Integration of Reusable Launch Vehicles (RLV) into the Air Traffic Management System J.K. Kuchar, K.A. Khan, J. Falkner Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics A.A. Trani, H.D. Sherali J.C. Smith, S. Sale, Q. Chuanwen Department of Civil Engineering Department of Industrial Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology Virginia Tech Sponsor: FAA Office of Commercial Space Kelvin Coleman NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 1 of 24 Motivation • Current mode of airspace utilization for space operations • Activate Special Use Airspace (SUA), reroute air traffic • Large spatial and temporal safety buffers • Limited flexibility • Disparity between air and space user costs • Improvements in sensors & datalink capabilities • Potential to reduce uncertainty of some vehicle trajectories • More efficient information flow between ATC - space operator • Example: launch delay of STS-87 (with John Glenn) due to intruding GA aircraft • Advanced ATM models could streamline the integration of RLVs with ATC NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 2 of 24 Opportunities and K • ey Issues Some vehicle types / missions might be integrated with air traffic • Reusable Launch Vehicles with conventional phases of flight • Key Research Issues 1) What is required for integrated operations to occur? Equipage, communications, surveillance requirements 2) How should those operations be carried out? Flow management procedures 3) What are the user & service provider cost / benefit trade-offs? NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 3 of 24 Scope of Work • Investigate current and future methods of RLV-aircraft separation in use at the Special Use Airspace (SUA) areas around the US Launch Ranges (Cape Canaveral, Vandenberg AFB, and Wallops AFB) • Identify mission profiles of the proposed RLVs and characteristics of the respective phases of flight • Develop a generalized model of airspace / air traffic / RLV operations to provide a consistent framework to describe and evaluate options • Define potential modes of operation / airspace utilization for RLV operations by understanding current requirements and procedures, and explore possible alternatives • Develop a methodology to estimate RLV operation impacts NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 4 of 24 Summary of Pr • • • evious Acti vities Collected data on proposed RLVs Surveyed typical phases of flight / mission profiles Identified 8 potential modes of operation • Continue use of SUA (strategic segregation) • Activate new SUA • Mission-specific SUA • Controlled Space Activity Zone (c.f. Class B airspace) • RLV corridor • RLV as high-priority vehicle (vectors) • RLV as nominal-priority vehicle • Self-separation NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 5 of 24 Phase II Acti vities • Investigate trade-offs in tactical modes of operation • Appropriate safety buffer size and duration • Equipage and procedural requirements • Explore limits of tactical ATC vectors (heading / altitude / speed) • Ability to manage high speeds / vertical rates • Display / procedure / control issues • Preliminary model development • • • • Describe when SUA vs. Tactical operation can/should be used Impact of state uncertainties, vehicle profile & performance Airspace conflict and sector analysis models Airspace planning model development and validation NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 6 of 24 RLV Airspace Usage Implications VPI MIT Safety VPI Vehicle equipment requirements Air traffic flow MIT Airspace Usage RLV operations Ground equipment requirements MIT Operator workload VPI VPI MIT NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 7 of 24 RLV Operation Modes Current Operational Mode a) Strategic b) Large SUA c) Indirect integration Airline Operations Center (AOC) Air Traffic Control Future Operational Modes a) Tactical b) Smaller SUA c) Direct integration RLV Operations Center (ROC) Airline Operations Center (AOC) Air Traffic Control RLV Operations Center (ROC) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 8 of 24 Framew ork to Model RL Modes of Operation Analysis ATC Scenario Restriction Database Airspace Scenario Generation V Impacts Flight Plans/Tracks Trajectory Descriptor Simulation Model RAMS and SIMMOD Cost Benefit Analysis 1 AOM = Airspace Occupancy Model 2 AEM = Aircraft Encounter Model 3Airspace AOM1, AEM2 Models Optimization Model3 Non-airspace User Cost Planning Model NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 9 of 24 NEXT OR/MITRE Relationship MITRE (Looking at current operational practices) • Quantified operational cost for two launches from CCAS using actual traffic data and perceived delays • Same approach to evaluate Kodiak Island operations NEXTOR (Studying future operational practices) • Identified possible tactical separation envelopes and SUA regions • Modeling generic size spaceports (Phase III) using simulation tools • Quantifying costs for future Free Flight conditions • Minimizing detour impacts (optimization model) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 10 of 24 Confl ict Detection and Resolution • Protected Zone: safety buffer around each vehicle • Aircraft: 5 nmi, ± 1000 or 2000 ft. • Alert Zone: Space in which action must be taken to prevent PZ violation Alert Zone Protected Zone Protected Zone • As Alert Zone size increases, SUA becomes more attractive NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 11 of 24 Tactical/Strategic Confl ict Ev aluation Velocity Traffic density Geometry Conflict Model Alert Zone size Airspace Model Projected Trajectory Uncertainties Alert rates Spatial extent of alerts Maneuverability Delays Tactical Strategic SUA Mode of Operation Comparison aids in Cost / Benefit studies Current State Uncertainties Reroute rates Spatial extent of rerouting Traffic density NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 12 of 24 Simplifi ed Tactical Alert Zone Model Intruder A Intruder B Left turn swept area Right turn swept area Alert Zone Ownship Enables first-order tradeoff analysis (uncertainty vs. AZ) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 13 of 24 Example Pr eliminary Effect of Maximum Turning Angle 45 Trade Studies Effect of Turn Rate 35 0.4°/s 40 30 0.8°/s 15° 35 1.4°/s 25 Instantaneous 30 30° 20 25 45° 20 15 60° 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 -10 -5 0 5 10 NM -10 -5 0 5 NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 10 14 of 24 Alert Zone Gr owth Due to Uncertainty Trajectory Apex Distance, NM 200 150 5 2 1 100 VI / VO = 0.5 50 0 0 30 60 90 Uncertainty, ±° Tactical conflict resolution untenable at large trajectory uncertainties & velocities Tactical conflict resolution untenable at large trajectory uncertainties & velocities NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 15 of 24 Netw ork Flo w Modeling and Optimization • Traffic flow model analysis tools • SIMMOD - predicts delays and changes in travel times for current scenario conditions) • RAMS - predicts delays, travel times and sector workload for current and anticipated 2005 conditions (i.e., Free Flight) • Development of an optimization model to reduce the impacts of RLV operations around sites • Dynamically schedules flights affected by RLV operations to minimize a performance index (cost and workload) • Model development tools: Matlab1 and CPLEX2 1.Matlab is a trademark of the Mathworks Inc. 2.CPLEX is a trademark of ILOG International NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 16 of 24 Sample Sector Occupancies Latitude (deg) 30 29 28 27 26 25 -88 -86 -84 -82 -80 -78 Longitude (deg) -76 -74 -72 15 Traffic (acft) STS SUA Activation 10 5 0 400 600 800 1000 Zulu Time (min) 1200 1400 1600 NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 17 of 24 Optimization Model to Integrate RL V with Minimum Cost to F AA and Airspace Users • Attempts to mimic and advanced ATM system of the future (i.e., 2005, 2010) • A mature form of Collaborative Decision Making is in place (i.e., airlines and FAA share information about flight schedules and possible delays associated with each flight) • Free Flight operations will be routine across NAS for all enroute sectors and flight levels • Considers FAA resources (i.e., a function of traffic density), sector and airline equity constraints • Serves as a policy tool to evaluate operations around spaceports NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 18 of 24 Optimization Model Rationale Several flight plan detour strategies can be studied. The best strategy should be a system optimal alternative with KSC-CCAS War ning Ar eas minimum effects on users and service providers NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 19 of 24 Airspace Planning Model Optimization Model Objective function Min ∑∑ i ∈ M p ∈ Pi ns C ip x ip + ∑∑ µ sn y sn + µ e ( x eu – x el ) + µ u x eu s∈S n = 1 Cost of adopting Penalty associated Penalty to maintain flight plan (i,p) with sector load equity among airlines Assignment Constraint (a single flight plan is selected) Sector Load Constraint (restricts the number of flights to sector n s ) Airline Equity Constraint (penalizes equally all airlines flying) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 20 of 24 Application of the Optimization Model The optimization model selects among surrogate flight plans to minimize the cost to users and service providers 34 33 113 Jacksonville Enroute Center 91 131 126 129 32 31 93 87 61 86 62 29 51 119 30 23 24 115 89 77 40 121 49 143 55 75 84 28 SUA 27 Surrogate FP Original FP 26 -88 -86 -84 -82 -80 -78 -76 Longitude (deg.) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 21 of 24 Integration with Existing N • ARIM Tools Currently generation of surrogate flight plans is done using a simple globe circle flight planning module • Future will use proven tools such as OPGEN1 • OPGEN output data structure is already integrated in AOM/AEM OPGEN AOM ATM Strategy Demand Func. AEM APM 1.A single flight optimization program developed by CSSI for FAA NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 22 of 24 Implementation of Optimization Model The current optimization model is implemented in CPLEX a standard mixed-integer From, AOMprogramming solver AEM Model Extract Flight Proximity Information a) Time adjacency b) Spatial adjacency c) Sector adjacency Translate Conflict and Workload Constraints Proximal Flight Conflict Generation Based on time, space and proximal sector adjacency Conflict Analysis Statistics Flight Path Conflict Analysis Compiles C.A. statistics and estimates conflict metrics Analytical model to find conflict times and acft. conflict geometries CPLEX Solver Routines Optimal Cost ATM Flow Strategy NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 23 of 24 Possible ATM Extensions of the Optimization Model • Analysis of catastrophic RLV failures (i.e., estimation of the number of aircraft affected) • Special Use Airspace is only one of many possible airspace restrictions in NAS • Bad weather phenomena can be treated as a special case of SUA (i.e., dynamic SUA) • Dynamic allocation of flight plans in the future will continue be a mutual agreement between airlines and FAA and without any doubt will consider the ATC resources available (i.e., decentralized control) • Dynamic airspace sectorization problems (time varying airspace sectors to balance sector loads) NEXTOR - National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research 24 of 24