FORM VS. FUNCTION: PROSPECTS FOR GLOBAL CONVERGENCE IN CORPORATE GOVERNANCE REGIMES Jonathan C. Bond‡ 1. INTRODUCTION At the intersection of two crucial threads of the economics of transition literature—legal reform, and restructuring via privatisation—lies the same phenomenon which has vexed and divided the leading lights of the mainstream economics and management disciplines for decades. This puzzle is the nature and future of global corporate governance, a conundrum which, despite its deceptive appearance of simplicity, remains at the centre of a heated debate which transcends disciplinary boundaries and which has only grown more intense with time. The persisting diversity of corporate governance regimes in polities around the globe begs a number of questions: Why did the distinctive German-Japanese and Anglo-American paradigms arise? What is preserving them now, and how long will the divergence continue? Will the Anglo-American perspective eventually come to dominate its opponents? Perhaps most controversial of all, which system, if any, ought to dominate on efficiency or on normative grounds? ‡ M.Sc. candidate (Public Policy), School of Public Policy, University College London (expected November 2005); 2004/05 US-UK J. William Fulbright Postgraduate Scholar. Contact with questions/comments: jonathan@jonathancbond.com. I wish to thank the UK Fulbright Commission (London) for funding and other support. I am also grateful to Prof. Tomasz Mickewicz (School of Slavonic and Eastern European Studies, UCL) for his patient guidance and insightful suggestions, Prof. David Coen (School of Public Policy, UCL) for his persistent encouragement, as well as two anonymous referees for their helpful comments. Responsibility for all remaining errors is solely my own. INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW, vol. I, no. 1 (September 2005): 93-110. [ISSN 1748-5207] © 2005 by The School of Public Policy, University College London, London, United Kingdom. All rights reserved. 93 94 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW In their now-classic survey of corporate governance around the world, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny endeavoured to disarm those who dispute the prospects of international convergence and/or the comparative merits of the two dominant paradigms of corporate governance—the dispersedownership, shareholder-driven Anglo-American model or the concentratedownership, bank-centred German-Japanese template.1 The defining feature of a system of corporate governance is not the way it is dressed up, but what it accomplishes: so long as it provides an effective mechanism, legal or otherwise, to protector investors’ holdings and thus foments efficient allocation of invested savings.2 Such a theory would seem to pre-empt the entire debate over whether the extant systems of corporate governance should or will converge. Yet the debate rages on. And well it should, for a number of reasons. After first identifying why the question of the future of corporate governance ought to remain at centre-stage, this essay will proceed by: first, sketching out the essentials of the global convergence-divergence debate as it has been framed in the economics and legal literature; second, exploring the underlying forces which each side of the dispute has tried to account for; and finally, by evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of one of the most novel approaches in the literature—the ‘functional convergence’ hypothesis. It will be argued that this functional theory of corporate governance, and the view of the future it generates, offers on balance the most comprehensive and persuasive perspective on corporate governance’s prospects as well as its past. 2. WHY CONVERGENCE MATTERS Given Shleifer and Vishny’s aforementioned observation, however, why should comparison or progressive global convergence between differing governance regimes be of interest? Seven reasons suggest themselves. First, many discount or even deny the validity of Shleifer and Vishny’s proposition.3 1 A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny, “A survey of corporate governance,” Journal of Finance 52, no. 2 (June 1997): pp. 737-783. Other ways of characterising the distinction include that noted by R. Morck, and L. Steier, “The global history of corporate governance: an introduction,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #11062 (2005). In Morck and Steier’s work, the Anglo-American system is identified as an “exit”-based system of governance (i.e. dispersed, small-stake shareholders vote ‘with their feet’ as it were), while the German-Japanese model (and particular extensions of it, such as the principle of ‘codetermination’ in France and Germany) is identified as “voice”-based (i.e. bank shareholders, as well as customers, suppliers, and employee groups each hold stable stakes in a given firm—upon which they do not seek to gain from speculation, but rather as a means to remain informed and to have a channel by which to express their interests and concerns directly to the firm’s management). Ibid., pp. 3-4. 2 Shleifer and Vishny, “A survey,” p. 739. 3 See, e.g., B. McDonnell, “Convergence in corporate governance: possible, but not desirable,” Villanova Law Review 47 (2002): pp. 341-385.. McDonnell also notes his reservations VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 95 Second, the assertion of the two dominant systems’ relative equivalence fails to explain why they arose and persisted.4 Third, these continuing differences have important consequences for ownership structure—a point which Shleifer and Vishny themselves helped to bring to light in their work with La Porta and Lopez-de-Silanes,5 which in turn affects aspects from firm performance to corporate responsiveness to stakeholders. Fourth, equivalence in the abstract is far removed from context-specific operation. In other words, for a multitude of reasons—from institutional environment to cultural adaptiveness—one system may prove far superior in a given scenario.6 Fifth, even if Shleifer and Vishny are correct and the systems are in some broad sense equivalent, the mechanisms by which the two paradigms converge or remain divergent may be instructive for other similar areas of regional and global public policy, such as pan-EU and transatlantic securities and exchange harmonization. Sixth, the literature on the past and future of corporate governance has splintered in too many ways to be of no concern: rightly or wrongly, much has been attached to the debate, and thus much now hinges on its outcome. Finally, as indicated at the outset, corporate governance and its prospects lie right at the heart of the economics of transition and development. Both legal reform and corporate restructuring through privatisation are all closely connected via the same fundamental principalconcerning the extended work of La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny, whom he refers to as the “Gang of Four.” 4 S. Jacoby, “Corporate governance in comparative perspective: prospects for convergence,” Comparative Labor Law and Policy Journal 22 (2000): pp. 5-32. 5 R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes, and A. Shleifer, “Corporate ownership around the world,” Journal of Finance 54, no. 2 (April 1999): pp. 471-517; R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny, “Legal determinants of external finance,” Journal of Finance 52, no. 3 (1997): pp. 1131-1150; R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny, “Law and finance,” Journal of Political Economy 106, no. 6 (December 1998): pp. 1113-1155. R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny, “Investor protection and corporate governance,” Journal of Financial Economics 58 (2000): pp. 3-27; see also Morck and Steier, “The global history,” pp. 2-4. [Following the convention in the literature (to which McDonnell’s appellation is the exception; see note 3 supra), the collective work of these four authors will be referred to as “LLSV”. See M. Ayyagari, “Does cross-listing lead to functional convergence?: Empirical evidence,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper #3264 (April 2004), p. 1.] Specifically, though the literature as a whole does not yield a complete consensus on the determinants of dispersed vs. concentrated ownership are, LLSV have persuasively established the link between Anglo-American and common law systems with dispersed ownership, and vice versa. See LLSV, “Legal determinants,”; LLSV, “Law and finance,”; LLSV, “Investor protection.” McDonnell, once again, disagrees with LLSV’s attribution of causality. See McDonnell, op cit., at note 38. 6 M. Guillen, Corporate governance and globalization: arguments and evidence against convergence. Reginald H. Jones Center Working Paper [no number available], The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania (1999). This is the heart of the complementarities/pathdependency argument which has filled so much of the literature. This is discussed in much greater depth below. 96 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW agent dilemma. Moreover, the aspects described above are amplified in a transition or development context.7 3. A DEBATE IN DISARRAY Despite the critical importance of the issue of corporate governance and its future, the debate which has developed especially in the last fifteen years now sits in an unfortunate state. Participants from all sides acknowledge (and lament) the degree to which the dispute has remained one of theory, opinion, and often mere conjecture rather than robust empirical inquiry.8 Specifically, there is precious little hard evidence testifying to the actual convergence of legal rules or the absence of such convergence. In fairness, some noteworthy empirical results have been gathered—again, most notably in the area of legal transformation in transitioning economies.9 For example, in her study of the change in legal regimes in twenty-four transition countries from 1990 to 1998, Katharina Pistor identifies a very strong trend of convergence toward the Anglo-American model of corporate law, regardless of the legal family to which each country belonged prior to the imposition of socialism.10 As Pistor acknowledges, much of this convergence is “largely the result of an external supply of legal solutions,”11 and yet this explanation is not incompatible with the general convergence thesis. Additionally, whether as a cause or effect of the generally poor state of empirical investigation to-date (with the exception of Pistor’s study, supra), the debate is inundated by myriad theories (and variations upon those theories) of how the paths diverged and where they are now headed. Brett McDonnell, for instance, offers a typology of sixteen past-present theory pairs, A. Durnev, and E. H. Kim, “To steal or not to steal: firm attributes, legal environment and valuation,” University of Michigan-Ann Arbor Working Paper [no number available] (2002). 8 The most vitriolic expression in this vein is that offered by D. Branson, “The very uncertain prospect of ‘global’ convergence in corporate governance,” Cornell International Law Journal 34 (2001): pp. 321-362. Arguing vehemently against the convergence hypothesis in all its forms (including Coffee’s functional convergence theory, which Branson appears to entirely misunderstand; see Branson, “The very uncertain,” pp. 329), Branson declares that his opponents are guilty of “pontificating” without any appeal to evidence, and rather cite their own prior work as sufficient authority. Branson goes on to assert that aside from quoting themselves, such authors cooperatively quote one another in what he terms “inbred scholarship.” Ironically, Branson himself makes no appeal to empirical evidence. Ibid., pp. 332-34. 9 “Transitioning countries” here refers to the successor states of both the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and soviet-type regimes in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) 10 K. Pistor, “Patterns of legal change: shareholder and creditor rights in transition economies,” European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Working Paper #49 (May 2000), pp. 21-22. 11 Ibid., p. 27. 7 VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 97 and yet even this is far from a complete representation of the landscape.12 McDonnell’s typology aside, the core of the debate is on its face a five-way contest between: those stressing neoclassical efficiency and institutional competition,13 those emphasising rent-seeking by politicians and other key actors,14 scholars focused on path-dependency and static complementarities between governance and institutional environment,15 others stressing the importance of culture,16 and finally those who argue that convergence should be seen (and forecast) in functional, as opposed to formal, terms.17 4. WHAT LIES BENEATH: FORCES OF CONVERGENCE AND DIVERGENCE Beneath all the nomenclature, however, each of the positions championed in the debate over convergence in corporate governance merely reflects each author’s attempt to portray the balance which is or will be struck between the pressure toward convergence and the barriers against it. In short, the debate has become a question of emphasis or weighting the forces which interact, not a contest between mutually exclusive alternatives. Thus, before one can understand both where the debate stands today and which position is comparatively superior, one must first understand the forces which nearly all the contestants agree are at work. To that end, both the pressures pushing in McDonnell’s typology is helpful to a point, though (as noted supra) it patently fails in its chief purpose of representing the range of perspectives one could logically hold concerning corporate governance. See Tables 1 and 2 in the Appendix, infra, for a reconstruction of his typology. Among other things, McDonnell entirely fails to account in his systematization for the entire concept of functional convergence; accounting for this could easily multiply his entire outcome range by a factor of two, if not much more. McDonnell himself argues that the combination of P3:F3 in his Table 2 is the most likely pairing. 13 See, e.g., H. Hansmann, and R. Kraakman R., “The end of history for corporate law,” Georgetown Law Journal 89 (2001), pp. 439-468. 14 See, e.g., M. Roe, “A political theory of American corporate finance,” Columbia Law Review 91 (1991), pp. 10-67; M. Roe, “Some differences in corporate structure in Germany, Japan, and the United States,” Yale Law Journal 102 (1993), pp. 1927-1997. 15 See, e.g., L. Bebchuk, and M. Roe, “A theory of path dependence in corporate ownership and governance,” Stanford Law Review 52 (1999), pp. 127-170. 16 Branson, “The very uncertain.” 17 J.C. Coffee, Jr., “The future as history: the prospects for global converge in corporate governance and its implications,” Northwestern University Law Review 93 (1999): pp. 641-706; J.C. Coffee, Jr., “The rise of dispersed ownership: the roles of law and the state in the separation of ownership and control,” Yale Law Journal 111 (2001): pp. 1-82; J.C. Coffee, Jr., “Racing towards the top?: The impact of cross-listings and stock market competition on international corporate governance,” Columbia Law Journal 102 (2002): pp. 1757-1831; J.C. Coffee, Jr., “Law and regulatory competition: can they co-exist?,” Texas Law Review 80 (2002): pp. 1729-1736. R. Gilson, “Corporate governance and economic efficiency: when do institutions matter?,” Washington University Law Quarterly 74 (1996): pp. 327-345; R. Gilson, “Globalizing corporate governance: convergence of form or function,” American Journal of Comparative Law 49 (2001): pp. 329-357. 12 98 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW favour of convergence and the forces preserving divergence will be enumerated and illustrated before the landscape of the present debate is portrayed in greater detail. Why should one expect corporate governance practices around the world to converge in the first place? The strongest answer is also the most obvious: economic efficiency. The conventional (if stylised) argument runs as follows: First, competitive pressure operates at the level of the firm with respect to its suppliers of external finance. There exists, ex hypothesi, some optimal package (given some array of investor preferences, etc.) of residual claim rights and control rights which firm managers will yield to investors, and thus competitive pressure will pull all firms which survive to this optimal package.18 Firms which fail to conform to the optimal level will face higher costs of finance and will thus, ceteris paribus, be forced out of the marketplace.19 Increasing mobility of capital and plummeting costs of communication mean that this abstract model applies, it is argued, on a global scale, such that investors will have their choice of rights packages offered by firms soliciting capital. An important objection immediately arises, however: the foregoing simplistic scenario assumes (arguendo) that firms are the only actors who directly choose which governance practices will apply to their relationships with their suppliers of external finance, but clearly this is untrue in the real world. Instead, continues the objection, corporate governance is intricately controlled in any given polity by a web of government, quasi-government, and private actors above and beyond the firm and its investor. Thus, if corporate governance is a matter of law, not merely of what rituals businesses privately observe, how does efficiency yield convergence? Proponents of convergence offer several responses. First, explicit, deliberate efforts by any of the aforementioned involved actors to ‘harmonise’ the corporate governance regime may take place, such as standardization across the EU.20 Second, a further simple explanation is that either firms or shareholders will directly lobby their respective polities to mimic the more efficient practices of a jurisdiction whose example they have witnessed.21 Third, the experience of U.S. states’ corporate laws may be replayed (writ large) on the international stage: namely, if firms are relatively uninhibited from reincorporating in more favourable jurisdictions (i.e. those whose formal corporate governance requirements more closely match the optimal arrangement vis-à-vis the firm in question), they will do so.22 Jurisdictions Hansmann and Kraakman, “The end of history,” p. 449. Coffee, “The future as history,” p. 646. 20 Hansmann and Kraakman, “The end of history,” p. 454. 21 Ibid., p. 455. 22 Ibid., pp. 454-55. 18 19 VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 99 which lose corporate charters will either conform or, perhaps, become irrelevant.23 Two further explanations are offered by those who emphasise functional over formal convergence in corporate governance, such as John Coffee, Jr.,24 and Ronald Gilson.25 The functional hypothesis, which will be treated in greater detail below, primarily asserts that rules ‘on the books’—which may take a long time to reach a common global midpoint—are far less significant than the actual practices used by firms in the face of formal legal requirements. Thus, they argue, convergence can take place despite the fact that corporate governance is often a matter of legislative prerogative. First, even firms which cannot reincorporate can list themselves on a foreign stock exchange and thus bind themselves to a more stringent set of rules than those in force in their home jurisdiction.26 Second, given a business climate saturated with mergers and acquisitions activity [“M&A”], one might argue, as Coffee does, that better corporate governance will yield higher equity values for a firm, thus giving a firm which makes use of superior governance a strategic advantage in M&A transactions (i.e. since the value of its shares is higher, it has a stronger bargaining position in a stock-for-stock deal).27 Given these accounts of the pressures towards international convergence in corporate governance standards (of varying degrees of plausibility), what is to stand in the way of the march toward a single, universally-employed, globally-optimal governance regime? Among the barriers identified by sceptics of convergence, at least three broad categories stand out: pathdependency (and static complementarities), rent-seeking, and multiple equilibria.28 The first barrier, path dependency, is also the broadest and most Viz. In maximic form, Quae neminem constringat lex non est. (lit. “A law which binds no one is no law.”) (Original to the author.) 24 Coffee, “The future as history”; Coffee, “The rise of dispersed ownership”; Coffee, “Racing towards the top?”; Coffee, “Law and regulatory competition.” 25 Gilson, “Corporate governance”; Gilson, “Globalising corporate governance.” 26 Coffee, “The future as history,” pp. 648-49. 27 Ibid., p. 649. 28 Numerous other specific hypothetical barriers to convergence could be named, though few if any are the subject of anything near a consensus in the literature. One less-frequentlycited, yet still somewhat persuasive, example is that of control premia identified by Coffee, “The future as history,” pp. 658-59: The argument is premised upon what is already accepted about the nature of concentrated ownership structures—viz. the value of the control block need not be identical to the proportional value of the other shares which trade on the open market. Thus, while increased corporate governance may result in higher share values on the market, these higher prices reflect the value of shares which are being or are offered for sale—which are ex hypothesi the non-control-block, i.e. minority, shares. (This makes intuitive sense as well, since improved corporate governance may be more important to minority shareholders than control-block-holders, given the minority owner’s fear of expropriation by the majority owners.) The price of the control-block is likely to remain constant or decrease, however, with improvements in corporate governance (as the ability to expropriate decreases). As their interests will suffer from this likely drop in their equity holding’s value, the controlling 23 100 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW amorphous. To be sure, its elementary logic is intuitively persuasive: prior choices, actions, or accidents have predestined a certain actor, jurisdiction, or even society to a particular outcome, even if it is not the most efficient as viewed from the present.29 However, it is the application of the notion to the global development corporate governance which has yielded difficulty. For instance, Mark Roe, among its chief heralds, argued in a number of articles that although the German-Japanese model of concentrated, bank-centred governance was more efficient, the United States remains unlikely to adopt such a model because of a series of events and popular attitudes in America traceable to at least the mid-nineteenth century.30 Yet, in later work, Roe along with others (e.g. Bebchuck and Roe 1999) argues that path-dependent features in Germany, Japan, and in other concentrated-ownership jurisdictions are at least equally to blame for the lack of convergence. The path-dependency argument is very closely linked to the issue of rentseeking behaviour by political, economic, or other categories of actors which yields barriers to particular jurisdictions arriving at the most efficient outcome. However, discussions of “rent-seeking” as a barrier to convergence in corporate governance have moved beyond the classic case of profit-maximising behaviour by elected or appointed political officials. At present, the term is applied in general terms to the barriers which arise due to the mismatch of those with political power over a particular firm’s legal environment and those with control of the firm itself (both managers and owners). A variety of scenarios falls under this heading in its present usage, common examples including that in which a jurisdiction implements restrictions on hostile takeovers, which may not benefit any or a majority of shareholders of a given firm whose owners are mostly non-citizens, but does benefit the majority of shareholders will attempt to avoid changes to corporate governance. Thus, the argument identifies a weak link in the traditional case that increased share value will induce controlling owners to adopt better governance as a matter of efficiency. See Coffee, op cit. 29 Coffee, “The future as history,” pp. 660-62. When the time dimension is removed from the basic path-dependency model, it is often labelled as the issue of “complementarities.” Like path-dependency, “complementarities” signifies a wide array of forces at work, but most basically refers to the static compatibility of particular legal, regulatory, or other institutions with other political or social apparatuses and attitudes in society. Ibid., pp. 660ff. Thus, the concept is closely tied to the demand-for-law literature, discussed below in relation to the functional convergence hypothesis. 30 Roe, “A political theory”; Roe, “Some differences.” Specifically, runs one version of the argument, as reconstructed by Coffee, the general public and political distrust of concentrated financial power led to both statutory and market pressures towards the proliferation of small intermediaries (for instance, banks were limited to operations within a single state, etc.). Coffee, “The future as history,” pp. 660ff. Consequently, the banking sector’s growth was presumably stunted, and the banks which did grow and prosper on their limited scale were far too small and/or geographically constrained to serve as effective monitors of multi-state enterprises. VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 101 those shareholders who are also voting citizens of the jurisdiction.31 As with path-dependency, the predominance of rent-seeking as a reason for continued divergence is likely due more to its intuitive appeal than to any systematic evidence demonstrating its validity. Finally, opponents of convergence have repeatedly argued that the convergence thesis is flawed because its ‘motor’—the dominant pressure towards ‘the’ efficient arrangement—is premised on the faulty assumption that a single system exists or could exist which is optimal relative to all contexts. Two forms of this argument can be formulated. In its stronger form, the argument merely asserts that no single microeconomic model of corporate governance can be ‘superior’ in any meaningful sense.32 In its weaker form, the argument asserts that the superiority of a governance model is always contextspecific.33 The inference in either case is that multiple equilibria may exist in the arrangement of corporate governance apparatuses, such equilibria presumably rendered stable either by economic forces or by pathdependencies. Thus, one could conclude, the pertinent pressure acting on a particular country’s corporate governance system are not pushing it towards a single global equilibrium, but towards a more localised point of stasis. Given, then, both the pressures towards and barriers against convergence as summarised above, it appears that the convergence debate has become a metaphor for the state of its own subject: just as the diverging systems of governance have arisen, persisted, and now seem to be intermingling while yet maintaining considerable distinctness, so too the scholars most concerned have developed starkly different perspectives, which have survived more than a decade, and yet a limited degree of intermingling among their key ideas is observable. As it stands, the debate is primarily a contest between those believing Anglo-American corporate governance is superior and thus favoured by institutional evolution34 and those who believe convergence towards that system will not take place.35 Attempts at a middle-position (via reframing the question at issue) include those like McDonnell’s, which views convergence as 31 Coffee, “The future as history,” p. 654. Implicit in this type of scenario is some presumption that shareholders taken as a whole mirror Mancur Olson’s model of the “inchoate group.” See M. Olson, The logic of collective action (Cambridge, MA: Harvard Univ. Press, 1999). 32 Jacoby, “Corporate governance,” pp. 21-25. 33 Branson, “The very uncertain,” pp. 347ff. 34 Hansmann and Kraakman, “The end of history.” 35 See, e.g., Branson, “The very uncertain”; Jacoby, “Corporate governance”; L. Cunningham, L. “Commonalities and prescriptions in the vertical dimension of global corporate governance,” Cornell Law Review 84 (1999): pp. 1133-1194; M. Kissane, “Global gadflies: applications and implementations of U.S.-style corporate governance abroad,” New York Law School Journal of International and Comparative Law 17 (1997): pp. 621-672; G. Visentini, “Compatibility and competition between European and American corporate governance: which model of capitalism?” Brooklyn Journal of International Law 23 (1998), p. 833ff.; and many others. 102 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW unlikely but normatively undesirable.36 As noted earlier, however, the general dearth of credible, systematic empirical evidence on either side threatens to ossify the divide, as neither side can persuade the other on the merits of their intuition and conjecture alone. 5. ‘CONVERGENCE BY ANY OTHER NAME’: THE FUNCTIONAL THEORY It is precisely this gridlock which one more recent theory—the “functional convergence” hypothesis extolled by both Coffee and Gilson—is designed to solve. While by no means perfect, it is this functional view which represents the best hope of understanding corporate governance as it operates in the present and how it is likely to evolve in the future. The theory is premised upon the seemingly elementary distinction between “formal” corporate governance and “functional” governance. In short, corporate governance law as it exists ‘on the books’ in any given jurisdiction is related to but distinct from the ways in which firms are actually governed in practice.37 Applying this distinction to global convergence, Coffee and Gilson assert that while the laws on paper may be quite slow to change, governance in practice can adapt to some degree around the laws as they exist on paper. Two of the mechanisms by which this could occur were discussed above: firm migration, and M&A activity. The more central point to the argument is that while systems of governance can remain divergent in name, entrepreneurial actors can (and, it is asserted, will) drive the two systems towards the optimum governance arrangement.38 Though participants in the convergence debate who stand firmly on one side or the other may on occasion dismiss the functional convergence hypothesis as an attempt to “predict global convergence through ‘the backdoor’”,39 there are at least three broad reasons to prefer the functional view over and against any other theory yet on offer. First, precisely by 36 McDonnell, “Corporate governance,” pp. 382-84. McDonnell’s arguments against the desirability of convergence include, in addition to a vague and generic appeal to equality of resources for all, a rather peculiar additional rationale: McDonnell argues that given our great uncertainty as to what the business environment and needs of the future will look like, it may be that a system of corporate governance being employed today but which is not optimal given today’s parameters may be exactly what is needed in (say) fifty years. Consequently, the knowledge and expertise already built up in this given system should be preserved, in case entrepreneurs and policymakers of the future need to call upon it. Thus, McDonnell concludes, convergence today is undesirable, as it means the all-but-theoretical extinction of potentially quite valuable systems. McDonnell explicitly compares this to preventing the extinction of biological species, “which do not seem to add much to the world at this point, because at some point in the future those species may become more valuable, for example, by becoming the source for a cure to a new disease.” Ibid., pp. 382-83. 37 Coffee, “The future as history,” pp. 652ff. 38 Ibid., pp. 649ff. 39 Branson, “The very uncertain,” p. 329. VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 103 distinguishing between the formal and functional dimensions, it allows one to accept the merits of both sides of the convergence debate. On the one hand, if one sets the political and path-dependent barriers aside, the pressure of efficiency driving toward the most efficient governance practices available is difficult to challenge. On the other hand, the political—as well as social and cultural—barriers to efficiency-driven institutional evolution are just as intuitively appealing. Moreover, to construct a theory which merely staked out a middle ground between these two opposing forces without providing a substantive explanation would be futile. Yet the functional theory avoids this in that it is not merely a synthetic summary of the “inevitability of the tradeoffs and tensions”,40 but instead proffers an independent, substantive argument which explains the development of corporate government while accounting for both the pressures for and barriers to convergence. This argument, resting on the formal-functional distinction, asserts that companies will voluntarily find ways to bring upon themselves the most efficient governance regimes, regardless of the limitations of their formal environment. Second, as part of this substantive argument, Coffee in particular offers a plausible prima facie case for how this functional convergence would come about. As noted above, the process of cross-listing and M&A activity both describe feasible mechanisms by which the statutory differences between jurisdictions become less relevant while firms either deliberately or inadvertently bring their transactions under the scope of the most efficient governance arrangements. In the case of cross-listing in particular, firms which voluntarily list themselves (directly or indirectly) on a foreign stock exchange—most notably for Coffee’s argument the New York Stock Exchange—actually bind themselves to a particular set of securities and governance rules and at the same time trigger an important signalling mechanism to would-be investors.41 There are, to be sure, important empirical challenges to these mechanisms on the horizon, but the explanations themselves are in many ways convincing. Third, the functional hypothesis is the best available to-date in terms of compatibility with the theory of the demand-for-law. The theory, as best elucidated by Pistor,42 corroborates the formal-functional distinction in relation to legal rules, both explicitly and implicitly. Indeed, except when applied in very narrow cases, the demand-for-law concept is precisely concerned with economic actors’ demand for particular functions of contract-enforcement and monitoring to be carried out, whether by legal institutions or by private means. The functional view of corporate governance has, moreover, Coffee, “The future as history,” p. 648. Ibid., pp. 657ff. 42 K. Pistor, “Supply and demand for law in Russia. East European Constitutional Review 8, no. 4 (Fall 1999), n.p., available online: <http://www.law.nyu.edu/eecr/ >; K. Pistor, “The demand for constitutional law,” Constitutional Political Economy 13 (2002), pp. 73-87. 40 41 104 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW attempted to apply the demand-for-law insights in the effort to demonstrate that formal legal rules very often follow, rather than create, the functional or practical governance systems with which they are concerned. Specifically, in analysing the aforementioned study by Pistor of the shift towards AngloAmerican corporate law in transition economies from 1990 to 1998,43 Coffee argues that even here, where the proximate cause of such a shift was the involvement of many Western expert advisors, there is still evidence of form following function.44 In particular, argues Coffee, the usual (LLSV-inspired) sequencing of strong shareholder protections driving dispersed ownership was, of necessity, turned on its head. It is at least a defensible reading of the transition experience, he maintains, that mass privatisation created dispersed ownership very rapidly, thus generating a constituency demanding some level of investor protection. Thus, in the absence of clear evidence supporting either of the standard positions in the convergence debate, the functional theory seems at present to be in a class by itself. However, caution is certainly warranted: despite both Gilson’s and Coffee’s repeated claims that the empirical evidence clearly supports the functional theory, this evidence has been slow in coming.45 More disconcertingly, at least one recent study explicitly attempting to test one part of the functional convergence hypothesis found little to support the intuitively appealing thesis. Meghana Ayyagari, in a study published by the World Bank, specifically investigated whether firms which cross-listed onto a U.S. stock exchange experienced a decrease in the concentration of ownership.46 Following the general functional theory and the LLSV conclusion that the extent of minority shareholder protection is the key determinant of dispersed ownership,47 one expects firms that cross-list into a system where minority protections are stronger to eventually witness greater dispersion in ownership. However, the results are disappointing: only a small, short-lived decline in concentration of ownership appears after firms cross-list, and many crosslistings are clearly designed for the sale of control blocks, not to raise capital from new minority shareholders.48 There are several non-trivial shortcomings in Ayyagari’s empirical investigation, however—the most obvious of which is Pistor, “Patterns of legal change.” Coffee, “The rise of dispersed ownership.” 45 Coffee, “The future as history”; Coffee, “Racing towards the top?”; Coffee, “Law and regulatory competition.” 46 Ayyagari, “Does cross-listing lead.” 47 LLSV, “Law and finance.” 48 Ayyagari, “Does cross-listing lead,” pp. 3ff. Additionally, many which do cross-list onto U.S. exchanges do so using American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), negotiable instruments which represent claims to shares, fractions of shares, or blocks of shares on deposit at a bank or other institution. These are much better suited to marketing entire control blocks for sale on a foreign exchange, and there are severe limitations on the extent to which those who cross-list via ADR actually bind themselves to stricter rules. Ibid., pp. 5-6. 43 44 VOL. I, NO. 1 — SEPTEMBER 2005 105 the time-span of her study: some firms were observed only in the year before and the year after cross-listing, and the entire sample is derived from the 1990 to 2002 period.49 Given the gradual nature of the effects—and moreover the perceptions—of improved governance, these time limitations may yield considerably understated results. Thus, while Ayyagari’s findings represent an important challenge to the functional hypothesis, they are not as fatal as they at first appear. 6. CONCLUSION It is evident that the debate over global convergence has relevance for both legal and economic investigations into corporate governance. This relevance is only heightened when the focus is narrowed to transitioning economies. While the debate is and is likely to remain unresolved in the literature for years to come, the breakthrough reflected by the functional thesis (as propounded by Coffee and Gilson, supra) must be acknowledged. Though even the functional thesis is vulnerable to empirical critiques, it is this framework which identifies the right empirical questions to ask. Given this, in conjunction with its uncontroversial policy recommendations50 and its ability to meaningfully and substantively integrate of the other prevailing theories, it is not unlikely that the competing frameworks themselves will converge towards the theory which distinguishes form from function. Ibid., pp. 12-13. 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McDonnell’s “Summary of Possible Stories” of Corporate Governance Stories of the Past: P1 P2 P3 P4 The United States has evolved optimally; Japan and Germany have not Japan and Germany have evolved optimally; the United States has not The United States has taken a different path than Japan and Germany, but neither path is clearly superior The United States, Germany and Japan are roughly similar Stories of the future F1 F2 F3 F4 Japan and Germany will move toward the path currently followed by the United States The United States will move toward the path currently followed by Japan and Germany The United States, Japan and Germany will converge to a hybrid form The United States might remain, or become, distinct from Japan and Germany (Source: McDonnell, “Convergence in Corporate Governance,” p. 368, Table 1) 109 110 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW Table 2. McDonnell’s “Summary of Possible Outcomes” of Corporate Governance Summary of Possible Outcomes P1 P2 P3 P4 F1 American Triumphalist Convergence F2 Converge to inferior JapaneseGerman System F3 Superior American system and inferior Japanese-German system converge to hybrid F4 Inferior JapaneseGerman system remains on separate path Convergence to Inferior American System Converge to superior JapaneseGerman System Superior Japanese-German system and inferior American system converge to hybrid Inferior American system remains on separate path Converge to American System though not clearly superior Converge to Japanese German system though not clearly superior Two noncomparable systems converge to hybrid Noncomparable systems remain on separate paths Japan, Germany and the United States remain on same path Currently similar systems diverge or, United States stays ahead of others though on same path Japan and Germany, already on same path as United States, catch up Japan, Germany and the United States remain on same path (Source: McDonnell, “Convergence in Corporate Governance,” p. 369, Table 2) INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY REVIEW, vol. 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