ECONOMIC VALUATION OF THE TAMPA BAY ESTUARY OBJECTIVE What will study accomplish? Determine impact that the bay has on the total Tampa Bay Economy. Determine the impacts that a clean or healthy bay has on the total TB Economy How? Using REMI Model, determine impact of each sector to total economy Determine bay impact to each industry Aggregate Bay Dependent Industries to determine percentage to total economy Case Studies to demonstrate value GEOGRAPHY TBEP Watershed Includes parts of 6 counties Touches Sarasota Bay Estuary Employment of 1 .4 million INDUSTRY SECTORS Tampa Bay Industries Healthcare Media/Publishing Internet/Data Financial Admin/Support Manufacturing Utilities Transportation Construction Retail Trade Real Estate Forestry Fishing Oil and Gas Wholesale Trade Sightseeing Tampa Bay Dependent Industries BAY DEPENDENT INDUSTRY SECTORS Tampa Bay Dependent Industries Oil and Gas Utilities Waste Remed Federal Military Transportation Construction Recreation Waste Mgmt Forestry Fishing Sightseeing Accommodations Real Estate Retail Trade Food Services Museums Healthy Bay Dependent Industries METHODOLOGY QCEW Geo Data Direct, Indirect, and Induced Employment Income GDP Output EMPLOYMENT GEOGRAPHY Six County NonWatershed, 32% TBEP Watershed, 68% EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION BY INDUSTRY Farm Other Services Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Government Wholesale trade Accomodation and Food Services Arts and Entertainment Retail trade Educational, Healthcare, and Social Transportation and Warehousing Information and Media Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Admin and Waste Services Management of Companies Professional, Scientific, and Technical EMPLOYMENT WITHIN TBEP WATERSHED Industry Employment and Wages $120,000 $100,000 Management of Companies $80,000 Utilities Mining Information and Media Professional, Scientific, and Technical Wholesale trade $60,000 Finance and Insurance Manufacturing Transportation and Warehousing $40,000 Construction Educational, Healthcare, and Social Real Estate and Leasing Government Arts and Entertainment Other Services $20,000 Retail trade Admin and Waste Services Farm Accomodation and Food Services $0 SURVEY INPUT Surveyed 76 Industry, Economic, or Environmental af filiated professionals Solicited their opinion on what percent of each industry was dependent upon a bay, regardless of condition, or a healthy bay Economy was separated into 23 Sectors SURVEY RESULTS BY INDUSTRY 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Bay Influenced Healthy Bay WATERSHED VS BAY INFLUENCED VS HEALTHY BAY Watershed Employment Distribution 1.4 million employees total Bay Influenced 660, 094 The 47% Healthy Bay, 291,450 21% Non Bay Influenced 757,031 53% WATERSHED BREAKDOWN BY EMPLOYMENT 800,000 774,552 700,000 359,722 158,254 429,149 198,625 600,000 87,055 500,000 400,000 109,720 59,484 52,611 300,000 24,796 39,102 27,974 18,735 200,000 11,555 8,662 5,125 2,430 1,131 100,000 - Hillsborough Manatee TBEP Employment Pasco Pinellas Bay Influenced Employment Polk Healthy Bay Sarasota ECONOMIC SUMMARY 6 County Total TBEP Watershed Employment 2 Million 1.4 Million 68% of Employment GDP $170 B Bay Influenced Healthy Bay 660,000 300,000 Every other job in the TBEP watershed 1 out of every 5 jobs in the TBEP is influenced by the bay in some Watershed depend on a healthy capacity bay $51 B within all 6 counties $22 B within all six counties 1/3 of economy for all six counties 13% of economy for all six counties CASE STUDIES Real World Examples Sample sized, but impacts are regionally Real Estate Ecosystem Services Service Premiums REAL ESTATE Analyzed 13 segments in 6 dif ferent cities spanning 3 counties Apollo Beach Palmetto Bahama Shores (St Petersburg) Shore Acres (St Petersburg) Coffee Pot Bayou (St Petersburg) Tierra Verde Safety Harbor Oldsmar Davis Island (Tampa) Westshore (Tampa) Bayshore (Tampa) Seminole Heights Compared proper ty values and ad valorem of water front vs non water front homes REAL ESTATE PRELIMINARY SUMMARY • Hillsborough County Averages • Almost 1,000 homes analyzed • Try to find the premium waterfront properties have over nearby properties in the same vicinity County Median Non Waterfront Case Study Waterfront Case Study Premium Percentage (WF vs Non WF) $ 101,486 $ 383,547 $ 852,397 222% $ 21,600 $ 169,578 $ 460,757 272% Avg Sq Ft 1,877 2,937 4,002 136% $ Per Sq Ft $ 54 $ 131 $ 213 163% Avg Property Value Avg Land Value ECOSYSTEM SERVICES What are potential pecuniary benefits of the ecosystem processes provided by bay estuary habitats? (in this case primarily sea grasses ) One benefit is denitrification OR reducing the need for additional wastewater treatment to reduce nitrogen in the bay. VALUE OF DENITRIFICATION Less = Conservatively $24 Million is saved annually in avoided wastewater treatment costs to reduce nitrogen levels in the bay. 30.00 28.00 26.00 24.00 22.00 20.00 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 600 500 400 300 200 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 More For Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Pasco Counties, this results in an economic impact of 478 jobs, $223 Million in personal income, and $206 Million gross regional product over a ten year period. Gross Domestic Product ($Mil) Personal Income ($Mil) Jobs SERVICE PREMIUMS Quantify premiums Bay related businesses pass on to customers Food Services Compare entrée prices from similar restaurants located on water vs inland Ensure restaurants are in the same class Accommodations Compare room nights and occupancy of similar hotels located on water vs inland Determine impact on sales tax and bed taxes collected THANK YOU Contact me with any questions The Report will be posted on the Council’s website soon Avera Wynne avera@tbrpc.org