8 Optimum farm organization for a representative irrigated farm in the Yellowstone Valley by Gerald Melvin Schaefer A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE in APPLIED ECONOMICS Montana State University © Copyright by Gerald Melvin Schaefer (1978) Abstract: Agriculture is a dynamic industry which is undergoing continual adjustment. Impetus for adjustment arises from changes in agricultural commodity prices, production technology, input prices, and institutional changes. Farmers attempting to maximize profits make economic adjustments because of these continual changes. The major purpose of this study was to determine what production adjustments would maximize return over variable cost in the Billings area in the event the local sugar beet processing plant were closed, thereby diminishing the profitability of sugar beets. Nine crop alternatives, eighteen cattle alternatives, and five swine alternatives were considered. Fifteen resource situations were defined for a model farm. These situations were generated by different assumptions concerning labor availability, number of livestock enterprises allowed, and whether sugar beets was a permissible crop enterprise. Linear programming procedures were used to determine the optimal combination of crops and livestock enterprises to maximize return over variable costs for the model farm. One hundred acres of sugar beets, 100 acres of corn silage, 60 acres of alfalfa, 20 acres of malting barley, and 20 acres of irrigated pasture was the cropping pattern that was most prevalent. Malting barley was usually substituted for sugar beets when sugar beets were not allowed. Livestock alternatives were more sensitive to input-output prices and labor avail-ability. A cattle fattening alternative was always included in the optimum solution. If sufficient labor was available, a swine alternative also appeared in the solution. When the number of livestock alternatives was not restricted, at least two livestock alternatives appeared in the solution. If only one livestock alternative was allowed, return over variable cost was reduced by about $5,000 at 1976-77 prices. Return over variable cost was reduced- by about $3,000 when 1977-78 prices were used. A restriction disallowing the hiring of seasonal labor reduced return over variable cost by about $7,000. Return over variable cost was reduced about $4,500 in the model farm when 100 acres of sugar beets were not in the solution. This translates into a net reduction in return over variable cost of approximately $969,000 for the Yellowstone Valley sugar beet growers that presently sell their beets to the Great Western Sugar Company. STATEMENT OF PERMISSION TO COPY In presenting this thesis in partial fulfillment of the require ments for an advanced degree at Montana State University, I agree that the Library shall make it freely available for inspection. I further agree that permission for extensive copying of this thesis for scholarly purposes may be granted by my major professor, or, in his absence, by the Director of Libraries. It is understood that any copying or publication of this thesis for financial gain shall not be allowed without my written permission. OPTIMUM FARM ORGANIZATION FOR A REPRESENTATIVE IRRIGATED FARM IN THE YELLOWSTONE VALLEY by GERALD MELVIN SCHAEFER A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of. the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE in APPLIED ECONOMICS Approved: MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY Bozeman, Montana March, 1978 TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page Vita............ Table of Contents................................ List of Tables.................................... Abstract.......................................... ii ill iv v INTRODUCTION...................................... Statement and Background of the Problem ........ Objectives of the S t u d y ........................ Background Information about the Upper Yellowstone Valley ........................ Selection of the Analytical Model .............. Analytical Technique Used ...................... I I 5 6 8 12 2 METHODOLOGY ._................... Method of Data Collection...................... Model Farm...................... ' .............. Size of F a r m .............................. Soil Productivity.......................... Management................................ Fixed Resources............................ Fixed Costs................................ Labor...................................... Capital............................. Time Period................................ Technology................................ Activities...................................... Crop Activities................. Cattle Activities. . . .. .................. Hog Activities ............ Input and Output P r i c e s .......... -............ 14 14 16 16 16 17 17 19 20 21 21 22 22 22 24 30 31 3 R E S U L T S ........ ......... ■ ...................... Linear Programming Model. . '................ Optimal Farm Organization ...................... Effect of Major Assumptions .................... 34 34 35 .46 4 S U M M A R Y .............. . 1 . . .................... BIBLIOGRAPHY. .............. ................. .. . APPENDIX. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .............. 50 57 ' . 60 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 1 . Page, An Inventory of Machinery Owned on an Irrigated Farm in the Upper Yellowstone Valley with Their Respective Fixed and Variable Costs................ 18 . Crop Alternatives: Yields and Resource Require­ ments Per A c r e ..................................... 23 Cattle Activities: General Information, and Resource Requirements PerH e a d .................... 27 Swine Activities: General Information and Resource Requirements PerHead . ................... 32 Input-Output Prices Used in the Crop and Live­ stock Budgets...................................... 33 6 Resource Situations Considered . . . .............. 36 7 Income Measures, Optimal Combinations of Cropping and Livestock Enterprises and Other Selected Items for Specified Resource Situations. . . . . . . . . . 38 Linear Programming Matrix.............. ..........; 61 2 3 4 5 A-I V ABSTRACT Agriculture' is a dynamic industry which is undergoing continual adjustment. Impetus, for adjustment arises from changes in agricultural commodity prices, production technology, input prices, and institution­ al changes. Farmers attempting to maximize profits make economic adjustments because of these continual changes. The major purpose of this study was to determine what production adjustments would maximize return over variable cost in the Billings area in the event the local sugar beet processing plant were closed, thereby diminishing the profitability of sugar beets. Nine crop alternatives, eighteen cattle alternatives, and five swine alternatives were considered. Fifteen resource situations were defined for a model farm. These situations were generated by differ­ ent assumptions concerning labor availability, number of livestock enterprises allowed, and whether sugar beets was a permissible crop enterprise. Linear programming procedures were used to determine the optimal combination of crops and livestock enterprises to maximize return over variable costs for the model farm. One hundred acres of sugar beets, 100 acres of corn silage, 60 acres of alfalfa, 20 acres of malting barley, and 20 acres of irrigated pasture was the cropping pattern that was most prevalent. Malting barley was usually substitut­ ed for sugar beets when sugar beets were not allowed. Livestock alter­ natives were more sensitive to input-output prices and labor avail­ ability. A cattle fattening alternative was always included in the optimum solution. If sufficient labor was available, a swine alter­ native also appeared in the solution. When the number of livestock alternatives was not restricted, at least two livestock alternatives appeared in the solution. If only one livestock alternative was allowed, return over variable cost was reduced by about $5,000 at 19.76-77 prices. Return over variable cost was reduced- by about $3,000 when 1977-78 prices were used. A restriction disallowing the hiring of seasonal labor reduced return over variable cost by about $7,000. Return over variable cost was reduced about $4,500 in the model farm when 100 acres of sugar beets were not in the solution. This translates into a net reduction in return over variable cost of approximately $969,000 for the Yellowstone Valley sugar beet growers that presently sell their.beets to the Great Western Sugar Company. Chapter I INTRODUCTION Agriculture is a dynamic industry which is undergoing continual adjustment. Impetus for adjustment arises from several sources. Common sources are changes in agriculture commodity prices, input prices, production technology, and institutions. Farmers attempting to maximize profits make adjustments to these continual changes. At the present time, two important factors are raising questions regarding the optimal organization of Yellowstone Valley farms. First is the uncertain future of the Great Western Sugar Company's processing plant in Billings. Second is a rapidly changing structure of input and output prices. Presently, at least nine different irrigated crops are grown in the upper Yellowstone Valley. Wintering calves and cattle fattening enterprises are also common, and a few farmers have swine enterprises. The possible closure of the Great Western plant coupled with rapidly fluctuating input and output prices adds serious uncertainty to the Valley farmers' search for optimal combinations of crop and livestock enterprises. STATEMENT AND BACKGROUND OF THE PROBLEM Recent uncertainty regarding sugar beet production surfaced during the winter of 1975-1976 when the Great Western Sugar Company and the sugar beet growers' association failed to reach agreement on a contract 2 for 1976. Sugar beet price, purity, and transportation costs were three of many issues on which the Company and growers differed. Both sides argued that increased operating costs necessitated the need for more money to operate their businesses.■ As the probability of Great Western not processing sugar beets in 1976 increased, growers began to consider alternatives for process­ ing their beets. They also began to consider alternative enterprises in the event processing should be discontinued. Transportation costs play an important role in the location of sugar beet growing. Great Western paid up to $2.05 per ton plus 38 percent of the balance over $2.05 per ton for transportation of raw beets. As one would expect, $2.05 per ton covers the transporta­ tion charge for most of the sugar beets processed at the Billings plant. The exceptions are sugar beets grown in the Hardin and Hathaway areas.^ If processing at the Billings plant were discon­ tinued, sugar beet growers.in the upper Yellowstone Valley would probably have to pay the entire cost of transportation to another factory or simply not grow beets. The processing plants nearest Billings are Holly Sugar in Sidney, Montana and Great Western in Lovell, Wyoming. I Both are operating at near capacity and if additional Statement by Merle Riggs, Agriculture Manager of the Great Western Sugar refinery at Billings, Personal Interview, September 20, 1976. 3 production were desired, beet growers much nearer the plants stand ready to increase their acreages. Thus, at this time, shipping beets from the upper Yellowstone Valley to alternative processing plants does not appear feasible. In September of 1971, 5000 growers contracting with the Great Western Sugar Company began negotiations to purchase the sugar pro­ cessing subsidiary of Great Western United. In October of 1972 plans were nearly finalized with sale of the subsidiary to the growers anticipated by December, 1972. 2 A proxy fight among the stockholders of Great Western United and the sudden rise in the price of sugar prevented the sale. Farmers continued to pursue purchase but failed in their negotiations with insurance companies on ways to insure and arrange for compensation against unforeseen losses. In a Billings Gazette article on August 3, 1975, Great Western announced that time had expired on the purchase agreement under which the sugar beet 3 growers were to buy the Great Western subsidiary. In 1971, the Holly Sugar plant in Hardin, Montana was closed without advance warning. On Wednesday morning, January 27, 1971,2 3 2 Presentation by Bob Owens, President of Great Western Cooperative (Cooperative that was going to purchase Great Western Sugar) at the Montana Farmers Union Convention, October, 1972. 3 The Billings Gazette. August 3, 1975, sec. B, p. 3, col. 1-4.■ 4 representatives notified local credit institutions and the County Extension Office that the processing plant was being closed. That evening a general meeting of the beetgrowers1 association was called to officially announce the closure of the plant. The principal reason given for closure by the company was that they had been operating at a loss for the past two or three years and the plant was too old and inefficient to remodel. 4 When the Hardin factory closed, 10,000 acres were removed from sugar beet production. There was an annual payroll reduction of nearly a million dollars and an estimated, two and a half million ■5 dollar reduction in gross income to beet growers in the area. Some of this reduction in gross income would be made up by growing other crops. When the Holly Sugar processing plant in Hardin closed in 1971, the two questions most frequently asked were: . (I) What is the most profitable alternative crop, and (2) What should- be done with the investment in sugar beet equipment. Individual farmers traveled hundreds of miles to look at alternative crops. Seeing an opportunity ^Statement by Harold Strobel, Big Horn County Extension Agent at the time of the factory closing, personal interview, September 23, 1976. ^Based on personal correspondence between Thomas K. Cowden, Assistant Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, and Torlief S. Aasheim, Director, Montana Cooperative Extension Service. 5 to make a quick profit, seed salesmen flooded the area selling exotic crops and miracle varieties of seed. Large sums of money were spent by sugar beet growers for seed for alternative crops. One month after the announcement of the closing of the factory, Montana State University, through the Cooperative Extension Service and the Agriculture Experiment Station, was able to present some feasible production alternatives to beetgrowers. If the Billings plant is closed, 21,534 acres of cropland would be planted to alternative crops with a reduction of over $11,000,000 in gross income from sugar beets. 6 decision is paramount. Thus, the need to make the right What are the crop alternatives? or crops should be planted to maximize net income? What crop What role will livestock enterprises play in the effort to maintain farm incomes? These are some of the questions that this study is designed to address. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY The specific objectives of this study are: I) to develop enter­ prise costs for crop and livestock alternatives in the Billings area; and 2) to define a representative farm firm in the Billings area of ^1975 average yield and payment per ton were used in making this estimate. 6 the Yellowstone Valley; and 3) to determine the optimum organization (enterprise mix) for the representative farm firm in order to maximize return over variable cost. BACKGROUND INFORMATION ABOUT THE UPPER YELLOWSTONE VALLEY The study area includes those areas of Yellowstone, Stillwater, Carbon, Rosebud, and Treasure Counties that grow sugar beets for processing at the Great Western Sugar Refinery at Billings. The background information given pertains mostly to Yellowstone County, the central county involved in this study. During the late 1800's the sugar beet industry was established as a successful manufacturing industry in the United States. Con­ sumption of sugar in the United States in 1895 was 1,950,000 tons with 6,260 tons consumed in Montana. .The gross return from a good crop of sugar beets in 1895 was $45 to $50 an acre compared to $8 an acre for corn. The average price paid per ton was between $4 and $5 for 12 percent sugar content. The Montana Experiment Station established sugar beet research plots in various parts of the State during the late 1890's, and a feasibility study of the industry in Montana was conducted. This research concluded that sugar beets could be grown in many areas of Montana and it was felt that seven conditions would determine where sugar beet processing plants would be located. 7 They were: 1. An abundance of beets of standard grade are required. 2. Transportation to the factories must be cheap; the distance cannot be great. 3. An abundance of pure water must be available. 4. Fuel must be cheap. 5. Limestone of good quality must be near at hand. 6. The factories should be located on a railroad, that the product can easily reach the market. 7. There should be a means' of disposing of the extracted pulp to stockmen, for use in fattening cattle for market. The stock should be fed on the farms from which the beets are received, in order that the plant food may be returned to the land. 7 The Billings area was one of several areas where all conditions were met. In 1906 the Great Western Sugar refinery was opened. In 1907 the Huntley Irrigation Project was completed and the sugar beet industry flourished, aided by the establishment of a dependable water supply. Traphagen, F. W. The Sugar -Beet in Montana.. Bulletin 19, Montana Experiment Station, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, October 1898, p. 34. ( 8 SELECTION OF ANALYTICAL MODEL Several techniques have been used by farm management educators to determine production adjustments which maximize net farm income under changing conditions. Complete and partial budgeting are two ways that production adjustments can be analyzed. Complete budgets could be prepared for several enterprise combinations. These complete budgets could be compared with each other to determine which one was the "best". Partial budgets could also be prepared for alternative changes in the enterprise mix to see which enterprise would have the greatest positive effect on net farm income. The limitations of these simple budgeting processes is that they only examine a few alternatives. Resources and enterprises are not allowed to interact with each other to insure limited resources are used in enterprises that produce the greatest.net farm income. Budgeting is not a method to thoroughly analyze problems. For example, with budgeting it is seldom feasible to break labor into subclasses by months or weeks, or soils into different classes. calculations involved would soon become astronomical. The Linear pro­ gramming is a mathematical technique that allows many enterprise alternatives to be examined, and insures that the profit maximizing use of resources is determined. There are three quantitative components to linear programming. They are: I) the objective function, 2) alternative methods or. 9 processes for obtaining the objective, and 3) resource or other g restrictions. For this problem the objective function is a profit equation that gives the return over variable cost per unit of output for each activity. The objective is to.find the maximum profit attainable from the resource base. The alternative activities or processes are different ways of obtaining the objective function. For example, a farmer may grow wheat, barley, and oats to maximize return over variable cost and he might grow each of these crops in several different combinations. on the outcome of the problem. Resource restrictions are constraints They can take the form of limited amounts of labor available during a certain period of time, a limited amount of operating capital, or a limited amount of space available to store harvested grain. Another restriction is that the activities must have non-negative values. Budgeting and linear programming are normally considered as complements rather than substitutes. Budgeting is normally used when a relatively small number of alternatives are to be considered, or minor adjustments in farming'operations are to be made. When several alternatives are being considered or a large scale optimizing problem8 8 William J. Baumol. Economic Theory and Operation Analysis. wood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), pp. 75-76. ' (Engle­ 10 is being analyzed, linear programming offers a more efficient way to obtain a solution. Budgeting or linear programming could be used for either situation but the time factor usually determines which method to use. If only a few alternatives are being considered, there is no reason to set up matrices and perform lengthy calculations to solve the problem. Likewise, when many alternatives are being con­ sidered, budgeting would be too time consuming and may not give an optimal solution. ■A common concern of people using linear programming as a farm planning tool is how much detail should be put in the model. 9 At several points in the construction of a linear programming model, one . must make choices between simplicity and complexity. A trade-off between realism of the model and expediency in getting the problem solved exists. A simplified model may be easy to construct, solve, and interpret, but at the same time it may lack realism. A complex model which results from an attempt to allow interaction of a large number of variables operating in an actual farm situation may be impractical from a cost standpoint, i.e., in terms of time required for construction, codification, solution and interpretation. 9 Larry I. Bitney. "Constructing the L.P. Model — How Much Detail?" Research Report 10, Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, May 1970, p. I. \ 11 A study by Huffman and Stanton compared farm plans resulting from a simplified programming matrix (20 x 20) with those of detailed matrices (60 x 60). The simplified matrix did not give acceptable results when compared to the detailed matrix. They concluded the detailed matrix was the best estimate of the optimum organization. One thing which may have biased the result against the simplified matrix was that standard input-output coefficients were used for the simplified matrix rather than those provided by the farmer for the detailed matrix. Brant also did a study comparing solutions from a simplified programming process and a detailed matrix. 11 The simplified program­ ming process involved a linear interpolation of two or more optimum plans for benchmark farms in a given area. This simplified programming process yielded solutions similar to those of the detailed matrices when the user accurately categorized the land resource of the test farms. Donald C . Huffman and Lynn A. Stanton. "Application of Linear Programming to Individual -Farm Planning." American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 51 (1969), pp. 1168 - 1171. ^William Lewis Brant. "Analysis of the Representative Farm Concept As A Tool in Area Supply Response Research and Farm Management Education." (Unpublished Doctorate dissertation, Oklahoma State University,. 1967), pp. 41-47. 12 The sequence of steps for linear programming, regardless of the problem being considered is I) build detailed enterprise budgets; 2) select potentially profitable processes; 3) select the limiting factors of production, after a complete inventory of resources is made; 4) specify the requirements of each process for the limiting factors; 5) cost the inputs; and 6) solve the problem. ■' 12 ' 'ANALYTICAL TECHNIQUE USED Linear programming was selected as the technique because of the size and complexity of the system being analyzed. Many alternatives each with different resource requirements were considered in the search for optimum production and adjustments. The integer capability of linear programming was also desirable in considering the livestock alternatives. The linear program used for this study was developed by R. Shareshian of the IBM Corporation. The program employs a branch and bound algorithm based upon the Land and Doig, method the mixed integer programming problem. 13 to solve The program solves for an ■ optimal solution without regard to the integer constraints. The 12 Chester 0. McCorkle, Jr. "Linear Programming as a Tool in Farm Management Analysis." American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 37 (1955), p. 1231. •13 A. H. Land and A. G. Doig, "An Automatic Method of Solving Discrete Programming Problems," Econometrics, July, 1960, Volume 28, Number 13 program then proceeds to solve the problem with the integer restric tions and gives the optimal solution.3 13 continued 3, pp. 497-520, Chapter 2 METHODOLOGY This chapter discusses the procedure used to analyze the pro­ duction adjustment problem. cribed. The method of data collection is des­ The Oklahoma State University Crop Budget Generator was used to process enterprise data and generate enterprise budgets for the analysis. are presented. Assumptions relating to the representative farm firm Summaries of the feasible production alternatives (enterprise budgets) are presented along with the assumed input and output prices. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION Data used to construct the enterprise budgets were obtained from farmer panels in the summer and fall of 1976. These panels were selected by the Yellowstone County Extension Agent. Farmers selected possessed an above average level of management, had a knowledge of input costs, were from different parts of the study area, and were familiar with farming practices in their area. The farmer panel was selected to provide data representative of a typical 320 acre irrigated farm in the Billings area. base was developed for the farm. A resource Cultural practices and sequence of operations were specified for each crop. Tractor size, implement size, and timing of the operations were specified by the panel. 15 Performance rates and amounts and costs of materials were also included. Machinery prices were obtained from local dealers. Prices for similar models were averaged and then checked against actual sales to determine if discounts were being given to farmers. Similar methods were used to collect the livestock enterprise data. However, because some feasible livestock enterprises are not common in the area, some of the necessary data were collected in other areas of the State. Enterprise budgets for wintering calves in the feedlot and raising yearlings on irrigated pasture are based on information obtained from the Billings area. Data on feeding yearlings to slaughter weight were obtained from the Billings and Forsyth area. Data for ten sows farrowing once a year was obtained in the Plevna area of southeastern Montana. obtained from Whitehall. Data for raising weaner pigs were Data for a 60 sow confinement hog operation was obtained in the Bozeman area and data for a 90 sow confinement operation we,re obtained from enterprise cost studies done in Illinois and adjusted to Montana conditions. Cultural practices and costs for a cow-calf enterprise were obtained in the Bozeman and Miles City area. Budgets for the livestock alternatives were hand calculated. The format used was similar to the computations done by the computer for the crop budgets. Fixed and variable costs were separated and \ 16 itemized. All enterprise budget data were then summarized to obtain the technical coefficients for the linear programming model. MODEL FARM Size of Farm The representative farm chosen for this study contains 320 acres. Twenty acres are assumed to be in ditches, fences, roadways, and farmstead. The remaining 300 acres are irrigated. A panel of irrigated farmers and Yellowstone County Extension Agent, John Ranney9 described this as a "typical sized" farm in the Yellowstone Valley irrigated area. In this study no additional acres can be acquired by the representative farm. Soil Productivity Soil productivity is an important factor influencing enterprise selection, method of operation, and ultimate returns on a given farm. Soil types and, consequently, variations in productivity do not necessarily coincide with farm boundaries. The soil resources of a farm are typically a composite of several soil types. Bureau of Reclamation data show that 25 percent of the irrigated land in the Huntley Project is not suitable for crop production. Other parts of the Yellowstone Valley are more suitable for crop production. This 17 study assumes that 280 acres can grow any type of crop alternative and the remaining 20 acres are limited to irrigated pasture. Management An above average level of management is assumed for this study. The level of management is reflected in yields and input usage, such as amount of fertilizer used, chemicals applied, seed varieties planted, type of farm machinery owned and care and maintenance of machinery. No management fee is charged to any crop or livestock alternative The returns from each enterprise are returns to the fixed resources. For the purpose of this study,, land, management, machinery and buildings that are presently being used in the farming operation and operator labor are fixed resources. Fixed Resources Every farmer in the Yellowstone Valley has an inventory of tractors and implements sufficient to produce the crops currently being grown. Since this analysis is concerned with production adjust­ ments necessary to maximize farm income if sugar beet production is lost, the current inventory is considered a sunk cost, and thus not included as a cost for each crop enterprise. Table I lists an inventory of machinery on the representative farm with the respective fixed and variable costs per hour of use. Grain storage for 4000 18 Table I AN INVENTORY OF MACHINERY OWNED ON AN IRRIGATED FARM IN THE UPPER YELLOWSTONE VALLEY WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE FIXED AND VARIABLE COSTS1 Machine Size Tractor Tractor Tractor Tractor Truck Truck Truck Tandem Disk Farmhand Manure Spreader Plow Mulcher Land Plane Field Cultivator Beet Planter Incorporator Ditch Burner Ditcher Beet Cultivator Roller Packer Beet Thinner Ditch Closer Top Saver Beet Digger Combine Bean Cutter Bean Windrower Corn Planter Band Sprayer Sprayer Corn Cultivator Corn Chopper Dozer Blade Swather Drill Harrow PTO Baler Wagon Harrow 125 90 70 60 18 16 14 12 Price HP HP HP HP FT FT FT FT 4-16 15 FT 12 FT 18 FT 6 ROW 12 FT — 6 ROW 12 FT 6 ROW 6 ROW 3 ROW 12 FT 6 ROW 4 ROW 6 ROW 6 ROW 30 FT 6 ROW 2 ROW 10 FT 10 FT 12 FT 12 FT 30 FT $24,100 8,500 13,700 4,500 11,000 5,000 1,000 2,700 2,200 4,500 3,300 3,800 4,200 2,200 2,800 1,100 675 850 2,200 2,850 10,600 550 10,300 17,000 5,000 2,000 3,200 2,800 1,850 885 1,800 6,850 1,500 10,250 3,400 220 4,750 600 550 Fixed Costs Per Hour $ 6.40 2.26 2.96 2.19 9.26 4.25 .85 13.60 2 37 3.33 4.42 3.53 6.65 5.28 2.08 8.42 2.57 1.11 8.61 32.02 1.66 17.22 25.68 13.83 10.07 16.11 12.09 7.99 6.68 3.88 13.67 2.83 14.32 25.68 1.66 10.06 .54 4.16 Variable Costs Per Hour $4.70 3.21 2.76 1.98 3.65 2.96 2.49 .19 I 24 3.03 1.35 1.93 .36 1.46 .32 36 .17 1.52 .47 1.40 .11 2.50 3.10 2.34 2.51 .24 .89 .79 .24 .39 1.31 .24 7.46 .61 .01 1.43 .08 .03 1Schaefer1 Jerry and LeRoy D. Luft1 Enterprise Costs of Irrigated Crops In South Central Montana. Bulletin 1151, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, June, 1976. 19 bushels is located on the representative farm. Machine storage and shop area of 3200 square feet are also assumed to exist on the farm. The farm has feedlot capacity for 170 head. One feed storage tank and feed mixer are owned for use with the feedlot. If new machinery is purchased or buildings erected as a result of production adjustments, the costs are treated as variable costs. The costs which become annual fixed costs are assigned to the enter­ prise since the farmer decides whether or not it is to his benefit to incur additional annual cost. Prior to acquisition the ownership costs are variable costs because their commitment to production is at the farmer's discretion. Fixed Costs Every farm has some fixed costs that must be paid each year regardless of whether or riot production takes place. Taxes on real estate and buildings of $6.28 per irrigated acre"*"^ must be paid. A water charge of $6.00 per acre must be paid or the right to use the water passes to other producers.. 15 s". Schaefer, Jerry and LeRoy D. Luft, Eriterprise Costs of Irrigated Crops in South Central Montana, Bulletin 1151, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, June, 1976. 20 Labor The owner-operator provides labor for the farm business. It is assumed the operator will work ten hours a day for twenty five days a month year around. One full time man can be hired to work the same number of hours as the owner. Some alternatives will allow the hiring of part time seasonal labor to supplement owner operator labor Not all the labor available can be used for field work due to weather and climatic conditions. Critical labor periods for this study are defined as: December !-February 28, March I-May 31, June !-August 31, and September 1November 30. Data concerning days available for field work in the triangle area has been published by the Montana Agricultural Experiment Station. 15 Soil types, climatic conditions, and weather data were used to estimate days available for field work. Although the triangle area and the Billings area are not located near each other, the data was applied to the Billings area because it is the best data available. The date for beginning spring field work and average rainfall were similar for both areas: 74 percent of the days (555 hours) in the March I-May 31 period were available for field ^ Y a g e r , William A. and R. Clyde Greer. Estimating Days Suitable for Fieldwork, Research Report 67, Montana Agricultural Experiment Station, Montana State University, Bozeman, December, 1974. 21 work: 83 percent of the days (622 hours) in the June !-August 31 period were available for field work; and 93 percent of the days (697 hours) in the September !-November 30 period were available for field work. It was assumed that weather would not hinder the labor operations ■associated with livestock. Therefore, the labor available for live­ stock enterprises can be equal to the total labor supply for each period. Capital Capital, requirements for an irrigated farm are high. Most pro­ ducers have some long term debt as well as an operating capital loan. A real estate debt of $100,000 was assumed. The operating capital loan was assumed not to exceed $80,000 at any one time during the growing season. Enterprise cash receipts and expenses occur at different points in time, so total annual capital requirements can be larger than the operating loan the farmer has with his lender. Time.Period The time period being considered is a short-run adjustment period. This would be from one to five years in length. The time period is long enough for new capital investment items such as buildings and livestock equipment to be considered variable costs. ■ 22 Technology Technology is continually changing on an irrigated farm. This study assumes a level of technology for the livestock alternatives that would exist on the best 10 to 15 percent of the farms in the Upper Yellowstone Valley. Crop alternatives assumed a level of technology that was above average. ACTIVITIES The production year for all alternative activities was divided into four periods. labor periods: These four periods were the same as the critical December !-February 28, March I-May 31, June !-August 31, and September !-November 30. Crop Activities Nine different crop alternatives were considered in this analysis The crop alternatives.considered were sugar beets, beans, corn silage, corn grain, spring wheat, feed barley, malting barley, alfalfa hay, and irrigated pasture. Sugar beets were included in this analysis to determine the change in net farm income resulting from the possible loss of this enterprise. .All crop alternatives include only the variable costs, since it was assumed that the farmer already owns the machinery inventory listed in Table I. ' Table 2 lists the yields and resource requirements TABLE 2 CROP ALTERNATIVES: YIELDS AND RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS PER ACRE1 ITEM Yield Sugar Beets Pinto Beans Corn Grain Corn Silage Spring Wheat Feed Barley Malting Barley Alfalfa Hav Irrigated Pasture 18 Tons 20 CWT 100 BU 20 Tons 65 BU 80 BU 80 BU 5 Tons 6 AUM'S Operating Capital ($) a. 3/1 - 5/31 $80.04 33.85 59.76 64.53 44.92 38.64 40.53 14.80 32.69 b. 6/1 - 8/31 38.78 13.43 6.17 10.94 8.87 8.87 8.90 27.50 25.84 c. 9/1 - 11/30 31.81 31.81 53.48 23.02 16.65 16.65 16.68 13.33 11.02 $150.63 79.09 119.41 98.49 70.44 64.16 66.11 55.63 69.55- Total Labor Requirements (hours) a. 3/1 - 5/31 2.36 2.8 1.7 1.7 2.81 2.81 2.81 .16 .28 b . 6/1 - 8/31 2.25 2.25 1.0 1.0 1.72 1.72 1.72 4.56 .20 0 0 0 0 .11 4.53 4.53 4.53 4.72 .59 c. 9/1 - 11/30 6.37 6.37 3.56 4.27 Total 10.98 11.42 6.26 6.97 1Schaefer, Jerry and LeRoy D. Left, Enterprise Costs of Irrigated Crops in South Central Montana, Bulletin 1151, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, June, 1976. 24 per acre for the crop alternatives considered. Costs for the crops listed were also taken from Extension Bulletin 1151. 16 Fertilization rates were changed to more closely coincide with recommendations of soil scientists. Soil tests are needed to further refine the fertilizer requirements for each individual field. One hundred pounds of phosphorus were used for sugar beets rather than the 125 pounds listed in the bulletin. Forty pounds of phosphorus were used for pinto beans' rather than the ten pounds shown. Spring wheat and feed barley had 80 pounds of nitrogen applied rather than 50 pounds. Cattle Activities Four basic cattle alternatives were considered in this analysis. The four alternatives were: cow-calf, wintering calvessummer yearlings on grass, and feeding out yearlings to market weight for slaughter. The cow-calf alternative raised 450 pound steers and 420 pound heifers. wintering. The calves could be sold or placed in the feedlot for A 90 percent calf crop was assumed. Cows were culled at the rate of 10 percent per year with.replacements coming from the "^Schaefer, Jerry and LeRoy D . Luft. Enterprise Costs of Irrigated Crops in South Central Montana, Bulletin 1151, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, June, 1976. 25 heifer calves. The 450 pound steer calves could be wintered to gain 1.75 or 1.1 pounds per day while heifers were assumed to gain 1.5 or 1.1 pounds per day.. At the end of the wintering period the steers gaining the 1.75 pounds per day could be placed directly into the feedlot for fattening. Steers gaining 1.1 pounds per day, heifers gaining 1.5 pounds per day, and heifers gaining 1.1 pounds per day could be sold or placed on irrigated pasture for the summer. Another set of calf wintering alternatives was to purchase 400 pound steers and feed them to gain 1.75 pounds per day, and 370 pound heifers to gain 1.5 pounds per day. At the end of the wintering period the calves could be sold or placed on grass for the summer. The length of the wintering period was 180 days for all calf wintering alternatives. A detailed summary of costs of wintering calves can be found in Extension Circular 1194. 17 • Five summer yearlings-on-grass alternatives were considered. The costs and input requirements were the same for all alternatives con­ sidered. The only difference between the alternatives was the starting weights of the steers and heifers and the corresponding ending weights. 17 Yearlings were summered on grass for 135 days and Cornelius, James.C . and Jerry Schaefer. Enterprise Costs for Winter­ ing Feeder Calves in Yellowstone County, Circular 1194, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, November, 1976. 26 had an average daily gain of 1.2 pounds. Table 3 presents the back­ ground information and resource requirements per head for all cattle alternatives. Three feeding yearling steers alternatives were analyzed. Steers were fed H O days and had an average daily gain of 2.75 pounds. Costs and input requirements were the same for the three feeding yearling steers alternatives. The only difference between the alternatives was starting weights and the time of year the steers were in the feedlot. Three feeding yearling heifers alternatives were analyzed. Heifers were fed 80 days and had an average daily gain of 2.5 pounds. Costs and input requirements were the same for the three feeding yearling heifer alternatives. The only difference between the alter­ natives was initial weights of the heifers when placed in.the feedlot. The six wintering calves alternatives and five fattening year­ lings alternatives, compete for the same feedlot space. Therefore, only one of these alternatives could be allowed at a given time. One feeding alternative was. not competitive for the winter feedlot capacity. Wintering 450 pound steers to gain 1.75 pounds per day yields a 765 pound steer by May 15. These steers could be placed directly into the feedlot for fattening to slaughter weight over the summer. This alternative does not compete for winter feedlot space with the other feedlot feeding alternatives. Table 3 CATTLE ACTIVITIES: Item Enterprise Number Starr of Production Period End of Production Period Days in Production Period Beginning Weight Final Weight Cow Calf I April I1 2 Nov. 15 225 NA Steers 450 Heifers 420 Total Production in Lbs. Steers 202.5 Heifers 147 Cull Cows 100 Average Daily Gain (lbs.) NA Disposition of Output Sale or Transfer to #3 and #5 Operating Capital (S) a. 12/1 - 2/28 Sll.13 b. 3/1 - 5/31 11.13 c . 6/1 - 8/31 9.83 d. 9/1 - 11/30 9.83 41.92 Total Labor Requirements (hrs.) .37 a. 12/1 - 2/28 .37 b. 3/1 - 5/31 c . 6/1 - 8/31 .20 d. 9/1 - 11/30 .20 1.14 Total Feed Requirements a. Barley (bu.) b. Corn Silage (ton) c . Alfalfa Hay (ton) 1.65 6.5 d. Pasture (AVM) GENERAL INFORMATION, AND RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS PER HEAD1 Wintering 3 4 5 Nov. 15 Mav 15 180 400 Nov. 15 May 15 180 450 Nov. 15 May 15 180 450 Nov. 15 May 15 180 420 Nov. 15 May 15 180 370 Nov. 15 May 15 180 420 715 765 650 690 640 620 315 1.75 Sale or Transfer to #8 315 1.75 Sale or Transfer to #15 200 1.1 Sale or Transfer to #9 270 1.5 Sale or Transfer to #10 270 1.5 Sale or Transfer to #11 200 1.1 Sale of Transfer to #12 18.58 (22.47) 9.16 (11.07) 16.34 (20.23) 18.58 (22.47)16.19 (20.07) 18.43 (22.33) 8.05 ( 9.96) 9.16 (11.07) 7.97 ( 9.89) 9.08 (11.00) 18.43 (22.33) 9.08 (11.00) 27.74 (33.54) 24.39 (30.19) 27.74 (33.54)24.16 (29.96) 27.51 (33.33) 27.51 (33.33) 1.42 (.53) .70 (.17) 1.42 (.53) .70 (.17) 1.42 (.53) .70 (.1 7 ) 1.42 ( .53) .70 (.17) 1.42 (.53) . 70 (.1 7 ) 1.42 (.53) .70 (.17) 2.12 (.70) 2.12 (.70) 2.12 (.70) 2.12 (.70) 2.12 (.7 0 ) 2.12 (.70) 11.25 2.25 .27 11.25 2.25 11.25 1.8 .18 — 11.25 1.8 .27 ---- 11.25 1.8 .27 — 7.5 1.98 .18 ---- — — .27 1Nunfcerin parenthesis refers to requirements for activity levels greater than 170 head. Average calving date. Wintering Heifers 6 2 7 Table 3 (Continued) CATTLE ACTIVITIES: Summer Yearlings 10 9 Item Enterprise Number 8 Start of Production Period End of Production Period Davs in Productio Period Beginning Weight Final Weight May 15 Oct. I 135 715 875 Mav 15 Oct. I 135 650 810 Total Production in Lbs. 160 Average Daily Gain (lbs.) 1.2 Disposition of Output Sale or Transfer to #13 Operating Capital ($) a. 12/1 - 2/28 2.37 b. 3/1 - 5/31 4.74 c. 6/1 - 8/31 d. 9/1 - 11/30 2.37 9.48 Total Labor Requirement (hrs.) a. 12/1 - 2/28 .04 b. 3/1 - 5/31 .10 c. 6/1 - 8/31 .046 d. 9/1 - 11/30 .186 Total Feed Requirements a. Barley (Bu.) b . Corn Silage (ton) c. Alfalfa Hav (ton) d. Pasture (AUM) 3.15 INumber GENERAL INFORMATION, AND RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS PER HEAD1 11 12 May 15 Oct. I 135 690 850 Mav 15 Oct. I 135 640 800 Mav 15 Oct. I 135 620 780 160 160 160 160 1.2 Sale or Transfer to #14 1.2 Sale or Tranfer to #16 1.2 Transfer to -17 1.2 Sale or Transfer to #18 2.37 4.74 2.37 9.48 2.37 4.74 2.37 9.48 2.37 4.74 2.37 9.48 2.37 4.74 2.37 9.48 .04 .10 .046 .186 .04 .10 .046 .186 .04 .10 .046 .186 .04 .10 .046 .186 — 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 in parenthesis refers to requirements for activity levels greater than 170 head. Table 3 (Continued) CATTLE ACTIVITIES: Fattening Steers 14 Item Enterprise Number 13 Start of Production Period End of Production Period Davs in Production Period Beginning Weight Final Weight Oct. I Jan. 20 HO 875 1,175 Total Production in Lbs. 300 Average Daily Gain (Lbs.) 2.75 Sale Disposition of Output Operating Capital ($) a. 12/1 - 2/28 b. 3/1 -5/31 c. 6/1 - 8/31 d. 9/1 - 11/30 Total Labor Requirement (Hrs.) a. 12/1 - 2/28 b. 3/1 - 5/31 c. 6/1 - 8/31 d. 9/1 - 11/30 Total Feed Requirements a. Barley (bu.) b. Corn Silage (Ton) c. Alfalfa Hav (Ton) d . Pasture (AUM) GENERAL INFORMATION, AND RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS PER HEAD 14.57 (17.47 ) Fattening Heifers 18 17 15 16 May 15 Sept. 5 HO 765 1.065 Oct. I Dec. 20 80 850 1,050 300 300 200 200 200 2.75 Sale 2.75 Sale 2.50 Sale 2.50 Sale 2.50 Sale 6.91 (8.82) 6.91 (8.82) 6.91 (8.32) Oct. I Jan. 20 HO 810 1.110 14.57 (17.47 ) Oct. I Dec. 20 80 800 1,000 Oct. I Dec. 20 SC 780 980 6.00 (7.00) 23.14 (27.94) 14 =57 (17.47) 29.14 (34.94) 11.57 (17.47) 29.14 (34.94) .65 (.16) — 14.03 (17.92)14.03 (17.92) 14.03 (6.82) 29.14 (34.94) 20.94 (26.74)20.94 (26.74) 20.94 (26.74) .65 (.16) .14 (.04) .14 (.04) .14 (.04) .80 (.20) .94 (.24) .80 (.20) .94 (.24) .80 (.20) .94 (.24) .10 (.02) 1.2 (.30) ..■I?. (.16) 1.3 (.32) .65 (.16) 1.3 (.32) — 39 39 39 .275 .11 — 1.3 .275 .11 — (.32) .275 .11 — 28.3 .20 .04 28.3 .20 .04 28.3 .20 .04 ----- ----- — Hlumber in parenthesis refers to requirements for activity levels greater than 170 head. 30 For all feeding alternatives, it was assumed that the feedlot had a capacity of 170 head. Livestock feeding costs included variable costs of production for only the 170 head feedlot. If it were profitable, a second and a third lot for 170 head each could be built. If feedlot facilities were added, the costs of construction were treated as variable costs. Hog Activities • Five hog alternatives were analyzed. They were: I) farrow to finish, 60 sow capacity; 2) farrow to finish, 90 sow capacity; 3) farrow to finish, 10 sow capacity; 4) weaner pigs, 30 sow capacity; and 5) 90 weaner pigs, purchased and fed out. The farrow to finish 60 and 90 sow capacity assumed farrowing every two months with each sow farrowing twice a year. Sows in the farrow to finish, 10 sow capacity were farrowed in April in a building previously used for other purposes. After the pigs were weaned, they ■ were placed outside for feeding to market weight. The weaner pigsj 30 sow capacity alternative had each sow far­ rowing in March and September. of age. Weaner pigs were sold at nine weeks A complete description of the alternative can be found in .18 Extension Circular 1196. 18 The 90 weaner pigs, purchased and fed out Schaefer, Jerry and-LeRoy D. Luft, Enterprise Costs for Raising Feed-r er Pigs in Madison and Jefferson Counties, Circular 1196, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana.State University, Bzoeman, February, 1977. 31 consisted of weaner pigs purchased in May at nine weeks of age. Table 4 presents the general information and resource requirements for the five hog alternatives considered. INPUT AND OUTPUT PRICES Two different sets of input-output prices were used in this analysis. The actual prices that existed in the fall and winter of 1976 were one set of input-output prices. area furnished crop price information. Businesses in the Billings Livestock prices for choice livestock from October to December at the Billings Livestock Auction Market were used. Projected crop and livestock prices for the fall and winter of 1977 were the second set of prices used. LeRoy Luft and James Cornelius, Extension Economists, furnished the projected prices. These projections were made during the summer of 1977, based on outlook information that was available at the time. Table 5 summarizes the input-output price information that was used in this study. Table 4 SWINE ACTIVITIES: GENERAL INFORMATION AND RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS PER UNIT Item 90-Sow1 60-Sow^ 10-Sow 30-Sow 90 Feeder Pigs Description of Production System Confinement with sows farrowing twice a year. Thirty sows far­ row every 2 months Confinement with sows farrowing twice a year. Twenty sows far­ row every 2 months Farrow inside; feed pigs outside. Ten sows farrowing in April Farrow inside; sell weaner pigs. Thirty sows farrow every 6 months Feeder pigs purchased in May and fed to market weight Unit used Pigs per litter Total output (pigs) Beginning Weight Ending Weight litter 7.5 1350 litter 7.5 900 litter 7.5 75 litter 7.5 225 litter 7.5 90 40 220 — 220 220 220 Operating Capital ($) $90.34 a. 12/1-2/28 90.34 b. 3/1-5/31 90.34 c . 6/1-8/31 90.34 d. 9/1-11/30 361.36 Total $69.15 69.15 69.15 69.15 276.60 $193.24 65.07 50.67 86.40 395.38 $21.98 79.75 21.98 79.75 203.46 Labor Requirements (hr) a. 12/1-2/28 4.5 4.5 b. 3/1-5/31 4.5 c . 6/1-8/31 4.5 d. 9/1-11/30 18.0 Total 6.88 6.88 6.88 6.88 27.52 2.0 13.3 2.3 2.3 19.9 2.0 10.2 2.0 10.2 24.4 .30 1.80 1.80 3.90 302 .164 360 .332 16.72 .288 152 .332 Feed Requirements Barley (Bu.) Alfalfa (tons) 254 — ^$270 per litter per year fixed building cost is required for this activity. 2 $130 per litter per year fixed building cost is required for this activity. $---32.65 42.78 78.52 153.95 N> 33 Table 5 INPUT-OUTPUT PRICES USED IN THE CROP AND LIVESTOCK BUDGETS Crop Beets per ton Beans per cwt. Corn grain per bu. Corn silage per ton Spring wheat per bu. Feed barley per bu. Malting barley Alfalfa per ton Irrigated pasture per AUM Price Fall-Winter 1976-77 Sold Purchased Price Fall -Winter 1977-78 Sold Purchased $20.00 10.00 2.52 18.00 2.40 1.80 2.75 50.00 $20.00 10.00 2.52 18.00 2.40 1.80 2.75 50.00 $22.00 1.92 65.00 8.00 $22.00 1.92 65.00 8.00 Livestock 40 lbs. weaner pig per lb. $ .525 220 lbs. market pig .35 per lb. ,40 450 lb. steer per lb. 420 lb. heifer per lb. .35 .38 765 lb. steer per lb. 690 lb. heifer per lb. .37 810 lb. steer per lb. .33 850 lb. heifer per lb. .29 1065 lb. steer per lb. .36 1110 lb. steer per lb. .36 1050 lb. heifer per lb. .34 1000 lb. cull cow per lb. .20 $.525 .40 .35 .38 .37 .33 .29 .36 .36 .34 $.57 .38 .45 .40 .40 .36 .39 .35 .43 .43 .41 .23 $.57 — .45 .40 •40 .36 .39 .35 .43 .43 .41 Chapter 3 RESULTS This chapter presents the results of linear programming solutions indicating the optimal combination of enterprises under different situations. A comparison between optimal enterprise combinations and typical enterprise combinations in the study area is made. Operator prefer­ ences and other factors which might preclude adoption of the optimal combination.of enterprises are discussed. LINEAR PROGRAMMING MODEL Preliminary analysis indicated some alternatives would not be included in optimal solutions for the resource situations to be ' 19 examined. The alternatives were eliminated from the feasible set. The alternatives eliminated were: wintering 400 pound steers and 370 pound heifers; wintering 450 pound steers and 420 pound heifers, to gain 1.1 pounds per day; all summer yearling grazing alternatives; and fattening 780 pound heifers, and 800 pound heifers. These deletions reduced the matrix to a more manageable size. The matrix was reduced from 99 rows and 131 columns to its present size of 64 rows by 77 columns. 19 The matrix is presented in Table A of the These alternatives were dominated by other alternatives. 35 Appendix. OPTIMAL FARM ORGANIZATION Fifteen different resource situations were programmed. The fifteen resource situations were generated by different assumptions concerning.the availability of hired labor, the number of livestock alternatives permitted and whether sugar beets were permitted or not. Table 6 summarizes the different resource situations. No restrictions on maximum or minimum acres of different crops were used except the upper bound of 300 acres available for crop production for resource situation one. With the exception of situation.one, restrictions were based on minimum acres that farmers would require to justify ownership of the machinery required for the crop. Sugar beets had a minimum restriction of 60 acres. Irrigated pasture had a minimum of 20 acres because this amount of land was not suitable for other crops. Maximum restrictions were placed on some •crops because of machinery limitations, crop rotations, contract acreage maximums, and local markets for some crops. Sugar beets, corn for grain, and corn silage had maximum restrictions of 100 acres Alfalfa had a maximum restriction of 60 acres. Situation one had.no maximum or minimum restrictions for crop enterprises. Part-time seasonal labor could be purchased in some of the situations (see Table 6). Other situations excluded seasonal hired 36 Table 6 RESOURCE SITUATIONS CONSIDERED Resource Situation Seasonal Labor Permitted Number of Live­ stock Enterprises Permitted Sugar Beets Permitted I YES 2 YES 2 YES 2 YES 3 NO 2 YES 4 YES I YES 5 NO I YES 6 YES 2 NO 7 NO 2 NO 8 YES I NO 9 . YES 2 YES . 10 NO 2 iss 11 YES' I YES I ' YES 12 ... ' NO 13 YES 2 14 NO • 2 NO I NO 15 'YES . NO 37 labor but allowed hiring a full-time man. One of the options was to choose between the most profitable beef and swine alternatives. Producers interested in only one live­ stock enterprise could then pick the most profitable one. This restriction was not applied to the summer fattening of 765 pound steers. The summer fattening alternative is more competitive with crop alternatives than it is with livestock alternatives, so it was not included when restricting the number of livestock alternatives. The main objective of this study was to determine the optimal combination .of crop and livestock enterprises when sugar beets were not permitted. Optimal solutions indicating return over variable cost and the optimal crop and livestock enterprises with and without sugar beets were, obtained. Resource situations one to eight were made using crop and live­ stock prices that existed in the fall and winter of 1976-77, Table 5. Resource situations nine to fifteen were made using projected prices for the fall and winter of 1977-78, Table 5. Table 7 presents the results for these resource situations. Resource situation one had no minimum or maximum restrictions on the type of crops grown. restrictions. All other resource situations had crop Resource situations two through five are similar with ■respect to resource base, input and output prices, and that sugar . beets were permitted in the solution. The availability of seasonal ) TABLE 7 Income Measures, Optimal Combinations of Cropping and Livestock Enterprises and Other Selected Items for Specified Resource Situations Item Seasonal Labor Permitted Winter Livestock Activities Sugar Beet Acreage Allowed Units I (No.) Yes 2 Yes Resource Situation 2 3 Yes 2 Yes No 2 Yes 82.508 8,356 69,843 - 4,309 62,590 -11,562 (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Tons) (Bu) (Tons) (AUMs) 60 227 0 13 0 0 4.396 38,010 0 0 100 100 20 60 20 0 1,860 38,010 234 120 77 100 43 60 20 0 1,860 38,010 234 120 765 lb. Steers Fed 850 lb. Heifers Fed 810 lb. Steers Fed Sows Farrowed to Finish in 60 Sow Capacity Sows Farrowed to Wean in 30 Sow Capacity (No.) (No.) (No.) 0 0 0 0 510 0 510 0 510 (No.) 60 60 60 (No.) 0 0 0 Full Time Hired Man Owner Labor Crops Mar.-MayA^ Owner Labor Crops June-AugF' Owner Labor Crops Sept-Novl/ Part Time Labor Mar.-May Part Time Labor June-Aug. Part Time Labor Sept-Nov. (No.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) 0 0 433 380 697 96 42 654 407 487 619 70 150 447 I 1,000 625 922 Operating Capital Dec.-Feb. Operating Capital June-Aug. (S) (S) 0 0 0 0 Return over Variable Cost (S) Returns to Labor & Management (S) Sugar Beets Corn Silage Malting Barley Alfalfa C o m Grain Silage Sold Feed Barley Purchased Hay Sold Pasture Sold 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 (Assumptions) Yes No I I Yes Yes (Income Measures) 64,902 57,725 -16,427 - 9,250 (Cropping System) 100 60 100 73 92 20 60 55 20 20 0 0 1.860 1,452 19,890 1,783 244 274 120 120 (Livestock System) 0 0 0 63 510 0 0 0 0 0 (Labor Requirements) 0 0 6 7 8 Yes 2 No No 2 No Yes I No 65,260 - 8,892 61,622 -14,076 60,504 -13,648 0 100 120 60 20 0 1,860 38,010 234 120 0 100 120 60 20 0 1,860 20,146 239 120 0 100 120 60 20 0 1,860 19.890 244 120 0 0 0 0 510 510 0 0 510 60 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 522 584 429 0 555 584 429 0 0 0 0 0 0 537 555 430 622 622 461 697 697 301 0 0 93 15 0 123 369 0 128 (Operating Capital Requirements) 8,417 435 0 0 0 0 -^When a full time hired man is hired. this also includes the full time hired man's hours of labor 6,345 8,417 0 0 on crop activities. Table 7 Continued Item Units 9 10 Seasonal Labor Permitted Winter Livestock Activities Sugar Beet Acreage Allowed — (No.) Yes 2 Yes No 2 Yes Return over Variable Cost Returns to Labor & Management (S) (S) 100,341 24,643 93,437 17,739 Sugar Beets C o m Silage Malting Barley Alfalfa (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Acres) (Tons) (Bu) (Tons) (AUMs) 100 100 20 60 20 0 1,760 34,825 215 120 88 100 32 60 20 0 1,758 34,825 215 120 765 lb. Steers Fed 850 lb. Heifers Fed 810 lb. Steers Fed Sows Farrowed to Finish in 60 Sow Capacity S<*#s Farrowed to Wean in 30 Sow Capacity (No.) (No.) (No.) 510 510 0 510 510 0 (No.) 0 0 (No.) 30 30 Full Time Hired Man Owner Labor Crops Mar.-May=/ Owner Labor Crops June-Augiz Owner Labor Crops Sept-Novl/ Part Time Labor Mar.-May Part Time Labor June-Aug. Part Time Labor Sept-Nov. (No.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) (Hrs.) 0 449 511 653 29 127 413 I 483 631 990 0 0 0 Operating Capital Dec.-Feb. Operating Capital June-Aug. (S) (S) 0 2,998 0 2,185 C o m Grain Silage Sold Feed Barley Purchased Hay Sold Pasture Sold i Resource Situation 11 12 (Assumptions) Yes No I I Yes Yes (Income Measures) 97,395 90.264 23,243 16,112 (Cropping System) 100 90 100 100 20 30 60 60 20 20 0 0 1,758 1,758 34.323 34,323 224 284 120 120 (Livestock Svstem) 510 510 510 510 0 0 0 0 13 14 15 Yes 2 No No 2 No Yes I No 96,028 20,330 89.612 15,460 93,095 18,943 0 100 120 60 20 0 1,758 34.825 215 120 0 100 113 24 20 33 1,758 34,323 46 120 0 100 120 60 20 0 1,758 34,323 224 120 510 510 0 510 510 0 510 510 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 555 444 546 0 0 0 0 555 514 429 0 70 0 4.174 13,681 4,174 5,628 0 0 30 (Labor Requirements) 0 I 0 555 482 471 541 484 1,000 697 1,000 335 0 0 51 97 0 100 369 0 95 (Operating Capital Requirements) 4,174 4,174 0 4,671 3,965 0 -^When a full tine hired man is hired, this also includes the full time hired man's hours of labor on crop activities. UJ 40 labor and' number of livestock enterprises permitted were varied for these situations. Resource situations six through eight are similar . to resource situations two through four except sugar beets were not permitted in the solution. Resource situations nine through twelve are suitable for com­ parison because they have a similar resource base, a similar set of input and output prices and sugar beets were permitted in the solution. Resource situations nine through twelve are similar to resource situations two through five except projected 1977-78 prices were used for the crops and livestock sold rather than 1976-77 prices. Resource situations thirteen through fifteen are similar to resource situations nine through twelve except sugar beets were not allowed in the solution. The return over variable cost figures in Table 7 must be inter­ preted carefully. These figures are a return to the fixed resources that were present on the model farm. The annual ownership cost of any new piece of machinery or new building that had to be purchased for a new enterprise on the farm is considered a variable cost. The return to labor and management was calculated by subtracting annual costs for fixed resources that were originally present on the farm. Resource situation one had $27,456 of fixed machinery costs, $1,432 of fixed costs in the 170 head feedlot, $2,064 of building depreciation and interest, and $43,200 of land costs at nine percent. \ 41 These costs were deducted from return over variable cost to derive the return to labor and management of $8,356. Situations seven, nine, ten and thirteen had an additional fixed cost of $1,546, associated with facilities for raising weaner pigs, deducted from their return over variable costs. Resource situation one had a return over variable cost of $83,508 and a return to labor and management of $8,356. Sixty acres of sugar beets, 227 acres of corn silage, and 13 acres of alfalfa were grown. Seasonal labor was hired in the March-May, June-August, and September-November time periods with the largest amount, 654 hours, required in the September-November harvesting period. There were 510 head of 810 pound steers fattened over the winter and 60 sows were farrowed in the 60 sow confinement facility. Imposing acreage restrictions (situation two) reduced return over variable cost by over $13,000 to $69,842. ment were -$4,309. Returns to labor and manage­ Sugar beets, corn silage, and alfalfa were in the solution at their maximum levels of 100 acres, 100 acres and 60 acres respectively. Irrigated pasture had the required minimum of 20 acres. Twenty acres of malting barley was also in the solution. Seasonal labor was hired in the March-May, June-August, and September-November time periods with the largest requirement being 447 hours hired in the September-November.period. There were 510 head of 810 pound steers fattened over the winter and 60 sows were farrowed in the .42 60 sow confinement facility. Situation three produced a return over variable cost of $62,589. The reduction in return over variable cost resulted from the exclusion of seasonal labor. Returns to labor and management fell to -$11,562. A full time man was hired to supplement the owner-operator's labor. Lack of seasonal labor caused sugar beet acreage to be reduced to 77 acres and malting barley to be increased to 43 acres when compared to situation two. Situation four, compared to situation two, showed a reduction in return over variable cost from $69,843 to $64,902. management return was reduced to -$9,250. Labor and These reductions were due to elimination of pigs because of the restriction of only one live­ stock activity. No pigs in the solution required $8,417 of operating capital to be borrowed in the December-February period. Situation five had the lowest return over variable cost of any \ of the runs, $57,725. Returns to labor and management were -$16,427. Lack of the opportunity to hire seasonal labor and the restriction of only one livestock activity caused many changes in the optimal solution. The more labor intensive crops of sugar beets, corn silage, and alfalfa were reduced to acreages of 60, 73, and 55 respectively. Malting barley acreage increased to 92 acres. Only 63 head of 850 pound heifers were fattened for slaughter. Malting barley increased by 100 acres in situation six when sugar 43 beets.were not allowed in the solution. Return over variable cost decreased from $69,843 in situation two to $65,260. and management was -$8,892. Return to labor Less seasonal labor was hired in the three time periods with the- largest amount of 128 hours hired in the September-November period. Other crops and livestock alternatives did not change. The unavailability of seasonal labor caused.a reduction in re­ turn over variable cost from $65,620 in situation six to $61,622 in situation seven. Return to labor and management was -$14,706. optimal combination of activities did not change. Five hundred ten head of 810 pound steers were fattened over the winter. of labor caused a The A shortage switch in the swine alternative to farrowing out fifteen sows and selling the pigs at weaning time. There was $6,345 of operating capital borrowed in the December-February period. When only one livestock alternative is allowed, net farm income decreased from $61,622 to $60,504 (comparison of situation seven to situation eight). Return to labor and management was -$13,648. The optimal crop and livestock alternatives did not change except the swine enterprise was eliminated. There was $8,417 of operating capi­ tal borrowed in the December-February period. Projected 1977-78 prices were higher than 1976-77. Prices were not scaled up proportionately, but were based on projections of what the prices would be. In some instances, prices moved up 44 proportionately but in others they moved in opposite directions. Under 1977-78 prices, return over variable cost increased from $69,843 to $100,341 (situation two compared to situation nine). Returns to labor and management increased to $24,643. The optimal solution consisted of the following crops and their acreages: beets, 100; corn silage, 100; irrigated pasture, 20. sugar malting barley, 20; alfalfa , 60; and Seasonal hired labor was hired in the March- May, June-August, and September-November period with the largest requirement being 413 hours hired in the September-November period. There were 510 head of 765 pound steers fattened during the summer and 510 head of 850 pound heifers fattened over the winter. Thirty sows were farrowed and the pigs sold at weaning time. The lack of seasonal hired labor resulted in a reduction in return over variable cost to $93,437 in situation ten. labor and management was $17,739. Return to A full time hired man was employed. Sugar beet acreage was 88 acres and malting barley was 32 acres. Other optimal crop acreages and livestock alternatives remained the same. The only borrowed operating capital required was in the June-August period was was $2,185. Situation eleven compared to situation nine shows a reduction in ■ return over variable cost to $97,395. was reduced to $23,243. Return to labor and management This reduction was due to allowing only one livestock alternative in the solution. Optimal crop and livestock Z 45 alternatives remained the same except there were no pigs in the solution. This also reduced the amount of seasonal labor required. There were 97 hours of labor hired in the June-August period and 369 hours hired in the September-November period. There was $4,174 of borrowed capital in the December-February period and $4,671 in the June-August period. A restriction of only one livestock alternative and no seasonal hired labor available reduced net farm income in situation twelve to $90,264. Return to labor and management was reduced to $16,112. full time hired man was employed. A Sugar beet acreage was reduced to 90 acres and malting barley was increased to 30 acres. and livestock alternatives remained the same. Other crop There was $4,174 of borrowed capital in the December-February period and $3,965 in the June-August period. Malting barley increased to 120 acres when sugar beets were not allowed in the solution in situation thirteen. Return over variable cost decreased from $100,341 in situation nine to $96,028 in situation thirteen. Returns to labor and management decreased to $20,330. Less seasonal labor was hired with the largest quarterly amount being 100 hours hired in the June-August period. Other optimal crop and live­ stock alternatives remained,the same. The lack of seasonal labor caused a reduction in net farm income from $96,028 in situation thirteen to $89,612 in situation fourteen. 46 Return to labor and management decreased to $15,460. Malting barley and alfalfa acreages were reduced to 113 and 24 acres respectively. This reduction was offset by 33 acres of corn for grain. There was $4,174 of borrowed operating capital in the December-February period and $13,681 in the June-August period. The summer fattening of 510 head of 765 pound steers and winter fattening of 510 head of 850 pound heifers remained the same. No swine alternatives were in the optimal solution. When only one livestock alternative was allowed, net farm income decreased from $96,028 in situation thirteen to $93,095 in situation fifteen. Return to labor and management decreased to $18,943. The optimal crop and livestock alternatives did not change except the swine enterprise was eliminated. There was $4,174 of borrowed operating capital in the December-February period and $5,628 in the June-August period. EFFECT OF MAJOR ASSUMPTIONS The exclusion of seasonal labor reduced return over variable cost by about $7,000 except in the case of resource situation seven, where the reduction was only about $4,000. This restriction caused . a shift toward less labor intensive enterprises. The restriction to only one livestock alternative in the solution reduced return over variable cost by about $5,000 when 1976-77 47 prices were used. The restriction reduced return over variable cost by about $3,000 when projected 1977-78 prices were used. This smaller reduction in return over variable cost was because the net income derived from the weaner pig enterprise that was eliminated when using 1977-78 prices was less than the net income derived from the 60 sow enterprise that was eliminated using 1976-77 prices. The restriction of no sugar beet acreage reduced return over variable cost about $4,500. for sugar beets. Malting barley was usually substituted The lack of seasonal labor in resource situations seven and fourteen caused other shifts. In resource situation seven the 60 sow enterprise was replaced by the weaner pig enterprise. ■Return over variable cost was reduced by only $1,000. In resource situation fourteen, return over variable cost was reduced by $3,800. A full time hired man was not hired, so there was a shift to less labor intensive crops during the critical labor periods. A typical sugar beet farm in the Yellowstone Valley of southcentral Montana similar to the model farm would grow 100 acres of sugar beets, 100 acres of corn silage, 60 acres of spring wheat, and 40 acres of alfalfa. silage. Some farms would substitute corn grain for corn Feed barley, malting barley, or pinto beans might be substituted for spring wheat. A few farms would have 100 acres of irrigated pasture. The typical sugar beet farm does not differ very much in crop 48 activities from the optimal solution for the model farm. solutions for the model farm The optimal suggests that alfalfa and malting barley would be superior to the spring wheat typically grown. The low projected price received for spring wheat would explain this difference and if the projected price relationships materialize, the indicated shifts will probably occur. The low livestock prices for the last few years have reduced the number of farmers wintering livestock in the Yellowstone Valley. The optimal solution showed that a livestock fattening enterprise offers a valid alternative for producers to increase net farm income. Operator preference in the past has favored wintering calves; however, the optimal solution favors a fattening enterprise. Lack of avail­ ability of yearling cattle may have influenced operator preferences toward wintering calves. A fattening enterprise during the summer would also increase net farm income. This alternative would allow the fixed costs of feeding livestock to be spread over more animals, thereby reducing total fattening costs per animal. The addition of a 60 sow confinement facility increased net . farm income almost $5,000 and the 30 sow weaning enterprise increased net farm income almost $3,000. The swine enterprise either eliminated or greatly reduced the amount of operating capital that was borrowed. The availability of full time or seasonal labor would be an 49 important, factor to consider before the summer fattening or swine enterprises would be considered viable alternatives. Operator preference may also reduce the desirability of these enterprises. Certainly, the additions of these livestock enterprises would require more management input as measured by both quantity and quality. Earlier in this paper it was estimated that the closure of the Billings plant would cause a reduction of $11,000,000 in gross income for sugar beet growers. This reduction would be offset by growing substitute crops on the acres that were formerly used for growing sugar beets. The returns over variable cost for sugar beet growers in the Yellowstone Valley will be reduced by approximately $969,000. 20 This is much less than the reduction in gross income that was stated earlier. This figure was derived by multiplying the number of acres of sugar beets grown in the Yellowstone Valley in 1976 (21,534 acres) times the amount returns over variable cost was reduced when 100 acres of sugar beets were not grown ($4,500). Chapter 4 SUMMARY The primary objective of this study was to determine production adjustments which would maximize return over variable cost for irrigated farmers in the Billings area in the event the production of sugar beets is discontinued. - The basic data was obtained from a panel of Billings area farmers selected by Yellowstone County Extension Agent, John Ranney. The farmers were owners of typical irrigated farms and were located in different parts of the study area. The farmers were judged to be above average managers, and provided the general characteristics of a representative farm and enterprise input-output information. The farm modeled in this study consisted of 320 acres. acres of the farm were in fences, ditches, and farmstead. Twenty Soil types and drainage problems limited the use of 20 acres to irrigated pasture. The remaining 280 acres were suitable for any of the crop alternatives grown in the study area. • A limit of $80,000 of operating capital could be borrowed in any quarter. The year was divided into quarters as follows: February, March-May, June-August, and September-November. DecemberTotal capital requirements might be greater than $80,000 per quarter. Since crops are marketed at different times of the year, not all 51 the capital required must be borrowed, A long term real estate debt of $100,000 was assumed for the model farm. The majority of the labor for the farm was furnished by the owner-operator. Research done at Montana State University was used to arrive at days available for field work. Days that were unsuitable for the crop enterprises were not excluded from use by the livestock enterprises. If livestock alternatives were more profitable than crop alternatives, labor available on days fit for field work could be used for the livestock enterprises. situations were considered. Different labor resource In addition to owner-operator labor, some situations allowed hiring no additional labor, some allowed hiring seasonal labor, and some situations allowed hiring a. full time man only. The model farm had a full complement of machinery available for the crop alternatives; it was assumed that no additional crop equipment would be purchased. This assumption was made to allow uniform comparison between all crops. Fixed costs for crop alternatives were not included in the budgets. Fixed costs are costs that are committed and continue whether production takes place or not. Since this study is con­ cerned with production adjustments a farmer might make to maximize return over variable cost, only those costs that were not committed are included in the budgets. 52 The case farm -had 3200 square feet of shop and machine storage, and 4000 bushels of grain storage. There was machinery and feedlot capacity for 170 head of cattle on the farm. Additional feedlot capacity could be acquired; the costs of construction were included in the budgets. No facilities were available for pig enterprises on the farm, thus annual ownership costs of buildings and equipment were included in the swine budgets. Nine crop alternatives, eighteen cattle alternatives, and five swine alternatives were considered. Data for the alternatives considered were obtained from various producers across Montana. area. Crop data was obtained from the study Budget data for wintering calves in the feedlot and raising yearlings on irrigated pasture were also obtained in the Billings area. Data on feeding yearlings to slaughter weight were obtained in the Billings and Forsyth area. Data for raising ten sows and farrowing once a year were obtained in the Plevna area of south­ eastern Montana. Data on weaner pigs were obtained from the Whitehall area.. Information on a 60 sow confinement operation were obtained from Illinois enterprise cost studies and adjusted to Montana conditions. Cultural practices and costs for a cow-calf enterprise were obtained from the Bozeman and Miles City areas. The Oklahoma State University Budget Generator was used to generate enterprise budgets for the crops. Livestock alternatives 53 were hand calculated following a similar format as used for the crops. Enterprise costs and input-output information were taken from these enterprise budgets for use in the linear programming model. Fifteen resources situations were defined for the model farm. These situations were generated by different assumptions concerning labor availability, number of livestock enterprises allowed, and whether sugar beets were a permissible crop enterprise. The optimum combination of enterprises derived from the different resource situations are summarized in Tables 6 and 7. One hundred acres of sugar beets, 100 acres of corn silage, 60 acres of alfalfa, 20 acres of malting barley, and 20 acres of irrigated pasture was the cropping pattern which was most prevalent. Sugar beets, corn silage, and alfalfa always appear in the solutions at the maximum acreage allowed. Maximum restrictions were placed on these crops because of machinery limitations, crop rotations, contract acreage minimums, and local market for some crops. When these maximum restrictions were removed, 227 acres of corn silage, 60 acres of sugar beets, and 13 acres of alfalfa were the optimum enterprise combination (resource situation one). The restriction of zero sugar beet acreage reduced return over variable cost about $4,500.. for sugar beets. Malting barley was usually substituted The lack of seasonal labor in resource situations 54 seven and fourteen also caused shifts in the optimum enterprise mix. In resource situation seven, the 60 sow enterprise was replaced by the weaner pig enterprise. by only $1,000. Return over variable cost was reduced In resource situation .fourteen, return over variable cost was reduced by $3,800. It was not profitable to hire a full time man, so there was a shift to less labor intensive crops during the critical labor periods. At least one livestock alternative appeared in all solutions. Fattening 810 pound steers entered all solutions except resource situation five when 1976-77 livestock prices were used. Fattening 765 pound steers and 850 pound heifers were included in the optimal solution when 1977-78 prices for livestock were used. If more than one livestock alternative was allowed, a swine enterprise usually was in the solution. The exception to this was resource situation fourteen when the swine enterprise could not increase return over variable cost enough to justify a full time hired man. With the exception of resource situation seven, a farrow to finish, 60 sow swine enterprise was included in. the optimal solution using 1976-77 livestock prices. Weaner pigs, 30 sow capacity, was part of the optimal solution using 1977-78 prices. The restriction of only one livestock alternative in the solution reduced return over variable cost by about $5,000 when 55 1976-77 prices were used. The restriction reduced return over variable cost by $3,000 when 1977-78 projected prices were used. This smaller reduction in return over variable cost was because the return over variable cost derived from the weaner pig enterprise that was eliminated when using 1977-78 prices was less than the return over variable cost derived from the 60 sow enterprise that was eliminated using 1976-77 prices. The restriction which prohibited seasonal labor reduced return over variable cost by about $7,000 except in the case of resource situation seven, where the reduction was only about $4,000. The return over variable cost and return to labor and management derived from the different resource situations should be used for purposes of comparison only. No allowance for machinery replacement for the crop enterprises has been subtracted from return over variable cost. New machinery and investments must continually be made in order to keep the farm an efficient operating unit. management have all costs deducted. Returns to labor and At the lower level of price assumptions, these returns were negative. A high level of technology was used on the model farm. level of efficiency would not be achieved on many farms. This Labor efficiency probably would not be as high day-in day-out as was used in the model farm. Weather and diseases would lower average crop yields and average daily gains for the livestock alternatives. 56 However, it is felt that a good manager could achieve these levels of productive efficiency. Further research could be done using the same enterprise alter- . natives. Level of management, efficiency of inputs., 'technology, yields, and daily gains could be varied to reflect long run averages. The return over variable cost, figures derived would be lower. The. enterprise combinations would probably be the same as those obtained in this study. Livestock alternatives would probably be the same, but fewer numbers would be fed. The outcome of the optimal livestock alternatives would be harder to predict. Efficiency of feed conver­ sion would influende which livestock enterprise would be most profitable. BIBLIOGRAPHY 58 BIBLIOGRAPHY Baumol, William J. , Economic Theory and Operations Analysis,. Engle­ wood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972). Bitney, Harry I., "Constructing the L.P.'Model - How Much Detail?" Research Report 10, Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, May 1970. Brant, William L:., "Analysis of the Representative Farm Concept.as a Tool in Area Supply Response Research and Farm Management Education." (Unpublished Doctorate Dissertation, Oklahoma State University, 1967). ■ Cornelius, James C . and Schaefer,Jerry, Enterprise Costs for Wintering Feeder Calves in Yellowstone County, Circular 1194, Cooperative ; Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, November 1976. Edwards', Clark, "Using Discrete Programming", Agricultural Economic Research, Volume XV, No. 2, April, 1963. Huffman, Donald C . and Stanton, Lynn A., "Application of Linear Programming to Individual Farm Planning." American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 51 (1969). Land, A. H.: and Doig,. A. G., "An Automatic Method of Solving Discrete • Programming Problems," Econometrics, July 1960, Volume 28, Number .3. • , McCorkle,. Chester 0., "Linear Programming as a. Tool in FarmManagement Analysis." American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 'Vol. 37 (1955). . Naylor, Thomas H. and Vernon, JOhn M . » .Macroeconomics and Decision Models of the Firm. (New York: Harcourt; Brace and World, Inc., ' 1969). Schaefer, Jerry and Luft, LeRoy D., Enterprise Costs of Irrigated Crops . in South Central Montana, Bulletin 1151, Cooperative Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, June 1976. ■ Schaefer, Jerry and Luft, .LeRoy D., Enterprise Costs for Raising Feeder Pigs in Madison and Jefferson Counties, Circular 1196, Cooperative 59 •Extension Service, Montana State University, Bozeman, February 1977. Traphagen, F. W., The Sugar Beet in Montana. Bulletin 19, Montana Experiment Station, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, October 1898. .Yager, William A. and Greer, R. Clyde. Estimating Days Suitable for Fieldwork, Research Report 67, Montana Agricultural Experiment Station, Montana State University, Bozeman, December 1974. APPENDIX 61 APPENDIX Linear Programming Matrix Description of Matrix Activities and Constraints i I. Column Activities Description 1 Right hand side constraints 2 Full time hired man 3 Zero, one variable to insure high cost 450 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds per day enter before lower cost steers 4 Zero, one variable to insure high cost 420 pound heifers gaining 1.50 pounds per day enter before lower cost heifers 5 Zero, one varialbe to insure high^cost 810 pound steers gaining 2.75 pounds per day enter before lower cost steers 6 Zero, one variable to insure high cost 765 pound steers gaining 2.75 pounds per day enter before lower cost steers 7 Zero, one variable to insure high cost 850 pound heifers gaining 2.50 pounds per day enter before lower cost heifers 8 Zero, one variable to set upper limit on 60 sow farrowfinish activity 9 Zero, one variable to set upper limit on 90 sow farrowfinish activity 10 Zero, one variable to set upper limit on 30 sow, sell weaner pigs activity 11 Zero, one variable to set upper limit to feed out weaner pigs 12 Zero, one variable to set upper limit on 10 sow farrowfinish activity 62 Column Description 13 Zero, one variable to represent 450 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds per day 14 Zero, one variable to represent 420 pound heifers gaining 1.50 pounds per day 15 Zero, one variable to represent 810 pound steers gaining 2.75 pounds per day 16 Zero, one variable to represent 850 pound steers gaining a.50 pounds per day 17 Sugar Beets, acres 18 Beans, acres 19 Corn for grain, acres 20 Corn silage, acres 21 Spring wheat, acres 22 Barley for feed, acres 23 Malting Barley, acres 24 Alfalfa Hay, acres 25 Pasture, acres 26 ' Sell corn silage, tons 27 Buy corn silage, tons 28 Sell feed barley, bushels 29 Buy feed barley, bushels 30 Sell alfalfa hay, tons 31 Buy alfalfa hay, tons 32 Sell pasture, AUM's 63 .Column Description 33 Buy pasture, AUM's 34 Transfer labor available for field work, March-May, hours 35 Transfer labor available for field work, June-August, hours 36 Transfer labor available for field work, September-November, hours 37 Transfer labor available for field work, December-Tebruary, hours 38 Hire labor, March-May, hours 39 Hire labor, June-August, hours 40 Hire labor, September-November, hours 41 Transfer operating capital, December-February, dollars 42 Transfer operating capital, March-May, dollars 43 Transfer operating capital, June-August, dollars 44 Transfer operating capital, September-November, dollars 45 Feed steers, 450 pounds, 1.75 pound daily gain, high cost 46 Feed steers, 450 pounds, 1.75 pound daily gain, lower cost 47 Buy 450 pound steers 48 Sell 765 pound steers 49 Feed heifers, 420 pounds, 1.5 pound daily gain, high cost 50 Feed heifers,, 420 pounds, 1.5 pound daily gain, lower cost 51 Buy 420 pound heifers 52 Sell 690 pound heifers' 53 Feed steers, 810 pounds, 2.75 pounds daily gain, high cost 64 Column Description 54 ■Feed steers, 810 pounds, 2.75 pounds daily gain, lower cost 55 Buy 810 pound steers 56 Sell 1110 pound steers 57 Feed steers, 765 pounds, 2.75 pounds daily gain, high cost 58 Feed steers, 765 pounds, 2.75 pounds daily gain, lower cost 59 Buy 765 pound steers 60 Sell 1065 pound steers 61 cost Feed heifers, 850 pounds, 2.5 pounds daily gain. high ■ 62 Feed heifers, 850 pounds, 2.5 pounds daily gain. lower cost 63 Buy 850 pound heifers, head 64 Sell 1050 pound heifers, head 65 Cow-Calf, head 66 Sell 450 pound steers, head 67 Sell 420 pound heifers, head 68 Sell cull cows, head 69 Farrow - Finish (60 sows), head 70 Sell 220 pound market hogs, head 71 Farrow - Finish (90 sows), head 72 Farrow -,Wean (30 sow), 2-litter system 73 Sell weaner pigs, head 74 75 . Feed out weaners, head Buy weaners, head - ■ 65 Column Description 76 Farrow - Finish (10 sows), head 77 Sell 220 pound markeg hogs, head II. Row Constraints Description 1 Objective function 2 Low cost 450 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds positive, equals I 3 equals I, high cost 450 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds equals maximum (170) 4 Low cost 420 pound heifers gaining 1.5 positive, X^ equals I 5 X^ equals I, high cost 420 pound heifers gaining 1.5 pounds equals maximum (170) 6 Low cost 810 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds positive, Xg equals I ' 7 ' Xg equals I, high cost 810 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds equals maximum (170) 8 Low cost 765 pound steers gaining 2.75 pounds positive, X^ equals I 9 Xg equals I, high cost 765 pound steers gaining 2.75 pounds equals maximum (170) 10 Low cost 850 pound heifers gaining 2.50 pounds positive, X^ equals I 11 Xy equals I, high cost 850 pound, heifers gaining 2.50 pounds equals maximum (170) 12 Maximum number of sows, 60 sow farrow-finish head 66 Row Description 13 Maximum number of sows, 90 swos farrow-finish, head 14 Maximum number of sows, 30 sows, sell weaner pigs, head 15 Maximum number of feeder pigs, head 16 Maximum number of sows, 10 sow, 1-litter system 17 Total land, acres 18 Allow I winter cattle feeding activity 19 Allow I hog activity 20 Total December-February, labor balance, hours 21 Total March-May, labor balance, hours 22 Total June-August, labor balance, hours 23 Total September-November, labor balance, hours 24 Labor available for field work, March-May, hours 25 Maximum labor transfer, March-May, hours 26 Labor available for field work, June-August, hours 27 Maximum labor transfer, June-August, hours 28 Labor available for field work, September-November, hours 29 Labor available for field work, September-November, hours 30 Operating capital transfer, December-February, dollars 31 Operating capital transfer, March-May, dollars 32 Operating capital transfer, June-August, dollars 33 Operating capital transfer, September-November, dollars 67 Row .34 Description Operating capital balance, December-February, dollars 35 Operating capital balance, March-May, dollars 36 Operating capital balance, June-August, dollars 37 Operating capital balance, September-November, dollars 38 Maximum sugar beets, acres 39 Minimum sugar beets, acres 40 Corn silage balance, tons 41 Feed barley balance, bushels 42 Alfalfa hay balance, tons 43 Maximum alfalfa, acres 44 Irrigated pasture balance, AUM1s 45 Minimum irrigated pasture, acres 46 450 pound steer balance, head 47 420 pound heifer balance, head 48 765 pound steer balance, head 49 690 .pound heifer balance, head 50 810 pound steer balance, head 51 1110 pound steer balance, head 52 1065 pound steer balance, head 53 850 pound heifer balance, head 54 1050 pound heifer balance, head . 55 Cull cow balance, head. 68 Row Description 56 Market hog balance, head 57 Meaner pig balance, head 58 Meaner pig balance, head 59 Market hog balance, head 60 Low cost 450 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds positive, equals I 61 ' Low cost 420 pound heifers gaining 1.5 pounds positive, equals I 62 . Low cost 810 pound steers gaining 1.75 pounds positive, X^ equals I 63 Low cost 850 pound heifers gaining 2.50 pounds positive, X^ equals I 64 Maximum Minter livestock feeding activities V Table A.I Linear Programming Matrix C01U»N »**t************t**»****s******t**t***********e*****»********»************************** QPU * i ^ 3 4 ' 6 7 P Q tt**tttt*******tt***************************************************** ****************** I* ?* 3* 4 * «- t 6 * 7* 8 * 9 ♦ IC * 11 * I2 * I3 * 14 * 15 * 16 * 17 * 18 ♦ 19 ♦ ZC * 21 ♦ 22 ♦ 23 * * * * ♦ # $ $ * . 0 0 555.CC . on 622.00 . 00 69 I .Cu 80000.CU aOOOO.GO ROOO 0 . OU .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 O O * 25 26 27 ZR 29 30 31 32 .00 .OC .00 .CO I2390.CO 24300.00 5000.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 lire.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -340.00 .00 170.00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 •OC -340.00 .00 170.00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .39 .uo .00 .CO -340.00 .GO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 170.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 -340.90 . OO .00 .00 .00 170.00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 -340.00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 —60.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -90. 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .JO .00 .00 .OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 1.00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -750.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 -750.00 . 00 . 0 0 . 0 0 .0 0 .00 .00 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 -750.00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 .03 -750.00 .00 .ou .CO . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 .OU .00 .00 .00 .0 0 -555.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .CO .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 . 0 0 .00 . 0 0 . 0 0 .00 -622.03 .00 . 0 0 .00 . 00 . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 -697.00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 .00 . 0 0 . 0 0 .00 .00 O O 24 .CO . OO .CO • 0u .OU .OC .CO .00 .00 •Ou .00 .00 .00 .CO . CO .CO 300.CO 1.00 I.OC 750.00 750.00 750.00 75 0. OU . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 **************************************************************************************** O' VO Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLUMN ****************** t t t * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ) d 7 6 4 5 3 2 OOVi * t * t* * * t ****** *************************************************************************** i 3* 34 * 35 * 3A * J7 * 3B * 39 » 40 * 41 * 42 « 43 * 44 * 45 * 46 * 47 « 4b * 49 * SC * SI * 40000.00 .00 .CO . 00 .CC 320.00 60.00 .00 .00 .00 320.00 .00 .03 . 00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .03 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .30 .00 .00 .00 . 36 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .OO .00 . 00 . uO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .on .00 .00 .00 .CC .00 . 30 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 . 03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CL .00 . 0O .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Cu 52 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .0 0 .00 .00 S3 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 . OC 54 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .03 SA * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 30 .00 .CJ .60 .PO 56 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO . Of 57 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO . CO 5P « .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 59 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .03 .00 .OC 60 * .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .PO 61 ♦ .00 .OO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .03 .CO 62 * .OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO 63 * 1.00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 I. CO 64 * *»*»***$*****»**»*♦#**********************************•*♦**********♦***********♦******** . CO .CO Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CCLUVN $****$$$<.«:****$*$*$*$*$$**$$**$*$ *************$******** * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Ctju * Il 11 I? 13 14 11 16 17 16 ♦♦,t««*»tt»«*t**«t**********<»«»************«******************************************* .00 -209.39 -133.19 .00 .CO .00 1 .00 .00 . Ou .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .Cu 2 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 . 00 3 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .GO . OC 4 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .Ou . 30 • 00 5 .00 .CO .OC .00 .CO .00 .Ju .00 .Cl .30 .CO .CO .CO .39 .03 .p-: .CC 7 . CC .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO .CO .00 .CO f .CO .CO .00 .00 . 00 .CO .00 .03 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .CO .00 .00 IU .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .30 .00 .L: II .00 .00 .00 .OC . OO .00 .00 .00 . CO 12 .00 .00 . OO .CO .00 .00 .33 .00 . 00 13 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -30.OU I* .00 . CO .00 .00 .CO .OC . 00 .4.00 .Ur ItJ .09 .CO .CO .00 .CO .CO .00 — IC 00 . CU 16 1.00 .CO !.CO .00 . OO .CO .JJ .00 . UC 17 1.00 .CO 1.00 1.00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 . CO Iti .CO .00 .00 . OO .CO .00 I.CO 1.00 I. CO 11 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .OC .OC .00 .CO 2C .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 21 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .g o .CO .03 22 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .Cu . Oi . 00 . CO 23 .CO .00 2.80 .00 2.36 .CC .CC .00 24 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CC .0/ .30 .Cu 26 2.06 .00 .00 2.25 .00 .CO .Ou 24 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .OG .00 .OC .Cu 27 2.77 6.37 .00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 21 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .CO .03 .00 . 90 29 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 . 00 30 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 U .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 32 **************************************************************************************** H Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLUPN ttttt*ti*t***i*************»***************************************** ************** ci) W e I) 11 11 I3 14 15 16 17 11 tttttf^it^****************************************************************************** .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 31 34 . CO .CO .00 Bi .00 .00 36 37 3 '■ JS -tf' 4I 42 43 44 45 46 47 4"» .CO .CC .so .CO . 00 . Oo . 0O .00 .CO . OO .OC .0 ' .OC .CO .OC .03 .00 .00 .Cl .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .Cu .00 .03 .00 .CO .00 .00 . 1)11 .00 .00 .00 .00 .UC .00 .00 .OC .Cu .00 .CO SO Jl 52 53 54 55 «6 07 SP 59 60 61 62 63 64 .00 .OC .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .c: . PO . Co . Co . OC . 00 .03 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .OC .CO .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .CJ . or .CO .CO .Go .CO . Cu .CO . CO • CO .CO I. Ov .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OC .CO . CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO .CO .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .OC .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Ou .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 -170.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -170.00 .00 .30 .00 .00 -170.00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 -170.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 .00 .03 .00 1.00 .00 .OP .CO .OC .00 .03 .00 .00 .09 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 80.04 3d.78 31.81 !.CO 33.85 13.43 19.54 .03 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .OU .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .03 .00 .CO .00 .CC .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Oo .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .no .00 .00 **************************************************************************************** M Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLURN *«»*»* * * t - s * * * * * * * * » * * * » * * * * * * * * * * * » » * * * » * * * * * * * * # * * * « * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * » * * * * * * * » * * * * » * » 11 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 or<v * $***$$ « * * i * * t * * * * « * * # * » * * * * * * * * » * * » * » » » * * * * * » * » * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * » * » R * * * * * * * » * * * * * * » « » * -13.00 22.00 61.55 64.lt -153.81 55.63 98.41 -85.56 -132.51 1 * .00 . CO .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .OC 2 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 . Gt 3 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 . CO 4 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .CO .00 .01 . Cu 5 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .CO .CO b .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .O" .00 7 . CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .09 F .CO .00 . 00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .Cu y .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 in .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .OC .00 .CC 11 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .OC 12 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .UU .00 . CC 13 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .u0 .00 . 00 14 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 . CC 10 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .On .CO .00 . 00 16 .00 1.00 .00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 I. 10 I OU 17 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 IR .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 01 11 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO 20 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Cu 21 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 22 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 . CO 23 .28 .00 2.81 .16 .00 2.61 1.70 2.31 24 I. 7C .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .30 .00 .00 . PO 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 I. 00 .00 1.00 .00 I.72 1.72 1.72 4.56 .00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .on .GO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 3.56 .00 4.27 .CO .00 .00 .20 .00 .11 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 **********«****»«*♦***»****♦***♦»*****«#******»»•*•*«»************»********************* OJ Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CQLUvN **************************************************************************************** PCU * Vl 20 11 22 23 24 25 26 27 **»»*»»«*«$»*«*♦***********♦*<■*******»»****»***»*******♦***♦**************************** .00 .00 .00 OO .CO CO .00 .00 .Cv 33 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .01 .00 34 .00 32.69 14.30 .00 .CO 36.64 40.53 44.12 64.53 59. 76 J125.84 27.50 8.90 4.67 .00 h.b7 .CO 10.94 S. 17 36 11.02 22.00 -13.00 16.65 13.33 16.63 Io.65 23.02 5 3.4c 37 .On .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .OC 3.00 .CO .CO .CO .uC •UQ .00 .00 .Cj i r1.00 .CO .00 -1.00 .00 .00 .00 .50 -20.00 tO -8C.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Ov .Cl 4I -5.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .03 42 .00 .OO .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 t'j .00 -6.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .Co 44 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .01 .OC 44 .OC ■ .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .OO .00 .00 .00 .Cu 46 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .3u .00 .00 47 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CU .00 .CO 4P .00 .00 .CO .ou .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO 49 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO 50 .00 .OC .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .Cu 6I .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CC 52 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 53 .00 .00 .CO .CO .OO .00 .OC .00 .CO 54 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .UO .JO .00 .30 5 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .OO .00 .10 .00 .Ou 34 .00 .00 .00 .CO .60 .00 .00 .00 .OC 57 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .IC .00 .Cu 56 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 40 .00 .OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CC .00 .00 60 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .30 .CO 61 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 62 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Ou 63 .W OO 00 OO .00 .00 O ** ♦ •.V U • VU • VV •.CO VIv • v • VI •.W v WWW •V IV .00 .00 00 64 ****** S*** * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * • * * * * • • * • * • * * • * • * * * * * * * * * * Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CULUlN **************************************************************************************** O O O O 3. 36 34 35 32 33 31 29 2H =0 W * *****»************$»*»»>*****$**»»****»******»*»**»*****************♦***********♦******* .00 .00 .00 -e.oo 8.30 65.C-O I.32 -rC.OC ;» -I. PC .00 .00 .00 .03 .CO .CO .oo .00 .CO ’ * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .VU .03 .V .v 3 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .OC 4 * .LU .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CC .OC .CO 5 * .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CC .CO .00 . 05 fr 4 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Jv .OC 7 t .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 P » .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CC .00 .00 G » . Cu .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .UO IC * .OC .00 .00 . 30 .00 .00 .Ou .3 0 • Cu I I 4 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 50 .00 . Ou LI » .00 .00 .00 .00 . OC .CC .00 .Cu .Ou 13 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 . CC I4 » .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00' .00 . C O Ic * .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 .UU .uo . n 16 * .03 .00 .00 . OO .CC .CO .00 1 7 » .00 . UU .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .uo .CO Ifi * .OC . 0 0 .CO . 0 0 .00 .CO . OC .CO . 00 19 4 . 0 0 .00 . 0 0 . 0 0 .30 .CO .CU .CO .03 20 * . 0 0 1 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 .Ov . 0 0 .00 2I 4 .00 1 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 .00 .OC .CO .00 . CO 2? 4 1 . 0 0 . 0 0 .0 0 .00 .00 23 4 . uC .00 .00 .c : . 0 0 .CO - 1.00 .00 .00 .05 .• j .03 24 4 1 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 .CO 24 4 . 0 0 .C C .C. 00 - 1 . 0 0 . 00 . 0 0 . 0 0 .00 .CO .00 .Ou 26 4 . 0 0 1 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 .00 . 0 0 .00 .00 27 4 .CO .00 .00 .00 - 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 28 4 I.OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 29 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO 3C * .00 .00 . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 31 4 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OU 32 ♦ ^t************************************************************************* ************* Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLUMN *t*t«$$$****»************$$$****$**t*******t*$*$$**$*$*********$***********$*$*****$$*$* OQW * 31 32 29 30 34 35 33 36 ******#<=t^*<:t:<:**********):»*t*»*t**t**********^***1t***»**t:*t**************4»***********»* . CO .UC .CO .00 si .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 )4 * . c: . 00 . 'C .OC .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 eUL 3b ♦ .00 . JO .00 .00 .00 b. 30 .00 .CO .CC .00 -51.00 36 * .UC -o . JO .00 .00 .00 .00 -I. PC .37 * .33 1.92 6 5.00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .Cr . 30 3P * .00 .CO .CO .CO .00 .CO .00 34 $ .CC .00 . OP . 00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 4 I.' * .CO .30 .OC .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 4I * I. Cj - 1 .UO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 -CU 42 * . CO .00 1.03 - I . OC .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 43 ♦ . CO .00 .00 .CC . OC .00 .00 .00 .00 44 * .00 . Ct .00 .00 I. OC -1. 0 0 .00 .00 .00 • UU .00 4b $ .00 .30 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .on 46 $ . CO .09 .00 .03 . 00 . CO .00 .00 47 $ . CG .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 4S * . Cu .09 . 00 .00 .00 .CO . 03 .00 .00 .CO 44 t .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 . PO 50 $ .OC .03 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 51 * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 42 * . OC .00 .30 .03 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 . CO .00 .00 .00 53 * .00 .00 .00 54 $ . CO .CO .00 .CO . OO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 55 * . OS .CO .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 • U»Li .CO .30 c6 $ .00 . OC .00 .CO .00 .03 57 ♦ . OG .00 .00 .OU .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 * 5" . CC .00 .OP .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 4<J * .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 oC $ . 00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 61 * . GO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 62 * . CO .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 63 ♦ .CO .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 64 ♦ . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 *******$*$****$***$***$*$*$$******$******$***********#$*$***$******$**$*****$***$******* Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CuLUfN t**t>4ts*;:*t«»*****t*********t»**t*t*t*************»************************************ O O 49 37 <tP 4I 42 43 44 17 3? 'JW * *****C$3**** »***t«r»******#**»»»»***»****»*«»»»***»*************»»********«***«********** .09 3.uu 3.GO .OS .OS .09 24.39 3. I.J 3.CO I ft .U.1 .01 .00 .00 -1.00 .CO .00 2 ft .00 .00 .00 .Cs .GC .00 .CO .CO .30 J ft .09 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 •Gu S ft r, ft .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .03 .Ov .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .CO .OC .03 .Cu .OS tr ft 7 ft .00 .CO .00 .CS .CO .00 .00 .UU .r: .03 P ft .OO .CG .00 .00 .CC .CO .00 .CS .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .GP ft .30 .Ou .os .30 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .OC .00 .OG 11' ft .00 .00 .0' .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .Cu JI ft .00 .CO .Cl .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 I? ft .Cu .00 .00 .00 .OO .CO .00 .00 .OS 13 ft .00 .00 .UO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CS' I4 ft .00 .00 .CO .00 .09 .00 .00 .30 .CO Ib ft .00 .03 .30 .CC .00 .Co .00 .CO .Ou Ifc ft .CO .CO .00 .03 .00 .CO .03 .OC .Cu I7 ft .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 IS ft .00 .CO .CO .00 .OC .OC .00 .OC .OP Id ft .CO .00 .00 -!.CO .CO .OC .00 .00 1.42 PO ft .OC .GC .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC -1.00 .70 Pl ft .on -1.00 .OO .00 .00 .00 .03 .(if. .00 PP ft .Os .00 .OC .00 .00 -I.OC .00 .00 .OC U j ft .00 .PO .GO .CO -1.00 .GO .CO .00 P4 ft .JU .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC PS ft -1.30 .03 .00 .00 .00 .0.) .CO .00 .CO Pfc ft .00 .00 .GC .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 PT ft .OC .OG .00 -1.00 .00 .00 .OC .CO .00 PP ft .00 .00 .30 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 PO ft .CO .00 .CP 1.00 .00 .00 .03 .CO .00 .00 30 ft 1.00 .30 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .OG .OO 31 ft .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 3P ft *********************************************************************************•**•**• Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLU-N C**sf****s$t**t****$#*###$$*t**$*****t#t*#c*$#***ft************************************* ;n w 23 * 34 * ic » 36 * 37 * 3b t 39 » 40 * 41 * 42 * 4i * 44 * 45 t 46 fr 47 t 43 $ *.9 * SC * 5I * 52 * S3 * 54 $ 56 * 56 ♦ >7 S 5? * 59 * 60 $ 61 * 62 * 63 ♦ 64 ♦ Jf . OG . OS .CO .00 .00 . GO . Cu . CS . CO . 1)0 . Cu .CS .0) .CO .OS . 00 .CO . CO . OC .00 . CO .CO . OS .00 .CO .00 . 00 • Ou . CO . OO . CO .00 3= .00 .OS .00 .00 .0 0 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .OS .00 .OS .OS .00 .00 .00 .OS .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .30 .00 3I .CO .90 .OS .OC .SC .00 .UG .GC .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .30 .CO .00 •U C .CO .00 .30 .OC .00 . Of .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .30 .00 .00 .00 40 .CO .uO .00 .CO .CO .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .OC .00 .CO .CO .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .on .00 .CO . PO .CC .CO .00 .CC .00 .00 .CO 4I .30 -1.03 .OS .00 .on . 00 .00 . UU .00 .00 .00 .30 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . CO . OO .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 42 .00 . OO -1.00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .PO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 43 .00 . OO .CO -1.03 .00 .OS .00 .00 .09 .00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 44 1.00 .CO .00 .00 -1.00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 45 .CO 16.34 P.05 .00 .00 .00 .00 2.25 11.25 .27 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 -1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 **************************************************************************************** Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLUMN **************************************************************************************** 9QW* 46 47 4d 43 50 51 52 53 54 *t*irt:tt4it»»****t»t«;*«#*«:**»t*et**»tt4**************»*****#»**#*******************»***** I 2 3 4 30. iq * t « * 5 * 6* 7 t d q 10 11 12 13 14 I5 16 II IF iq 2C * * * » * * * * * » * * » 21 » 22 * 23 « 24 * 25 26 27 2B 25 30 31 32 * * * * * * * * 1.UC . 00 .CO .OC . Cv .O '. .OV .C f, .00 .Cu .Cl/ .CO .CO .CC . PC’ .Ou .00 .53 . 17 . CO . CO .CO . OU . CO .CO . CO . 00 . OP .OC .CC 133.35 -2'0.1O .CO .CO .30 .00 .OC .00 .OG .CO .00 .0 ) .CO .50 .00 .03 .00 .00 .CC .00 .00 .30 •U'O .30 .00 .30 .30 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .CO .30 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .OC .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC 24.16 .OC .00 -I.on .CO .0' .cr .00 .00 .CC .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 I .42 .73 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 20.36 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .CO . 00 . 00 .00 .00 • uO .03 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .53 .17 .00 .00 .OO .00 . 00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 150.35 .00 .CO .00 .00 .30 .CO .00 .OC .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -253.75 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO .03 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . CO .00 .03 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 29.14 .00 .CO .00 .CO - I . CC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CC .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .65 .00 .CO .65 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO 34.94 .CO .00 .00 .00 .OC I.OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 . 00 .00 . OO .00 .16 .00 .Iti .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 *********************************************************************************** '■J <£> Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix COLUMN **************************************** **************************** ********** f.ou * oO 4 i, tmtztttttt**************************************************************************** .OC .00 150.35 .00 .00 .CO .00 .GO .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 -1.00 .00 .00 .00 -253.70 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 11 .11 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .OO .OC .00 1.00 1.00 .0 0 .00 .Cu .00 .00 I. VO .CO - I. CO 1.00 .Jo .00 .00 .00 .00 I.GG I.00 .00 I .00 .00 .00 .00 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -!.CO -1.00 .CO 1.00 .00 . OO .00 .GO .CC .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 2 0. 23 9. 56 .CO 6C . CO 5I 52 53 54 55 56 57 5j 59 60 61 b2 63 64 . 0 0 . CO • V x. 2. 25 I 1.25 .27 .CO .CO . 0 0 . 00 . OC .CO .CO . 00 . CO . CO OC I a 3 35 .00 .0 3 .OC .00 .00 -269.10 .00 .00 .00 .OU .GC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .GO .CO .00 . OC .00 .GO .00 .00 .00 .PO .CG .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO 16. 19 7.97 .OC .CO .00 • GO 1.60 I 1.25 .27 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . OC .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 PC .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 1.00 .00 . OO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . . 0 0 . CO • OU .OC .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO 14.57 .00 .CO 14.57 .00 .CO .27 39.00 .00 20.07 9.39 .00 .00 •OO .CO I ,,80 11 <,25 .27 .00 .00 .00 .00 33 34 35 36 37 3a 35 40 4I 4? 43 44 4r 46 47 4S 45 .CO .00 . .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 - 17.47 .00 .00 17.47 .Cu .OC .27 39.03 .00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 -I.GO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 . 0 0 .GO . 0 0 . 0 0 .CO . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 1 . 0 0 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 ****** **************************************************************************** CO O Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CCLUWN **»*»*♦*»***»***».*»**»*«***»»**♦*«****»♦***»*****»*#♦******»****»**»**#******#*****#**** OOW **************************************************************************************** I t 20.94 26.74 34.94 294.05 -333.40 249.85 2°. 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OC .00 .00 .00 2 P 2 9 3 C J I .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .OC .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .03 .CO .OC .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CC .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CC .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 6.88 6.88 .CO .00 .00 .03 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 1.00 -CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .OC .00 .00 6 . 8P .03 .CO . 00 .00 .00 6.89 .CU 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 2.00 10.20 2.00 10.20 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .CO . 00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 32 **************************************************************************************** OO IO Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CCLU*N *$*tt*$$$***t*$$t*t$$****$****$$$*$$$**$$$$$****$**$*****$**************$**$$*********** 7? 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IS 69.15 69.15 69.15 .00 .00 .00 302.00 .16 .00 .CO .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .c : .00 -15.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .UO .00 .00 -19.25 -19.25 -19.25 19.25 .00 .09 .CO .00 . Ou .00 .00 .CO .CO .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO 90.34 90.34 90.34 90.34 .OC .00 .OC 2 5 4 . CO .CO .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 -15.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 21.93 61.80 21.96 51.60 .00 .00 .CO 16.72 .29 .00 . CO .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .00 . OO .00 .OO .00 .CO -15.00 .CO .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 **************************************************************************************** Oo Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix ******* P0 W * 7* Th 7b 76 77 ************** ***** * * * * * * * * * * * * * * + * $ * $ $ $ $ * $ * * * * * * * * $ * $ * * * * * * + * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * -2 I. 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OC 31 * OO .00 .CO .OG .00 32 ***»**»»*<:***« t************************************************************************* * * * * ♦ * ♦ .oc .cr « OO Ln Table A.I (Continued) Linear Programming Matrix CGLUwN ttt^************************************************************************** ********** Rf1W * Ti 33 34 35 Jfc 37 38 3° 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 40 50 5I 52 53 54 44 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 . 00 -10.50 . UO -I 0.50 .CO .CO . 00 . 00 7A 75 76 77 ttmtttt***+***************************************************************** ********** .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 .00 32.65 42.78 78.52 .UO .00 .00 21.01 133.24 65.07 S C . 67 86.40 •77.03 .UO .00 .00 .00 .00 152.00 .24 . OU .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 . 00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . CO . 00 1.00 . 00 .00 . 00 .00 . CO .00 .Ou .00 .0 0 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .01 .00 .00 7.50 -7.50 .00 .00 .00 .00 .CO .00 .00 360.00 .24 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .30 . 00 .00 . 00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 - .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 1.00 .00 .03 -7.50 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 . 00 64 tt.t*************************************************************************** ********** .00 .00 OO O' N378 Schl25 cop, 2 DATE Schaefer, Gerald M Optimum farm organiza­ tion for a representative irrigated farm in the Yellowstone Valley ISSUED TO Sth