Price Points and Price Rigidity* Daniel Levy** Bar-Ilan University Levyda@mail.biu.ac.il Dongwon Lee University of Minnesota dlee@csom.umn.edu Haipeng (Allan) Chen University of Miami hchen@miami.edu Robert J. Kauffman University of Minnesota rkauffman@csom.umn.edu Mark Bergen University of Minnesota mbergen@csom.umn.edu Last revision: April 15, 2006 JEL Codes: E12, E31, L16, D80, M21, M30 Key Words: Price Points, 9-Ending Prices, Price Rigidity, Rational Inattention, Retail Pricing, E-Commerce * We are grateful to Jurek Konieczny, the discussant at the 2003 Central European University Conference on “Microeconomic Pricing and the Macroeconomy” for constructive comments. We thank the conference participants and especially Julio Rotemberg for insightful conversations, and Andrzej Baniak, Marco Bonomo, Alan Kackmeister, Attila Ratfai, Harald Stahl, Christoph Weiss, Jonathan Willis and Alex Wolman for suggestions. Gershon Alperovich, Bob Barsky, Leif Danziger, and Jacob Paroush provided helpful comments. Portions of this work have been also presented at the 2004 INFORMS Conference on Information Systems and Technology in Denver, the 2004 International Conference on Systems Science in Washington, DC, the 2005 IS Research Symposium, the 2005 Maryland Symposium on Statistical Challenges in ECommerce, the 2005 AMCIS Doctoral Consortium, and at the 2005 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference. We thank Chris Forman, Hemant Bhargava, D.J. Wu, Barrie Nault, Fred Riggins, Sri Narasimhan, Rahul Telang, Sunil Milthas, and other conference participants for helpful suggestions. Finally, we thank the seminar participants at Bar-Ilan University, European Central Bank, and the Departments of Marketing as well as Information and Decision Sciences at the University of Minnesota for comments, Manish Aggrawal, Ning Liu, and Avichai Snir for research assistance, and the University of Chicago and Dominick’s for data. Some parts of this manuscript were completed at the Monetary Policy and Research Division, at the Research Department of the European Central Bank, where Daniel Levy was a visiting scholar. He is grateful to the ECB Research Department members, and its management for the hospitality. Dongwon Lee’s research is supported by an eBRC Doctoral Support Award from Pennsylvania State University and the MIS Research Center at University of Minnesota. Rob Kauffman acknowledges partial support from the MIS Research Center. All authors contributed equally: we rotate co-authorship. The usual disclaimer applies. ** Corresponding author: Daniel Levy, Department of Economics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan 52900, ISRAEL. Tel: + 972-3-531-8331, Fax: + 972-3-535-3180, Email: Levyda@mail.biu.ac.il. Price Points and Price Rigidity Abstract Although the existing literature in economics and marketing offers growing evidence on the use of price points, there is a lack of direct evidence on the link between price points and price rigidity. We examine this issue in the retail setting using two datasets. One is a large weekly transaction price dataset, covering 29 product categories over an eight-year period from a large US supermarket chain. The other is from the Internet, and includes daily prices over a two-year period for hundreds of consumer electronic products with a wide range of prices. Across the two datasets, we find that 9 is the most frequently used price-ending for the penny, dime, dollar and the ten-dollar digits. Exploring the relationship between price points and price rigidity in these datasets, we find that the most common price changes are in multiples of dimes, dollars, and tendollar increments. When we econometrically estimate the probability of a price change, we find that 9-ending prices are at least 24 percent (and as much as 73 percent) less likely to change in comparison to prices ending with other digits. We also find that the average size of change of 9ending prices are systematically larger when they do change, in comparison to non 9-ending prices. This link between price points and price rigidity is remarkably robust across the wide variety of price levels, product categories, and retailers examined in this study. To make sense of these findings, we offer a behavioral explanation building on the emerging literature on rational inattention. We argue that consumers may find it rational to be inattentive to the rightmost digits of retail prices because of the costs of processing price information. In response, firms may find it profitable to set the rightmost digits at 9, and therefore, be rigid in their pricing around these price points. We conclude that price points are a significant source of retail price rigidity in our datasets, and that rational inattention can offer a plausible explanation for their presence.