Deconstructing Nepotism Sheheryar Banuri, Catherine Eckel, & Rick K. Wilson1 April 2016 Abstract Nepotism arises when favoritism toward one’s group affects personnel and contract decisions. It is widely regarded to be welfare reducing, yet it persists. In this paper we address the motives for engaging in nepotism. Using naturally-occurring groups, we present a laboratory experiment to test the strength of two motives for engaging in nepotism: beliefs regarding worker performance within and outside one’s group, and the desire to reward members of one’s group in the form of favoritism. Nepotism is introduced by allowing subjects to select their partners in a trust game. The design varies two factors in a 2x2 design: the efficiency of group members and the ability to select partners. We find beliefs about group member productivity to be the predominant motive. These beliefs bear out: ingroup members trust each other more, and reciprocate at higher levels, even when they are less productive. Selecting ingroup partners is profitable. These results help explain why nepotism persists. Keywords: Nepotism, Group Identity, Discrimination, Trust, Reciprocity JEL Classification Codes: C92, D73, M51 1 Banuri: Development Economics Research Group, World Bank, 1818 H St NW, MC 3-356, Washington, DC, 20433 (e-mail: sbanuri@gmail.com); Eckel: Department of Economics, Texas A&M University, 4228 TAMU, College Station, TX, 77845 (e-mail: ceckel@econmail.tamu.edu); Wilson: Department of Political Science, Rice University, MS 24, Houston, TX, 77251 (e-mail: rkw@rice.edu). The authors have no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the World Bank, its Executive Directors, or the countries they represent. We are indebted to Klaus Abbink, Rachel Croson, Sherry Xin Li, Angela de Oliveira, Ngoc Phan and participants of the EITM summer school at Washington University-St. Louis, NSF Conference on Politics Experiments at the University of Virginia, the NYU Experimental Political Science Conference, and the Economic Science Association meetings in Tucson, AZ. Funding was provided by the National Science Foundation (NSF SES-0921884). Any errors remain our own. 0 “Better to dance with the devil you know than the angel you don’t.” – English proverb INTRODUCTION Consider a manager who is in a position to hire one of two possible candidates with identical levels of skill. One candidate has social ties to the manager, while the other candidate is randomly selected from the general population. Which candidate will the manager select for the position? Will his answer be the same if the candidate with social ties has a lower level of skill? If the manager chooses the candidate with social ties, this can be considered nepotism,2 an act that is widely regarded as inefficient and discriminatory, and yet is pervasive. There is little agreement about why people engage in nepotism, and whether it is profitable for them. In this paper, we address both these questions using naturally occurring groups and a novel experimental design. From the perspective of traditional economic theory, nepotism can only reduce profit, since restricting employment to a favored group yields a less qualified candidate, on average, than an open, full search (Becker 1971). Current empirical research also supports the notion that nepotism is damaging for firm profitability (Bennedsen et al. 2007, Perez-Gonzalez 2006). Yet, despite its impact on performance and efficiency, nepotism persists. We define nepotism as the choice of a partner from one’s own primary group (kin, friendship, or identity group) in a setting involving trust. Two motives have been offered for engaging in nepotism: one is based on the claim that nepotism is rewarded - members of the same group work harder, thereby reciprocating the trust placed in them (McConaugby, et al., 2001, Kets de Vries 1993, Davis et al. 1997). The second motive (more common in the literature) is the desire to confer benefits on group members (Vanhanen 1999, Brewer 1999, Chen and Li, 2009, Brandts and Sola 2010, Belot and van de Ven 2011). While both motives are plausible, it has been difficult to determine the relative contribution of each in determining nepotism. This is due, in part, to the inherent difficulty of observing motives underlying nepotism in the field. 2 Note that we define nepotism in a broader framework than simply kin-based relationships. Nepotism is defined as “discrimination in favor” of a group member relative to the population (Fershtman et al. 2005, Becker 1971). This is divergent from traditional biological definitions of nepotism, which stress kin-based relationships. 1 We employ a laboratory experiment to investigate the motives for engaging in nepotism. Using the familiar trust game (Berg et al. 1995) as our starting point, we introduce two types of responders: an ingroup member and a non-ingroup member.3 In one treatment responders can choose which partner they prefer, and in another they are randomly assigned. Each treatment is further divided into a condition where ingroup members are less efficient than others, and another where ingroup members are equally efficient. This design allows us to identify motives for engaging in nepotism and its impact on subsequent trust and reciprocity. Motives are difficult to uncover in observational studies. Nepotism, for example, is often either illegal or socially undesirable, and therefore observing it is problematic. Our design allows us to eliminate social desirability, since all interaction is anonymous, and to manipulate the efficiency of ingroup members, which is not easily observable in the field. There may be other factors that contribute to nepotism than those we consider in our experiments (such as labor market conditions, and reputations within the group). However, by restricting our attention to key aspects of nepotism, we are able to focus on mechanisms through which it operates. We address three central questions. First, why do individuals engage in nepotism, when ingroup members are less efficient? Is it a strategic choice based on expectations of reciprocity (beliefs), or is it out of concern for the wellbeing of the group (favoritism)? Second, what is the impact of nepotism on trust and reciprocity? And finally, is engaging in nepotism profitable? We find that individuals engage in nepotism because of their beliefs about the reciprocity of ingroup members. We also find that ingroup members trust each other more, and that nepotism has a positive impact on reciprocity among group members, leading to the primary reason for the persistence of nepotism: it is profitable. We find that having an ingroup member as a partner carries an earnings premium. Thus, we find evidence for nepotism as a social dilemma: it is individually beneficial to engage in nepotism, but may be welfare reducing due to negative externalities on meritocracy. 3 As opposed to a majority of the literature in this area, we use naturally occurring group to study nepotism: Rice university’s residential college system, where students are randomly assigned to one of eleven different residential colleges at the beginning of their freshman year. These residential colleges are the basis of our ingroups. 2 RELATED RESEARCH A primary theme of research on nepotism is that it leads to inefficient outcomes. These studies are diverse and include a wide variety of settings. For example, Brick et al. (2005) find that excess compensation of boards of directors, which they interpret as evidence of cronyism, predicts future firm underperformance. In a study of the emergence of liberal democracy in Africa following the demise of colonialism, Englebert (2000) makes a similar argument, noting that in countries where colonial institutions conflict with historical (formal or informal) institutions, reversion to ethnicity-based resource allocation decisions is more likely, again yielding inefficient outcomes. Nepotism also is a widespread phenomenon within professional groups. To name two examples, Lentz and Laband (1989) show that children of doctors are 14 percent more likely to be admitted to medical school than are comparable other candidates,4 and Singell and Thornton (1997) find that many dairy farmers in Utah regularly make hiring decisions based on family and group ties, and that these farms underperform when compared with farmers that do not. So why does nepotism persist if it is welfare-reducing? There are two dominant explanations: (1) beliefs, and (2) favoritism. Previous literature supports both beliefs about trustworthiness (e.g., Ashraf et al 2006; Barr 2003; Buchan et al. 2008) and favoritism (Falk and Zehnder 2007) as determinants of the level of trust in the investment game.5 The argument for beliefs as a motive is based on the assumption that nepotism may be profitable because of the superior performance of group members. This assumption may stem from the belief that group members are in fact more capable, on average. Alternatively, higher productivity can arise from enhanced monitoring due to social ties: Social ties can substitute for incomplete contracts or weak legal institutions.6 Fearon and Laitin (1996) point out three factors that enhance trust and cooperation within groups: greater information regarding other members of the group, individual reputations that are sustainable and credible, and the availability of sanctions from within the group when defection is observed. All of these factors may serve to enhance productivity and 4 Their research cannot rule out the effects of legacy and donations on college acceptance, and note that intergenerational human capital transfers may also be a reason for larger acceptance rates. 5 Cox (2004) presents a “triadic” design that carefully explores the relationship between altruism and trust. He argues that the amount sent in the trust game incorporates both altruism and trust. Thus in our context, trust would be greater for fellow group members if there is greater altruism toward group members. 6 For example, McConaugby et al. (2001) argue that family-controlled firms are more likely to hire fellow group members as a solution to the agency problem, and that reduced monitoring costs can yield higher firm valuations. 3 reciprocity. Even if fellow group members are less capable, they may be more likely to engage in reciprocal behavior, effectively working harder than their more-qualified counterparts. Strong group identity yields high motivation for reciprocity, and results in a greater preference for nepotism. The second dominant explanation for nepotism is that individuals with a strong sense of group identity are more likely to select in-group members because of favoritism. This can be either taste-based discrimination (Becker, 1971) or because of strong ties to a social identity (Akerlof and Kranton, 2000).7 Nepotism is employed to benefit fellow group members, or because of the higher value placed on interactions within the group. Tajfel and Turner’s (1979) social identity theory suggests that individuals derive utility from group membership and actively work towards maintaining ties within the group, culminating in favoritism.8 Behavior favoring fellow group members is commonplace in these studies (for reviews, see Brewer and Brown, 1998; Messick and Mackie, 1989).9 Nepotism has implications for trust and reciprocity among group members: Slonim and Garbarino (2008) show that merely providing subjects with the ability to select their partners (based on gender and age) in the trust game increases trust. Brandts and Sola (2010) find higher reciprocity among friends in a lab experimental study using the trust game, justifying the selection of friends as partners, even when their efficiency is, by design, lower. Fiedler et al. (2011) find a similar result among a sample of second life players (but not among a standard lab sample of college undergraduates): reciprocity is higher among ingroup members. Fershtman, et al., (2005) also find nepotism using a unique pool of subjects in Israel and Belgium. Orthodox Jews trust other Orthodox Jews more than the general population and Belgian subjects are less trusting of identifiable out-groups (Flemish vs. Walloon). Despite their breadth, these studies do 7 Psychologists have studied the effects of ingroup bias, understood as discriminating in favor of the primary group of the individual relative to an out-group (Brewer, 1999). Once individuals establish their identities as part of a particular group, pro-social behavior towards their group members increases based on this linkage. Thus, the stronger an individual identifies with their group (relative to an outgroup), the greater the instance of pro-social behavior. See Chen and Li (2009) and Goette et al. (2006) for recent examples. 8 Much of the research in this area utilizes lab experiments, and employs the minimal group paradigm (Billig and Tajfel 1973), a relatively weak procedure for manipulating group identity in the lab. The procedure creates an ingroup as well as a complementary outgroup. 9 In contrast, several studies find ingroup denigration. Lewis and Sherman (2003) document two such situations. They show that individuals are more likely to hire out-group members when both applicants are unqualified (for qualified candidates, the favoritism result holds), or when a marginally qualified ingroup member might confirm a negative stereotype about the ingroup. 4 not distinguish between the two motives for nepotistic behavior, because they do not collect information on expected reciprocity or strength of friendship. Two studies support the idea that motives for nepotism lie with favoritism. In a field experiment with children aged 6-8 and 10-12, Belot and van de Ven (2011) demonstrate that younger children are more likely to select friends as group members regardless of performance. But for older children performance becomes important. This study also finds that favoritism improves performance, as group members who are selected exert more effort, consistent with (accurate) beliefs about the productivity of fellow group members. In a field experiment in a fruit-picking firm, Bandiera, et al., (2009) provide evidence that managers favor workers who are socially close to them when it is costless to do so, but when it is costly, favoritism is eliminated. These studies demonstrate the prevalence of the favoritism motive and suggest that beliefs about higher performance can also play an important role. While these studies are informative, they do not assess the relative strengths of beliefs and favoritism as motives for selecting ingroup members under conditions where ingroup members are less or equally efficient. Our experiment allows us to make this distinction. We use laboratory experiments to examine which behavioral factors influence nepotism, and the impact of nepotism on trust and reciprocity. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN We modify the standard trust game (Berg et al. 1995) by introducing groups and differences in partner efficiency. Our treatment of groups is somewhat different from prior studies in that we do not have a true outgroup. We allow the proposer, the first mover in the trust game, to choose either an ingroup or a non-ingroup member as responder (second mover). A non-ingroup member is an individual that is “not in” the ingroup. Thus, by design, the “outgroup” has no identity: it is a random individual from the population, reflecting common situations where nepotism plays a role. This is an important distinction, since favoritism towards one’s group is not the same as out-group dislike (Brewer 1999).10 Previous studies of ingroup favoritism typically include an identifiable outgroup, confounding ingroup favoritism with 10 Brewer (1999) argues that ingroup favoritism and outgroup discrimination are separable phenomena, and thus it may be unclear whether behavioral variation is driven by a preference for the ingroup or dislike towards the outgroup. We have no identifiable outgroup, meaning that subjects cannot discriminate against outgroup members. 5 outgroup dislike. By structuring the game in this way, we are able attribute any preferential treatment shown the ingroup members as favoritism, rather than outgroup dislike. We increase the external validity of our study by using naturally-occurring groups, as explained below. The experiment includes two factors with four treatments, in a 2x2 design. The first factor is nepotism, labeled as “Random match” and “Nepotism” treatments. The difference between the two is that the latter allows proposers to choose their partners, while the former does not.11 The other factor varies the efficiency of ingroup members: “Equal efficiency” or “Low ingroup efficiency.” In the Equal efficiency treatments, the standard trust game multiplier of three applies to both ingroup members and others. In the Low ingroup efficiency treatments, a lower multiplier of 2.5 is applied to ingroup members, while transfers to others retain the original multiplier of three. Each treatment combination is conducted with an independent sample in a between-subjects design. Figure 1: Experiment timeline Figure 1 shows a timeline of events in each session. The experiment begins with a pregame survey (collecting demographic information) followed by three games (Trust, Dictator, Risk, presented in random order by session) and then a post-game survey (collecting game specific information). Nepotism game Proposers and responders in the trust game are endowed with 20 tokens (with each token equal to $0.50). In the Nepotism treatments, proposers make three decisions in the trust game; (1) choose between ingroup and other, (2) choose how many tokens to send to responder, and (3) 11 In the Random match treatment, during the post-game survey we ask the subjects if they could choose, which group would they choose their responder from, giving us survey based information on partner preferences, which has no bearing on outcome of the game, and is not incentive compatible. 6 estimate the number of tokens sent back by the responder. All three decisions are incentivized.12 We use the strategy method, meaning that each subject makes a trust decision and a return estimate for both possible counterparts: the ingroup and the other.13 Responders make two decisions: (1) estimate how much they will receive, and (2) choose how much to send back for all possible amounts received (using the strategy method). Both these decisions are incentivized. We use complete information, meaning that both proposers and responders are aware that proposers choose partners.14 In the Random match treatment, the setup is identical to above except for decision (1). Proposers do not choose a responder group, but instead are informed that there is a 50% chance they will be matched with either group. Both proposers and responders are aware that actual matching is random. In the post-game survey for this treatment, proposers are asked which group they prefer to be matched with if they could choose; however, their response has no bearing on the matching protocol. In the Low ingroup efficiency treatments, proposers are informed that pairing with an ingroup member yields a lower multiplier (of 2.5, compared to a multiplier of 3 for a pairing with the non-ingroup counterpart). In the Equal efficiency treatment the multiplier is 3, and is the same for ingroup members and others. Both proposers and responders are informed of this. Preference controls To measure subject’s key preferences – favoritism and risk aversion – we conduct additional games. Favoritism is measured by a variation on the standard dictator game. Proposers are endowed with 20 tokens (each worth $.50 USD) and are asked how much they want to send to an ingroup responder, and how much they want to send to a non-ingroup responder. They make this decision simultaneously (on a single screen, with the order randomized). In the Nepotism 12 Belief estimates are rewarded using a binary scoring rule. Subjects receive a 2-token ($1) bonus if they estimate correctly. 13 As explained in the next section, subjects are informed that there is a chance their first choice responder will not be available, and are thus asked to take both ingroup and other decisions simultaneously. The matching protocol (described below) ensures that there is some chance they will be matched with their second choice of responder. This provides us with appropriate counterfactual data for each subject. 14 The trust game is played once, all participants have fixed positions, and the pairings are anonymous. The game is computerized using z-tree (Fischbacher, 2007). 7 treatment, proposers select the group (ingroup or other) to which they send tokens.15 The protocol in the Random match treatment is identical, but the choice of responder group is removed. We implement a simple measure of risk aversion as in Eckel and Grossman (2008), wherein subjects are asked to select one of six possible gambles. Appendix A displays a screenshot of the gambles viewed by the subjects. Gambles one through five increase in both expected value and variance. Gamble six increases in variance, but holds the expected value the same as in gamble five. Each gamble has a 50% chance of paying out a low amount or a high amount. In addition, as an additional control variable, we measure the strength of group identity using a 7-point Likert-scale survey question (“How strongly do you identify with members of [primary group]?”) and use survey measures of generalized trust and perceptions of generalized fairness (from the World Values Survey). EXPERIMENTAL PROCEDURES We conducted the experiment at Rice University, making use of their Residential College system. Upon entrance to the university as freshmen, undergraduates are randomly assigned to one of eleven Residential Colleges. Colleges have their own dining halls, dorms, and faculty advisors, which cultivates a strong group identity. Furthermore, a week-long orientation period for freshman and regular competitions among colleges further establish strong group affiliations.16 These residential colleges serve as the primary group affiliation for undergraduates on campus. Subjects were recruited during lunch and dinner hours at the dining hall for each particular college. The experiments explicitly make reference to the primary college under 15 Again, both decisions are incentive compatible as the matching protocol allows for a chance that the proposer will not be matched with the responder they selected. 16 We utilize Rice University’s residential college system as the basis for our groups. This is useful as (1) we can implement the partner choice mechanism with an in-group but no identifiable out-group, and (2) we can conceal the identity of the partner so as to mitigate post-game play. Furthermore, random assignment assures that potentially confounding factors are not correlated with treatments, and the possibility of selection bias in group assignment is avoided. However, one threat to randomization is the possibility of legacy admissions; i.e., undergraduates requesting to be assigned to a particular college based on previous affiliation. The number of legacy admissions is relatively small at Rice, and given the relatively small sample of subjects, the probability of legacy students participating in the study is low. For more information on the residential college system, please see: http://students.rice.edu/students/Colleges.asp 8 observation in order to establish a basis for engaging in nepotism. All partners are anonymous, and no identifiable characteristics (other than group membership) are revealed. Table 1: Study Design Nepotism Equal multiplier N = 78 Low ingroup multiplier N = 78 Random match N = 68 N = 72 Table 1 contains the overall design of the study. Sessions were conducted at the Behavioral Research Lab at Rice University in April and October 2009, and October 2010. A total of 296 subjects participated in the study. There were a total of 17 sessions, with an average of 16 subjects in each session. In all cases, the ingroups were labeled in accordance with the name of the residential college. As detailed above, the experiment consisted of an initial short entry survey (collecting demographic information), and the three games (Dictator, Nepotism, and Risk described above), followed by a post-game survey. Each game started with instructions, two examples, and a short quiz to test understanding, followed by the game itself. The overall experiment has a number of games, and well as two types of groups (ingroup and other), which brings up concerns about order effects. To minimize these concerns, we randomized a number of things in the experiment. First, we randomized the order of the games: subjects had an equal chance of starting with the dictator, nepotism, or risk game. Second, we randomized the order of the groups: each subject made ingroup decisions on the left side of the screen or the right side (with the other decisions on the adjacent side).17 Third, we randomly selected one game (dictator, nepotism, or risk) for payment at the end of the session, so as to induce independence in decisions across games. Upon arriving at the lab, subjects signed in and were asked to confirm their residential college name and then promptly seated at a terminal. Instructions referred to ingroup subjects by the name of their college (for example, “individuals in Baker College”) and others were referred to as “individuals not in Baker College but from the Rice University population” (emphasis 17 Ingroup and other decisions were made on the same screen to avoid biasing the subjects. 9 added).18 No feedback was provided on earnings between tasks during the experiment. At the end of the session, the experimenter entered the lab area and asked for a volunteer. The volunteer rolled a die to determine the game that would be paid for in the session. If the risk game was selected for payment, subjects were directed to the payment area and rolled a six-sided die. A roll of 1 through 3 gave them the low amount listed for their chosen gamble, and the roll of 4 through 6 gave them a payout of the high amount. Subjects were assigned to one of two roles at the beginning of the session: proposer or a responder. Subjects kept this role through the entire session. In all sessions, all proposers belonged to the ingroup, while approximately half of the responders belonged to the ingroup. The remaining responders belonged to residential colleges other than the ingroup’s. All participants were aware of this. Appendix A contains screenshots of the proposer and responder decision screen, respectively (figures A.2 and A.3). In the Nepotism treatment, proposers had the option to select the group that their counterpart would be drawn from for each task. In the Random match treatments, subjects were not given this option, but were told that there would be “approximately a 50% chance” that they would be matched with a responder from either group (i.e., their own group or not). Subjects were paired using a matching algorithm that is a variation on one developed by Castillo and Petrie (2010) for eliciting preferences for partners in a public goods game. For the Nepotism treatments, one proposer was selected at random. His preferred group choice was noted, and then a responder was randomly selected from his preferred group. Next, a second proposer was randomly selected and given his first choice of group from the remaining candidate responders. This process continued until each proposer was matched with a responder in the session. In the event that the pool of responders from any particular group was exhausted, but still had been requested by a proposer, then the proposer was matched with a responder from the alternate group. In the Random match treatments, each proposer was matched with a responder at random. The matching algorithm was triggered once all subjects had completed all tasks and the surveys. Each proposer was matched with a single responder. 18 Note that the “others” belonged to Rice University, which constitutes another in-group for the subjects, but one that is not as salient as their own college. 10 RESULTS In this section we first examine the main treatment effects. We then focus on the motives for nepotism: favoritism or beliefs. Next, we discuss the impact of nepotism on trust and reciprocity. Finally, we address the question of whether nepotism is a profitable strategy. Figure 2 presents preferences for nepotism in all treatments. Note that in both the Random match and Nepotism treatments, over 80 percent of proposers prefer/choose ingroup members as their partner when the ingroup member is as efficient as the general population.19 Nepotism, however, is rarely costless, and we find that when it is costly, it is less utilized. Across both the Random match and Nepotism treatments, when ingroup members are less efficient than the general population, 44 percent of the proposers choose ingroup members as their partner, significantly lower than when ingroup members are as efficient (from 85 percent to 44 percent, two-sample z-test of proportions, z=5.19, p<0.01).20 Note, however, that even when ingroup members are less efficient, a large proportion of subjects still choose them as partners. 19 Please note that in the random match treatment, subjects cannot directly choose their partner, but indicate their preference in the exit survey. The figure reports this metric for the random match treatment. 20 There are no significant differences between the Random match and Nepotism treatments both when ingroup member efficiency is identical to or lower than the general population. 11 Figure 2: Percentage of subjects choosing/preferring ingroup members (95% confidence interval) Motives for nepotism We now test for the determinants of nepotism. Our primary variables of interest are (1) favoritism towards ingroup members21 and (2) beliefs regarding the performance of the trustee.22 We also control for risk preferences, measured using the Eckel-Grossman risk elicitation method (2008).23 Finally, we add controls for gender, group identity,24 and the survey-based attitudinal measures of trust and fairness.25 21 We measure favoritism by constructing a measure using the dictator game, defined as the amount donated to an ingroup member less the amount donated to a member of the general population. If the difference in dictator game giving favors the ingroup member then this variable is positive. Stronger altruism toward group members is likely to play a role in partner selection. Thus, this variable measures the extent to which the subject is altruistic towards his ingroup relative to his altruism towards the general population, using the following formula: πΉππ£ππππ‘ππ π! = π΄πππ’ππ‘ πππππ‘ππ π‘π ππππππ’π − π΄πππ’ππ‘ πππππ‘ππ π‘π ππ‘βππ . 22 We measure beliefs in the following way: after subjects make their partner choice (depending on treatment) and trust decisions, we inform them the total available to their ingroup and other responders. We then ask them how much of that total they expect back from each responder. The elicitation is incentive compatible in that subjects are paid a bonus for guessing correctly, and zero otherwise. The difference in beliefs about the performance of ingroup members and others is our measure, using the following formula: πΈπ₯ππππ‘ππ πππ‘π’ππ ππππ ππππππ’π πΈπ₯ππππ‘ππ πππ‘π’ππ ππππ ππ‘βππ π΅πππππ! = − πππ‘ππ ππ£πππππππ π‘π ππππππ’π πππ‘ππ ππ£πππππππ π‘π ππ‘βππ 23 Ben-Ner and Putterman (2001) argue that trust is necessarily a risky decision due to lack of information between partners (see also Eckel and Wilson 2004, who find little relationship between risk attitudes and trust, and Schechter 2007 who does find a positive relationship between risk-tolerance and trust). The decision to trust is inherently risky due to the possibility of betrayal (see Bohnet and Zeckhauser 2004). Trust decisions involve uncertainty regarding 12 Our dependent variable is a dummy variable equaling 1 if the subject chose an ingroup member as partner in the trust game. Therefore, we use a probit model to estimate the probability of the subject choosing an ingroup member as partner. Furthermore, we restrict our analysis to the Nepotism treatment, where partner choice is incentive compatible.26 The results are provided in table 2 (marginal effects are reported).27 Table 2: Probability of selecting ingroup members as partner (marginal effects) Dependent variable: Partner choice (1 = Chose ingroup member) Treatment (1 = Low ingroup efficiency) Beliefs (Ingroup less other) Favoritism (Ingroup less other) Risk Preferences (6 = Risk seeking) Gender (D) (1 = Female) Group Identity (7 = Strong ingroup identity) Generalized Trust (7 = More trusting) Generalized Fairness (7 = Others are fair) I II III IV V -0.339*** -0.422*** -0.355*** -0.410*** -0.397*** (0.11) (0.10) (0.10) (0.11) (0.11) 0.069* 2.471** (1.09) 0.072 2.580** (1.10) 0.064 2.881** (1.11) 0.067 (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.05) -0.116*** -0.094** (0.04) (0.04) 2.655** (1.11) 0.153 (0.10) 0.011 (0.04) -0.017 (0.04) 0.013 (0.04) behavior of the counterpart; this uncertainty is diminished in interactions between individuals with a common social identity. Individuals choosing between in-group partners and “others” have a shared history with in-group members, allowing better calibration of reciprocity beliefs. Conversely, the perceived distribution of reciprocity levels in the general population is more dispersed, which in turn makes the choice of an individual from the general population a riskier prospect. 24 This was measured using a 7 point Likert-scale response to the question “To what extent do you identify with other members of {Insert group name}?” taken from Levin and Sidanius (1999). This provides us with an additional measure of favoritism towards the ingroup. 25 Trust is measured by a 7 point Likert scale response to the question “Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted, or that you need to be very careful in dealing with people?” taken from the 2005 version of the World Values Survey, accessible at http://www.wvsevsdb.com/wvs/WVSAnalize.jsp. Fairness is measured by a 7 point Likert scale response to the question “Do you think that most people would try to take advantage of you if they got a chance, or would they try to be fair?” taken from the 2005 version of the World Values Survey, accessible at http://www.wvsevsdb.com/wvs/WVSAnalize.jsp. 26 We conduct the same analysis with the Random Choice treatment data in appendix B (table B.2). 27 Model coefficients are provided in table B.1 in appendix B for the interested reader. 13 Constant 0.733 0.723 0.773 0.803 0.815 Pseudo R-squared Chi-squared P-value Log Likelihood 0.263 26.4 0.000 -37.09 0.225 22.6 0.000 -39.01 0.307 30.9 0.000 -34.86 0.416 41.9 0.000 -29.38 0.438 44.0 0.000 -28.30 78 78 78 78 78 Observations Note: * p<0.1, **p<0.05, *** p<0.01. Probit specification, standard errors in parentheses. Table reports marginal effects. Dependent variable takes on a value of 1 if subject selected ingroup member as partner in the trust game. Data is from the Nepotism treatment. The “Beliefs” variable measures the difference in beliefs about reciprocity between ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values mean subjects expect more back from their ingroup, while negative values mean subjects expect less back from their ingroup (relative to others). The “Favoritism” variable measures the difference in dictator giving to ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values are subjects giving more to ingroup relative to others, while negative values are subjects giving more to others. Models 1, 2, and 3 estimate partner choice with a dummy variable for the treatment (equaling 1 if the ingroup respondent is less efficient, and 0 otherwise) and beliefs and/or favoritism variables. Model 4 adds risk preferences, while model 5 adds gender and social preference controls. We first note that the coefficient on the treatment dummy is significant and negative, replicating what we observed in figure 2: when ingroup members are less efficient, subjects are significantly less likely (approximately 40 percentage points less likely) to choose ingroup members as partners (p<0.01). We also find that subjects with higher beliefs regarding ingroup member performance (relative to others) are significantly more likely to select them (p<0.05), and this effect does not vary by treatment (p=0.70 for the interaction term). In fact, for every 1% increase beliefs about ingroup member performance, subjects are approximately 2.7% more likely to select ingroup members as partners. Thus, we find that beliefs regarding partner performance matter for nepotism. Second, we test the relationship between favoritism towards the group and nepotism. We find little evidence in favor of the favoritism channel. The coefficient is weakly significant in model 2 (p<0.10), and does not remain so once we add additional controls. Similarly, group identity is also not significant in our data. The effect of favoritism also does not vary by treatment (p=0.53). This suggests that subjects engage in nepotism primarily due to beliefs. Table B.2 in the appendix conducts the same analysis for the Random match treatment, where the choice between ingroup member and other was not incentive compatible (subjects were simply asked for their preference in the post-game survey, prior to decisions being revealed). We find similar effects for the treatment (Low ingroup efficiency) and for beliefs regarding 14 performance. In this table, however, we also find that favoritism towards ingroup members also predicts partner choice. This implies that favoritism may not play as much of a role when real stakes are attached to the partner choice decision. Finally, we note that the coefficient on risk preference is significant and negatively related to the choice of an ingroup member as partner (p<0.05). Risk-seeking subjects are less likely to choose ingroup members as partners in the trust game. The negative coefficient is also significant when ingroup members are less efficient (p<0.05). This implies that risk-averse subjects are more likely to engage in nepotism. Overall, we find that nepotism is a strategic decision, motivated mainly by beliefs about ingroup member performance. We do find some suggestive evidence in favor of favoritism, but only when there are no payoff implications. We also find some evidence of risk-aversion informing the choice to engage in nepotism. People engage in nepotism mainly because they expect better (more profitable) outcomes for themselves. Impact of nepotism on trust In this section we analyze the amount sent by proposers in the trust game across all four treatments.28 This allows us to estimate the impact of nepotism on trust. Therefore, our major variable of interest is the Nepotism treatment dummy. Since we use the strategy method, each subject takes a decision for ingroup members as responders, and for others as responders. We estimate tobit models for the amount sent to the responder in the trust game, pooling all decisions and clustering by individual. In addition to the treatment dummies, we add in controls for whether the target responder is an ingroup member (dummy), whether the target responder is chosen as partner (dummy), risk preferences, gender, trust and fairness perceptions, as well as group identity. Table 3 displays the results. 28 Recall that in the Random Match treatment, subjects indicate a preference for participating in the trust game with a member of their own group, or a randomly selected individual. This preference has no bearing on who they are ultimately matched with. In the Nepotism treatment, counterparts are matched in accordance to the subject’s group choice. In both treatments, subjects are asked to make both decisions (one for an ingroup responder and another for the other responder). 15 Model 1 introduces the two treatment dummies (for the Nepotism treatment, and the Equal efficiency treatment), while model 2 adds an interaction term. Model 3 adds control dummies for whether the decision is for an ingroup responder, and whether the decision is for a responder that is chosen as partner. Finally, model 4 adds the gender, risk and social preference controls. Table 3: Trust - Tokens sent by proposer Dependent variable: Trust Nepotism Treatment (1 = Nepotism) Equal Efficiency Treatment (1 = Equal ingroup efficiency) Nepotism X Equal Efficiency Ingroup (1 = Sent to ingroup) Chosen as Partner (1 = Responder chosen as partner) Risk Preferences (6 = Risk seeking) Gender (D) (1 = Female) I II III IV 1.346 (1.56) 3.267** 3.202 (1.97) 5.279** 3.204 (1.97) 5.280** 4.144** (1.96) 5.891*** (1.56) (2.39) (2.39) (2.25) -3.802 -3.797 -4.752 (3.13) (3.12) (2.90) 1.484*** (0.42) 1.342*** 1.474*** (0.41) 1.315*** (0.42) (0.41) 1.153** (0.47) -4.701*** (1.25) 16 Group Identity (7 = Strong ingroup identity) Generalized Trust (7 = More trusting) Generalized Fairness -0.260 (0.58) 0.823 (0.60) 0.492 (7 = Others are fair) Constant (0.58) 7.094*** 6.128*** 4.710*** -1.997 (1.26) (1.38) (1.41) (4.45) 0.006 0.055 -836.80 0.007 0.062 -835.40 0.010 0.001 -833.40 0.036 0.000 -811.40 Observations 296 296 296 296 Left censored observations 38 38 38 38 Right censored observations 59 59 59 59 Pseudo R-squared P-value Log Likelihood Note: * p<0.1, **p<0.05, *** p<0.01. Tobit specification, standard errors in parentheses. Dependent variable is the number of tokens sent in the trust game. Data in models I and II is from the equal efficiency treatment, while data in models III and IV is from the low ingroup efficiency treatment. Variables are censored at 0 (lower limit) and 20 (upper limit). Both the Nepotism and Equal efficiency treatments have a positive coefficient in the models. In particular, raising the efficiency of the ingroup member has a positive impact on trust overall, significantly increasing trust, on average, by between 3 and 6 tokens ($1.50-$3.00; p<0.05). Second, the Nepotism treatment has a positive coefficient, but it is not significant (p=0.39). When we add the interaction term and controls, however, we find that the Nepotism treatment in the Low ingroup efficiency treatment is significant (p<0.05), increasing trust by 4 tokens ($2.00). In the Nepotism and Equal efficiency treatment, trust is lower and marginally significant (p=0.103). Thus, Nepotism may have some positive impact on trust, but it is not always the case, particularly when ingroup members are as efficient as others.29 We do find, however, that subjects trust their ingroup more overall: subjects send 1.5 additional tokens ($0.75) to their ingroup (p<0.01). In addition, subjects send 1.3 additional tokens ($0.65) to their chosen/preferred partner (p<0.01). We also find that trust is a risky decision in this context, with more risk-tolerant subjects trusting more (p<0.05), and that women send significantly less than 29 This result is similar to the findings of Slonim and Garbarino (2008), who find that partner choice induces higher levels of trust. In their framework additional information regarding partner gender and age were available to subjects, whereas in our study, the only information available is that of ingroup status and efficiency. 17 men ($2.35 less; p<0.01), which is consistent with Buchan et al. (2008), and many studies in the survey by Croson and Gneezy (2009). 30 Overall, we find little evidence for Nepotism having a positive impact on trust. We do find that the equal efficiency treatments have a positive and significant impact on trust overall, even with non-ingroup members.31 Importantly, however, we find that subjects consistently send more to their ingroup (about 1.5 tokens on average), and send more to the respondents that choose as their partners, across all treatments. Impact of nepotism on reciprocity We now turn to responder trustworthiness/reciprocity in this section. We utilize the strategy method in measuring the reciprocity levels; i.e., responders make a decision for every possible amount sent by the proposer, making a total of 11 decisions. In addition, responders can return the amount that they received, as well as their own initial endowment. Figures 3 and 4 display reciprocity decisions (tokens returned) of ingroup members (figure 3) and others (figure 4). The figures compare differences in reciprocity in the Random Match and Nepotism for the Low ingroup efficiency treatments (figures 3a and 4a) and the Equal efficiency treatments (figures 3b and 4b). In each graph the dotted line indicates that the responder just returns the amount sent, and the dashed line indicates that the amount returned equalizes the gains from the amount sent. Returns have the usual feature in that they are linear and upward-sloping in trust. From the graphs it is plain to see that average returns in the Nepotism treatment are nearly always higher than average returns in the Random match treatments, both for ingroup members and for others. However, the difference in treatments in particularly pronounced in the Low ingroup efficiency treatment, and particularly from ingroup members. In fact, in just one case do the returns approach an equal split: among group members in the Low treatment when nepotism is available. For the Equal efficiency treatment, subjects appear to be unaffected by the Nepotism treatment. 30 Note that we have not explicitly controlled for expectations in the regressions, since expectations are elicited subsequent to the trust decision and so are likely to be endogenous. 31 While we would expect that raising ingroup member efficiency has a positive impact on trust among ingroup members, the increase in trust with others comes as a surprise. This may be due to the fact that trust decisions were made simultaneously, and hence increased trust in the ingroup had a positive spillover effect on trust overall. Our data does not allow us to test this motivation, however. 18 Ingroup Reciprocity -­β Low ingroup eο¬ciency Ingroup Reciprocity -­β Equal eο¬ciency 35 35 Random match NepoDsm Same amount returned Equal split 25 20 30 Amount Returned Amount Returned 30 15 10 5 Random match NepoDsm Same amount returned Equal split 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 2 4 6 Amount Sent 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Amount Sent Figure 3a-b: Average returns by ingroup members by treatment Other Reciprocity -­β Low ingroup eο¬ciency Other Reciprocity -­β Equal eο¬ciency 35 35 30 Random match NepoDsm Same amount returned Equal split 25 20 Amount Returned Amount Returned 30 15 10 5 Random match NepoDsm Same amount returned Equal split 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 Amount Sent 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Amount Sent Figure 4a-b: Average returns by others by treatment We formally test the effect of the treatments on reciprocity separately for ingroup members, and for others, using a linear regression with individual clusters (tobit regressions with left censoring at zero give us similar results). The dependent variable is the amount returned by responders. Our main independent variables are: the amount sent by the proposer, the treatment dummies and their interaction. As above, we also control for gender, group identity (for others, this question refers to how strongly they identify with the ingroup), generalized trust, and fairness preferences. Models 1 and 2 are for ingroup responders, while models 3 and 4 are for others. Models 1 and 3 use just the treatment dummies and the amount sent by the proposer, while models 2 and 4 add controls. Table 4 provides the estimation results. 19 Table 4: Reciprocity: Tokens returned by responders to Ingroup and Others Dependent variable: Reciprocity Ingroup Ingroup Tokens Sent by Proposer Nepotism Treatment (1 = Nepotism) Equal Efficiency Treatment (1 = Equal ingroup efficiency) II III IV 0.923*** 0.923*** 0.912*** 0.912*** (0.09) (0.09) (0.09) (0.09) 3.521* (1.95) 1.439 7.058*** (2.42) 5.884** 1.707 (1.90) 0.221 4.084* (2.24) 3.131 (1.94) (2.55) (1.95) (2.16) Gender (D) (1 = Female) Group Identity (7 = Strong ingroup identity) Generalized Trust (7 = More trusting) Generalized Fairness R-squared P-value Observations Others I Nepotism X Equal Efficiency (7 = Others are fair) Constant Others -7.671** -4.176 (3.72) (3.51) -0.464 (1.80) -0.288 (0.75) 1.218* (0.62) 1.999*** -0.210 (1.81) 0.962* (0.54) 1.269* (0.64) 1.378** (0.49) (0.61) -1.263 -14.10*** -0.334 -14.10*** (1.22) (4.74) (1.39) (2.68) 0.313 0.000 0.417 0.000 0.235 0.000 0.365 0.000 693 693 935 935 Note: * p<0.1, **p<0.05, *** p<0.01. Linear regression with individual clusters, standard errors in parentheses. Dependent variable is the number of tokens returned in the trust game. Data in models I and II is for ingroup subjects while data in models III and IV is other subjects. The regressions confirm the observations from the figures. First, we find that reciprocity is increasing in trust: subjects return one token ($0.50) for every two tokens sent by proposers ($1.00). Furthermore, the Nepotism treatment has a positive and significant impact on reciprocity among group members overall (p<0.10), but a smaller effect on ingroup reciprocity when ingroup members are equally efficient as others. The Equal efficiency treatment has a positive impact on reciprocity among group members but is not significant (p=0.46). We do find, however, that reciprocity increases in the Random match-Equal efficiency treatment (p<0.05), but is significantly lower in the Nepotism-Equal efficiency treatment (p<0.05). Thus, the effect of Equal efficiency on ingroup member reciprocity varies depending on the existence of Nepotism. 20 For others’ reciprocity, we observe a similar pattern as for the ingroup, except that the coefficients are smaller and not as significant. We do observe a positive effect of Nepotism on reciprocity, but only in the Low ingroup efficiency treatment (p<0.10). The independent effect of the Equal efficiency treatment is not significant (p=0.15) and neither is the treatment interaction (p=0.24). Finally, we also observe a significant relationship between trust and fairness with reciprocity, meaning that more trusting subjects and those with higher perceptions of fairness are also more reciprocal, regardless of ingroup status. Importantly, we find that the presence of nepotism has a significant and positive impact on reciprocity among the ingroup. This same pattern holds for others, but the effect is considerably smaller, and not significant. Ingroup members in the nepotism treatment send back 3.5 extra tokens ($1.75) on average, while others return half that amount ($0.85). This indicates that ingroup members reward nepotism. Knowing that they have lower productivity, ingroup members are willing to reward generously those who choose them. Impact of nepotism on earnings In the analysis above, we found that nepotism is motivated by beliefs about performance of the ingroup. We find that subjects send more to their ingroup, and that nepotism has a positive impact on reciprocity, with a larger effect on the ingroup. We now ask whether nepotism is profitable for ingroup members. Since we use the strategy method, proposers make two decisions, one for each group of responders. We can thus calculate earnings based on the mean level of reciprocity for each amount sent (again, because of the strategy method, we collect responder reciprocity decisions for each level of trust). Using this method, we can estimate what each proposer would earn by being partnered with their ingroup or with the other for each treatment. We take the difference in earnings between being paired with an ingroup member and with a non-ingroup member. Figure 7 displays the results by treatment (independent of the choice of partner), with positive amounts indicating higher earnings from ingroup relative to others. In all treatments except one, partnering with the ingroup is more profitable. Both Nepotism treatments yield significantly higher earnings when pairing with the ingroup (Equal efficiency: 1.70 tokens-$0.85; p<0.01; Low ingroup efficiency: 1.25 tokens-$0.63; p<0.01). In the Random match treatment when the ingroup is equally efficient, ingroup members still benefit 21 from being paired with the ingroup, though the increase in earnings is modest (0.44 tokens $0.22; p<0.10). However, in the Random match treatment with lower ingroup member efficiency, subjects are better off partnering with others, earning 1.92 tokens ($0.96) less when being paired with ingroup members (p<0.01). Thus, we can clearly see that Nepotism has a positive impact on proposer earnings, even when the efficiency of the ingroup members is low. Figure 7: Relative earnings: Earnings with an ingroup less earnings with others (95% confidence interval) Figure 7 reports earnings for all proposers, including those that chose their ingroup members and those that chose other responders as partners. In the next figures (8a and 8b) we split the sample by Nepotists (those that chose or preferred an ingroup members as partner) and Non-nepotists (those that chose or preferred a non-ingroup member as partner). We find that earnings from pairing with group members is higher for both non-nepotists and nepotists alike. Thus, the positive impact of nepotism on ingroup earnings is true for both sets of responders (though this difference is not significant in the Equal efficiency treatment for non-nepotists). Furthermore, when nepotism is available, ingroup member efficiency has no significant impact 22 on the earnings of nepotists (fig. 8a), indicating that nepotists are completely compensated for the lowered ingroup member efficiency.32 Figure 8a-b: Relative earnings: Nepotists and non-nepotists by treatment (95% confidence interval) Overall, we find that nepotism is profitable for ingroup members, even when ingroup members are less efficient than others. This is mainly due to higher levels of trust among ingroup members, and higher levels of reciprocity when nepotism is possible. We find that both nepotists and non-nepotists benefit from partnering with ingroup members when the choice is available to them. Finally, we also find strong evidence of positive efficiency impacts: when ingroup members are more efficient, ingroup members are better off partnering with ingroup members. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS In this paper we present the results of a study designed to examine the factors that motivate nepotistic behavior, and the impacts of such behavior on trust, reciprocity, and profits. The study uses a variation on a well-studied experimental game: the trust game. We find that individuals engage in nepotism due to beliefs about ingroup members. Furthermore, the efficiency of ingroup members is a relevant factor: subjects are less likely to partner with 32 For nepotists, the premium for selecting a less efficient ingroup partner is large, and larger than for non-nepotists. This is because nepotists have higher relative trust in ingroup members as compared with others, and that trust is reciprocated. 23 ingroup members when they are less efficient. In addition, more risk-tolerant individuals are more likely to partner with people outside their group. We find that there is greater trust towards ingroup members. We also find that nepotism has a positive impact on reciprocity: first movers are rewarded when they select fellow ingroup members as partners. Taken together, these results demonstrate why nepotism exists and persists, even in the presence of costs. Becker (1971) argued that engaging in discrimination (of any variety) would reduce profits since a more efficient worker would be available with a wider search. However, this reasoning does not take into account that individual behavior also varies under the two conditions. We find that nepotism compensates for decreased efficiency through increased trust among ingroup members, and increased reciprocity by trusted ingroup responders. We find that when nepotism is available, partnering with group members is always profitable. Hence, we find evidence for nepotism as a social dilemma: it persists because it is individually profitable, but still may be welfare reducing overall. Our results are similar to those found by Brandts and Sola (2010), Fiedler et al. (2011), and Belot and van de Ven (2011), which show that reciprocity increases with reduced social distance. Fershtman et al. (2005) also shows that trust is higher among group members, but has no real impact on reciprocity. We build on these studies by identifying the motives for engaging in nepotism, and find nepotistic behavior to be rational: subjects engage in nepotism because they believe in greater productivity by fellow group members. Nepotism is a profitable strategy. We also find that nepotism has limited impact on trust, but greater impact on reciprocity, yielding higher returns. Our stylized representation of nepotism differs from the “real world” form of nepotism in two ways. First, the analysis we present is static, i.e. the trust game is played a single time and ends. Nepotism may have a significant long term component with impacts on inequality and meritocracy that we do not address here. In addition, these repeated interactions may provide further incentives for individuals to engage in inefficient behavior. Further research is needed to estimate the long run impact of engaging in such behavior. Second, this paper is divorced from any externalities resulting from the employment of low-quality workers, the effect of which is (as yet) unknown. Our results have interesting implications for policy. First, we show clear incentives for group polarization. Partnering with ingroup members pays off, even when ingroup members are 24 relatively inefficient. Organizations that do not allow nepotism may not be availing themselves of productivity enhancements. So, should we eliminate anti-nepotism rules? The answer lies in the purpose of the rule itself. 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Vanhanen, Tatu. 1999. “Domestic Ethnic Conflict and Ethnic Nepotism: A Comparative Analysis.” Journal of Peace Research, 36(1): 55-73. 28 Appendix A: Game Screenshots Figure A.1: Eckel-Grossman risk measure screenshot 29 Figure A.2: Nepotism game proposer decision screenshot 30 Figure A.3: Nepotism game responder decision screenshot 31 Appendix B: Additional Regressions Table B.1: Probability of selecting ingroup members as partner (coefficients) Dependent variable: Partner choice (1 = Chose ingroup member) Treatment (1 = Low ingroup efficiency) Beliefs (Ingroup less other) Favoritism I II III IV V -1.063*** -1.319*** -1.209*** -1.522*** -1.521*** (0.35) (0.34) (0.37) (0.45) (0.47) 0.206 8.195** (3.92) 0.240 9.301** (4.22) 0.231 10.80** (4.50) 0.252 (0.13) (0.16) (0.17) (0.20) -0.419*** -0.354** (0.14) (0.15) 8.080** (3.68) (Ingroup less other) Risk Preferences (6 = Risk seeking) Gender (D) (1 = Female) Group Identity (7 = Strong ingroup identity) Generalized Trust (7 = More trusting) Generalized Fairness 0.613 (0.46) 0.042 (0.13) -0.063 (0.16) 0.050 (7 = Others are fair) Constant (0.15) Pseudo R-squared Chi-squared P-value Log Likelihood Observations 0.914*** 1.092*** 0.924*** 2.701*** 2.041* (0.28) (0.27) (0.29) (0.73) (1.23) 0.263 26.4 0.000 0.225 22.6 0.000 0.307 30.9 0.000 0.416 41.9 0.000 0.438 44.0 0.000 -37.09 -39.01 -34.86 -29.38 -28.30 78 78 78 78 78 Note: * p<0.1, **p<0.05, *** p<0.01. Probit specification, standard errors in parentheses. Table reports coefficients. Dependent variable takes on a value of 1 if subject selected ingroup member as partner in the trust game. Data is from the Nepotism treatment. The “Beliefs” variable measures the difference in beliefs about reciprocity between ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values mean subjects expect more back from their ingroup, while negative values mean subjects expect less back from their ingroup (relative to others). The “Favoritism” variable measures the difference in dictator giving to ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values are subjects giving more to ingroup relative to others, while negative values are subjects giving more to others. 32 Table B.2: Probability of preferring ingroup members as partner (Random match treatments) Dependent variable: Partner choice (1 = Chose ingroup member) Treatment (1 = Low ingroup efficiency) Beliefs (Ingroup less other) Favoritism I II III IV V -1.298*** -1.448*** -1.636*** -1.640*** -1.838*** (0.36) (0.37) (0.41) (0.41) (0.46) 0.242*** 9.537** (4.44) 0.213** 9.474** (4.50) 0.214** 10.38** (4.72) 0.234** (0.09) (0.09) (0.09) (0.10) 0.009 0.056 (0.11) (0.13) 11.19** (4.46) (Ingroup less other) Risk Preferences (6 = Risk seeking) Gender (D) (1 = Female) Group Identity (7 = Strong ingroup identity) Generalized Trust (7 = More trusting) Generalized Fairness 0.311 (0.44) 0.120 (0.16) -0.088 (0.14) -0.175 (7 = Others are fair) Constant (0.16) Pseudo R-squared Chi-squared P-value Log Likelihood Observations 0.809*** 0.884*** 0.798*** 0.767 0.967 (0.27) (0.26) (0.27) (0.47) (1.16) 0.271 25.0 0.000 -33.68 0.223 20.6 0.000 -35.86 0.335 30.9 0.000 -30.71 0.335 30.9 0.000 -30.71 0.373 34.4 0.000 -28.96 70 70 70 70 70 Note: * p<0.1, **p<0.05, *** p<0.01. Probit specification, standard errors in parentheses. Table reports coefficients. Dependent variable takes on a value of 1 if subject selected ingroup member as partner in the trust game. Data is from the Random match treatment. The “Beliefs” variable measures the difference in beliefs about reciprocity between ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values mean subjects expect more back from their ingroup, while negative values mean subjects expect less back from their ingroup (relative to others). The “Favoritism” variable measures the difference in dictator giving to ingroup members and others. Thus, positive values are subjects giving more to ingroup relative to others, while negative values are subjects giving more to others. 33