ICTs – The 98% Solution(s) Stephen Harper Global Director Environment and Energy Policy Intel Corporation Copenhagen COP 15 December 2009 Information and Communications Technology (ICT): Improving Quality of Life in Many Ways Providing new modes of education and training Improving the quality and availability of health care Enhancing personal safety Providing increased accessibility for people with disabilities Increasing access to information about government and increasing Providing energy and environmental benefits 2 The Micro and the Macro Story Drive Computing to Be More Energy Efficient ~2%* Opportunity Use Computing to Improve Energy Savings Outside Information and Communications Technology 98% The Big Opportunity 3 *Source: Gartner, 2007 “Macro Story” Evidence American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) studied this issue and concluded: • “For every extra Kwh of electricity that has been demanded by ICT, the US economy increased its overall energy savings by a factor of about 10…” (2008) The Climate Group and the “Global e-Sustainability Initiative” published a report entitled, “Smart 2020: Enabling the Low Carbon Economy in the Information Age” (2008), concluding: • Smart 2020 concludes that ICT strategies could reduce up to 15% percent of global emissions in 2020 against a “business as usual” baseline US Addendum to Smart 2020 report, prepared by Boston Consulting Group indicates that ICT strategies could reduce US carbon emissions by up to 22 percent by 2020 vs. business-as-usual TAKE AWAY: ICT strategies offer huge potential for addressing climate challenge 4 Macro Story – Increasing the EE of Other Sectors Automation Substitution De-Materialization Industrial Robots Video Conferencing Logistics for Transportation Online Entertainment Converting Atoms to Bits e-Commerce On-line Banking LEED Certified Buildings Paperless Office Digital Media Content Smart Motors Smart Power Delivery 5 Another View of Micro v. Macro Story (Courtesy: Japan IT Promotion Council) Energy-saving home appliances LED/OEL illumination HEMS、BEMS Advanced automotive electronics Homes Business Ecological driving with ITS, ETC Transportation More efficient distribution with RFID tags Introduction of more energy efficient IT devices/systems Green Green by by IT IT Industries Telecommuting, Videoconferencing, online sales, etc. IT control systems of machines/factories Power Electronics Green Green of of IT IT IT infrastructure 6 6 Energy Supply and Demand Forecasts for 2030 in Japan (Courtesy: Japan GIPC) Green IT = 130 million tons Green of IT + Green by IT 20 million tons 110 million tons Forecast for energy-derived CO2 emissions [100 million tons of CO2] 14 +11% Status quo scenario 13 12 Benefit of Green IT -450 million tons 11 -130 million tons 10 9 Maximum adoption scenario -22% 8 1990 2005 2020 2030 7 7 What Is Missing? Realizing the full potential of the macro story will require: • • • Aggressive public policies to correct market failures Remove implementation barriers Provide incentives to adoption Appropriate public policies include: • • • • • • Developing a National Strategy to guide policy direction Lead by example – government is the biggest landowner, employer, etc. Broadband, broadband, broadband Establish incentives and rewards for investments in EE ICT Change power generators’ financial incentives Educate SMEs on the potential of the macro story 8 9 ■ Realization of an IT Society in Harmony with with thethe Environment IT Society in Harmony Environment Broadband Internet Era Energy consumption by IT use Develop innovative energy-saving technologies Minimize Promote using more energyefficient products Sustainable “Green IT Society” Contribution of IT to energy efficiency Maximize Improve productivity by the introduction of IT (ex. ERP, SCM, …) Introduce IT-driven energy-saving measures (ex. HEMS, BEMS) 10