Session 7 : Geophysical Trends Derived from 12 years of AIRS Infrared Radiances S. De Souza-Machado1, L. L. Strow1,2, S. Buczkowski1 1 Joint Center for Earth System Technology, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County 2Dept. of Physics, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County 1 AIRS instrument 4. Example Zonal All-Sky Rates: North Polar AIRS: Grating spectrometer sounder on EOS-AQUA, 2378 channels with spectral resolution ∼0.5-2.0 cm−1 from 650-2665 cm−1. 1:30 am/pm orbit. AIRS operational for 13+ years, intensively validated. ñ AIRS mission length entering climate scales ñ AIRS stability: ∼ 0.002 K/year (from CO2 , SST as truth) ñ Clear path to connect CrIS to AIRS radiometrically (for long term climate studies) ñ Climate products need error traceability ñ Climate products need to be reproduced by others ñ 0.2 7. T(z) and WV(z) All-Sky rate retrievals T(z) rate from UMBC-AIRS 100 80 0.15 ∆ B(T) in K/year 0.15 10 40 0.1 ERA*AK d(T)/dt K/yr d(T)/dt K/yr 60 20 0.05 -20 0.1 0.1 0.05 0.05 0 -40 0 100 800 -100 -200 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 2 Approach to Climate Level Products 1000 1000 −50 0 50 T(z) rate from MERRA * avg kernel 5. (L) Global and (R) Hemispherical Rates 50 T(z) rate from AIRS L3 0.15 10 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.1 0.1 0.05 0.05 0.02 0 ∆ B(T) in K ∆ B(T) in K/year 0.02 0 -0.02 0 100 SH NH Std NH Std SH -0.02 -0.06 800 -0.08 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 1000 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 -1 -1 Wavenumber (cm ) Wavenumber (cm ) ñ CO2, N2O and CH4 increases dominant. ñ 0.01K/year in window region, 2-σ error detection ñ Maybe slightly less water. ñ N. and S. Hemisphere rates very similar! (land masses quite different) ñ Did not get similar ERA rates (using cloud fields) .. cloud problems? ñ −50 0 50 WV(z) rate from UMBC-AIRS Climate community mostly interested in trends (and) Anomalies ñ Single jacobians still used for a linear retrieval ñ Anomalies rates. Linear retrieval OK (except ENSO??) 10 3 10 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0 0 100 −0.01 −0.01 −0.02 1000 0 3 2 −50 0 50 WV(z) rate from MERRA * avg kernel −0.02 1000 −50 0 10 -1 2 101 1 L3 d(W)/dt frac/yr 10 -1 2 -2 -3 3 10 200 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0.1 0.05 400 500 0 600 700 -0.05 800 0.02 0.01 0.01 0 100 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0 100 −0.01 −0.01 2014 0.1 300 Pressure (mbar) Pressure (mbar) 300 0.02 -3 3 10 200 2014 10 10 0 -2 Days Latitudes Channels Variables 4480 40 2378 B(ν,T) observed B(ν,T) ERA All-Sky B(ν,T) ERA Clear 50 2 Pressure (mbar) Pressure (mbar) 1 0 WV(z) rate from AIRS L3 MERRA*AK d(W)/dt frac/yr 101 50 ERA*AK d(W)/dt frac/yr 100 ERA UMBC 0 WV(z) rate from ERA * avg kernel d(W)/dt frac/yr 3 Data Set ñ −50 UMBC-AIRS (from radiance rates) and AIRS L3 (from rates of average AIRS L3 products) both see significant stratospheric cooling in Southern Hemisphere include 0.002 K/yr instr drift → UMBC retrieved dT/dt uncertainty ≤ 0.018 K/yr 6. Example Temp (top) and Water (bottom) Anomaly -3 S to 0 S 0 −0.1 1000 10 10 −0.05 −0.1 -0.04 -0.06 0 100 −0.05 -0.04 -0.08 −0.02 0.05 400 500 0 600 700 -0.05 1000 −50 0 50 −0.02 1000 −50 0 50 AIRS L3 water vapor product cuts off at 100 mb. UMBC-AIRS rates are more similar to re-analysis (ERA and MERRA) than AIRS L3 800 -0.1 900 -0.1 900 2004 http://asl.umbc.edu 0 L3 d(T)/dt K/yr 0.15 10 This Work: A First Look Anomalies generally quite Gaussian except for poles. −50 MERRA*AK d(T)/dt K/yr ñ Data Set Sizes −0.1 −0.1 200 Wavenumber (cm ) AIRS V7 random data (implemented by UMBC) ñ ∼ 1-2% of data, using only 3x3 FORs next to nadir ñ Zonal averages (for now): 40 equal area latitude bins ñ Each channel time series fit de-seasonalized by bi-weekly average, after which linear rate and anomaly found. ñ Matched to ERA for each scene (FOV) (for SARTA TwoSlab Cloud Calcs) ñ No L1c or frequency corrections! −0.05 −0.05 -80 -1 ñ 0 100 -60 -0.05 Decrease data volume: Random subset ñ Average data (L1b gridding and binning) ñ This leads to constant reprocessing by anyone! ñ Adopt OEM framework with scattering RTA ñ Decrease sensitivity to unknown variables by producing L3 trends and anomalies from time derivatives of L1 radiances. ñ This is not a replacement for 3x3 or single-FOV retrievals. 0.15 10 0 -0.1 No radiance binning, average it all. ñ Examine error characteristics ñ Examine ability to do anomaly retrievals ñ It takes a few minutes or so to create L3 trend and anomaly retrievals for the whole mission! T(z) rate from ERA * avg kernel 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 UMBC retrieved dWV(frac)/dt uncertainty ≤ 0.005 /yr (includes instr drift) 2014 sergio@umbc.edu