Why There Are Heirarchies i Business in B i (and why they dissolve) -1- Geodesic Networks Network of participants p p Community of interest Often global Non-hierarchical, web-like structure No central node Long history -2- Historical Examples Construction contractors in ancient Rome 11th Century English mine Medieval trading networks John Jacob Astor -3- Emergence of Managerial Capitalism Mass Production ( l economies) (scale i ) Textiles Mining Primary Metals Flour & cereal Tobacco Business & agricultural g machines Household appliances Automobiles Mass Distribution ( (scope economies) i ) Railroads —Compared with wagon trails —Compared with river transport —Compared with canals Refrigerated storage & transport Telegraph & telephone Mass Media High Volume Throughput -4- The generic value chain for a firm: Support Activities Firm Infrastructure Procurement Technology Development Human Resources Development Inbound Logistics Operations Outbound Logistics Marketing & Sales Service Primary Activities -5- Geo-Social Differences United States World’s fastest-growing mass market Great Britain Slower growth smaller space more disruption by world wars Germany Interessengemeinschaft Japan Late to industrialize Feudal social base -6- Heirarchies Are Coming Unglued Economies of Scale are Eroding Automated Production Seamless Coordination via Internet Flexible Fabrication Facilities as “Common Carriers” Carriers Economies of Scope are Eroding Disintegration of Mass Media Commoditization of transportation for goods Easy travel for people Smooth flow of money Mass Customization -7- The Challenge Ahead How will communities of interest take action without heirarchies? -8- Challenge Ahead Loss of Growth Dynamism Exports Production Shift to service sector -9- - 10 - Challenge Ahead Productivity oduc v y Co Conundrums u d u s Excess capacity Capital formation & interest rates Innovation and diffusion of technology Management failure Comparative productivity measures Stagflation - 11 - Challenge Ahead G Global ob Interdependence e depe de ce Political interdependence Financial interdependence Trade interdependence & domestic economy —Import penetration —Adjustment The New Competition p Knowledge business - 12 - Geodesic Networks: Future Possibilities Project j financing g involves network of participants Community of interest Often global Non-hierarchical, web-like structure No central node - 13 - Exhibits 1-15 - 14 - - 15 - Exhibit 2: Index of Real GDP 250 200 Japan Canada France German Italy United States United Kingdom 150 100 50 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1960 1955 1950 0 Year - 16 - - 17 - Population Density ( People / km2 ) - 18 - GDP (PPP) per capita 1975 - 19 - GDP (PPP) per capita 1980 - 20 - GDP (PPP) per capita 1990 - 21 - Economic Map - 22 - GDP (PPP) per capita 2000 - 23 - - 24 - Purchasing Power Parity of GDP per capita 2003 (U.S. = 100) PPP of GDP for the countries of the world (2003). The US is the base country, so it is 100. The highest index value, for Bermuda, is 154, so the same goods are 54% more expensive in Bermuda than the United States. - 25 - GDP 2005 - 26 - 2006 GDP (by Purchasing Power Parity) as a percentage of the top producer (U.S. = 100) http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/2/28/2006gdp_ppp.PNG - 27 - GDP 2007 - 28 - - 29 - Focus on Poland - 30 - The physical value chain from a global perspective: What opportunities? Support Activities: •Technology Development •Human Resources Development Service Distribution& Marketing Fabrication Refining Basic Extraction Physical Realm Value Added at Each Step - 31 - Future Possibilities Renewable Fuels Power Geothermal Ocean Thermal Layers By-product is fresh water Tidal Hydrogen Conversion - 32 - Virtual Value Chain & Information Operations GATHER AND APPLY IN THE PHYSICAL REALM STORE AND TRANSFORM IN THE INFORMATION REALM APPLY PRESENT DISTRIBUTE SYNTHESIZE Infosphere SELECT ORGANIZE GATHER - 33 -