(Interconnection Module Lectures #2 & #3) Challenges for Convergence: Interconnection William Lehr ESD 68 : Communications and Information Policy Massachusetts Institute of Technology April 4 & 6, 2006 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection Lecture Outline q q q q q Examples of interconnection in telecoms Why regulate interconnection? Basic economics of interconnection Goals of interconnection regulation Current models for interconnection Ÿ Cost-based pricing Ÿ Negotiated pricing (reciprocal compensation) Ÿ Bill and Keep 2 ©Lehr, 2006 Readings q q q Sicker, Douglas (2002), "Further Defining a Layered Model for Telecommunications Policy," draft mimeo, October 2002. DeGraba, Patrick, “Bill and Keep at the Central Office As the Efficient Interconnection Regime,” OPP Working Paper Series No. 33, Federal Communications Commission, December 2000. Kende, Michael “The Digital Handshake: Connecting Internet Backbones,” OPP Working Paper Series No. 32, Federal Communications Commission, 2000. 3 ©Lehr, 2006 What is interconnection issue? q q Two (or more) networks exchange traffic, they need to be interconnected. Ÿ Physical point(s) of interconnection Ÿ Technical/operational issues Ÿ Commercial relationship: who pays what? Why problem for convergence? Ÿ From silos è platforms Ÿ Regulation still based on silos 4 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection & Access Pricing (Theory) q q One way access: Ÿ Incumbent sells essential input to entrant Ÿ Incumbent could be vertically integrated or not (does incumbent compete in retail market with entrant?) Ÿ e.g., Local loop unbundling Two way access: Ÿ Network interconnection problem Ÿ Reciprocal needs to terminate traffic Ÿ One or both could have market power Ÿ e.g., Internet peering or transit, mobile/wireline network interconnection charges, international settlements 5 ©Lehr, 2006 Telephone Network: a network of networks Distribution & Feeder A A-B Local call A-C LD call LD POP B Local switch Long Distance Network Local switch Local Transport Local switch Local switch LD Access LD POP Single carrier network or multiple networks? Which party pays: Calling party or both? ©Lehr, 2006 C 6 The Communications Landscape T-1 Line DLC Class 5 Switch LAN DLC Analog Modem Users WAN DSL Modem Users Cable Head End DSLAM Cellular Base Station Cable Modem User ACCESS Customer Premises Figure by MIT OCW. 7 ©Lehr, 2006 A more realistic picture User User User User User User Little ISP Little ISP Corp Campus Backbone (big ISP) User Backbone (big ISP) Backbone (big ISP) User from Dave Clark’s Lecture… ©Lehr, 2006 User User Little ISP The ISP lives here.. The ISP does not live at the end-points. User 8 Interconnection Models Network A retail Network B retail wholesale e.g., International LD, Local/LD, Mobile/wireline Network C wholesale Network D retail e.g., LD/LD, Local/Local, Mobile/mobile, Internet backbone 9 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection Models Network A retail Network B wholesale Network C wholesale retail e.g., Multihop routing. B is transit network Network B Network A Network C retail retail Network D e.g., Multilateral peering point 10 ©Lehr, 2006 Current models for interconnection q Examples: Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ q International settlements: negotiated rates for terminating calls. May not be symmetric, generally well above costs. Long distance pay per minute access charges for local termination. VoIP calls avoid charges Internet peering using “bill and keep” Different prices for similar situations: inefficient pricing 11 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection Models q q q q q ©Lehr, 2006 Technology of networks: same or different? Ÿ Wireline/wireline, wireline/wireless, packet/circuit, etc. Type of traffic? (e.g., Web browsing vs. telephone call) Ÿ Balanced or asymmetric flows? Ÿ QoS needs: delay sensitivity? BER sensitivity? Size of networks: same or different? National or international? Regulated or negotiated? Different costs, business relationships, and regulatory treatment. Not a problem when telcos were regulated monopolies… 12 Elements of Interconnection Agreement q q q q Scope and Purpose of Interconnection Ÿ Who are parties? Ÿ Types of traffic? Networks? Architecture? Ÿ Points of Interconnection Quality of Service and technical specifications Ÿ Quality of service and performance standards Ÿ Technical interconnection specs and capacity Ÿ Infrastructure sharing, collocation Ÿ Traffic measurement and routing Billing and payment terms Ÿ Pricing Enforcement/Dispute Resolution 13 ©Lehr, 2006 Why regulate interconnection? q Promote interconnection: larger networks more valuable Ÿ Positive network externalities • Scale & Scope economies à lower costs • Complementary goods à more choice • More people to call (subscriber externality) q q Coordinate interoperability à standards Control market power Ÿ Promote competition à facilitate entry Ÿ Protect consumers from monopoly power 14 ©Lehr, 2006 Challenge of Regulating Interconnection q Promoting “interconnection” à easy when regulated end-to-end monopoly Ÿ International is negotiated bilateral/multilateral treaty (trade issue) Ÿ Interconnection rates include implicit subsidies, but lots of other regulatory levers to address distortions • Control of “rate base” monitors investment • Retail rate regulation protects consumers Ÿ q q Silos minimize challenge of cross-platform interconnection But, Convergence à Telecom becomes a “network of networks” Ÿ Traffic passes between networks owned/operated by different carriers, or across regulatory boundaries. Ÿ Need physical point(s) of interconnection and business rules (pricing, QoS) to exchange traffic. And, Competition à Transition to wholesale regulation Ÿ Interconnection is a “wholesale market” Ÿ Between carriers, services are ingredient to a retail service 15 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection and Market power q Interconnection rates set to exploit/leverage market power Ÿ Originating monopoly problem • Is their competition for subscribers? If so, then competition assures originating carrier cannot extract surplus rents. – Switching costs (e.g., incomplete information re: alternatives – pay phones; lack of address portability – email addresses, etc.) – International mobile roaming – MCI “Friends & Family”: discriminate between on-net and off-net calls • No? Then access a bottleneck. Ÿ Terminating monopoly problem • Only one path to terminate • Subscribers care more about what they pay than what those who call them pay • Incentive for terminating network to set high fees 16 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection and Market Power q q q q Incentives to interconnect? Ÿ Network externalities: larger network more valuable Ÿ No market power, providers interconnect to increase value of both networks Ÿ Competition for subscribers (which network to join?) If market power, then may seek to abuse interconnection Ÿ Natural monopoly, scarce resource, or first-mover advantage Ÿ Incumbent w/ large network has market power relative to smaller (newer) networks Ÿ Collusion: bilateral setting of high rates (international settlements, mobile roaming) Modes of abuse Ÿ Denial of access: foreclose competition Ÿ Discriminatory access: inferior access to 3rd parties relative to affiliated subsidiary Ÿ Monopoly pricing: price access significantly above cost Regulatory response Ÿ Common Carriage à non-discriminatory access and interconnection obligation Ÿ Mandatory unbundling and interconnection Ÿ Price and terms of interconnection regulated Ÿ Line of business restrictions (preclude retail entry) 17 ©Lehr, 2006 Regulating Carrier Interconnection q q Regulating both retail and wholesale rates problematic What price to set for interconnection? Ÿ Efficiency: P=Incremental cost of termination • Economic (forward-looking), not accounting costs. • Costs of network “access” recovered on originating end (unbundling) Ÿ Wholsale rate > cost à arbitrage, inefficient bypass (distort investment) • Historically, interconnection prices include subsidies (for universal service, for non-traffic sensitive “access” costs, etc.) q Who sets rate? Ÿ Regulators: Expensive proceedings to set cost-based rates • Contribution to shared/common costs? Implicit subsidies? Ÿ Markets: Arbitrage enforces “Law of One Price” • International Bypass, Voice-over-IP Ÿ Negotiated: mandate “reciprocal compensation” • OK if costs symmetric, but what if not? Mobile v. Wired. Traffic asymmetric. q Which party pays? Ÿ Calling (Sending) party pays: problem of mobile termination Ÿ “Bill and Keep” 18 ©Lehr, 2006 Unified Carrier Compensation Scheme q q q q Drivers: Ÿ Convergence: symmetric regulation Ÿ Liberalization: markets not regulation Ÿ Globalization: promote free trade (e.g., WTO) FCC Unified Intercarrier comp regime (2001): Bill & Keep? European Commission: Interconnection directive Ÿ Competitive markets: allow flexible negotiation Ÿ When competition lacking, regulators may enforce interconnection, which includes rate setting Ÿ Symmetric rules One size fits all?? 19 ©Lehr, 2006 Calling party pays q Calling party pays incremental cost of termination Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ q Reciprocal compensation Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ q q Doesn’t address call externality (value called party) Good incentive for quality of service when terminating Vulnerable to terminating monopoly problem Vulnerable to monopoly leveraging if market power Technology same Negotiated termination fees, but requirement for reciprocal rates reduces bargaining power of incumbent e.g., debate over ISP Reciprocal Compensation in U.S. Incentives to collude? (mobile roaming) Implications for retail rate regulation? 20 ©Lehr, 2006 Bill and Keep q q q Recover all costs from network’s own subscribers Ÿ Wholesale rate for interconnection = 0 Ÿ Carriers each pay own costs for interconnection Used in Internet backbone. Could be used more generally. Benefits? Ÿ Simple to implement. No inter-carrier fees paid. Ÿ Deregulatory: no longer need to set prices for termination. Ÿ Efficient if: • Costs of termination symmetric & traffic balanced à net payment~0 anyway. • Costs termination close to zero q Issues: Ÿ Hot potato routing Ÿ Asymmetric costs/values (e.g., mobile/wireline) Ÿ Asymmetric traffic (Web browsing, streaming media) Ÿ Incentive to terminate with high quality? (Free riding) 21 ©Lehr, 2006 Interconnection Tussle q q Issues/Perspectives Ÿ Efficient pricing: usage v. flat rate charges, elimination of implicit subsidies Ÿ Market power? (Terminating or originating monopoly) Ÿ VoIP? Ÿ Usage v. Flat rate charges? Ÿ Jurisdiction? Stakeholders: Ÿ Rural Telcos à high rates, retain subsidies, regulate VoIP Ÿ ILECs à move usage subsidies into SLC, move to BnK Ÿ CLECs à competitive neutrality (cost-based), reciprocal comp Ÿ States à retain state autonomy to set local/intrastate rates Ÿ FCC à BnK to simplify and increase cross-platform competition 22 ©Lehr, 2006 Additional Slides ©Lehr, 2006 Costs of terminating traffic q Economic not accounting (historic) Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Resources priced at opportunity cost Forward-looking: ignore sunk/history irrelevant Incremental: short-run or long-run? • Short-run: take capacity as fixed. Exclude fixed/sunk. – Marginal costs = dTC/dq • Long-run: investment in capacity. – Long-run Incremental Cost (LRIC) Ÿ q How to estimate? Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ q • Exclude costs already recovered in access (origination) Per minute (switching), per call (set-up), per month (capacity)? Market data (comparables?) Engineering cost models Accounting data, adjusted to reflect productivity gains Costs variable? e.g., Hot potato routing. 24 ©Lehr, 2006 Externalities q q q Externality: benefits (or costs) imposed on others as result of individuals actions. Ÿ Prices which do not reflect all benefits (costs) result in too little (too much) usage Ÿ Examples: pollution, traffic jams, spectrum interference Solution: internalize the externality so individual cost/benefit reflects all impacts Ÿ Example: pollution fines, road tolls, spectrum fees Relevant examples for interconnection Ÿ Network (“subscriber”) externality (positive) Ÿ Calling externality (positive) Ÿ Congestion externality (negative) 25 ©Lehr, 2006 Network Externality q q q q Bigger network more valuable. Impact positive. Ÿ Direct: expanded connectivity. More options for calling. Ÿ Indirect: more complementary goods, lower costs Subscriber externality Ÿ Early adopters convey benefit on later (justify penetration pricing?) Ÿ Diminishing marginal returns Examples: Universal service, Microsoft Windows, Internet Should small network pay more when connecting to big network? 26 ©Lehr, 2006 Calling Party Externality q q q q q Both called and calling party benefit from call Typically only calling party pays: makes fewer calls than optimal Costs of terminating calls may not be symmetric Ÿ e.g., Mobile to wireline, Web browsing Ÿ Origination vs. termination (e.g., switch usage) Ÿ Not always positive: SPAM Solutions: Ÿ Both parties pay (in US, mobile caller and called party pay) Ÿ Inter-temporal alternating direction of origination Ÿ Flat rate billing Should called and calling party pay? Metering/privacy? 27 ©Lehr, 2006 Congestion externality q q Caller’s traffic slows down everyone else’s traffic when network congested. Delay imposed on other’s is ignored by sender. Solutions: Ÿ Congestion pricing: internalize externality Ÿ Peak-load pricing: time varying prices (e.g., time of day tariffs) 28 ©Lehr, 2006 Arbitrage q q q “Law of One Price” Ÿ Close substitutes ought to have similar prices. Ÿ Buy one and sell other. Examples: Ÿ Call-back in International Telephone Ÿ VoIP to avoid telephone charges Ÿ Reciprocal Comp: ISPs and CLECs in US Is it efficient? Ÿ Forces prices in line with costs (e.g., financial markets) Ÿ Makes difficult to sustain regulatory subsidies 29 ©Lehr, 2006