Performance Metrics for Oceanic Air Traffic Management Moving Metrics Conference Pacific Grove, California January 29, 2004 Oceanic Metrics Team Agenda 4 Metrics Team • • • • 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Michele Merkle, FAA AUA-600 Lynne Hamrick, MITRE/CAASD Yueh-Shiou Wu, MITRE/CAASD Tamara Karakis, CSSI Introduction: Purpose & Background of Oceanic Air Traffic Control (ATC) Background of Oceanic Metrics Air Carrier Meetings Oceanic Metrics Overview Metrics Based on Priorities Sample Dashboard Charts Current Challenges Related to Oceanic Metrics Baseline Performance Results Summary 2 Introduction 4 Purpose of Briefing • • • 4 Provide an overview of oceanic performance metrics Describe challenges related to measuring oceanic Air Traffic Control (ATC) service qualities Discuss initial results and trends Background of Oceanic Air Traffic Control (ATC) • • Non-radar procedural separation Communications via ¾ ¾ • • Controller-Pilot Data Link (CPDLC) for Future Air Navigation System 1/A (FANS 1/A)-equipped aircraft High Frequency (HF) Radio Operator for non-equipped aircraft Oakland Oceanic Center (ZOA) controls 21.3 million square miles New York Oceanic Center (ZNY) controls 3.3 million square miles 3 Oakland Oceanic Airspace 4 New York Oceanic Airspace Gander Oceanic Shanwick Oceanic Moncton Boston New York Non-WATRS Washington Bermuda Santa Maria Oceanic WATRS New York Oceanic Miami San Juan 5 Background of Oceanic Metrics 4 1993 Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA) • 4 Required federal agencies to measure their performance and effectiveness FAA moves towards Performance Based Organization (PBO) and Air Traffic Organization (ATO) formed • • Goal to develop a more efficient and businesslike air traffic system AUA goal to continue improving oceanic service, while measuring the effect of new automation/procedures on the service provided 6 Air Carrier Meetings 4 Onsite Air Carrier Meetings in 1999 and 2003 • • Dialogue with air carriers coordinated via Air Transport Association (ATA) meeting Onsite air carrier visits in 1999 and 2003 ¾ • Air Carrier Personnel ¾ 4 Air Canada Corporation, American Airlines, Continental Airlines, Delta Airlines, Federal Express Corporation, Northwest Airlines, United Airlines, United Parcel Service Corporation, US Airways Corporation Operational Analysts, Dispatchers, Meteorologists, Pilots, Instructors, ATC, Operational Managers Summary of Air Carriers Visits • Received an overview of air carrier operations ¾ • • • operating environment, route structure, fleet mix Consolidated and compared lists of priorities Discussed data sources Established baseline metrics 7 Oceanic Metrics Overview 4 Purpose of the “Dashboard” • • • • • 4 Established data exchange process with Centers • • 4 Provides visual summary of performance of pertinent metrics for facility and airspace regions within the Flight Information Region (FIR) Tracks customer demand and level of service provided by the FAA oceanic ATC Establishes baseline to determine affect of automation and/or procedure changes (e.g., Advanced Technology and Oceanic Procedures or ATOP) Identify anomalies and areas that need more tracking Provide monthly charts for monitoring trends in oceanic service qualities Primary data source: Oceanic Display and Planning System (ODAPS) Other data sources: Oceanic Data Link (ODL), Track Advisory (TA) Generated programs to process and analyze data • • • Oceanic Data Repository (ODR) Oceanic Analysis Tool Set (OATS) Oceanic Metrics Generator (OMG) 8 Metrics Based on Priorities 4 Air Carrier Priorities and Oceanic Metrics Air Carrier Priorities Metrics Data Availability and Sources Operating Environment 4Flight count 4Avionics equipment 4Fleet mix Available 4Flight Plans from ODAPS Communication 4Avionics equipment 4Altitude requests 4Response times Available 4 Flight Plans from ODAPS 4 HF messages from ODAPS 4 CPDLC messages from ODL Safety 4Operational errors 4Altitude requests due to WX 4Deviation requests Available 4 AAT-200 4 HF messages from ODAPS 4 CPDLC messages from ODL Efficiency - Flexibility 4Requests Granted 4Altitude Available 4 Plans from ODAPS 4 HF messages from ODAPS 4 CPDLC messages from ODL requests granted 4Response time 9 Metrics Based on Priorities (Continued) 4 Air Carrier Priorities and Oceanic Metrics Air Carrier Priorities Metrics Data Needed User Satisfaction Predictability 4Optimal vs. Actual 4Planned vs. Actual 4First Available 4 Flight Plans from ODAPS 4 Position reports from ODAPS 4 Track Advisory reports preference granted 4Entry altitude flown as filed User Satisfaction Predictability 4Delay / On-time Performance In Development with Aviation System Performance Metrics (ASPM) and Enhanced Traffic Management System (ETMS) 4 Planned departure and arrival times 4 Actual departure and arrival times User Satisfaction 4Fuel Consumption In Development 4 Preferred route and altitude in ICAO Flight Plan (FPL) vs. Actual route and altitude flown 10 Sample Dashboard Charts ZNY Oceanic Flights 50 100% 45 600 500 398 381 479 468 450 441 429 432 504 445 395 401 378 384 80% 40 35 80% 60% 30 60% 25 300 40% 20 40% 200 20% 15 10 20% 0% 0 100 5 Response Time in Minutes Oct-03 4 30% 20% 0 10% 0% Percentage 90% 20 80% 70% 16 60% 50% 12 40% 8 30% 20% 4 10% 0 0% % Modified Oct-03 Sep-03 Aug-03 % Cleared Jul-03 Jun-03 May-03 Unable Apr-03 Mar-03 Feb-03 Modified Jan-03 Dec-02 Cleared Nov-02 Oct-02 % Unable 100% 24 Sep-02 % Modified Oct-03 Sep-03 Aug-03 Jul-03 Jun-03 May-03 Apr-03 Mar-03 Feb-03 Jan-03 Dec-02 Nov-02 % Cleared Sep-03 8 50% 40% Unable Aug-03 12 70% 60% Modified Jul-03 16 90% 80% Cleared Jun-03 100% Oct-02 In Use 1st Option ZOA Altitude Requests due to Weather - HF Flights 20 Sep-02 ADS Oct-03 Sep-03 Aug-03 Jul-03 Jun-03 May-03 Apr-03 Mar-03 Feb-03 Jan-03 Dec-02 Nov-02 Oct-02 Sep-02 Reduced Vert. Sep. Min. May-03 Total Entry Alt Higher Apr-03 0% Mar-03 20% Feb-03 40% Jan-03 60% Dec-02 80% Nov-02 Oct-02 Sep-02 Oct-03 Sep-03 Aug-03 Jul-03 Jun-03 May-03 Apr-03 Mar-03 Feb-03 Entry Alt Same 0% ZOA Altitude Requests - HF Flights ZOA Avionics Equipment Required Nav. Perf. Jan-03 Entry Alt Lower 100% Datalink Dec-02 Nov-02 Oct-03 Sep-03 Aug-03 Jul-03 Jun-03 May-03 Apr-03 Mar-03 Feb-03 Jan-03 Dec-02 Nov-02 Oct-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Sep-02 0 Response Time in Minutes Avg Number of Flights per Day 700 400 ZOA First Preference Granted ZNY Entry Altitude Flown as Filed 100% % Unable 11 Current Challenges Related to Oceanic Metrics 4 4 4 4 US oceanic performance metrics are affected by actions taken by non-US oceanic ATC Limited end-to-end data available Variations in operations and priorities across different geographic and domain sub-regions Processing HF messages 12 Baseline Performance Results 4 Trends observed • • • • • 4 Plausible reasons for the above trends • • • • 4 Response time for HF flights are longer than that for FANS 1/A flights Percent of positive or negative response to request are basically the same regardless of the aircraft communication capabilities (i.e., FANS 1/A or HF) Daily traffic varies more than 30% (e.g., May and August); but variation of performance level is small Most flights (80%) received preferred entry altitude for New York airspace or first preference for the Pacific Organized Track System (PACOTS) Average response time to altitude change requests has decreased from 10-50 minutes in 1998 to 5-15 minutes for HF flights and 3-6 minutes for FANS 1/A flights in 2003 Introduction of data link not only allow FANS 1/A flights to communicate with ATC faster, it also reduced congestion on the channel allowing HF flights to get better services Oceanic Data Link enhanced controller productivity for all flights, not just FANS 1/A flights Whether a positive response can be granted is dependent on traffic situation, not on communication means Implementation of Reduced Vertical Separation Mimima (RVSM) allowed more flights to fly their preferred altitude profile Sample slides follow 13 Baseline Performance Results (Continued) ZOA Oceanic Flight Count 560 540 520 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 500 480 460 440 420 400 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 14 Baseline Performance Results (Continued) ZOA - HF Flig hts : Altitude Chang e Re que s ts Ave ra g e Re qs / Da y 215 218 206 198 220 225 239 222 225 221 228 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 100% 80% 60% 40% Pe rce nt Ave ra g e Re sp o n se Time (Minute s ) 227 20% 0% Ja n Fe b Ma r Apr Ma y Jun Jul Aug Sep Oc t No v De c Ye ar of 1998 Cle a red Time % Clea re d Modifie d Time % Modified Unable Time % Una ble 15 Baseline Performance Results (Concluded) ZOA - HF Flights: Altitude Requests Average Reqs / Day 285 258 241 201 188 182 196 216 196 201 245 100% 80% 15 60% 10 40% 5 Percent Average Response Time (Minutes) 20 20% 0 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year of 2003 Cleared Time % Cleared Modified Time % Modified Unable Time % Unable ZOA - FANS 1/A Flights: Altitude Requests Average Reqs / Day 130 159 154 139 119 135 166 190 186 175 178 100% 80% 15 60% 10 40% 5 Percent Average Response Time (Minutes) 20 20% 0 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year of 2003 Cleared Time % Cleared Modified Time % Modified Unable Time % Unable 16 Summary 4 Oceanic Performance Metrics • Assesses the operating environment and quality of oceanic service provided to the airspace users ¾ ¾ • Provides a foundation for making sound business decisions ¾ ¾ ¾ 4 Summary of performance Tracks customer demand and level of service provided Baseline comparison Anomalies Trends Oceanic Metrics are evolving and expanding to meet the challenges of measuring a complex system and the performance of ATC service in a meaningful way • • • Different data sources (e.g., ATOP is replacing ODAPS and ODL) Additional facilities (e.g., Anchorage) Changing priorities 17