Building a Competitive Nigeria: The Role of the National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Professor Michael E. Porter Harvard Business School National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Lagos, Nigeria March 21, 2013 This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porter’s articles and books, in particular, The Competitive Advantage of Nations (The Free Press, 1990), “Building the Microeconomic Foundations of Competitiveness,” in The Global Competitiveness Report (World Economic Forum), “Clusters and the New Competitive Agenda for Companies and Governments” in On Competition (Harvard Business School Press, 2008), and ongoing research on clusters and competitiveness. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means - electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise - without the permission of Michael E. Porter. Further information on Professor Porter’s work and the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness is available at www.isc.hbs.edu Prosperity Performance Sub-Saharan Africa PPP-Adjusted GDP per Capita, 2011 ($USD) $16,000 Gabon Average: 4.54% Mauritius Botswana $14,000 $12,000 South Africa $10,000 $8,000 Angola Namibia $6,000 Swaziland Congo (Brazzaville) Cape Verde $4,000 Ghana $2,000 Average: $3,065 Cameroon Gambia Djibouti Nigeria Sudan São Tomé and Príncipe Mauritania Côte d'Ivoire Zambia Uganda Benin Rwanda Kenya Comoros Tanzania Guinea Senegal Ethiopia Chad Togo Mali Eritrea Malawi Liberia Sierra Leone Mozambique Niger Guinea-Bissau Zimbabwe Madagascar CAR Congo (Democratic Republic) Burundi $0 -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Growth in Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2001-2011 12.0% Source: EIU (2012); author’s calculations 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 2 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Prosperity Performance Trends Nigeria and Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries PPP-Adjusted GDP per Capita, 2011 ($USD) $16,000 $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 Botswana South Africa Nigeria $8,000 Kenya Rwanda Ethiopia $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: EIU (2012); author’s calculations 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 3 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Poverty Performance Nigeria and Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Poverty Rate ($1.25 a Day, PPP) 80% 70% (% of population) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Nigeria Rwanda Kenya Ethiopia Botswana South Africa Source: World Bank (2013). Note: Country comparison based on the most recent data available as of March 2013. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 4 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Success of Competitiveness Organizations? • Co-led by or heavily involving the private sector with the participation of all actors. Representation from the national government as well as the state level • Direct involvement by the President to build consensus and integration into the process of government • Institutionalized in a formal structure, with a world-class secretariat • Common conceptual framework • Focus on the microeconomic aspects of competitiveness, not just macro • Develop a strategy, not just discrete policy improvements • Prioritized and sequenced action plan • A clear mandate to measure and report progress and create accountability for implementing entities 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 5 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 6 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What is Competitiveness? A country or region is competitive to the extent that firms operating there are able to compete successfully in the global economy while supporting high and rising wages and living standards for the average citizen • Competitiveness is the long-run productivity of a location as a place to do business - Productivity of existing firms and workers - Ability to achieve high participation of working age citizens in the workforce • Competitiveness is not: - Low wages - A weak currency - Jobs per se 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 7 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Two Sources of Prosperity Inherited Prosperity Created Prosperity • Prosperity derived from inherited natural resources / endowments – Prosperity is limited • Prosperity arising from productivity in producing goods and services – Prosperity is unlimited • Dividing the pie • Expanding the pie • Companies are the central actors in the economy • Government usually the central actor in the economy • Revenue from resources allows unproductive policies and practices to persist and encourages corruption 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL • Government’s role is to create the enabling conditions for productivity and foster private sector development 8 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Labor Productivity Level and Growth Sub-Saharan Africa Real GDP per Employee (1990 GK$), 2011 $16,000 Average: 2.53% South Africa $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 Nigeria Mozambique $6,000 Ghana Senegal $4,000 Côte d'Ivoire $2,000 Cameroon Kenya Zimbabwe Average: $3,962 Angola Zambia Uganda Tanzania Congo (Democratic Republic) $0 -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% Growth in Real GDP per Employee, CAGR, 2001-2011 6.0% 8.0% Note: Several countries are omitted due to lack of labor data. Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database (January 2012). GDP calculated using Geary Khamis calculation methodology. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 9 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Workforce Participation Sub-Saharan Africa Labor Force Participation (2011) 65.0% Average: 1.43% Botswana 60.0% 55.0% Tanzania Congo (Democratic Republic) 50.0% Ghana Uganda Kenya 45.0% Côte d'Ivoire 40.0% Gabon Senegal Zambia Mozambique Mauritius Average: 43.47% Angola Cameroon South Africa Namibia 35.0% Nigeria Zimbabwe 30.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% Change in Labor Force Participation Rate, 2001-2011 Note: Several countries are omitted due to lack of labor data. Source: EIU (2012), author’s calculations 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 10 4.0% 6.0% Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 11 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness Productivity Growth Domestic investment Exports Domestic innovation Imports Inbound foreign direct investment Outbound foreign direct investment Country Competitive Environment 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 12 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Domestic Investment Performance Gross Fixed Investment (% of GDP), 2011 55.0% Sub-Saharan Africa Average: 5.11% Niger 50.0% São Tomé and Príncipe Cape Verde 45.0% Congo (Brazzaville) 40.0% 35.0% Mozambique 30.0% 25.0% Chad Average: 23.57% Mali 20.0% 15.0% Eritrea Swaziland 10.0% Botswana Gabon Sudan Mauritania Gambia Djibouti Senegal Tanzania Mauritius Congo (Democratic Republic) Uganda Ghana Malawi Togo Benin Rwanda Burundi Namibia Guinea Zimbabwe Cameroon Ethiopia South Africa Madagascar Zambia Sierra Leone Kenya Nigeria Angola Guinea-Bissau Côte d'Ivoire CAR Comoros 5.0% -25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% Note: Includes inbound FDI Source: EIU (2012) -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% Change in Gross Fixed Investment (% of GDP), 2001-2011 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 13 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Export Performance Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2011 60.0% Sub-Saharan Africa Gabon Swaziland Zimbabwe (43.8%, 66.9%) Congo (Brazzaville) (18.0%, 97.0%) Mauritius Chad Côte d'Ivoire 50.0% Nigeria Botswana Namibia 40.0% Djibouti Angola Guinea Togo Zambia Ghana Gambia Cape Verde Mali South Africa Mozambique Congo (Democratic Republic) Madagascar Kenya Senegal Tanzania Cameroon Malawi Sudan Guinea-Bissau Niger Eritrea Uganda Benin Sierra Leone São Tomé and Príncipe CAR Comoros 30.0% 20.0% Ethiopia 10.0% 0.0% -40.0% Average: 34.72% Rwanda Burundi Average: 4.30% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Change in Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2001-2011 Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 14 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Composition of Exports World Export Market Share (current USD) Nigeria’s Exports By Type of Good Processed Goods Semi-processed Goods Unprocessed Goods Services TOTAL 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, International Cluster Competitiveness Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. Underlying data drawn from the UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the IMF BOP statistics. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter 15 Inbound Foreign Investment Performance Inward FDI Stocks as % of GDP, Average 2000-2010 100.0% Stocks and Flows, Sub-Saharan Africa Liberia (178.6%, 625.8%) Average: 26.3% Congo 90.0% Zambia 80.0% Equatorial Guinea 70.0% 60.0% Gambia Chad 50.0% Cape Verde 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% Eritrea Mauritania Mozambique Uganda Malawi 10.0% Average: 43.1% Swaziland Côte d'Ivoire Guinea Zimbabwe Ethiopia Madagascar Cameroon Ghana CAR Mauritius Mali Niger Benin Togo Guinea-Bissau Kenya Comoros Gabon Botswana Senegal Burundi Rwanda 0.0% 0.0% Sao Tome and Principe Djibouti Namibia South Africa Angola 20.0% 30.0% Nigeria Sierra Leone Congo (Democratic Republic) 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% FDI Inflows as % of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Average 2000-2010 Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report (2011) 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 16 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Outbound Foreign Investment Performance Stock and Flows, Sub-Saharan Africa Outward FDI Stocks as % of GDP, Average 2000-2010 7.0% Average Stocks:16.68% South Africa (.34%, 19.92%) Kenya Liberia (448.9%, 458.6%) Botswana (3.87%, 9.43%) 6.0% 5.0% Nigeria 4.0% CAR Zimbabwe Gabon Swaziland Mauritius 3.0% Zambia (4.01%, 2.98%) Togo 2.0% Chad Senegal Angola (4.72%, 1.9%) Cameroon Guinea 1.0% Namibia Malawi Benin Guinea-Bissau Côte d'Ivoire Madagascar 0.0% -1.0% -0.5% Uganda Cape Verde Mozambique Mauritania 0.0% Rwanda Burundi Mali 0.5% Niger Average Flows: 14.64% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% Equatorial Guinea FDI Outflows as % of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Average 2000-2010 Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report (2011) 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 17 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 18 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Endowments • Endowments, including natural resources, geographical location, population, and country size, create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity arises from productivity in the use of endowments 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 19 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Macroeconomic Competitiveness Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Endowments Macroeconomic competitiveness sets the economy-wide context for productivity to emerge, but is not sufficient to ensure productivity • Endowments, including natural resources, geographical location, population, and country size, create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity arises from productivity in the use of endowments • 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 20 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies • Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Fiscal Policy: Effective public spending aligned with revenues over time • Monetary Policy: Low levels of inflation • Economic Stabilization: Avoiding structural imbalances and cyclical overheating 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments 21 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 22 • Human Development: Basic education, health care, equal opportunity • Rule of Law: Property rights, personal security, and due process • Political Institutions: Stable and effective political and governmental organizations and processes Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitiveness and Poverty Reduction Social Development Economic Development • There is a strong connection between economic and social development • Improving competitiveness requires improving the economic and social context simultaneously 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 23 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Rank in Global Corruption Index, 2011 Corruption Perception Index, 2010 Low corruption Botswana Mauritius Rwanda Namibia South Africa Ghana Gambia Zambia Madagascar Senegal Gabon Tanzania Malawi Swaziland Benin Mali Mozambique Ethiopia Eritrea Mauritania Togo Uganda Burundi Sierra Leone Nigeria Zimbabwe CAR High corruption Niger Cameroon Kenya Côte d´Ivoire Guinea Angola Chad Congo (Dem. Republic) Equatorial Guinea Sudan Improving Worsening Change in Rank, Global Corruption Report, 2011 versus 2006 Note: Ranks only countries available in both years (160 countries total) Source:Global Corruption Report, 2010 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 24 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Human Development Performance Nigeria vs. Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries (indicators as of 2010) Nigeria South Africa Kenya Ethiopia Rwanda Botswana NA 6.0% 6.7% 4.7% 5.0% 7.8% School enrollment, primary (% gross) 83.3% 101.7% 113.3% 101.6% 142.6% 110.1% School enrollment, secondary (% gross) 44.0% 93.8% 60.2% 35.7% 32.2% 81.7% NA NA 4.0% 7.3% 5.5% 7.4% 61.3% NA 87.4% NA 71.1% 84.5% Health expenditure per capita (current US$) $62.8 $648.7 $36.8 $15.7 $55.5 $614.6 Life expectancy at birth, total (years) 51.4 52.1 56.5 58.7 55.1 53.1 Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births) 80.8 35.5 50.1 54 41.5 21.3 Prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49) 3.7% 17.3% 6.2% 1.6% 3.0% 23.7% Education Indicators Public spending on education, total (% of GDP) School enrollment, tertiary (% gross) Literacy rate, adult total (% of people ages 15+) Health Indicators Source: World Bank (2013). 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 25 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Endowments Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the economy and the sophistication of local competition revealed at the level of firms, clusters, and regions • Macroeconomic competitiveness sets the economy-wide context for productivity to emerge, but is not sufficient to ensure productivity • Endowments, including natural resources, geographical location, population, and country size, create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity arises from productivity in the use of endowments • 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 26 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? The quality of the business environment in which companies compete, company productivity, innovation, and growth Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 27 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Quality of the Business Environment The Diamond Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry • Local rules and incentives that encourage investment and productivity Factor (Input) Conditions • Access to high quality business inputs – – – – Qualified human resources Capital availability Physical infrastructure Scientific and technological infrastructure – e.g. incentives for capital investments, IP protection, sound corporate governance standards Demand Conditions • Open and vigorous local competition − Openness to foreign competition − Strict competition laws • Sophisticated and demanding local needs Related and Supporting Industries – e.g., Strict quality, safety, and environmental standards • Availability and quality of suppliers and supporting industries • Many things matter for competitiveness • Successful economic development is a process of successive upgrading, in which the business environment improves to enable increasingly sophisticated ways of competing 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 28 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Quality of the Business Environment Ease of Doing Business Indicators (Nigeria, 2013) Ranking, 2013 (vs. 185 countries) Favorable Unfavorable 200 180 160 140 Nigeria’s GDP per capita rank: 109 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Ease of Doing Business Rank Getting Credit Protecting Investors Dealing with Construction Permits Enforcing Contracts Resolving Insolvency Starting a Business Trading Across Borders Paying Taxes Getting Electricity Registering Property Source: World Bank Report, Doing Business (2013). 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 29 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Concentrations of firms in particular fields, including suppliers, supporting services and related institutions. Clusters enable productivity and new business formation Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 30 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Is a Cluster? Tourism Cluster in Cairns, Australia Public Relations & Market Research Services Travel Agents Tour Operators Food Suppliers Attractions and Activities Hotels Souvenirs, Duty Free Airlines, Cruise Ships Restaurants Maintenance Services e.g. Australian Tourism Commission, Great Barrier Reef Authority Local Transportation e.g., theme parks, casinos, sports Property Services Government Agencies Local Retail, Health Care, and Other Services Banks, Foreign Exchange Educational Institutions Industry Groups e.g. James Cook University, Cairns College of TAFE e.g. Queensland Tourism Industry Council Sources: HBS student team research (2003) - Peter Tynan, Chai McConnell, Alexandra West, Jean Hayden 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 31 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters in Developing Countries Cut Flower Cluster in Kenya Horticultural Agencies, NGOs & Industry Associations Horticultural Crops Development Authority (HCDA) Government Export Policies Targeting Horticulture Plantstock Non-Government Organizations (e.g., The Rural Enterprise Agri-Business Promotion Project) Greenhouse; Shading Structures Trade & Industry Associations (e.g., Kenya Flower Council) Irrigation Technology Post-Harvest Cooling Technology Grading / Packaging Sheds Packaging & Labeling Materials Refrigerated Trucks Pre-Cooling Technology Post-Harvest Handling; Transport to Market Flower Farming Fertilizers, Pesticides, Herbicides Freight Forwarders Clearing and Forwarding Agents Education, Research & Quality Standards Organizations Research Institutions (e.g., Kenya Agricultural Research Institute) Agricultural Cluster Horticultural Cluster Air Carriers (Commercial / Charters) Public Universities with Post Graduate Degrees in Horticulture (e.g., University of Nairobi) Quality & Standards (e.g., EUREGAP Standard, Kenya Plant Health Inspectorate Services) Tourism Cluster Sources: MOC student team research by Kusi Hornberger, Nick Ndiritu, Lalo Ponce-Brito, Melesse Tashu, Tijan Watt, Harvard Business School, 2007 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 32 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Why Clusters Matter? • Clusters increase productivity and operational efficiency • Clusters stimulate and enable innovations • Clusters facilitate commercialization and new business formation • Healthy clusters drive competitiveness and competitiveness improvement • Clusters are regional and local in large countries 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 33 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Evidence on the Impact of Clusters Strong Clusters Drive Regional Performace • Existence of strong clusters • Job growth • Breadth of industries within each cluster • Higher wages • Strength in related clusters • Higher patenting rates • Presence of a region’s clusters in neighboring regions • Greater new business formation, growth and survival Source: “Cluster and Entrepreneurship” by Mercedes Delgado, Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern (2010); “The Economic Performance of Regions” by Michael E. Porter (2003) 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 34 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Nigeria’s Film Cluster (“Nollywood”) Inputs Support Electronics Industry (DVD production) Video Rentals Tourism & Hospitality Industry Video Sales Production Services (Make-up, Costumes, Catering) Advertising marketing agencies Post-Production Services Film Production Film Production Companies Film Distribution Video Parlors Export: English Speaking Africa and Nigerian Diaspora Self-Employed Producers TV (NTA) Government Agencies: • National Film and Video Censors Board • Nigerian Film Corporation • Nigerian Film Institute (Nigerian Film Corporation) • Nigerian Intellectual Property Commission Nigerian film Road shows (Government) Source: MOC Student Project, 2008. Team Members: Mridul Chowdhury, Tamas Landesz, Massimiliano Santini, Luis Tejada, Gloria Visconti. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 35 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Nigeria’s National Cluster Export Portfolio 2000-2010 1.0% Oil and Gas Products (-.68%, 3.51%) Leather & Related Products (4.03%, 4.04%) Change in Nigeria’s Overall World Export Share: 0.13% 0.9% World Export Market Share, 2010 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% Tobacco 0.5% 0.4% Footwear Fishing & Fishing Products Transportation & Logistics 0.3% 0.2% Agricultural Products Nigeria’s Overall World Export Share: 0.53% Plastics Metal Mining & Manufacturing 0.1% Chemical Products Heavy Machinery Business Services 0.0% -0.6% -0.4% 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL -0.2% 0.0% 0.2% Change in World Export Market Share, 2000-2010 36 0.4% 0.6% = $2.5 billion Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters in an Economy Are Related Fishing & Fishing Products Entertainment Hospitality & Tourism Agricultural Products Processed Food Jewelry & Precious Metals Transportation & Logistics Distribution Services Business Services Financial Services Aerospace Vehicles & Defense Information Technology Chemical Products Apparel Footwear Furniture Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Lighting & Electrical Equipment cations Equipment Biopharmaceuticals Prefabricated Enclosures Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Analytical Education & Instruments Knowledge Medical Creation Devices CommuniPublishing & Printing Textiles Forest Products Power Generation & Transmission Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Tobacco Oil & Gas Products & Services Plastics Aerospace Engines Leather & Related Products Note: Clusters with overlapping borders or identical shading have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Production Technology 37 Metal Automotive Manufacturing Sporting, Recreational & Children’s Goods Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Cluster Relatedness and Economic Diversification World Export Share Nigeria, 2010 Fishing & Fishing Products 0.15% - 0.53% 0.54% - 3.49% >3.50% Textiles Agricultural Products Processed Food Jewelry & Precious Metals Transportation & Logistics Distribution Services Business Services Financial Services Medical Devices Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Furniture Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Communications Services and Equipment Power Generation Forest Products Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Oil & Gas Aerospace Engines Leather & Related Products 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Production Technology Tobacco Plastics Footwear Aerospace Vehicles & Defense Analytical Instruments Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Entertainment Information Tech. Education & Knowledge Creation Publishing & Printing Prefabricated Enclosures Hospitality & Tourism Mining & Metal Automotive Manufacturing Sporting & Recreation Goods 38 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Cluster Relatedness and Economic Diversification World Export Share Nigeria, 2000 Fishing & Fishing Products 0.01% - 0.39% 0.40% - 1.0% >1.00% Textiles Agricultural Products Processed Food Jewelry & Precious Metals Transportation & Logistics Distribution Services Business Services Financial Services Medical Devices Building Fixtures, Equipment & Services Furniture Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Communications Services and Equipment Power Generation Forest Products Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Oil & Gas Aerospace Engines Leather & Related Products 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Production Technology Tobacco Plastics Footwear Aerospace Vehicles & Defense Analytical Instruments Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Entertainment Information Tech. Education & Knowledge Creation Publishing & Printing Prefabricated Enclosures Hospitality & Tourism Mining & Metal Automotive Manufacturing Sporting & Recreation Goods 39 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Clusters as a Tool For Economic Policy • A forum for collaboration between the private sector, trade associations, government, educational, and research institutions • Brings together firms of all sizes, including SME’s • Creates a mechanism for constructive business-government dialog • A tool to identify problems and action recommendations • A vehicle for investments that strengthen multiple firms/institutions simultaneously • Fosters greater competition rather than distorting the market • Enhances the efficiency and effectiveness of traditional economic policy areas, such as training, R&D, export promotion, FDI attraction, etc. • Sound cluster policy addresses all clusters, and does not pick winners 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 40 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Organize Public Policy around Clusters Business Attraction Education and Workforce Training Export Promotion Market Information and Disclosure Clusters Specialized Physical Infrastructure Natural Resource Protection Science and Technology Infrastructure (e.g., centers, university departments, technology transfer) Quality and environmental standards • Clusters provide a framework for organizing the implementation of many public policies and public investments directed at economic development 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 41 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the National Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy The capacity of firms, in terms of skills, capabilities and management practices Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 42 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Sophistication of Firms Sources of Competitive Advantage Differentiation (Higher Price) Competitive Advantage Lower Cost 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 43 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitive Advantage and the Value Chain Firm Infrastructure (e.g., Financing, Planning, Investor Relations) Human Resource Management Support Activities (e.g., Recruiting, Training, Compensation System) Technology Development (e.g., Product Design, Process Design, Market Research) M (e.g., Services, Machines, Advertising, Data) Inbound Logistics Operations (e.g., Customer Access, Data Collection, Incoming Material Storage, Service) (e.g., Branch Operations, Assembly, Component Fabrication) Value a Procurement r g Outbound Logistics Marketing & Sales After-Sales Service (e.g., Order Processing, Warehousing, Report Preparation) (e.g., Sales Force, Promotion, Advertising, Proposal Writing, Web site) (e.g., Installation, Customer Support, Complaint Resolution, Repair) i n What buyers are willing to pay Primary Activities • The value chain is the set of activities involved in delivering value to customers • All competitive advantage resides in the value chain. Strategy is manifested in choices about how activities in the value chain are configured and linked together 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 44 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Operational Effectiveness Versus Strategy Operational Effectiveness Strategic Positioning • Assimilating, attaining, and extending best practices • Creating a unique value proposition Doing things better and better 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL Doing things differently to deliver superior value 45 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Creates a Successful Strategy? • A unique value proposition compared to competitors • A distinctive value chain embodying choices about how the organization will operate differently to deliver on its value proposition • Making clear tradeoffs, and choosing what not to do • Integrating activities across the value chain to fit together and reinforce each other • Continuity of strategic direction 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 46 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Levels of Strategy Competitive or Business Strategy • How to compete in each distinct business or industry Corporate Strategy • What set of businesses to compete in • Capturing synergies across business units 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 47 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Corporate Strategy Time Sharing Hollywood Pictures The Walt Disney Company, 2010 Marvel Guided Travel Real Estate Development Motion Picture Distribution Resort Hotels Cruise Line Pixar Family Motion Pictures Theme Parks Sports Team Animated Feature Films Traveling Shows Multimedia Productions Broadway Productions Broadway Theater Direct Marketing Consumer Products Television Programming Disney Records Disney Interactive Media Retail Stores Acquired Through Cap Cities / ABC Merger Recent Adult Cable Channels Youth Books and Educational Materials Hollywood Records Hyperion Books Disney Channel Adult Publishing / Newspapers 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL • • • • Shared characters Shared brand Shared family values Cross-promotions 48 Television Network Radio Stations ESPN Television Stations Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Diversification in Emerging Economies Typical Business Groups Computer Wholesaler Fast Food Franchises Financial Services Real Estate Services Airline Imports/ Distribution Tobacco Food Processing Grocery Stores Hotel Textiles Industrial Parts Car Dealership Sugar 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 49 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Improving Competitiveness Themes • Many things matter for competitiveness • Progress must be made simultaneously on multiple fronts • The weakest links will constrain productivity and retard development • Foreign investment will depend on the relationship between competitiveness and prevailing wages and taxes • As economies develop, they face transition points that require many dimensions of competition to be transformed 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 50 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Stages of National Competitive Development Shifting Policy Imperatives Factor-Driven Economy InvestmentDriven Economy Low Cost Inputs Productivity in Standard Products and Services • Monetary and fiscal, political, and legal stability • Market opening • Improving basic human capital • Efficient basic infrastructure • Lowering the regulatory costs of doing business • Increasing local rivalry • Creating advanced infrastructure • Setting incentives and rules encouraging productivity • Cluster formation and activation Innovation- Driven Economy Unique Products, Services, and Production Methods • Building advanced skills • Creating world class scientific and technological institutions • Setting incentives and rules encouraging innovation • Cluster upgrading • Efficient access to endowments Source: Porter, Michael E., The Competitive Advantage of Nations, Macmillan Press, 1990 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 51 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Harvard Country Competitiveness Model Subindex Impact Across Stages of Development 0.21 0.35 Microeconomic Competitiveness 0.48 Human Development Micro Political and Effective Institutions SIPI 0.49 0.42 Macro Policy 0.36 0.30 Low Income Countries 0.23 Middle Income Countries Macroeconomic Policy 0.16 High Income Countries Notes: - Weights in a linear model across all economies: Micro: 0.31, SIPI: 0.41, Macro Policy: 0.28 - Middle-stage weights are an average of Low- and High-stage weights. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 52 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 53 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter ISC Competitiveness Model Nigeria’s Competitiveness Profile, 2012 Country Competitiveness 115 Macroeconomic Competitiveness Microeconomic Competitiveness 128 91 Political Institutions 112 Fiscal and Monetary Policies National Business Environment Company Operations and Strategy 113 92 77 Factor Conditions (110) Rule of Law 127 Context for Strategy and Rivalry (93) Related and Supporting Industries (74) Human Development Demand Conditions (95) 115* Significant disadvantage Moderate disadvantage Neutral Nigeria’s GDP per capita rank is 109th versus 140 countries Moderate advantage Significant advantage Note: Rank versus 140 countries; Color coding based on comparison relative to income; *U.N. Gender Inequality Index data is unavailable for Nigeria. Nigeria’s Basic Health and Education rank is reported as an average of ranks in reported data. Source: Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2012), based in part on survey data from the World Economic Forum; analysis prepared based on research findings by Scott Stern, Mercedes Delgado, and Christian Ketels. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 54 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 55 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Geographic Influences on Competitiveness Neighboring Countries Nation Regions and Cities • Regions are the most important economic unit for competitiveness in larger countries, especially countries beyond subsistence development 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 56 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Regions and Competitiveness • Economic performance varies significantly across sub-national regions (e.g., provinces, states, metropolitan areas) 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 57 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Regional Prosperity Performance in Nigeria Percent of State Residents in Poverty % of Total State Residents in Poverty Source: Nigeria Statistical Data Portal (2013). Note: Most recent data available is from 2009. 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 58 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Regions and Competitiveness • Economic performance varies significantly across sub-national regions (e.g., provinces, states, metropolitan areas) • Many essential drivers of competitiveness reside at the regional level • Regions specialize in different sets of clusters and cluster strength drives regional performance 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 59 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Regions and Competitiveness • Economic performance varies significantly across sub-national regions (e.g., provinces, states, metropolitan areas) • Many essential drivers of competitiveness reside at the regional level • Regions specialize in different sets of clusters and cluster strength drives regional performance • Each region needs its own distinctive competitiveness strategy and action agenda – Business environment improvement – Cluster upgrading – Improving government effectiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 60 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Geographic Influences on Competitiveness Neighboring Countries “The Neighborhood” Nation Regions and Cities • Regions are the most important economic unit for competitiveness in larger countries, especially countries beyond subsistence development 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 61 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Competitiveness and Integration with Neighboring Countries Nigeria’s Neighborhood • Economic coordination among neighboring countries can significantly enhance competitiveness • Integration offers greater opportunities than participation in broader economic forums 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 62 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Regional Economic Integration and Competitiveness • Integration opens trade and investment among neighbors – Expands the available market for each country • A nation’s neighbors are often its most natural trading and investment partners, especially in non-resource goods and services – The natural path of internationalization for local firms is the neighborhood – Open trade and investment make each country a more attractive location for investment Integration drives improvements in the business environment – Captures synergies in policy and infrastructure • Integration harnesses improvements in clusters that cross borders • Integration creates greater clout in international negotiations • External commitments help overcome domestic political and economic barriers to reform 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 63 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Economic Integration Among Neighbors Capturing Synergies Factor (Input) Conditions • Improving the efficiency of the regional transportation network • Creating an efficient energy network • Enhancing regional communications and connectivity • Harmonizing administrative requirements for businesses • Linking financial markets Context for Strategy and Rivalry • Eliminating trade and investment barriers within the region • Simplifying and harmonizing cross-border regulations and paperwork • Coordinating anti-monopoly and fair competition policies • Harmonizing IP protection Demand Conditions • Harmonizing environmental standards • Harmonizing product quality, safety and technical standards • Establishing reciprocal consumer protection laws Related and Supporting Industries • Facilitating crossborder cluster development – e.g., Supplier networks – Efficient transport and logistics Macroeconomic Competitiveness • Coordinating macroeconomic policies • Coordinating programs to improve security and public safety – Quality standards • Opening government procurement within the region • Facilitating the movement of students for higher education 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 64 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Integration and Competitiveness Central American Logistical Corridor Belize Mexico Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua El Salvador Roads Ports Airports Logistic Corridor Costa Rica Country Boundary 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 65 Panama Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 66 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Is an Economic Strategy? Policy Improvement Economic Strategy • Implementing best practices in each policy area • An overall agenda for creating a distinctive and more competitive position for a country or region, based on its particular circumstances • There are a huge number of policy areas that matter • No country can (or should try to) make progress in all areas simultaneously 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 67 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Creating a National (or Regional) Economic Strategy National Value Proposition • What is the distinctive competitive position of the nation or region given its location, legacy, existing strengths, and potential strengths? – What unique strengths as a business location? – What roles in the broader neighborhood? – What types of activities and clusters? Achieving and Maintaining Parity with Peers Developing Unique Strengths • What elements of the business environment can be unique strengths relative to peers/neighbors? • What existing and emerging clusters can be built upon? • What weaknesses must be addressed to remove key constraints and achieve parity with peer locations? • Priorities and sequencing are essential to building competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 68 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Tests of an Economic Strategy • Has the country or region articulated a distinctive position? – That will create a positive identity? – That will inspire citizens? • Does the strategy build on existing or potential strengths? – Are the strengths realistic versus neighbors and other peer countries? • Does the strategy fit with trends in the neighborhood and the world economy? • Is the strategy realistic given the country’s or region’s weaknesses? Can weaknesses that retard the strategy be neutralized? • Are social and political reforms integrated with economic reforms and pursued simultaneously? • Do the policy priorities fit the strategy? – The choice of policies, and their design? – The sequence in which policies are implemented? 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 69 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Tests of an Economic Strategy Continued • Is there the political will and the political consensus to implement the strategy? • Has the strategy been communicated clearly to all stakeholders? • Is the private sector engaged? • Is government organized around the strategy? • Is there an overall coordinating structure for economic development? • Is the quality of governmental agencies and other institutions sufficient for effective implementation? • Are there mechanisms to measure progress and review / modify the strategy as prosperity improves or conditions change? 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 70 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda • Defining Competitiveness and Prosperity • Indicators and Enablers of Competitiveness • Drivers of Competitiveness • Benchmarking Nigerian Competitiveness • Geographic Areas and Competitiveness • Economic Strategy • Organizing for Competitiveness 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 71 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter The Process of Economic Development Shifting Roles and Responsibilities Old Model New Model • Government drives economic • Economic development is a development through top down policy decisions and incentives collaborative process involving government at multiple levels, companies, educational and research institutions, and private sector organizations • Competitiveness is the result of both top-down and bottom-up processes in which many companies and institutions take responsibility • Translating policy into action is decisive in determining success 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 72 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Government and the Process of Economic Development • Competitiveness is affected by numerous government entities and levels of government – Multiple agencies and departments (e.g. finance, trade, science and technology, commerce, regional policy, energy, agriculture) have an influence on competitiveness – “Economic” agencies and “social” agencies – Multiple levels of government (nations, states, cities, etc.) – Intergovernmental relations with neighboring countries • Competitiveness is rarely the sole agenda of a single government agency • A coordinating structure is needed (e.g. “competitiveness policy council”) that brings together the ministers and department heads necessary to formulate and implement an economic strategy • Competitiveness improvement requires sustained efforts across multiple years and presidential administrations – Mechanisms are needed to improve the continuity of policy over time 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 73 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Failure of Traditional Economic Development Organizations PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR • Separate ministries with overlapping mandates General • Chambers of Commerce • Competition for power and issue ownership • Ministries divided for political reasons which introduces ideology and single issue focus Cluster-Specific • Trade Associations • Organizations focus on a single geographic level (e.g., nation, state, or city) • Lack of coordination and integration across different parts of government • Traditional focus on lobbying for government support rather than enhancing competitiveness • Rarely strategic but focus on discrete policy areas • Limited effects on areas such as skills, infrastructure, exports, environmental improvement and quality certification where collective action most value enhancing • Rarely prioritized and sequenced • Poorly connected to the government policy formulation process • No clear mechanisms and accountability for implementation New organizational structures for competitiveness are needed 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 74 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Organizations for Competitiveness are Needed at Multiple Geographic Levels Examples Groups of Neighboring Nations • e.g., Central America Alliance for Sustainable Development Nations • The National Competitiveness Council (Ireland) States, Provinces • South Carolina Council on Competitiveness Metropolitan and Rural Areas • Compete Columbus (Ohio) • Acoplasticos (Colombia) Clusters 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 75 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Organizing for Economic Development Presidential Council on National Competitiveness (Korea) President of Korea Chairman Assistant Chairman and Head of Steering Group Assistant Chairman for Regulatory Reform Assistant Chairman for Legal System Management Support Team Financial Regulatory Reform Investment Promotion Public Sector Innovation Regulatory Reform Legal and Institutional Advancement Task Forces 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 76 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter Agenda for the Nigerian Competitiveness Council • Benchmarking – Nigeria’s competitiveness position – Nigerian states • Identifying specific policy and implementation priorities • Recommending a coherent and practical national strategy • Fostering competitiveness improvement at the state level • Integrating the Council’s work into the government policy process • Coordinating broad private sector commitment and collaboration • Creating mechanisms and urgency for action 20130321—National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria Presentation—FINAL 77 Copyright 2013 © Professor Michael E. Porter