The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation National Airspace System Performance Workshop Pacific Grove, CA By: Molly W. Smith Office of Aviation Policy & Plans Date: March 16, 2006 Federal Aviation Administration Summary of Topics What is Congestion Management and When Should it be Used? Goals of Congestion Management Current & Prospective use of Congestion Management The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 2 2 What Is Congestion Management? The application of either administrative or market based mechanisms imposed by the government to balance operations at capacity constrained airports when: DMarket forces are unable to properly respond, D Demand for access at an airport persistently exceeds available airport supply and, D Capacity cannot be increased in the near term to meet demand The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 3 3 Congestion Management Alternatives Market-Based Administrative Auctions Administrative Cap Congestion Pricing Upgauging of Aircraft The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 4 4 Goals of Congestion Management zMitigate Airport (and NAS) Congestion and Delay zSupport Efficient Allocation and Utilization of Resource zEncourage Airline Competition zPromote Greater Passenger Throughput The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 5 5 Current and Prospective Examples of Congestion Management Current HDR Future O’Hare Order •LaGuardia •JFK •Reagan National The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation O’Hare Proposed Rule LaGuardia post-HDR Federal Aviation Administration 6 6 O’Hare Order Limiting Scheduled Arrivals Percent of Operations Delayed Chicago O'Hare and OEP 35 45% OEP 35 ORD 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Source: ASPM Order caps scheduled hourly arrivals to 88/hour from 7:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. Temporary delay reduction measure while engaged in rulemaking The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 7 7 O’Hare Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Main Features of NPRM: Maintain operational cap of 88 arrivals per hour Preferences for new entrants and limited incumbents Blind buy/sell and leasing Seeks Comment on Minimum Usage Requirement Sunset Rule on April 6, 2008 *Phase I of the O’Hare Modernization Program (OMP) is projected to be completed by the end of 2007. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 8 8 HDR At LaGuardia Airport High Density Rule and AIR-21 Provisions to expire January 1, 2007 Post-HDR the “Do Nothing” approach is not a viable option Extending the HDR is not a preferred alternative: DMitigate Airport Congestion & Delay UEfficient Allocation & Utilization of Resource UEncourage Airline Competition UMaximize Passenger Throughput The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 9 9 Alternatives for LaGuardia Airport After Expiration of the HDR Administrative Rule Auctions Congestion Pricing The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 10 10 Administrative Options Up-Gauging of Aircraft Features Operational cap established by FAA Benchmark Report or other FAA measures. Slots would be subject to usage requirement based on aircraft size. A baseline number of slots could be allocated to all carriers to ensure continuity of service. Baseline slots would not be subject to the usage requirement. Slots could have finite lives so they would be periodically withdrawn and reallocated, which would encourage new entry and provide access to the airport. Blind secondary market. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 11 11 Sample of Research Results on Up-Gauging of Aircraft NEXTOR researched impact of moderate upgauging using TAAM simulation. 12% to 25% of RJs were replaced with larger aircraft, such as B737s. Moderate Upgauging does not lead to increased delays. Upgauging could raise passenger throughput at LaGuardia by 3-4 million passengers per year. Moderate Upgauging could be accommodated under current gate configuration at LGA. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 12 12 Market Based Mechanisms Auction of Landing and Takeoff Rights Features Operational Cap established by FAA Benchmark Report or other FAA measures. Simultaneous auction in which airlines can bid on multiple slots. Vouchers could be used to recognize air carrier investments. Auctions could be phased in over time to provide a smooth transitional period. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 13 13 Primary NEXTOR Research Results on Auctioning Landing and Takeoff Rights Software can be developed & used to address the difficult problem of selling slots simultaneously at LaGuardia. Benefits include: • Operations would be capped, which ensures a certain level of congestion. • Likely to generate significant revenue which could be used for capacity expansion projects. • Encourages efficient utilization of the airport. Main Constraint: Implementation requires legislation. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 14 14 Market Based Mechanisms Congestion Pricing Features Congestion fees would be set during the most congested periods of the day. While there would not be an operational cap, a target level of operations would be established at the airport and congestion fees would be set at a level that influences carriers to schedule operations up to the target level. Congestion fees would change as necessary in order to achieve the target level of operations. The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 15 15 NEXTOR Results Suggest that Congestion Pricing Leads to Upgauging 120 Average Seat per Operation 100 80 Similar Levels of operations 60 40 20 0 2005 Average Seats per Operation The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Congestion Pricing Seats per Operation Federal Aviation Administration 16 16 Questions The Role of Congestion Management in Aviation Federal Aviation Administration 17 17