, Dolores and San Juan Rivers Gage for which we have reconstructions. Click on list or go to map and click on location to access data and metadata We have begun a series of hand-on technical workshops for water manager that includes topic ranging from field techniques and data treatment, to reconstruction process and applications to water resource management. Workshops have been held in Boulder and Alamosa, Colorado. Another is planned for Tucson in November. Others are tentatively being planned for southern CA and NM. We welcome help with and/or suggestions for workshops at other locations. Connie Woodhouse The Colorado River, A Paleo Perspective, is one of series of Paleo Perspectives educational web page (with Drought, Global Warming, Abrupt Change). This one is currently under development. If you’d like to be a reviewer, we’d love feedback. Contact: Jeff Lukas (lukas@colorado.edu) Connie Woodhouse (connie.woodhouse@noaa.gov) FRAMES is a portalbased resource for Fire Research and Management Fire History is a subject area within FRAMES Connie Woodhouse FHAES is a partner site within the Fire History subject area FHAES is a collaborative effort between scientists at several agencies and institutions to develop on tools for fire history analysis Users can also link to the International Multiproxy Paleofire Database from the Fire History subject area Past Climate Variability and Impacts Clearing House (PCVI) Greg Pederson, Steve Gray, Connie Woodhouse, Todd Kipfer, Lisa Graumlich, Dan Fagre What is the Past Climate Variability and Impacts (PCVI) clearinghouse? It is a database of information that will help the study of climate-ecosystem interactions by providing paleoenvironmental data resources. Past Climate Variability and Impacts Clearing House (PCVI) Greg Pederson, Steve Gray, Connie Woodhouse, Todd Kipfer, Lisa Graumlich, Dan Fagre Objectives - The overarching goal of this NBII paleoenvironmental project is to make paleoclimatic and paleoecological data and information more applicable to state and federal resource/land managers, scientists, and educators. The project will contribute to the understanding and management of biological resources by providing: Web-based access to paleoclimatic and paleoecological data, along with interactive graphing and analysis tools Interpretative information and metadata Links to additional resources and tools A point of contact D L N O O H Web address: http://bsi.montana.edu/web/pcvi/ Contact: gpederson@montana.edu New Approaches In Dendrohydrology Franco Biondi • Past Work: – HEC-HMS model - Army Corps of Engineers • Abandoned due to difficulties in merging data types into complex model (FYI: Greg Pederson interpretation of what he’s heard from Franco. Discuss details with Franco please!) • New Directions: – Using tree-rings to estimate precipitation (strength w/physical connection – Using precipitation reconstructions in GIS based watershed model (SEAMOD) to predict streamflow+ New Approaches In Dendrohydrology Franco Biondi • Traditional Approach & Limitations: – Complex regression models used in direct estimates of streamflow. – No direct physical connection between wood accumulation and streamflow (secondary linkage). – Related Problems: Not easy to test for influence of factors such as watershed topography, channel morphology, vegetation dynamics, and land use. • Strength of New Approach: – Reconstructions are based in physical linkages. – Models are spatial, and sensitivity of reconstructions to changes in watershed characteristics can be tested. – Adds another approach, with different strengths, to reconstruction toolkit. Graduate Student Positions Franco Biondi • 1 Postdoctoral Associate • 1 Lab Technician • 6 Graduate Students (2 PhD & 4 MS) Provide scientific information on the interaction between climate, wildfire regime, and tree population dynamics in pinyon-juniper ecosystems of southcentral Nevada. Special emphasis is placed on annual to decadal time scales for the periods before and after Euro-American settlement. Contact Dr. Franco Biondi: Email: fbiondi@unr.edu High Resolution Pollen Analysis & Ecosystem Management Wally Wolfenden High Resolution Pollen Analysis & Ecosystem Management Project: Vegetation History of the North Fork Pine Creek DrainageBasin, Inyo National Forest Project Leader: Wallace B. Woolfenden, Ph.D. Partners: Dr. Owen K. Davis Consulting and data sharing: Dr. Doug Clark and Nicole Bowerman, Goal: High-resolution pollen analysis is to be used to document the long-term montane vegetation dynamics of the southern Sierra Nevada in order to help understand the response of vegetation to climate change at various time scales. This proposed study is applicable to the problem areas of global change and sustainable forest ecosystem management. The approach is interdisciplinary in that analysis involves pollen analysis, plant ecology, landscape ecology, sedimentology, fluvial geomorphology, climatology, history and land management. For more Information Contact Wally: wwoolfenden@fs.fed.us Paleo Working Group: MTNCLIM 2006 Open Discussion • New Projects • Contributions • Funding Opportunities Legal Disclaimer: The discussion herein regarding the work of those who could not attend (i.e.. Connie Woodhouse, Franco Biondi, and Wally Wolfenden) does not necessarily represent either their own perceptions of their research, or what they would have discussed if present. I am not liable for distortion of facts. Please contact project leaders with specific questions or potential collaborations.