Financial Derivatives Problem Set 4 Spring 2016 Futures Options 1. The following prices are observed: § Futures price is $102 for expiration in 90 days § Call option with $100 strike price and 90 days to expiration has premium of $4 § Put option with $100 strike price and 90 days to expiration has premium of $1.75 § T-bill rate is 10% Is this an equilibrium situation? Can you formulate a profitable arbitrage strategy? Problems 2 through 5 use some options on futures quoted on January 29. Determine the profit from the strategy for each of the following futures prices at expiration: 470, 475, 485, 490, 495. Graph the results. Determine the breakeven futures price at expiration. Use a multiplier of 500. 2. The June 485 call premium is 4.875. Construct a simple long call position. 3. The June 485 put premium is 6.75. Construct a simple long put position. 4. On January 29, the June futures price is 483.10. Using June call data from problem 2, construct a covered call position. 5. Using the data in problems 3 and 4, construct a protective put with the June 485 put. The remaining questions are for class discussion 6. Explain why American call options on futures could be exercised early when call options on the spot are not. For simplicity, assume no dividends. 7. Consider the Black model for pricing futures options. What problems arise when applying it to options on Eurodollar futures? 8. Explain why the futures option-pricing model is simply a pricing model for options on instruments with a zero cost of carry. 9. Evaluate the following statement: “Dividends are relevant to the pricing of European call options but not to the pricing of European call options on futures. Amazingly enough, this is true even though the two calls have the same price.” Prof. Kensinger page 1 Financial Derivatives 1. Solutions: Problem Set 4 We’ll need to make an assumption about the expiration of the futures contract that underlies the options. If its expiration is the same as the options, then this is not an equilibrium situation. Someone could sell a call and buy a put, receiving $2.25. This would create an obligation to sell a futures contract with futures price of $100. At the same time, one could purchase a listed futures contract with futures price of $102 at no immediate cost. Doing these things would result in an inflow of $2.25 immediately, with an obligation to pay $2 at the expiration date (this arises from the obligation to buy the underlying commodity for $102 and sell it for $100). 2. Actual premium paid for the contract is $2,437.50 (4.875 times 500). This is the maximum loss. If the price at expiration were 485 or less, the optionholder would incur the maximum loss. Breakeven futures price is 485 + 4.875 = 489.875. If the price at expiration were 490, there would be a profit of $62.50. If the price at expiration were 495, there would be a profit of $2562.50 3. Actual premium paid for the contract is $3,375 (6.75 times 500). This is the maximum loss. If the price at expiration were 485 or higher, the option-holder would incur the maximum loss. If the price at expiration were 480, there would be a loss of $875. Breakeven futures price is 485 – 6.75 = 478.25. If the price at expiration were 475, there would be a profit of $1625. If the price at expiration were 470, there would be a profit of $4125. 4. To construct a covered call, buy the underlying futures contract and write a call. The underlying long futures contract has zero value on the date of origination. The sale of the call would produce income of $2437.50 (4.875 times 500). If the futures price at expiration were less than 485, the call would expire worthless and the futures position would dominate the story. At 470, the loss would be 2437.50 – 500(483.10 – 470) = –4112.50. At 475, the loss would be 2437.50 – 500(483.10 – 475) = –1612.50. Breakeven futures price at expiration is 478.225. At 480, the profit would be 2437.50 – 500(483.10 – 480) = 887.50. At 485, the profit would be 2437.50 + 500(485– 483.10) = 3387.50. This is the maximum profit, because the option would be exercised if the futures price were above 485. If the futures prices were 102.31, this situation would be in equilibrium. Suppose that the expiration of the underlying futures contract were 30 days following the expiration of the options. Someone could repeat the transactions described above. At option expiration there would be two steps in the settlement process. First, the long 102 futures contract would be settled for the spot price minus 102. Then the options package would be settled for 100 minus the 30-day futures price. The net obligation at option expiration then would be the basis for the 30-day futures contract plus $2. Prof. Kensinger Spring 2016 Financial Derivatives 5. Solutions: Problem Set 4 To construct a protective put, buy the underlying futures contract and buy a put. The underlying long futures contract has zero value on the date of origination. The purchase of the put would cost $3,375 (6.75 times 500). If the futures price at expiration were higher than 485, the put would expire worthless and the futures position would dominate the story. At 495, the profit would be 500(495–483.10)– 3375 = 2575. At 490, the profit would be 500(490–483.10)– 3375 = 75. Breakeven futures price at expiration is 489.85. At 485, the loss would be 500(485–483.10)– 3375 = –2425. This is the maximum loss, because the option would be exercised if the futures price were below 485. 6. through 9. For class discussion. Prof. Kensinger Spring 2016